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AFT Who Next

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AFTCN Conference Seattle 2010
Transcript
Page 1: AFT Who Next

AFTCN ConferenceSeattle 2010

Page 2: AFT Who Next

About TargetX and Jeff

Page 3: AFT Who Next

Manage Expectations & DisclaimersEducate about American generations

(members and students)

Open your mind about other generations

Inspire you to educate members

Encourage you to learn more

Have fun!

Generations and Generalizations

Howe & Strauss

Page 4: AFT Who Next
Page 5: AFT Who Next

“In America, each generation is a new people.”Alec de Tocqueville, 1830

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Page 9: AFT Who Next

Contestant #1

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Contestant #2

Page 11: AFT Who Next

Contestant #3

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Each round has questions worth5, 10, or 15 points. Speed Round

questions are worth 5 points each.

Page 13: AFT Who Next

ROUND 1Here we are

Page 14: AFT Who Next

Q:5 points

A generation is a cohort-group

whose length approximates the

span of a phase of life and

whose boundaries are fixed

by a peer _______.

Page 15: AFT Who Next

A:by a peer personality.

5 points

Page 16: AFT Who Next

Q:American generations

average how many birth years?

18.923.428.7

5 points

Page 17: AFT Who Next

A:23.4

5 points

Page 18: AFT Who Next

Q:Between 1701 and 2000 there have been ___

“American” generations.

5 points

Page 19: AFT Who Next

A:14“American” generations.

5 points

Page 20: AFT Who Next

THE REVOLUTIONARY CYCLE

Generation Name Birth Years

Awakening 1701-1723

Liberty 1724-1741

Republican 1742-1766

Compromise 1767-1791

Page 21: AFT Who Next

THE CIVIL WAR CYCLE

Generation Name Birth Years

Transcendental 1792-1821

Gilded 1822-1842

Progressive 1843-1859

Page 22: AFT Who Next

THE GREAT POWER CYCLE

Generation Name Birth Years

Missionary 1860-1882

Lost 1883-1900

G.I. 1901-1924

Silent 1925-1942

Page 23: AFT Who Next

10 points

Q:THE MILLENNIAL CYCLE

Generation Name Birth Years

1943-1960

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A:THE MILLENNIAL CYCLE

Generation Name Birth Years

Baby Boomer 1943-1960

10 points

Page 25: AFT Who Next

10 points

Q:THE MILLENNIAL CYCLE

Generation Name Birth Years

Baby Boomer 1943-1960

1961-1981

Page 26: AFT Who Next

A:THE MILLENNIAL CYCLE

Generation Name Birth Years

Baby Boomer 1943-1960

Generation-X 1961-1981

10 points

Page 27: AFT Who Next

10 points

Q:THE MILLENNIAL CYCLE

Generation Name Birth Years

Baby Boomer 1943-1960

Generation-X 1961-1981

1982-200?

Page 28: AFT Who Next

A:THE MILLENNIAL CYCLE

Generation Name Birth Years

Baby Boomer 1943-1960

Generation-X 1961-1981

Millennial 1982-200?

10 points

Page 29: AFT Who Next

Q:Boomers were raised to be inner directed.

They and Generation X were taught with a

curriculum and in an atmosphere centered

around the individual. In actuality, this was a

tactic to win the ____ War.

15 points

Page 30: AFT Who Next

A:In actuality, this was a

tactic to win the Cold War.

15 points

Page 31: AFT Who Next

Q:Generation X was raised on

Sesame Street, which taught

children about their differences.

First-cohort Millennials were raised

on what TV character that taught

how children are alike?

15 points

Page 32: AFT Who Next

A:Barney (and Friends)

15 points

Page 33: AFT Who Next

Q:15 points

Millennials and their parents often

refer to each other as best friends.

What is another popular term for

“Attached Parenting”?

Page 34: AFT Who Next

A:Helicopter Parents

15 points

Page 35: AFT Who Next

5 points each

Q:Speed RoundTell us whether the

generation described is Boomer, X-er, or Millennial

Page 36: AFT Who Next

5 points

Q:They’re the largest, most

ethnically diverse, and least

caucasian generation

in American history.

Page 37: AFT Who Next

5 points

A:Millennials

Average annual birthrate – 3.6 million

Highest birth year – 1992 (4.2 million)

1 in 5 has at least one immigrant parent

1 in 10 has at least one non-citizen parent

Page 38: AFT Who Next

5 points

Q:Movies playing in theaters

during this generation’s birth

years include Rosemary’s Baby,

The Exorcist, and The Omen.

Page 39: AFT Who Next

5 points

A:X-ers

Page 40: AFT Who Next

5 points

Q:Movies playing in theaters

during this generation’s birth

years include Baby Boom,

Three Men & a Baby, and Mr. Mom.

Page 41: AFT Who Next

5 points

A:Millennials

Page 42: AFT Who Next

Q:5 points

A mixture of high self-esteem and

selective self-indulgence that has repelled

and fascinated other generations, gives this

generation a reputation for grating arrogance –

and for transcendent cultural wisdom.

Page 43: AFT Who Next

A:5 points

Boomers

Page 44: AFT Who Next

Q:5 points

Parents of this generation have

paid up to $50,000 to purchase

an ovum from an attractive,

high IQ student from a

top university.

Page 45: AFT Who Next

A:5 points

Millennials

Page 46: AFT Who Next

Q:5 points

Social moments including the

sexual revolution, consciousness

movement, women’s movement,

gay rights movement, and a high

divorce rate peppered this

generation’s childhood.

Page 47: AFT Who Next

A:5 points

X-ers

Page 48: AFT Who Next

Q:5 points

This generation was raised

in homes with 50% more stuff

in weight than homes of just

20 years prior.

Page 49: AFT Who Next

A:5 points

Millennials

Page 50: AFT Who Next

Q:5 points

This generation is team oriented,

civic minded, and “special.”

Page 51: AFT Who Next

A:Millennials

5 points

Page 52: AFT Who Next

Q:5 points

This generation has always

seen its mission, not as

constructing a society, but

of justifying, purifying,

even sanctifying it.

Page 53: AFT Who Next

A:Boomers

5 points

Page 54: AFT Who Next

Q:Surveyed in 8th and 10th grades,

this generation indicated they

would rather spend their

time doing things with friends

than doing imaginative tasks

on their own.

5 points

Page 55: AFT Who Next

5 pointsA:Millennials

Page 56: AFT Who Next

Q:5 points

Their critics call them smug,

narcissistic, self-righteous,

intolerant, puritanical, and

hypocritical. Others describe

them as distracted perfectionists.

Page 57: AFT Who Next

A:5 points

Boomers

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Q:While this generation is the most

wanted, most watched over, and

most programmed, they’ve also

witnessed the largest gap in

wealth in American history.

5 points

Page 59: AFT Who Next

A:Millennials

5 points

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Each generation rebels against an elder-built worldand against the generation before it. Is that whyMillennials behave almost opposite of Generation X?

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Each generation redirects society according to its owninclinations. Each generation:

1. solves a problem facing the prior youth generation( think Millennials and Generation X )

2. corrects for the behavioral excess it perceives in the current midlife generations( think Millennials and Boomers )

3. fills the social role being vacated by the departing elder generation( think Millennials and G.I. Generation )

Page 62: AFT Who Next

Boomers grew up when institutions felt too strong and individuals too weak.

Millennials are growing up when institutions feel too weak and individuals too strong.

Boomers were born when rationalism ruled and spiritualism lay dormant.

Millennials are kids when spiritualism rules and rationalism lies dormant.

Page 63: AFT Who Next

ROUND 2Who’s Next

Page 64: AFT Who Next

5 points

Q:The first-cohort of America’s 15th

or next generation is most likely

being born now. Experts are

debating two events which could

determine their start birth date.

Name one of the two.

Page 65: AFT Who Next

A:5 points

2000 ADor

9/11/01

Page 66: AFT Who Next

Q:5 points

This unnamed 15th Generation willbe born to parents from both

________ and ________ generations.

Page 67: AFT Who Next

A:5 points

X and Millennialgenerations.

Page 68: AFT Who Next

Q:True or False

Though cautious to marry,

Generation X is dedicated to

starting and maintaining stable

families, succeeding at a role

many of their parents did not.

5 points

Page 69: AFT Who Next

A:5 points

TRUE

Page 70: AFT Who Next

Generations are shaped by their surroundings and influenced by the generations with which they interact.

While being born, generations becomehistory. As they age they make history.The history they make impacts currentand future generations. This is called a Social Moment .

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Social Moment – a brief time (about one decade)during which people perceive that historic eventsare radically altering their social environment.

Secular Crisis – when society focuses on reorderingthe outer world of institutions and public behavior.

Spiritual Awakening – when society focuses onchanging the inner world of values and privatebehavior.

Page 72: AFT Who Next

Social Moment has created a predictive pattern offour types of generations repeating themselves inAmerican history (and in the Book of Exodus).

1. Idealist – encounters a spiritual awakening entering rising adulthood, and a secular crisis entering elderhood.

2. Reactive – encounters a spiritual awakening entering youth, and a secular crisis entering midlife.

3. Civic – encounters a secular crisis entering rising adulthood and a spiritual awakening entering elderhood.

4. Adaptive – encounters a secular crisis entering youth and a spiritual awakening entering midlife.

Page 73: AFT Who Next

Q:10 points

In the Millennial cycle which is the Idealist generation? (encounters a spiritual awakening

entering rising adulthood, and a secular

crisis entering elderhood)

Page 74: AFT Who Next

A:10 points

Idealist: Boomers

Page 75: AFT Who Next

Q:10 points

In the Millennial cycle which is the Reactive generation?

(encounters a spiritual awakening

entering youth, and a secular

crisis entering midlife)

Page 76: AFT Who Next

A:10 points

Reactive: X-ers

Page 77: AFT Who Next

Q:10 points

In the Millennial cycle which is the Civic generation?

(encounters a secular crisis

entering rising adulthood, and a spiritual

awakening entering elderhood)

Page 78: AFT Who Next

A:10 points

Civic:Millennials

Page 79: AFT Who Next

Adaptive

So, the 15th Generation will most likely be anAdaptive Generation.

They will most likely encounter a secular crisis entering youth and a spiritual awakening entering midlife.

15th

Page 80: AFT Who Next

Like all generations in the making, the 15thGeneration is being shaped by history that surrounds them.What shapes history?

The aging of older generations.

In a four-stage, two-strokerepetition.

Page 81: AFT Who Next

THE REVOLUTIONARY CYCLE

Generation Name Type

Awakening (1701-1723) Idealist

Liberty (1724-1741) Reactive

Republican (1742-1766) Civic

Compromise (1767-1791) Adaptive

Page 82: AFT Who Next

THE CIVIL WAR CYCLE

Generation Name Type

Transcendental (1792-1821) Idealist

Gilded (1822-1842) Reactive

Progressive (1843-1859) Adaptive

Page 83: AFT Who Next

THE GREAT POWER CYCLE

Generation Name Type

Missionary (1860-1882) Idealist

Lost (1883-1900) Reactive

G.I. (1901-1924) Civic

Silent (1925-1942) Adaptive

Page 84: AFT Who Next

THE MILLENNIAL CYCLE

Generation Name Type

Baby Boomer (1943-1960) Idealist

X (1961-1981) Reactive

Millennial (1982-200?) Civic

15th (200?-20??) Adaptive

Page 85: AFT Who Next

Adaptive Generations

Adaptive generations travel a genteel lifecycle.Early in life they try to excel in subordinate tasksgiven to them by the next-elder generation.

Historically, adaptive generations are raised by reactive-led parents who are nurturing, intensively protective, even suffocating.

Page 86: AFT Who Next

While your next phase of students will be the 15thGeneration, your parent market is Generation X.

As this Reactive generation enters midlife,they are:-playing to win but half expecting to lose;

-accepting wide gaps in personal outcomes and between sex roles;

-becoming cautious in family life and gradually mellowing in personality.

Page 87: AFT Who Next

Q:True or False:

Generation X is proud of its

ability to poke through hype.

15 points

Page 88: AFT Who Next

A:15 points

True(Could that be why AdAge reports

that consumers trust word of mouth

at 90% and advertising at 10-40%?)

Page 89: AFT Who Next

Q:15 points

True or False:

While Silent Generation parents

disconnected from their

Generation X children,

today, as grandparents,

they’re connected.

Page 90: AFT Who Next

A:15 points

True

Page 91: AFT Who Next

Q:15 points

Percentage of college freshmen in 1973 whoseparents held a college degree or higher:

mothers = 20% fathers = 32%Today, the percentage of college freshmen

whose parents hold a college degree or higher is:mothers = 30% fathers = 35%mothers = 35% fathers = 38%mothers = 41% fathers = 44%

Page 92: AFT Who Next

A:mothers = 41%fathers = 44%

15 points

Page 93: AFT Who Next

Speed RoundWho’s Next is determined by

what’s been and what’s now.

5 points each

Page 94: AFT Who Next

Q:True or False:

In 1992 there was only one charter

school in the United States.

Now there are around 500.

5 points

Page 95: AFT Who Next

A:False( around 1700 )

5 points

Page 96: AFT Who Next

Q:5 points

True or False:As Millennials graduate from college, there are

now four generations in the workplace.

Some have been known to bring their

parents to interviews, and parents have even

called supervisors when their children did

not receive raises or promotions.

Page 97: AFT Who Next

A:5 points

True

Page 98: AFT Who Next

QTrue or False:Pew Internet estimates

an average 4.1 billion text messages are sent

daily in the United States.

5 points

Page 99: AFT Who Next

A:True

5 points

Page 100: AFT Who Next

Q:True or False:

In “Mommy Wars,” ABC News

recently reported that more women

are choosing not to return to work

after they have children.

5 points

Page 101: AFT Who Next

A:True

5 points

Page 102: AFT Who Next

Q:5 points

True or False:

By 2011, the 65-and-over

population will be growing faster

than the nation’s birthrate.

Page 103: AFT Who Next

A:5 points

True

Page 104: AFT Who Next

Q:5 points

True or False:

As Boomers age and move in with

their children (your parent

audience) more multigenerational

homes will be created.

Your school might add and market

to “grandstudents.”

Page 105: AFT Who Next

A:5 points

True( and they might arrive in a

Clan-awagon, Clanavan,

or Clan-agon )

Page 106: AFT Who Next

Q:True or False:

The birthrate has been

declining since 1993.

5 points

Page 107: AFT Who Next

5 points

A:True

Page 108: AFT Who Next

Q:5 points

True or False:

In 2002 more than one-fourth

of all births were to

unmarried women.

Page 109: AFT Who Next

A:True( it’s actually one-third )

5 points

Page 110: AFT Who Next

Q:5 points

True or False:

An estimated 45 million

Americans do some part of

their job from home.

Page 111: AFT Who Next

A:True

5 points

Page 112: AFT Who Next

Q:5 points

True or False:

Businessweek reports that homeschool enrollment has

grown from 850,000 children in 1999 to more than

1.1 million today, and that a growing number of affluent

parents think they can do better than any school.

Page 113: AFT Who Next

A:5 points

True

Page 114: AFT Who Next

Q:5 points

True or False:

It is estimated that your

target audience is assaulted

by over 1000 marketing

messages a day.

Page 115: AFT Who Next

A:True( Actual estimates are

3000-5000 )

5 points

Page 116: AFT Who Next

Q:True or False:

Shouting more messages through

traditional marketing will help you

fight through the marketing clutter

and reach your audience.

5 points

Page 117: AFT Who Next

A:False

5 points

Page 118: AFT Who Next

The same message you sent to Boomer parents ofMillennials will not work for Generation X parents ofthe 15th Generation.

You must speak to themthrough their reactive generation experience.

Page 119: AFT Who Next

The New York Times reports that for Millennials,reliance and trust in nontraditional sources – meaning everyday people, friends, networks, andnetworks they created – hasa much greater influence onbehaviors than traditionaladvertising.

Page 120: AFT Who Next

Your audience is experiencing a communicationrenaissance.

One that Generation X helpedcreate and that their childrenwill take as second nature.

They control their media, not you.

Page 121: AFT Who Next

You must talk with, not at this audience.

Gone is the marketing monologue.

Reaching your market nowrequires creating a dialoguebetween your audiences.

Page 122: AFT Who Next

Your Bookshelf

Page 127: AFT Who Next

Download Session PDF#1 Go to www.targetx.com

click iThink Blogclick Slide Presentations

#2 Go to www.slideshare.net/targetx

#3 Email me [email protected]

Page 128: AFT Who Next

AFTCN ConferenceSeattle 2010


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