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Page 1: Integrating Water Supply - US EPA · Integrating Water Supply Management And Ecological Flow Requirements Mark P. Smith and Colin Apse The Nature Conservancy Richard M. Vogel and
Page 2: Integrating Water Supply - US EPA · Integrating Water Supply Management And Ecological Flow Requirements Mark P. Smith and Colin Apse The Nature Conservancy Richard M. Vogel and

Integrating Water Supply Integrating Water Supply Management And Ecological Flow Management And Ecological Flow

RequirementsRequirementsMark P. Smith and Colin ApseMark P. Smith and Colin Apse

The Nature ConservancyThe Nature Conservancy

Richard M. Vogel and Stacey Richard M. Vogel and Stacey ArchfieldArchfieldTufts UniversityTufts University

Annette HuberAnnette Huber--Lee and Jack Lee and Jack SieberSieberStockholm Environment InstituteStockholm Environment Institute

Collaborative Science and Technology Network for SustainabilityCollaborative Science and Technology Network for SustainabilityProgress Review WorkshopProgress Review Workshop

October 18October 18--19, 2005 19, 2005

Page 3: Integrating Water Supply - US EPA · Integrating Water Supply Management And Ecological Flow Requirements Mark P. Smith and Colin Apse The Nature Conservancy Richard M. Vogel and

The Setting and ProblemThe Setting and ProblemSuboptimal Policies For Water Supplies Can Result In Negative Impacts To Both Water Supplies And To

Ecological Functions

Water Supply Shortages Inadequate Stream Flows

Middleton Pond, Massachusetts

Ipswich River, MA

Page 4: Integrating Water Supply - US EPA · Integrating Water Supply Management And Ecological Flow Requirements Mark P. Smith and Colin Apse The Nature Conservancy Richard M. Vogel and

The Setting and ProblemThe Setting and ProblemAddressing these issues involves three areas Addressing these issues involves three areas

of water resource management: of water resource management: •• Instream Flow NeedsInstream Flow Needs•• Water Supply (Reservoir) ManagementWater Supply (Reservoir) Management•• Demand ManagementDemand Management

There is very little literature or realThere is very little literature or real--world world application integrating these three areas.application integrating these three areas.

Page 5: Integrating Water Supply - US EPA · Integrating Water Supply Management And Ecological Flow Requirements Mark P. Smith and Colin Apse The Nature Conservancy Richard M. Vogel and

Competition for WaterCompetition for WaterThere is growing awareness that water is in There is growing awareness that water is in limited supply in the East, especially during limited supply in the East, especially during droughtsdroughtsWhen thereWhen there’’s plenty of water, competition s plenty of water, competition among different water needs among different water needs shouldshould be be irrelevant irrelevant Limited state standards exist for instream flowLimited state standards exist for instream flowUsually there are no standards for water supply Usually there are no standards for water supply reliabilityreliabilityUsually there are no requirements for the Usually there are no requirements for the proactive use of drought plans to protect water proactive use of drought plans to protect water supplies and the environmentsupplies and the environment

Page 6: Integrating Water Supply - US EPA · Integrating Water Supply Management And Ecological Flow Requirements Mark P. Smith and Colin Apse The Nature Conservancy Richard M. Vogel and

Growing Understanding of Ecological Growing Understanding of Ecological Flow RequirementsFlow Requirements

Scientific literature demonstrates that Scientific literature demonstrates that riverineriverine ecosystems need flow variabilityecosystems need flow variability

Need to account for Need to account for ““flow componentsflow components”” such such as extreme low flow, base flow, high pulses, as extreme low flow, base flow, high pulses, overbankoverbank flows, and floodplain maintenance flows, and floodplain maintenance flowsflows

By more precisely defining flow needs using By more precisely defining flow needs using these components we can identify improved, these components we can identify improved, balanced water release operating rulesbalanced water release operating rules

Page 7: Integrating Water Supply - US EPA · Integrating Water Supply Management And Ecological Flow Requirements Mark P. Smith and Colin Apse The Nature Conservancy Richard M. Vogel and

It’s Not Just a Matter of Water Volume…

This is the same volume!

From: Rivers for Life: Managing Water for People and Nature, Postel and Richter

Page 8: Integrating Water Supply - US EPA · Integrating Water Supply Management And Ecological Flow Requirements Mark P. Smith and Colin Apse The Nature Conservancy Richard M. Vogel and

Developing a Decision Support System (DSS) that Developing a Decision Support System (DSS) that considers water supply demands, ecological flow considers water supply demands, ecological flow

requirements and drought managementrequirements and drought managementWithdrawals

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

400.0

J F M A M J J A S O N DDate

With

draw

ls (m

gd)

Fixed releaseModified release

Instream Flows

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

J F M A M J J A S O N D

Date

Flow

(mgd

)

Total InflowInstream Flow - OptimalInstream Flow - Fixed

Instream Flows: Optimal - Fixed

-200

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

J F M A M J J A S O N D

Date

Flow

(mgd

)

Difference

Page 9: Integrating Water Supply - US EPA · Integrating Water Supply Management And Ecological Flow Requirements Mark P. Smith and Colin Apse The Nature Conservancy Richard M. Vogel and

Delivering the DSS Through a Tested Program: Delivering the DSS Through a Tested Program: SEISEI’’ssWater Evaluation and Planning Tool (WEAP)Water Evaluation and Planning Tool (WEAP)

WEAP is being made available free to all AwwaRF member utilities

Page 10: Integrating Water Supply - US EPA · Integrating Water Supply Management And Ecological Flow Requirements Mark P. Smith and Colin Apse The Nature Conservancy Richard M. Vogel and

Decision Support SystemDecision Support SystemThe DSS in WEAP will demonstrate that by:

• refining the quantity and timing of reservoir releases

• actively managing demands through adaptive drought management and conservation measures

• defining key ecological flow parameters more precisely

the reliability of a water supply yield can be maintained and ecological flows requirements can be met on a more consistent basis

Page 11: Integrating Water Supply - US EPA · Integrating Water Supply Management And Ecological Flow Requirements Mark P. Smith and Colin Apse The Nature Conservancy Richard M. Vogel and

Using Optimization to Define Using Optimization to Define Potential SolutionsPotential Solutions

Water Supply Objective

Inst

ream

Flo

w O

bjec

tive

Pareto Frontier Based on Optimal Policies

Suboptimal Policies

Water Supply Objective In

stre

am F

low

Obj

ectiv

e

Knees in Pareto Frontier created by an adaptive policy

Knees in Pareto Frontier, provide incentive for negotiations

Frontier with standard policy

Zero-sum dilemma addressed through adaptive management approaches designed to modify both water supply and instream flow requirements

Page 12: Integrating Water Supply - US EPA · Integrating Water Supply Management And Ecological Flow Requirements Mark P. Smith and Colin Apse The Nature Conservancy Richard M. Vogel and

The The EcodeficitEcodeficit -- An New Measure to An New Measure to Evaluate Water Supply Reliability in Evaluate Water Supply Reliability in Relation to Ecological Flow NeedsRelation to Ecological Flow Needs

Page 13: Integrating Water Supply - US EPA · Integrating Water Supply Management And Ecological Flow Requirements Mark P. Smith and Colin Apse The Nature Conservancy Richard M. Vogel and

Evaluating Instream Flow Policies Using Evaluating Instream Flow Policies Using EcodeficitEcodeficit

Annual FDC with Inflow Limit: OFF

0.01

0.10

1.00

10.00

100.00

0 20 40 60 80 100Exceedence Probability

Stre

amflo

w (m

gd) Natural

Policy 1

Annual FDC with Inflow Limit: ON

0.01

0.10

1.00

10.00

100.00

0 20 40 60 80 100Exceedence Probability

Stre

amflo

w (m

gd) Natural

Optimized

Initial Modeling Based on Seasonal Minimum Flow Requirements vs. Optimized Releases

Page 14: Integrating Water Supply - US EPA · Integrating Water Supply Management And Ecological Flow Requirements Mark P. Smith and Colin Apse The Nature Conservancy Richard M. Vogel and

Finding Gains for both Water Supply Finding Gains for both Water Supply and Ecosystemsand Ecosystems

Ecodefit vs. Water Supply Reliability

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

1-Ecodeficit

Wat

er S

uppl

y R

elia

bilty

Policies 1 and 2

Optimized

Page 15: Integrating Water Supply - US EPA · Integrating Water Supply Management And Ecological Flow Requirements Mark P. Smith and Colin Apse The Nature Conservancy Richard M. Vogel and

Expected OutcomesExpected Outcomes1.1. Demonstration ProjectsDemonstration Projects–– Testing Approach with Testing Approach with

Water Suppliers in New EnglandWater Suppliers in New England

2.2. Application for the Eight MidApplication for the Eight Mid--Atlantic and New Atlantic and New England States Developing Streamflow PoliciesEngland States Developing Streamflow Policies

3.3. Assist Federal Agencies Assist Federal Agencies –– USGS/EPA/USFWSUSGS/EPA/USFWS--Efforts on Flow IssuesEfforts on Flow Issues

4.4. Potential Global Reach through the Water Potential Global Reach through the Water Evaluation and Assessment Planning (WEAP)Evaluation and Assessment Planning (WEAP)

5.5. Articles in both Environmental and Water Articles in both Environmental and Water Management JournalsManagement Journals

Page 16: Integrating Water Supply - US EPA · Integrating Water Supply Management And Ecological Flow Requirements Mark P. Smith and Colin Apse The Nature Conservancy Richard M. Vogel and

Integrating Water Supply Integrating Water Supply Management And Ecological Flow Management And Ecological Flow

RequirementsRequirements

Funding Provided By:Funding Provided By:U.S. Environmental Protection AgencyU.S. Environmental Protection Agency

Collaborative Science and Technology Network Collaborative Science and Technology Network for Sustainabilityfor Sustainability

EPA Grant # X3EPA Grant # X3--8323860183238601--00


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