Page 0 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
Analyst Meeting Presentation
21 January 2019
2018 Financial Results
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:
Information contained in this document has been prepared from several sources and the Bank does not confirm the accuracy and completeness of such data, particularly where the data is sourced from outside the Bank. Inaddition, any forward looking statements are subject to change as a result of market conditions and the final result may be different to that indicated. The Bank makes no representation or warranty of any type whatsoeveron the accuracy or completion of the information contained herein.
Page 1 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
PageAgenda
Review of 2018 Results 2-221.
Economic Outlook & Business Direction 30-373.
2019 Targets 394.
SCB Transformation Update 24-282.
Page 2 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
(Consolidated)
2017Actual
2018
Targets
2018 Actual
Total Income growth (yoy) +2.2% N.A. +1.5%
Net Interest Income (NII) growth (yoy) +4.4% N.A. +4.4%
Non-NII growth (yoy) -2.2% Up to 5% -4.7%
Cost/Income ratio 42.3% 45-47%* 46.8%
Net Profit growth (yoy) -9.4% N.A. -7.1%
Total loan growth (yoy) 4.9% 6-8% 5.2%
Net Interest Margin 3.23% 3.1-3.3% 3.21%
NPLs (gross) 2.83% ≤ 3.0% 2.85%
Coverage ratio 137.3% >130% 146.7%
ROE 12.4% N.A. 10.8%
ROA 1.45% N.A. 1.29%
CAR 17.7% N.A. 17.1%
CET1/ Tier 1 15.6% N.A. 15.1%
Strong core performance despite elevated cost from the Transformation Program and higher prudent provisions
PROFITABILITY
2018 Highlights
2018 net profit was Baht
40.1 billion, a 7.1% yoy
decrease due mainly to higher
OPEX from transformation-
related investments, and
lower non-NII.
NIM remained stable at
3.21%, in line with the annual
target of 3.1-3.3%.
Non-NII declined by 4.7% yoy
mainly from lower net
insurance premium and net
fee income, while net gain on
trading and net gain on
investments increased.
Cost/Income ratio of 46.8%
was within the full year
guidance of 45-47%.
Coverage ratio was strengthened
to 146.7% with additional
prudent provisions set in
4Q18 while NPL ratio was
relatively stable at 2.85%.
* Revised per Board of Directors’ resolution on 19 July 2018; N.A. = Not Available
INCOME/COST
LOANS/ASSET
QUALITY
CAPITAL
2018 Results
Page 3 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
2018 performance highlights
NII96.4 bn(+4.4% yoy)
Healthy NII growth driven by 5.2% loan growth
• Retail and corporate segments continued to drive the overall loan growth
• However, loans grew slightly below the 2018 target (6-8%) due to slower growth in SME and housing loans
Non-NII 41.9 bn(-4.7% yoy)
Weak Non-NII growth from digital fee waiver and lower net insurance premium
• Lower transaction fee and weak net insurance premium put pressure on fee income
• In 2019, wealth management will be the key driver for fee income
Expense 64.6 bn(+12.1%yoy)
Elevated operating expense from Transformation-related investment
• 2018 cost-to-income ratio rose to 46.8%, in line with target
• The cost-to-income ratio is expected to decline from 2019 onwards
Net
Profit40.1 bn(-7.1% yoy)
Net profit of Baht 40.1 billion
• Higher operating expenses from the Transformation Program, lower non-NII and prudential provisions set in 4Q18 put
pressure on net profit
Provisions 24.0 bn(-4.2% yoy)
Higher provisions in 4Q18 against macroeconomic uncertainty • The Bank set aside prudential provisions of Baht 8.9 billion
• Higher level of provisions reflects the Bank’s prudential provisioning against macroeconomic uncertainty and heightened
volatility and at the same time the Bank is shifting its loan portfolio towards unsecured products and digital lending
2018 Results
Page 4 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
%YoY
33.8Total Operating income 1.5%
24.8- NII 4.4%
8.9Provisions -4.2%
7.1Net profit -7.1%
9.0- Non-NII -4.7%
16.1Operating expenses 12.1%
2018
138.2
96.4
24.0
40.1
41.9
64.6
%YoY
-1.7%
4.7%
18.4%
-23.0%
-15.8%
4.7%
17.7Operating profit -6.3%73.6
%QoQ
-2.7%
1.7%
72.8%
-32.6%
-13.1%
-2.3%
-3.1% -6.8%
4Q18(Baht billion)
Financial Summary – 2018/4Q18 Financial Results
2018 Results
Page 5 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
2018 net profit was under pressure from Transformation-related cost
1/ Net profit before impairment provisions, non-controlling interest, and taxes.
Despite modest growth in total income, higher operating expenses from new technology investments and customer acquisition initiatives under the Transformation
Program resulted in a 7.1% yoy decrease in net profit. On a quarterly basis, net profit fell 23.0% yoy because of prudent provisions in 4Q18 as well as lower net gain on
trading and net insurance premium.
Net Profit and Operating Profit1/
(Baht billion)
2017 2018 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
43.2 40.1
9.2 11.4 11.1 10.5 7.1
78.6 73.6
18.9 19.1 18.6 18.2 17.7
-6.3% yoy
-7.1% yoy
-6.8% yoy
-3.1% qoq
-23.0% yoy
-32.6% qoq
OperatingProfit
Net Profit
Profitability
Page 6 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
Total operating income continued to grow mainly from higher interest income
Total operating income grew 1.5% yoy in 2018 mainly driven by net interest income growth. On a quarterly basis, total operating income decreased by 1.7% yoy
due to lower net gain on trading and net insurance income.
Total Operating Income(Baht billion)
Non-NII
NII
+1.5% yoy
-4.7% yoy
-1.7% yoy
-2.7% qoq
+4.4% yoy
2017 2018 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
32.2% 30.3% 31.0% 34.0% 30.6% 29.8% 26.6%
92.3 96.4
23.7 23.3 23.8 24.4 24.8
43.9 41.9
10.7 12.0 10.5 10.3 9.0
136.2 138.2
34.4 35.4 34.3 34.7 33.8
+1.5% yoy
-4.7% yoy
+4.4% yoy
-13.1% qoq
+1.7% qoq
-15.8% yoy
+4.7% yoy
-1.7% yoy
-2.7% qoq
%Non-NII/Total income
Total Income
Page 7 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
Healthy NII growth was driven by loan growth and stable NIM
In 2018, NII rose by 4.4% yoy due to higher loan growth and effective deposit cost management. On a quarterly basis, NII increased by 4.7% yoy largely
driven by loan growth of 5.2% yoy and higher interest income from interbank and money markets.
Net Interest Income(Baht billion)
Yield on Earning Assets
Yield on Loans1/
Cost of Funds
Costs of Deposits
Net Interest Margin (NIM)
Loan Growth(%yoy)
+4.4% yoy
+4.7% yoy
+1.7% qoq
2017 2018 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
4.38% 4.30% 4.39% 4.26% 4.31% 4.34% 4.38%
5.38% 5.27% 5.36% 5.19% 5.25% 5.30% 5.32%
1.45% 1.40% 1.41% 1.39% 1.40% 1.40% 1.44%
1.38% 1.31% 1.36% 1.31% 1.31% 1.30% 1.35%
92.3 96.4
23.7 23.3 23.8 24.4 24.8
3.23% 3.21% 3.28%3.18% 3.21% 3.26% 3.26%
4.9% 5.2% 4.9% 5.7% 6.7% 5.5% 5.2%
1/ One-sided lending rate cut in May 2017
NII
Page 8 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
Deposits grew moderately with a higher CASA ratio
Deposits grew both yoy (+3.2%) and qoq (+1.7%) from higher savings deposits, while fixed deposits declined after the 15-month fixed deposit campaign ended in
3Q18. Consequently, the Bank’s CASA further improved to 68.9% at the end of 2018.
Deposits(Baht billion)
2,092 2,093 2,146 2,123 2,160
-12.9% yoy
+10.7% yoy
-8.1% yoy
4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
Current & Savings Accounts (CASA)
65.0% 68.1% 68.1% 68.3% 68.9%
+3.2% yoy
-5.8% qoq
+2.9% qoq
+0.1% qoq
+1.7% qoq
732 668 685 672 673
1,282 1,352 1,391 1,379 1,419
78 73 70 72 68
Savings
Current
Fixed
Deposits
Page 9 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
Loan growth for SCB edged up slightly, in line with GDP growth
1/ In 2006, the Bank increased its holding in SCB Leasing (then Thai Panich Leasing PCL) from 37.6% to 95.5%.2/ SCB EIC’s estimation as of January 2019
Source: Bank of Thailand’s website (for sector loans growth)
Credit Cycle
4.9%5.2%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019F
5-7%
7%2/
Loan Growth(%yoy)
SCB Loan Growth
Global
financial crisis;
SCB tightened
credit
underwriting
standards
SCB’s market
share growth
strategies in
mortgage, auto
and SME segment
SCB’s
acquisition of
SCB Leasing1/
and market
share gains in
SME segment
Thailand’s
economic
slowdown
2019 SCB Loan
Growth Target
Banking Sector Loan Growth
Estimated Sector
Loan Growth by EIC
5-6%2/
Page 10 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
SME15.9%
(16.8%)
Corporate38.8%
(38.5%)
Housing30.1%
( 31.0%)
Auto9.5% (8.8%)
Others5.7% (4.9%)
Retail45.3%
(44.7%)
2018 loan growth was led by retail and corporate segments
( ) : Loan breakdown as at 31 Dec 2017
1/ Including loans classified as NPLs2/ Mainly credit cards and unsecured consumer loans3/ In 2Q18, some SME customers experienced sales turnover growth and were reclassified as Corporate loans.
Data for 31 Dec 2017 and 31 Mar 2018 are restated figures.
Loans grew 5.2% yoy mainly driven by retail and corporate segments, while SME loans declined qoq and yoy. Total loan growth was slightly below the Bank’s loan
growth target of 6-8% for 2018.
+5.2% yoy
+1.7% qoq
2,035 2,063 2,103 2,104 2,141
4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
Loans1/
(Baht billion)
Corporate Loans1/ 3/
(Baht billion)
SME Loans1/ 3/
(Baht billion)
+6.1% yoy
+2.3% qoq
783 804 828 812 831
4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
342 342 344 344
341
4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
-0.3% yoy
-0.9% qoq
Retail Loans1/
(Baht billion)Retail +2.3% qoq +6.5% yoy
Others2/+12.3% qoq +21.3% yoy
Auto +3.8% qoq +12.9% yoy
Housing +0.1% qoq +2.3% yoy630 632 637 644 645
180 187 192 196 203
100 98 102 108 121 910 918 930 947 969
4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
Auto +3.8% qoq +12.9% yoy
Others2/ +12.3% qoq +21.3% yoy
Retail +2.3% qoq +6.5% yoy
Loans Breakdown1/ as at 31 Dec 2018
Loans
Page 11 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
2018 loan growth was slightly below the target of 6-8% due to slow growth in SME and housing loans
Amid economic slowdown and sluggish recovery, the Bank has tightened
underwriting criteria for SME lending stalling loan growth in SME segment.
294
349 341 357 365 342 341
23.2%18.8%
-2.4%
4.8% 2.2%
-6.1%-0.3%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
%YoY
growth
408 485 530 576 607 630 645
21.3%19.0%
9.3% 8.7%5.4%
3.7% 2.3%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
%YoY
growth
Housing loans(Baht billion)
SME loans (Baht billion)
The Bank rebalanced loans from housing loan segment to optimize risk-return
and reduce concentration. Despite slower growth in this segment, the Bank
continued to be the largest mortgage lender with a 29.4% market share (as of
September 30, 2018).
Loans
Page 12 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
Asset quality was in line with the Bank’s expectation with SME showing sign of improvement both yoy and qoq
65.6 65.8 67.4 69.8 70.4
4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
The yoy increase in NPLs was mainly from the
corporate segment following qualitative loan
classification of one corporate customer in the
mining industry in 3Q18 and relapse of one
corporate customer in the auto parts industry
in 4Q18.
%NPL
51.7 48.6 53.4 50.4
54.0
4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
The qoq increase in special mention loans was
mainly from qualitative classification of some
corporate and SME customers.
Special Mention Loans(Baht billion)
11.4 9.7 10.6
12.2 11.8
4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
Overall %new NPL trended up yoy from housing
loans and corporate segments (due to qualitative
classification), but remained within the Bank’s
expected range. New NPL from SME declined in
absolute term qoq.
%New NPL
0.49% 0.41% 0.44% 0.49% 0.48% 2.83% 2.77% 2.81% 2.80% 2.85%
Asset Quality
New NPL Formation(Baht billion)
NPLs(Baht billion)
Page 13 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
65.6 65.8 67.4 69.8 70.4
51.7 48.6 53.4 50.4 54.0
35.7 34.7 33.4 33.9 33.5
- NPL 8.6 7.8 7.3 7.1 10.3
- PL 27.1 26.9 26.1 26.7 23.2
Non-
Performing
Loans
Special
Mention
Troubled
Debt
Restructuring
4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
NPL% 2.83% 2.77% 2.81% 2.80% 2.85%
New NPL% 0.49% 0.41% 0.44% 0.49% 0.48%
NPL% 1.80% 1.77% 1.70% 1.90% 2.16%
New NPL% 0.09% 0.06% 0.02% 0.25% 0.14%
NPL% 8.08% 8.24% 8.25% 8.51% 7.97%
New NPL% 0.67% 0.79% 0.68% 0.73% 0.68%
NPL% 3.08% 3.01% 3.21% 3.17% 3.13%
New NPL% 0.96% 0.70% 0.93% 0.81% 0.85%
NPL% 1.82% 1.69% 1.67% 1.71% 1.80%
New NPL% 0.54% 0.43% 0.51% 0.57% 0.67%
Total
Loans
Auto
Loans
Corporate *
SME *
Housing
Loans
(Baht billion)
New NPL formation trended up slightly but remained within the expected range
The increase in NPLs and special mention loans mostly came from qualitative
classification.
In 4Q18, overall new NPL ratio slightly declined qoq after qualitative
classification of one corporate customer in the mining industry in 3Q18 (for
which full provisions have been made).
* In 2Q18, some SME customers experienced sales turnover growth and were reclassified as Corporate customers. Data as of 4Q17 and 1Q18 are restated figures.
Green / Red fonts indicate decrease / increase in new NPL formation as a % to total loans from the previous period.
Asset Quality
(TDR)
Loans
Page 14 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
Non-Interest Income(Baht billion)
43.9 41.9
-13.1% qoq -15.8% yoy
2017 2018 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18
32.2% 30.3% 31.0% 29.8% 26.6%
24.4% 21.1% 23.2% 18.7% 19.0%
+81.9% yoy
-16.6% yoy
+12.1% yoy
-4.7% yoy
2.9 0.7 -0.0 -0.0 -0.3
30.3
28.5
8.0 6.5 6.7
7.1
7.9
1.8 2.2 1.5
10.7 10.3 9.0
+12.1% yoy
-6.2% yoy
-8.5% yoy
+81.9% yoy
-76.2% yoy
-4.7% yoy
Net Insurance Premium
Net Fee Income
Net Gain on Trading
Other Income1/
Net Gain on Investments
%Non-NII to Total Income
%Net Fee and Net Insurance
Premium to Total Income
-33.6% qoq -17.6%yoy
+2.6% qoq -16.4% yoy
Non-NII declined from lower net insurance premium and lower net fee income
2018 non-NII decreased by 4.7% yoy due to lower net insurance premium as new sales in 2018 was not able to offset surrenders and matured policies in prior years. In
addition, net fee income took a hit from digital transaction fee waiver which put pressure on non-NII. However, net gain on investments and net gain on trading rose
significantly yoy.
1/ Other income includes income from equity interest in affiliated companies, dividend income, and other operating income.
Non-NII
Page 15 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
Net insurance premium fell in 2018 because of lower new sales in 2018, a decline in renewal premium following slow insurance sales in the past few years, and higher surrenders given a weak economy and maturation of policies sold in prior years
(Baht billion)
Net Insurance Premium
5.7
2.9 0.7
2016 2017 2018
-65%
Net Insurance Claims
46.6 46.4
49.9
2016 2017 2018
+3%
Net Earned Insurance Premiums
52.3
49.2 50.6
2016 2017 2018
-2%
7.8 4.5 4.9
First Year Premium (of SCB Life)
Life Insurance
CAGR CAGR CAGR
Page 16 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
1/ Others include brokerage fee, fund transfer, remittance, etc.2/ GMTS stands for Global Markets and Transaction Services, which includes cash management, trade finance, corporate finance and corporate trust.
In 2018, net fee income decreased by 6.2% yoy because of digital transaction fee waiver and lower mutual fund fees. Net fee income in 4Q18 increased by 2.6% qoq
which came from corporate finance fees
Net Fee Income by Product
(Baht billion)
30.3 28.5 8.0 6.5 6.7 +2.6% qoq -16.4% yoy
+12.1% qoq -45.6% yoy
+4.0% qoq -18.6% yoy
-1.0% qoq -11.1% yoy
+11.4% qoq -7.4% yoy
+2.3% qoq +4.1% yoy
2017 2018 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18
Net Fee Income Breakdown by Segment
Corporate 23% 25% 23% 23% 24%
SME 8% 7% 7% 8% 7%
Retail 69% 68% 70% 69% 69%
-6.2% yoy
-28.3% yoy
-4.9% yoy
-10.1% yoy
-3.3% yoy
+2.5% yoy26% 28% 25% 32% 32%
17% 18%16%
16% 18%8%
10%9%
10% 9%
23%22%
22%22% 20%
10%10%
10%10% 10%
16% 12% 17%10% 11%
+12.7% yoy
Others 1/
Loan related fee
Mutual fund
Bancassurance fee
GMTS 2/
Bank cards
-6.7% qoq -24.3% yoy
Elimination of digital transaction fees led to a decline in fee income
Fee Income
Page 17 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
Fee income fell 6.2% yoy as transactional fees took a hit from digital transaction feewaiver and fees from wealth business declined amid a volatile market
9.5 10.4
2017 2018
+9%
7.9 7.2
2017 2018
-8%
11.7
10.0
2017 2018
-14%
(Baht billion)
Recurring
Fee Income
1/ Transactional fee income includes fund transfer, remittance, payment, cash management, etc.2/ Lending related income includes loan related fee and fee from credit card business 3/ Wealth fee income includes fund management fee, securities business fee and bancassurance fee (from third party insurers)
Transactional Fee Income 1/ Lending Related Income2/ Wealth Fee Income3/
Recurring Fee Income by Business Area
Page 18 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
OPEX rose 12.1% yoy primarily from new technology investments and customer acquisition initiatives under the Transformation Program. Cost-to-income ratio went up to
46.8% in 2018. However, on a quarter-on-quarter basis, operating expenses decreased by 2.3% qoq mainly due to lower marketing expenses.
Operating expenses remain high from the Transformation Program
Cost-to-Income Ratio
Operating Expenses(Baht billion)
+12.1% yoy
+4.7% yoy
-2.3% qoq
2017 2018 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
57.7
64.6
15.4 16.2 15.8 16.5 16.1
42.3%
46.8%44.9% 45.9% 45.9%
47.5% 47.7%
OPEX
Page 19 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E
C/I – Change the Bank
C/I – Run the Bank
Cost-to-income ratio (C/I)
Percentage
Estimate (E)
Pre-transformation
Avg. ~38% CAPEX depreciation and
expense from THB 40 Bn
Transformation program
Change-the-bank cost is
estimated to increase C/I
by around 4-5% in 2019
As investment reaches a plateau in 2019 and benefits from the Transformation Program roll in, we expect the cost-to-income ratio to improve over time
Cost to income
Page 20 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
Coverage ratio rose in 2018 following prudential provisions in 4Q18 to safeguard against external uncertainties and at the same time the Bank is shifting its loan portfolio towards unsecured products and digital lending
7.5
5.0 5.0 5.1
8.9
4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
Provisions(Baht billion)
137.3%141.9% 143.5% 142.5%
146.7%
149 98 96 98 167Credit Cost(bps)
NPL Coverage
Ratio
+18.4% yoy
+72.8% qoq
25.1 24.0
2017 2018
137.3%
146.7%
-4.2% yoy
126 115
Coverage
Page 21 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
97.2%
98.6%98.0%
99.1% 99.1%
4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
26.9% 25.8% 24.9% 25.4% 25.0%
4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
Both L/D ratio and liquidity ratio remained stable
As loan growth of 5.2% yoy surpassed deposit growth of 3.2% yoy, loan-to-
deposit ratio (L/D) rose to 99.1% in 2018 from 97.2% in 2017. On a qoq basis,
L/D ratio remained stable at 99.1%.
The Bank currently maintains a daily liquidity ratio of 20% or higher as measured
by total liquid assets (at a bank-only level) to total deposits. If the ratio falls below
20%, corrective action will be immediately considered.
Liquid assets primarily comprise cash, net interbank, bilateral repo with the Bank of Thailand and investment in government securities.
Loan-to-Deposit (L/D) Ratio(Consolidated)
Liquidity Ratio(Bank-only)
Liquidity
Page 22 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) (Basel III)
Strong capital position, currently well above the minimum regulatory requirement, together with adequate loan loss provisions will enable the Bank to withstand any
adverse shocks and to pursue any future growth opportunities.
Capital position remained strong to prepare for future growth opportunities and regulatory changes
2018 Regulatory Minimum
CAR 10.375%
Tier 1 7.875%
Consolidated
CAR 17.7% 17.1% 17.1% 17.6% 17.1%
Tier 2
CET1/ Tier 1
4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
Bank-only
CAR 17.2% 16.8% 16.6% 17.1% 16.6%
CET1/ Tier 1 15.1% 14.7% 14.5% 15.0% 14.6%
15.6% 15.1% 15.1% 15.6% 15.1%
2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
Capital
Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1)
Page 23 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
PageAgenda
Review of 2018 Results 2-221.
Economic Outlook & Business Direction 30-373.
2019 Targets 394.
SCB Transformation Update 24-282.
Page 24 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
We have embarked on the transformation journey since mid-2016 to strengthen and position ourselves to win in the new paradigm
Business
intelligence
PromptPayNew EASY
platform
Individual
onboarding
Juristic
onboarding
RPA
SCB ONE SCB
Connect
Office 365
New
format
Cloud
SCB
Academy
Sales vs.
service
Digital platform
Coverage
Digitization
Analytics
Technology
People
Creating and connecting ‘dots’ to build new foundations and capabilities
“Going upside down”
Realizing value from Transformation Program
Mid 2016 2017 20192018 2020
Today
Transforming business model and organization
▪ Lean the bank
▪ Digital acquisition
▪ Data capabilities
▪ New growth (digital lending,
wealth management)
▪ Bank as a Platform
“Going Upside Down”
To be the
‘Most Admired
Bank’
Fixing & building foundation
Realizing value from Transformation Program
Distinctive customer value
propositions + engagement
▪ Revenue enhancement
▪ Cost reduction
Page 25 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
Significant progress on the transformation journeyI. ‘Fixing the fundamentals’ II. ‘Going upside down’
2016 2017 2018 2019
7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Digital
Platforms
Retail digital platform
Corporate digital platform
Digitization
Onboarding journeys
Advisory journeys
Lending journeys
Payments
Ecosystem plays
Coverage
Network restructuring and migration
SCB Express
Investment / Business Center
AnalyticsData lake
Adobe digital marketing engine
Technology
foundation
Cloud migration
Technology uplift
System upgrades
PeopleSCB Academy
Innovation
push
Blockchain
Marketplace lending
Chatbots
Individual v1.0
Juristic v1.0
Insurance v1.0
Wealth v1.0
Unsecured v1.0
Individual v2.0
Juristic v2.0 / 3.0
Insurance v2.0
Wealth v2.0
Unsecured v2.0
Network analysis
Closure 1.0
Design
Migration
Closure 2.0
Wave 1
New cash management platform
New Easy platform Continuous releases of new features / upgrades
Data Lake set up
> 20 Machine learning Models (Next best action, churn, ATM optimization, fraud, …)
Move to cloud
Cloud infrastructure and migration
HR
Microservices, scalability, testing, agile, …Wave 1
Finance
BusinessLinX
QR
University ecosystem
RTP, Bill payPromptPay v1.0
Design Launch
Training (101, digital, design thinking, agile project mgmt., data…)
On-going
Wave 2
Payment Hub
Wealth On-going
Unsecured v3.0
Service Journeys
Cash Mgmt. V2.0
Wave 2
Blockchain
Roll-out
Procure v1.0 Procure v2.0
Lending v1.0
Perm Poon Bot
Lending v2.0
Roll-out
Today!Remarks: All projects are included in Transformation Program budget of ~THB 40bn
Digital Learning PlatAcademy set up
Page 26 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
We created platform to enhance digital lifestyle experience for retail customers and to support business growth in the digital era for SME customers
Retail customer SME customer
SCB SME – Supporting SME customers to grow and expand business in the digital era
SCB EASY – Platform to deliver new digital experiences to retail customers
E-KYC for account opening
Transaction banking
Travel insurance
Loans and credit cards
InvestmentGifts
My deals
MovieExchange rate /
Remittance
CHATBOT
Donation
SCB EASY
Page 27 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
Juristic account opening
Examples of new digital experience that have been created from our new capabilities
Digital platform for corporate account
opening and banking service applications
featuring state-of-the-art electronic know-
your-customer (KYC) and authentication
innovation (e-KYC & e-Signature) tools
Personal loan/ credit card application
Thailand’s first e-marketplace end-
to-end digital lending platform for
SMEs using AI and machine
learning technology developed by
SCB ABACUS
Loan approval time
SCB EASY StartBizMae ManeeSri Online
53-7 minsdays 3015-30 minsdays 153-7 minsdays
Digital platform that accommodates
customers’ digital lifestyles based on the
“Moment Banking” concept, i.e. financial
services that fulfill customer needs in
every moment
Page 28 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
c
c c
ccc
We have significantly expanded our digital customer base while started to develop strategic partnerships and build ecosystem in response to changes in the digital age
(29% Market share1/)
4.8mn
ID and Mobile
3.6x
2.5 mn
~9 mn
Universities Retailers
Supply chain network (Blockchain solution P2P)
Healthcare
2Q’16 Dec’18 3Q’17 Dec’18
4,000
325x
Mobile
Partnerships in developing ecosystem
15% 13% 9% 6% 6%
62%55%
49%41% 39%
23%32%
42%53% 55%
Jun'17 Dec'17 Jun'18 Sep'18 Dec'18
SCB’s transaction volume mix (Monthly)
Digital
Machine
(ATM/ CDM)
Branch
Financial transactions through digital channel outpacing
the market
>60% active
Tech firms
%Market share
13% 15% 21% n/a
79
12
Jan’17 Aug’17 Mar’18 Dec’18
SCB EASYlaunch
SCB EASY Freenomenon
(As of Dec’18)
(million transactions)
9069 143109No. of financial transactions
(million transactions)127
8.3mn
1/ All commercial banks and SFIs banks
(18% Market share1/)
23%
Jun’18
~1.3 mn
Page 29 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
PageAgenda
Review of 2018 Results 2-221.
Economic Outlook & Business Direction 30-373.
2019 Targets 394.
SCB Transformation Update 24-282.
Page 30 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
1. %YOY except for policy rate (% per annum) and exchange rate (THB/USD)
2. Includes bonds, insurance, mutual funds, private funds, pension funds, and retirement funds
Source: SCB Economic Intelligence Center
Key driver estimates (%)1
GDP growth
Policy rate (end period)
Export USD growth
THB/USD (end period)
Loan growth (sector-wide)
2017A
3.9
9.9
1.50
32.6
Non-deposit wealth2
Deposit+BE (sector-wide)
9.3
4.4
4.7
2018E
4.2
7.0
1.75
32.3
5-7
7.0
5.0
2019F
3.8
3.4
2.00
31.5-32.5
8-10
5-6
5-6
The Thai economy is expected to grow further in 2019 fueled by domestic demand while external demand, fraught by global economic slowdown and risk from US-China trade war, will likely grow at a slower pace
Page 31 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
▪ Global and domestic macro-economic headwinds still prevail
▪ Constant disruption is the new normal
▪ Digital is a ‘winners-take-all’ environment
▪ Shifts in banking industry battlegrounds and revenue pools are happening
▪ Cybersecurity and data privacy are becoming minimum table stakes
1
2
3
4
5
Banking industry landscape outlook
Page 32 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
Timeline
▪ Customer base foundation
▪ Digital experience foundation
▪ Partnership foundation
▪ Omni-channel foundation
▪ Organization foundation and new culture
▪ Realizing value from ‘SCB Transformation’ program and ‘Going Upside Down’
strategy by connecting new capabilities and leveraging strategic partnership to
enhance customers’ digital experience and deliver new customer value proposition
▪ Investing for the future by leveraging digital technology to create strategic
products under disruptive business model and culture to drive exponential growth
Two-tracked operating model:New Foundations and Capabilities
2019 - 20212018
Core business – consistent profitable growth
Disruptive business model & Exponential growth
1
2
3-year strategic direction: Realizing value from new transformation capabilities, while continuously driving innovation and disruptive capabilities for sustainable growth
(Large SCB EASY and QR merchant base)
(e.g., onboarding, Business Anywhere, Wealth
platform, Digital lending)
(Physical, digital, call center)
Page 33 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
(A) Payment / Transaction banking
(B) Lending (C) Wealth management
Realize value from investment made during the past years to deliver new customer experience which will ultimately open up new growth opportunity & lower cost base
1
‘Growth-by-design’ loan portfolio
optimization to improve overall risk-return
▪ Ultra HNW segment: Deliver global
wealth management capabilities thru
SCB and Julius Baer (the leading
Swiss private banking group)
strategic partnership
▪ Private and affluent segment:
Leverage digital technology, robo-
enabled offerings to deliver seamless
and personalized experience
▪ Lower fee income from
digital fee waiver strategy
▪ Payment being
commoditized in exchange
for customer engagement
and data insights
▪ Capture unsecured lending (both
personal and small business lending)
thru new digital and data capabilities
▪ Rebalance loan from corporate/
mortgage to improve efficiency and
reduce concentration
Leverage technology
to lower cost to serve
while efficiently
manage cost of fund
Ensure prudent risk
management e.g., credit,
operational, cyber security risk
Apply advanced technologies
e.g., AI, machine learning,
chatbot to enhance customer
digital experience
Page 34 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
Unsecured lending: Capture unsecured lending (both personal and small business lending) through new digital and data capabilities
▪ Scale business through partner
channel to reach out and serve
customers based on their intents
▪ Determine additional strategic
partners to create and deliver new
customer value propositions
Build digital lending
infrastructure
Scale business through
strategic partnership
Create platform to engage and
delight customer
▪ End-to end straight through
processes from acquiring,
onboarding, underwriting and
disbursement
▪ Personalized offer based on
customer needs and credit
worthiness
▪ Create platform to engage
customers before/ after their
“loan experience”
▪ Provide digital solution and
delight customers along the
journey while capturing relevant
data for alternative underwriting
1B
Digital / Technology
PlatformData Analytics Artificial Intelligence
New Culture & Work
Environment
KEY ENABLER
Page 35 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
Coverage
Solution Platform & experience
People capabilitySegment-based strategies
Best onshore advisory
iOnboard wPlan iPlan
One wealth
digital
onboarding
Wealth
planning
Protection
planning
Assets management
Insurance partners
Build advisory
capability thru
SCB Wealth
Academy
Equip
advisors with
complete
financial tools
Human
touch
Digital
channel
Customer experience
New business/
operating model
Strategic partnership for
offshore investment
First
Prime
Private
banking
Digital platform with seamless
& smart wealth management
experience
Fully open architecture
Capable financial advisor Mobile RM/ Investment
center/ Wealth branch
Wealth management business: Design segment-based strategy to comprehensively manage customer wealth with seamless and personalized wealth experience
1C
Transformation
Prime
(2-10 MB)
First
(10-50 MB)
UHNW(> 1,000 MB)
Private banking
(50-1,000 MB)
Page 36 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
Note: Company logos shown are selected existing partners
E-commerce
Tech &
Digital Services
Wealth & Insurance
University
Travel
Retail
Food & Restaurant
Lifestyle
Supply Chain & LogisticsEnergy
Living
Health &
wellness
1Continue enhancing capabilities and competitiveness thru strategic partnerships to build ecosystem and platform to create and deliver new customer value proposition
Proactively identify new strategic partners to acquire large customer base, gain customer data/ insights,
and ultimately capture main-operating-account customers
2019 Target on Building Digital ecosystem
Digital users (SCB EASY):
> 12 mn digital users
Ecosystem building:
Build “Lifestyle ecosystem"
focusing on lifestyle, travel,
retail, health
Build “Digital commerce
ecosystem” to support
business owners to grow
their business in digital era
Retail
S/SME
Page 37 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
Experiment and scale up innovative business models through disruptive digital capabilities/ platforms to drive exponential growth
SCB10X is a newly set up unit with
disruptive business model to experiment
and innovate strategic products. 10X is
operated in a start-up culture and aims to
build new advanced capabilities and
future bank
2
▪ Recent product launched:
Blockchain Procure-to-Pay
solution on R3 Corda
▪ Total fund size of $150mn
- Fintech $100mn
- China tech fund $50mn
Keb Hom
Puek Hom
SCB Abacus is the first advanced data
analytics spin-off in the Thai financial
industry to apply AI and Big Data
technologies to drive purposeful
partnerships, create business value,
and empower people
Mae Manee
Sri Online
Digital Ventures is the fintech subsidiary of
SCB to invest in, experiment with, and
integrate technological innovations for SCB
Fintech subsidiary Analytics subsidiaryNewly setup disruptive unit
within SCB
SCB 10X
Personal Loan |
Apply Now for
Quick
Approval... -
SCB
Personal Loan
“Your loan”
สนิเชื่อ ปรบัได้ ตามใจคุณPerm Poon
Page 38 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
PageAgenda
Review of 2018 Results 2-221.
Economic Outlook & Business Direction 30-373.
2019 Targets 394.
SCB Transformation Update 24-282.
Page 39 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
2017
Actual2018
Actual2019
Targets
Total loan growth (yoy) 4.9% 5.2% 5-7%
Net interest margin 3.23% 3.21% 3.2-3.35%
Non-NII growth -2.2% -4.7% Up to 5%
Cost/Income ratio 42.3% 46.8% Mid 40s%
NPLs (gross) 2.83% 2.85% ≤ 3.0%
Coverage ratio 137.3% 146.7% ≥130%
Credit cost (bps) 126 115 115-135
INCOME/COST
LOANS/NIM
ASSETQUALITY
2019 Targets
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:
The above financial targets are based on the Bank’s preliminary estimates that may change due to the economic conditions and other unforeseen circumstances that may affect the operational environment.These targets and other related details will be available on the Bank’s website, www.scb.co.th (Investor Relations > Financial Information > Set Filings).
Page 40 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
APPENDIX : SCB’s key recent major awards and recognitions
Page 41 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
SCB’s recent major awards and recognitions
The Asset Triple A Digital
Awards 2017
• Digital Bank of the Year
• Best Retail Mobile Banking Experience
• Most Innovative Mobile Banking Application
“SCB EASY”
• Most Innovative ATM Project “Cardless ATM”
Finance Asia’s Country
Awards 2018
• Best Bank in Thailand
• Best Investment Bank in Thailand
• Best Private Bank in Thailand
• Best Belt and Road Bank
• Best Financier of the year
• Best Public Company – Financial Industry
• Best Service Provider – Personal Loan
• Best Service Provider – Credit Card
• Best Mutual Fund of the Year (LTF)
Money & Banking Awards
2017-2018
• Service Innovation of the year
• Branch Innovation of the year
Asian Banking & Finance
Retail Banking Award 2018
Prime Minister’s Digital Award 2018
• Digital Organization of the year
Corporate Governance Asia's 8th
Asian Excellence Award 2018
• Asia’s Best CEO – Mr. Arthid Nanthawithaya
• Asia’s Best CFO – Mrs. Kittiya Todhanakasem
• Best Investor Relations Company (Thailand)
• Best Private Bank in Thailand
• Innovator Awards 2018
• Best Consumer Digital Bank (Thailand)
• Best in Social Media Marketing & Services
Global Finance Magazine
• Best Digital Bank
• Best Corporate and Investment Bank
Asia Money Banking Award 2018
Alpha SEA Annual Best Financial
Institution Awards 2018
• Best Bank 2018
Financial Insights Innovation
Awards 2018
• Asia’s Most Transformative Bank
Bangkok International Digital
Content Festival 2018
• Best Character for Commercial
Use Award (Mae Manee)
Page 42 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
SCB has been selected as a member of DJSI World and DJSI Emerging Markets Indices in 2018 scoring top-six among global banks
DJSI World
Index
DJSI Emerging
Markets Index
(Among all 27
banks from 201
invited banks)
(Among all 15
banks from 106
invited banks)
RobecoSAM Industry:
9 Thai companies listed on DJSI World Index
of global banksindustry ranking#6
SCB’s score
The Dow Jones Sustainability Indices (DJSI), created jointly by S&P
Dow Jones Indices and RobecoSAM, evaluate the sustainability
performance of global corporations across sectors
Assessment criteria focus on long-term economic, social and environmental asset management plan.
Evaluations are performed in parallel with analysis of financial performance.
Company:
Banks
Oil & Gas Upstream & Integrated
Food & Staples Retailing
Food, Beverage & Tobacco
Chemicals
Real estate
Siam Commercial Bank
Kasikornbank
PTT
PTT Exploration & Production
Thai Oil
CP ALL
Thai Beverage
PTT Global Chemical
Siam Cement
Central Pattana
In 2018, SCB has been
selected as a member of
1
2
3
4
5
6
Bancolumbia SA Columbia
KB Financial Group Inc Korea
Banco Santander SA Spain
ABN AMBRO Group NV Netherlands
First Financial Holding Co Ltd Taiwan
Siam Commercial Bank PCL Thailand
Bank name:Rank: Country:
Banks
Oil & Gas Upstream & Integrated
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Construction Materials
Page 43 / 43Siam Commercial Bank PCL. | Analyst Meeting Presentation | 21 January 2019
SCB wins international recognition with 6 innovation awards, highlighting the success of tech innovation in providing services for corporate clients
Reduced to ID Card
NO DOCUMENTS ANYTIME ANYWHERE ONCE AND DONE
กรุณาวางเอกสารภายในกรอบทีก่ าหนด
StartBiz – The new innovative juristic onboarding
15 Physical Documents
▪ Setup profile
▪ Business alert
▪ Local collect
▪ Own account transfer
▪ 3rd party transfer
▪ iCheque book
▪ ORFT
▪ Payroll direct credit
▪ Smart payroll
▪ Direct credit
▪ BahtNet
▪ PromptPay
▪ OR and IR
▪ EDC
▪ Fully digital and audit trail process with
one digital signatory on iPad
▪ No Branch Visit Required
▪ Integration to link business
customer’s data from Ministry of
Commerce directly
“StartBiz” is a digital platform featuring state-of-the-art electronic know-your-customer (KYC) and authentication innovation (e-
KYC & e-Signature) tools. It streamlines back-office processes and operations to provide corporate clients with better customer
experiences
▪ Branch innovation of the Year – Silver
▪ Service innovation of the year -Thailand
▪ The Best branch digitization initiative – Thailand
▪ The Best API initiative
▪ The Best customer service provider, Asia
Awards & recognitions
Asian Banking & Finance
The Asian Banker
The International Banker
Global Finance Magazine
▪ Global financial innovators -Digital Business Account Opening