00002-E-1 – 1 December 2001
Global summary of the HIV/AIDS epidemic, December 2001
Number of people living with HIV/AIDS Total 40 millionAdults 37.2 million Women 17.6 millionChildren under 15 years 2.7 million
People newly infected with HIV in 2001 Total 5 millionAdults 4.3 million Women 1.8 millionChildren under 15 years 800 000
AIDS deaths in 2001 Total 3 millionAdults 2.4 million Women 1.1 millionChildren under 15 years 580 000
00002-E-2 – 1 December 2001
Adults and children estimated to be living Adults and children estimated to be living with HIV/AIDS as of end 2001with HIV/AIDS as of end 2001
Western Europe560 000560 000
North Africa & Middle East
440 000440 000Sub-Saharan
Africa28.1 million28.1 million
Eastern Europe & Central Asia1 million1 million
South & South-East Asia
6.1 million6.1 millionAustralia & New Zealand
15 00015 000
North America940 000940 000
Caribbean420 000420 000
Latin America1.4 million1.4 million
Total: 40 million
East Asia & Pacific1 million1 million
00002-E-3 – 1 December 2001
Estimated adult and child deaths Estimated adult and child deaths from HIV/AIDS during 2001from HIV/AIDS during 2001
Western Europe6 8006 800
North Africa & Middle East
30 00030 000Sub-Saharan
Africa2.3 million2.3 million
Eastern Europe &Central Asia23 00023 000 East Asia & Pacific
35 00035 000South & South-East Asia
400 000400 000
Australia & New Zealand
120120
North America20 00020 000
Caribbean30 00030 000
Latin America80 00080 000
Total: 3 million
00002-E-4 – 1 December 2001
ChildrenChildren (<15 years)(<15 years) estimated to be living estimated to be living with HIV/AIDS as of end 2001with HIV/AIDS as of end 2001
Western Europe4 0004 000
North Africa & Middle East
20 00020 000sub-Saharan
Africa2.4 million2.4 million
Eastern Europe &Central Asia15 00015 000
East Asia & Pacific7 0007 000South
& South-East Asia200 000200 000
Australia & New Zealand
< 200< 200
North America10 00010 000
Caribbean20 00020 000
Latin America40 00040 000
Total: 2.7 million
00002-E-5 – 1 December 2001
About 14 000 new HIV infections a day in 2001
More than 95% are in developing countries
2000 are in children under 15 years of age
About 12 000 are in persons aged 15 to 49 years, of whom:— almost 50% are women— about 50% are 15–24 year olds
00002-E-6 – 1 December 2001
Regional HIV/AIDS statistics and features, end of 2001
Sub-Saharan Africa
North Africa & Middle East
South and South-East Asia
East Asia & Pacific
Latin America
Caribbean
Eastern Europe & Central Asia
Western Europe
North America
Australia & New Zealand
TOTAL
late ’70searly ’80s
late ’80s
late ’80s
late ’80s
late ’70searly ’80s
late ’70searly ’80s
early ’90slate ’70s
early ’80slate ’70s
early ’80slate ’70s
early ’80s
28.1 million
440 000
6.1 million
1 million
1.4 million
420 000
1 million
560 000
940 000
15 000
40 million
8.4%
0.2%
0.6%
0.1%
0.5%
2.2%
0.5%
0.3%
0.6%
0.1%
1.2%
55%
40%
35%
20%
30%
50%
20%
25%
20%
10%
48%
Hetero
Hetero, IDU
Hetero, IDU
IDU, Hetero, MSM
MSM, IDU, Hetero
Hetero, MSM
IDU
MSM, IDU
MSM, IDU, Hetero
MSM
Epidemic started
Adults & childrenliving with HIV/AIDS
Adult prevalence
rate *
% of HIV-positive
adults who are women
Main mode(s) of transmission for those living with HIV/AIDS **
* The proportion of adults (15 to 49 years of age) living with HIV/AIDS in 2001, using 2001 population numbers ** Hetero: heterosexual transmission – IDU: transmission through injecting drug use – MSM: sexual transmission among men who have sex with men
Adults & children newly infected
with HIV
3.4 million
80 000
800 000
270 000
130 000
60 000
250 000
30 000
45 000
500
5 million
00002-E-7 – 1 December 2001
Changes in life expectancy in selected African countries with high HIV prevalence, 1950 to 2000
South-Africa
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
1950-55 1955-60 1960-65 1965-70 1970-75 1975-80 1980-85 1985-90 1990-95 1995-00
Life
exp
ecta
ncy
at b
irth,
in y
ears
BotswanaUganda
ZambiaZimbabwe
Source: United Nations Population Division, 1998
00002-E-8 – 1 December 2001
Increase in mortality among men between 15 and 60, selected African countries, 1986-1997
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Tanzania, 1996 Malawi, 1992 Zimbabwe, 1994 Uganda, 1995 Zambia, 1996-97
Prob
abili
ty o
f dyi
ng fr
om a
ll ca
uses
estimated for 6 years before survey estimated for year of survey
Source: Timaeus I, AIDS 1998, 12 (suppl): S15-S27
00002-E-9 – 1 December 2001
Lifetime risk of AIDS death for 15-year-old boys, Lifetime risk of AIDS death for 15-year-old boys, assuming unchanged or halved risk of becoming assuming unchanged or halved risk of becoming
infected with HIV, selected countriesinfected with HIV, selected countries
Source: Zaba B, 2000 (unpublished data)
Current adult HIV prevalence rate
Burkina Faso
CambodiaCôte d’Ivoire
Kenya
South AfricaZambia
Zimbabwe
Botswana
Burkina FasoCambodia
Côte d’IvoireKenya
South AfricaZambia
Zimbabwe
Botswana
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Ris
k of
dyi
ng o
f AID
S
current level of risk maintained
risk halved over next 15 years
00002-E-10 – 1 December 2001
Projected population structure with and Projected population structure with and without the AIDS epidemic, Botswana, 2020without the AIDS epidemic, Botswana, 2020
80757065605550454035302520151050
020406080100120140 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
Males Females Deficits due to AIDS
Projected population structure in 2020
Population (thousands)
Age
in y
ears
Source: US Census Bureau, World Population Profile 2000
00002-E-11 – 1 December 2001
HIV prevalence among pregnant womenHIV prevalence among pregnant womenin South Africa, 1990 to 1999in South Africa, 1990 to 1999
Source: Department of Health, South Africa
0.71.7 2.1
4
7.6
10.4
14.2
17
22.8 22.4
0
5
10
15
20
25
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
HIV
pre
vale
nce
(%)
00002-E-12 – 1 December 2001
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Cambodia
Haiti
Mozambique
Rwanda
Côte d'Ivoire
Zambia
Kenya
South Africa
Zimbabwe
Botswana
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Predicted life expectancy Loss in life expectancy due to HIV/AIDS
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000
Predicted loss in life expectancy Predicted loss in life expectancy due to HIV/AIDS in children born in 2000due to HIV/AIDS in children born in 2000
00002-E-13 – 1 December 2001
Impact of HIV/AIDS on urban households, Côte d’Ivoire
General population Families living with AIDS
Source: Simulation-based on data from Bechu, Delcroix and Guillaume, 1997
Monthly income per capita
Monthly consumptionper capita
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
– 5 000
30 000 Francs CFA
Savings/Disavings
00002-E-14 – 1 December 2001
Reduction in production in a household with an AIDS death, Zimbabwe
Crops
Maize
Cotton
Vegetables
Groundnuts
Cattle owned
Reduction in output
61%
47%
49%
37%
29%
Source: Stover & Bollinger, 1999
00002-E-15 – 1 December 2001
Affordable prices
Annual cost per person for triple therapy in Africa (US$)
$12,000
$10,000
$8,000
$6,000
$4,000
$2,000
$01991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003
Drug Access Initiative
Domestic production
Accelerated access initiative
February-April 2001 offers