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Econometrie Bun

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Country Name Country Code GDP (current US$) Austria AUT 376837981579 Belgium BEL 468585526316 Bulgaria BGR 47727325909 Croatia HRV 59472449336 Czech Republic CZE 198929319372 Denmark DNK 313365836299 Finland FIN 235257894737 France FRA 2549027263158 Germany DEU 3284473684211 Greece GRC 292304602599 Hungary HUN 128631634125 Iceland ISL 12569632120 Ireland IRL 205252961136 Israel ISR 217443434073 Italy ITA 2043530529926 Netherlands NLD 774657894737 Norway NOR 417752649007 Poland POL 469781791045 Portugal PRT 227196973684 Romania ROU 161628748545 Russian Federation RUS 1487515608183 Serbia SRB 38423272672 Slovak Republic SVK 87077443709 Slovenia SVN 46908328071 Spain ESP 1380109210526 Sweden SWE 462903051318 Switzerland CHE 552224618427 Turkey TUR 731144392556 Ukraine UKR 136418622767 United Kingdom GBR 2256260000000
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Page 1: Econometrie Bun

Country Name Country Code GDP (current US$)

Austria AUT 376837981579 4.60Belgium BEL 468585526316 8.10Bulgaria BGR 47727325909 10.90Croatia HRV 59472449336 11.40

Czech Republic CZE 198929319372 6.40Denmark DNK 313365836299 8.20Finland FIN 235257894737 9.00France FRA 2549027263158 9.00

Germany DEU 3284473684211 7.50Greece GRC 292304602599 9.90

Hungary HUN 128631634125 11.60Iceland ISL 12569632120 8.30Ireland IRL 205252961136 16.70Israel ISR 217443434073 6.80Italy ITA 2043530529926 7.60

Netherlands NLD 774657894737 4.40Norway NOR 417752649007 4.10Poland POL 469781791045 9.30

Portugal PRT 227196973684 9.80Romania ROU 161628748545 7.90

Russian Federation RUS 1487515608183 8.00Serbia SRB 38423272672 18.40

Slovak Republic SVK 87077443709 14.20Slovenia SVN 46908328071 7.40

Spain ESP 1380109210526 19.70Sweden SWE 462903051318 8.50

Switzerland CHE 552224618427 3.80Turkey TUR 731144392556 11.40Ukraine UKR 136418622767 0.00

United Kingdom GBR 2256260000000 8.60

Unemployment, male (% of male labor force)

Page 2: Econometrie Bun

49.9 3.9577.6 2.3459.3 2.4739.9 2.1063.3 15.0144.8 3.6339.0 6.3627.7 4.4141.4 5.0931.5 2.5180.0 25.5846.2 0.0782.3 7.4934.9 12.2928.5 2.1470.1 12.4628.8 1.4243.5 9.5038.2 3.9829.8 8.3921.7 0.2351.4 1.6382.6 19.2764.9 2.1829.4 2.1943.3 9.7940.5 1.6426.8 1.8453.6 1.0732.7 5.93

Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)

ICT goods exports (% of total goods

exports)

Page 3: Econometrie Bun

GDP (current US$) Unemployment, male (% of male labor force)

Mean 655447089338 Mean 9.05000005245209Standard Error 154212500975 Standard Error 0.76416510025963Median 302835219449 Median 8.40000009536743Mode #N/A Mode 11.3999996185303Standard Deviation 844656654335 Standard Deviation 4.18550463070396Sample Variance 7.134449E+23 Sample Variance 17.5184490136443Kurtosis 2.7399855973 Kurtosis 1.33130704326985Skewness 1.8623882539 Skewness 0.714286551711694Range 3.271904E+12 Range 19.7000007629395Minimum 12569632120 Minimum 0Maximum 3.284474E+12 Maximum 19.7000007629395Sum 1.966341E+13 Sum 271.500001573563Count 30 Count 30

Page 4: Econometrie Bun

Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) ICT goods exports (% of total goods exports)

Mean 46.7788309478005 MeanStandard Error 3.29892007498036 Standard ErrorMedian 42.369277284587 MedianMode #N/A ModeStandard Deviation 18.0689294047338 Standard DeviationSample Variance 326.486209833253 Sample VarianceKurtosis -0.525330413813803 KurtosisSkewness 0.746859158321584 SkewnessRange 60.8812244029364 RangeMinimum 21.6714732261969 MinimumMaximum 82.5526976291334 MaximumSum 1403.36492843401 SumCount 30 Count

Page 5: Econometrie Bun

ICT goods exports (% of total goods exports)

5.898449344773331.09312720124772

3.78993605935#N/A

5.9873042634586435.84781234323

3.199257398442131.76660651683274

25.50188028040.0731529894

25.5750332698176.9534803432

30

Page 6: Econometrie Bun

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression StatisticsMultiple R 0.424998R Square 0.180624Adjusted R 0.08608Standard E 8.07E+11Observatio 30

ANOVAdf SS MS F Significance F

Regression 3 3.737083E+24 1.25E+24 1.910482 0.152674Residual 26 1.695282E+25 6.52E+23Total 29 2.06899E+25

CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%Intercept 1.59E+12504271077965 3.144244 0.004135 5.49E+11 2.62E+12 5.49E+11 2.62E+12Unemployme1.74E+09 36175135304 0.04812 0.961989 -7.26E+10 7.61E+10 -7.26E+10 7.61E+10Imports of -2.16E+10 9834446785 -2.1958 0.037226 -4.18E+10 -1.38E+09 -4.18E+10 -1.38E+09ICT goods e1.09E+10 29571110991 0.36868 0.715351 -5E+10 7.17E+10 -5E+10 7.17E+10

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted GDP (current US$)Residuals1 5.59E+11 -1.82056E+112 -5.13E+105198379137503 3.51E+11 -3.03059E+114 7.67E+11 -7.07919E+115 3.93E+11 -1.94254E+116 6.72E+11 -3.58972E+117 8.28E+11 -5.93097E+118 1.05E+12 1.498747E+129 7.59E+11 2.525302E+12

10 9.5E+11 -6.57253E+1111 1.56E+11 -2743548624012 6.02E+11 -5.89535E+1113 -8E+1028540411567814 9.77E+11 -7.59758E+1115 1.01E+12 1.037022E+1216 2.16E+1155860835501617 9.87E+11 -5.69426E+1118 7.67E+11 -2.97148E+1119 8.21E+11 -5.94211E+1120 1.05E+12 -8.86579E+1121 1.13E+1235349868722922 5.25E+11 -4.87038E+11

0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00-5000000000000

0

5000000000000

Unemployment, male (% of male labor force) Residual

Plot

Unemployment, male (% of male labor force)

Resid

uals

Page 7: Econometrie Bun

23 3.76E+10 4945005349324 2.22E+11 -1.74686E+1125 1.01E+1237071798965026 7.72E+11 -3.09185E+1127 7.36E+11 -1.83451E+1128 1.05E+12 -3.16416E+1129 4.41E+11 -3.04106E+1130 9.59E+11 1.296998E+12

Page 8: Econometrie Bun

Upper 95.0%

0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00-5000000000000

0

5000000000000

Unemployment, male (% of male labor force) Residual

Plot

Unemployment, male (% of male labor force)

Resid

uals

10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0-2000000000000

0

2000000000000

4000000000000

Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) Residual Plot

Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)

Resid

uals

0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00-2000000000000

0

2000000000000

4000000000000

ICT goods exports (% of total goods exports) Residual Plot

ICT goods exports (% of total goods exports)

Resid

uals

Page 9: Econometrie Bun

10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0-2000000000000

0

2000000000000

4000000000000

Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) Residual Plot

Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)

Resid

uals

Page 10: Econometrie Bun

ResidualsAustria 4.60 49.9 3.95 182056456407.475 -182056456407Belgium 8.10 77.6 2.34 519837913750.241 519837913750Bulgaria 10.90 59.3 2.47 303059341896.379 -303059341896Croatia 11.40 39.9 2.10 707919073234.588 -707919073235

Czech Republic 6.40 63.3 15.01 194254425668.887 -194254425669Denmark 8.20 44.8 3.63 358972270238.874 -358972270239Finland 9.00 39.0 6.36 593097146539.676 -593097146540France 9.00 27.7 4.41 1498746736010.17 1498746736010

Germany 7.50 41.4 5.09 2525302064949.98 2525302064950Greece 9.90 31.5 2.51 657252662580.849 -657252662581

Hungary 11.60 80.0 25.58 27435486240.0703 -27435486240Iceland 8.30 46.2 0.07 589534745445.913 -589534745446Ireland 16.70 82.3 7.49 285404115678.13 285404115678Israel 6.80 34.9 12.29 759758469985.202 -759758469985Italy 7.60 28.5 2.14 1037022023909.97 1037022023910

Netherlands 4.40 70.1 12.46 558608355015.908 558608355016Norway 4.10 28.8 1.42 569425650506.273 -569425650506Poland 9.30 43.5 9.50 297147880829.712 -297147880830

Portugal 9.80 38.2 3.98 594211467771.721 -594211467772Romania 7.90 29.8 8.39 886578787612.606 -886578787613

Russian Federation 8.00 21.7 0.23 353498687228.998 353498687229Serbia 18.40 51.4 1.63 487038135351.242 -487038135351

Slovak Republic 14.20 82.6 19.27 49450053492.9026 49450053492.9Slovenia 7.40 64.9 2.18 174686336721.249 -174686336721

Spain 19.70 29.4 2.19 370717989650.161 370717989650Sweden 8.50 43.3 9.79 309184726383.108 -309184726383

Switzerland 3.80 40.5 1.64 183450870693.232 -183450870693Turkey 11.40 26.8 1.84 316415541099.325 -316415541099Ukraine 0.00 53.6 1.07 304106426473.098 -304106426473

United Kingdom 8.60 32.7 5.93 1296997961993.01 1296997961993

Country Name

Unemployment, male (% of male

labor force)

Imports of goods and

services (% of GDP)

ICT goods exports (% of total goods

exports)

Erorile modelului de regresie valori absolute(abs(u))

Page 11: Econometrie Bun

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression StatisticsMultiple R 0.41084899584R Square 0.16879689738Adjusted R Square 0.07288884708Standard Error 484065037026Observations 30

ANOVAdf SS MS F

Regression 3 1.2371948E+24 4.123983E+23 1.75998674614Residual 26 6.092293E+24 2.34319E+23Total 29 7.3294878E+24

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-valueIntercept 1148399471787 302296761785 3.7989142358 0.00078812684Unemployment, male (% -6107951804.8 21686007263.3 -0.281654051 0.78043842435Imports of goods and se -11569987705 5895482701.48 -1.962517455 0.0604869506ICT goods exports (% of 2454947716.18 17727074753.3 0.1384857767 0.89092354402

Page 12: Econometrie Bun

Significance F0.1795367126

Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%527019578731 1769779364842 527019578731 1769779364842-50684178141 38468274531.486 -50684178141 38468274531.5-23688325953 548350542.57001 -23688325953 548350542.57-33983576300 38893471732.52 -33983576300 38893471732.5

Page 13: Econometrie Bun

Country Name x1 x2

Austria 4.60 21.16 49.9 2490.68Belgium 8.10 65.61 77.6 6026.47Bulgaria 10.90 118.81 59.3 3517.06Croatia 11.40 129.96 39.9 1589.29

Czech Republic 6.40 40.96 63.3 4008.24Denmark 8.20 67.24 44.8 2005.58Finland 9.00 81.00 39.0 1521.24France 9.00 81.00 27.7 769.58

Germany 7.50 56.25 41.4 1717.32Greece 9.90 98.01 31.5 993.45

Hungary 11.60 134.56 80.0 6407.00Iceland 8.30 68.89 46.2 2138.84Ireland 16.70 278.89 82.3 6767.41Israel 6.80 46.24 34.9 1219.66Italy 7.60 57.76 28.5 812.70

Netherlands 4.40 19.36 70.1 4908.78Norway 4.10 16.81 28.8 826.91Poland 9.30 86.49 43.5 1888.16

Portugal 9.80 96.04 38.2 1458.23Romania 7.90 62.41 29.8 885.50

Russian Federation 8.00 64.00 21.7 469.65Serbia 18.40 338.56 51.4 2641.41

Slovak Republic 14.20 201.64 82.6 6814.95Slovenia 7.40 54.76 64.9 4206.83

Spain 19.70 388.09 29.4 862.89Sweden 8.50 72.25 43.3 1874.71

Switzerland 3.80 14.44 40.5 1639.60Turkey 11.40 129.96 26.8 716.09Ukraine 0.00 0.00 53.6 2869.15

United Kingdom 8.60 73.96 32.7 1068.48

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression StatisticsMultiple R 0.399138R Square 0.159311Adjusted R Square -0.218999Standard Error 1.33E+24

Unemployment, male (% of male

labor force)

Imports of goods and services (%

of GDP)

Page 14: Econometrie Bun

Observations 30

ANOVAdf SS MS F

Regression 9 6.74141387941969E+48 7.49045987E+47 0.42111167438689Residual 20 3.55746958425098E+49 1.77873479E+48Total 29 4.23161097219295E+49

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-valueIntercept -2.93E+23 2.83915436428048E+24 -0.10322973003 0.91880874409937Unemployment, male (% 1.01E+23 2.15932441931656E+23 0.466013434533 0.64624123202725x1 -6.77E+21 1.01915392907469E+22 -0.66433539133 0.51406278338355Imports of goods and se2.99E+22 1.07948463796655E+23 0.277405635177 0.78431578555957x2 -6.05E+20 1.1522469271473E+021 -0.52546265807 0.60503907705317ICT goods exports (% of 2.85E+23 2.23144421578097E+23 1.276064651191 0.21655346082395x3 -2.84E+22 2.26810085157274E+22 -1.2537205185 0.22440118543442x1*x2 4.21E+17 1.82774601862281E+18 0.230263152572 0.82022616119024x1*x3 -2.57E+19 6.67902696413132E+19 -0.38451932518 0.7046517325605x2*x3 3.42E+18 3.20082037230694E+18 1.069813326712 0.29744531936174

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted Reziduul la patrat(u2)Residuals1 8.41E+23 -8.07492120465611E+232 -4.66E+23 7.36424651860196E+233 4.06E+23 -3.14318729592523E+234 7.74E+23 -2.73084655846962E+235 3.34E+23 -2.96655095024504E+236 9.87E+23 -8.58335871453573E+237 1.15E+24 -7.98319444157918E+238 1.17E+24 1.07742718729271E+249 1.15E+24 5.22710981033914E+24

10 9.65E+23 -5.32631246977654E+2311 -3.83E+23 3.84087164177254E+2312 2.48E+23 9.92158140890809E+2213 9.54E+22 -1.39759949933344E+2214 6.57E+22 5.11567291796156E+2315 9.47E+23 1.28173295109114E+2316 8.5E+23 -5.38289861803068E+2317 7.23E+23 -3.99211212141955E+2318 8.06E+23 -7.18027919426107E+2319 1.09E+24 -7.32401931785888E+2320 9.45E+23 -1.59074087956032E+2321 5.2E+23 -3.95305587400695E+2322 -2.9E+22 2.66224249584345E+2323 3.66E+23 -3.63402015710502E+23

Page 15: Econometrie Bun

24 1.21E+23 -9.00909492525521E+2225 1.35E+22 1.23934887422978E+2326 7.91E+23 -6.95643349194944E+2327 6.27E+23 -5.9291170619998E+02328 8.05E+23 -7.05117528259773E+2329 -1.43E+23 2.35244996385074E+2330 1.19E+24 4.94879959587496E+23

Page 16: Econometrie Bun

x3 x1*x2 x1*x3 x2*x3

3.95 15.59 52702.71 329.85 38825.362.34 5.46 395396.58 358.45 32924.432.47 6.10 417861.33 724.21 21438.432.10 4.40 206544.11 572.34 6999.21

15.01 225.32 164177.48 9229.30 903155.293.63 13.19 134855.21 886.83 26451.696.36 40.51 123220.65 3281.18 61623.144.41 19.48 62336.12 1578.13 14993.835.09 25.87 96599.39 1455.24 44428.582.51 6.32 97367.79 619.48 6279.15

25.58 654.08 862126.34 88013.32 4190707.230.07 0.01 147344.66 0.37 11.457.49 56.13 1887363.55 15654.67 379868.79

12.29 151.01 56397.30 6982.57 184177.942.14 4.58 46941.66 264.76 3725.21

12.46 155.17 95033.96 3004.05 761684.941.42 2.01 13900.40 33.81 1663.389.50 90.19 163307.32 7800.13 170284.743.98 15.86 140048.86 1523.54 23132.808.39 70.44 55264.00 4395.90 62370.910.23 0.05 30057.78 3.43 25.171.63 2.64 894276.42 894.56 6979.27

19.27 371.17 1374166.05 74842.04 2529481.232.18 4.76 230365.81 260.55 20015.862.19 4.80 334878.42 1862.65 4141.459.79 95.85 135448.07 6925.23 179693.071.64 2.70 23675.83 38.98 4426.041.84 3.37 93062.50 438.57 2416.541.07 1.15 0.00 0.00 3287.345.93 35.12 79024.99 2597.80 37529.76

ICT goods exports (% of total goods

exports)

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.0005

1015

Unemployment, male (% of male labor force) Residual Plot

Unemployment, male (% of male labor force)

Resid

uals

Page 17: Econometrie Bun

Significance F0.90839943230459

Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%-6.215457364E+24 5.6292870865E+24 -6.2154574E+24 5.62928709E+24-3.497997621E+23 5.5105459984E+23 -3.4979976E+23 5.510546E+23-2.802977867E+22 1.4488578189E+22 -2.8029779E+22 1.44885782E+22-1.952310375E+23 2.5512206183E+23 -1.9523104E+23 2.55122062E+23-3.009007705E+21 1.7980822392E+21 -3.0090077E+21 1.79808224E+21-1.807243984E+23 7.5021781536E+23 -1.807244E+23 7.50217815E+23-7.574740047E+22 1.8876108955E+22 -7.57474E+22 1.8876109E+22-3.391748825E+18 4.2334739461E+18 -3.3917488E+18 4.23347395E+18-1.650042105E+20 1.1363991169E+20 -1.6500421E+20 1.13639912E+20-3.252514007E+18 1.0101074589E+19 -3.252514E+18 1.01010746E+19

4.77933 homostedasticitate

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.0005

1015

Unemployment, male (% of male labor force) Residual Plot

Unemployment, male (% of male labor force)

Resid

uals

Page 18: Econometrie Bun

Reziduul la patrat(u2) Residuals

3.31445533196467E+022 -182056456407.472.70231456572203E+023 519837913750.249.18449647106663E+022 -303059341896.385.01149414249318E+023 -707919073234.593.77347818919492E+022 -194254425668.891.28861090800451E+023 -358972270238.873.51764225233506E+023 -593097146539.682.24624177870115E+024 1498746736010.26.37715051924065E+024 25253020649504.31981062469615E+023 -657252662580.857.52705905229085E+020 -27435486240.073.47551216087977E+023 -589534745445.918.14555092460154E+022 285404115678.135.77232932714255E+023 -759758469985.21.07541467807433E+024 10370220239103.12043294293578E+023 558608355015.913.24245571454492E+023 -569425650506.278.82968630815888E+022 -297147880829.713.53087268431423E+023 -594211467771.727.86021946644639E+023 -886578787612.611.24961321872625E+023 3534986872292.37206145286415E+023 -487038135351.242.44530779045093E+021 49450053492.9033.05153162370896E+022 -174686336721.251.37431827850257E+023 370717989650.169.55951950285976E+022 -309184726383.113.3654221958105E+022 -183450870693.23

1.00118794649179E+023 -316415541099.339.24807186222376E+022 -304106426473.11.68220371341403E+024 1296997961993

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.0005

1015

Unemployment, male (% of male labor force) Residual Plot

Unemployment, male (% of male labor force)

Resid

uals

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.000

5

10

15

x1 Residual Plot

x1

Resid

uals

0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.005

1015

Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) Residual Plot

Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)

Resid

uals

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.000

5

10

15

x2 Residual Plot

x2

Resid

uals

Page 19: Econometrie Bun

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.0005

1015

Unemployment, male (% of male labor force) Residual Plot

Unemployment, male (% of male labor force)

Resid

uals

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.000

5

10

15

x1 Residual Plot

x1

Resid

uals

0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.005

1015

Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) Residual Plot

Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)

Resid

uals

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.000

5

10

15

x2 Residual Plot

x2

Resid

uals

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.0005

1015

ICT goods exports (% of total goods exports) Residual Plot

ICT goods exports (% of total goods exports)

Resid

uals

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.000

5

10

15

x3 Residual Plot

x3

Resid

uals

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.000

5

10

15

x1*x2 Residual Plot

x1*x2

Resid

uals

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.000

5

10

15

x1*x3 Residual Plot

x1*x3

Resid

uals

Page 20: Econometrie Bun

0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.005

1015

Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) Residual Plot

Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)

Resid

uals

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.000

5

10

15

x2 Residual Plot

x2

Resid

uals

Page 21: Econometrie Bun

0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.005

1015

Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) Residual Plot

Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)

Resid

uals

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.000

5

10

15

x2 Residual Plot

x2

Resid

uals

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.0005

1015

ICT goods exports (% of total goods exports) Residual Plot

ICT goods exports (% of total goods exports)

Resid

uals

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.000

5

10

15

x3 Residual Plot

x3

Resid

uals

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.000

5

10

15

x1*x2 Residual Plot

x1*x2

Resid

uals

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.000

5

10

15

x1*x3 Residual Plot

x1*x3

Resid

uals

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.000

5

10

15

x2*x3 Residual Plot

x2*x3

Resid

uals

Page 22: Econometrie Bun

Country Name Y GDP (current US$) Y/X2 1/X2

Austria 376837981579 151299449.77 0.0004015Belgium 468585526316 77754591.72 0.0001659Bulgaria 47727325909 13570251.02 0.0002843Croatia 59472449336 37420766.72 0.0006292

Czech Republic 198929319372 49630103.46 0.0002495Denmark 313365836299 156246968.54 0.0004986Finland 235257894737 154648509.11 0.0006574France 2549027263158 3312224341.13 0.0012994

Germany 3284473684211 1912554999.55 0.0005823Greece 292304602599 294232546.04 0.0010066

Hungary 128631634125 20076725.47 0.0001561Iceland 12569632120 5876846.86 0.0004675Ireland 205252961136 30329611.66 0.0001478Israel 217443434073 178281322.17 0.0008199Italy 2043530529926 2514489953.12 0.0012305

Netherlands 774657894737 157810721.96 0.0002037Norway 417752649007 505195776.40 0.0012093Poland 469781791045 248803479.42 0.0005296

Portugal 227196973684 155802752.65 0.0006858Romania 161628748545 182528415.27 0.0011293

Russian Federation 1487515608183 3167266884.95 0.0021292Serbia 38423272672 14546490.15 0.0003786

Slovak Republic 87077443709 12777418.87 0.0001467Slovenia 46908328071 11150526.60 0.0002377

Spain 1380109210526 1599406212.10 0.0011589Sweden 462903051318 246919322.12 0.0005334

Switzerland 552224618427 336804443.89 0.0006099Turkey 731144392556 1021029104.18 0.0013965Ukraine 136418622767 47546719.35 0.0003485

United Kingdom 2256260000000 2111648558.23 0.0009359

Country Name Y GDP (current US$) Y/X3 1/X3

Austria 376837981579 151299449.76681 0.0641507568133024Belgium 468585526316 77754591.7180951 0.183039394525065Bulgaria 47727325909 13570251.0175773 0.164053813912371Croatia 59472449336 37420766.7163728 0.227067176763982

Czech Republic 198929319372 49630103.4554874 0.0044380397424536Denmark 313365836299 156246968.538087 0.0758205023166015Finland 235257894737 154648509.108755 0.024686221124506France 2549027263158 3312224341.13447 0.0513265451460225

Germany 3284473684211 1912554999.54707 0.038653550383342Greece 292304602599 294232546.037711 0.158213669969534

Page 23: Econometrie Bun

Hungary 128631634125 20076725.4724038 0.0015288595320511Iceland 12569632120 5876846.85961978 186.868389812321Ireland 205252961136 30329611.6632421 0.0178151289913441Israel 217443434073 178281322.167866 0.0066222085069805Italy 2043530529926 2514489953.11688 0.218162602455517

Netherlands 774657894737 157810721.957086 0.0064446312580782Norway 417752649007 505195776.400158 0.497127004595429Poland 469781791045 248803479.424525 0.0110882755911841

Portugal 227196973684 155802752.649237 0.0630375234260789Romania 161628748545 182528415.265377 0.0141973097608536

Russian Federation 1487515608183 3167266884.95296 18.658369990652Serbia 38423272672 14546490.1478703 0.378465605119026

Slovak Republic 87077443709 12777418.8691078 0.0026942077320596Slovenia 46908328071 11150526.6036408 0.210174628483339

Spain 1380109210526 1599406212.09807 0.208353980113477Sweden 462903051318 246919322.121926 0.010432866145174

Switzerland 552224618427 336804443.889925 0.370444246570173Turkey 731144392556 1021029104.18007 0.296326327004657Ukraine 136418622767 47546719.351804 0.872787501328816

United Kingdom 2256260000000 2111648558.23433 0.0284702753045323

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression StatisticsMultiple R 0.515472841827015R Square 0.265712250661218Adjusted R Square 0.180986741122128Standard Error 891304214.634178Observations 30

ANOVAdf SS MS

Regression 3 7.474300658733E+18 2.491433552911E+18Residual 26 2.065500327864E+19 7.944232030246E+17Total 29 2.812930393737E+19

Coefficients Standard Error t StatIntercept 545217814.474322 170167608.968868 3.204004673851111/X3 37812439.1811958 398775135.398126 0.0948214565671074X1/X3 2356097.17660151 6307773.48412351 0.373522794141505X2/X3 -94935.1506478752 34752.3255385027 -2.73176396620408

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Y/X3 Residuals

Page 24: Econometrie Bun

1 535673125.270872 -384373675.5040612 475712701.146681 -397958109.4285863 542568038.90971 -528997787.8921334 589071599.123157 -551650832.4067845 544125148.688642 -494495045.2331556 545660328.821122 -389413360.2830357 547297305.667919 -392648796.5591648 553204017.292139 2759020323.842339 545500319.264046 1367054680.28302

10 572813508.076982 -278580962.03927111 544830400.139494 -524753674.6670912 -1758619.44934082 7635466.308960613 546152025.865141 -515822414.20189914 545422899.817468 -367141577.64960115 566324313.269629 1948165639.8472516 542752168.457599 -384941446.50051317 544678619.668219 -39482843.268061318 545909037.079573 -297105557.65504819 553138749.970744 -397335997.32150720 546648782.287339 -364120367.02196321 3232323562.66666 -65056677.713700322 766517954.553593 -751971464.40572323 544856569.058252 -532079150.18914424 496343100.105771 -485192573.5021325 726542410.811192 872863801.28687426 545531470.52788 -298612148.40595427 514166730.909759 -177362287.01983428 627012503.568992 394016600.61107429 340487479.192143 -292940759.84033930 548367561.705129 1563280996.5292

Page 25: Econometrie Bun

X1/X2 X3/X2 x1 x2

0.0084957 0.0062587 21.16 2490.680.0108870 0.0009066 65.61 6026.470.0337811 0.0017331 118.81 3517.060.0817724 0.0027710 129.96 1589.290.0102190 0.0562154 40.96 4008.240.0335265 0.0065762 67.24 2005.580.0532459 0.0266285 81.00 1521.240.1052520 0.0253165 81.00 769.580.0327545 0.0150646 56.25 1717.320.0986564 0.0063623 98.01 993.450.0210020 0.1020887 134.56 6407.000.0322091 0.0000025 68.89 2138.840.0412107 0.0082945 278.89 6767.410.0379121 0.1238103 46.24 1219.660.0710716 0.0056401 57.76 812.700.0039440 0.0316103 19.36 4908.780.0203286 0.0024326 16.81 826.910.0458064 0.0477635 86.49 1888.160.0658605 0.0108786 96.04 1458.230.0704800 0.0795437 62.41 885.500.1362709 0.0001141 64.00 469.650.1281739 0.0010003 338.56 2641.410.0295879 0.0544636 201.64 6814.950.0130169 0.0011310 54.76 4206.830.4497569 0.0055622 388.09 862.890.0385392 0.0511283 72.25 1874.710.0088070 0.0016464 14.44 1639.600.1814866 0.0047126 129.96 716.090.0000000 0.0003993 0.00 2869.150.0692197 0.0328731 73.96 1068.48

X1/X3 X2/X3 x1 x2

1.35742995788486 159.778781426803 21.16 2490.6812.0092158059381 1103.08097727546 65.61 6026.4719.4912322666507 576.986367680898 118.81 3517.0629.5096483173281 360.875587300982 129.96 1589.29

0.181782113268428 17.7887242589126 40.96 4008.245.09817033859783 152.064102998935 67.24 2005.581.99958391108498 37.5537303542661 81.00 1521.244.15745015682782 39.4999702393662 81.00 769.582.17426220906299 66.3806107879034 56.25 1717.3215.5065205987103 157.176983134275 98.01 993.45

Page 26: Econometrie Bun

0.205723352163351 9.79540713578917 134.56 6407.0012873.3639658333 399681.490922064 68.89 2138.844.96846177836424 120.562307855605 278.89 6767.41

0.306210938540747 8.07687390578861 46.24 1219.6612.6010716015855 177.301141352106 57.76 812.70

0.124768066564944 31.635268002232 19.36 4908.788.35670455848941 411.080481595259 16.81 826.91

0.959024995219039 20.9364836009246 86.49 1888.166.05412398550031 91.9235013979248 96.04 1458.23

0.886054123567459 12.5717051014281 62.41 885.501194.13567940173 8762.954810096 64.00 469.65128.133315269097 999.683565917449 338.56 2641.41

0.543260032498329 18.3608852876327 201.64 6814.9511.5091629523961 884.168145200846 54.76 4206.8380.8601024053215 179.786251190824 388.09 862.890.75377457898882 19.5586377408106 72.25 1874.715.34921478622569 607.380444117656 14.44 1639.6038.5105668802241 212.195060326176 129.96 716.09

0 2504.15739556846 0.00 2869.152.10566174832464 30.4199972614362 73.96 1068.48

F Significance F3.13615405922847 0.0424680312965073

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0%0.00356715507674242 195433284.735344 895002344.213299 195433284.7353

0.925183658974841 -781881591.02845 857506469.390842 -781881591.02850.711787812397645 -10609716.9123053 15321911.2655083 -10609716.91231

0.0111685700217883 -166369.578853568 -23500.7224421825 -166369.5788536

Page 27: Econometrie Bun

x3

15.5882806326088 SUMMARY OUTPUT5.466.10 Regression Statistics4.40 Multiple R 0.7496622

225.32 R Square 0.561993513.19 Adjusted R 0.511454340.51 Standard Er68838771019.48 Observatio 3025.876.32 ANOVA

654.08 df SS MS0.01 Regression 3 1.581E+19 5.269E+18

56.13 Residual 26 1.232E+19 4.739E+17151.01 Total 29 2.813E+19

4.58155.17 CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat

2.01 Intercept -3.59E+08251235839 -1.42892190.19 1/X2 1.516E+12 3.158E+11 4.801308315.86 X1/X2 199488985 1.776E+09 0.112309970.44 X3/X2 -2.19E+09 4.024E+09 -0.5430050.052.64

371.174.76 RESIDUAL OUTPUT4.80

95.85 ObservationPredicted Y/X2Residuals2.70 1237731037 -864315873.37 2 -1.07E+081849866521.15 3 75025758 -61455507

35.12 4605207995 -5.68E+085 -1.02E+081511906516389261061 -2.33E+08

x37590052555 -4.35E+08

15.59 8 1.577E+09 1.736E+095.46 9497443888 1.415E+096.10 10 1.173E+09 -8.79E+084.40 11 -3.41E+08361347932

225.32 12356265391 -3.5E+0813.19 13 -1.45E+0817520137940.51 14621047312 -4.43E+0819.48 15 1.508E+09 1.006E+0925.87 16 -1.18E+082762440876.32 17 1.473E+09 -9.68E+08

Page 28: Econometrie Bun

654.08 18348711737 -999082570.01 19670049800 -5.14E+08

56.13 20 1.193E+09 -1.01E+09151.01 21 2.896E+09271201479

4.58 22238359896 -2.24E+08155.17 23 -2.5E+08262424763

2.01 24 1519098 963142990.19 25 1.476E+0912383198615.86 26345669699 -9875037770.44 27563838563 -2.27E+080.05 28 1.784E+09 -7.63E+082.64 29168545193 -1.21E+08

371.17 30 1E+09 1.11E+094.764.80

95.852.703.371.15

35.12

Upper 95.0%895002344.213299857506469.39084215321911.2655083

-23500.7224421825

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 2000

5

10

15

1/X3 Residual Plot

1/X3

Resid

uals

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 140000

5

10

15

X1/X3 Residual Plot

X1/X3

Resid

uals

0 100000 200000 300000 400000 5000000

5

10

15

X2/X3 Residual Plot

X2/X3

Resid

uals

Page 29: Econometrie Bun

F Significance F11.119949 7.037E-05

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%0.1649321 -8.75E+08157426562 -8.75E+081574265625.678E-05 8.67E+11 2.165E+12 8.67E+11 2.165E+120.9114403 -3.45E+09 3.851E+09 -3.45E+09 3.851E+090.5917512 -1.05E+10 6.087E+09 -1.05E+10 6.087E+09

0.0000000

0.0005000

0.0010000

0.0015000

0.0020000

0.002500005

1015

1/X2 Residual Plot

1/X2

Resid

uals

0.0000000

0.1000000

0.2000000

0.3000000

0.4000000

0.500000005

1015

X1/X2 Residual Plot

X1/X2

Resid

uals

0.0000000 0.0500000 0.1000000 0.15000000

2

4

6

8

10

12

Page 30: Econometrie Bun

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 140000

5

10

15

X1/X3 Residual Plot

X1/X3

Resid

uals

0 100000 200000 300000 400000 5000000

5

10

15

X2/X3 Residual Plot

X2/X3

Resid

uals

Page 31: Econometrie Bun

0.0000000

0.0005000

0.0010000

0.0015000

0.0020000

0.002500005

1015

1/X2 Residual Plot

1/X2

Resid

uals

0.0000000

0.1000000

0.2000000

0.3000000

0.4000000

0.500000005

1015

X1/X2 Residual Plot

X1/X2

Resid

uals

0.0000000 0.0500000 0.1000000 0.15000000

2

4

6

8

10

12

Page 32: Econometrie Bun

Residuals-182056456407.475 3.314455E+22 -6.03418E+33 1.098561E+45519837913750.241 2.702315E+23 1.404766E+35 7.302504E+46-303059341896.379 9.184496E+22 -2.783447E+34 8.435498E+45-707919073234.588 5.011494E+23 -3.547732E+35 2.511507E+47-194254425668.887 3.773478E+22 -7.330148E+33 1.423914E+45-358972270238.874 1.288611E+23 -4.625756E+34 1.660518E+46-593097146539.676 3.517642E+23 -2.086304E+35 1.237381E+471498746736010.17 2.246242E+24 3.366548E+36 5.045602E+482525302064949.98 6.377151E+24 1.610423E+37 4.066805E+49-657252662580.849 4.319811E+23 -2.839207E+35 1.866076E+47-27435486240.0703 7.527059E+20 -2.065085E+31 5.665662E+41-589534745445.913 3.475512E+23 -2.048935E+35 1.207918E+47285404115678.13 8.145551E+22 2.324774E+34 6.635E+45

-759758469985.202 5.772329E+23 -4.385576E+35 3.331979E+471037022023909.97 1.075415E+24 1.115229E+36 1.156517E+48558608355015.908 3.120433E+23 1.7431E+35 9.737102E+46-569425650506.273 3.242456E+23 -1.846337E+35 1.051352E+47-297147880829.712 8.829686E+22 -2.623723E+34 7.796336E+45-594211467771.721 3.530873E+23 -2.098085E+35 1.246706E+47-886578787612.606 7.860219E+23 -6.968704E+35 6.178305E+47353498687228.998 1.249613E+23 4.417366E+34 1.561533E+46-487038135351.242 2.372061E+23 -1.155284E+35 5.626676E+4649450053492.9026 2.445308E+21 1.209206E+32 5.97953E+42-174686336721.249 3.051532E+22 -5.330609E+33 9.311845E+44370717989650.161 1.374318E+23 5.094845E+34 1.888751E+46-309184726383.108 9.55952E+22 -2.955657E+34 9.138441E+45-183450870693.232 3.365422E+22 -6.173896E+33 1.132607E+45-316415541099.325 1.001188E+23 -3.167914E+34 1.002377E+46-304106426473.098 9.248072E+22 -2.812398E+34 8.552683E+451296997961993.01 1.682204E+24 2.181815E+36 2.829809E+48

Total 1.695282E+25 2.02889E+37 5.189604E+495.650939E+23 6.762968E+35 1.729868E+48

2.5346192786 JBk 5.4171603974 excel = CHIDIST(G33,2).

T/6 5k-3 2.4171603974

1.4606660967

e2 e3 e4

S2

(k-3)2/4

Page 33: Econometrie Bun

39.56331266522.564105E-09

Page 34: Econometrie Bun

Country Name Regression

Austria 4.60 49.9 3.95 -182056456407Belgium 8.10 77.6 2.34 519837913750Bulgaria 10.90 59.3 2.47 -303059341896Croatia 11.40 39.9 2.10 -707919073235

Czech Republic 6.40 63.3 15.01 -194254425669Denmark 8.20 44.8 3.63 -358972270239Finland 9.00 39.0 6.36 -593097146540France 9.00 27.7 4.41 1498746736010

Germany 7.50 41.4 5.09 2525302064950Greece 9.90 31.5 2.51 -657252662581

Hungary 11.60 80.0 25.58 -27435486240Iceland 8.30 46.2 0.07 -589534745446Ireland 16.70 82.3 7.49 285404115678Israel 6.80 34.9 12.29 -759758469985Italy 7.60 28.5 2.14 1037022023910

Netherlands 4.40 70.1 12.46 558608355016Norway 4.10 28.8 1.42 -569425650506Poland 9.30 43.5 9.50 -297147880830

Portugal 9.80 38.2 3.98 -594211467772Romania 7.90 29.8 8.39 -886578787613

Russian Federation 8.00 21.7 0.23 353498687229Serbia 18.40 51.4 1.63 -487038135351

Slovak Republic 14.20 82.6 19.27 49450053493Slovenia 7.40 64.9 2.18 -174686336721

Spain 19.70 29.4 2.19 370717989650Sweden 8.50 43.3 9.79 -309184726383

Switzerland 3.80 40.5 1.64 -183450870693Turkey 11.40 26.8 1.84 -316415541099Ukraine 0.00 53.6 1.07 -304106426473

United Kingdom 8.60 32.7 5.93 1296997961993

Unemployment, male (% of male

labor force)

Imports of goods and

services (% of GDP)

ICT goods exports (% of total goods

exports)

Page 35: Econometrie Bun

et20 0 3.314455332E+22

701894370157.716 4.9265570686E+23 2.702314566E+23-822897255646.62 6.7715989335E+23 9.184496471E+22 DW= 1.812395-404859731338.21 1.6391140206E+23 5.011494142E+23513664647565.701 2.6385137016E+23 3.773478189E+22 DW Critic-164717844569.99 2.713196832E+22 1.288610908E+23

-234124876300.8 5.4814457703E+22 3.517642252E+232091843882549.85 4.375810829E+24 2.246241779E+241026555328939.81 1.0538158434E+24 6.377150519E+24-3182554727530.8 1.0128654594E+25 4.319810625E+23629817176340.779 3.9666967561E+23 7.527059052E+20-562099259205.84 3.159555772E+23 3.475512161E+23874938861124.043 7.6551801071E+23 8.145550925E+22-1045162585663.3 1.0923648305E+24 5.772329327E+231796780493895.17 3.2284201432E+24 1.075414678E+24-478413668894.06 2.2887963858E+23 3.120432943E+23-1128034005522.2 1.2724607176E+24 3.242455715E+23272277769676.56 7.413518386E+22 8.829686308E+22

-297063586942.01 8.8246774687E+22 3.530872684E+23-292367319840.89 8.5478649711E+22 7.860219466E+231240077474841.6 1.5377921436E+24 1.249613219E+23

-840536822580.24 7.0650215011E+23 2.372061453E+23536488188844.144 2.8781957677E+23 2.44530779E+21-224136390214.15 5.0237121418E+22 3.051531624E+22545404326371.41 2.9746587922E+23 1.374318279E+23

-679902716033.27 4.6226770327E+23 9.559519503E+22125733855689.876 1.5809002467E+22 3.365422196E+22-132964670406.09 1.7679603576E+22 1.001187946E+2312309114626.2274 1.5151430288E+20 9.248071862E+221601104388466.11 2.5635352628E+24 1.682203713E+24

3.0725195224E+25 1.69528184E+25

et-et-1 (et-et-1)2

Page 36: Econometrie Bun

4.60 49.9 3.95 Unemployment, male (% of male labor force)8.10 77.6 2.34 Unemployment, 1

10.90 59.3 2.47 Imports of goo0.133460211.40 39.9 2.10 ICT goods expo0.10307076.40 63.3 15.018.20 44.8 3.639.00 39.0 6.369.00 27.7 4.417.50 41.4 5.099.90 31.5 2.51

11.60 80.0 25.588.30 46.2 0.07

16.70 82.3 7.496.80 34.9 12.297.60 28.5 2.144.40 70.1 12.464.10 28.8 1.429.30 43.5 9.509.80 38.2 3.987.90 29.8 8.398.00 21.7 0.23

18.40 51.4 1.6314.20 82.6 19.277.40 64.9 2.18

19.70 29.4 2.198.50 43.3 9.793.80 40.5 1.64

11.40 26.8 1.840.00 53.6 1.078.60 32.7 5.93

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression StatisticsMultiple R 0.5340512863981R Square 0.2852107765035Adjusted R Square 0.2587371015591Standard Error 15.82363642212Observations 29

ANOVAdf SS MS F Significance F

Regression 1 2697.51762031907 2697.5176 10.77 0.002845295

Unemployment, male (% of male

labor force)

Imports of goods and services (% of

GDP)

ICT goods exports (% of total goods

exports)

Page 37: Econometrie Bun

Residual 27 6760.46167972476 250.38747Total 28 9457.97930004384

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Intercept 37.042962731436 4.15192347999836 8.9218799 2E-09 28.52391943 45.562006

3.9481996698 1.6138948498325 0.49169906928376 3.2822817 0.003 0.605011695 2.622778

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted 49.9066777497488 Residuals1 40.81523430066 36.8150921296662 41.027538321115 18.27722957242533 40.429829053542 -0.563929172571594 61.268847223735 2.0418079854355 42.904100192994 1.879605139306516 47.314795217872 -8.311685528616717 44.166639730852 -16.42530401636948 45.251779095809 -3.811189399470889 41.100413260666 -9.58141022973429

10 78.318377209861 1.7253776424326511 37.161023964278 9.0865650168617812 49.134478597754 33.129799472544913 56.875295928916 -21.951597771057914 40.498257342877 -11.990331996846815 57.146672182814 12.91600404098616 39.331940412639 -10.575855939825217 52.369471215844 -8.916461276011918 43.470959716875 -5.2841209142365719 50.587750567983 -20.830413556056920 37.416589845435 -15.745116619238621 39.666347708355 11.728320632449622 68.135752943458 14.416944685675123 40.56330663154 24.296744669861924 40.578653993019 -11.203690341210225 52.843556880311 -9.5455920074754726 39.694598133498 0.7973782946824427 40.007726650881 -13.247948051218228 38.770474348302 14.793963576671329 46.607840012379 -13.9201860390576

Page 38: Econometrie Bun

Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)ICT goods exports (% of total goods exports)

10.530743 1

0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00

-40-20

0204060

3.9481996698 Residual Plot

3.9481996698

Resid

uals

Page 39: Econometrie Bun

Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%28.52392 45.562010.605012 2.622778


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