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7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
1/20
Akhila Hebbar- 109
Anshika Singh- 114
Arun Xavier - 118Deepali Deore -142
7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
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Definition:The difference between the value of export of goods and
the value of import of goods is defined as the Balanceof Trade(BoT)
When Value of exports > Value of Imports, then BoT issaid to be favourable
When Value of exports
7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
3/20
Foreign Trade since Independence:
The First Plan Period (1951-52 to 1955-56):
Rise in imports due to:Pent up demand of warShortage of food and Raw MaterialRise in capital goods
Trade Deficit largely due to programmes ofindustrialisation
Exports(Rs Crores) Imports (Rs Crores) BoT (Rs Crores)
622 730 - 108
7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
4/20
Foreign Trade since Independence:
The Second Plan Period (1956-57 to 1960-61):
Massive Industrialisation Programme
Foodgrains imports had to be resorted to overcome
internal shortages and rising prices
Exports(Rs Crores) Imports (Rs Crores) BoT (Rs Crores)
613 1080 - 467
7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
5/20
Foreign Trade since Independence:
The Third Plan Period (1961-62 to 1965-66):
Rapid Industrialisation
Increase of Defence Needs
Large Quantities of foodgrains imported
Exports(Rs Crores) Imports (Rs Crores) BoT (Rs Crores)
747 1224 - 477
7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
6/20
Foreign Trade since Independence:
The Fourth Plan Period (1966-67 to 1973-74):
India Devalued Rupee by 36.5% in 1966
Better Crop Production during 1968-69
Favourable BoT for the 1st time in 1972-73(+104 crore)
Exports(Rs Crores) Imports (Rs Crores) BoT (Rs Crores)
1810 1973 - 163
7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
7/20
Foreign Trade since Independence:
The Fifth Plan Period (1974 to 79):
Hike in Oil Prices started in Oct 1973High Import bills due to petroleum,fertilizers and
foodgrainsSignificant improvement in Exports
2nd
Favourable BoT in1976-77(+69 crore) In 1978,Janata party followed a policy of haphazard import
liberalisation
Exports(Rs Crores) Imports (Rs Crores) BoT (Rs Crores)
4728 5538 - 810
7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
8/20
Foreign Trade since Independence:
The Sixth & Seventh Plan Period (1980 to 1990):
Increase in Price of Petroleum products by OPEC
Govt. approached IMF for a huge loan in Nov 1981
Then, a slight decline in POL because:
Global prices of oil ..downward trend
Increased Production by ONGC
Plan Period Exports
(Rs Crores)
Imports
(Rs Crores)
BoT (Rs Crores)
1980-85 8967 14683 -5716
1986 -90 17382 25112 -7730
7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
9/20
Foreign Trade since Independence:
The Eight and Ninth Period (1980 to 1990):
Liberalization Policy & Reduction of custom duties
Slowdown in Indias Foreign Trade due to
South East Asian Crisis
Continued recession in Japan
Economic crisis in Russia in 1998
Plan Period Exports(Rs Crores)
Imports(Rs Crores)
BoT (Rs Crores)
1992-97 86557 97609 -11352
1997 -02 168400 204763 -36363
7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
10/20
Foreign Trade since Independence:
The Tenth Plan onwardsPlan Period Exports
(Rs Crores)Imports(Rs Crores)
BoT (Rs Crores)
2002 - 03 255137 297206 -36363
2003 04 293637 359108 -65741
2004 05 375340 501065 -125725
2005 06 456418 660409 -203991
2006 07 571779 840506 -268727
2007 08 655864 1012312 -356448
2008 - 09 840752 1374435 -533683
2009 - 10 784268 1237707 -453439
7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
11/20
Widening Trade Deficit
India underestimated the impact of South East AsianCrisis
Increased Competition from China and Taiwan
Exports of Textiles affected
Failure of large industrial houses to boost exports
Non Tariff barriers created by developed countries
Use of Anti dumping duties by these countries haveaffected exports
7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
12/20
Composition of Indias Foreign trade
Pattern of Imports:
Import
Bulk
PetroleumProducts
Cereals,Pulses,etcFertilizers, Iron &
Steel,etc
Non Bulk
Capital goods Export Items
7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
13/20
Composition of Indias Foreign trade
Structure of Indian Imports:2000 01 (%) 2008 09(%)
1]Bulk Imports 95095 (41.2) 627486 (45.6)
A)Petroleum, Crude & Products 71497 (31) 419967 (30.6)
B)Bulk Consumption Goods 6593 (2.8) 22883 (1.6)C)Other Bulk Items 17005 (7.4) 184635 (13.4)
2] Non Bulk Imports 135778 (58.8) 746949 (54.4)
A)Capital Goods 40847 (17.7) 330384 (24.1)
B)Mainly Export Related Items 36815 (15.9) 146860 (10.7)
C)Others 58116 (25.2) 269704 (19.6)
3] Total (1]+ 2]) 230873 (100) 1374435 (100)
All figures in Rs. Crores
7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
14/20
Composition of Indias Foreign trade
Pattern of Exports:
Export
Agricultureand AlliedProducts
Ores andMinerals
Manufacturedgoods
Mineral fuelsand lubricants
7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
15/20
Composition of Indias Foreign trade
Structure of Indian Exports:1980 - 81(%) 2008 09(%)
1]Agriculture and Allied Products 2057 (30.6) 80648 (9.6)
2]Ores and Minerals 413 (6.2) 35877 (4.3)
3] Manufactured Goods 3747 (55.8) 566402 (67.4)
4]Petroleum Products & Mineral fuel 28 (0.4) 123397 (14.6)
5)Others 465 (6.9) 34428 (4.1)
6] Total 6710 (100) 840752 (100)
All figures in Rs. Crores
7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
16/20
Exporting Countries
7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
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Importing Countries
7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
18/20
Measures taken to Correct
Deficit
Devaluation
Cash Assistance
Income Tax Concessions
Import Concessions
Convertibility of the Rupee
Export- Import Bank
7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
19/20
Challenges
External Factors:
Low World Demand Restrictions on our goods entering foreign countries
Competition from countries like China
Internal Factors:
Increasing Domestic Demand
7/31/2019 Indias Balance of Trade
20/20
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