DAVID CARMENT Professor of International Affairs The … · 2014-10-22 · Professor of...

DAVID CARMENT Professor of International Affairs

The Norman Paterson School of International Affairs Carleton University

Ottawa, Canada

Email: [email protected]

A. EDUCATION

McGill University, PhD, Political Science. Dean's Honours List. Dissertation: "The International Politics of Ethnic Conflict: The Interstate Dimensions of Secession and Irredenta in the Twentieth Century, A Crisis- based Approach.” Period of study - 1989-1993. Thesis Supervisor: Michael Brecher. Major Fields: International Relations, Comparative Politics - Developing. Minor Field: Political Theory.

Carleton University, MA, International Affairs, Norman Paterson School of International Affairs; specializing in development-related research with an emphasis on Asia, tradition and change and ethnic relations; research essay: "Disintegration of a Model Colony: A Case Study of Ethnic Mobilization in Sri Lanka from a Developmental Perspective,"1985-1987.

International University of Japan, Niigata, exchange student specializing in South East Asian and Japanese economics and development, 1986.

McMaster University, MA, Religious Studies, interests in tradition and change, political legitimacy and religion; thesis title: "Religious and Political Transition in Medieval South India and Sri Lanka," 1983-1985.

McMaster University, Honours BA, Religious Studies/Political Science, 1980-1983.

B. EMPLOYMENT

1. Academic Appointments

Professor of International Affairs, Norman Paterson School of International Affairs, Carleton University, Ottawa, 1994-1998. Tenured July 1998, promoted to Associate, July 1999, promoted to Full Professor, July 2005. Editor, Canadian Foreign Policy Journal.

2. Related work

Principal Investigator – Country Indicators for Foreign Policy – research, training, outreach, policy consultations and publications on fragile states, aid allocation, conflict prevention, sequencing interventions and, democracy and governance (see ww.carleton.ca/cifp).

DRDC Government of Canada - Failed States Modeling Initiative (ongoing).

CIDA funded initiative on mainstreaming research on failed and fragile states into policy making, principal investigator (see: www.carleton.ca/cifp) (ongoing).

DAC-OECD working on group on fragile states – Member of advisory group. Contract work on “Sequencing and Timing of State Fragility Processes,” presented at the Centre for Global Development, Conference on Fragile States, Washington DC, September 2009 (with Teddy Samy). Forum on Early Warning and Early Response - Board Member (2001-2003).

European Union Project on Crisis Prevention and Protection of the Individual, provision of structural and events-based data and analysis for countries covered by the EU’s CFSP (2003-2005).

Lead Researcher and Trainer for UNDP’s CIDP Human Security Initiative for training in conflict monitoring in Crimea (2007-2008).

Expert Analyst for the development of CISC’s Strategic Early Warning System (ongoing) Strategic Early Warning System, Sentinel and Briefs (see ww.carleton.ca/cifp). (2005-2006).

Risk Analysis Training methodologies NGO and governments in West, East Africa, the Balkans, South East Asia and Eastern European (ongoing).

Development of training tools in Risk Assessment for the Canadian Border Services of Canada (Spring 2010, Ottawa, 3 Day Course).

Consultation to the Prime Minister’s Strategy Unit on Instability (UK Government) (2003-2004).

Briefing paper for the Department of National Defence’s Internal Policy Review (2004). Subject: “State Failure and Peace Support Operations”. External Evaluator for UNDP’s Strategic Early Warning System (Balkans) through RBEC (2000-2001). Expert Advisor for the Conflict Prevention Network’s SWP-Berlin programme on “Mainstreaming Conflict Prevention” (2000-2001).

Lecturer, Harvard University, HUDCE, 2000-2001.

Lecturer, McGill University, 1993.

McGill University: Associate Advisor; advising undergraduate political science students on course and program selection, 1989-1993. McGill University: Research Assistant, International Crisis Behaviour Project, under the direction of Professor Michael Brecher, 1991-1993. McGill University: Research assistant for project on psychoanalytic and radical approaches to foreign policy, under the direction of Professor Blema Steinberg, 1991-1993. McGill Centre for Developing Area Studies: Fellow. Canadian International Development Agency and the Department of External Affairs (Ottawa): Sri Lankan Delegation visit to Canada, field coordinator, 1989-1990.

Canadian International Development Agency (Ottawa): Research on Intercommunal Cooperation in Sri Lanka. Consultant work with CIDA to provide research and data on the origin and manifestations of ethnic relations in Sri Lanka (historical overview) and to provide an analysis of Sri Lankan government policy in areas of inter-ethnic conflict and cooperation (political and economic policy), 1989-1990. Canadian International Development Agency (Ottawa): Research on ethnicity. Development of an inventory of Canadian resources (institutional, research, educational, policy, individual) dealing with ethnic relations (generally and specifically to Sri Lanka), and a bibliography on ethnic relations research (on Sri Lanka and generally), 1988-89.

The North-South Institute (Ottawa): Research Officer working with the Director (Bernard Wood).

C. PROFESSIONAL HONOURS AND AWARDS

General Statement

I am currently a full Professor of International Affairs at the Norman Paterson School of International Affairs, Carleton University and Fellow of the Canadian Defence and Foreign Affairs Institute (CDFAI). I am a NATO Fellow and listed in Who's Who in International Affairs. In addition I serve as the principal investigator for the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy project (CIFP). I have served as Director of the Centre for Security and Defence Studies at Carleton University and am the recipient of a Carleton Graduate Student's teaching excellence award, SSHRC fellowships and research awards, Carleton University's research achievement award, and a Petro-Canada Young Innovator Award. I have held fellowships at the Kennedy School, Harvard and the Hoover Institution, Stanford and several SSHRC Fellowships and Scholarships. I am the Editor of CFPJ.

Senior Fellow, Centre for Global Cooperation Research Duisburg Germany (2014-2015), Euro 5,800/month (approx $8,000.00/mth).

Research Affiliate with the National Centre for Peace & Conflict Studies, Otago University (current). Visiting Scholar Jawaharlal Nehru University, Delhi. India (2014) declined.

2004-present: Who’s Who in International Affairs (Europa Annual Publication, Taylor and Francis Co. 2004).

2004-present: Canadian Defence and Foreign Affairs Institute (CDFAI) Fellow.

2013-2014 SSHRCC Connections Grant for Global Governance and Canadian Foreign Policy (Principal Investigator), 40,000.00.

2011-2014 – SSHRCC grant for Failed and Fragile States (Principal Investigator) 44,000.00.

2012 – SSHRCC Connection Grant for Canadian And Asia (Principal Investigator 12,500.

2012 – DND-SDF Workshop Grant (Principal Investigator) 8,800.00.

2012- CIDA Policy Branch Grant for Research on Failed and Fragile States – 18,170.00.

2008-2009: Faculty of Public Affairs, Carleton University Research Achievement Award, for research on “Failed and Fragile States: Theory and Evidence”, $10,000.00 (co-applicant with Teddy Samy).

2003-2004: Carleton Graduate Student Teaching Excellence Award .

2000-2001: Fellow in International Affairs at the Belfer Center in Science and International Affairs, JFK School of Government, Harvard. Affiliated with the Program on Conflict Prevention and Intrastate Conflict. Approximately 5 Fellows were affiliated with the program. 2001-2002: Petro-Canada Young Innovator Award for Research on Corporate Responsibility and Risk Assessment ($10,000.00).

2000-2001: Carleton University, Research Achievement Award: For a Research Proposal on Evaluating Conflict Prevention ($15,000). 1998-1999: Marcel Cadieux Fellowship, working with the Planning Secretariat the fellow is to assess the implications for Canada of particular international trends or developments (beginning fall 1998). The award is intended to bring a wider set of perspectives to bear in the preparation of Canadian Foreign Policy. The Secretariat is responsible to Deputy Ministers for providing advice on the overall direction of Canadian foreign and trade policy, for strategic planning and for handling policy coordination. The accepted proposal was based on the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy project. Working in consultation with the Policy Planning Staff at DFAIT.

Other Honours and Awards

2003: Address to DND Chiefs of Staff and 300 DND Officers on “Rethinking Intervention” Department of National Defence 21st Century’s Strategic Environment Symposium, Ottawa, DND HQ, January 15, 2003.

2002-2003: Canadian Consortium for Human Security Grant (6,000.00) with Steve Davis.

1999-2002: Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council: Three Year Research Grant for Work on "Third Party Intervention in Intrastate Ethnic Conflict" ($29,000.00).

SSHRCC Workshop Grant for Canadian Foreign Policy Junior Scholars Conference on Canada and Asia – 12,5000.00. 2012.

Department of National Defence – Security Defence Forum Workshop Grant for Canadian Foreign Policy Junior Scholars Conference on Canada and Asia – $ 8,800.00.

IDRC Grant for Research on Conflict Prevention Training and Regional Organizations ($40,000.00). These funds were matched with equivalent funding from the United Nations University for the purposes of developing a conflict prevention training programme for regional organizations. Co-investigator Albrecht Schnabel, UNU, Tokyo.

Joan B. Kroc Peace Fellowship, Notre Dame University (winter 1999). Declined.

International University of Japan/NPSIA Exchange Professor. A six month exchange with IUJ

faculty member Katsuhiko Mori, January 1998. Lecturer on Foreign Policy Analysis and International Organization. Research on Japanese approaches to peacekeeping.

Institute for South European Cooperation and Development, Summer Institute on Cooperation and Identity in the Balkans, American University, Blagoevgrad, Bulgaria. Guest Lecturer, 1996. Lectures to 60 South and East European graduate and undergraduate students on ethnic conflict management and resolution.

Security Defence Forum (formerly Military and Strategic Studies Programme). Member of the coordinating and planning committee, $500,000.00 over five years, beginning Fall 1996. (Renewed in 2001, 2006 at $500,000 over five years).

Co-Applicant of proposal for a workshop and related outputs on Canadian Foreign Policy and Global Issues (Peacebuilding, Early Warning and State Failure, Democratization and International Social Issues) c/o DFAIT ($29,600.00) with Evan Potter, former editor of Canadian Foreign Policy Journal.. A full report and working papers are available at: http://www.carleton.ca/~dcarment.

Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council: Three Year Research Grant for Work on "The International Dimensions of Ethnic Conflict: Early Warning Systems and Conflict Prevention" ($27,000.00). Ranked 17 of 134 Applications, beginning 1996.

The Society for the Psychological Study of Social Issues (SPSSI) Otto Klineberg Intercultural and International Relations Award - Honourable Mention for "Explaining Third Party Intervention in Ethnic Conflict: Theory and Evidence" (with Patrick James). Paper presented at SPSSI Annual Meeting on a panel with Dean Pruitt, Ron Fischer, and Dan Druckman, May 1996.

NATO Fellow (in conjunction with the Royal Society of Canada). Research on "Ethnic Conflict and Security, a NATO perspective". (BF 240,000.00), 1993-1995.

Carleton University SSHRCC/GR6 Grants (3,500.00 in 1996) (2,500.00 in 1995). Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada Post-doctoral Fellowship – Hoover Institution, Stanford University ($42,000.00 over two years), 1993-1994.

FCAR Postdoctoral Fellowship ($22,000.00) declined, 1993-1994. Department of External Affairs, Cooperation and Security Competition, Research Grant ($40,000.00) for "The International Politics of Ethnic Conflict: Theory and Policy". Co-investigator, 1993-1994.

International Development Research Centre (Ottawa) Young Canadian Doctoral Research Fellowship ($28,000.00) declined, 1993.

Institute for South East Asian Studies (Singapore): Research Fellow (award related to field research), 1993.

International Centre for Ethnic Studies (Colombo): Research Fellow (award related to field research - declined), 1993.

Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada: Doctoral Fellowship ( $14,436.00), 1992.

Department of National Defence, Military and Strategic Studies Programme: Doctoral Fellowship ($15,500.00), 1992. McGill Faculty of Graduate Studies and Research: Travel Grant and Research Award ($3,000.00 - award related to field research), 1992.

Hoover Institution on War, Revolution and Peace (Stanford University) Program on International Politics (awarded scholarship of $2,656.00), 1992.

Canadian Institute for International Peace and Security - Barton Awards: Doctoral Fellowship ($14,000.00) declined, 1992.

D. SCHOLARLY AND PROFESSIONAL ACTIVITY

1. Editorial Responsibilities

Editor Canadian Foreign Policy Journal Recent issues:

17.1 The Regional Dimensions of Conflict in Afghanistan

17.2 Diasporas and Remittances

17.3 The F35- Right for Canada?

18.1 Canada-US Relations (Fulbright special issue)

18.2 Canada and the International Politics of Secession

18.3 Canada – Asia: After the Pivot

19.1 Making Canada Relevant Again: International Mediation in a Fragile World

19.2 Cybersecurity

19.3 Canada and Global Governance Editorial Board Journal of South Asian Development (Sage Publications). Editorial Board Policy and Society (Elsevier Publications). Editorial Board International Interactions (Taylor and Francis Publications).

2. Country Indicators for Foreign Policy Research, Collaboration and Training – Phases IV and V Only (Current Phase is Phase VI)

From 2005-present, CIFP is engaged in multi-stakeholder project development for the Canadian Government’s policy on Failed and Fragile States. This multi-year initiative has been part of the implementation phase of the previous government’s International Policy Statement on Failed and Fragile States and has been funded by the GoC. The work of CIFP entails a methodology for monitoring country performance and assessing the relevance and impact of Canadian policy. A Scientific Committee chaired by the PI provides oversight of the project. The CIFP project has been and will continue to be responsible for hiring the largest number of project-related research assistance at NPSIA. CIFP will continue to work with DND and CIDA as the project evolves.

Training January 2002:

Manila, Philippines

CIFP’s PI participated in a one week training of trainers in partnership with FEWER, FAST and the GZO Peace Initiative in order to prepare local analysts in the methodologies of early warning, risk assessment and response strategies and to facilitate the introduction of the CIFP Risk Assessment reporting mechanism into the FEWER early warning framework. Participants were drawn from all of the Philippines but specifically Mindanao. An external assessment of this training is available from FEWER. A report was prepared on risks in South East Asia.

March 2002: Ottawa, Canada

The PI participated in the first of several three day training sessions for the Development Assistance Community organized by the Peacebuilding Unit of CIDA and FEWER. Participants were drawn from major donor country programmes. In preparation for the training, CIFP completed a West Africa Risk Assessment report.

May 2002: Ottawa, Canada

CIFP’s PI participated in the second of several three day training sessions for the Development Assistance Community organized by the Peacebuilding Unit of CIDA and FEWER. Participants were drawn from major donor country programmes. In preparation for the training CIFP completed a South East Asia Risk Assessment report.

October 2002: Abu Dhabi, UAE

CIFP’s PI participated in a three day risk assessment and early warning training for the Emirates Centre for Strategic Studies in Abu Dhabi in collaboration with FAST and FEWER. Participants included members of the UAE military command and government.

February 2003: Nairobi

The PI participated in a one week training of trainers in partnership with FEWER and the Nairobi Peace Initiative in order to prepare local analysts in the methodologies of early warning, risk assessment and response strategies and to facilitate the introduction of the CIFP Risk Assessment reporting mechanism into an early warning framework.

More recent training by the PI has been conducted on behalf RBEC in Bratislava, the UNDP in Belgrade and the UNDP in Simferopol. 3. Centre for Security and Defence Studies -Related Activities and Research

As Director of CSDS, for 2002-2004, I was directly involved in organizing several major conferences in Ottawa and producing reports of these conferences, including: CSDS Activities

All elements of the 2002-05 funding were implemented. Under my direction, CSDS appointed several Post-Doctoral Fellows, a CCHS-funded Human Security Research Fellow, Corey Levine, a Visiting Research Fellow, several pre-Doctoral Fellows. Several Research Assistants were also employed. In addition to major conferences noted above, several specialized conferences, seminars and workshops were held, five as joint initiatives with other universities, institutions and non-governmental organizations. Strategic Analysis Seminars were organized for distinguished international speakers and senior officials of DND and the inter-departmental community.

Under my direction, CSDS support enabled the NPSIA Research Centre to acquire important specialized publications that meet the research and teaching requirements of students and faculty in Security and Defence Studies. The CSDS publishing program issued several titles in the Working Paper series and assisted the publication of the annual volume of Canada Among Nations. CSDS contributed to upgrading the NPSIA Information Technology capability, updated and improved its website, and implemented electronic networking initiatives including a live webcast of the Changing Canadian Foreign Policy Conference. CSDS supports the Intel-Net Security and Intelligence internet newsgroup, circulated to a select list of 130 officials (Canadian and international), academics, journalists, legal and judicial professionals, and non-governmental organisations. For the Changing Canadian Foreign Policy Conference, CSDS was able to secure CPAC coverage of the entire two day event, and a specialized webcast of the debate both firsts for an SDF-funded Centre. CSDS also launched a specialized initiative and website on Peacekeeping Intelligence.

Demography, Diasporas and Domestic Politics (October 2005) (with CDFAI, Queen’s, Laval University, the Woodrow Wilson School of International Affairs and the Dominion Institute).

Defining Canada’s National Interests (November 2004) (with CDFAI, Queen’s, Laval University, the Woodrow Wilson School of International Affairs and the Dominion Institute).

Intervention, Then What?: A Follow On Workshop, (October 2004) (with the Pearson Peacekeeping Centre and the Centre on Values and Ethics, Carleton).

Humanitarian Responses to War in Iraq (March 2003) (with the Canadian Peacebuilding Coordinating Committee). 80 NGO representatives, (ICRC, Care etc.), policy makers from DFAIT and CIDA, journalists, RMC-faculty and students from Carleton (see www.carleton.ca/csds for summary report).

Intervention: Then What? Implications for Ethics, Development and Security (October 2003) (with Centre on Values and Ethics at Carleton University).(see www.carleton.ca/csds for summary report, working papers and pictures of the event).

Changing Canadian Foreign Policy (October 2003) (with CDFAI, Queen’s and Laval University) (see www.carleton.ca/csds for summary report, archived webcast and pictures of the event).

Peacekeeping Intelligence Conference: New Players Extended Boundaries, (December 2003) (organized with the Canadian Centre of Intelligence and Security Studies and RMC). For a full report and the working papers and presentations, please see the PKI website at www.carleton.ca/csds.

Conference on “Canadian Defence and Canada-US Strategic Partnership” September, 4-5, Ottawa Canada, 2002 (organized with CDFAI and the Centre for the Study of the Presidency). Conference on “Alternatives to War with Iraq,” October, November 28, 2002. Conference on "Strengthening Regional Capacity for Conflict Resolution in Africa," Accra, October 15-17, 2002.

Full reports on all of these conferences can be obtained from the CSDS site at www.carleton.ca/csds

As Director of CSDS the Centre produced over 20 working papers, conference proceedings and reports by members of the CSDS community and students at Carleton. Several working papers have won awards and have been published.

4. Other Professional Activities

Contract and Related Work on State Failure, Early Warning and Conflict Prevention

Senior Analyst - Wikistrat (current) Consultant to the CIDP-UNDP, Simferopol, 2007-2008.

Member, Stabilization and Reconstruction Task Force Working Group on Failed and Fragile States (2005-2006).

Briefing paper for the Department of National Defence’s Internal Policy Review (2004). Subject: “State Failure and Peace Support Operations,” (with Carly Volkes).

Expert Analyst for the development of a Criminal Intelligence Service of Canada (CISC) Strategic Early Warning System (ongoing) Strategic Early Warning System, Sentinel and Briefs (see ww.carleton.ca/cifp).

Expert Analyst - for the Multinational Experiments 3 and 4 on Effects-Based Operations through the Canadian Forces Experimental Centre (DND). Tasks include supervision of researchers, contribution to objectives of MNE 3 and 4 and timelines of the experiment (2003-2006).

European Union Project on Crisis Prevention and Protection of the Individual, provision of structural and events-based data and analysis for countries covered by the EU’s CFSP.

External Evaluator for UNDP’s Strategic Early Warning System (Balkans) through RBEC.Expert Advisor for the Conflict Prevention Network’s SWP-Berlin programme on “Mainstreaming Conflict Prevention”2000-2001. Project Coordinator and Lead Investigator for the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy: A Political, Economic and Security Risk Assessment and Conflict Potential Database. Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade (Policy Planning Division; CIDA – Peacebuilding Division; DND; IDRC, Petro Canada, the EU and CISC/RCMP) Phase three completed. This project has involved the collection of data on more than 80 indicators for 190 countries for the period 1987-1994. Over 40 research assistants and interns have been assigned to collect and code data over the lifetime of the project ($34,000.00 first phase, $38,000 second phase, $98,000 third phase). May 1997 - September 1999 – January 2000 – April 2003). Current phase involves work on state failure for the government and criminal activity in Canada. More information on the project and its outputs including a summary report can be obtained at: http://www.carleton.ca/cifp. This project has resulted in working partnerships with SIPRI (http://first.sipri.se), CIDA, DND, CISC and the EU. Its registration database, in excess of 1000 registered users, includes representatives from the private sector, domestic and international financial institutions, academe, libraries, the policy field and government offices within Canada and abroad.

List of CIFP and Related Activities and Outputs for Current Funding Cycle

Event Purpose Location Date

Conference on Fragile, Failed and Dangerous States

Presentation of two papers Centre for Global Studies, Victoria BC

25-27 Nov 2005

Presentation to CIIA Presentation on Canadian Foreign Policy and Failed States,

CIIA, Ottawa December 2005

Presentation to Foreign Affairs Canada

Presentation of research to START Interdepartmental partners

Pearson Building, Ottawa ON

27 Jan 2006

START methodology meeting

Interdepartmental meeting to develop START prioritization methodology

Pearson Building, Ottawa ON

22 Feb 2006

Presentation at CIDA Presentation of research methodology to ODG

CIDA Building, Ottawa ON

8 Mar 2006

CIFP-Global Development Group (GDG) Collaborative Presentation

Presentation of Consolidated Early Warning System (CEWS) concept to relevant policymakers

GDG Offices, Ottawa ON

10 Mar 2006

Briefing - Senator Dallaire Presentation of research Parliament Hill, Ottawa ON

21 Mar 2006

The Technical Cooperation Program Joint Systems and Analysis Group (TTCP JSA), Technical Panel 6 Systems Based Analysis of Effects

Presentation of research Canadian Forces Experimentation Centre, Ottawa

10-13 Apr 2006

Conflict Prevention or Economic Development: Which Should Come First?

Presentation of research agenda and findings

The Ditchley Foundation London, UK

19-21 May 2006

CIFP Fragile States Scientific Committee Conference call

Review of research progress, identification of next steps

N/A 23 Jun 2006

Presentation at Canadian International Institute of Applied Negotiation (CIIAN)

Presentation of research agenda, discussion of ‘OSER’ concept

CIIAN Offices, Ottawa 2 October 2006

CIGI ’06 – Conference on International Governance Innovation

Presentation of research Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI), Waterloo ON

15-16 Sep 2006

Presentation to Asia Branch Presentation of governance research project, identification of case studycountries


4 Oct 2006

Presentation to CIDA Governance Core Group

Presentation of governanceresearch project, identification of case study countries


10 Oct 2006

Open Source for Effective Response (OSER)

Presentation of research; discussion of potential for collaborative provision ofopen source information and analysis

Ottawa ON 31 Oct-1 Nov 2006

Expert Forum on Capacity Building for Peace and Development: Roles of Diaspora

Presentation of paper on diaspora roles and effects in Haiti and Jamaica

University of Peace, Toronto ON

19-20 Oct 2006

Presentation to Americas Branch

Presentation of governance Research project, identification of case study countries


16, 27 Nov 2006

Réseau francophone de recherche sur les opérations de paix / Conference on 50 Anniversary of Peacekeeping

Presentation of Paper on Failed States and PSOs

Montreal 3-4 Nov 2006

Other Events

Strategic Foresight and Warning Seminar Series -- Conference on early warning and early response to conflict

Presentation of research Zurich, Switzerland 18-20 Jan 2007

Meeting with SDC Presentation of research, discussion of potential for collaboration

Geneva 21-23 Jan 2007

Meeting with Swisspeace Presentation of research, discussion of potential for collaboration

Bern, Switzerland 21-23 Jan 2007

Meeting with Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO)

Presentation of research, discussion of potential for collaboration

London, UK 24-26 Jan 2007

UBC Conference on Failed and Fragile States

Conference on fragile states Liu Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver BC

Spring 2007

Malta Conference on SIDS Presentation of paper/keynote address

University of Malta 23-25 Apr 2007.

WIDER Fragile States Conference

Presentation of Research Helsinki, FI June 2007

CIIA/CIFP workshop on Guatemala and Guyana

Discussion of Canadian Priorities

Ottawa, Canada May 2007

CIFP/CPCC Workshop on Fragile States and Risk Assessment Tools

Presentations from donor and NGO community on tools and best practices

Carleton University October 2007

Workshop on Conflict Prevention - Folke Bernadotte Working Group

Presentation of Models for Conflict Prevention: Data Validation

Washington DC December 2007

Workshop on Governance and Democracy

Presentation of Fragile States Methodology: Data Validation

Lima, Peru December 2007

Paper On State Fragility Models: Empirical Assessment

International Studies Association

San Francisco March 2008

UBC Conference on Failed and Fragile States

Conference on fragile states Liu Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver BC

Spring 2007

Malta Conference on SIDS Presentation of paper/keynote address

University of Malta 23-25 Apr 2007

Fragile States Conference Presentation of Research Helsinki, FI June 2007

Journals Reviewed Canadian Foreign Policy Journal Canadian Journal of Political Science Canadian Journal of Military and Strategic Studies Comparative Political Studies e-merge Journal of South Asian Development International Security International Studies Quarterly Journal of Conflict Resolution Conflict Management and Peace Science Journal of Theoretical Politics Journal of

Peace Research Millennium Political Research Quarterly Pacific Affairs Political Science Encyclopaedia of Violence (Chapter on Ethnic Conflict). Ethnopolitics 5. Service to the Profession

Senior Advisor for iAffairs student run International Affairs portal (wwwiaffairscanada.org) Member OECD DAC Working Group on Fragile States (Paris 2009) Small Island Developing States Presentation to Society for International Development (2009) Export Development Canada, September 9, 2008, Presentation to Interdepartmental Working Group, “Fragile States and Risk Analysis: The Case of Bolivia,” Otago University, Dunedin, NZ, August 26, 2008. Presentation on “Risk Analysis and Country Monitoring.” “Risk Analysis and Early Warning: Open Source Tools for the Intelligence Community,” presented at the National Defense Intelligence College, Washington, DC, March 2008. “A Handbook on Governance,” Presented at IDRC, Ottawa March 24, 2008. Participation in Genocide Prevention Working Group Meetings, Montreal, PQ Frank Chalk/Romeo Dallaire principal investigators) March 2008 and November 2008.

Advisorial Board Member, Andean Working Group on Democracy (attendance at meetings in Lima, Vancouver and Ottawa).

National Defense University, Washington DC, July 5 2008. Presentation on Early Warning for the National Defense University Human Social Cultural Behavior Workshop.

Working Group – Conflict Prevention, Folke Bernadotte Academy (ongoing). Working Group on Fragile States – CIIA, Spring 2007. Fellow CDFAI – Annual Ottawa Conference Organizer.

Markland Group for the Integrity of Disarmament Treaties. Consultants Committee member.

Executive Editorial Committee member, Canadian International Policy Web Site, Policy Planning Division, Department of Foreign Affairs Canada (ongoing).

Contributor to three conferences organized by CSDS’ sister centre, The Canadian Centre of Intelligence and Security Studies, Carleton. Risk Assessment and Training (2002-2004).

Member of the Carnegie Endowment working group on States at Risk (2004). Working group meetings were held in Berlin and Washington and included representatives from the World Bank, USAID, DfID, the German, British and US Foreign Ministries and the Brookings Institute.

Reviewer and contributor for the Fourth e-Symposium on Conflict Prevention, January 2004. Organized by The Japan Center for Conflict Prevention. The topic was The Role of NGOs and Other Non-State Actors in Conflict Prevention.

A Briefing paper for the Department of National Defence’s Internal Policy Review (2004). Subject: “State Failure and Peace Support Operations.”;

Expert Analyst - for the Multinational Experiment III and IV on Effects-Based Operations through the Canadian Forces Experimental Centre (DND);

Member of the Privy Council Office’s Interdepartmental Experts Group on Africa 2004;

Member of the Carnegie Endowment working group on States at Risk (2004);

Expert Witness before SCONDVA in relation to State Failure. (2005). Director,

Centre for Security and Defence Studies (2002-2004).

Expert witness before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs and International Trade (SCFAIT) in relation to its study on advancing Canadian foreign policy interests in the South Caucasus and Central Asia. Presented a brief on the economic growth, regional security and political stability of the eight countries in these regions. See: http://www.carleton.ca/~dcarment (2000).

Consultations with the UN, OAS, OAU, ASEAN, OSCE, and UNMIK Headquarters on building regional conflict prevention capacity. This entailed visits to each HQ and the presentation of a summary report and evaluation of current capacity (2000). The results were published in a UNU volume on building regional conflict prevention capacity (with Albrecht Schnabel).

Member of the UNDP Advisory Board for the Regional Bureau for Europe and the Commonwealth of Independent States (REBEC) Early Warning System http://earlywarning.undp.sk (ongoing).

Conflict Prevention Task Force for the Canadian Peacebuilding Coordinating Committee – to assist in the development of an NGO capacity for conflict prevention within Canada and globally (2002-2004).

North American Board Member of the Forum on Early Warning and Early Response (FEWER). FEWER consists of representatives from five regions (Africa, Asia, Central and Latin America, Europe, North America) where FEWER members are based (2001-2004).

Centre on Values and Ethics, Executive Board Member, Carleton University ongoing).

Reviewer for SSHRCC and National Science Foundation Grants (various years).

CCHS Fellowships Evaluation Committee Member (2003).

Peacebuilding Consultations Panelist, 2003 and 2004, DFAIT, Ottawa.

Expert Advisor for the Conflict Prevention Network’s programme on “Mainstreaming Conflict Prevention” 2000-2001.

SDF/NPSIA - Contributor to AUCC’s Civil Military Relation’s Programme. Simulation Coordinator and Lecturer (1998, 1999).

NPSIA/Carleton representative in the Department of National Defence Security Defence Forum’s field excursion to the Former Yugoslavia, March 14-27, 1998.

Faculty Exchange: International University of Japan/NPSIA. Six month exchange with IUJ faculty member Katsuhiko Mori, beginning January 1998. Lecturer on Foreign Policy Analysis and International Organization. Comparative research on Japanese/Canadian approaches to peacekeeping.

Participant: Roundtable on “Peacebuilding in the Former Yugoslavia: Governmental, non-Governmental and Military Approaches.” Centre for Foreign Policy Studies, Dalhousie University, September 28, 1998.

Lecturer: Canadian Institute for International Applied Negotiation workshop on Peacebuilding. August 14, 1998. Lectured on “Conflict Transformation: Evidence from Bosnia” to an audience of 30 NGO workers, policy analysts and academics.

Lecturer: Shastri-Indo Canadian Institute Canadian Summer Studies programme (Carleton Campus). July 1997. Lecture on Canada and International Affairs to an audience of 20 Indian Academics.

Lecturer: Canadian Forces Command and Staff College, Toronto. Lecture Series on "Canada and International Affairs" to an audience of DND mid-level officers. Topic: South Asia Security, An Assessment of Traditional and Non-traditional Sources of Interstate and Intrastate Insecurity. March 1999.

Lecturer: Canadian Forces Command and Staff College, Toronto. Lecture Series on "Canada and International Affairs" to an audience of DND mid-level officers. Topic: South Asia Security, An Assessment of Traditional and Non-traditional Sources of Interstate and Intrastate Insecurity. December 1997.

Lecturer: Canadian Forces Command and Staff College, Toronto. Lecture Series on "Canada and International Affairs" to an audience of DND mid-level officers. Topic: South Asia Security, Lecturer - Culture and Mediation, Ottawa, CERAS/CIAAN Joint Conference on the Crimea, May 1, 1997.

Co-Chair Canadian Foreign Policy Workshop (Ottawa), October, 1996. Chair, Conflict Prevention Workshop (Carleton University, Ottawa),1995.

Panelist-University Open House. Presentation to prospective applicants on Careers in International Affairs (with Maureen O'Neill and Elissa Golberg), Fall 1996. Participant-Global Issues Day, Carleton University. Presentation on Rwanda and Early Warning, 1997. Participant-Global Issues Day, Carleton University. Presentation on Rwanda and Early Warning Failure, 1996.

Participant - Global Issues Day, Carleton University. Presentation on Rwanda and Early Warning Failure, 1995.

Coordinator and Co-Chair, Workshop on "The International Dimensions of Ethnic Conflict: Perspectives on Theory and Policy.” June 1994, McGill University, Montreal. Live Radio Interview CFTR 680, Toronto. "The Bosnian Peace Accord: What Next?" October 1995. Coordinator and Co-Chair, Workshop on "The International Dimensions of Ethnic Conflict” December 1993, Florida State University, Tallahassee.

Panel Member IGCC (UC-San Diego) project on "The International Spread and Management of Ethnic Conflict," ongoing.

Professional Membership

American Political Science Association (1993-1998) Canadian Political Science Association (1991- 2002) International Studies Association International Political Science Association (Working Group on Ethnicity and Quantitative Methods

E. COURSES Current: Norman Paterson School of International Affairs, Carleton, PhD and MA programme, (Kroeger College, BPAPM, undergraduate seminar).

Teaching: PhD Research Design and Methodology Special Topics Ethnic Conflict International Politics Seminar (BPAPM) International Relations Theory International Conflict Analysis (two term core class) Bargaining and Negotiation Conflict Mediation and Resolution Conflict Management Conflict and Development Canada and International Affairs Policy Research Methods International Institutions (Political Science) Introduction to International Politics (Political Science) Comparative Foreign Policy (IUJ, Harvard) International Organization (IUJ) International Development NPSIA PhD Core Seminar Conflict and Development

Undergraduate/Poli. Sci.: 47.260 (Introduction to International Politics, 1994f, 1998w). 47.360 (International Institutions,1996f).

Undergraduate BPAPM: International Politics – Capstone Seminar BPAPM 4000 -2002/2003/2004/2005/2006/2008

Graduate/NPSIA: 46.515 (Conflict Analysis) 1995w, 1995/96, 1996/97,1998/99, 2000w 46.547 (IR Theory, 1994f, 1995f, 1997f). 46.523/46.5203 (Conflict Mediation) 1995w, 1996w, 1997w, 1997f, 1998f, 1999f, 2002s, 2003f, 2004w, 2005w, 2006w 2007w, 2009w 46.510 (Canada and International Affairs) 1999f. 2001f 46.504 (Development Theory) 2000w. 46. 5109 (Conflict Management 2001f, 2002w, 2003w, 2004w, 2005w, 2006w) 46. 535 (Bargaining and Negotiation 2002w) 46.5209 (Conflict and Development 2009w)

Graduate/IUJ: (Comparative Foreign Policy, 1998w) (International Organization, 1998s)

Harvard University – HUDCE: (Comparative Foreign Policy, 2000-2001)

NPSIA PhD 46.6000 (2006f)

Innovations in Teaching

Created computer-based simulations for 1, 2, 6 and 8 week extensive "out of class and in class" learning on the internet for four of the five classes taught at Carleton. The purpose of these simulations vary. Key objectives include: Application of theory to practice, application of analytical skills to real-world problems, group problem-solving, understanding alternative interpretations of issues, enhanced conflict resolution skills, understanding policy tradeoffs, internet skills, language and communication skills, multilateral negotiation and mediation skills. These simulations include:

"Humanitarian Intervention in Southern Europe: Global, Regional and Local Responses" 8 week simulation on the internet for 46.523 (1995).

"The International Dimensions of Secession: War Clouds Over the Horn of Africa" 6 week simulation on the internet for 46.523 (1996).

"Crisis in South Asia: Hostage Taking!" 2 week simulation for 46.523 (1996, 1997).

"Mediating Identity and Resource-based Disputes: The Case of Smoky Sabah and Sarawak" 1 week simulation for 47.360 and 46.523 (1996, 1997,1998, 1999).`

"Peacekeeping and The UN Security Council: Gridlock in New York!" 1 week simulation for 46.515 (1996,1997, 1999).

“Humanitarian Intervention and Crisis Management: The Case of North Korea”, 1 week simulation for 46.523 (1998, 1999).

"Negotiating the Future of Jerusalem: A Problem Solving Workshop" 2 week simulation for 46.523 (1997, 1998, 1999).

Other Simulations Include: "Canada and the International System: Soft Power in a Hard World," ICONS simulation on trade, health, human rights, arms control, environment and debt and development, 8 week simulation for 46.547 (1997).

“Canada and the International System: Conflict and Cooperation,” ICONS simulation on arms control, trade, environment, health, narcotics, human rights and development, 8 week simulation for 46.515f (1998).

“Japan, The Asia Pacific and Latin America,” ICONS simulation on trade, development and narcotics, 3 week simulation for Comparative Foreign Policy, International University of Japan, Winter (1998).




“Canada and the International System: Conflict and Cooperation,” ICONS simulation on arms control, trade, environment, health, narcotics, human rights and development, 10 week simulation for BPAPM 4000 (2002). “Canada and the International System: Conflict and Cooperation,” ICONS simulation on arms control, trade, environment, health, narcotics, human rights and development, 10 week simulation for BPAPM 4000 (2003).

“Canada and the International System: Conflict and Cooperation,” ICONS simulation on arms control, trade, environment, health, narcotics, human rights and development, 10 week simulation for BPAPM 4000 (2004, 2005, 2006, 2008).

Other innovations include:

Web-cast coverage of a live debate on Canadian Foreign Policy (available at www.carleton.ca/csds) a first for CSDS and NPSIA.

Creation of a new Peacekeeping Intelligence Web Portal (www.carleton.ca/csds/pki)

Video Conferencing for 46.547, 46.515, 46.510, BPAPM 4000 links to Finland, Dalhousie, Bowling Green, Harvard , Utah State, and Carleton (through Carleton’s Instructional Media Services).

Student Peer Review Process and in-class Evaluation resulting in several major awards and publications. Problem Based Teaching Methods - Application to International Mediation. Home Web Page as a Resource for Outreach, Research and Learning.

http://www.carleton.ca/~dcarment Introduction of a concept-based learning format to the 515 core class.

Introduction to methods in IR Theory, Conflict Core and Mediation Class.

Mentoring to CSDS postdoctoral fellows, a CCHS fellow, associates and pre-doctoral fellows including creating opportunities for co-authorship and publication through the CSDS working paper series and individual research.

F. RESEARCH GRANTS

Title of project Funding source and Program

Amount

Years of Tenure

From To

Recent Diaspora and Canada-India relations (with CICE)

Canada US Defence (co-applicant with CTPL)

Global Governance

Canada Asia Young Scholars Workshop

Canada Asia Young Scholars Workshop

Failed and Fragile States

FAILED AND FRAGILE STATES Indicators of State Failure Phase III CAE-DRDC- Failed States Modelling Phase II

FPA Research Achievement Award: Failed and Fragile States

CIFP – Democracy and Governance Processes (contribution agreement) CIFP Failed and Fragile States (contribution agreement) Carleton Foundry Grant (with GDG) Building a Risk Assessment Capacity; Carment, David B. – principal investigator

CIFP Early Warning Pilot Project; Carment, David B – principal investigator

Security Defence Forum – Centre for Security and Defence Studies; Carleton University, as Director and as an associate (co-applicant).

Carleton University – Research Achievement Award – Carment, David B.

IDRC

DND-DEP

SSHRCC

SSHRCC

DND -SDF

CIDA SSHRCC CAE/DRDC DRDC/CAE Carleton University

Canada Corps/ODG CIDA Carleton University

Petro Canada – ResearchAwards

CIDA Peacebuilding Dvn Department of National Defence Security Defence Forum Renewed in 2006

Carleton University

21,000.00

23,000.00

40,000.00

12,500.00

8,800.00

18,170.00

44,725.00

19,140.00

77,000.00 (of 175,000)

10,000.00

302,000.00

549,000.00

15,000.00

$10,000.00

$98,000.00

$120,000.00 (X 5 yrs)

$15,000.00

2014

2013

2013

2012

2012

2011

2011

2009

2008

2006

2005

2005

01/09/01

01/09/00

01/09/01

01/09/06

01/07/00

2014

2014

2014

2012

2012 2012

2014

2010

2009

2009

2008

2008

2006

01/09/03

01/12/03

01/09/06

01/09/11

eacekeeping and Peacebuilding in the West African Sub-Region: Strengthening the Capacity of ECOMOG - A Canadian Perspective Carment, David B and Rasheed Draman

The Analysis of Multilateral Approaches To Crisis Prevention – Carment, David B. - principal investigator

Before 1999

CIFP – Needs Assessment and Methodology Report; Carment, David B. – principal investigator

CIFP Early Warning Project – Phase 2 Data Collection and Website Development; Carment, David B. - principal investigator

Conflict Prevention Training and Regional Organization. Carment, David B. and Schnabel, Albrecht (UNU) co-investigators

CIFP Early Warning Project – Phase 1 Data Collection ; Carment, David B. -principal investigator

Early Warning Systems and Conflict Prevention - Carment, David B. -principal investigator

Conflict Prevention

NATO Perspectives on Ethnic Conflict – Carment, David B. principal investigator/ Fellow

Several grants before 1995 identified below and in awards and honours section.

Security Defence Forum/Centre For Security and Defence Studies

SSHRCC – Research Grants International Development Research Centre - Peacebuilding

IDRC

DFAIT – Policy Planning Division

International Development Research Centre - Peacebuilding

DFAIT – Policy Planning Division

SSHRCC – Research Grants

Carleton University – SSHRCC – GR5/6 Grants

NATO Academic Division – Royal Society of Canada

$3,500.00

$9,500.00 (X3 yrs)

$9,567.00

$40,000.00

$40,000.00 (matching funds from UNU)

$35,000.00

$9,000.00 (X3 yrs)

3,500.00

BF240,000.00 Approx$10,000.00

01/01/00

01/05/99

01/04/00

01/11/98

01/10/99

01/05/97

01/06/96

01/09/96

01/01/94

01/07/01

01/11/01

01/05/02

01/20/00

01/08/99

01/10/00

01/09/97

01/06/98

01/09/97

01/01/95

H. OUTPUTS

SSHRCC Research Grant: The investigator obtained a 3 year research grant from SHRCC ($44,000) beginning Spring 2011. Research in progress (extension granted to 2015) SSHRCC Research Grant: The investigator obtained a 3 year research grant from SSHRCC ($29,000) beginning Spring1999. These funds were used to defray research costs and to attend conferences for the current academic year. With Dane Rowlands (extended to fall 2003). Results: 2 books, 3 peer reviewed articles, several book chapters and working papers and four papers presented at conferences. One modified intervention dataset. SSHRCC Research Grant: The investigator obtained a 3 year research grant from SSHRCC ($27,000) beginning Spring 1996. These funds are used to defray research costs and to attend conferences for the current academic year. Outputs: 3 books, intervention data-set,

several articles and book chapters published, two working papers, four papers presented at conferences. Smaller SSHRCC Grants SSHRCC GR5/6 Research Grant. The investigator obtained a research grant from Carleton University ($3,500) in 1995. These funds were used to defray travel and research costs for attendance at conferences for the current academic year. Outputs: two papers presented at conferences; two articles published, two working papers, three under review. SSHRCC GR5/6 Research Grant. The investigator obtained a research grant from Carleton University ($2,500) in 1994. These funds were used to defray travel and research costs for attendance at conferences for the current academic year. Outputs: two papers presented at conferences; four articles published, two working papers. Conflict Prevention Workshop, 1994-1995. SSHRCC Post-Doctoral Fellowship - Hoover Institution, Stanford University ($42,000.00-awarded for two years, 1 year taken). Ended Fall 1994. Outputs: Two volumes, three papers presented at conferences, four articles published. Two journal articles, one working paper and work on two edited volumes (in conjunction with Co-op Sec. Comp). Other DFAIT, CIDA and IDRC funded Initiative for CIFP (Country Indicators for Foreign Policy) CIFP undertook a number of activities to reach the completion point of the first, second and third phases of the project, and has begun work in a number of areas that represent the fourth phase in the project’s evolution. To date CIFP’s outputs have included updating and expanding the dataset, testing and standardizing the project’s analytical methods, generating risk assessment reports, redesigning the project website, the development and production of a stand-alone CD Rom resource for CIFP clients, conducting ongoing outreach and networking activities with partner organizations, and organizing training of trainers as well as other workshops for local analysts, both domestically and internationally. Most outputs can be found at www.carleton.ca/cifp. Petro Canada Young Innovators Award Outputs related to risk assessments and reports on the role of MNCs in conflict and the design and application of a template to measure the impact they have on conflict. See www.carleton.ca/cifp. Carleton Research Achievement Award Used towards Fellowship at Harvard University during sabbatical year (2000-2001). IDRC grant for Conflict Prevention was used towards organizing several workshops in Europe and the Americas, produced four working papers and three edited volumes on conflict prevention.

SSHRCC Post-Doctoral Fellowship - Hoover Institution, Stanford University ($42,000.00-awarded for two years, 1 year taken). Ended Fall 1994. Outputs: Two edited volumes, three papers presented at conferences, four articles published (in conjunction with Co-op Sec. Comp).

NATO Fellow (in conjunction with the Royal Society of Canada). Research on Ethnic Conflict and Security, a NATO perspective. (BF 240,000.00). 1994-1995. Outputs: One report

submitted to NATO, one paper presented, one article published and a book manuscript published.

Department of External Affairs, Cooperation and Security Competition, Research Grant ($40,000.00) for "The International Politics of Ethnic Conflict: Theory and Policy". Co-investigator. Outputs: two volume edited set. Two workshops. 1993-1994. Workshop summaries can be found at: http:// www.carleton.ca/ ~dcarment.

The purpose of this grant was to hold two workshops on the "The International Politics of Ethnic Conflict: A Canadian Perspective on Theory and Policy" and to publish the results of the workshop. In addition the findings of the workshops were presented at annual meetings of the Canadian Political Science Association (June 1994). The first workshop took place at Florida State University in December of 1993. At that workshop 16 papers were presented and discussed. At the second workshop at McGill University, June 4-5, 1994, revised drafts of the papers were presented.

Small Grants

(CIIA Annual Meeting - $75.00) McGill - Departmental, 1990.

(CPSA Annual Meeting - $500.00) Departmental, 1990.

(CPSA Annual Meeting - $250.00) Departmental, 1991.

(CPSA Annual Meeting - $700.00) Departmental/CPSA, 1992.

(APSA Annual Meeting - $500.00) Departmental, 1992.

(CPSA Annual Meeting - $250.00) Departmental, 1993. (Field Research, South East Asia - $3000.00) McGill University, 1993.

(Travel Grant, Post Doctoral - $2000.00) FCAR, 1993.

(Computer Grant - $2,500.00) Carleton University, 1994.

(Travel Grant, - $500.00) Carleton University, 1994.

(Research Grant - $2500.00) Carleton University, 1994.

(Travel Assistance - $500.00)Carleton University, 1995.

(Travel Assistance - $1,650.00) Carleton University 1997.

I. PUBLICATIONS Life Time Summary Books authored 4 (3 in category 1a and 1 in category 2a) Books edited 10 Chapters in Books 36 Papers in Refereed Journals 29

Papers in Refereed Proceedings 1 Technical Reports over 40 Papers presented over 50

1. Refereed Scholarly Publications

Identification provided is for books and journal articles where a specific SSHRCC or related grant/fellowship was used to undertake the research related to the output. The individual’s relationship to that grant is also provided.

a) Books

Security, Development and the Fragile State: Bridging the Gap between Theory and Policy (Routledge Press) (with Teddy Samy and Stewart Prest). pp. 1-272 (2009). Now in paperback 2011

Who Intervenes? Ethnic Conflict and Interstate Crises (Ohio State University Press, 2006). (with Patrick James and Zeynep Taydas). Pp 1-260 Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1996-0073, SSHRCC Postdoctoral Fellowship.

Using Force to Prevent Ethnic Violence: An Evaluation of Theory And Evidence (Praeger Press, 2000). (co-authored with Frank Harvey) pp. 1-210. Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1999-0813.

b) Edited Books

Canada in the World: Demography, Diaspora, Domestic Politics and Canadian Foreign Policy (McGill Queen’s University Press, 2007) edited with David Bercuson Peer reviewed.

Peacekeeping Intelligence: New Players Extended Boundaries (Routledge 2006) with Martin Rudner Peer reviewed.

Canada Among Nations: Setting Priorities Straight (Montreal: McGill-Queen’s University Press, 2004), co- edited with Norman Hillmer and Fen Hampson Peer reviewed.

From Rhetoric to Reality, Conflict Prevention: Opportunities and Innovations (Lexington Books, 2004) (with Albrecht Schnabel) pp. 1-300 Peer reviewed.

From Rhetoric to Reality, Conflict Prevention, Institutions and Organizations (Lexington Books, 2004) (with Albrecht Schnabel) pp 1-300 Peer reviewed.

Canada Among Nations: Coping with the American Colossus (Toronto: Oxford University Press, 2003), co-edited with Norman Hillmer and Fen Hampson Peer reviewed.

Conflict Prevention: Grand Illusion or Path to Peace? (Tokyo: United Nations University Press, 2003), co- edited with Albrecht Schnabel, pp 1-210 Peer reviewed.

The International Politics of Quebec Secession: State Making and State Breaking in North America (Praeger Press, 2001) (co-edited with Frank Harvey and John Stack) pp. 1-250 Peer reviewed.

Peace in the Midst of Wars: Managing and Preventing International Ethnic Conflicts, co-edited with Patrick James (Columbia: U. of South Carolina Press, 1998). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1996-0073. (Studies in I.R., Charles, W. Kegley, Jr. and Donald, J. Puchala, Series Editors) pp.1-321 Peer reviewed.

Wars in the Midst of Peace: The International Politics of Ethnic Conflict co-edited with Patrick James (Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press, 1997). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1996-0073. (Pitt Series in Policy and Institutional Studies, Bert A. Rockman, Series Editor) pp. 1-295 Peer reviewed.

c) Chapters in Refereed Edited Books

“Country Indicators for Foreign Policy” in Encyclopedia of Life Research (2013).

“Canadian Foreign Policy and Africa’s Diaspora” with Milana Nikolko and Dacia Douhaibi, in Samy, Y. and Medhora, R. eds. Canada Among Nations: Canada African Relations (Volume 27, CIGI Press, 2013 ). Principal Investigator.

“State Failure, Development and International Security: The Challenges of Intervening in Fragile States,“ with Teddy Samy and Joe Landry, in Newman, R. and DeRouen, K. eds The Routledge Handbook of Civil War (Routledge 2013). Principal Investigator.*

“The Future of War: Understanding Fragile States” with Teddy Samy in Trauschweizer, Ingo ed. States and Fragile Societies: A New World Disorder? (Ohio University Press, 2013). Principal Investigator. In press.

“Canadian Foreign Policy and Civil Society,” (with Joe Landry) in Kukucha, C. and Bratt, D. eds Readings in Canadian Foreign Policy: Classic Debates and New Ideas (Oxford University Press 2014).

“Fragile States and Aid Effectiveness” with Teddy Samy and Stewart Prest, in Naude W.A., Santos- Paulino, A. and McGillivray, M. eds. Fragile States: Causes, Costs, and Responses. (Oxford University Press 2011).

“Towards an Understanding of Third-Party Intervention Effectiveness” with Martin Fischer in Coyne, C. ed. The Handbook on the Political Economy of War (Edward Elgar 2011).

“Conflict Prevention: A Policy in Search of a Theory or a Theory in Search of a Policy?” with Martin Fischer in Cordell, K and Wolff, S. eds. The Routledge Handbook of Ethnic Conflict (Routledge 2010).

“State Fragility and Implications for Aid Allocation: An Empirical Analysis” in Harvey Starr ed. Dealing with Failed States (Routledge 2009). (with Teddy Samy and Stewart Prest).

“Small States, Resilience and Governance” in Small States and Governance edited by Briguglio, Lino. (The Commonwealth Secretariat , London, 2008) (with Stewart Prest, Yiagadeesen Samy and Jean Francois Gagne). Principal Investigator. Peer reviewed.

“Mediation and Protracted Conflict,” in Empirical Approaches to Mediation edited by Jacob Bercovitch and Scott Gartner (Routledge 2008) (with Yiagadeesen Samy and Souleima El Achkar). Peer reviewed.

“Conflict Prevention, Concept and Application,” in Geeraerts, G. Pauwels, N and Remacle, E. eds. Dimensions of Peace and Security: A Reader, (Peter Lang, Brussels, 2006) (with Albrecht Schnabel).

“Assessing Chaim Kaufmann’s Claims on Separation” in Licklider, Roy, Bloom, Mia eds. Living Together After Ethnic Killing (Routledge, 2006) (with Dane Rowlands). Peer reviewed.

“Assessing Small Island Developing State Fragility” in Building the Economic Resilience of Small States, edited by Lino Briguglio and Eliawony J. Kisanga, The Commonwealth Secretariat (London, 2006) (with Stewart Prest and Yiagadeesen Samy). Principal Investigator. Peer Reviewed.

“International Conflict Prevention: An Assessment of Canadian Perceptions and Policies” in Patrick James and Marc O'Reilly, eds., Handbook of Canadian Foreign Policy (Lanham, MD: Lexington Books, 2006) (with Koren Marriott). Principal Investigator. Peer Reviewed.

“Country Indicators for Foreign Policy: Developing an Indicators-Based User Friendly Risk Assessment Capability” in Robert Trappl ed. Programming for Peace: Computer-Aided Methods for International Conflict Resolution and Prevention (Springer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, NL 2006) (with Caroline Delany, Susan Ampleford, George Conway, and Angelica Ospina). Principal Investigator. Peer reviewed.

“Formal Models of Intervention: A Stocktaking and Analysis of the Implications for Policy” in Zartman, I.W. and Avenhaus R. eds. Formal Models and Negotiation (Springer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, NL 2006) (with Dane Rowlands). Principal Investigator. Peer Reviewed.

“Rwanda: A Case Study” in Two Volume Handbook of Civil War edited by Karl DeRouen and UK Heo (ABC-CLIO, 2006) (with Kristine St. Pierre and Genevieve Asselin). Principal Investigator. Peer reviewed.

“Setting Priorities Straight” in Canada Among Nations: Setting Priorities Straight (Montreal: MQUP 2004) (with Norman Hillmer and Fen Hampson). Peer reviewed.

“Anticipating State Failure” in Carment, D. and Schnabel, A. eds From Rhetoric to Reality: Conflict Prevention Innovations and Opportunities (Lexington Books, 2004) (with Albrecht Schnabel). Peer reviewed.

“Is Canada Still Relevant?” in Canada Among Nations: Coping with the American Colossus (Toronto: Oxford University Press, 2003). With Norman Hillmer and Fen Hampson. Peer reviewed.

Introduction in Carment, D. and Schnabel, A. eds From Rhetoric to Reality: Conflict Prevention Innovations and Opportunities (Lexington Books, 2004) (with Albrecht Schnabel). Peer reviewed.

Introduction in Carment, D. and Schnabel, A. eds From Rhetoric to Reality: Conflict Prevention, Institutions and Organizations (Lexington Books, 2004). With Albrecht Schnabel. Peer reviewed.

“Preventing State Failure” in Rotberg, R. ed. State Failure: Causes and Consequences (Princeton, Princeton University Press, 2003). Peer reviewed.

Introduction and Conclusion in Carment, D. and Schnabel, A. eds. Conflict Prevention: Grand Illusion or Path to Peace? (Tokyo: United Nations University Press, 2003). With Albrecht Schnabel. Peer reviewed.

“Third-Party States in Ethnic Conflict: Identifying the Domestic Determinants of Intervention” in Philip Mauceri and Steve Lobell, eds. Ethnic Conflict and International Politics: Escalation, Diffusion, and Termination (New York: Palgrave, 2003). With Patrick James. Peer reviewed.

“The Effectiveness of Third Party Mediation to End Civil Wars” in Nagel, S. ed. Policymaking and Democracy: A Multinational Anthology (Studies in Public Policy) (Lanham, Md.: Lexington Books, 2002). Peer reviewed.

“Secessionist Ethnic Conflict in South and South East Asia: A Comparative Perspective” in Ganguly, R. ed. Ethnic Conflict and Secessionism in Asia: Causes, Dynamics, Solutions (Sage 2001). Peer reviewed.

"Evolutionary Models and Third Party Intervention in Ethnic Conflict" in James, P. and Goetze, D. eds. Ethnic Conflict and Evolutionary Theory. (Praeger Press 2001). With Dane Rowlands. Peer reviewed.

"Moral Hazard and Conflict Intervention" in Wolfson, Murray, ed. The Political Economy of War and Peace (London: Kluwer Press, 1998) (with Dane Rowlands) pp. 267-286. Peer reviewed.

"Ethnic Conflict at the International Level: Causation, Prevention and Peacekeeping" in Peace in the Midst of Wars: Managing and Preventing International Ethnic Conflicts (Columbia: University of South Carolina Press, 1998) pp. 1-29 (with Patrick James). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1996-0073. Peer reviewed.

"Ethnic Conflict at the International Level: An Appraisal of Causation, Prevention and Peacekeeping" in Peace in the Midst of Wars: Managing and Preventing International Ethnic Conflicts (Columbia: University of South Carolina Press, 1998) pp. 298-320. With Patrick James. Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1996-0073. Peer reviewed.

"Third Party Intervention and Ethnic Conflict: Riskiness, Rationality and Commitment" in Schneider, G. & Weitsman, P. eds. Enforcing Cooperation: Risky States and Intergovernmental Management of Conflict (New York: St. Martin's Press, 1997) pp. 104-131. With Dane Rowlands and Patrick James. Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1996-0073. Peer reviewed.

"Introduction” in Carment, D. and Patrick James eds. Wars in the Midst of Peace (Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press, 1997) pp. 1-10. With Patrick James. Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1996-0073. Peer reviewed.

"Conclusions" in Carment, D. and Patrick James eds. Wars in the Midst of Peace: The International Politics of Ethnic Conflict (Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press, 1997) pp. 252-265. With Patrick James. Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1996-0073. Peer reviewed.

"Secession and Irredenta in World Politics: The Neglected Interstate Dimension" in Carment, D. and Patrick James eds. Wars in the Midst of Peace: The International Politics of Ethnic Conflict (Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press, 1997) pp. 194-231. With Patrick James. Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1996-0073. Peer reviewed.

"Rethinking Peacekeeping: The Bosnia and Somalia Experience" in Molot, M. and Hampson, F. eds. Canada Among Nations (Ottawa: Carleton University Press, 1996) Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1996-0073, pp. 221-250.

"Ritual and Legitimation of Power in Medieval Sri Lanka and South India: A Comparative Study" in V. Subramaniam ed. Political Theorizing in Asia (New Delhi: Ajanta Press, 1994) pp. 102-111.

d) Articles in Refereed Journals

“Sequencing Fragile States” in Fletcher Forum on World Affairs (2013) with Joe Landry and Teddy Samy.

“Fragile States Report” in The Development Review * (Vol 1. No. 1) (2012) with Teddy Samy “Sequencing Fragile States” in Fletcher Forum on World Affairs (2013) with Joe Landry and Teddy Samy. “Diasporas, Fragile States and Remittances” in Ethnopolitics (2012) (with Teddy Samy, Dacia Douhaibi, Brandon Lum and Milana Nikolko). “Prediction of Intrastate Conflict Using State Structural Factors and Events Data” Journal of Conflict Resolution Sage, Fall, 2012 (with Peter Tikuisis and Teddy Samy).

“The Millennium Goals and Fragile States: Focusing on What Really Matters.”, Fletcher Forum on World Affairs, Volume 35:1, 2011 (with Teddy Samy).

Social Capital Development in Multiethnic Crimea: Global, Regional and Local Constraints and Opportunities, Caucasian Review of International Affairs, Vol. 4, No. 4, 2010 (with Milana Nikolko).

“R2P and the Role of Regional Organisations in Ethnic Conflict Management, Prevention and Resolution: The Unfinished Agenda” with Martin Fischer in Global Responsibility to Protect, Volume 1, Number 3, June 2009, pp. 261-290(30).

“The International Peace and Conflict Dimensions of Haitian and Jamaican Diasporas” in Human Architecture with Stewart Prest, Carlo Dade, Per Unheim and Andrew Harrington (Spring 2009).

“Approaches to Country Risk Analysis and Early Warning” in International Economics (Fall 2008) (with Yiagadeesen Samy and Stewart Prest). Principal Investigator, CIDA Grant.

“The Internationalization of Ethnic Conflict: State, Society and Synthesis” in International Studies Review (March 2009) (with Patrick James and Zeynep Taydas). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1996-0073.

“State Fragility and Implications for Aid Allocation: An Empirical Analysis” in Conflict Management and Peace Science, Vol. 25, no. 4, 2008 (with Teddy Samy and Stewart Prest). (Special issue with contributions from Jack Goldstone, Harvey Starr and Paul Collier. Principal Investigator, CIDA Grant.

“Assessing Fragility: Theory Evidence and Policy” in Politorbis , Vol. no. 42, 2007 (with Teddy Samy and Stewart Prest). Special issue on the Fragile States Debate. Principal Investigator, CIDA Grant.

“Fragile States and Aid Effectiveness” WIDER Research Paper No. 2008/46, ISSN 1810-2611, and the ISBN 978-92-9230-094-4 (with Teddy Samy and Stewart Prest). Principal Investigator, CIDA Grant

“Formal Models and Conflict Intervention: Success as Research Program and Policy Relevance” in The Whitehead Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, Winter 2007 (with Dane Rowlands). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1999-0813.

“The 2006 Country Indicators for Foreign Policy, Failed and Fragile States Net Assessment: Opportunities and Challenges for the Canadian Government” in Journal of Canadian Foreign Policy, Vol. 13, no. 1, 2006 (with Souleima el-Achkar, Stewart Prest, and Yiagadeesen Samy). Lead Article, Principal Investigator, CIDA Grant.

“The Sri Lanka Peace Process:A Review and Critique” in Journal of South Asian Development, Vol. 1 no. 2, 2006 (with Sonia Bouffard). Lead Article. Principal Investigator.

“Force and Bias: Towards a Predictive Model of Effective Third Party Intervention” in Journal of Defence and Peace Economics, Vol. 15, no. 5, 2006 (with Dane Rowlands). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1999-0813.

“Canadian Defence Policy and State Failure”, CDFAI Monograph, 2005.

“Risk Assessment And State Failure” in Global Society, Winter 2006. (with Stewart Prest and John Gazo). Principal Investigator, CIDA grant.

“Assessing Chaim Kaufmann’s Claims on Separation” Security Studies, Fall, 2004 (with Dane Rowlands). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1999-0813.

“The Role of Bias in Intervention” in International Peacekeeping, No. 4, 2003, (with Dane Rowlands) Lead Article. Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1999-0813.

“Assessing State Failure: Implications for Theory and Policy” in Third World Quarterly, Vol. 24, no. 3, 2003, pp. 407-427, Lead Article. Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1999--813.

“Managing Chaos in the West Africa Region: Assessing The Case of ECOMOG in Liberia,” Journal of Canadian Military and Strategic Studies ,Spring 2003. http://www.jmss.org/index2.htm . With Rasheed Draman. Principal Investigator, CSDS Grant.

“Explaining Third Party Intervention in Ethnic Conflict” in Nations and Nationalism , Winter, 2000 (with Patrick James). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1996-0073.

“Conflict Prevention and Early Warning: Problems, Pitfalls and Avenues for Success” in Canadian Foreign Policy, Vol. 6, no. 2, Winter, 1998, pp. 103-118 (with Karen Garner). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1996-0073.

“Three’s Company: Evaluating Third Party Intervention in Intrastate Conflict” in Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 42, no. 4, 1998, pp. 572-599 (with Dane Rowlands). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1996-0073.

"The UN at 50 - Managing Ethnic Crises, Past and Present" in Journal of Peace Research, Vol. 35, no. 1, 1998, pp. 61-82 (with Patrick James). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1996-0073.

"The Escalation of Ethnic Conflict: A Survey and Assessment" in International Politics (35:1, 1998, pp. 65-82) (with Patrick James). Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1996-0073.

"The International Politics of Ethnic Conflict: New Perspectives on Theory and Policy" Global Society (11:2, 1997, pp. 205-232.) Principal Investigator for SSHRCC Grant 410-1996-0073.

"Two Level Games and Third Party Intervention" Canadian Journal of Political Science (29:4, 1996, pp.521-554) (with Patrick James) SSHRCC Postdoctoral Fellowship.

"NATO and the International Politics of Ethnic Conflict: Perspectives on Theory and Policy" Contemporary Security Policy, Vol. 16, no. 3, 1995, pp. 347-379. Principal Investigator, NATO Fellowship.

"Managing Ethnic Tensions: The Thai-Malay Experience" Nationalism and Ethnic Politics, Vol. 1, no. 4, Winter, 1995, pp. 1-22. Lead Article. SSHRCC Postdoctoral Fellowship.

"Internal Constraints and Ethnic Conflict: Towards a Crisis-based Assessment of Irredentism" in Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 39, no. 1, 1995 pp. 82-109 (with Patrick James). SSHRCC Postdoctoral Fellowship.

"The Ethnic Dimension in World Politics: Theory, Policy and Early Warning" in Third World Quarterly, Vol. 15, no. 4, 1994, pp. 551-582. Lead Article. SSHRCC Postdoctoral Fellowship.

"The International Dimensions of Ethnic Conflict: Concepts, Indicators and Theory" in Journal of Peace Research, Vol. 30, no. 2, 1993, pp. 137-150. Lead Article. SSHRCC Doctoral Fellowship.

"Les dimensions internes des comportements en temps de crise: etude de cas entre l'Inde et le Sri Lanka 1983-1990", Etudes Internationales, Vo. 23, no. 2, 1992 pp. 253-277. Lead Article.

c) Articles in Refereed Conference Proceedings

"Early Warning and Deterrence Strategies: States Versus Institutions" in Schmeidl, S. and Adelman, H. eds. Synergy in Early Warning (New York: Columbia University Press and

Columbia International Affairs Online (CIAO) 1998). Due to the nature and timeliness of the subject, this book was selected as one of Columbia University’s electronic publications available at Columbia International Affairs Online (www.columbia.edu).

2. Other Scholarly Publications

a) Non-Refereed Books

Political and Religious Transition in Medieval South India and Sri Lanka (Delhi: Ajanta Books International, 2003) pp. 1-200. ISBN: 8120205294.

b) Chapters in Non-Refereed Books

“Twisting One Arm: Bias and Intervention” in Shaw, Tim and Natalie Mychajlyszyn, eds. Twisting Arms and Flexing Muscles: Humanitarian Intervention and the Use of Force (Ashgate 2004) (with Dane Rowlands).

"Peacekeeping NATO Style: IFOR, SFOR and After" in Schnabel, A. and Erhart, H.G. eds. The Southeast European Challenge: Ethnic Conflict and the International Response (Hambourg: Nomos Verlagsgeselleschaft, 1998) pp. 161-176.

"New Perspectives on the Prevention of Ethnic Conflict" in Stack, John and Hebron, Lui eds. The Ethnic Entanglement: Conflict and Intervention in World Politics (New York: Greenwood Publishing Co., 1998) (with Patrick James) pp. 13-32.

"Canadian Peacekeeping and Conflict Prevention" (with David Last) in Ram Rattan, ed. Canada's Foreign, Defence and Domestic Policy (New Delhi: JNU Press, 1997).

"UN Ethnic Conflict Management, 1945-1989" in Wheeler, R. ed. Swords and Ploughshares: The UN in Transition (Toronto: Canadian Scholars Press, 1997) pp.133-156 (with Patrick James).

c) Review Articles

"Modelling Ethnic Conflict: Problems and Pitfalls" Roundtable Commentaries in Politics and Life Sciences (September, 1997).

d) Articles in Non-Refereed Journals

How Good is Canada’s Aid Policy CDFAI Policy Paper October 2013 (with Teddy Samy and Rachael Calleja)

The New Terrorism: Understanding Yemen CDFAI Policy Paper, March 2011.

The Social Underpinnings of the Current Unrest in North Africa and the Middle East, CDFAI Policy Paper February, 2011 (with Teddy Samy).

A Marshall Plan for Haiti? Think Again,"A Policy Update Paper, Canadian Defence and Foreign Affairs Institute [Abridged version published in the Globe and Mail], February 2010 (with Teddy Samy).

Broken Promises: The Fragility Gap and the Millennium Development Goals , CDFAI Policy paper, (October, 2010) (with Teddy Samy).

"Haiti Without Tears: Getting Aid Right," Policy Options, April, 2010. (with Teddy Samy).

“Exploiting Ethnicity,” Harvard International Review, Vol 28, no. 4, 2007. Special issue on Ethnic Conflict: Reversing the Trend with contributions from Paul Collier, Chaim Kaufmann, Charles King and Andrew Reynolds.

“The Struggle for Peace: Rethinking Intervention” Harvard International Review , Vol 23, no. 2, 2001. Special issue on The Future of War with contributions from Jayantha Dhanapala, Ian Beckett and Michael O’Hanlon.

“Why SFOR Must Stay and Go” in Peacekeeping and International Relations (A bi-monthly publication of the Pearson Peacekeeping Centre, Cornwallis, NS, May-June 1998) (with Frank Harvey), pp. 3-4.

“Academics Visit Bosnia,” in The Maple Leaf (A monthly publication of the Department of National Defence, Ottawa, May 1998).

"Ethnic Conflict: The Southeast Asian Experience," in The Asian Pacific Research and Resource Centre Newsletter (September 1996).

e) Articles in Non-Refereed Conference Proceedings

"Ethnic Conflict as a Puzzle" in Identity and Community: Lessons from the Balkans and Beyond DeDominicis, Ben, Joe Bond, and Zhelyazkova, A. eds., (Sofia: International Center for Minority Studies, 1997) pp. 43-49; 57-66.

"Early Warning and Deterrence Strategies: States Versus Institutions" in Schmeidl, S. and Adelman, H. eds. Synergy in Early Warning: Conference Proceedings (March 1997) York University, Toronto (with Frank Harvey).

"Canadian Peacekeeping and Conflict Prevention" (with David Last) in Rattan, Ram, ed. National Seminar on Canada's Foreign, Defence and Domestic Policy. May 18, 1996 New Delhi

f) Technical Reports (CIFP related research on governance, democracy, fragile states and conflict prevention for which I serve as principal investigator- all reports identifying authors and co-authors are available at www.carleton.ca/cifp).

“CIFP Governance and Democracy Processes: A Handbook” (for the Office of Democracy and Governance – CIDA, 2008).

CIFP Governance and Democracy Processes Pakistan 2008

CIFP Governance and Democracy Processes Ghana 2007

CIFP Governance and Democracy Processes Guatemala 2007

CIFP Governance and Democracy Processes Nicaragua 2007

CIFP Governance and Democratic Processes Haiti Final Report Fall 2007

The following fragile states briefs, assembled by a separate research team, are available upon request: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bolivia, Cambodia, Colombia, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, Haiti, Honduras, Indonesia, Mozambique, Nicaragua, Pakistan, Palestinian Territories, Philippines, Sri Lanka, Sudan, Uganda, and Zimbabwe.

“A Framework for Understanding Terrorist Use of the Internet”, Trends in Terrorism Series, CSIS-ITAC 2006 (with Bruneau Nordeste).

The Ditchley Foundation: CONFLICT PREVENTION OR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: WHICH SHOULD COME FIRST? 19-21 May 2006 Summary Report. Failed and Fragile States: A Briefing Note for the Canadian Government (2006). 12 page summary. Failed and Fragile States: A Concept Paper for the Canadian Government (2006). 100 page document. “Creating Conditions for Peace: What Role for the UN and Regional Actors?” Report of a Conference held in Wilton park, UK, July 1-3 2002. Published by the International Peace Academy, New York, NY.

Over 25 Risk Assessment and Methodology reports available for download at www.carleton.ca/cifp. Principal investigator (1998-current).

Other Canadian Conflict Prevention: A Survey (CPCC 1 Nicholas Street, Fall 2003) (with Koren Marriott). “Managing Chaos in The West Africa Sub-Region: The Case of ECOMOG” CSDS Working Paper Series, 2001 (with Rasheed Draman).

“The Role of Bias in Third Party Intervention” BCSIA Working Paper Series, Harvard University (2001) (with Dane Rowlands).

“Towards Workable Conflict Prevention at The Regional and Global Levels: A Workshop Summary” a UNU/IDRC Report, Initially published in the CSDS Working Paper Series, 2000 (with Albrecht Schnabel and Rasheed Draman).

"Exploring Canada’s Options on Global Issues" NPSIA Working Paper Series (with Evan Potter), 1997. A summary report and working papers are available at http://www.carleton.ca/ ~dcarment

"Responding to Ethnic Conflict: A Game Theoretic Approach" NPSIA Working Paper Series, (with Dane Rowlands), 1996.

"The Interstate Dimensions of Ethnic Conflict: Spatial and Temporal Characteristics" NPSIA Working Paper Series, 1996.

"Conflict Prevention and Internal Conflict: Theory and Policy A Workshop Summary" NPSIA Working Paper Series (with David Last), 1995.

"Third Party Intervention and Ethnic Conflict: Riskiness, Rationality and Commitment" NPSIA Working Paper Series (with Dane Rowlands and Patrick James), 1995.

"The International Politics of Ethnic Conflict: A NATO Perspective on Theory and Policy" Final report for NATO in fulfilment of NATO Fellowship. Report is based in part on field interviews at NATO HQ, 1995 and is available at http://www.carleton.ca/ ~dcarment.

"Internal Constraints and Ethnic Conflict: Towards a Crisis-based Assessment of Irredentism". (I-94-8) Working Paper Series in International Studies, Hoover Institution Stanford University, 1994.(with Patrick James).

"Selected Readings on Sri Lanka: An Annotated Bibliography of Research on Sri Lanka" (CIDA), 1989. "Selected Readings on Ethnic Research: An Annotated Bibliography" (CIDA), 1989.

g) Book Manuscripts Reviewed Review of The Rationale for Collective Intelligence and Decision-making: Towards a Viable United Nations Intelligence Capability (for Routledge Press 2006).

Review of Ashutosh Varshney Ethnic Conflict and Civic Life (Yale University Press 2004) For the Grawemeyer Award in World Order.

Review of Saideman, Stephen, The Ties That Divide (Columbia University Press 2001). Review of War and Destitution: The Prevention of Humanitarian Emergencies (Oxford Press, 2001). Review of Ben-Yehuda, Hemda and Shmuel Sandler The Arab-Israeli Conflict: From Interstate to Ethnic Crises (New York University Press, 2003.

Review of Taras, Ray and Sumit Ganguly Understanding Ethnic Conflict: The International Dimension (New York, Longman Press, 1997).

Review of Jentleson, Bruce, W. ed. Opportunities Missed, Opportunities Seized: Preventive Diplomacy in the Post-Cold War Era (New York: Carnegie Commission on Preventing Deadly Conflict, 1999).

h) Book Reviews in Scholarly Journals

Shale Horowitz, From Ethnic Conflict to Stillborn Reform: The Former Soviet Union and Yugoslavia (Texas A & M Press 2005). For Comparative Politics (2006).

Lincoln Chen, Sakiko Fukuda-Parr, and Ellen Seidensticker, eds, Human Insecurity in a Global World, Cambridge, Mass: Global Equity Imitative/Asia Center, Harvard University, 2003 (for International Journal, 2004).

Guelke, Adrian, ed.Democracy and ethnic conflict: advancing peace in deeply divided societies.- Houndmills: Palgrave Macmillan, 2004 (for Journal of Peace Research 2004).

Haller, Ludger. Conflict Escalation and Decision Making, Bruxelles, Bern, Peter Lang AG, 2001, 430 p. for Etudes Internationales (Spring 2003).

Thakur, R. ed. Past Imperfect, Future Uncertain: The UN at Fifty in Peace and Conflict (Spring 2001). Crawford, B. and Lipschutz, R. eds. The Myth of Ethnic Conflict in American Political Science Review (Spring 2000).

Iftekharuzzaman, R. ed. Regional Economic Trends and South Asian Security in Pacific Affairs Vol. 72, Spring 2000).

Taras, R. and Ganguly, R. Understanding Ethnic Conflict: The International Dimension (New York: Longman, 1997) for Political Science (New Zealand) (1998).

Webber, Mark The International Politics of Russia and Successor States (New York: Manchester University Press for Nationalism and Ethnic Politics (1997). Diamond, L. and Plattner M. eds. Nationalism, Ethnic Conflict and Democracy (JHU Press) for Canadian Journal of Political Science. (1997).

de Silva, K.M. & S.W.R. de A. Samarasinghe Peace Accords and Ethnic Conflict (London: Pinter Press, 1993) for Sojourn: Contemporary Issues in South East Asia (1993).

Chazan, N. ed. Irredentism and International Politics.(Boulder: Lynne Rienner 991) for Etudes Internationales (1992).

UNIDO, India: New Dimensions in Industrial Growth and Industrial Development Review Series, for Etudes Internationales (1992). Lipton, M., and Toye, J. Does Aid Work in India? A Country Study of the Impact of Official Development Assistance (New York: Routledge, Chapman and Hall, 1990), for Etudes Internationales. (1992).

Maoz, Z. National Choices and International Processes (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990), for Canadian Journal of Political Science (1992).

h) Major Encyclopedia or Dictionary Articles

Routledge Encyclopedia of International Relations and Global Politics (0415 311608) Entries on Confidence Building Measures and Conflict Prevention (2006).

2. Papers Presented (only unpublished papers listed; over 50 papers presented in the last 10 years).

“A Typology of State Failure”: presented at ISA 2014 with Teddy Samy and Peter Tikuisis.

“Sequencing State fragility processes” presented at ISA 2014, with Joe Landry, Scott Shaw and Teddy Samy.

“Diasporas and Canadian Foreign Policy” paper presented at International Studies Association Annual meeting san Diego, CA Spring 2012 (with Teddy Samy, Brandon Lum, Dacia Douhaibi, Milana Nikolko)

“Sequencing of State Fragility,” paper presented at International Studies Association Annual meeting san Diego, CA Spring 2012( with Teddy Samy).

Diasporas and Remittances” presented at the Annual Meeting of the Association for the Study of Nationalities, Columbia University, April 2011 (with Milana Nikolko, Brandon Lum and Teddy Samy.

“Social Capital in Multiethnic Crimea” presented at the Annual Meeting of the Association for the Study of Nationalities, Columbia University, April 2009 (with Milana Nikolko).

“Social Capital in Multiethnic Crimea” presented at the Annual Meeting of the Association for the Study of Nationalities, Columbia University, April 2009 (with Milana Nikolko).

“Extent and Sources of State Fragility and Failure” Presented at a Conference on Preventing and Rebuilding Failed States Amid Global Economic Crisis: What are Realistic Options for U.S. Policy? Project on Leadership and Building State Capacity, Woodrow Wilson International Centre, Washington, DC, June 2009 “Sequencing and Timing of State Fragility Processes” presented at the Centre for Global Development, Conference on Fragile States, Washington DC, September 2009 (with Teddy Samy).

“Security, Development and the Fragile State” a presentation to CIPS, at the University of Ottawa, January 2010 (with Teddy Samy).

Social Capital Development in Multiethnic Crimea: the Effects of Globalization, ISA, New Orleans February 2010 (with Milana Nikolko).

Sequencing and Timing Issues in Fragile States: Concepts, Arguments and Evidence for Effective Engagement Based on Empirical Analysis, ISA New Orleans, February 2010

Roundtable to Honor the 2010 Recipient of the ENMISA Distinguished Scholar Award, Patrick James, ISA, New Orleans, February 2010.

“A Handbook on Governance,” Presented at IDRC, Ottawa March 24, 2008.

“Predicting State Failure” paper presented at International Studies Association, San Francisco, March 2008 (with Stewart Prest, Teddy Samy and Liz St. Jean) (contribution to Folke Bernadotte Working Group on Conflict Prevention).

“The Role of Regional Organizations in implementing R2P for the Prevention of Ethnic Conflict and Genocide,” paper presented at a conference on R2P and conflict prevention, Genocide Prevention centre, CUNY, NYC, March 2008.

Presentation of Fragile States Methodology: Data Validation Working Group on Democracy in the Andes, December 2007.

“Risk Analysis and Early Warning: Open Source Tools for the Intelligence Community,” presented at the National Defence Intelligence College, Washington, DC, March 2008.

“Evaluating Governance and Small States,” paper presented at a conference on small states organized by the University of Malta and the Commonwealth, June, 2007.

“Evaluating Aid Effectiveness,” presented at the WIDER conference on Fragile States, Helsinki, May 2007. Under review. “The Jamaica and Haiti Diaspora Community in Canada” for a conference on Peacebuilding and Diaspora (UPeace , Toronto, October 19 and 20, 2006) (with Andrew Harrington, Per Unheim, Stewart Prest).

“Failed and Fragile States” – CIGI06, Waterloo, Canada, September 2006. “CIFP Concept Paper on Failed and Fragile States” for the Canadian Government, January 2006.

“Working Out Strategies for Effective Policy on Failed and Dangerous States,” Conference on Failed, Fragile and Dangerous States, (U Vic 2005). (with Stewart Prest and John Gazo).

“CIFP Risk Assessments and Briefs: Georgia and Pakistan” for SWP-Berlin, Carnegie Endowment, State Department, DfID, Brookings and UK PMO (June 2004).

Evaluating the Role of Religion in Ethnic Conflict International Studies Association, Montreal, March 2004 (with Zeynep Taydas and Yasmin Akbaba).

“Crisis Management and Outcomes in World Politics: Assessing the Role of Ethnicity, 1945-1988”, International Studies Association, New Orleans, March 2002, (with Zeynep Taydas and Patrick James).

“The Role of Ethnicity in Crisis Management: A System Level Analysis, 1945-1988”, ISA Midwest, St. Louis, Missouri, November 2002, (with Patrick James and Zeynep Taydas).

“Ethnicity and Crisis Behaviour,” International Studies Association, Portland Oregon, March 2003 (with Yasemin Akbaba and Zeynep Taydas).

“Third Party Intervention and Ethnicity: A Crisis Based Analysis,” International Studies Association, Portland, Oregon, March 2003, (with Patrick James and Zeynep Taydas).

“Rethinking Intervention” Department of National Defence 21st Century’s Strategic Environment Symposium, Ottawa, DND HQ, January 15, 2003 (for Chiefs of Staff and about 300 Officers).

“Force and Credibility: When Third Party Intervention Succeeds and Fails” a paper presented at a workshop on Conceptualizing and Measuring Conflict Management Success, Dalhousie University, June 29-July 2, 2001 (with Dane Rowlands).

“Building Conflict Prevention Capacity: Methods Experiences and Needs” a paper presented at organized meetings of the secretariats and staff of the OAU, OAS, OSCE, UN, KFOR, UNMIK, ASEAN, USIP, UNU and ISN and Harvard University. November 8 - November 23,

2000 at various locales in Asian Africa, North America and Europe “Risk Assessments and Conflict Prevention: The CIFP Project” presented at on workshop on Conflict Prevention: From Rhetoric to Policy” INSTRAW, Santo Domingo, December 13-17, 1999.

“Risk Assessments and Foreign Policy”, presented at the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, Washington, D.C. 1999 (with Troy Joseph).

“New Directions in International Crisis Research,” presented at the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, Washington, D.C. 1999

“Secession and Irredenta: A Quantitative Approach,” presented at the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, Washington, D.C. 1999 (with Troy Joseph).

“Integrated Fact Databases: The CIFP Approach” presented at the 3rd International Security Forum, Building Cooperative Information Systems” Geneva, October 21-24, 1998. “Conflict Prevention and Risk Assessment: The Country Indicators Project” presented at the Annual Meeting of the Canadian Political Science Association, Ottawa, June 1998 (with Troy Joseph).

"Explaining Multilateral Intervention in Ethnic Conflict" (with Dane Rowlands) Canadian Political Science Association Meeting, Brock University, May, 1996.

"The International Dimension of Internal Conflict: Early Warning Systems, Third Party Intervention and the Spread and Management of Ethnic Conflict" (CPSA and APSA Annual Meetings), 1995.

"Early Warning Systems and Internal Conflict: Preventive Peacekeeping, Mediation and Resolution" ISA Annual Meeting, Chicago, 1995.

"The International Politics of Ethnic Conflict: A Canadian Perspective on Theory and Policy" (with Patrick James), CPSA Annual Meeting, Calgary, 1994.

"The United Nations and the Management of Ethnic Conflict: Concepts, Cases and Consequences, 1947-1988," ISA Annual Meeting, 1995.

Selected CIFP Outputs by CIFP Researchers either co-written or written under Carment’s direct supervision as principal investigator include:

Handbook on Governance and Democracy processes (2007)

♦ Sentinel Watch List September (2005)

♦ Assessing Small Island Developing State Fragility (2006)

♦ Working out strategies for strengthening fragile states - the British, American And German experience ♦ Commerce & Conflict: Angola and DiamondWorks Effective Defence Policy for Responding to Failed and Failing States (2005) ♦ Measuring the Reverse Flow of Risk: A Case Study of the Monywa Copper Project in Burma The Potential Expansion of Methamphetamine Production and Distribution in Canada (2005) ♦ Upheaval in Haiti: The Criminal Threat to Canada (2005)

♦ Effective Defence Policy for Responding to Failed and Failing States (2005) ♦ Ethiopia: A Risk Assessment Brief (2006)

♦ Jamaica: A Risk Assessment Brief (2006)

♦ Madagascar: A Risk Assessment Brief (2006)

♦ Papua New Guinea : A Risk Assessment Brief (2006)

♦ Preliminary Selection of Indicators: Discussion Paper (10/12/2002)

♦ Assessing Country Risk: Creating an Index of Severity (01/05/2001)

♦ Risk Assessment Template (01/08/2001)

♦ Conflict Prevention, Gender and Early Warning: A Work in Progress (11/02/2002)

♦ CIFP Methodology, Data Descriptions, Data Sources (10/12/2002)

♦ CIFP Risk Assessment Indicator Definitions (10/12/2002)

♦ Conflict Risk Assessment Report: Cambodia, Indonesia, Philippines (01/01/2002)

♦ Conflict Risk Assessment Report: West Africa: Mano River Union and Senegambia (01/04/2002)

♦ Conflict Risk Assessment Report Sub-Saharan Africa (4/11/2003)

♦ Conflict Risk Assessment Report African Great Lakes (4/11/2003)

♦ Conflict Risk Assessment Report: Bulgaria, Romania, Slovakia, and Ukraine (8/11/2002)

♦ Afghanistan: A Risk Assessment Brief (01/02/2002)

♦ Angola: A Risk Assessment Brief (24/10/2002)

♦ Colombia: A Risk Assessment Brief (24/10/2002)

♦ Democratic Republic of Congo: A Risk Assessment Brief (01/02/2002)

♦ Kashmir: A Risk Assessment Brief (01/02/2002)

♦ Kyrgyzstan: A Risk Assessment Brief (24/10/2002)

♦ Philippines: A Risk Assessment Brief (24/10/2002)

♦ Sierra Leone: A Risk Assessment Brief (01/02/2002)

♦ Sudan: A Risk Assessment Brief (2004)

♦ Guatemala: A Risk Assessment Brief (2004)

♦ Liberia: A Risk Assessment Brief (2004).

♦ Georgia: A Risk Assessment Brief (2004). ♦ Private Sector Risk Analysis and Conflict Impact Assessment:

♦ Measuring the Reverse Flow of Risk (01/12/2002)

♦ The Private Sector and Conflict Prevention Mainstreaming (24/10/2002)

♦ Fuelling Conflict or Financing Peace and Development: Part 1 (25/10/2002)

♦ Fuelling Conflict or Financing Peace and Development: Part 2 (25/10/2002)

♦ Criminogenic Survey of Russian Crime (2004). Event-monitoring briefings – prepared for the European Commission

Fysh, Adam. 2006. “Sub-national Report for Aceh: Events, Scenarios, and Analysis.” CIFP Briefing Document. Prepared for the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), July.

Fysh, Adam. 2006. “Sub-national Report for Dagestan: Events, Scenarios, and Analysis.” CIFP Briefing Document. Prepared for the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), July. Fysh, Adam. 2006. “Sub-national Report for Kaliningrad: Events, Scenarios, and Analysis.” CIFP Briefing Document. Prepared for the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), July.

Fysh, Adam. 2006. “Sub-national Report for Kashmir: Events, Scenarios, and Analysis.” CIFP Briefing Document. Prepared for the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), July.

Fysh, Adam. 2006. “Sub-national Report for Moldova: Events, Scenarios, and Analysis.” CIFP Briefing Document. Prepared for the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), July.

St. Jean, Liz. 2006. “Sub-national Report for Iraqi Kurdistan: Events, Scenarios, and Analysis.” CIFP Briefing Document. Prepared for the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), July.

St. Jean, Liz. 2006. “Sub-national Report for Kosovo: Events, Scenarios, and Analysis.” CIFP Briefing Document. Prepared for the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), July.

St. Jean, Liz. 2006. “Sub-national Report for Serbia and Montenegro: Events, Scenarios, and Analysis.” CIFP Briefing Document. Prepared for the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), July.

St. Jean, Liz. 2006. “Sub-national Report for Western Sahara: Events, Scenarios, and Analysis.” CIFP Briefing Document. Prepared for the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), July. 2006.

Research and Publications In Progress

Sequencing and Timing of Interventions in Fragile States (under review) with Teddy Samy and a team of PhD students plus colleague from DRDC

Work on Risk Assessment and Multinational Corporations using the CIFP framework for UBC/CIDA Extractive Industries Consortium

Research and Policy Outreach on Fragile States and Governance – Policy nexus with DFATD and DND.

Research on Diaspora, Trade and Development

Thematic issues of the Canadian Foreign Policy Journal available upon request including collaborations with ACSUS, GMU, Fulbright, Laval, UQAM, IDRC, CTPL or here: http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals/rcfp

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