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1 ©Ipsos.1
Is the system broken?International views
December 2016
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©Ipsos.
2 ©Ipsos.
Over half think their country is in decline (although not yet irreversible)
“…is in decline” “Do you think [country] can recover from its decline or is it irreversible”*
GLOBAL @ADVISOR: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN?
28%
29%
20%
10%
8%5%
AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
NEITHER AGREE OR DISAGREE
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
DON'T KNOW 67%
15%
18%CAN RECOVER
IS IRREVERSIBLE
DON'T KNOW
Base: 16,096 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016.* Asked of all those who think their country is in decline
3 ©Ipsos.
Majority in 14 nations think their country is in decline – especially South Africa, South Korea, Italy and Brazil….
GLOBAL @ADVISOR: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN?
Base: 16,096 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
57%77%
73%73%
72%70%
69%69%
67%64%
60%58%
57%55%
53%50%
49%47%
44%42%
40%38%
22%
TotalSouth AfricaSouth Korea
ItalyBrazil
HungaryMexico
SpainFrance
BelgiumUnited States
ArgentinaGreat Britain
TurkeySwedenPoland
AustraliaGermany
PeruIsraelJapan
CanadaIndia
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q5 To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements – “Your country is in decline”
4 ©Ipsos.
GLOBAL @ADVISOR: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN?
67%85%84%84%
82%81%
80%78%
76%72%
69%68%
66%65%
61%60%60%60%60%
53%52%51%
24%
15%5%
9%2%
15%8%
11%9%
15%11%
13%10%
11%19%19%
15%14%
17%17%
28%29%
21%34%
T o t a lP e r u
M e x i c oI s r a e lI n d i a
A r g e n t i n aB r a z i l
S o u t h A f r i c aT u r k e y
S w e d e nP o l a n d
U n i t e d S t a t e sA u s t r a l i a
S p a i nI t a l y
H u n g a r yC a n a d aF r a n c e
G r e a t B r i t a i nG e r m a n yB e l g i u m
S o u t h K o r e aJ a p a n
Can recover Irreversible
Q6 And do you think [country] can recover from its decline or is it irreversible ?
Base: 9,193 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
…But are optimistic that it can recover (although less so in Japan, Belgium and Germany)
5 ©Ipsos.
GLOBAL @ADVISOR: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN?And there is significant pessimism for current and future generations in France, Belgium, Hungary, South Korea, Italy and Spain
43%65%
61%60%
56%56%
54%53%
47%46%
44%43%
41%40%
39%38%38%38%
35%33%
30%22%
19%
TotalHungary
FranceItaly
South KoreaSpainJapan
BelgiumUnited States
CanadaGermany
Great BritainSouth Africa
TurkeyIsrael
MexicoSweden
AustraliaBrazil
PolandArgentina
IndiaPeru
Slightly/Much worse
48%67%
66%65%
63%60%
56%55%55%
53%53%
52%47%
45%44%44%
42%38%
37%36%
30%22%
20%
TotalFrance
BelgiumSpain
South KoreaHungary
Great BritainItaly
JapanCanada
GermanyUnited States
TurkeySweden
AustraliaIsrael
South AfricaBrazil
MexicoPoland
ArgentinaIndiaPeru
Slightly/Much worse
Q7 To what extent, if at all, do you feel that your generation will have had a better or worse life than your parents’ generation, or will it have been the same?
Q8 And to what extent, if at all, do you feel that today’s youth will have had a better or worse life than their parents’ generation, or will it have been about the same?
Base: 16,096 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
6 ©Ipsos.
Strong feeling in many countries that the people in charge don’t care about ‘people like me’, and instead favour rich and powerful.
GLOBAL @ADVISOR: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN?
Politicians should be able to say what’s on their minds regardless of what anyone else thinks about their views
To fix [country], we need a strong leader willing to break the rules
[Country] needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful
Traditional parties and politicians don’t care about people like me
41% 27% 15% 5% 7% 4%
The [country’s] economy is rigged to advantage the rich and powerful
35% 29% 18% 6% 7% 5%
28% 21% 19% 6% 11% 14%
40% 24% 17% 6% 8% 6%
37% 27% 17% 6% 7% 4%
STRONGLY AGREE
SOMEWHAT AGREE
SOMEWHAT DISAGREE
STRONGLY DISAGREE
32% 29% 21% 7% 8% 4%
Experts in this country don’t understand the lives of people like me
Base: 16,096 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
7 ©Ipsos.
Most feel the system favours the rich and powerful – especially Mexico, Peru, Hungary, Israel and Spain
GLOBAL @ADVISOR: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN?
Base: 16,096 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
63%81%
74%72%72%72%
71%71%
70%70%
69%68%
67%67%
65%63%
62%60%
59%53%
45%34%
31%
TotalMexico
PeruHungary
SpainIsrael
AustraliaIndia
South KoreaFrance
United StatesBrazil
Great BritainItaly
CanadaTurkey
ArgentinaSouth Africa
BelgiumPoland
JapanGermany
Sweden
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q10 [Country] needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful
69%83%
82%80%
79%79%
75%74%
71%70%
69%69%
68%68%
67%67%
66%65%
64%63%
59%55%
39%
TotalHungary
MexicoIsraelPeru
SpainItaly
South KoreaBelgium
FranceBrazil
United StatesTurkey
AustraliaPoland
Great BritainGermany
ArgentinaSouth Africa
IndiaCanada
JapanSweden
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q10 The [country’s] economy is rigged to advantage the rich and powerful
8 ©Ipsos.
Most people feel politicians don’t care about them, especially parts of LATAM and continental Europe
GLOBAL @ADVISOR: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN?
Base: 16,096 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
64%78%
77%76%
75%73%
72%70%
69%66%
65%65%65%
64%63%
61%61%
58%57%
56%53%
42%39%
TotalMexico
PeruFrance
SpainHungary
ItalyPoland
BrazilUnited States
ArgentinaSouth AfricaSouth Korea
IndiaBelgium
TurkeyAustralia
Great BritainIsrael
CanadaGermany
SwedenJapan
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q10 Traditional parties and politicians don’t care about people like me
9 ©Ipsos.
Close to two-thirds on average favour outspoken politicians
GLOBAL @ADVISOR: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN?
Base: 16,096 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
64%79%79%79%
74%72%
71%70%
68%66%66%
64%64%64%
60%59%59%
58%57%
53%51%
49%47%
TotalArgentina
HungaryIsraelSpainPeru
PolandFrance
South KoreaBelgium
IndiaMexico
GermanyGreat Britain
United StatesAustralia
ItalySwedenCanadaTurkey
BrazilSouth Africa
Japan
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q10 Politicians should be able to say what’s on their minds regardless of what anyone else thinks about their views
10 ©Ipsos.
Similarly most people feel misunderstood by experts, especially Spain, France and Mexico
GLOBAL @ADVISOR: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN?
Base: 16,096 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
60%74%
73%72%
70%69%
67%65%
64%64%
62%60%60%60%
59%58%
57%55%55%
53%46%
45%38%
TotalSpain
FranceMexico
HungaryPeru
ArgentinaItaly
PolandUnited States
TurkeySouth Africa
AustraliaIndia
Great BritainCanada
BelgiumSouth Korea
BrazilIsrael
GermanyJapan
Sweden
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q10 Experts in this country don’t understand the lives of people like me
11 ©Ipsos.
Big variation in desire for a strong leader willing to break the rules - especially high in France
GLOBAL @ADVISOR: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN?
Base: 16,096 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
49%80%
69%68%
66%66%
65%60%
54%51%
50%50%
48%42%42%
41%41%
40%39%
36%35%
23%21%
TotalFrance
IsraelItaly
South KoreaTurkey
IndiaPoland
BelgiumPeru
AustraliaGreat Britain
BrazilSouth Africa
HungaryMexicoCanada
United StatesJapan
ArgentinaSpain
SwedenGermany
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q10 To fix [country], we need a strong leader willing to break the rules
12 ©Ipsos.
On balance, people are still more likely to feel that opening up their country to foreign business and trade is an opportunity rather than a threat, but across the world people are split on whether their country should protect itself or open up more to the world.
GLOBAL @ADVISOR: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN?
Base: 16,096 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
26% 42%
31% 36%
OPENING UP [COUNTRY’S] ECONOMY TO FOREIGN BUSINESSES AND FOREIGN TRADE IS A THREAT TO [YOUR COUNTRY]
OPENING UP [COUNTRY’S] ECONOMY TO FOREIGN BUSINESSES AND FOREIGN TRADE IS AN OPPORTUNITY FOR [YOUR COUNTRY]
[COUNTRY] NEEDS TO TAKE MORE STEPS TO PROTECT ITSELF FROM TODAY’S WORLD
[COUNTRY] NEEDS TO TAKE MORE STEPS TO OPEN ITSELF UP TO TODAY’S WORLD
BOTH/DON’T KNOW
BOTH/DON’T KNOW
33%
33%
13 ©Ipsos.
GLOBAL @ADVISOR: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN?
26%21%
20%20%
18%19%
21%25%
20%29%
34%21%
28%29%
32%26%
29%22%
28%31%
38%22%
33%
42%55%54%54%
51%50%
50%50%49%
46%45%44%44%
39%39%
37%37%
35%34%33%
28%27%26%
T o t a l
P e r u
S o u t h A f r i c a
G r e a t B r i t a i n
S w e d e n
P o l a n d
H u n g a r y
I s r a e l
S p a i n
M e x i c o
A r g e n t i n a
B r a z i l
I n d i a
U n i t e d S t a t e s
T u r k e y
C a n a d a
B e l g i u m
S o u t h K o r e a
G e r m a n y
A u s t r a l i a
I t a l y
J a p a n
F r a n c e
Opening up [country's] economy to foreign businesses and foreign trade is a threat to [your country]Opening up [country's economy to foreign businesses and foreign trade is an opportunity for [your country]
People tend to view globalisation as an opportunity, rather than a threat – but not in Italy and France
Base: 16,096 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
14 ©Ipsos.
GLOBAL @ADVISOR: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN?
31%47%
39%39%
37%36%36%36%
34%33%33%
32%32%32%31%
29%27%
26%25%
24%22%
21%19%
36%25%25%
34%25%
22%24%
27%25%
32%28%
47%38%
24%38%38%
40%56%
43%45%
51%48%
62%
T o t a l
U n i t e d S t a t e s
C a n a d a
I s r a e l
A u s t r a l i a
B r a z i l
F r a n c e
I t a l y
G e r m a n y
B e l g i u m
S o u t h K o r e a
A r g e n t i n a
H u n g a r y
J a p a n
T u r k e y
I n d i a
S w e d e n
M e x i c o
G r e a t B r i t a i n
S o u t h A f r i c a
S p a i n
P o l a n d
P e r u
Agree most that [country] needs to take more steps to protect itself from today’s worldAgree most that [country] needs to take more steps to open itself up to today’s world
Peru, Mexico and Argentina want to open up more to the world – but North Americans more likely to say they should protect themselves from the world
Base: 16,096 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
15 ©Ipsos.
MethodologyGLOBAL @DVISOR: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN?
• These are the findings of a Global @dvisor survey into the political mood around the world. In total 16,096 interviews were conducted between October 21 – November 4 among adults aged 18-64 in the US and Canada, and adults aged 16-64 in all other countries.
• The survey was conducted in 22 countries around the world via the Ipsos Online Panel system. The countries reporting herein are Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States of America.
• Between 500 and 1000+ individuals participated on a country by country basis via the Ipsos Online Panel. The sample was 1000+ inAustralia, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Italy, Japan, Spain and the United Stated of America. In all other countries the sample was 500+. The precision of Ipsos online polls is calculated using a credibility interval with a poll of 1,000 accurate to +/- 3.5 percentage points and of 500 accurate to +/- 5.0 percentage points. For more information on Ipsos’ use of credibility intervals, please visit the Ipsos website.
• In countries where internet penetration is approximately 60% or higher the data output generally reflects the overall population. Of the 22 countries surveyed online, 16 yield results that are balanced to reflect the general population: Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Hungary, Israel, Italy, Japan, Poland, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Great Britain and the United States. The 6 remaining countries surveyed – Brazil (58%), India (19%), Mexico (44%), Peru (39%), South Africa (49%) and Turkey (51%) - have lower levels of internet connectivity and reflect online populations that tend to be more urban and have higher education/income than the general population.
• Where results do not sum to 100, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses or the exclusion of don't knows or not stated responses.
• Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.
16 ©Ipsos.
For more information
Gideon SkinnerResearch Director, Ipsos MORI UK
+44 (0)20 7347 3260
Jean-Michel LebrunResearch Director, Ipsos
+32 (0) 2 642 49 10
Daan BijwaardResearch Executive, Ipsos
+32 (0) 2 642 49 37
17 ©Ipsos.
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