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March 2013 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation
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Page 1: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

March 2013

4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation

Page 2: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING

SYSTEM

2

Page 3: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

145 143

179 174

137

376

Chile Peru Mexico Brazil Colombia Latam

EMBIG (12 Month Average)

Highlights

Strong Economic Metrics Low Country Risk Perception

Improved Credit Ratings

BBB- BBB

BBB BBB

AA-

Source: BCRP, S&P.

FC-LT Rating Outlook Date

S&P BBB Positive Aug 30th, 2011

Moody's Baa2 Positive Aug 16th, 2012

Fitch BBB Stable Nov 10th, 2011

3 Source: BCRP, SBS, Bloomberg.

Moody’s changed its outlook on Peru to positive on August 16th, 2012.

On August 30th, 2011 S&P upgraded Peru’s foreign currency long-term credit rating to BBB and changed its outlook to positive on August 28th, 2012.

Fitch upgraded Peru’s foreign currency long-term rating to BBB on November 10th, 2011.

3.73

(0.13)

1.522.48

3.48

1.49 1.14

3.93

6.65

0.25 2.08

4.74

2.65

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Annual Inflation (%)

2.40

2.50

2.60

2.70

2.80

Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13

PEN/USD

80

120

160

200

240

280

Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13

EMBI Spread (pbs)

Page 4: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

46

13

24

42

51

30

5

26

33

44

20

10

35 35 36

Peru Chile Mexico Colombia Brazil

'00-'04 '05-'09 '10-'14E

(2.2)

0.1

(0.7)

(4.5)(3.9)

1.3

4.1

(0.5)

(3.1) (3.1)

1.0 0.4

(2.4)(2.0) (2.3)

Peru Chile Mexico Colombia Brazil

'00-'04 '05-'09 '10-'14E

3.4

4.2

2.1

3.3 3.0

6.8

3.9

1.4

4.7

3.6

6.8

5.4

4.1

4.8

3.8

Peru Chile Mexico Colombia Brazil

'00-'04 '05-'09 '10-'14E

Economic and Social Indicators

5-Year Average External Debt/GDP (%)

5-Year Average Fiscal Balance/GDP (%)

Poverty as a % of Total Population

5-Year Average Real GDP Growth (%)

Improving Poverty Indicators

Controlled Fiscal Balance GDP Growth

Decreasing Indebtedness

4 Source: Focus Economics and INEI as of December 31, 2012.

(1) Preliminary figure as of december, 2011.

48.7

44.5

39.336.2 34.8

31.328.4

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011(1)

Page 5: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

Peruvian Financial System I

Net Income (USD Bn)

Loans & Deposits penetration (As a % of GDP) Financial System Net Loans (USD Bn)

Financial System Deposits (USD Bn)

Dic’11– Dic’12 Growth: 19.0%

Dic’11 – Dic’12 Growth: 18.4%

5 Source: SBS as of December 31, 2012.

Note: Banking System data as of December 31, 2012.

Dic’11 – Dic’12 Growth: 16.7%

68

44

28 26

16

59

30 27 2720

Chile Brazil Colombia Peru Mexico

Loans/GDP Deposits/GDP

44.2

53.1

60.3

71.4

2009 2010 2011 2012

1.4

1.6

2.0

2.3

2009 2010 2011 2012

35.5

43.7

53.6

63.8

2009 2010 2011 2012

Page 6: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

Peruvian Financial System II

Regulatory Capital/RWAs

Dollarization Past due loans/Total loans & Coverage Ratio

Profitability

6 Source: BCRP and SBS as of December 31, 2012.

1.9% 1.9% 1.8%

2.2%

216% 220%225%

204%

2009 2010 2011 2012

14.0% 14.0%13.7%

13.9%

2009 2010 2011 2012

46.3%45.7% 44.4%

43.2%

48.7%

41.7%41.0%

35.7%

52.7%

52.6%51.4%

50.2%

56.1%

48.0% 47.5%

42.1%

2009 2010 2011 2012

Net LoansDepositsBanking System Net Loans

20.9%

24.6% 25.2%22.4%

1.7% 2.0% 2.0% 1.8%

2009 2010 2011 2012

ROAE ROAA

Page 7: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

BANCO DE CRÉDITO DEL PERÚ - BCP

7

Page 8: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

Credicorp Ltd.

8

* The structure chart shows the main subsidiaries of Credicorp

** Credicorp directly owns 4.08% of BCP Bolivia and 14.00% of Pacifico Vida

***Spin-off in process

****There is a % of Credicorp Investments held indirectly by Grupo Crédito

IFRS Figures as of December 2012. Percentages data as of December 2012.

**

Source: SMV.

100% 66.24%

99.99%

86.00%

12.73%

99.79%

FuM: US$ 12.0 billion

Collections: US$ 608 million (YTD 2012)

Employees: 876

95.92%

100% 84.92% 100% 31.44%

Bolivia

Assets: US$ 41.1 billion

Net Income attributable to Credicorp: US$ 788.8 million (2012)

Employees: 26,541

Assets: US$ 35.8 billion

NII: US$ 1473.6 million (2012)

Employees: 22,538

AuM: US$ 5.4 billion

Deposits: US$ 1.4 billion

Employees: 81

Life

Insurance

Health

Insurance

Atlantic Security

Holding Corporation

**

100%

Assets: US$ 2.7 billion

Net Earned Premiums:

US$ 723.4 million (2012)

Employees: 3,038

Credicorp

Investments

100%

100%

51%

61%

100%

***

****

Page 9: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

Source: BCP and SBS as of December 31, 2012.

Dic’11– Dic’12 Growth: 22.1% Dic’11– Dic’12 Growth: 30.0%

Dic’11– Dic’12 Growth: 10.5%

BCP´s Distribution Network & Transaction Breakout

Deposits (USD Bn) Net Loans (USD Bn)

Net Income (USD MM)

BCP Highlights

% of USD denominated loans % of USD denominated deposits

9

320

431

535

591

2009 2010 2011 2012

11.2

13.9

16.4

20.060%

62%

59%

57%

2009 2010 2011 2012

14.5

17.1 17.5

22.8

64%

55%

53%

48%

2009 2010 2011 2012

4,081

5,002

6,504

7,92376%

80%

86% 87%

2009 2010 2011 2012

Agents ATM's Branches Electronic Transactions

Page 10: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

17%

14%

69%

Mortgage Consumer Commercial

25%

22%

10%

10%

5%5%

23%Other

Communication, Storage and Transportation

Mining

Realty Business and Leasing Services

Electricity, Gas and Water

Commerce

Manufacturing

Loans by economic sector

Investments Assets (USD Bn)

Loans by Business Unit & Dollarization

Asset Structure

10 Source: BCP as of December 31, 2012.

(1) Others include BCB, Edyficar and other business units.

20.0; 57%

7.8; 22%

4.8; 13%

2.8; 8%Net loans

Cash and Due from Banks

Investments

Other assets

63%9%

8%

6%

4%

10%

Peruvian Central Bank Certificated Notes

Corporate and Leasing Bonds

Peruvian Bonds

Listed Equity Securities

Foreign Government Bonds

Other

56% 55% 50% 46%

40% 38% 43% 46%

4% 7% 7% 8%

42% 39% 35% 31%

73% 77% 77% 81%

2009 2010 2011 2012Wholesale Retail Others (1) Dollarization Retail bankingDollarization Wholesale banking

Page 11: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

PDL by Currency (%)

PDL by Days Overdue (%) PDL & Coverage Ratios (%)

PDL by Product (%)

Asset Quality

11 Source: SBS, BCP as of December 31, 2012.

(1) As per Basel II definition.

0.71% 0.54% 0.56% 0.79%

6.85%

5.55%5.25%

5.67%

2.81% 2.67% 2.60%3.08%

1.15% 1.40% 1.31% 1.12%

2009 2010 2011 2012

Commercial Microfinance Consumer Mortgage

2.21% 2.23%2.42%

2.97%

0.88% 0.81% 0.71% 0.70%

2009 2010 2011 2012

Nuevos Soles Foreign currency

0.60% 0.47% 0.53% 0.70%

0.96%0.96% 0.97%

1.06%1.13%0.98% 0.97%

1.08%

2009 2010 2011 2012

Overdue 16-119 days/Total Loans Overdue 120 days or more/Total Loans

Overdue 90 days/Total Loans(1)

1.56% 1.43% 1.50%1.75%

0.47%0.51% 0.56%

0.67%

195%217% 219%

203%

2009 2010 2011 2012

PDL/Total loans Refinanced Loans/Total Loans PDL Coverage ratio

Page 12: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

Liabilities & Funding Structure

Others $1bn Equity $2bn

Total Deposits (USD Bn) Liabilities (USB Bn)

Deposits by Business Unit & Dollarization Deposits/Loans

12 Source: BCP as of December 31, 2012.

(1) Includes BCB, Edyficar and other business units

116%

147%

123% 134%126%

98%

86%87%

122%117%

101% 108%

2009 2010 2011 2012

Nuevos Soles Foreign currency Total

7.6; 33%

6.1; 27%

2.2; 10%

6.9; 30%Demand Deposits

Savings Deposits

CTS Deposits

Time Deposits

22.8; 70%

3.7; 12%

3.7; 11%

2.4; 7%

Deposits

Due to Banks

Bonds Issued

Other Liabilities

41% 49% 42% 44%

43%43% 50% 51%

16% 8% 8% 5%

55%

43%

44% 42%

58% 54%

50%

44%

2009 2010 2011 2012Wholesale RetailOthers (1) Dollarization WholesaleDollarization Retail

Page 13: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022+

Long Term Foreign Currency Short Term Foreign Currency Long Term Local Currency

Funding Structure & Maturity Profile

Equity $2bn

Average Rates Core Deposits(%)(1)

Maturity Profile (MM USD)

Source: BCP as of December 31, 2012.

(1) % Core Deposits/Total deposits. 13

1,775

874

583

1,224

325

182

434

944

599

729

69%

60%

70%

66%

59%

71%

80%

74%

63%

66%

75%

70%

2009 2010 2011 2012

Nuevos Soles Foreign Currency Total

2.07%

0.94%1.22% 1.37%

5.39%

5.02% 4.94% 4.85%

2009 2010 2011 2012

Total Deposits Due to banks and issued bonds

Page 14: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

1,450 1,5591,907

2,405

438 405

765

1,097

1,888 1,964

2,671

3,502

2009 2010 2011 2012

Capital Management

Tier I Tier II and III

Tier II + Tier III/Regulatory Capital (%)

BIS Ratio (%)(1) Regulatory Capital (USD MM)

Tier I Common(2)/RWA (%)

14 Source: BCP as of December 31, 2012.

(1) Regulatory Capital / Risk Weighted Assets.

(2) Tier I Common = Capital + Reserves – 100% of applicable deductions + retained earnings adjusted by average payout.

CAGR: 22.9%

14.512.8

14.5 14.7

2009 2010 2011 2012

23.2 20.6

28.6 31.3

2009 2010 2011 2012

8.59.3 9.1

8.5

2009 2010 2011 2012

Page 15: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

Provisions/Gross Financial Margin (%)

Fees Breakdown Net Income (US$MM)

Net Interest Margin

P&L Highlights

15 Source: BCP as of December 31, 2012.

(1) Operating revenue is the aggregate of net financial margin and non financial income.

21.1% 22.7%21.7%

28.3%

2009 2010 2011 2012

320 431 535 591

48%

50%

45%

45%

2009 2010 2011 2012

Net income Non-Financial Income/Operating Revenues (1)

8.10% 8.01%

10.06%9.64%

3.31%2.83%

1.53%1.76%

4.81% 4.94% 4.98% 5.19%

2009 2010 2011 2012

Nuevos Soles Foreign Currency Weighted-average

70% 70%

18% 16%

3% 4%

9% 9%

2011 2012

Others

Gains from Sales of Securities

FX Transactions

Fees and Commissions

Page 16: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

Avg.

23.2

Avg.

54.5

Avg.

1.8

20.9

24.1 25.222.4

2009 2010 2011 2012

Avg.

5.0

54.454.5

52.9 57.2

2009 2010 2011 2012

4.8 4.9 5.0 5.2

2009 2010 2011 2012

Efficiency (%)(3)

ROAA (%)(1) ROAE (%)(1)

Net Interest Margin (%)(2)

Key Financial Indicators

16 Source: SBS and ASBANC as of December 31, 2012.

(1) BCP shareholder’s equity and total asset averages computed as the average of month-end balances.

(2) Net interest income reported to SBS, as a percentage of average interest-earning assets. Average earning interest assets computed on a monthly basis.

(3) Efficiency calculated as administrative expenses plus depreciation and amortization divided by total operating revenue.

1.7

1.9 2.0

1.8

2009 2010 2011 2012

Page 17: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

BCP’s Competitive Position

# 1 in Deposits

# 1 in Loans Leading Financial Institution in Peru

# 1 in Asset Quality (Substandard Loans(1)/Total Loans)

17 Source: SBS and ASBANC as of December 31, 2012.

(1) Substandard loans includes past due, refinanced and restructured loans.

30%

19%

14%

9%

BCP BBVA Scotiabank Interbank

2.4%2.5% 2.5%

3.2%

BCP BBVA Interbank Scotiabank

31%

18%

11%

8%

BCP BBVA Scotiabank Interbank

Rank Market Share (%)

Commercial Loans 1 35%

Microfinance Loans 1 19%

Consumer Loans 1 20%

Mortgage Loans 1 33%

Total Loans 1 30%

Total Deposits 1 31%

Shareholders Equity 1 26%

Page 18: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

APPENDIX

18

Page 19: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

Selected Financial Information

19 * Includes net income from discontinued operations (Correval).

Income Statement Summary US$ in millions

2009 2010 2011 2012 YoY Growth

Financial income 1,286 1,367 1,739 2,204 27%

Financial expense (435) (425) (530) (666) 26%

Gross financial margin 851 943 1,208 1,538 27%

Provision for loan losses (179) (212) (263) (436) 66%

Gross financial margin after provision for loan losses 672 731 946 1,102 17%

Gain (loss) for exchange dif ference (87) 9 (14) 6 -141%

Net financial margin 584 740 932 1,107 19%

Fees and commissions f rom banking services 377 462 536 637 19%

Net gains (loss) f rom sales of securities 88 63 23 41 79%

Net gains on foreign exchange transactions 70 87 142 149 5%

Other income 94 114 66 86 31%

Operating expenses (780) (875) (975) (1,217) 25%

Income before workers’ profit sharing and income

tax 433 591 723 803 11%

Income tax (114) (159) (189) (216) 15%

Net income 320 431 535 591* 11%

Page 20: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

Selected Financial Information

20

Balance Sheet Summary US$ in millions

2009 2010 2011 2012 YoY Growth

Cash and due from banks, and interbank funds 3,734 8,492 5,484 7,792 42.1%

Investments at fair value through profit or loss and available-for-sale investments, net

3,095 1,615 3,549 4,784 34.8%

Gross loans 11,578 14,335 16,934 20,747 22.5%

Reserve for loan losses (357) (421) (527) (706) 33.9%

Other assets 1,081 1,225 1,281 2,833 121.2%

Total assets 19,131 25,246 26,721 35,450 32.7%

Deposits and obligations 14,458 17,061 17,544 22,815 30.0%

Due to banks, correspondents and other entities, and interbank funds

1,278 3,642 3,207 4,371 36.3%

Bonds and subordinated notes issued 1,236 1,959 3,122 3,657 17.1%

Other liabilities 487 612 507 1,858 266.3%

Total liabilities17,459 23,274 24,380 32,701

34.1%

Return on average shareholders’ equity 20.9% 24.1% 25.2% 22.4%

Return on average total assets1.7% 1.9% 2.0% 1.8%

Equity-to-asset ratio8.1% 8.2% 8.3% 8.3%

Past due loans as a percentage of total gross loans 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% 1.8%

Page 21: 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation · 4Q12 Fixed Income Presentation . PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING SYSTEM 2 . 145 143 179 174 137 376 ... PEN/USD 80 120 160 200 240 280 Jan -12 Apr-12

21

BCP’s ratings

International Credit Rating Agencies Local Credit Rating Agencies

BCP AAI Equilibrium

Date of last review Jun-12 Sep-12

Date of last report Jun-12 Sep-12

Institution A+ A+

Long Term Debt

Corporate Bonds AAA AAA

Mortgage Bonds AAA AAA

Leasing Bonds AAA AAA

Long Term Deposits AAA AAA

Short Term Debt

Short Term Deposits CP-1+ EQL 1+

CDs CP-1+ EQL 1+

Capital Debt

Subordinated Tier II AA+ AA+

BCP Emisiones Latam Feller Rate Fitch

Last review Sep-10 Abr-12

Outlook Estable Estable

Solvency A AA(Cl)

BCP Fitch S&P Moody´s

Date of last review Abr-12 Ago-12 Feb-13

Outlook Estable Positiva Estable

Issuer rating BBB+/F2 BBB Baa2

Bank strength D+

Foreign Currency

Long term BBB+ BBB Baa2

Short term F2 A-2 P-2

Local Currency

Long term BBB+ BBB Baa2

Short term F2 A-2 P-2

Outstanding debt (144A/Regs)

Subordinated BCP 2021 BBB Ba1

Subordinated BCP 2022 BBB Ba1

Subordinated BCP 2026 BBB Ba1

Subordinated BCP 2027 BBB Ba1

Junior Subordinated 2069 BB- BB+

Senior BCP 2016 (US$ 700MM) BBB+ Baa2

Senior BCP 2020 (US$ 800MM) BBB+ Baa2


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