July 30 August 5, 2019 - Granicus

220-5407

Survey Conducted: July 30 – August 5, 2019

CONSULTANT INTERVIEW DRAFT. NOT FOR PUBLICATION. CA GOV’T. CODE 6254.

CONSULTANT INTERVIEW DRAFT. NOT FOR PUBLICATION. CA GOV’T. CODE 6254. 1

Survey Methodology

Survey conducted July 30 – August 5, 2019

1,008 randomly-selected likely voters in Pasadena Unified School District

Dual Mode Methodology: Interviewing was conducted online and via landlines and cellular telephones with live interviewers

Interviews conducted in English and Spanish

Margin of error for the full sample is ±3.5% at the 95% confidence interval

Some numbers may not sum up to 100% due to rounding

Some questions tracked to survey conducted in August 2017

2


32%

20%

19%

15%

23%

25%

8%

6%

5%

5%

45%

44%

47%

Voters in the City of Pasadena recently passed a city sales tax

ballot measure

^Our local schools are receiving funding from a local ballot

measure approved by voters in the City of Pasadena

Our local schools are receiving funding from a previous bond

measure approved by voters

Very Acc. Smwt. Acc. Smwt. Inacc. Very Inacc. Don't Know/NA Total Acc.

Total Inacc.

47% 8%

43% 12%

43% 10%

Q. I would like to share with you some statements about your local neighborhood schools. Please tell me if you think each of the following statements is accurate or inaccurate. ^Not Part of Split Sample

A little less than half of voters are aware of previous bond and

local ballot measures in Pasadena.

CONSULTANT INTERVIEW DRAFT. NOT FOR PUBLICATION. CA GOV’T. CODE 6254. 4 Q. Please tell me if you think each of the following statements is accurate or inaccurate. Split Sample

45%

28%

6%

3%

19%

Very accurate

Somewhat accurate

Somewhat inaccurate

Very inaccurate

Don’t know/NA

48%

25%

8%

1%

17%

2017

Total Accurate

73%

Total Inaccurate

9%

2019

Total Accurate

73%

Total Inaccurate

9%

Nearly three-quarters of voters continue to believe that local school classrooms need repairs.

Many local school classrooms are aging and in need of repair

5


Q. Generally speaking, would you say that the Pasadena Unified School District has a great need for additional funding, some need, a little need or no real need for additional funding?

48%

22%

6%

9%

15%

Great need

Some need

Little need

No real need

Don’t know/NA

49%

22%

5%

11%

12%

2017

Great/ Some Need

72%

Little/No Real Need

16%

2019

Great/ Some Need

70%

Little/No Real Need

15%

Despite passage of Pasadena City Measures I & J, seven-in-ten voters continue to believe that PUSD has a need

for additional funds with nearly half calling it “great.”


The survey tested two ballot questions to be responsive to current law and prepared for possible changes.

• After the last PUSD survey, the state passed AB195, that added required language for 75-word ballot questions for local general obligation bonds:

Tax Rate

Tax Duration

Revenue Raised

• Because those details are often confusing to voters, there are legislative conversations about suspending or repealing AB195.

• With this context, the survey tested two different ballot questions

Ballot Question 1: Could be used by the

District if AB195 is suspended/overturned

Consistent with 2017 survey

Ballot Question 2: AB195 compliant and

can be used if law does not change

CONSULTANT INTERVIEW DRAFT. NOT FOR PUBLICATION. CA GOV’T. CODE 6254. 8 Q. If the election were held today, would you vote yes in favor of this Pasadena Unified School District bond measure or no to oppose it?

PASADENA UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT REPAIR, STUDENT ACHIEVEMENT, SAFETY MEASURE

To upgrade neighborhood schools/classrooms by:

Repairing deteriorating classrooms, bathrooms/plumbing, leaky roofs

Upgrading classroom technology, computer/science labs, career/vocational classrooms

Upgrading school security, emergency communications/fire safety systems

Improving energy/water conservation

Removing asbestos/lead paint

Providing safe drinking water, disabled accessibility

Acquiring, constructing, repairing sites, facilities, equipment Shall Pasadena Unified School District issue $850 million in bonds, requiring annual independent financial audits, citizens’ oversight, all funds used for neighborhood schools?

Non-AB195 Ballot Question Tested in Survey

CONSULTANT INTERVIEW DRAFT. NOT FOR PUBLICATION. CA GOV’T. CODE 6254. 9 Q. If the election were held today, would you vote yes in favor of this Pasadena Unified School District bond measure or no to oppose it?

PASADENA UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT REPAIR, STUDENT ACHIEVEMENT, SAFETY MEASURE

To upgrade neighborhood schools by:

Repairing deteriorating classrooms, bathrooms, roofs

Upgrading computer/science labs, school security, fire safety, energy/water conservation

Removing hazardous materials

Providing safe drinking water, disabled accessibility

Acquiring, constructing, repairing sites, facilities, equipment

Shall Pasadena Unified School District’s measure authorizing $850 million in bonds, at legal rates, levying 6¢ per $100 assessed valuation raising approximately $85 million annually while bonds are outstanding, be adopted requiring annual independent audits, citizens’ oversight?

AB195 Ballot Question Tested in Survey


As found with many other school districts, support is lower with AB195 language.

Q. If the election were held today, would you vote yes in favor of this bond measure or no to oppose it?

49%

17%

6%

1%

7%

16%

4%

Total Yes 72%

Total No

24%

40%

19%

6%

1%

8%

20%

6%

Total Yes 65%

Total No

29%

Definitely yes

Probably yes

Undecided, lean yes

Undecided, lean no

Probably no

Definitely no

Undecided

Non-AB195 compliant AB195 compliant

66% 59%


Support for the measure is extremely similar to what was found in the 2017 survey.

Q. If the election were held today, would you vote yes in favor of this Pasadena Unified School District bond measure or no to oppose it?

44%

22%

6%

3%

4%

16%

5%

Total Yes 72%

Total No

23%

2017

49%

17%

6%

1%

7%

16%

4%

Total Yes 72%

Total No

24%

Definitely yes

Probably yes

Undecided, lean yes

Undecided, lean no

Probably no

Definitely no

Undecided

66% 66%

Non-AB195 compliant


Support for the measure drops when voters consider the bond authorization of $650 million instead of $850 million.

Q. If the election were held today, would you vote yes in favor of it or no to oppose this bond measure? Q. What if the Pasadena school bond measure that I just described to you was for $650 million, instead $850 million?

49%

46%

40%

42%

23%

21%

25%

23%

8%

10%

9%

9%

16%

17%

20%

20%

6%

6%

7%

$850 million

$650 million

$850 million

$650 million

Def. Yes Prob./Und., Lean Yes Prob./Und., Lean No Def. No UndecidedTotal Yes

Total No

72% 24%

67% 27%

65% 29%

64% 28%

Non-AB195 compliant

AB195 compliant


Support for the measure exceeds the 55% threshold among voters likely to vote in the March 2020 Presidential Primary election.

Q. If the election were held today, would you vote yes in favor of it or no to oppose this bond measure?

47%

49%

41%

40%

23%

23%

23%

25%

8%

8%

11%

9%

17%

16%

19%

20%

5%

6%

6%

Likely March 2020 Primary Election Voters

Likely November 2020 General Election Voters

Likely March 2020 Primary Election Voters

Likely November 2020 General Election Voters

Def. Yes Prob./Und., Lean Yes Prob./Und., Lean No Def. No UndecidedTotal Yes

Total No

70% 25%

72% 24%

64% 30%

65% 29%

Non-AB195 compliant

AB195 compliant

14


Q4/Q5 Combined. If the election were held today, would you vote yes in favor of it or no to oppose this bond measure?

Initial Vote by Trustee District

District 1Kenne

District 2Boulghourjian

District 3Bailey

District 4Cahalan

District 5Pomeroy

District 6Torres

District 7Phelps

Total Yes Total No Undecided

(% of Sample) (15%) (16%) (12%) (12%) (13%) (17%) (15%)

Support for a bond measure exceeds the 55% threshold in each Trustee District



Initial Vote by Children

Pasadena USDParent

Have ChildrenUnder 19 at

Home

Have AdultChildren

Do Not HaveChildren


(% of Sample) (34%) (34%) (30%)

Support for the measure is strong whether or not voters have children at home.

(16%)



Initial Vote by Funding Need

Great/Some Need Little/No Real Need Don't Know/NA


(% of Sample) (12%) (16%) (72%)

There is a strong connection between voters’ perceptions of the District’s need for funding

and willingness to support the measure.

18


60%

50%

56%

55%

41%

48%

40%

50%

30%

37%

30%

30%

42%

31%

38%

28%

5%

6%

8%

5%

11%

12%

15%

10%

6%

7%

10%

5%

8%

7%

12%

Retaining and attracting quality teachers

Removing hazardous materials

Providing safe drinking water

Repairing leaky roofs

Upgrading schools to prepare students for high school,

college and careers

Repairing deteriorating classrooms

Removing asbestos and lead paint

Ext. Impt. Very Impt. Smwt. Impt. Not Too Impt./DK/NAExt./Very

Impt.

91%

87%

85%

85%

83%

79%

79%

78% Q8. I’d like to return to the local school bond measure we were discussing earlier. I am going to read you a list of projects, improvements and provisions that might be included in this school measure. Please tell me how important it is to you that each project or improvement be included: extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not too important. Split Sample

Voters prioritize retaining quality teachers, improving access to science/technology/engineering/math instruction, removing

hazardous materials, providing safe drinking water, and making repairs to schools.

Improving student access to instruction in science, technology,

engineering and math


Ext./Very Impt.

78%

78%

78%

78%

77%

77%

76%

76%

Q8. I’d like to return to the local school bond measure we were discussing earlier. I am going to read you a list of projects, improvements and provisions that might be included in this school measure. Please tell me how important it is to you that each project or improvement be included: extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not too important. Split Sample

Arts and music classrooms are also a high priority.

Making Pasadena Unified schools eligible for potential

state-matching funds

40%

38%

37%

34%

40%

39%

43%

37%

39%

40%

41%

44%

37%

38%

33%

38%

13%

14%

13%

15%

17%

13%

12%

19%

8%

8%

9%

6%

6%

10%

11%

5%

Ensuring all students have access to arts and music classrooms

Repairing termite-ridden structures

Providing disabled accessibility

Replacing deteriorating pipes

Providing arts and music classrooms

Providing competitive 21st century learning at each school

Repairing bathrooms and plumbing

Ext. Impt. Very Impt. Smwt. Impt. Not Too Impt./DK/NA


42%

38%

32%

39%

38%

35%

33%

33%

33%

36%

42%

32%

34%

37%

39%

38%

12%

16%

18%

14%

19%

18%

16%

20%

13%

10%

8%

14%

9%

10%

13%

9%

Requiring all money used for local neighborhood schools

Upgrading fire safety systems

Requiring annual independent audits

Upgrading computer and science labs

Upgrading school libraries

Repairing aging classrooms and bathrooms


Impt.

75%

74%

74%

72%

72%

72%

72%

71%


Some accountability provisions are important to more than seven-in-ten voters.

Upgrading computers and instructional technology in career

technical classrooms Installing water filtration systems

and filling stations to provide safe drinking water


39%

30%

31%

31%

44%

29%

30%

29%

33%

32%

40%

39%

38%

24%

39%

36%

39%

33%

18%

21%

20%

20%

12%

20%

23%

23%

21%

12%

10%

12%

11%

19%

12%

10%

10%

14%

Adding classrooms to reduce class sizes

Upgrading career technical education classrooms

Upgrading outdated heating and air conditioning systems

Upgrading neighborhood schools and classrooms

Ensuring no bond money goes to Sacramento

Upgrading classroom technology

Providing instructional technology for students

Upgrading vocational education classrooms

Upgrading emergency communications systems


Impt.

70%

70%

69%

69%

68%

68%

67%

67%

66%


Seven-in-ten voters feel it is important to add classrooms to reduce class sizes.



Environmental sustainability improvements are among the lowest priorities for voters.

Funding repairs, upgrades, and improvements at every school in

the district 32%

26%

32%

31%

26%

31%

22%

22%

18%

32%

38%

30%

31%

36%

30%

35%

31%

24%

25%

24%

25%

23%

23%

21%

24%

33%

33%

11%

12%

12%

15%

15%

17%

19%

15%

25%

Improving energy conservation

Requiring a citizens' oversight committee for bond funds

Upgrading school security

Replacing deteriorating portable classrooms

Reducing air pollution from school buildings

Reducing air pollution from school buses

Improving water conservation at local schools

Installing solar panels at local schools

Ext. Impt. Very Impt. Smwt. Impt. Not Too Impt./DK/NA Ext./Very Impt.

64%

64%

63%

62%

62%

61%

57%

53%

42%

24


72% 70% 68% 65% 68% 63%

24% 25% 28% 29% 27% 29%

4% 5% 4% 6% 5% 7%

InitialVote

AfterEducation

AfterOpposition

InitialVote

AfterEducation

AfterOpposition

0%

55%

Total No

Total Yes

Undecided

Support remains above the 55% threshold for both versions of the bond measure after all information.

Q. If the election were held today, would you vote yes in favor of it or no to oppose this bond measure?

Non-AB195 compliant AB195 compliant

26

CONSULTANT INTERVIEW DRAFT. NOT FOR PUBLICATION. CA GOV’T. CODE 6254. 27 Q. If the election on this ballot measure were held today, would you vote “yes” in favor of this measure or “no” to oppose it?

PASADENA UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT CLASSROOM EDUCATION, QUALITY TEACHER, COLLEGE/CAREER PREPARATION MEASURE To improve local neighborhood public schools; retain/attract qualified teachers; maintain low class sizes; improve education in arts/music, science, technology, engineering, math; provide adequate instructional materials; conserve water/energy; provide mental health, guidance counselors, nurses, librarians; upgrade school safety/security; shall Pasadena Unified School District levy $95 per parcel annually, providing approximately $5.3 million annually unless ended by voters, requiring annual financial audits, all funds for local schools?

Parcel Tax Ballot Question Tested in Survey


43%

19%

5%

2%

8%

18%

6%

Definitely yes

Probably yes

Undecided, lean yes

Undecided, lean no

Probably no

Definitely no

Undecided

Total Yes 67%

Total No

27%

Support for the parcel tax measure is right at the 2/3rds threshold for passage.

Q. If the election on this ballot measure were held today, would you vote “yes” in favor of this measure or “no” to oppose it?

62%


Q. If the election on this ballot measure were held today, would you vote “yes” in favor of this measure or “no” to oppose it?

Parcel Tax by Trustee District

District 1Kenne

District 2Boulghourjian

District 3Bailey

District 4Cahalan

District 5Pomeroy

District 6Torres

District 7Phelps


(% of Sample) (15%) (16%) (12%) (12%) (13%) (17%) (15%)

Support for the parcel tax is strongest in Trustee Districts 1, 4, and 7.

30


Conclusions

An $850 million bond measure for Pasadena USD is viable for further planning for either the March or November 2020 ballot.

It would be beneficial for passage of the measure if state law is changed to suspend/repeal AB195 requirements, but the viability of the measure does not totally depend on it.

There has been little if any change since 2017 in support for a bond measure or underlying attitudes about Pasadena USD’s need for additional funding and the condition of local schools.

To solidify the viability of the measure, it is important to communicate with residents about how bond measure funding will be used and accountability provisions included in the measure.


Conclusions, continued

Voters’ top priorities for bond funding include: Improving the condition and quality of schools to retain quality teachers

Improving access to instruction in science, technology, engineering and math

Making basic repairs to schools including removing hazardous materials

Providing safe drinking water for students

Providing arts and music classrooms

Upgrading school safety

A parcel tax is also viable for further planning, but more in-depth research is necessary. Support for the measure is right at the two-thirds threshold, but the survey did not simulate the impact of information about the measure which could impact viability either positively or negatively.

The district should consider a full focus on a bond measure for the March 2020 election and then returning to planning for a possible parcel tax for November 2020 after the bond election is completed.

For more information, contact:

[email protected]

[email protected] 12100 Wilshire Blvd., Suite 350

Los Angeles, CA 90025 Phone (310) 828-1183

Fax (310) 453-6562

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