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Home > Documents > Factsheet H1 2018...Wielka Brytania 22,0% Niemcy 1,7% Japonia 24,7 Pozostałe 9,1% Azja & Australia...

Factsheet H1 2018...Wielka Brytania 22,0% Niemcy 1,7% Japonia 24,7 Pozostałe 9,1% Azja & Australia...

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3.% 3.4% 5.7% 6.0% 13.9% 14.5% 38.5% UNIQUA GENERALI Allianz VIG Ergo Talanx PZU 4.4% 4.7% 5.0% 5.7% 7.9% 10.6% 45.9% Generali Metlife Amplico Grupa VIG TALANX Nationale- Nederlanden Aviva PZU Factsheet H1 2018 H1 2018 EVOLUTION OF PZU’S SHARE PRICE COMPARED TO SELECTED INDICES RATE OF RETURN PZU VS. WIG RECOMMENDATIONS PZU VS. TREASURY BONDS (REVERSE ORDER) INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO* P/BV RATIO P/E RATIO Life insurance (periodical premium)* Non-life insurance* Rate of return PZU WIG H1 2018 (YTD) 1m 7.4% (2.3)% 3m (6.6)% (4.2)% 6m (7.5)% (12.2)% 12m (12.6)% (8.3)% 24m 36.5% 25.0% 36m (9.9)% 4.9% * Market data as at the end of the Q1 2018 ~16 million of customers in Poland 11 million life insurance clients PLN 27.0 bn assets of third party clients (TFI and OFE PZU) PLN 21.0 bn assets of third party clients (TFI and OFE Pekao) PLN 254 bn banking assets in the PZU Group 8 521 tied agents 3 150 multiagencies 1 200 brokers PZU (12.6)% y/y (6.6)% q/q WIG20 (7.1)% y/y (3.4)% q/q WIG Banki (0.6)% y/y (7.9)% q/q WIG-DIV (11.5)% y/y (4.6)% q/q WIG (8.3)% y/y (4.2)% q/q RESPECT (12.7)% y/y (5.7)% q/q WIG20 TR (6.0)% y/y (3.3)% q/q 2 x higher than the nearest competitor (1.6) p.p. y/y growth in the non-life insurance market 4 x higher than the nearest competitor +0.3 p.p. y/y growth in the life insurance market PLN 20 PLN 25 PLN 30 PLN 35 PLN 40 PLN 45 PLN 50 PLN 55 PLN 60 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% jan feb mar apr may jun Buy Out perform Neutral, hold Sell Underperform PZU share price MAX MIN Average MAX TP PLN 58.8 AVE TP PLN 50.0 MIN TP PLN 37.0 % recommendations share price TUW PZUW #1 POLAND #1 TFI PZU OFE PZU #8 ESTONIA LITHUANIA LATVIA #3 #1 #2 Non-life insurance Life insurance Market position by assets under management Market position by assets #3 #4 #11 Pekao OFE Pekao TFI #4 #2 #1 #6 UKRAINE #5 #5 #3 Health Area Market position by revenues PZU’s activity Insurance sold in direct sales channels via internet / telephone 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 PZU TSR (%) PZU (%) WIG BANKI (%) WIG (%) 05.2010 (since IPO - 12.05.2010) 2011 2012 2014 2015 dividend paid out (PLN per share) D D D D D 2016 2013 D D 1.09 2.60 2.97 2.00 1.70 3.00 2.08 D D D 2.24 1.70 2017 D 1.40 H1 2018 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0 -20% -40% 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 2014 2015 2016 2017 06.2018* P/BV P/BV average 10x 11x 12x 13x 14x 15x 2014 2015 2016 2017 06.2018* P/E P/E average 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% PLN 24 PLN 29 PLN 34 PLN 39 PLN 44 PLN 49 PLN 54 reverse yield share price PZU Treasury bonds (10Y bonds yield) 05.2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 H1 2018 63.3% 60.8% 36.7% 39.2% H1 2018 2017 Treasury bonds Others PLN 40.6 bn PLN 42.2 bn 2017 H1 2018 WIG PZU -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 36m 24m 12m 6m 3m 1m -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 36m 24m 12m 6m 3m 1m * trailing data * excluding investment products
Transcript
Page 1: Factsheet H1 2018...Wielka Brytania 22,0% Niemcy 1,7% Japonia 24,7 Pozostałe 9,1% Azja & Australia 37,0 mln akcji (4,3% udziału w kapitale) Pozostałe 1,4% Chiny 8,8% 0,2 p.p. r/r

3.%

3.4%

5.7%

6.0%

13.9%

14.5%

38.5%

UNIQUA

GENERALI

Allianz

VIG

Ergo

Talanx

PZU

4.4%

4.7%

5.0%

5.7%

7.9%

10.6%

45.9%

Generali

Metlife Amplico

Grupa VIG

TALANX

Nationale-Nederlanden

Aviva

PZU

Factsheet H1 2018

H1 2018

EVOLUTION OF PZU’S SHARE PRICE COMPARED TO SELECTED INDICES

RATE OF RETURN PZU VS. WIG RECOMMENDATIONS

PZU VS. TREASURY BONDS (REVERSE ORDER) INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO*

P/BV RATIO P/E RATIO

Life insurance (periodical premium)* Non-life insurance*

Rate of return PZU WIG

H1 2018 (YTD)

1m 7.4% (2.3)%

3m (6.6)% (4.2)%

6m (7.5)% (12.2)%

12m (12.6)% (8.3)%

24m 36.5% 25.0%

36m (9.9)% 4.9%

* Market data as at the end of the Q1 2018

~16 millionof customers in

Poland11 million

life insurance clients

PLN 27.0 bnassets of third party

clients (TFI and OFE PZU)

PLN 21.0 bnassets of third party

clients (TFI and OFE

Pekao)

PLN 254 bnbanking assets in the

PZU Group

8 521tied agents

3 150 multiagencies 1 200 brokers

PZU (12.6)% y/y

(6.6)% q/q

WIG20 (7.1)% y/y

(3.4)% q/q

WIG Banki (0.6)% y/y

(7.9)% q/q

WIG-DIV (11.5)% y/y

(4.6)% q/q

WIG (8.3)% y/y

(4.2)% q/q

RESPECT (12.7)% y/y

(5.7)% q/q

WIG20 TR (6.0)% y/y

(3.3)% q/q

2 x higher than the nearest competitor

(1.6) p.p. y/y growth in the non-life

insurance market

4 x higher than the nearest competitor

+0.3 p.p. y/y growth in the life insurance market

PLN 20

PLN 25

PLN 30

PLN 35

PLN 40

PLN 45

PLN 50

PLN 55

PLN 60

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

jan feb

mar apr

may jun

Buy

Outperform

Neutral, hold

Sell

Underperform

PZU share price

MAX

MIN

Average

MAX TPPLN 58.8

AVE TP PLN 50.0

MIN TP PLN 37.0

% recommendations share price

TUW PZUW

#1

POLAND

#1

TFI PZU

OFE PZU

#8

ESTONIA

LITHUANIA

LATVIA

#3

#1

#2

Non-life insurance

Life insurance

Market position by assets under management

Market position by assets

#3#4#11Pekao OFE

Pekao TFI

#4

#2

#1

#6

UKRAINE

#5

#5

#3Health Area

Market position by revenues

PZU’s activity

Insurance sold in direct sales channels via internet / telephone

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

PZU TSR (%)

PZU (%)

WIG BANKI (%)

WIG (%)

05.2010(since IPO - 12.05.2010)

2011 2012 2014 2015

dividend paid out(PLN per share)

D

D

D

D D

20162013

D

D1.092.60

2.97

2.00

1.70

3.00

2.08

D

D

D

2.24

1.70

2017

D

1.40

H1 2018

120%

100%

80%

60%

40%

20%

0

-20%

-40%

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

2014 2015 2016 2017 06.2018*

P/BV P/BV average10x

11x

12x

13x

14x

15x

2014 2015 2016 2017 06.2018*

P/E P/E average

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%PLN 24

PLN 29

PLN 34

PLN 39

PLN 44

PLN 49

PLN 54

reve

rse

yie

ld

shar

e pr

ice

PZU Treasury bonds (10Y bonds yield)

05.2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 H1 2018

63

.3%

60

.8%

36

.7%

39

.2%

H1 20182017

Treasury bonds Others

PLN 40.6 bn PLN 42.2 bn

2017 H1 2018

WIG

PZU

-20%-10%

0%10%20%30%40% 36m

24m

12m

6m

3m

1m

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30% 36m

24m

12m

6m

3m

1m

* trailing data

* excluding investment products

Page 2: Factsheet H1 2018...Wielka Brytania 22,0% Niemcy 1,7% Japonia 24,7 Pozostałe 9,1% Azja & Australia 37,0 mln akcji (4,3% udziału w kapitale) Pozostałe 1,4% Chiny 8,8% 0,2 p.p. r/r

Operating performance of the main segments

GROSS WRITTEN PREMIUM (MARKET) IN NON-LIFE INSURANCE (M PLN)Q2 2017 Q2 2018 Change y/y

PZU GROUP EXCLUDING ALIOR BANK AND PEKAO

Gross written premium1 5,838 6,050 3.6%

Net insurance claims and benefits (3,504) (3,719) 6.1%

Net investment result - main portfolio 226 390 72.5%

FXon own debt (6) (130) x

Net investment result - investment products 31 5 (85.3)%

Net investment result - temporary FXon investment property valuation (112) 21 x

Net investment result - other (34) 33 x

Administrative expenses1 (402) (433) 7.8%

Acquisition expenses1 (718) (768) 7.0%

Operating profit (loss) 560 811 44.9%

Net profit (loss) 437 620 41.7%

Net profit (loss) attributable to equity holders of the parent company 437 620 41.7%

BANKS: ALIOR BANK AND PEKAO

Net profit (loss) attributable to equity holders of the parent company 67 162 143.6%

NET PROFIT (LOSS) ATTRIBUTABLE TO EQIUTY HOLDERS OF THE PARENT COMPANY 504 782 55.2%

PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL RATIOS

ROE2 14.9% 22.3% 7.4 p.p.

Combined Ratio3 87.5% 88.3% 0.8 p.p.

Operating Profit Margin4 24.5% 23.7% (0.8) p.p.

Administrative expenses ratio PZU, PZU Życie 6.5% 6.9% 0.4 p.p.

Acquisition expenses ratio PZU, PZU Życie 13.1% 13.3% 0.2 p.p.

1 Net of the elimination of consolidation adjustments2 Ratio computed using equity at the beginning and end of the reporting period. Computed for the parent company

m PLN, local GAAP H1 2017 H1 2018 Change y/y

Non-life insurance - Poland

Gross written premiummass insurance 5,218 5,350 2.5%

corporate insurance 1,381 1,521 10.1%

Insurance resultmass insurance 724 818 13.0%

corporate insurance 167 217 29.9%

Operating profit ratiomass insurance 86.7% 86.9% 0.2 p.p.

corporate insurance 85.5% 86.4% 0.9 p.p.

Life insurance – Poland

Gross written premiumgroup and continued 3,429 3,444 0.4%

individual insurance 792 689 (13.0)%

Insurance resultgroup and continued 657 694 5.6%

individual insurance 95 98 3.2%

Operating profit ratiogroup and continued 19.2% 20.2% 1.0 p.p.

individual insurance 12.0% 14.2% 2.2 p.p.

Baltic & Ukraine

Gross written premiumnon-life insurance 741 844 13.9%

life insurance 47 57 21.3%

Insurance resultnon-life insurance 47 77 63.8%

life insurance 3 2 (33.3)%

COR non-life insurance 93.6% 90.5% (3.1) p.p.

Operating profit ratio life insurance 6.4% 3.5% (2.9) p.p.

FINANCIAL DATA Consolidated financial data highlights

PERIODICAL GROSS WRITTEN PREMIUM (MARKET) IN LIFE INSURANCE (M PLN)

PLN 6.1 bn gross written

premium (Q2 2018)3.8% q/q

PLN 782 m consolidated parent

net profit (Q2 2018)

21.6% q/q

22.3% ROE (Q2 2018)

4.5 p.p q/q

A- /Stable

one notch above S&Prating for Poland

http://www.pzu.pl/ir

IR CONTACT CALENDAR 2018

EPS/DPS

Piotr Wiśniewski Investor Relations ManagerPlanning and Controlling Departmente-mail: [email protected].: +48 (22) 582 26 23

MARKET CAP

• 12 September – Settling dividend date for 2017 (PLN 2.50 per share)• 3 October – Payment of dividend (PLN 2.50 per share)• 15 November – Report for Q3 2018

>10,000,000 shares

5,000,000 - 10,000,000 shares

1,000,000 - 5,000,000 shares

500,000 - 1,000,000 shares

250,000 - 500,000 shares

<250,000 shares

Source: current report no. 21/2018

3,313 4,449 3,681 3,814 3,508 3,734 3,999

3,733 3,504 3,356 3,377 4,2216,087 6,581

7,046 6,953 7,037 7,191 7,729

9,82010,580

03.2012 03.2013 03.2014 03.2015 03.2016 03.2017 03.2018

Non-motor Motor

1,679 1,744 1,755 1,806 1,830 1,881 1,890

2,291 2,247 2,352 4,420 2,253 2,244 2,226

3,970 3,991 4,107 4,226 4,083 4,126 4,116

03.2012 03.2013 03.2014 03.2015 03.2016 03.2017 03.2018

PZU Życie Other insurance undertakings

* in 2013 a dividend was paid from excess capital (PLN 2 per share)

STRATEGY FOR 2017-2020 „NEW PZU”

Ameryka Północna111,7 mln akcji

(12,9% udziału w kapitale)

Kanada5,5%

+ 0,9 p.p. r/r

USA94,5%

- 3,3 p.p. r/r

EuropaInwestorzy instytucjonalni bez Skarbu Państwa* – 348,8 mln akcji

(40,4% udziału w kapitale)

Polska63,7%

Singapur65,1%

Holandia 3,5%

Wielka Brytania 22,0%

Niemcy 1,7%Japonia 24,7%

Pozostałe 9,1%

Azja & Australia37,0 mln akcji

(4,3% udziału w kapitale)

Pozostałe 1,4%

Chiny 8,8%

0,2 p.p. r/r

0,5 - 1 mln akcji

> 10 mln akcji

5 - 10 mln akcji

1 - 5 mln akcji

0,25 - 0,5 mln akcji

< 0,25 mln akcji

* Skarb Państwa – 34,2% udziału w kapitalezmiana 2017 vs 2016

SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE > IN POLAND

SOLVENCY II*

0

10

20

30

40

50

0

10

20

30

40

50

2014 2015 2016 2017 Q22018

Turo

ver v

alue

(PL

N b

n)

Mar

ket c

ap (

PLN

bn)

2.83 2.71

3.77 3.823.44

2.712.25

3.372.60

2.24 2.97

5.40

3.00

2.08 1.40

2.50

92.0%82.6% 78.8%

89.1%* 87.3%76.7%

62.2%74.2%

-20,0%

30,0%

80,0%

130,0%

180,0%

230,0%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Consolidated earnings per share (EPS) attributable to the parent company (PLN)

Dividend per share in PLN (DPS)

Ratio of dividend payment

* in 2013 a dividend was paid from excess capital (PLN 2 per share)

3 Only for non-life insurance in the PZU Group4 Margin for the group and individually continued insurance segment excluding conversion effect

CSR AMBITIONS

Building our CSR position in the industry

Membership in the Respect Index of listed companies observing corporate social responsibility

Membership in the index at least at average level for the industry

Clients

NPS for retail clients in insurance versus the competition Indicator concerning the timeliness of examining complaints

> the competition

95% to 28 days

Employees

Employee commitment index % of women in managerial positions

55% at least 50%

Environment

Implementation of the Group’s “Green PZU” standard

Fully implemented (100%)

Risk management

Risk assessment framework score (BION) for PZU and PZU Życie

Good

Social activities

Financial commitment to social activity > 50 m PLN per annum

Suppliers

Percentage of suppliers adhering to the “Code of CSR Best Practices for PZU’s Suppliers”

90% of contracts contain an obligation to adhere to the “Code of CSR Best Practices for PZU’s Suppliers”

UTILIZATION OF BIG DATA

Sophisticated pricing methods

More effective insurance fraud detection

Support for cross-selling initiatives

Growth in the level of client loyalty

Enhanced business management and prediction

STRATEGY OF INNOVATION

DIGITIZATION

Implementation of new technology

Automation of processes

Implementation of self-service

Development of distribution channels

Simplified sales process

NEW CLIENT INTERACTIONS

Implementation of services aligned to client needs

Reaching new market segments

Ambitions in 2020

* unaudited data

State Treasury 34.2%

Others60.7%

NN OFE and NN DFE5.1%

21.0 21.6 22.9

8.4 10.4 10.1

12.2016 12.2017 03.2018

Own funds (PLN bn) Solvency margin (PLN bn)

208% 227%250%


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