+ All Categories
Home > Economy & Finance > 04 company analysis

04 company analysis

Date post: 17-May-2015
Category:
Upload: noorulhadi-qureshi
View: 1,367 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
Description:
noorulhadi Lecturer at Govt College of Management Sciences, [email protected] have prepared these slides and still using in mylectures, Reference: Portfolio management by S kevin and onlin
Popular Tags:
35
Prepared By: Nooru lhadi Lecturer GCM S Peshawar Portfolio Management Prepared By: Noorulhadi Qureshi Lecturer Govt College of Management Sciences Peshawar LECTURE FOUR Fundamental Analysis Company Analysis
Transcript
Page 1: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Portfolio Management

Prepared By:

Noorulhadi QureshiLecturer Govt College of Management Sciences

Peshawar

LECTURE FOUR

Fundamental Analysis

Company Analysis

Page 2: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Company Analysis

External resources of information are those

generated independentlyoutside the company.

These are prepared by investment services and

the financial press.

Internal information consistsof data and events made

public by companies concerning their operations. Its include annual report toShare holder, public and

private stakeholders.

Final Stage of fundamental AnalysisBroad outline of the prospect of--

Growth in the economy.

Company Analysis deal with Return and risk of individual

Share and security.Analyst tries to forecast the Future earning which has Direct effect on share price.

Page 3: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Financial Statements

• Two Basic financial statement are:– Balance Sheet (picture of Company asset and liabilities.)– Profit and Loss Account. (It postulates the earning of company).

• It helps to asses the profitability and financial health.• Balance Sheet gives the list of assets and liabilities.

– Fixed Assets are intended to be used up over a period of several years.

– Current assets are intended to be converted into cash with in one year.

– The outside liabilities are short and long term liabilities.– Liability toward share holder show the share capital value.

Page 4: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Financial Statements

• Income statement reveals the revenue earned and the cost incurred for a period in the company.

• Profit is • Profit is • Profit is \z

Page 5: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Financial Analysis

• Assessment of the firm’s past, present and future financial conditions

• Done to find firm’s financial strengths and weaknesses

• Primary Tools:– Financial Statements– Comparison of financial ratios to past,

industry, sector and all firms

Page 6: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Financial Statements

• Balance Sheet

• Income Statement

• Cashflow Statement

• Statement of Retained Earnings

Page 7: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Sources of Data

• Annual reports– Via mail, SEC or company websites

• Published collections of data– e.g., Dun and Bradstreet or Robert Morris

• Investment sites on the web– Examples

• http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor• http://www.marketguide.com

Page 8: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Review: Major Balance Sheet Items

Assets• Current assets:

– Cash & securities– Receivables– Inventories

• Fixed assets:– Tangible assets– Intangible assets

Liabilities and Equity• Current liabilities:

– Payables – Short-term debt

• Long-term liabilities• Shareholders' equity

Page 9: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Abbreviated Balance Sheet

• Assets:– Current Assets: +– Non-Current Assets: +– Total Assets: +

• Liabilities:– Current Liabilities: +– LT Debt & Other LT Liab.: +– Equity: +– Total Liab. and Equity: +

Page 10: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Review: Major Income Statement Items

• Gross Profit = Sales - Costs of Goods Sold• EBITDA

= Gross Profit - Cash Operating Expenses• EBIT = EBDIT - Depreciation - Amortization• EBT = EBIT - Interest • NI or EAT = EBT- Taxes• Net Income is a primary determinant of the firm’s

cashflows and, thus, the value of the firm’s shares

Page 11: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Abbreviated Income Statement

Sales +Costs of Goods Sold +Gross Profit +Cash operating expense -EBITDA +Depreciation & Amortization -Other Income (Net) -EBIT +Interest -EBT +Income Taxes -Special Income/Charges -Net Income (EAT) +

Page 12: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Objectives of Ratio Analysis• Standardize financial information for

comparisons• Evaluate current operations• Compare performance with past

performance• Compare performance against other

firms or industry standards• Study the efficiency of operations• Study the risk of operations

Page 13: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Rationale Behind Ratio Analysis

• A firm has resources• It converts resources into profits through

– production of goods and services– sales of goods and services

• Ratios– Measure relationships between resources and

financial flows– Show ways in which firm’s situation deviates from

• Its own past• Other firms• The industry• All firms-

Page 14: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Types of Ratios

• Financial Ratios:– Liquidity Ratios

• Assess ability to cover current obligations

– Leverage Ratios• Assess ability to cover long term debt obligations

• Operational Ratios:– Activity (Turnover) Ratios

• Assess amount of activity relative to amount of resources used

– Profitability Ratios• Assess profits relative to amount of resources used

• Valuation Ratios:• Assess market price relative to assets or earnings

Page 15: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

• Current Ratio:

• Quick (Acid Test) Ratio:

Liquidity Ratio

Page 16: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

• Debt Ratio:

Leverage Ratio

Page 17: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

• Return on Assets (ROA):

• Return on Equity (ROE):

Profitability Ratio

Page 18: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Profitability Ratio

• Net Profit Margin:

• Retention Ratio

Page 19: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

• Total Asset Turnover Ratio:

• Inventory Turnover Ratio:

Activity (Turnover) Ratio

Page 20: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

The DuPont System

• Method to breakdown ROE into:– ROA and Equity Multiplier

• ROA is further broken down as:– Profit Margin and Asset Turnover

• Helps to identify sources of strength and weakness in current performance

• Helps to focus attention on value drivers

Page 21: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

The DuPont System

Profi t M argin T ota l A sse t T urnover

RO A E quity M ultip l ie r

RO E

Page 22: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

The DuPont System

Profi t M argin T ota l A sse t T urnover

RO A E quity M ultip l ie r

RO E

EquityCommon

Assets Total

Assets Total

IncomeNet MultiplierEquity ROAROE

Page 23: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

The DuPont System

Profi t M argin T ota l A sse t T urnover

RO A E quity M ultip l ie r

RO E

Assets Total

Sales

Sales

IncomeNet TurnoverAsset TotalMarginProfit ROA

Page 24: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

The DuPont System

Profi t M argin T ota l A sse t T urnover

RO A E quity M ultip l ie r

RO E

EquityCommon

Assets Total

Assets Total

Sales

Sales

IncomeNet MultiplierEquity TurnoverAsset TotalMarginProfit ROE

Page 25: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

The DuPont System

Multiplier EquityROA

Multiplier EquityTurnover Asset TotalMarginProfit Equity Common

AssetsTotal

AssetsTotal

Sales

Sales

IncomeNet ROE

Page 26: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Summary of Financial Ratios

• Ratios help to:– Evaluate performance– Structure analysis– Show the connection between activities and

performance• Benchmark with

– Past for the company– Industry

• Ratios adjust for size differences

Page 27: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Limitations of Ratio Analysis

• A firm’s industry category is often difficult to identify

• Published industry averages are only guidelines

• Accounting practices differ across firms• Sometimes difficult to interpret deviations

in ratios• Industry ratios may not be desirable

targets• Seasonality affects ratios

Page 28: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Ratios and Forecasting

• Common stock valuation based on– Expected cashflows to stockholders– ROE and are major determinants of cashflows to

stockholders• Ratios influence expectations by:

– Showing where firm is now– Providing context for current performance

• Current information influences expectations by:– Showing developments that will alter future

performance

Page 29: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

How Might Ratios Help Me on the IEM?

• Analysis of AAPL, IBM and MSFT, and comparisons to the S&P500 companies can help to:– Assess the (absolute and relative) financial state of

each company– Show each company’s strengths and weaknesses– Predict sustainable growth rate

• Combined with current information, this can help to:– Assess likely future performance– Predict future valuation and earnings growth– Predict returns

Page 30: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Page 31: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Page 32: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Page 33: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Page 34: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar

Page 35: 04 company analysis

Prepared By: Noorulhadi Lecturer GCMS Peshawar


Recommended