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16 This work is published under Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License International Journal of Informative & Futuristic Research ISSN: 2347-1697 Volume 6 Issue 8 April 2019 www.ijifr.com Abstract Present paper attempts to have a spatial look into the Vidhan Sabha elections ofHimachal Pradesh state, held in 2017. Electoral geography analysis the methods, behavior and electoral results in the context of geographic space. This paper deals with the spatial analysis of 2017 Himachal Pradesh Elections, and also the change in the spatial patterns of electoral results from 2012 elections in Himachal Pradesh. Electoral Geography of Himachal Pradesh has witnessed bipolar party system where two main parties of state have always been in competition with each other. The first one is BhartiyaJanata Party (BJP) and the second one is Indian National Congress (INC). In 2012elections INC won 36 seats out of total 68 seats. But in 2017 elections the scenario was totally different. Himachal Pradesh Vidhan Sabha elections of 2017 have been won byBJP by winning 44 seats. Electoral data has been used to get information about the results of 2012 and 2017 state vidhansabhaelections. Study presents the share of winning parties, flipped constituencies, and changing patterns of electoral results through the analysis of state electoral results. A SPATIAL LOOK INTO THE HIMACHAL PRADESH VIDHAN SABHA ELECTIONS, 2017 Paper ID IJIFR/V6/ E8/ 009 Page No. 16-25 Subject Area Geography Key Words Electoral geography, Geography of Elections, HP, India, Party politics 1 Diksha Kumari Masters in Geography, Lovely Professional University , Jalandhar-Punjab (India) 2 Dr. Ripudaman Singh Professor , Department of Geography, Lovely Professional University , Jalandhar-Punjab (India)
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16 This work is published under Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License

International Journal of Informative & Futuristic Research ISSN: 2347-1697

Volume 6 Issue 8 April 2019 www.ijifr.com

Abstract

Present paper attempts to have a spatial look into the Vidhan Sabha

elections ofHimachal Pradesh state, held in 2017. Electoral geography

analysis the methods, behavior and electoral results in the context of

geographic space. This paper deals with the spatial analysis of 2017

Himachal Pradesh Elections, and also the change in the spatial patterns of

electoral results from 2012 elections in Himachal Pradesh. Electoral

Geography of Himachal Pradesh has witnessed bipolar party system

where two main parties of state have always been in competition with

each other. The first one is BhartiyaJanata Party (BJP) and the second one

is Indian National Congress (INC). In 2012elections INC won 36 seats out

of total 68 seats. But in 2017 elections the scenario was totally different.

Himachal Pradesh Vidhan Sabha elections of 2017 have been won byBJP

by winning 44 seats. Electoral data has been used to get information about

the results of 2012 and 2017 state vidhansabhaelections. Study presents

the share of winning parties, flipped constituencies, and changing patterns

of electoral results through the analysis of state electoral results.

A SPATIAL LOOK INTO THE

HIMACHAL PRADESH VIDHAN SABHA

ELECTIONS, 2017 Paper ID IJIFR/V6/ E8/ 009 Page No. 16-25 Subject Area Geography

Key Words Electoral geography, Geography of Elections, HP, India, Party politics

1 Diksha Kumari

Masters in Geography,

Lovely Professional University ,

Jalandhar-Punjab (India)

2 Dr. Ripudaman Singh

Professor ,

Department of Geography,

Lovely Professional University ,

Jalandhar-Punjab (India)

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17

ISSN: 2347-1697

International Journal of Informative & Futuristic Research (IJIFR)

Continuous 69th Edition, Volume - 6, Issue -8, April 2019

25th Edition, Page No: 01-09

Diksha Kumari and Dr. Ripudaman Singh :: A Spatial Look Into The Himachal Pradesh Vidhan Sabha Elections, 2017

1. INTRODUCTION Electoral geography or geography of elections deals with the processes and systemsrelated

with the voting behavior, patterns and electoral results in their totality. It is aconstituent

part of political geography, a science which contemplates about improvementof every

political procedure inside geographical space [1]. Domain of every nation is diverse, thus

the inspirations and interests of thegeneral population keep an eye on various elections. It

is the study of human behaviortowards voting patterns of elections in context to particular

time and area.Geographically, the meaning of electoral geography variesfrom time to time

and place to place. In other words, it is the study of the spatial votingpatterns and behavior

of the study of the spatial distribution of political phenomena of votingand related

processes. It looks into the questions of what, where, why and how ofelectoral processes.

What is behind election results and what these results actually mean? Electoral geography

is also known as geography of elections. Geography studies the investigation of

thephysical elements of the earth and its environment, and human action as it effects and

asinfluenced by these, including the movement of population and assets and political

andeconomic phenomenon taking place over it. Political geography, deals with states,

their boundaries, divisions, and possessions.Electoral geography further specializes in

understanding the spatial patterns of voting behavior and the factors controlling it. Various

studies have been undertaken to analyze the spatial patterns and voting behavior in the

elections of India [2], West Bengal [3], Delhi [4], and Punjab [5], to name few. Present

study has been chosen to analyze and comparethe electoral results of Himachal Pradesh

Vidhan Sabha elections. 2017 elections of Himachal Pradesh havebrought a change in the

state politics, so an attempt is made to understand the electoral results.

2. Elections of Himachal Pradesh LegislativeAssembly (Vidhan Sabha) are held in

accordance with Indian constitution. AfterIndependence, Himachal Pradesh was brought

under the Lt. Governor with 36-member Legislative Assembly in 1951. Other hill areas of

the East Punjab were merged with it in1966 and made a Union Territory. In 1970, it was

made a full State. First elections to theAssembly of Lesser Himachal Pradesh were held in

1952, when there were total 36seats [6]. 1970 onwards the State of Himachal Pradesh is

having 4 parliamentary constituencies and 68Vidhan Sabha constituencies (Table 1 and

Fig. 1). During the 2012 state assembly elections, Indian National Congress (INC) won 36

seats and Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP) won 26 seats, whereas, Himachal LokhitParty

(HLP) could won only 1 seat and independents won 3 seats. Congress government was

formedin 2012 elections. On the other hand, in 2017, election scenario got totally changed,

where BJP won 44 seats and INC could get only 21 seats [7].Present study has been

attempted to look into spatial analysis of Himachal Pradesh Vidhan Sabha elections, 2017,

to achieve the objectives to: examine the spatial organization of elections with particular

reference to legislative assembly constituencies of Himachal Pradesh; and find out the

spatial variation in voting patterns in 2017 elections.

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ISSN: 2347-1697

International Journal of Informative & Futuristic Research (IJIFR)

Continuous 69th Edition, Volume - 6, Issue -8, April 2019

25th Edition, Page No: 01-09

Diksha Kumari and Dr. Ripudaman Singh :: A Spatial Look Into The Himachal Pradesh Vidhan Sabha Elections, 2017

3. Fig 1: Himachal Pradesh Constituencies

4.

5. Source: Election Commission of Himachal Pradesh (Vidhan Sabha Constituencies names given in Table 1).

6.

2. METHODOLOGY

To achieve the objectives, quantitative as well as descriptive research methods have been

used for electoral data analysis. As this study is mainly related to the analysis of Himachal

Pradesh elections of 2017 and its change from previous elections (2012), data have been

taken from various secondary sources such as Chief Electoral Office of Himachal Pradesh

and Election Commission of India, newspapers articles etc. All the information which was

required for this study has been collected and analyzed.

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ISSN: 2347-1697

International Journal of Informative & Futuristic Research (IJIFR)

Continuous 69th Edition, Volume - 6, Issue -8, April 2019

25th Edition, Page No: 01-09

Diksha Kumari and Dr. Ripudaman Singh :: A Spatial Look Into The Himachal Pradesh Vidhan Sabha Elections, 2017

7. Table 1: Himachal Pradesh: Vidhan Sabha and Parliament Constituencies Vidhan Sabha

Constituency

Lok Sabha

Constituency

Vidhan Sabha

Constituency

Lok Sabha

Constituency

Vidhan

Sabha

Constituency

Lok Sabha

Constituency

1 Churah Kangra 24 Banjar Mandi 47

Ghumarwin

Hamirpur

2 Bharmour Mandi 25 Anni Mandi 48 Bilaspur Hamirpur

3 Chamba Kangra 26 Karsog Mandi 49 Sri Naina

Devi

Hamirpur

4 Dalhousie Kangra 27 Sundernagar Mandi 50 Arki Shimla

5 Bhattiyat Kangra 28 Nachan Mandi 51

Nalagargh

Shimla

6 Nupur Kangra 29 Seraj Mandi 52 Doon Shimla

7 Indora Kangra 30 Darang Mandi 53 Solan Shimla

8 Fatehpur Kangra 31 Jogindernagar Mandi 54 Kasauli Shimla

9 Jawali Kangra 32 Dharampur Hamirpur 55 Pachhad Shimla

10 Dehra Hamirpur 33 Mandi Mandi 56 Nahan Shimla

11 Jaswan-

Pragpur

Hamirpur 34 Balh Mandi 57 Sri

Renukaji

Shimla

12

Jawalamukhi

Kangra 35 Sarkaghat Mandi 58 Ponta

Sahib

Shimla

13

Jaisinghpur

Kangra 36 Bhoranj Hamirpur 59 Shillai Shimla

14 Sullah Kangra 37 Sujanpur Hamirpur 60 Chopal Shimla

15 Nagrota Kangra 38 Hamirpur Hamirpur 61 Theog Shimla

16 Kangra Kangra 39 Barsar Hamirpur 62 Kasumpti Shimla

17 Shahpur Kangra 40 Nadaun Hamirpur 63 Shimla Shimla

18

Dharamshala

Kangra 41 Chintpurni Hamirpur 64 Shimla

Rural

Shimla

19 Palampur Kangra 42 Gagret Hamirpur 65 Jubbal-

Kotkhai

Shimla

20 Baijnath Kangra 43 Haroli Hamirpur 66 Rampur Mandi

21 Lahul &

Spiti

Mandi 44 Una Hamirpur 67 Rohru Shimla

22 Manali Mandi 45 Kutlehar Hamipur 68 Kinnaur Mandi

23 Kullu Mandi 46 Jhanduta Hamirpur 8. Source: Election Commission of Himachal Pradesh.

9.

3. RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS

Table 2 and Fig 2 depict the results of 2012 and 2017 elections and their vote share in

percentages. In 2012, INC managed to win 36 seats with a vote share of 52.94 percent.

BJP had to sit in opposition with 26 seats. The vote share percentage of BJP was 38.23

percent, while HLP won only 1 seat with vote share percentage of just 1.45 percent and

other independent won 3 seats with voting percentage of 4.41 percent. Collectively the

other six candidates could get 8.83 percent vote share.

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ISSN: 2347-1697

International Journal of Informative & Futuristic Research (IJIFR)

Continuous 69th Edition, Volume - 6, Issue -8, April 2019

25th Edition, Page No: 01-09

Diksha Kumari and Dr. Ripudaman Singh :: A Spatial Look Into The Himachal Pradesh Vidhan Sabha Elections, 2017

2012 Elections

INC

BJP

HLP

OTHERS

Table 2: Himachal PradeshElections Result, 2012 and 2017

Political Party 2012

Elections

Vote share (%) 2017

Elections

Vote share (%)

Total seats 68 68

INC 36 52.94 21 30.88

BJP 26 38.23 44 64.70

Others 6 8.83 3 4.42 Source: Election Commission of India (ECI), Associate for Democratic Reforms (ADR)

Figure 2: Himachal Pradesh Elections 2012 &2017, Vote share in percentage

In 2017 elections, the electoral results were altogether changed. With a BJP government in

center, and Modi wave lead to reversal in poll results. BJP won 44 seats registering 64.70

percent vote share, whereas, INC had to sit in opposition with 21 seats and voting share of

30.88 percent. Vote percentage of other three winners was 4.42 percent. Fig. 3 depicts the

electoral results of 2012 and 2017 Himachal PradeshVidhan Sabha elections. Map clearly

depictsthat the Congress dominance has been drastically reduced in the 2017 elections as

compare to 2012 elections. Anti-incumbency and the Modi wave were the probable

reasons for change ingovernment in the state.

2017 Elections

BJP

INC

OTHERS

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ISSN: 2347-1697

International Journal of Informative & Futuristic Research (IJIFR)

Continuous 69th Edition, Volume - 6, Issue -8, April 2019

25th Edition, Page No: 01-09

Diksha Kumari and Dr. Ripudaman Singh :: A Spatial Look Into The Himachal Pradesh Vidhan Sabha Elections, 2017

Fig. 3: Himachal Pradesh Vidhan Sabha Electoral Results, 2012 and 2017

As per the women’s representation in the Vidhan Sabha, only 3 and 4 women could make

their way to the state assembly in 2012 and 2017 respectively (Table 3). It was merely 4.4

and 5.9 percent of the total Vidhan Sabha seats respectively. Fig. 4 depicts the

constituencies showing the woman contested and elected in2017 elections. Out of 19

women candidates who contested the Himachal Pradesh assembly elections only 4 female

candidates won. Although Himachal is having higher literacy rates, around 84 percent as

compared to 74 percent as national average in 2011 census [8], lower women

representation in state assembly, indicates the male dominance in Hill state. One

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ISSN: 2347-1697

International Journal of Informative & Futuristic Research (IJIFR)

Continuous 69th Edition, Volume - 6, Issue -8, April 2019

25th Edition, Page No: 01-09

Diksha Kumari and Dr. Ripudaman Singh :: A Spatial Look Into The Himachal Pradesh Vidhan Sabha Elections, 2017

interesting fact regarding electoral results is that women winning elections in

constituencies falling in Chamba district, which has lowest literacy among Himachal

districts.

Table 3: HP Election: winning ratio between male and female candidates Total Seats in

Vidhan Sabha

Male winning

candidates in

2012

Female

winning

candidates in

2012

Male winning

candidates in

2017

Female winning

candidates in

2017

68 65 3 64 4 Source: Election commission of India (ECI)

Fig. 4: Himachal Pradesh: Vidhan Sabha Elections; Women Contested and

Elected, 2017

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ISSN: 2347-1697

International Journal of Informative & Futuristic Research (IJIFR)

Continuous 69th Edition, Volume - 6, Issue -8, April 2019

25th Edition, Page No: 01-09

Diksha Kumari and Dr. Ripudaman Singh :: A Spatial Look Into The Himachal Pradesh Vidhan Sabha Elections, 2017

Table 4: Himachal Pradesh: Flipped Constituencies in 2017

Table 4: Himachal Pradesh: Flipped Constituencies in 2017 Source: Election Commission of Himachal Pradesh

(*INC: Indian National Congress; BJP: Bhartiya Janata Party; CPM: Communist Party

Marxist; HLP: Himachal Lokhit Party; IND: Independent)

Fig. 5: Himachal Pradesh Elections; Flipped and Retained Constituencies, 2017

Constituency Winner Party* Constituency Winner Party*

2012 2017 2012 2017

Bharmour INC BJP Mandi INC BJP

Nurpur INC BJP Balh INC BJP

Indora INC BJP Sujanpur IND INC

Jawali INC BJP Nadaun BJP INC

Dehra BJP IND Chintpurni INC BJP

Jawalamukhi INC BJP Gagret INC BJP

Sullah INC BJP Una INC BJP

Nagrota INC BJP Ghumarwin INC BJP

Kangra IND INC Bilaspur INC BJP

Dharamshala INC BJP Sri Naina Devi BJP INC

Baijnath INC BJP Arki BJP INC

Lahul&Spiti INC BJP Nalagargh INC BJP

Kullu HLP INC Doon INC BJP

Banjar INC BJP Paonta Sahib IND BJP

Anni INC BJP Shillai BJP INC

Karsog INC BJP Chopal BJP INC

Sundarnagar INC BJP Theog INC CPM

Darang INC BJP JubdalKotkhai INC BJP

Jogindar Nagar BJP IND

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ISSN: 2347-1697

International Journal of Informative & Futuristic Research (IJIFR)

Continuous 69th Edition, Volume - 6, Issue -8, April 2019

25th Edition, Page No: 01-09

Diksha Kumari and Dr. Ripudaman Singh :: A Spatial Look Into The Himachal Pradesh Vidhan Sabha Elections, 2017

Table 4 depicts the comparison of 2012 and 2017 elections, with respect to flipped

constituencies. Out of the total 37 flipped constituencies, that means, won by other party,

25 seats BJP won from INC, and only 5 seats INC won from BJP candidates. Other seven

seats were won by different parties, like two seats were won by independent candidates

from BJP, two seats won by INC from independent candidates, one seat BJP from

independent candidate, one CPM from INC and one INC from HLP. But in a way it was a

win-win situation for BJP to enhance its total seats to 44 in 2017 from 26 in 2012

elections. Fig. 5 depicts the spatial patterns of 37 flipped constituencies and the remaining

retained constituencies. Majority of Vidhan Sabha constituencies falling in Mandi, Shimla

and Kangra Parliamentary constituencies got flipped results, where anti-incumbency and

Modi wave was the strongest.

4. CONCLUSION

Data analysis of Himachal Pradesh Vidhan Sabha Elections, 2017 depicts a clear cut

reversal in the electoral results from previous elections held in 2012. Surely, in 2017 BJP

came to power and INC had to serve as the opposition party. In 2012 election INC won 36

seats and formed its government in Himachal Pradesh. But in 2017 elections, scenario got

totally changed. Anti-incumbency has been the major cause of defeat of INC in Himachal

during 2017 elections. In 2017 elections INC could win only 21seats, whereas BJP won 44

seats and independent candidates won only 3 seats. BJP was able to increase its vote share

from 38 percent to more than 64 percent. But, women couldwin only 4 seats out of 68

seats in 2017. Low participation of women in elections is a major reason. Instead of higher

female literacy in the state, lesser women show interest in politics. It is also one of the

reason that very few women fight elections.Anti-incumbency factor has been a strong

variable in replacing the governments in the alternate elections. It has to be analyzed

further, whether, in the long run, this system of changing governments will be beneficial

or harming the states’ interests. Will there be any third alternative in this Hill state? Or

what other shape political course will take in the state in coming times?

5. REFERENCES

[1] Kavianirad, M. and Rosouli, M. (2014) Explanation of relationship between Geography and

Elections (Electoral Geography). Geopolitics Quarterly, Volume: 10, No 4, Winter 2015, pp.

93-108.

[2] Singh, P, (2015) Geography of voting: A case study in Electoral Geography.

InternationalJournal of Informative and Futuristic Research 3(1). pp.10-18.

[3] Khan, N, Rahman, M (2015) Electoral Geography: Spatial Analysis of voting patterns in 2011

Assembly election in West Bengal. International Journal of Information and Futuristic

Research (3). pp. 1179-1177.

[4] Seema (2014) Electoral Geography: A Spatial- Temporal Analysis of Delhi and its Assembly

elections, International journal of Development Research Vol.4, Issue,1, PP.136-143,

January, 2014.

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ISSN: 2347-1697

International Journal of Informative & Futuristic Research (IJIFR)

Continuous 69th Edition, Volume - 6, Issue -8, April 2019

25th Edition, Page No: 01-09

Diksha Kumari and Dr. Ripudaman Singh :: A Spatial Look Into The Himachal Pradesh Vidhan Sabha Elections, 2017

[5] Thakur, B. and Singh, R.D. (2017) Electoral Geography of Punjab Vidhan Sabha Elections,

2017: A Spatial Analysis, International Journal of Economic Research, Vol. 14, Number 20,

October, 2017: 549-558.

[6] Government of Himachal Pradesh (2018) Statistical Abstract of Himachal Pradesh,

Government Press, Shimla.

[7] Election Commission of Himachal Pradesh (2018) Election Results of Vidhan Sabha

Elections, 2017. Government of Himachal Pradesh, Shimla.

[8] Government of India (2011) Census of India, 2011. District Census Handbooks, Himachal

Pradesh. Registrar General of India, New Delhi.

TO CITE THIS PAPER

Kumari, D. , Singh, R. (2019) :: “A Spatial Look Into The Himachal Pradesh Vidhan

Sabha Elections, 2017” International Journal of Informative & Futuristic Research

(ISSN: 2347-1697), Vol. (6) No. (8), April 2019, pp. 16-25, Paper ID: IJIFR/V6/E8/009.

Available online through- http://www.ijifr.com/searchjournal.aspx

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Authorised Signature With Seal

This is certified that the paper entitled

A Spatial Look into the Himachal Pradesh Vidhan Sabha Elections, 2017 Authored by

Diksha Kumari Masters in Geography, Lovely Professional University, Jalandhar-Punjab (India)

has been accepted & published online in IJIFR continuous 69th edition

Volume 6-Issue 8, April 2019 under Paper ID: IJIFR /V6/E8/009 The mentioned paper is accepted after rigorous evaluation through double blind peer reviewed process.

International Journal of Informative & Futuristic Research

www.ijifr.com

ISSN: 2347-1697

IJIFR Impact Factor (2016) = 6.051 Volume 6, Issue 8, April 2019

Dated : 06/05/2019

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Authorised Signature With Seal

This is certified that the paper entitled

A Spatial Look into the Himachal Pradesh Vidhan Sabha Elections, 2017 Authored by

Dr. Ripudaman Singh Professor, Department of Geography, Lovely Professional University, Jalandhar-Punjab (India)

has been accepted & published online in IJIFR continuous 69th edition

Volume 6-Issue 8, April 2019 under Paper ID: IJIFR /V6/E8/009 The mentioned paper is accepted after rigorous evaluation through double blind peer reviewed process.

International Journal of Informative & Futuristic Research

www.ijifr.com

ISSN: 2347-1697

IJIFR Impact Factor (2016) = 6.051 Volume 6, Issue 8, April 2019

Dated : 06/05/2019


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