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Derivative Trading India

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    DERIVATIVE TRADING INDIA

    Never put all eggs in a single

    basket21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    CONTENTS

    Introduction

    Development of Derivative market

    About Derivative Features & Uses

    Risk & Rewards

    Challenges Questions & Answers

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    Derivative market in India

    SEBI set up a committee in 1996 to develop

    appropriate regulatory framework for derivatives

    trading in India. SEBI constituted another group in June 1998

    under the Chairmanship of Prof. J. R. Verma & L.C.

    Gupta to recommend measures for risk

    containment in the derivatives market.

    Derivatives trading on the Exchange commenced

    on June 12, 2000.21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    Developments in the derivative

    market have been around for as long as the people have

    been trading with one another.

    a group of Chicago businessmen formed theChicago Board of Trade (CBOT) in 1848.

    The first stock index futures contract was trades

    at Kansas City Board of Trade. Currently the most

    popular futures contract in the world is based on

    S&P 500 index, traded on Chicago Mercantile

    Exchange.

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    Derivatives in India

    The futures contract at NSE is based onS&P CNX Nifty # Index.

    It has a maximum of 3-month expirationcycle.

    Three contracts are available for trading

    I.e. with 1 month, 2 months and 3months expiry.

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    B. Size of Derivative Exchanges

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    millioncontracts

    Eurex Euronext CME CBOE CBOT AMEX

    Top-8 Derivative Exchanges (volume)

    KSE: 855m (2001) ; 1930m (2002)Value $1,800 bn (#5)

    KSE BM&F

    BM&F: 101m (2002)Value $3,200 bn (#4)

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    7,0008,000

    9,000

    CMES&P500

    EurexDAX

    CMENasdaq

    EurexSTOXX

    EuronextCAC40

    EuronextFTSE

    OsakaNikkei

    Top-8 Equity Index Futures (value)

    billionUS$

    KSEKOSPI

    KSE:market-cap $216 bn (#14 ; 10% Tokyo, 60% Sydney)Cash trading $593 bn (#12 ; 40% Tokyo, 200% Sydney)

    Futures trading $1680 bn (#3 ; 200% Nikkei)

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    millioncontracts

    CMEEuro$

    EuronextEuribor

    EuronextSterling

    SGXEuro$

    KOFEXKTB

    MexderInterest

    Top-8 Interest Rate Futures (volume)

    BM&FDI-future

    BM&F: DI-futures 44m (2001) ; 71m (2002)

    Value $1,180 bn (DI) + $680 bn (DDI)

    + $850 bn (US$ futures)

    Brazil: government dom debt $180 bn

    BM&FDDI-$

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600700

    800

    900

    billionUS$

    BM&FUS$

    CMEEuro

    CMEYen

    CMECHF

    CMECAD

    CMEGBP

    CMEMXP

    Top-8 Currency Futures Exchanges (value)

    Sources: FIBV (2001) ; KSE, KOFEX, BM&F (2002)

    KOFEXUS$

    KOFEX: $75 bn USD futures trading (#7)

    KTB futures trading $1,120 bn (#6) + OTCKTB cash trading $39 bn (Israel, Ireland)

    Korea: government dom debt $100 bn

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    Derivatives are financial contracts of pre-

    determined fixed duration, whose values are

    derived from the value of an underlying

    primary financial instrument, commodity or

    index, such as: interest rates, exchange rates,

    commodities, and equities

    What is a derivative

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    Features of derivatives

    Derivatives are contracts that have no

    independent value

    They derive their value from theirunderlying assets

    They are used as risk shifting or hedging

    instruments

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    Uses of Derivatives

    To hedge or insure risks; i.e., shift risk.

    To reflect a view on the future direction of the market,

    i.e., to speculate.

    To lock in an arbitrage profit To change the nature of an asset or liability.

    To change the nature of an investment without incurring

    the costs of selling one portfolio and buying another.

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    Common financial derivatives

    forward contracts

    futures

    options

    swaps

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    Players in the derivative market (1)

    Hedgers:

    Hedgers face risk associated with the price

    of an asset. They use futures or options

    markets to reduce or eliminate this risk.

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    Speculators :

    They are people who wish to bet on future

    movements in the price of the asset. Futureand Options contracts can give them an

    extra leverage; that is, they can increase

    both the potential gains and losses in aspeculative venture.

    Players in the derivative market (2)

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    Players in the derivative market (3)

    Arbitrageurs:

    Arbitrageurs are in business to take

    advantage of a discrepancy between pricesin two different markets. For eg. If they see

    the futures price of an asset getting out of

    line with the cash price, they will takeoffsetting positions in the two markets to

    lock in a profit.

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    B. Size of Derivative Exchanges

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    millioncontracts

    Eurex Euronext CME CBOE CBOT AMEX

    Top-8 Derivative Exchanges (volume)

    KSE: 855m (2001) ; 1930m (2002)Value $1,800 bn (#5)

    KSE BM&F

    BM&F: 101m (2002)Value $3,200 bn (#4)

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    7,000

    8,000

    9,000

    CMES&P500

    EurexDAX

    CMENasdaq

    EurexSTOXX

    EuronextCAC40

    EuronextFTSE

    OsakaNikkei

    Top-8 Equity Index Futures (value)

    billionUS$

    KSEKOSPI

    KSE:market-cap $216 bn (#14 ; 10% Tokyo, 60% Sydney)Cash trading $593 bn (#12 ; 40% Tokyo, 200% Sydney)

    Futures trading $1680 bn (#3 ; 200% Nikkei)

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    millioncontracts

    CMEEuro$

    EuronextEuribor

    EuronextSterling

    SGXEuro$

    KOFEXKTB

    MexderInterest

    Top-8 Interest Rate Futures (volume)

    BM&FDI-future

    BM&F: DI-futures 44m (2001) ; 71m (2002)

    Value $1,180 bn (DI) + $680 bn (DDI)

    + $850 bn (US$ futures)

    Brazil: government dom debt $180 bn

    BM&FDDI-$

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    billionUS$

    BM&FUS$

    CMEEuro

    CMEYen

    CMECHF

    CMECAD

    CMEGBP

    CMEMXP

    Top-8 Currency Futures Exchanges (value)

    Sources: FIBV (2001) ; KSE, KOFEX, BM&F (2002)

    KOFEXUS$

    KOFEX: $75 bn USD futures trading (#7)

    KTB futures trading $1,120 bn (#6) + OTCKTB cash trading $39 bn (Israel, Ireland)

    Korea: government dom debt $100 bn

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    F. Future challenges1. Official regulation of rapidly expanding OTC derivative markets may need to be

    aligned across institutions to limit arbitrage and enhance transparency.

    2. Prudential supervision of off-balance sheet exposure may need to be

    strengthened with reporting requirements and systemic risk analysis.

    3. Derivatives exposure data may need to be considered in order to accurately

    assess BOP and reserve positions.

    4. Proper valuation and full disclosure (strong IAS39) may reveal solvency issues offinancial institutions.

    5. Capital requirements for derivatives may need to be enhanced to limit regulatory

    arbitrage and leverage.

    6. Derivatives as zero-sum risk-transfer tools may create conflict with managed FX

    and credit policies.7. Derivatives driven by distortionary taxation and weak underlying issues may

    substitute for cash markets.

    8. Management ofcounter-party risk may need to be enhanced (ISDA master,

    central clearing and counterparty).

    9. Margin systems could be tightened for leveraged members (dynamic, insurance).21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    Private

    Banks

    Financial

    Institutions

    Others

    Public

    Sector

    Banks

    ForeignBanks

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    Questions & solutions

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    Q:1

    In Nov 1996, government led L. C. Gupta

    Committee helped develop regulatory

    framework for derivatives trading in India byrecommending derivatives to be declared as

    securities. This helped catalyze

    entrepreneurial activity and transfer risks from

    risk adverse people to risk oriented people.

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    Again the J.R.Verma committee

    recommendations to develop settlement and

    risk management systems for derivatives

    including upfront margins, daily settlement,

    online surveillance and position monitoring

    and risk management marked a newdevelopment. These structural changes in the

    equity derivative market made it organized

    and transparent.

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    Risk factor in Derivatives

    More leverage

    Less transparency

    Dubious accounting

    (not reliable)Regulatory arbitrage

    Rising CP exposure

    Hidden systemic risk

    Tail-risk future exposure

    Weak capital requirements

    21-Aug-12 [email protected] 20

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    Q:2

    Problems evolve after introduction of

    derivative:

    Leverage of economy debt

    Credit risk large notional value

    Intrest rate risk

    Also attribute increasedvolatility to highlyspeculative and levered participants.

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    Lack of knowledge among investors

    Absence of sound infrastructure

    Technology limits

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    YES it should have been introduced, some

    rewards are:

    Market efficiency

    Risk sharing and transfer

    Low transaction costs

    Capital intermediation

    Liquidity enhancement

    Price discovery

    Cash market development

    Hedging tools

    Regulatory savings

    21-Aug-12 [email protected] 23

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    Q:3

    Issues which need to be addressed for acceleratinggrowth of derivative market are:

    If any loss arises from derivative trading it would betreated as speculative loss and will be set off onlyagainst speculative income.

    (Note: Income arises from derivative trading shouldbe treated same as capital gain/loss)

    Retail investors were having lots of myths andmisconceptions about derivative trading .

    The contract size was fixed at Rs 0.2 mn and it wasfixed in order to curb too much speculation from smallinvestor who had little knowledge about derivatives.

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    According to me the measures taken by RBI,SEBIand stock exchange are adequate.

    the other measures which can be taken are :

    To make the investors more and more awareabout derivatives trading and also telling them

    that this is safe for them to invest their money There must be proper arrangements which need

    to be made for doing trading in derivative market.

    There must be some tax regulations i.e if anindividual earns more profit then the limit whichis fixed by the government then he /she shouldneed to pay a fix amount of tax also.

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]

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    Thanks for being patience

    21-Aug-12 [email protected]


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