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Chapter-6
NUCLEAR, CLEAN COAL TECHNOLOGIES AND MIXED SCENARIO
6.1 Introduction
In the last chapter, it was shown that because of increasing economic activity and population,
the electrical energy requirement in India will reach an estimated value of 5081 billion
kWh.In the business as usual scenario, the supply will be only 1561 billion kWh, leaving a
gap of 3520 billion kWh i.e. 70% of the total projected demand in the year 2045.Such a
situation warrants a number of measures that are economically viable and environmentally
sustainable. The best and one of the most effective ways of dealing these situations to reduce
the demand through energy efficiency measures in all the sectors of economy.
With the assumption of full exploitation of energy saving potential as in Table.3.1, it was seen
that the demand supply gap of electrical energy can be reduced by 40% of the total
requirement. For other cases, the forecasted estimates are as follows:
15% energy savings scenario save about 1340 billion kWh which is 27% of total
requirement.10% energy savings case save 902 billion kWh which is 18% of total
requirenment.5% energy savings case can save about 436 billion kWh energy which is about
9% of the total energy requirement.
It is seen therefore that it is absolutely essential to provide additional capacities for power
generation to meet the future demand. The possible options, keeping in mind the
environmental aspect, are:
1. Clean coal technology
2. Nuclear technology
New and advance power technologies using coal as the primary fuel are:
1. Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle (IGCC)
2. Pressurized Fluidized-bed Combustion (PFBC)
The efficiency of power conversion for IGCC is 40.6% and for PFBC only 38.6%.In contrast,
the efficiency for a conventional coal power plant is only 32%, at some eastern and north-
eastern states even lower.
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Nuclear recently has become very important option because of the Indo-US nuclear deal.
Before we attempt to calculate Market Allocations for clean coal technologies and Nuclear
power generation, we briefly describe these technologies in the Indian context.
6.2 Nuclear power in India
Nuclear power is the fourth-largest source of electricity in India after thermal, hydro and
renewable sources of electricity.[1] As of 2008, India has 17 nuclear power plants in
operation generating 4,120 MW while 6 other are under construction and are expected to
generate an additional 3,160 MW[2].There are 10 nuclear power plants planned to genetare
20600 MW of power in coming decade ( Appendix 6.1).
Since early 1990s, Russia has been a major source of nuclear fuel to India[3]. Due to
dwindling domestic uranium reserves,[4] electricity generation from nuclear power in India
declined by 12.83% from 2006 to 2008.[5] Following a waiver from the Nuclear Suppliers
Group in September 2008 which allowed it to commence international nuclear trade,[6] India
has signed nuclear deals with several other countries including France,[7] United States,[8],
and Kazakhstan[9] while the framework for similar deals with Canada and United Kingdom
are also being prepared [10-11]. In February 2009, India also signed a US$700 million deal
with Russia for the supply of 2000 tons nuclear fuel [12-13].
The Indian nuclear power industry is expected to undergo a significant expansion in the
coming years due to the passing of the Indo-US nuclear deal. This agreement will allow India
to carry out trade of nuclear fuel and technologies with other countries and significantly
enhance its power generation capacity [14] when the agreement goes through, India is
expected to generate an additional 25,000 MW of nuclear power by 2020, bringing total
estimated nuclear power generation to 45,000 MW[15].
6.2.1 Nuclear Technology Representation in MARKAL
In the Indian MARKAL model, all nuclear technologies draw on a single uranium supply
curve. The uranium supply curve is based on estimates of global uranium reserves and the
cost of extraction [16]. Because the energy density (energy per unit weight) of uranium is
high, transport costs were ignored. The nuclear fuel cycles included in Indian MARKAL were
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determined by careful consideration of the nuclear technologies most likely to be deployed in
the Indian power sector. The analysis considers the following technologies: heavy water
reactors and fast breeder reactors. Light water reactors (LWRs) operating on a once-through
fuel cycle (no reprocessing) currently have the lowest cost among commercially available
reactors. But these reactors require enriched uranium which is again rise the cost of electricity
production because in Indian context it is very costly to install uranium enrichment plant.
Heavy water reactor technology typically calls for larger plants with higher construction and
capital costs, as compared to light water reactor plants. Moreover, the large amount of heavy
water (deuterium) required to run these plants also necessitate significant infrastructure
investments. A heavy water reactor’s key advantage is its ability to use natural uranium, as
compared to enriched uranium required by light water reactors. However, the demand-supply
equilibrium is such that most analysts expect enough enriched uranium to be available at
reasonable price for at least the next half-century. As a result, heavy water reactors are
included in the present MARKAL scenario study because the time periods we have taken are
from 2005 to 2045.
Enough supplies of uranium exist to build and operate then breeder reactors may emerge as a
viable option to meet long-term energy supply goals. Breeder reactors not only fission
uranium, but also convert fertile materials (primarily U238 and Th232) into fissile products
(primarily Pu239 and U233). Breeder reactors are designed to produce more fissile material than
they fission. Breeder reactors are not an economically attractive option in the wake of
prevailing enriched uranium prices, at least in the short-term. Therefore, we did not include
breeder reactors in the Indian MARKAL.
In India, PHWR are likely to remain the dominant nuclear technology because there is
significant experience with design, construction and operation of these plants. In the present
scenario Advanced Heavy Water Reactor (AHWR) has been considered as advanced nuclear
power technology.�AHWR is a vertical pressure tube type, boiling light water cooled and
heavy water moderated reactor using 233U-Th MOX (Mixed Oxide) and Pu-Th MOX fuel.
MOX (mixed oxide) reactors were included in the model, since it is at least plausible that
plutonium recycling would be considered in the future, despite the high costs and risks of
proliferation.
103
The Indian MARKAL includes the following nuclear technologies: PHWR, and AHWR. In
the results that follow, the PHWR presented as “conventional nuclear” and the AHWR
presented as “advanced nuclear”. The techno-economic parameters of advanced nuclear
technology are given in Table 6.1 latter. Due to the long gestation period and some technical
problems it has been considered that the technology will available only after 2020.
6.3 Clean Coal technologies in India
Clean coal technology is an umbrella term used to describe technologies being developed that
aim to reduce the environmental impact of coal energy generation.[17] These include
chemically washing minerals and impurities from the coal, gasification, treating the flue gases
with steam to remove sulfur dioxide, carbon capture and storage technologies to capture the
carbon dioxide from the flue gas and dewatering lower rank coals (brown coals) to improve
the calorific quality and thus the efficiency of the conversion into electricity. Coal, which is
primarily used for the generation of electricity, is the largest domestic contributor to carbon
dioxide emissions in India.
Coal-based power has driven much of the growth in India’s power sector over the past three
decades. By 2004-05, coal and lignite accounted for about 57% of installed capacity (68 GW
out of 118 GW) and 71% of generated electricity (424 TWh out of 594 TWh) in the country;
currently, the power sector consumes about 80% of the coal produced in the country. As the
demand for electricity is expect to rise dramatically over the next decade, coal will continue to
be the dominant energy source [18]. The Central Electricity Authority has estimated that
meeting electricity demand over the next ten years will require more than doubling the
existing capacity, from about 132 GW in 2007 to about 280 GW by 2017, of which at least 80
GW of new capacity is expected to be based on coal [19]. The analysis of various clean coal
technologies suggests that commercial supercritical combustion technology is the best option
for India in the short-to-medium term. While gasification and advanced combustion
technologies will be potentially important options for the longer-term future, there are
significant issues surrounding the current relevance of these emerging technologies for India,
including uncertainties in technical and cost trajectory, suitability for Indian conditions, and
timing of India’s greenhouse-gas mitigation commitments. Given the still evolving (technical
and deployment) nature of many of the key technologies, the analysis suggests that India
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should not make rigid technology choices for the long term, but rather keep its options open
[18].
Keeping in mind the long term clean and environmentally sustainable energy supply India's
state-controlled Bharat Heavy Electricals and Andhra Pradesh Power Generation, also
government-owned, have signed an agreement to set up a 125 megawatt clean coal power
plant. The power plant will be sited in Vijaywada, the third largest city in the southern state of
Andhra Pradesh, and use integrated gasification combined cycle, or IGCC, technology. The
Bharat Heavy Electricals has been running a 6 MW pilot IGCC plant in Tamil Nadu since
1983, which is now being scaled up to commercial size. The Vijaywada plant is expected to
use high ash Indian coals as a feedstock. IGCC produces significantly less greenhouse gases
than traditional coal-fired plants and has an operating efficiency of around 40%. IGCC also
reduces water consumption by about 40 % and has lower solid waste production. The project
is scheduled for commissioning in mid-2011 [20]
6.3.1 Clean Coal Technologies Representation in MARKAL
Advanced clean coal technologies for power generation have been under development for
thirty years. These technologies are designed to generate electricity with lower emissions and
higher thermal efficiency than the conventional alternatives. More recently, the need to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions has focused developments on integration of these technologies with
those for carbon capture and storage.
Conventional technology used in coal-fired electric power generation is based on the use of
steam turbines. Advanced clean coal technologies, including PFBC and IGCC, are being
introduced at the commercial demonstration scale in near future. These technologies make it
possible to use the vast reserves of coal in the India for efficient and environmentally clean
energy production. Considering the above features of clean coal technology, two most
efficient technologies i.e. PFBC and IGCC has been taken in the present Indian MARKAL
model.
6.3.1.1Pressurized fluidized bed combustion (PFBC)
Pressurized fluidized bed combustion is operated at a pressure of 6-16 atmospheres. In
contrast to CFBC and BFBC, where combustion takes place at atmospheric pressure, the
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boiler and cyclone of a PFBC system are placed in a pressurized chamber, so that combustion
can take place under high pressure. The underlying combustion process for the PFBC can be
based on either bubbling or circulating fluidized-bed systems, although most of PFBC
systems have been based on the bubbling-bed technology. Pressures of 12-16 bars can be
reached with temperatures in the range of 800-900 0C [21]. The high-pressure hot flue gas
from combustion process is then cleaned and expanded in a gas turbine, allowing for a
combined cycle operation. Generally, the gas turbine accounts for 20% and the steam turbine
80%, of the total electricity generation. The key advantage of PFBC is the increased
efficiency that results from both the pressurized combustion and the combined cycle
operation. The efficiency of PFBC is higher than of CFBC, and it can reach as high as 40%
[22]. Advanced PFBC (APFBC) systems add a carbonizer before the PFBC boiler to generate
fuel gas and char. The char is sent to the PFBC boiler and the fuel gas is cleaned and burned
in a topping combustor. The vitiated flue gas from the PFBC boiler and from the topping
combustor is then sent into the gas turbine for power generation. The efficiency of such
advanced systems can be as high as 47% [22]. In fact, the most advanced Karita supercritical
PFBC plant in Japan (360 MW) already has a net efficiency of 42% HHV [23].
In terms of PFBC, technology development for India has been limited to R&D activities by
BHEL till now. A small scale (6 ton/hr) PFBC testing facility was setup and operated by
BHEL R&D using a wide variety of feedstock. Using this test facility, feasibility studies for
scale-up were conducted; however, the lack of commercial gas-cleanup technology has
prevented further development of this technology [24]. It is clear that any further development
of this technology in India requires a great deal of investment and linkages with Japanese
technology developers, who the only ones are investing in any significant R&D in this area.
6.3.1.2 Integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC)
In the integrated gasification combined cycle technology, coal is first fed to a gasifier where it
is partially oxidized to form a raw fuel gas. The raw gas is cleaned to remove sulfur and
nitrogen compounds, particulates, and tar. The clean gas is then fired in a gas turbine to
generate electricity. The hot exhaust from the gas turbine passes through a waste heat boiler
and provides steam for a conventional steam turbine. The steam turbine generates additional
106
electricity. There are three generic types of gasifiers. The first is the moving-bed process
where large particles of coal move slowly downward through the reactor. Counter currently, a
stream of steam and oxygen (or air) moves upward, devolatilizes the coal, resulting in the two
products, gas and ash. The second type is the fluidized bed gasifier. In this process, the
resultant gas is desulphurized within the reactor using limestone or dolomite as sorbent.
Particulates are removed downstream with cyclones. The entrained bed gasifier is the third
generic type. Here, the pulverized coal and the oxidant are introduced together and move
concurrently with the steam through the gasifier while they react with each other.
IGCC plants are expected to operate at efficiencies of up to 40%. By the end of the decade,
IGCC plants are projected to achieve thermal efficiencies of 43% giving them ideal near-term
potential for reducing emissions from conventional coal-fired power plants with efficiencies
of 35% [25].
Furthermore, oxygen-based IGCC plants are expected to have a lower cost of generated
electricity when capture of carbon is required, as opposed to capture of CO2 from the flue gas
of PC plants because of higher concentration and partial pressure. By using a shift-reactor334
in an IGCC, the carbon in the syngas can be converted into a pure stream of CO2 that can be
captured and sequestered. The carbon capture in this case occurs before combustion of the
syngas – ‘precombustion capture’ – unlike in PC plants, where carbon capture must occur
post-combustion. Broadly, gasification processes can be divided into air-blown and oxygen-
blown gasification. Most gasification processes use oxygen as an oxidant, although air-blown
gasifier systems are simpler and possibly cheaper. Air-blown gasifiers are larger since they
have to handle large nitrogen volumes. While air-blown gasifiers are not considered at present
for commercial power applications335 because of its compatibility with carbon capture, there is
still ongoing research in this area. Air-blown IGCC might still be considered if the IGCC’s
local environmental benefits are highly valued.336 In contrast, gasification of coal using
oxygen reduces the size of the gasifier and it is more amenable to carbon capture. However,
the requirement of an air separation unit (ASU) for oxygen production raises the total plant
cost and the power plant’s auxiliary consumption. In addition, further integration is possible
for oxygen-blown systems, wherein the ASU can be integrated with a compressor powered by
the gas turbine. Given these advantages, most of the planned IGCCs world-wide are based on
oxygen-blown gasifiers.There are three main types of gasifiers: moving-bed gasifier,
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fluidized-bed gasifier, and entrained-flow gasifiers. It is important to note that worldwide
IGCC experience and information is primarily based on entrained-flow gasifiers, since there
are very few large-scale IGCC systems using fluidized-bed and moving-bed gasifiers.
The two clean coal technologies described above are considered in the present MARKAL
model. Since both of the technologies are not mature in their technological development, it
has been considered that these technologies will be available from 2015 onwards. The techno-
economic parameters have been given in Table 6.1.
Two alternative scenarios have been developed with respect to the base case as discussed in
chapter 5.The first is the Advanced technology scenario and the second is Mixed scenario. In
Advanced technology scenario only penetration of advanced nuclear (AHWR) and clean coal
technologies (PFBC and IGCC) in the power sector has been considered. The mixed scenario
uses the energy saving potential in various sectors of Indian economy together with advanced
technologies.
Table.6.1 Cost and performance estimates for advanced nuclear and clean coal
technology in Indian MARKAL model [26-27].
Technology Start Year
Lifetime
(years)
Efficiency (%)
Availability Fraction
Investment
Cost (US$/kW)
Fixed O&M cost (US$/kW)
Variable O&M cost (US$/kWh)
Advanced
Nuclear Power 2020 60 40 0.65 1250 55 0.0025
IGCC Power 2015 30 40.6 0.84 1287 29.8 0.73
PFBC Power 2015 40 38.6 0.6 1570 38.11 3.1
6.4 Model Results
All of the advanced nuclear and clean coal technologies with their techno-economic
parameters have been used as input for the MARKAL and the run of the software gives very
useful results for the future resource allocation of energy sources. The CO2 can also be
reduced marginally with the application of new technologies. Detailed analyses of results are
given below:
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The energy mix in advanced technology scenario at least cost is shown in Fig.6.1.It is
observed that the conventional coal technology remains the dominant energy resource with
only marginal increase. Coal power plant capacity increases from the base year 2005 to the
year 2015. From 2015 to 2035 there is stagnation for conventional coal and it increases again
up to 2045.During the year 2015 to 2035 when coal and large hydro almost remains constant
the additional installed capacity should be shared by conventional nuclear, wind, IGCC and
advanced nuclear, contribution a total of 450 GW. Between 2035 and 2045 there is a slight
increase in all the technologies however, other renewable start making significant contribution
in year 2045.The projected installed capacity is 752GW.The oil and gas power plant capacity
shows decreasing patterns over the years. The large hydro power plant becomes double of its
present capacity in year 2015 and after that slowly decreases up to 2045.The other renewable
technologies becomes suddenly important in year 2040 and be a measure source of electricity
production. The PFBC technology not getting allocation in the energy mix of present scenario
due to higher installation costs.
Fig.6.1 Electricity installed capacity in advanced technology scenario.
The corresponding energy production by considering the typical parameter for a power station
is shown in Fig.6.2 below (in PJ).Coal is still dominant electric energy generation technology.
Advanced nuclear emerge as major power producing resource.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045
Year
Inst
alle
d C
apac
ity
(GW
)
Coal Gas Oil Large HydroNuclear Wind Small Hydro Other RenewableIGCC PFBC Advanced Nuclear
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0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
20000
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045Year
Ele
ctric
ity G
enera
tion(P
J)
Advanced Nuclear
PFBC
IGCC
Other renew able
Small Hydro
Wind
Nuclear
Large Hydro
Oil
Gas
Coal
Fig.6.2 Resource wise electricity generation in advanced technology scenario.
6.4.1 CO2 Emission Reduction
Fig.6.3 shows that CO2 emissions are minimally impacted. The additional advanced
technologies mentioned in the previous sections, have a negligible effect on carbon emissions
in Indian power sector. The result shows that about 16% CO2 will be reduced in this scenario
in the year 2045.The reduction of CO2 itself starts in year 2020 with a very little reduction and
decreases very slowly. So with this policy implication scenario we are not able to achieve the
Kyoto target even in hundreds of year. Advanced technology introduction in power sector
however, play an important role in departing significantly energy mix from base case but CO2
emission trajectory not depart significantly.
Fig.6.3 Electric sector CO2 emission in advanced technology scenario relative to base case.
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045
Year
millio
n tonnes C
O2
Base case
Advanced technology
110
6.5 Mixed Scenario Results
However, as discussed in chapter 3 substantial reduction in required power can be achieved
by implementing energy efficiency measures. If we introduce full energy conservation
potential (Table 3.1) or partial energy conservation measures he scenario emerged as given in
section 6.1.
To mitigate CO2 emission marginally there is a requirement of an integrated approach. Fig.6.4
shows the mixed scenario resource allocation for Indian power sector.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045
Year
Ins
talle
d C
ap
ac
ity(G
W)
Advanced Nuclear
PFBC
IGCC
Other renew able
Small Hydro
Wind
Nuclear
Large Hydro
Oil
Gas
Coal
(a) Resource wise installed capacity in mixed (b) Resource wise installed capacity in mixed scenario with maximum energy conservation scenario with 15% energy savings and
potential and advanced technologies. advanced technologies. .
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045Year
Ins
talle
d C
ap
ac
ity(G
W)
Advanced Nuclear
PFBC
IGCC
Other renew able
Small Hydro
Wind
Nuclear
Large Hydro
Oil
Gas
Coal
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045Year
Ins
talle
d C
ap
ac
ity(P
J)
Advanced Nuclear
PFBC
IGCC
Other renew able
Small hydro
Wind
Nuclear
Large Hydro
Oil
Gas
Coal
(c)Resource wise electricity generation in mixed (d) Resource wise electricity generation in mixed scenario with 10% energy savings and scenario with 5% energy savings and advanced advanced technologies. technologies
Fig.6.4 Resource wise installed capacity in various energy savings potential scenarios.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045
Year
Ins
tall
ed
Ca
pa
cit
y(G
W)
Coal Gas Oil Large HydroNuclear Wind Small Hydro Other Renew ableIGCC PFBC Advanced Nuclear
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The result in Fig.6.4 (a) shows that when we apply conservation potential with advanced tech
nologies, the power requirement reduced heavily. The energy mix also affected with their
proportion changed over the years. In base case scenario the total power requirement in 2045
is 752 GW while in mixed scenario it decreases to 472 GW which is 37.5% reduction in
installed capacity. The total installed capacity increases faster up to the year 2015 and then
shows slow increase up to year 2040.After the year 2040 there is a decrease in total power
requirement. This may be due to the effectiveness of energy efficiency improvements in
future. The conventional coal power technology in this scenario becomes the least choice of
electricity generation in year 2045.The advanced technologies may be the dominant electricity
production technologies in long future as can be seen in the Fig.6.4 (a).Contrast to the
advanced technology scenario in the previous section, in this scenario the other renewable
scenario does not get allocation in the energy mix. This may be due to the reduced
requirement and relatively higher investment costs.
Other three energy savings scenarios (i.e. 15%, 10% and 5%) shows almost same pattern for
coal power technology. First increase from the base year 2005 to 2015.Then there is
stagnation up to year 2040 in 15% and 10% scenarios and 2035 in 5% scenario and finally a
slight increasing pattern. In 10% and 5% scenario other renewable is giving significant
allocation in year 2040 while in 15% savings scenario almost zero allocation. Large hydro
remains almost constant throughout the planning period in all energy savings scenarios.
The corresponding electricity generation in various scenarios is shown in Fig.6.5. The
advanced nuclear technology becomes important after 2025 in all of the scenarios. Except
energy conservation potential scenario, coal is showing increasing pattern in all other
scenarios.
Due to reduced requirement, the major source of electricity production in energy conservation
potential is advanced nuclear and the clean coal technologies. Therefore conventional
resources do not get impacted allocation in the energy mix as shown in Fig.6.5 and the result
is a very heavy reduction in CO2 emission.
112
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045Year
Ele
ctr
icity
Ge
ne
ratio
n(P
J)
Advanced Nuclear
PFBC
IGCC
Other renew able
Small Hydro
Wind
Nuclear
Large Hydro
Oil
Coal
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045
Year
Ele
ctr
icity
Ge
ne
ratio
n(P
J)
Advaced Nuclear
PFBC
IGCC
Other renew able
Small Hydro
Wind
Nuclear
Large Hydro
Oil
Gas
Coal
(a)Resource wise electricity generation in mixed (b) Resource wise electricity generation in mixed scenario with maximum energy conservation scenario with 15% energy savings and advanced potential and advanced technologies. technologies
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045Year
Ele
ctr
icity
ge
ne
ratio
n(P
J)
Advanced Nuclear
PFBC
IGCC
Other renew able
Small Hydro
Wind
Nuclear
Large Hydro
Oil
Gas
Coal
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045
Year
Ele
ctr
icity
Ge
ne
ratio
n(P
J)
Advanced Nuclear
PFBC
IGCC
Other renew able
Small Hydro
Wind
Nuclear
Large Hydro
Oil
Gas
Coal
(c)Resource wise electricity generation in mixed (d) Resource wise electricity generation in mixed
scenario with 10% energy savings and advanced scenario with 5% energy savings and advanced technologies. technologies.
Fig.6.5Resource wise electricity generation in various energy savings potential scenarios.
6.5.1 CO2 Emission reduction
The carbon dioxide emission in various scenarios is shown in Fig.6.6.Introducing advanced
technologies in Indian power sector can only solve the problem of energy security and not too
much the sustainability. Since advanced technology can reduce the carbon dioxide only about
16% which is not a sustainable solution for environmental protection.
113
Now, if we introduce the energy conservation potentials together with advanced technologies
there is a great reduction in carbon dioxide mission. The 5%, 10% and 15% energy savings
scenarios show marginal reduction in CO2 emission.
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045Year
Millio
n tonnes C
O2
Base case Advanced Technology
Advanced Tech.+5% energy savings Advanced Tech.+10% energy savings
Advanced Tech.+15% energy savings Advenced Tech.+ energy conservation potential
Fig.6.6 Electric sector CO2 emission in mixed scenarios relative to the advanced technology and base case scenario.
The 15% energy savings estimates about 46% emission reduction while 10% savings
measures about 35% emission reduction in the year 2045.The great amount of carbon dioxide
can be seen in the full energy conservation potential. The two scenarios, advanced technology
and energy conservation potentials are mixed together and CO2 is reduced about 70% as
compared to the base case in 2045.
6.6 Conclusions
The above discussions of various scenarios show that if only one approach is applied to the
power sector we can not get a sustainable energy future. An integrated approach is required
for the resource generation and also for the CO2 mitigation.
The introduction of advanced technologies in Indian power sector can change the proportion
of each resources for electricity production but not reduce significant the carbon dioxide.
Since Indian power sector emits major proportion of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere,
therefore, at present it feels huge pressure to switch over to the renewable sources for power
114
generation. Due to high investment cost and gestation period it is not viable in near future.
Therefore, the holistic approach of energy conservation is most suitable at this time for
immediate action.
Various energy conservation scenarios show a great amount of carbon dioxide reduction. Full
energy savings potential shows about 72% carbon dioxide reduction in the year 2045.
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Appendix 6.1
The installed capacity,capacity under construction and planned nuclear power projects are
given in the following tables.
Table.(a) Power station wise Installed nuclear power in India.
Power
station Operator State Type Units
Total
capacity
(MW)
Kaiga NPCIL Karnataka PHWR 220 x 3 660
Kakrapar NPCIL Gujarat PHWR 220 x 2 440
Kalpakkam NPCIL Tamil Nadu PHWR 220 x 2 440
Narora NPCIL Uttar Pradesh
PHWR 220 x 2 440
Rawatbhata NPCIL Rajasthan PHWR 100 x 1, 200 x 1, 220 x 2
740
Tarapur NPCIL Maharastra BWR (PHWR) 160 x 2, 540 x 2 1400
Total 17 4120
117
Table.(b) Power station wise nuclear projects under construction in India.
Power station Operator State Type Units Total capacity
(MW)
Kaiga NPCIL Karnataka PHWR 220 x 1 220
Rawatbhata NPCIL Rajasthan PHWR 220 x 2 440
Kudankulam NPCIL Tamil Nadu VVER-1000 1000 x 2 2000
Kalpakkam NPCIL Tamil Nadu PFBR 500 x 1 500
Total 6 3160
Table.(c) Power station wise nuclear power planned projects in India.
Power station Operator State Type Units Total capacity
(MW)
Kakrapar NPCIL Gujarat PHWR 640 x 2 1280
Rawatbhata NPCIL Rajasthan PHWR 640 x 2 1280
Kudankulam NPCIL Tamil Nadu VVER-1200 1200 x 2 2400
Jaitapur NPCIL Maharastra EPR 1600 x 4 6400
Kaiga NPCIL Karnataka PWR 1000 x 1, 1500 x 1 2500