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    High Performance in

    Procurement Risk Management

    Research and insights developed in collaborationwith Massachusetts Institute of Technology

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    Risk is part of businessa significant,

    permanent reality faced by virtuallyevery organization. Without risk,business as we know it might not existeither. To compete, grow and capturebenefit, companies need to takechances; its what businesses do.

    Although business risk has existedas long as there has been commerce,the situation is clearly different inthe 21st Century. According to a2009 Accenture Study, seven outof ten companies acknowledge that

    business risk has increased due torecent financial stress. Nearly half ofsurvey respondents believe that newregulations (often stemming fromeconomic concerns) have exacerbatedrisk.1Commodity price fluctuationsand inadequate liquidity levels alsoare current concerns whose rootsmay be connected to moderneconomic problems.

    The net effect is that risk management

    is a white-hot topic. Companiesin most industries are assigningresources to risk management. Andmany are working hard to identifyfunctional risk issues and solutionshazards associated with specificbusiness components such as design& development, supply & demand, andfinance & accounting.2

    The mission of this Accenture Pointof View is to discuss research andinsights associated with risk in one

    such functional area: We believe thatprocurement has become a major focalpoint for companies risk managementconcerns. Indeed, corporate buyers inalmost all industries have seen riskincidents, factors and consequencesincrease significantly in the pastten years, often for the global,technological and economic reasonsnoted above.

    It is Accentures position that the need for a structuredrisk-management capability within (as well as beyond)the procurement organization is significant.

    However, Accenture has observed

    that few companies translate thisconcern into a formal procurementrisk management capability. Mostdo have risk-management structureswithin their finance organizations,and perhaps it is their belief thatfinances efforts are sufficient tomitigate risk across other companyfunctions. We do not agree. It also isclear that many companies continueto manage risk opportunistically,i.e., on a case-by-case basis withouta structured approach or specificcriteria. We feel that this, too, isinadvisable. In fact, it is Accenturesposition that the need for a structuredrisk-management capability within(as well as beyond) the procurementorganization is significant. Giventodays turbulent supply marketsand volatile, pan-global businessenvironment, corporate buyers need tomake consistently superior decisions.And developing a formal, structured,risk management capability for

    procurement is an outstanding way todo just that.

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    Is it possible that the recent economic downturnactually spawned some good news? In procurement riskmanagement, that might be the case. According to surveyresults, the global recession made companies significantlymore aware of the need for advanced risk managementpractices. The bar chart below offers significant evidence.Two additional findings also bear mention:

    Fifty five percent of responding companies gave moreattention to procurement risk management in 2009 thanthey did in previous years.

    Eighty five percent believe that volatility will remain highin the near future, thus implying that formal and sustainedrisk management efforts should be enacted to countermandthat trend.

    An Upside to the Downturn?

    CPO's focus on procurement risk management

    Relationships with key suppliers

    Buyer's consideration of risk managementpractices

    Management monitoring and understandingof procurement risks

    Relationships with internal clients

    81%

    77%

    76%

    62%

    56%

    Percent of survey respondents that extended various procurement risk management practices due to the downturn.

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    A Formal Effort to Understand Risk

    in Procurement

    To validate Accentures view thatrisk management in procurementrequires efforts beyond what mostcompanies are doingand to identifyleading practices, metrics andsolutionsAccenture partnered withProfessor David Simchi-Levi of theMassachusetts Institute of Technology(MIT) in Boston on a Procurement RiskManagement Research Study. Answersto three fundamental questions weresought:

    1. To what procurement risks arecompanies most frequently andextensively exposed? For example,are exceptionally high levels of riskmost-tightly associated with supplierreliability, product quality, supplychain disruptions or some other issue?

    2. Is risk management a must havecapability? In other words, can a linkbe established between the level ofprocurement performance a companyhas achieved and the depth andsophistication of the risk managementsolutions it has implemented?

    3. What do high performers in riskmanagement do differently from othercompanies? What risk managementcapabilities really matter? What

    capabilities make the greatestdifference in helping procurementorganizations perform mosteffectively?

    The research team from Accenture andMIT received responses to an onlinesurvey from chief procurement officers(CPOs) at 127 global, industrialcompanies around the world.More than three quarters of thoseorganizations are in Europe or NorthAmerica, with most of the remainderin Asia and Oceana. As shown inFigure 1, five industry groups wereparticularly well represented.

    29%

    17%

    16%

    13%

    6%

    19%

    Automotive and industrial equipment

    Communication and high technology

    Consumer goods and services

    Energy and resources

    Pharmaceuticals

    Other

    Figure 1: Chief procurement officers from automotive, industrial equipment and consumer goods

    companies were the most prevalent respondents.

    4

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    Cisco: A Master of Risk Management

    Cisco provides one example of a comprehensive risk management approachthat spans the entire company. With almost all its manufacturing activitiesoutsourced, the firm faces enormous risks: from supplier reliability,through supply chain disruptions, all the way to man-made and naturaldisasters. To address this challenge, Ciscos risk management framework

    includes the three components identified in this Accenture Point of View:risk anticipation, risk monitoring and risk mitigation. Ciscos resiliencyscorecard includes four categories: manufacturing resiliency, supplierresiliency, component resiliency and equipment resiliency. Cisco updatesits resiliency scorecard on a quarterly basis and uses it to identify wherealternative sites, dual sourcing approaches or inventory adjustments arerequired. Ciscos supplier risk assessment web-portal combines informationfrom supplier meetings and public information about at-risk suppliers.

    Excerpted with permission from the book Operations Rules: DeliveringCustomer Value through Flexible Operations by David Simchi-Levi, MIT

    Press, September 2010.

    5

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    1. Understanding Risk in Procurement

    6

    As shown in Figure 2, responding CPOs

    are most concerned with the level ofdependency their companies have oncritical suppliers.3This may not besurprising, given that critical suppliersrepresent nearly half of respondentstotal spend in direct materials and upto 16 percent of respondents totalnumber of suppliers.

    The implication is that, for a particularcategory or niche, many buyingorganizations have been unable or

    unwilling to find more than onesupplier that offers an optimal mix ofprice, quality and reliability. Buyersthus are fearful because, for onereason or another, they depend heavilyon one or very few suppliers for aparticular component, ingredient,product, SKU or service. Riskmanagement efforts in this area focuson reducing dependency by tappinga wider swathe of suppliers or byhelping ensure the ongoing solvencyand reliability of those suppliers for

    which alternatives cannot be found.

    Concerns about price volatility were

    shown to be nearly as prevalent asworries about supplier dependence.Survey results indicate that 46 percentof survey respondents spend isexposed to volatility in raw materialsprices and that 27 percent is exposedto currency volatility.

    Unlike the supplier dependency issue,price volatility is often outside thesuppliers control. Suppliers certainlyhave the ability to raise and lower

    prices in response to volatility;however, as elaborated in Figure3, the research team found thatabout 64 percent of market priceincreases cannot be passed on tofinal customers; corporate buyersor suppliers simply must absorbmost of the new costs. This is whysophisticated risk managementpolicies and programs are soimportant: Besides raising prices,what else can companies do whenthe cost of a commodity is highly

    unstable? Can they do a better jobof anticipating (and thus preparingfor) price increases? Should price-escalation clauses in supplier contracts

    be revisited? Might some products

    be redesigned to limit dependenceon a potentially volatile commodityor component? Can existing finishedgoods near the end of their lifecycle be cannibalized or repurposedto limit the number of new-partpurchases? These are some of the risk-management issues associated withvolatility.

    Supplier quality also represents asignificant (third most common)

    concernone that speaks directly torisk-management solutions focusedon the buyer-supplier relationship.Fifty percent of survey respondentsexperienced supplier-quality problemsin 2009.

    Fifty percent of surveyrespondents experiencedsupplier-quality problemsin 2009.

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    Our company's dependency on supplier

    Unanticipated price volatility(raw material)

    Supplier quality problems

    Supply chain disruptions

    Unanticipated price volatility(currency exchange rates)

    Supplier bankruptcy

    Legal/Regulatory

    Supplier dependency on our company

    65%

    63%

    55%

    53%

    48%

    44%

    30%

    29%

    Figure 2: Survey recipients were asked, For each procurement risk, indicate the extent to which your company faces that risk.Depicted is the percentage of respondents who indicated a moderate-to-high extent of risk.

    Figure 3: Exposure to raw materials price volatility by industry. The X axis measures the percentage of cost of goods sold

    that is typically exposed to price volatility. The Y axis charts the average percentage of price changes that cannot be passedon to final customers.

    More than70%

    50% to 70%

    Less than50%

    Oil, Gas and other NaturalResources

    Communication

    Pharmaceuticals andMedical Products

    Media and Entertainment

    Less than 3% 3% to 8% More than 8%

    Utilities (distribution ofelectricity, gas, water)

    Automotive

    Industrial Equipment

    Chemicals

    Retail

    Construction

    Transportation

    Manufacturing

    Food

    Consumer Goods

    Mining and Metals

    Electronics and High Tech

    7

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    Supply chain disruptions (the fourthmost highly rated concern) may ormay not be a supplier managementissue. But it still may be the mostdifficult to deal with since thecapabilities of suppliers, third parties,business partners and even internalorganizations must all comeunder scrutiny. Macroeconomic,political, social and ecologicalfactorseverything from OPECpetulance to west coast port capacityproblems to Hurricane Katrinaalsocontribute to the potential forsupply disruptions. Bottom line: Riskmanagement solutions focused onminimizing supply disruption must beparticularly varied.

    Survey respondents generally knowthat risks affecting procurement haveimpacts that extend far beyond theprocurement organization. However,

    that knowledge is not well reflectedin the dispersal of procurement riskmanagement responses and solutionsacross functions. As shown in Figure4, risk management expertise tendsto be centered either in finance (riskmanagements traditional home) or inprocurement. Unfortunately, neithercomprises a complete answer. Onekey to successful risk management inprocurement is to ensure its presenceacross all the organizations withwhich procurement interacts on a

    regular basisfrom product designto manufacturing to supply chainmanagement to service and spareparts management.

    This is not to say that eachdepartment should develop itsown capability, but rather thatprocurement risk management needsto be constructed and executedmore cross functionally across theenterprise. And it often is advisablefor procurement to take the lead in

    driving this change across functions.

    Thinking and Acting CrossFunctionally

    Unanticipated price volatility(currency exchange rates)

    Unanticipated price volatility(raw materials)

    Supplier quality problems

    Supply chain disruptions

    Supplier bankruptcy

    Procurement

    Product Design

    Figure 4: Survey recipients were asked, For each procurement risk, indicate the departments or

    functional areas involved in identifying and monitoring that risk.

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    Manufacturing

    Supply Chain

    Finance

    Other

    8

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    Risk Management Issues and Responses

    are Often Industry Specific

    While many of the conclusions drawn in this Point of Viewapply to companies across sectors, it certainly is true thatrisk varies by industry. Consider the various industriessummarized in the table below and how much differencethere often is in the nature and degree of risk.

    Exposure to price volatility and supplier risks by industry.

    Pharmaceutical andMedical Products

    Chemicals

    Food

    Mining and Metals

    High

    Medium

    Low

    Low Medium High

    Manufacturing Industrial Equipment

    Consumer Goods

    Retail

    Automotive

    Utilities (distribution ofelectricity, gas, water)

    Media andEntertainment

    Communication

    Construction

    Aerospace and Defense

    Electronics and HighTech

    Transportation

    Oil, Gas and otherNatural Resources

    Perceivedexposureto price

    fluctuations

    Perceived exposure to supplier risks

    Impact of wheat or milk prices

    Impact of oil prices

    In 2009, some OEMs

    have had >30% of theirsuppliers in bankruptcysituation

    Mono-source situations

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    2. Risk Management as a Key Driver of

    Procurement Performance

    Just how important is sophisticated

    risk management to companiesachievement of high performancein procurement? It is clear frominformation presented in theprevious section that procurementrisk has a great many faces (supplierdependency, price volatility, supplychain disruption, etc.) and that mostcompanies are exposed to theserealities on a regular basis. In fact,Accenture has determined that riskissues have a greater cost impactandtake up far more timethan mostbuyers efforts to capture savingsthrough negotiation. Given this reality,to what extent is procurement riskmanagement considered a must havecapabilityan investment in improvedperformance?

    The research team sought to addressthis question by mapping CPOsinvestments in risk managementcapabilities against the specificlevels of performance achieved by

    their procurement organizations.Our hypothesis was that companieswith stronger (though not necessarilymore) investments in procurement

    risk management would be more

    likely to show up on our litmus testas procurement masters. Companieswith less-focused or less-effective riskmanagement investments would morelikely be labeled low performers. Thisdid prove to be the case.

    According to a previous Accenturestudy,4high performers in theprocurement realm (procurementmasters) save about ten times asmuch as it costs them to operatetheir procurement organizations. In

    other words, if it costs a company$100 to staff and support an in-house procurement department,an organization that has achievedmaster status will identify and captureannual procurement-related savingsof $1,000. The bell curve for theaforementioned survey identified 16percent masters, 67 percent mid-range performers and 17 percent lowperformers.

    Low Performer

    18%

    ROI< 3 ROI> 8

    Master

    22%

    Figure 5: A procurement performance bell curve (annual savings relative to annual operating costs) reflectscompanies investments in risk management.

    Mid-range Performer

    60%

    The hypothesis wasthat companies withstronger (thoughnot necessarilymore) investmentsin procurement riskmanagement would bemore likely to show up

    on our litmus test asprocurement masters.Companies with less-focused or less-effectiverisk managementinvestments wouldmore likely be labeledlow performers. This

    did prove to be thecase.

    12

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    As shown in Figure 5, a similar bell

    curve emerged for our present studyon procurement risk management.First, a composite score (from 0to 100) was calculated to reflectsurvey respondents investmentin procurement risk managementcapabilities. These capabilities wereassociated with one or all of threecategories:

    Risk anticipation (e.g., predictiveanalytics or dual sourcing)

    Risk identification and monitoring(e.g., supplier scorecards)

    Risk mitigation (e.g., mitigation andescalation plans)

    These scores then were correlatedto the procurement-related returnson investment achieved by eachrespondent.

    Following are some of the specificobservations that helped survey

    analysts make a connection betweenrisk-management investmentsand distinctive levels of overallprocurement performance.

    4 5 6

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    0 1 2 3

    Procurement ROI

    Average yearly number of incidents by critical supplier

    Figure 6: Procurement performance and level of realized risks.

    Procurement performance tracks to

    respondents level of realized risk

    Figure 6 demonstrates that highlevels of procurement ROI are closelyassociated with fewer risk incidents.This applies to masters, mid-rangeperformers and low performers,but is particularly evident amongthe masters. It is also notable thatcompanies with a high numberof incidents are rarely masters.Companies with low procurementperformance seldom have a high

    number of incidents, not becausethey are better at managing risk butbecause they are unaggressive whenit comes to pursuing procurementsavings.

    Companies investing in supplier

    risk management capabilities often

    experience fewer incidents

    The key to interpreting this findingis combining it with the insights

    depicted in Figure 6: In Figure 6, weshow that fewer risk incidents areassociated with the achievementof higher procurement ROI. In

    Figure 7, we demonstrate that, as

    companies invest more intentlyin risk management capabilities,the fewer incidents they are likelyto experience. The same basic arcwas found when the research teamgraphed respondents implementedrisk anticipation capabilities, riskmonitoring capabilities and riskmitigation capabilities.

    Companies that have not invested

    in price risk monitoring capabilities

    for raw materials are limited in

    their ability to improve procurement

    performance

    Depicted in Figure 8, this is a raw-material-price-risk-managementexample of the information describedmore generally in Figure 7. It furthersupports the broad conclusion thatprocurement risk investments resultin higher procurement ROI. Thedistinction is that price risk has twodistinct geneses: macro-economic

    forces and fluctuations that areinfluenced directly by the supplier.Sophisticated procurement riskmanagement capabilities potentiallyaddress both.

    13

    Masters

    Mid-range Performers

    Low Performers

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    Average yearlynumber of incidentsby critical supplier

    0

    15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    Overall supplier risk management capabilities

    Figure 7: Level of realized risks compared to investment levels in supplier risk management capabilities.

    14

    Masters

    Mid-range Performers

    Low Performers

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    Figure 8: Procurement performance and level of investment in price risk monitoring capabilities.

    Masters

    Mid-range Performers

    Low Performers

    Procurement ROI

    Overall price risk monitoring capabilities

    0

    5

    10

    -10 10 30 50 70 90

    20

    30

    15

    25

    15

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    3. Risk Management Mastery:

    What Do High Performers in Risk

    Management Do Differently fromother Companies?

    Thus far, we have demonstrated that

    companies in a variety of industriesconfront myriad procurement-relatedrisks, and that a clear connectioncan be made between companiesinvestment in risk managementcapabilities and the level ofprocurement mastery and ROI theyare able to attain. Two things remainto be determined:

    What do procurement masters dodifferently that allows them to achievehigher ROI?

    What specific investments doprocurement masters make to supportthose capabilities?

    Accentures experience is that one ofprocurement masters most importantattributes may be their use of arisk management frameworkacomprehensive, end-to-end approachto anticipating, monitoring andmitigating risk. As shown in Figure9, this is basically an over-layering

    process, whereby three risk-management stages (anticipation,

    Procurement mastersare significantly morelikely to addresssupplier and pricevolatility risks whendeveloping theirprocurement strategies

    (as opposed to later on).

    monitoring and mitigation) are

    applied to the key components of aprocurement organization.

    1. Procurement Strategy

    The research team observed thatprocurement masters are significantlymore likely to address supplier andprice volatility risks when developingtheir procurement strategies (asopposed to later on). Masters also werefound to be two-to-three times more

    likely than low performers to integraterisk management into their categorystrategies, develop innovative ways tomonitor risk, and implement practicesand tools to mitigate risk.

    A good example is that masters aresignificantly more likely than lowperformers to apply dual-sourcing andrisk-sharing initiatives to anticipatesupplier quality risks (Figure 10). Toanticipate supplier bankruptcy risks,procurement masters were found to be

    leaders in dual sourcing and suppliernegotiations. In addition, the most

    significant disparity between masters

    and low performers was in the areaof risk sharing clauses and back-to-back contracts (formal agreementsstipulating that buyers can share, oreven transfer, the cost of unforeseenproblems across suppliers or sub-suppliers). According to our study,masters are 2.5 times more likelythan low performers to deploy theseclauses/contracts.

    16

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    Figure 10: Percentage of companies using various practices or tools to anticipate supplier quality issues.

    Risk Anticipation

    High Performancein Procurement

    Develop strategies to avoid or minimizerisk exposure

    Continuously track potential risks andraise alerts

    Act quickly and appropriately to minimizerealized risks

    Risk Monitoring

    Risk Management Framework

    Risk Mitigation

    Procurement Strategy Sourcing & Category Management

    Supplier Relationship Mangagement Requisition to Pay

    Process & Technology

    Workforce & Organization

    Figure 9: A risk management framework applied to procurement.

    Dual sourcing 59%

    44%

    44%

    41%

    19%

    7%

    4%

    0%

    5%

    9%

    9%

    18%

    32%

    18%

    45%

    50%

    Regular negotiations with suppliers

    Risk sharing clauses/back-to-back contracts

    Value engineering/reduction of commoditycontent

    Insurance

    Supply chain financing

    Index-based contracts

    Hedging/financial tools

    17

    Masters

    Low Performers

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    Latest news on the supplier

    Risk-management KPIs

    Historical pricing

    Historical quality of delivery performance

    Supplier's corporate information

    Figure 12: Data collected through supplier scorecards.

    Figure 11: Frequency and context with which companies use supplier market analysis to address riskissues.

    11%

    15%

    41%

    78%

    56%

    0%

    37%

    67%

    14%

    18%

    41%

    15%

    10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

    To monitor risk of supply chaindisruption

    To monitor supplier bankruptcy risk

    To monitor supplier quality risk

    Masters

    Low Performers

    18

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    2. Sourcing & Category

    Management

    Integrating risk management initiativesinto the strategic sourcing process(e.g., during supplier evaluation) canhelp companies achieve procurementmastery and there are many toolsand approaches for addressing/remediating procurement risk in thisarea. These include supplier marketanalysis, current supplier portfolioanalyses, supplier audits, supplier

    scorecards, supplier process failuremode & effects analysis (FMEA),historic & forecast pricing analysis,and logistical & transportation riskanalysis. Among these, one of the mostinteresting may be supplier marketanalysis, an activity that is practicedfar more by procurement masters thanby low performers (Figure 11). Supplymarket analysis involves a thoroughassessment of supply market industrydynamics, (supply, demand, industry

    structure, industry profitability,supplier capacity utilization, etc. )in order to anticipate commodityprice evolution and potential supplyshortages.

    Respondents use of supplier

    scorecards also is noteworthy. Whiledistinctions among high, mid-rangeand low performers were not dramaticin this area, it is remarkable that 67percent of respondents identifiedscorecards as a key capability. It alsoshould be mentioned that mastersseem less likely to maintain scorecardson all suppliers; masters are likelyto focus on critical suppliers only. Inaddition, masters were found to be50 percent more likely to update theirscorecard information on at least amonthly basis. Figure 12 identifies thekind of data that respondents collectmost often via their scorecards.

    3. Supplier Relationship

    Management

    When it comes to procurement, riskmanagement masters also tend to besupplier relationship masters. Not onlydo they form deeper, more symbiotic

    connections, they also collaborate withsuppliers to rapidly detect risk (e.g.,through early warning systems) andneutralize risk-related issues beforethose issues become incidents. As risk

    management masters, they also adapt

    their supply relationships to variousgeographies and cultures.

    To mitigate price volatility risks,survey respondents appear mostprone to use negotiations and index-based contracts when forging andmaintaining supplier relationships.Despite their prevalence, these toolsare used less by masters than by theremainder of the survey population.The reason could be that these twostrategies either are not considered

    permanent solutions or not valuable asrisk-abatement approaches. As notedearlier in Figure 10, other practicesidentified by respondents as key totheir price-volatility-managementefforts include:

    Value engineering and reduction ofcommodity content (practiced by 33percent of masters and 23 percent oflow performers).

    Hedging and other financial tools(practiced by 26 percent of mastersand 41 percent of low performers).

    0%

    Defining the critical levelthat makes the risk anincident/alert

    Developing mitigationplans in case of incident/alert

    Listing decision makers incase of incident/alert

    Measuring impact ofincident/alert

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    Figure 13: Percentage of surveyed companies that document risk management to a highextent in their category strategy documents.

    19

    Masters

    Low Performers

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    Risk sharing clauses (practiced by 22

    percent of masters and 14 percent oflow performers)

    Dual sourcing (practiced by 22percent of masters and 36 percent oflow performers)

    Survey results also show thatprocurement masters invest more indeveloping and following up on theirmitigation plans. In each of the fourareas noted in Figure 13, masters holda roughly 20 percent edge over low

    performers.

    4. Workforce &

    Organization

    Research findings show that mostcompanies do not assign procurementprofessionals to full-time risk-management work. However, there aredistinct differences among masters,mid-range performers and lowperformers when it comes to centrallyled coordination across regions:Procurement masters are far more

    likely than low performers

    (75 percent versus 32 percent) tohave developed a regionally dispersedbut centrally led procurement riskmanagement network. Procurementmasters also are more likely thanlow performers to have definedbeforehand, and by function, whoshall take part in mitigation planswhen an incident occurs (48 percent

    vs. 27 percent).

    5. Technology

    The range of risk management toolsavailable to procurement organizationsis vasttoo broad for any organizationto not be discriminating about whatapplications provide the greatestvalue. In fact, the ability to makesmart decisions about what tools andtechnologies best support their risk-management efforts could be whatbest distinguishes high performersfrom the rest of the survey pack.

    Perhaps compensating for their moreprudent technology-investmentapproaches, masters were shown to

    Masters were shown tofocus more intently on

    the use of externallyacquired and manageddata.

    focus more intently on the use of

    externally acquired and managed data(Figure 14). Particularly noteworthyare the extent to which this groupemphasizes externally acquiredinformation to help assess suppliersfinancial situations, perform marketanalyses, gauge supplier performance,and make tax and legal decisions.

    Figure 14: Percentage of responding companies that leverage external data, applications and sources.

    Supplier financial situation

    Market analysis

    Price indices for commodities

    Supplier performance

    Tax and legal recommendations

    Recommendations for how to use risk-management tools

    Service companies (credit rating service, etc.)

    Research companies

    Industry associations

    Masters

    Low Performers

    Consulting companies

    20

    59%

    41%

    59%

    9%

    14%

    9%

    55%

    32%

    23%

    9%

    74%

    63%

    48%

    41%

    33%

    7%

    67%

    52%

    30%

    30%

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    Key Conclusions

    So what conclusions can we drawfrom the facts gleaned by the surveyeffort? With regard to the current

    procurement-risk environment, theresearch team determined that:

    Procurement organizations havetraditionally under-estimated theeffect of risk on their performance.However, the economic downturn hashelped them realize how dramaticallyprocurement risk can affect them.

    Many companies remain ill-equippedto cope fully with procurement-relatedrisk. The most common and potentially

    dangerous procurement-risk areasrelate to supplier reliability andprice volatility. This exposure variessignificantly across industries.

    It is increasingly critical thatcompanies fully assess supplier risks(including financial and logistical

    concerns) and construct formalmitigation plans.

    Buyers must recognize thatanticipating and rapidly reacting tomarket forces are more useful thanconcentrating on (non) relationshipsfounded solely on lowest price.However, both aspects remain key.

    Team members further concurthat excelling at risk managementcontributes significantly to

    a companys achievement ofprocurement masterythe abilityto maximize the savings that aprocurement organization generatesrelative to its costs. For example, a keycharacteristic of procurement mastersis their adoption of a cross-functionalapproach: acknowledging and acting

    on the fact that procurement touchesalmost every corporate function andthus must be equally inclusive in its

    approaches to risk management.

    Procurement risk masters also tendto be particularly proficient at usingspecially developed risk-focusedtools and services. Perhaps the bestexample is predictive analytics:Masters continuously monitor rawmaterial price developments, forecastthem and use technology to enablefast scenario planning. Basically, theseorganizations are better equipped thanmost to foresee a particular hurdles

    effect on their cost structure and therelative profitability associated witha specific component, system or endproduct.

    Figure 15: High performers in procurement risk management often organize their capabilities in terms of

    risk anticipation, risk monitoring and risk mitigation.

    Identify and assess the level of risk atkey stages of the strategic sourcingprocess

    Identify, assess and continuouslymonitor key risks with criticalsuppliers at each step of the supplychain

    Adapt monitoring approaches tocategories of suppliers and to differentgeographies and cultures

    Use external data sources forcontinuous monitoring of the supplymarkets, supplier's financial health,etc.

    Apply SRM practices-close integrationand collaboration with selectedcritical suppliers and agree on "earlywarning systems"

    Monitoring Capabilities Mitigation Capabilities

    Develop a process to measure impactsof incidents/alerts and continuouslyimprove risk management practices

    Integrate the organization in caseof incident in mitigation plans (whomakes, who decides)

    Emphasize development of mitigationplans for critical suppliers

    Carefully integrate procurement riskmanagement into each categorystrategy (differentiation by category)

    Use dual sourcing and regularnegotiations with suppliers toanticipate supply risks related toquality and supply chain disruptions

    Use risk sharing clauses/back-to-backcontracts

    Apply value engineering concepts tolook at alternative materials

    Use predictive analytics to analyze rawmaterial regarding pricing and forecast

    & build scenarios on the effect oncompany's own cost structure

    Anticipation Capabilities

    21

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    As shown in Figure 15, masters inprocurement risk management oftenorganize their capabilities in terms ofrisk anticipation, risk monitoring andrisk mitigation. This clear segmentationof risk-related processes allows themto develop the formal plans andresponses that help whittle down

    procurement risks otherwise-dauntingimpacts. At the Anticipation stage, forexample, masters align risk programswith category strategies, make useof risk-sharing clauses and excel atpredictive analytics. At the Monitoringstage, they work more closely withselect suppliers, design formal supplierrelationship management programsand (compared to low performers)make exceptional use of external datasources. And for Mitigation, masters

    stand out in the formation of decisionprocesses and the use of formalmetrics and measurements.

    Lastly (and unsurprisingly) mastersare collaborators: They work withcritical suppliers to predict, detect andneutralize risk-related issues beforethose issues become incidents. Andwhen incidents do occur, masters havepredefined action plans.

    In net, an increasingly straight linecan be drawn from 1) excellence inrisk management to 2) procurementmastery to 3) high performance (acompanys ability to consistentlyoutpace competitors with respect toprofitability and growth). Procurementrisks will only continue to grow.However, companies that excel atprocurement risk management will, inall likelihood, continue to grow also.

    22

    About the Authors

    Per Segerberg is a Senior Executive inAccenture's Supply Chain Management

    Service Line. He has 23 years of experienceas a management consultant and currentlyleads the Sourcing & Procurement practicein the Nordics. He has extensive experiencein operational excellence programs andspecializes in procurement transformationprograms, including global procurementorganizational design, global sourcing,supplier development and workforcetransformation. He has worked across avariety of industries, including automotive,commercial vehicle, industrial equipment,high tech and electronics. He also hasresponsibility for developing AccenturesHigh Performance in Procurement offeringand assets. Based in Gothenburg, Sweden,he can be reached [email protected].

    David Simchi-Levi is a Professor ofEngineering Systems at Massachusetts

    Institute of Technology. His researchfocuses on developing and implementingrobust and efficient techniques for logisticsand manufacturing systems. He haspublished widely in professional journalson both practical and theoretical aspectsof logistics and supply chain management,as well as co-authored award-winningbooks: Designing and Managing the SupplyChain(McGraw-Hill, 2007), The Logic ofLogistics (Springer 2005), andManagingthe Supply Chain: The Definitive Guide forthe Supply Chain Professional(McGraw-Hill, 2004). His newest book, OperationsRules: Delivering Customer Value throughFlexible Operations, will be published byMIT Press in September 2010

    Aurlien Rothstein is a Senior Manager inAccenture's Supply Chain Management

    Service Line. He has extensive experiencein the areas of global sourcing andprocurement, including strategicsourcing, supplier development, sourcingtransformation and performancemanagement. He has worked across avariety of industries, including automotive,industrial equipment, high tech andconsumer goods. He has also contributedto the development of Accentures globalsourcing offering and assets. Based inParis, he can be reached [email protected]

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    Copyright 2010 Accenture

    All rights reserved.

    Accenture, its logo, and

    High Performance Delivered

    are trademarks of Accenture.

    About Accenture Supply

    Chain Management

    Footnotes

    About Accenture

    The Accenture Supply Chain

    Management service line works

    with clients across a broad range of

    industries to develop and execute

    operational strategies that enable

    profitable growth in new and existingmarkets. Committed to helping clients

    achieve high performance through

    supply chain mastery, we combine

    global industry expertise and skills in

    supply chain strategy, sourcing and

    procurement, supply chain planning,

    manufacturing and design, fulfillment,

    and service management to help

    organizations transform their supply

    chain capabilities.

    Accenture is a global managementconsulting, technology servicesand outsourcing company, withmore than 190,000 people servingclients in more than 120 countries.

    Combining unparalleled experience,comprehensive capabilitiesacross all industries and businessfunctions, and extensive researchon the worlds most successfulcompanies, Accenture collaborateswith clients to help them becomehigh-performance businessesand governments. The companygenerated net revenues ofUS$21.58 billion for the fiscal year

    ended Aug. 31, 2009. Its homepage is www.accenture.com.

    We collaborate with clients to

    implement innovative consulting

    and outsourcing solutions that align

    operating models to support business

    strategies, optimize global operations,

    enable profitable product launches,

    and enhance the skills and capabilities

    of the supply chain workforce.For more information, visit

    www.accenture.com/supplychain.

    1Managing Risk for High Performance

    in Extraordinary Times, 2009 by

    Accenture.

    2Still, the aforementioned report

    (Managing Risk for High Performance

    in Extraordinary Times) noted that

    risk management is often absent

    from mainstream decision-making

    processes. For no major process

    (strategic planning, performancemanagement, M&A, budgeting and

    forecasting, etc.) was risk management

    positioned as a major consideration.

    3Accenture defines critical supplier

    as a supplier that requires specific

    monitoring to avoid any significant

    impact on companys performance in

    case of incident.

    4High performance through

    procurement: Accenture research andinsights into procurement performance

    mastery, 2007 by Accenture

    The authors would like to extend a

    special note of thanks to Maya Olsha

    for all of her contributions to this

    research initiative.


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