The Mathematics Vision Project Scott Hendrickson, Joleigh Honey, Barbara Kuehl, Travis Lemon, Janet Sutorius
© 2016 Mathematics Vision Project Original work © 2013 in partnership with the Utah State Off ice of Education
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 4.0
MODULE 9
Modeling Data
SECONDARY
MATH ONE
An Integrated Approach
SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA
Mathematics Vision Project Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 4.0 mathematicsvisionproject.org
MODULE 9 - TABLE OF CONTENTS
MODELING DATA
9.1 Texting by the Numbers – A Solidify Understanding Task
Use context to describe data distribution and compare statistical representations (S.ID.1, S.ID.3)
READY, SET, GO Homework: Modeling Data 9.1
9.2 Data Distribution – A Solidify/Practice Understanding Task
Describe data distributions and compare two or more data sets (S.ID.1, S.ID.3)
READY, SET, GO Homework: Modeling Data 9.2
9.3 After School Activity – A Solidify Understanding Task
Interpret two way frequency tables (S.ID.5)
READY, SET, GO Homework: Modeling Data 9.3
9.4 Relative Frequency – A Solidify/Practice Understanding Task
Use context to interpret and write conditional statements using relative frequency tables (S.ID.5)
READY, SET, GO Homework: Modeling Data 9.4
9.5 Connect the Dots – A Develop Understanding Task
Develop an understanding of the value of the correlation co-efficient (S.ID.8)
READY, SET, GO Homework: Modeling Data 9.5
9.6 Making More $ – A Solidify Understanding Task
Estimate correlation and lines of best fit. Compare to the calculated results of linear regressions and the
correlation co-efficient (S.ID.7, S.ID.8)
READY, SET, GO Homework: Modeling Data 9.6
SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA
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9.7 Getting Schooled – A Solidify Understanding Task
Use linear models of data and interpret the slope and intercept of regression lines with various units
(S.ID.6, S.ID.7, S.ID.8)
READY, SET, GO Homework: Modeling Data 9.7
9.8 Rocking the Residuals – A Develop Understanding Task
Use residual plots to analyze the strength of a linear model for data (S.ID.6)
READY, SET, GO Homework: Modeling Data 9.8
9.9 Lies and Statistics – A Practice Understanding Task
Use definitions and examples to explain understanding of correlation coefficients, residuals, and linear
regressions (S.ID.6, S.ID.7, S.ID.8)
READY, SET, GO Homework: Modeling Data 9.9
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – 9.1
Mathematics Vision Project Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 4.0 mathematicsvisionproject.org
9.1 Texting by the Numbers A Solidify Understanding Task
Technologychangesquicklyandyethasalargeimpactonour
lives.Recently,Rachelwasbusychattingwithherfriendsviatext
messagewhenhermomwastryingtoalsohaveaconversationwithher.Afterward,theyhada
discussionaboutwhatisanappropriatenumberoftextstosendeachday.Sincetheycouldnot
agree,theydecidedtocollectdataonthenumberoftextspeoplesendonanygivenday.Theyeach
asked24oftheirfriendsthefollowingquestion:“WhatistheaveragenumberoftextsyouSEND
eachday?”Thedataandhistogramrepresentingall48responses:
{0,2,3,3,5,5,5,5,5,5.5,6,6,6,10,12,13,15,15,16,20,25,35,36,70,80,85,110,130,137,138,
138,140,142,143,145,150,150,150,150,150,150,150,155,162,164,165,175,275}
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SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – 9.1
Mathematics Vision Project Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 4.0 mathematicsvisionproject.org
PartI:
1. Whatinformationcanyouconcludebasedonthehistogramabove?
2. Representthesamedatabycreatingaboxplotabovethehistogram.
3. Whatstorydoestheboxplottell?Describetheprosandconsofeachrepresentation(histogramandboxplot).Inotherwords,whatinformationdoeseachrepresentationhighlight?Whatinformationdoeseachrepresentationhideorobscure?
PartII:Priortotalkingaboutthedatawithhermom,Rachelhadcreatedaboxplotusingherown
datashecollectedanditlookedquitedifferentthanwhentheycombinedtheirdata.
Averagenumberoftextssenteachday
4. DescribethedataRachelcollectedfromherfriends.Whatdoesthisinformationtellyou?
5. Comparethetwoboxplots(Rachel’sdatavsalldata).
6. Rachelwantstocontinuesendinghernormalnumberoftexts(averageof100perday)andhermomwouldlikehertodecreasethisbyhalf.Presentanargumentforeachside,usingmathematicstojustifyeachperson’srequest.
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SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – 9.1
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9.1 Texting by the Numbers – Teacher Notes A Solidify Understanding Task
Purpose:Inthistask,studentswillusepriorknowledgetointerpretdatausingahistogram,and
thenrepresentthesamedatawithaboxplot.Studentswilldiscusstheshape(bimodal),center,and
spread(outliers)ofthedata,theinformationhighlightedorhiddenbyeachrepresentation,and
comparetwodatasetsusingdifferentrepresentations.Comparingdatasetsisthefocusofthetask.
CoreStandardsFocus:
S.ID.1Representdatawithplotsontherealnumberline(dotplots,histograms,andboxplots).S.ID.3Interpretdifferencesinshape,center,andspreadinthecontextofthedatasets,accountingforpossibleeffectsofextremedatapoints(outliers).RelatedStandards:S.ID.2
StandardsforMathematicalPracticeofFocusintheTask:
SMP1–Makesenseofproblemsandpersevereinsolvingthem
SMP3–Constructviableargumentsandcritiquethereasoningofothers
SMP5–Useappropriatetoolsstrategically
TheTeachingCycle:
Launch(WholeClass):
Accessbackgroundknowledge:Readthescenariofromthetask,thenhavestudentsquietlywrite
downtheirobservationsfromthehistogram,thensharewithapartner.Listenforcommentstouse
duringwholegroupdiscussionaboutshape,center,andspread.Havestudentsmoveontoanswer
theremainingquestions.
Note:Ifmoststudentsseemstuck,havethewholegroupcometogethertopopcorn(quicklyshare)
observationstogetideasaboutshapeandspreadout,thenhavestudentsmoveontoanswerthe
remainingquestionsrelatedtothedatainpartnersorsmallgroups.
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – 9.1
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Explore(SmallGroup),part1:
Asyoumonitor,listentotheinterpretationofthehistogramandpressstudentstodescribethe
distribution(shape,center,andspread).Lookforstudentswhotalkaboutthedatahavingtwo
‘modes’andtheirconjecturesforwhythatmaybe(havethemsharethetwomodeconversation
duringthewholegroupdiscussion).Whenstudentsarecreatingtheboxplot,remindthemtolabel
eachquartileandlistenforcommentsaboutthethedatapointof275(seeifsomeonelabelsthisas
anoutlier).Studentshavecreatedboxplotsbefore.Aftermoststudentshavecreatedtheboxplotto
gowiththesamedataandseveralhavealreadywrittenabouttheinformationeachrepresentation
highlights,bringtheclassbacktogetherforthefirstwholegroupdiscussion.
Discuss(WholeClass),partI:
Forthisdiscussion,besuretohavethehistogramdisplayedsoeveryonecanmakeavisual
connectiontothedescriptionofthedata.Asthefirststudentchosensharestheirinterpretationof
thehistogram,makesuretheypointtothehistogramastheycommunicatetheirinterpretationof
thedata.Studentsmaynotusetheacademicvocabularyofbimodal,butnowisagoodtimetobring
thisupandhavestudentswritethisintheirjournal.Nexthaveastudentsharetheirboxplotandgo
overtheirinterpretationofthesamedata(quartiles,median,variability,andpossiblyoutlier).
Ifnooneinyourclasshasaboxplotthatshows275asanoutlier,thentheirboxplotwilllooklike
theoneabove.Ifyouhavestudentswhomade275anoutlier,havetheoutlierdiscussionfirst,then
comparewhateachrepresentation(histogram,boxplot)highlightsandwhateachrepresentation
‘hides’orobscures.Ifnoonemade275anoutlier,thenstartwithcomparingrepresentationsthen
discusswhatdeterminesanoutlier.
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – 9.1
Mathematics Vision Project Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 4.0 mathematicsvisionproject.org
Insummary,forthiswholegroupdiscussion,besuretogetoutthefollowing:
• twomodeswithadescriptionthatpeopleeitherseemtoonlydoafewtexts(lessthan20)oralot(between140-180)perday,
• thedatamostlyliesbetween0and180textsperday;onevalueappearstobeanoutlierof275textsperday.
• themeanforthewholesetofdatais81.05-doesthisseemrelevant?• Prosofhistogram:showsfrequency,canseebimodaldata.
Prosofboxplot:showsquartilerangesandthemedian• Inthissituation,theboxplotobscuresthebimodaldataandmayseemlikethereisamoreeven
distribution.Iftheoutlierdiscussionhasn’thappened,nowisthetimetotalkaboutdatapointsthatseemtobeoutliers.Acommonruleofthumbtodetermineifadatapointisanoutlieristousetheequation:1.5(valueofinterquartilerange)+valueofq3forupperextremesor1.5(valueofinterquartilerange)-valueofq1forlowerextremes.Askstudentsifthisdatahasanyoutliers?Becausetheinterquartilerangeissolarge,thevalueof275isnotanoutlier.Afterward,explainhowoutlierscanberepresentedinaboxplotandshowwhattheboxplotwouldlooklikeif275hadbeenanoutlier.
Explore(SmallGroup),partII:
ForpartII,studentsshouldconcludethatRachel’sfriendsaremostlyrepresentingthe‘uppermode’
ofthedatawhilehermom’sfriendsarethe‘lowermode’.Studentsmayhavealready‘guessed’this
duringthefirstpartofthetask,however,theyshouldnowusethedatafromtheboxplotinpartII
tojustifythisstatement.
IfyouwouldlikeyourstudentstohavethedataafteranalyzingRachel’sboxplot,itislistedhere:
Rachel’smom:{150,5.5,6,5,3,10,150,15,20,15,6,5,3,6,0,5,12,25,16,35,5,2,13,5}
Rachel:{130,145,155,150,162,80,140,150,165,138,175,275,85,137,110,143,138,142,164,
70,150,36,150,150}
Discuss(WholeClass),partII:
ThefocusofthisdiscussionisinitiallyontheinterpretationofRachel’sdata,thenonthe
comparisonofthetwosetsofdata(Rachel’sfriendsversusRachel’smomsfriends).
AlignedReady,Set,Go:Features9.1
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – RSG 9.1
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9.1
READY Topic:MeasuresofcentraltendencySam’stestscoresforthetermwere60,89,83,99,95,and60.
1.SupposethatSam’steacherdecidedtobasethetermgradeonthemean.
a.WhatgradewouldSamreceive?
b.Doyouthinkthisisafairgrade?Explainyourreasoning.
2.SupposethatSam’steacherdecidedtobasethetermgradeonhismedianscore.
a.WhatgradewouldSamreceive?
b.Doyouthinkthisisafairgrade?Explainyourreasoning.
3.SupposethatSam’steacherdecidedtobasethetermgradeonthemodescore.
a.WhatgradewouldSamreceive?
b.Doyouthinkthisisafairgrade?Explainyourreasoning.
4.Aiden’stestscoresforthesametermwere30,70,90,90,91,and99.WhichmeasureofcentraltendencywouldAidenwanthisteachertobasehisgradeon?Justifyyourthinking.
5.Mostteachersbasegradesonthemean.Doyouthinkthisisafairwaytoassigngrades?Whyorwhynot?
READY, SET, GO! Name PeriodDate
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SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – RSG 9.1
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9.1
SET Topic:Examiningdatadistributionsinabox-and-whiskerplot.
6.Makeabox-and-whiskerplotforthefollowingtestscores.
60,64,68,68,72,76,76,80,80,80,84,84,84,84,88,88,88,92,92,96,96,96,96,96,96,96,100,100
7a.Howmuchofthedataisrepresentedbythebox?
b.Howmuchisrepresentedbyeachwhisker?
8.Whatdoesthegraphtellyouaboutstudentsuccessonthetest?
GO Topic:Creatinghistograms.
UsethedatafromtheSETsectiontoanswerthefollowingquestions.
9.Makeafrequencytablewithintervals.Useanintervalof5.10.Makeahistogramofthedatausingyourintervalsof5.
11.Whatinformationishighlightedinthehistogram?12.Whatinformationishighlightedinthebox-and-whiskerplot?
50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100
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SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 3 MODELING DATA—9.2
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9.2 Data Distribution A Practice Understanding Task Alotofinformationcanbeobtainedfromlookingatdataplotsandtheirdistributions.Itisimportantwhendescribingdatathatweusecontexttocommunicatetheshape,center,andspread.Shapeandspread:
• Modes:uniform(evenlyspread-noobviousmode),unimodal(onemainpeak),bimodal(twomainpeaks),ormultimodal(multiplelocationswherethedataisrelativelyhigherthanothers).
• Skeweddistribution:whenmostdataistoonesideleavingtheotherwitha‘tail’.Dataisskewedtosideoftail.(iftailisonleftsideofdata,thenitisskewedleft).
• Normaldistributionandstandarddeviation:curveisunimodalandsymmetric.Datathathasanormaldistributioncanalsodescribethedatabyhowfaritisfromthemeanusingstandarddeviation.
• Outliers:valuesthatstandawayfromthebodyofthedistribution.Forabox-and-whiskeroutliersdeterminediftheyaremorethan1.5timestheinterquartilerange(lengthofbox)beyondquartiles1and3.Alsoconsideredanoutlinerifdataismorethantwostandarddeviationsfromthecenterofanormaldistribution.
• Variability:valuesthatareclosetogetherhavelowvariability;valuesthatarespreadaparthavehighvariability.
Center:• Analyzethedataandseeifonevaluecanbeusedtodescribethedataset.Normal
distributionsmakethiseasy.Ifnotanormaldistribution,determineifthereisa‘center’valuethatbestdescribesthedata.Bimodalormultimodaldatamaynothaveacenterthatwouldprovideusefuldata.
Therearerepresentationsoftestscoresfromsixdifferentclassesfoundbelow,foreach:
1. Describethedatadistribution.2. ComparedatadistributionsbetweenAndersonandWilliams.3. ComparedatadistributionsbetweenWilliamsandLemon.4. ComparedatadistributionsbetweenCroftandHurlea.5. ComparedatadistributionsbetweenJones,Spencer,andAnderson.6. ComparedatadistributionsbetweenSpencerandtheotherhistograms.7. Whichdistributionsaremostsimilar?Different?Explainyouranswer.
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SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 3 MODELING DATA—9.2
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DatasetI:Williams’sclass DatasetII:Lemon’sclass
DatasetIII:Croft’sClass DatasetIV:Anderson’sClass
DatasetV:Hurlea’sclass DatasetVI:Jones’class
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SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 3 MODELING DATA—9.2
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DatasetVII:Spencer’sclass
DatasetVIII:OverallAchievementTestScores
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SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 3 MODELING DATA—9.2
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9.2 Data Distribution – Teacher Notes A Practice Understanding Task Purpose:Studentsarealreadyfamiliarwithdotplots,boxplots,andhistograms.Thistaskhasthemdescribedatadistributionsandcompareshape,center,andspreadoftwoormoresetsofdata.
CoreStandardsFocus:
S.ID.2Usestatisticsappropriatetotheshapeofthedatadistributiontocomparecenter(median,mean)andspread(interquartilerange,standarddeviation)oftwoormoredifferentdatasets.S.ID.3Interpretdifferencesinshape,center,andspreadinthecontextofthedatasets,accountingforpossibleeffectsofextremedatapoints(outliers).
RelatedStandards:S.ID.1
StandardsforMathematicalPractice:
SMP3–Constructviableargumentsandcritiquethereasoningofothers
SMP4–Modelwithmathematics
SMP8–Lookforandexpressregularityinrepeatedreasoning
TheTeachingCycle:
Note:Itwouldbegoodtohavethedatayouwanttocompareinaformatthatislargeandvisibleforthewholegroupdiscussion.Forexample,youcouldcopythetwodatasetsyouwishtocompareandplacethemnexttoeachotherinaformatthatcanbeprojectedsothatwhenstudentsaresharingduringwholegroup,thevisualrepresentationisavailableforeveryonetosee.
Note:Studentshavebeenaskedtoidentifyandinterpretunivariatedatausingdotplots,histograms,andboxplotssincesixthgrade.Inthiscourse,studentsareaskedtocomparedatasetsusingtheirknowledgeofshape,center,andspreadandhavebecomemorecomfortablewiththeseattributes.Outliers,skeweddata,andnormaldistributionmaybenewthisyearaswell.Launch(WholeClass):
Havestudentsreadthevocabularytodescribedatadistributionsandaskthemtounderlineinformationthatisnewtothem.Havethemworkindividuallyforawhileonquestion1thathasthemdescribeeachdatasetbeforehavingthemworktogetherwithapartnerorsmallgrouptoanswertheremainingquestions(wheretheycomparedatasets).
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 3 MODELING DATA—9.2
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Explore(SmallGroup):
Givestudentstimetoanswerthequestionscomparingdatasets.Listenforstudentstousevocabularyindescribingagivendataset,andtocompareshape,center,andspreadoftwoormoredatasets.Listenforstudentstocomparedatasets,notjustlistattributesofeach.Pressstudentstomakecomparisonsshowingtheyunderstandwhentousedatatodescribeandcompareshape,center,andspreadbetweendatasets.Examplesincludenoticingoutliers,variabilityandspreadbetweendata(noticethatHurleaandSpencerhaveascalethatisdifferentthantheothers),andothertrends.Again,makesurestudentsdonotjustlistcharacteristicsofeachdistributionandthinktheyare‘comparing’.Discuss(WholeClass):
Beginthewholegroupdiscussionbyselectingproblemsfromquestionsthatcomparedatasets.Basedonsmallgroupconversations,choosewhichcomparisonstoshareoutinwholegroup.Thefocusofthewholegroupdiscussionistodothefollowing:
o Showstudentunderstandingofusingstatisticsappropriatetotheshapeofthedatadistributiontocomparecenterandspread.
o Showstudentunderstandingofwhatinformationisprovidedwhengivenahistogram,boxplot,dotplot.
AlignedReady,Set,Go:ModelingData9.2
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – 9.2
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9.2
READY Topic:Drawingconclusionsfromdata.Inproblems1–4youaretoselectthebestanswerbasedonthegivendata.Belowyourchosenanswerisaconfidencescale.Circlethestatementthatbestdescribesyourconfidenceinthecorrectnessoftheansweryouchose.Thegoalistogainawarenessofhowitseemseasiertodrawconclusionsinsomecasesthaninothers. 1.Data:1,2,4,8,16,32, Thenextnumberinthelistwillbe:________
a.largerthan32 b.positive c.exactly64 d.lessthan32
IamcertainIamcorrect. Iamalittleunsure. IhadnoideasoIguessed.
Whataboutthedatamadeyoufeelthewayyoudidabouttheansweryoumarked?
2.Data:47,-13,-8,9,-23,14, Thenextnumberinthelistwillbe:________
a.positive b.negative c.lessthan100 d.lessthan-100
IamcertainIamcorrect. Iamalittleunsure. IhadnoideasoIguessed.
Whataboutthedatamadeyoufeelthewayyoudidabouttheansweryoumarked?
3.Data:-10,¾,38,-10,½,-81,-10,¼,93,-10, Thenextnumberinthelistwillbe:______
a.morethan93 b.negative c.afraction d.awholenumber
IamcertainIamcorrect. Iamalittleunsure. IhadnoideasoIguessed.
4.Data:50,-43,36,-29,22,-15 Thenextnumberinthelistwillbe:______
a.odd b.lessthan9 c.two-digits d.greaterthan-15
IamcertainIamcorrect. Iamalittleunsure. IhadnoideasoIguessed.
Whataboutthedatamadeyoufeelthewayyoudidabouttheansweryoumarked?
READY, SET, GO! Name PeriodDate
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SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – 9.2
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9.2
SET Topic:Creatinghistograms.
Mr.Austingaveaten-pointquiztohis9thgrademathclasses.Atotalof50studentstookthequiz.Mr.Austinscoredthequizzesandlistedthescoresalphabeticallyasfollows.
1stPeriodMath 2ndPeriodMath 3rdPeriodMath
6,4,5,7,5,
9,5,4,6,6,
8,5,7,5,8,
1,8,7,10,9
4,5,8,6,8,
9,5,8,5,1,
5,5,7,5,7
9,8,10,5,9,
7,8,9,8,5,
8,10,8,8,5
5.UseALLofthequizdatatomakeafrequencytablewithintervals.Useanintervalof2.
Score Frequency
0-1
2–3
4–5
6–7
8–9
10-11
6.Useyourfrequencytabletomakeahistogramforthedata
7.Describethedatadistributionofthehistogramyoucreated.Includewordssuchas:mode,skewed,outlier,normal,symmetric,center,andspread,iftheyapply.(Hint:Don’tforgetstandarddeviation.)
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SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – 9.2
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9.2
8.Createagraphofyourchoice(histogram,boxplot,dotplot)for1stand3rdperiod.
9.Whichclassperformedbetter? Justifyyouranswerbycomparingtheshape,center,andspreadofthetwoclasses.(Hint:Don’tforgetstandarddeviation.)
GO
Topic:Figuringpercentages
10.Whatpercentof97is11? 11.Whatpercentof88is132?
12.Whatpercentof84is9? 13.Whatpercentof88.6is70?
14.Whatis270%of60? 15.Whatis84%of25?
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
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SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9 MODELING DATA—9.3
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9.3 After School Activity A Develop Understanding Task PartI
Rashidisinchargeofdeterminingtheupcomingafterschoolactivity.Todeterminethetypeof
activity,Rashidaskedseveralstudentswhethertheyprefertohaveadanceorplayagameof
soccer.AsRashidcollectedpreferences,heorganizedthedatainthefollowingtwo-wayfrequency
table:
Girls Boys Total
Soccer 14 40 54
Dance 46 6 52
Total 60 46 106
Rashidisfeelingunsureoftheactivityheshouldchoosebasedonthedatahehascollectedandis
askingforhelp.Tobetterunderstandhowthedataisdisplayed,itisusefultoknowthattheouter
numbers,locatedinthemarginsofthetable,representthetotalfrequencyforeachroworcolumn
ofcorrespondingvaluesandarecalledmarginalfrequencies.Valuesthatarepartofthe‘inner’bodyofthetablearecreatedbytheintersectionofinformationfromthecolumnandtherowandthey
arecalledthejointfrequencies.
1. Usingthedatainthetable,constructaviableargumentandexplaintoRashidwhichafter
schooleventheshouldchoose.
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SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9 MODELING DATA—9.3
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PartII:Twowayfrequencytablesallowustoorganizecategoricaldatainordertodraw
conclusions.Foreachsetofdatabelow,createafrequencytable.Wheneachfrequencytableis
complete,writethreesentencesaboutobservationsofthedata,includinganytrendsor
associationsinthedata.
2. Dataset:Thereare45totalstudentswholiketoreadbooks.Ofthosestudents,12ofthem
likenon-fictionandtherestlikefiction.Fourgirlslikenon-fiction.Twentyboyslikefiction.
Fiction Nonfiction Total
Boys
Girls
Total
Observation1:
Observation2:
Observation3:
3. Dataset:35seventhgradersand41eighthgraderscompletedasurveyabouttheamountoftimetheyspendonhomeworkeachnight.50studentssaidtheyspentmorethananhour.
12eighthgraderssaidtheyspendlessthananhoureachnight.
Total
Morethanonehour
Lessthanonehour
Total
Observation1:
Observation2:
Observation3:
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SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9 MODELING DATA—9.3
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9.3 After School Activity – Teacher Notes A Develop Understanding Task Purpose:Thepurposeofthistaskisforstudentstomakesenseoftwowayfrequencytables,touse
thedatatomakeaninformeddecision,andthenconstructaviableargumentjustifyingtheirchoice.
Studentswillfocusondifferentareasofthetwowaytablesoitisimportantthattheyareprecise
withtheircommunication.
CoreStandardsFocus:
S.ID.5Summarizecategoricaldatafortwocategoriesintwo-wayfrequencytables.Interpret
relativefrequenciesinthecontextofthedata(includingjoint,marginal,andconditionalrelative
frequencies).Recognizepossibleassociationsandtrendsinthedata.
StandardsforMathematicalPracticeofFocusintheTask:
SMP1–Makesenseofproblemsandpersevereinsolvingthem
SMP3–Constructviableargumentsandcritiquethereasoningofothers
SMP6–Attendtoprecision
TheTeachingCycle:
Launch(WholeClass):
Readthescenarioandclarifyhowatwowayfrequencytableiscreated.Explaintostudentsthat
theirjobistointerpretthetable,choosetheafterschoolactivitythatmakesthemostsensetothem,
andthenprovidemathematicalreasoningthatwouldconvinceRashidtomakethesameselection.
Explore(SmallGroup):
Givestudentstimetointerpretthedata,movingfromgrouptogroupmakingsuretheyareusing
mathematicstomakesenseofthedata(forexample,showingthat14outof106girlschosesoccer
meansthatonly14%ofallgirlswouldlikesoccertobethechosenafterschoolactivity).Asyou
monitor,listenfordifferentgroupstoselectoppositeafterschoolactivities.Pressstudentstobe
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9 MODELING DATA—9.3
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veryclear,usingpreciselanguagetodescribetheirmathematics.Thiswillbeimportantduringthe
wholegroupdiscussionsincethepercentageforeachsituationvariesdependingonwhich‘total’
studentschoose.Thistaskismoreaboutbecomingfamiliarwithhowtofinddifferentpercentages
inatwowaytableandnotaboutconditionalprobabilities.AsstudentsmovetopartII,helpgroups
thatstrugglebyasking“Whatarethetwotypesofcategoricaldatabeingcompared?”orhavethem
readonesentenceonly,thenask“Whichcellofthetablecanbefilledinbasedonthisinformation?”
Discuss(WholeClass):
Asawholeclass,havetwodifferentgroupssharetheirrecommendationsfortheafterschool
activity.Havethefirstgroupsharethatselectedtheactivitythatwasleastchosenbytheclass.Ask
theclassiftheyhaveanyquestionsforthegroupwhopresented,thenasktheclassifanyonewho
hadchosentheotherafterschoolactivityhaschangedtheirmind,andifso,explainwhy.Next,have
agroupsharethatchosetheotheractivity.Thepurposeofthisdiscussionistohighlighthowto
summarizedatainatwowaytable,sobesurethatthepresenterscommunicatehowtheyfound
eachpercentagepresentedandthatallstudentscansummarizeatwowaytable.Movetopart2of
thetaskandhavesomeoneexplainhowtheysetupthetwowaytableforoneoftheproblemsin
part2.Asawholeclass,summarizetheprocessforfillinginatwowaytable.
AlignedReady,Set,Go:ModelingData9.3
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – 9.3
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9.3
READY
Topic:Interpretingdatafromascatterplot
1.Thescatterplotcomparesshoesizeandheightinadultmales.Basedonthegraph,doyouthinkthereisarelationshipbetweenaman’sshoesizeandhisheight?
Explainyouranswer.
2.Thescatterplotcomparesleft-handednesstobirthweight.Basedonthegraph,doyouthinkbeingleft-handedisrelatedtoaperson’sbirthweight?
Explainyouranswer.
READY, SET, GO! Name PeriodDate
13
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – 9.3
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9.3
SET Topic:Two-wayfrequencytablesHereisthedatafromMr.Austin’s10-pointquiz.Studentsneededtoscore6orbettertopassthequiz.
1stPeriodMath 2ndPeriodMath 3rdPeriodMath
6,4,3,7,5,
9,5,4,6,6,
8,5,7,3,6,
2,8,7,10,9
3,3,8,6,6,
9,5,8,5,3,
5,5,7,5,7
9,8,10,5,9,
7,8,9,8,3,
8,10,8,7,5
3.Makeatwo-wayfrequencytableshowinghowmanystudentspassedthequizandhow
manystudentsfailedthequizineachclass. 1stperiod 2ndperiod 3rdperiod TotalPassed Failed Total
Useacoloredpenciltolightlyshadethecellscontainingthejointfrequencynumbersinthetable.Theun-shadednumbersarethemarginalfrequencies.(Usethesetermstoanswerthefollowingquestions.)4.IfMr.Austinwantedtoseehowmanystudentsinall3classescombinedpassedthequiz,
wherewouldhelook?
5.IfMr.Austinwantedtowritearatioofthenumberofpassingstudentscomparedtothenumberoffailingstudentsforeachclass,wherewouldhefindthenumbershewouldneedtodothis?
6.Makeatwo-wayfrequencytablethatgivestherelativefrequenciesofthequizscoresforeachclass.
1stPeriod 2ndPeriod 3rdPeriod Total
Passed
Failed
Total
14
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – 9.3
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9.3
GO Topic:Organizingdata.7.Sophiesurveyedallofthe6thgradestudentsatReaganElementarySchooltofindoutwhichTVNetworkwastheirfavorite.Shethoughtthatitwouldbeimportanttoknowwhethertherespondentwasaboyoragirlsosherecordedherinformationthefollowingway.AnimalPlanet CartoonNetwork Disney Nickelodeon
GGBBBBBGBBBGBBBGGBBBBBBBB
BBBBBBBBBGGGBBBGBGBGGGBGG
GGGGGGBBBBBBGBGBGGBBBGGBGGGGGBBBGGGGGB
BBBBGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGBBGGGGBGGGGGGGGGBBBBBGGGGGGGG
Sophieplannedtouseherdatatoanswerthefollowingquestions:
I.Aretheremoregirlsorboysinthe6thgrade? II.Whichnetworkwastheboys’favorite? III.Wasthereanetworkthatwasfavoredbymorethan50%ofonegender?Butwhenshelookedatherchart,sherealizedthatthedatawasn’ttellingherwhatshewantedtoknow.Herteachersuggestedthatherdatawouldbeeasiertoanalyzeifshecouldorganizeitintoatwo-wayfrequencychart.HelpSophieoutbyputtingthefrequenciesintothecorrectcells.
FavoriteTVNetworks Girls Boys Totals
AnimalPlanet
CartoonNetwork
Disney
Nickelodeon
Totals
NowthatSophiehasherdataorganized,usethetwo-wayfrequencycharttoanswerher3questions.
a.Aretheremoregirlsorboysinthe6thgrade?
b.Whichnetworkwastheboys’favorite?
c.Wasthereanetworkthatwasfavoredbymorethan50%ofonegender?
15
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9 MODELING DATA—9.4
Mathematics Vision Project Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 4.0 mathematicsvisionproject.org
9.4 Relative Frequency A Solidify/Practice Understanding Task Rachelisthinkingaboutthedatasheandhermomcollectedfortheaveragenumberoftextsapersonsendseachdayandstartedthinkingthatperhapsatwo-waytableofthedatatheycollectedwouldhelpconvincehermomthatshedoesnotsendanexcessiveamountoftextsforateenager.Thetableseparateseachdatapointbyage(teenagerandadult)andbytheaveragenumberoftextssent(morethan100perdayorlessthan100perday).
1. Writetwoobservationstatementsofthistwowaytable.
Tofurtherprovideevidence,Racheldecidedtodosomeresearch.Shefoundthatonly43%ofpeoplewithphonessendover100textsperday.Shewasdisappointedthatthedatadidnotsupporthercaseandconfusedbecauseitdidnotseemtomatchwhatshefoundinhersurvey.
2. Whatquestionsdothesestatisticsraiseforyou?WhatdatashouldRachellookfortosupporthercase?
Afterlookingmorecloselyatthedata,Rachelfoundotherpercentageswithinthesamedatathatseemedmoreaccuratewiththedatashecollectedfromherteenagefriends.
Averageismorethan100textssentperday
Averageislessthan100textssentperday
Total
Teenager 20 4 24
Adult 2 22 24
Total 22 26 48
cc b
y ht
tps:
//flic
.kr/
p/88
fMA
e
16
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9 MODELING DATA—9.4
Mathematics Vision Project Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 4.0 mathematicsvisionproject.org
3. HowmightRachelusethedatainthetwowaytabletofindpercentagesthatwouldbeusefulforhercase?
PartII:OnceRachelrealizedtherearealotofwaystolookatasetofdatainatwowaytable,shewasmotivatedtolearnaboutrelativefrequencytablesandconditionalfrequencies.Whenthedataiswrittenasapercent,thisiscalledarelativefrequencytable.Inthissituation,the‘inner’valuesrepresentapercentandarecalledconditionalfrequencies.Theconditionalvaluesinarelativefrequencytablecanbecalculatedaspercentagesofoneofthefollowing:
• thewholetable(relativefrequencyoftable)• therows(relativefrequencyofrows)• thecolumns(relativefrequencyofcolumn)
SinceRachelwantstoemphasizethataperson’sagemakesadifferenceinthenumberoftextssent,thefirstthingshedecidedtodoisfocusontheROWofvaluessoshecouldwriteconditionalstatementsaboutthenumberoftextsapersonislikelytosendbasedontheirage.Thisiscalledarelativefrequencyofrowtable.
4. Fillinthepercentageofteenagersforeachoftheconditionalfrequenciesinthehighlightedrowbelow:
SincethePERCENTAGEScreatedfocusonROWvalues,allconditionalobservationsarespecifictotheinformationintherow.Completethefollowingsentencefortherelativefrequencyofrow:
5. Ofallteenagersinthesurvey,_______%averagemorethan100textsperday.
6. Writeanotherstatementbasedontherelativefrequencyofrow:
Average is more than 100 texts sent
per day
Average is less than 100 texts sent per day
Total
Teenager % of
teenagers
20
__ %
4
__%
24
100%
% of Adults
2 8%
22 92%
24 100%
% of People
22 46%
26 54%
48 100%
Row
17
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9 MODELING DATA—9.4
Mathematics Vision Project Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 4.0 mathematicsvisionproject.org
Belowistherelativefrequencyofcolumnusingthesamedata.Thistime,allofthepercentagesarecalculatedusingthedatainthecolumn.
7. Writetwoconditionalstatementsusingtherelativefrequencyofcolumn.
Thisdatarepresentstherelativefrequencyofwholetable:
8. Createtwoconditionaldistributionstatementsfortherelativefrequencyofwholetable.
9. Whatinformationishighlightedwhendataisinterpretedfromrelativefrequencytables?
Averageismorethan100textssentperday
Averageislessthan100textssentperday
Total
%ofTeenagers 2042%
48%
2450%
%ofAdults 24%
2246%
2450%
%ofTotal 2246%
2654%
48100%
Average is more than 100 texts sent per day
Average is less than 100 texts sent per day
Total
Teenagers 20 91%
4 15%
24 50%
Adults 2 9%
22 85%
24 50%
Total 22 100%
26 100%
48 100%
18
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9 MODELING DATA—9.4
Mathematics Vision Project Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 4.0 mathematicsvisionproject.org
9.4 Relative Frequency – Teacher Notes A Solidify Understanding Task Purpose:Inthistaskstudentswillexaminedifferentwaystointerpretrelativefrequencytables
andwillwriteconditionaldistributionstatementsbasedontherelativefrequencyofrow,column,
orwholetable.UsingdatafromTextingBytheNumbers,studentswillseehowtwowaytablescan
showinformationthatisoftenhiddeninboxplotsorhistograms.Theywillalsolearnhow
conditionalfrequenciescanprovidespecificinformationaboutasubgroupofthedata(callingfor
moreprecisionofdescribingthedata).
CoreStandardsFocus:
S.ID.5Summarizecategoricaldatafortwocategoriesintwo-wayfrequencytables.Interpret
relativefrequenciesinthecontextofthedata(includingjoint,marginal,andconditionalrelative
frequencies).Recognizepossibleassociationsandtrendsinthedata.
RelatedStandards:S.ID.1,S.ID.2.S.ID.3
StandardsforMathematicalPracticeofFocusintheTask:
SMP2–Reasonabstractlyandquantitatively
SMP6–Attendtoprecision
SMP7–Lookandmakeuseofstructure
TheTeachingCycle:
Launch(WholeClass):
Aspartofaccessingbackgroundknowledge,youmaywishtoaskstudentswhattheyremember
aboutthedatafromthetaskTextingBytheNumbers.Thepurposeisonlytohavestudentsmention
datafromRachelandhermom,withcommentsrelatedtothestorythedatatold(specificsnot
needed).Readthescenariofromthistaskandhavestudentsanswerthefirstquestionbywriting
andsharingafewobservationsaboutthetwowaytable(reviewfromthetaskAfterSchoolActivity).
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9 MODELING DATA—9.4
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Asstatementsareshared,writethemonstripsofpaper(canbesortedduringwholegroup
discussion).
Explore(SmallGroup):
Asstudentsworkthroughthetask,listenfortheirconjecturesaboutthedataRachelshouldfocus
ontomakehercase.Afterafewminutes,bringtheclassbacktogethertodiscussthetypesof
relativefrequencytables.Explainhoweachvalueisdeterminedintherelativefrequencyofrow.
Havestudentsworkinpairstocompletethesentenceframesandwriteconditionaldistribution
statementsforeachofthethreerelativefrequencytables.Givestudentstimetoconsiderallthree
tablesandcreatestatementsabouteachtable.Listenforunderstandingofeachrelativefrequency
table.Toassistinwritingsentences,remindstudentstopayattentiontothefocusofthetable
(whetherthefocusistherow,thecolumn,ortheentiretable).
Discuss(WholeClass):
Theintentionofthewholegroupdiscussionistohighlightthefollowing:
• differencesbetweenrow,column,andwholetablerelativefrequencystatements
• becomepreciseinourlanguageasweuseconditionalfrequencystatements
• tellastoryusingtwowaytables.
Onewaytoorchestratethisdiscussionistoselectastudenttoshareaspecificrelativefrequencyof
columnstatementtheyhavecreated(letthemknowthisduringtheexplorephaseofthetask)and
havetheclassdetermineifthestatementisfromtherelativefrequencyofrow,column,orwhole
table.Thenaskastudenttoshareanotherrelativefrequencyofcolumnstatement.Askthegroup,
whatdoesthedataspecifictocolumntellus?
Movetoshowingtherelativefrequencyofrowstatementsandaskwhatdoesthedataspecificto
rowtellus?Continuediscussionwithrelativefrequencyofwholetable.
Toconclude,discussthelastquestionfromthetask:Whatinformationishighlightedwhendatais
interpretedfromrelativefrequencytables?Ifthereistime,alsodiscusshowtwowaytables
comparetootherunivariatemodelswehaveused(dotplots,boxplots,histograms).
AlignedReady,Set,Go:ModelingData9.4
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – RSG 9.4
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9.4
READY
Topic:WritingexplicitfunctionrulesforlinearrelationshipsWritetheexplicitlinearfunctionforthegiveninformationbelow.
1.(3,7)(5,13)
2.Mikeearns$11.50anhour
3.(-5,-2)(1,10)
4.(-2,12)(6,8)
5.
6.
READY, SET, GO! Name PeriodDate
19
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – RSG 9.4
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9.4
SET Topic:RelativeFrequencytables
Foreachtwo-waytablebelow,createtheindicatedrelativefrequencytableandalsoprovidetwoobservationswithregardtothedata.7.Thistablerepresentssurveyresultsfromasampleofstudentsregardingmodeoftransportationtoandfromschool.
Createtherelativefrequencyofcolumntable.Thenprovidetwoobservationstatements.8.Thetwo-waytablecontainssurveydataregardingfamilysizeandpetownership.
Createtherelativefrequencyofrowtable.Thenprovidetwoobservationstatements.
Walk Bike CarPool Bus Total
Boys 37 47 27 122 233
Girls 38 22 53 79 192
Total 75 69 80 201 425
Walk Bike CarPool Bus Total
Boys
Girls
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
NoPets OwnonePetMorethanonepet
Total
Familiesof4orless 35 52 85 172Familiesof5ormore 15 18 10 43
Total 50 70 95 215
NoPets OwnonePetMorethanonepet
Total
Familiesof4orless 100%Familiesof5ormore 100%Total 100%
20
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – RSG 9.4
Mathematics Vision Project
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9.4
9.Thetwo-waytablebelowcontainssurveydataaboutboysandgirlsshoes.
Createtherelativefrequencyofwholetable.Thenprovidetwoobservationstatements.
GO Topic:Onevariablestatisticalmeasuresandcomparisons
Foreachsetofdatadeterminethemean,median,mode,range,andstandarddeviation.Thencreateeitherabox-and-whiskerplotorahistogram.
10.23,24,25,20,25,29,24,25,30 11.20,24,10,35,25,29,24,25,33
12.Howdothedatasetsinproblems10and11comparetooneanother?
13.2,3,4,5,3,4,7,4,4 14.1,1,3,5,5,10,5,1,14
15.Howdothedatasetsinproblems13and14comparetooneanother?
Athleticshoes Boots DressShoe Total
Girls 21 35 60 116
Boys 50 16 10 76
Total 71 51 70 192
Athleticshoes Boots DressShoe Total
Girls
Boys
Total 100%
21
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – 9.5
Mathematics Vision Project Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 4.0 mathematicsvisionproject.org
9.5 Connect the Dots
A Develop Understanding Task
Foreachsetofdata:• Graphonascatterplot.• Usetechnology(graphingcalculatororcomputer)tocalculatethecorrelationcoefficient.
SetA2 2.3 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.6 4.5 5 5.5 5.7 6.1 6.41 1.5 2.5 1.9 2.8 3.2 4.5 3.7 1.7 4.8 2.7 2.3SetB2 2.3 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.6 4.5 5 5.5 5.7 6.1 6.41 1.5 2.5 1.9 2.8 3.2 4.5 3.7 4 4.8 5 4.6SetC2 2.3 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.6 4.5 5 5.5 5.7 6.1 6.44.7 4.9 4.2 3.9 3.5 3.2 3.1 2.6 3.2 2.1 1.3 0.8SetD2 2.3 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.6 4.5 5 5.5 5.7 6.1 6.44.7 4.9 3.6 3.9 2.1 4.5 3.1 1.7 3.7 2.1 1.3 1.8SetE2 2.3 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.6 4.5 5 5.5 5.7 6.1 6.44.7 4 4.2 3.9 2.8 3.2 4.5 3.7 3.2 4.8 5 4.4SetF2 2.3 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.6 4.5 51.8 2.22 3.62 4.18 4.88 5.44 5.3 6SetG2 2.3 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.6 4.5 54.4 4.01 2.71 2.19 1.54 1.02 1.15 0.5
1. Putthescatterplotsinorderbaseduponthecorrelationcoefficients.
2. Compareeachscatterplotwithitscorrelationcoefficient.Whatpatternsdoyousee?
CCBY
https://flic.kr/p/jAZ
BNr
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MODELING DATA – 9.5
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3. UsethedatainSetAasastartingpoint.Keepingthesamex-values,modifythey-valuestoobtainacorrelationcoefficientascloseto0.75asyoucan.Recordyourdatahere:
2 2.3 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.6 4.5 5 5.5 5.7 6.1 6.4
Whatdidyouhavetodowiththedatatogetagreatercorrelationcoefficient?
4. Thistime,againstartwiththedatainSetA.Keepthesamex-values,butthistime,modifytheyvaluestoobtainacorrelationcoefficientascloseto0.25asyoucan.Recordyourdatahere:
2 2.3 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.6 4.5 5 5.5 5.7 6.1 6.4
Whatdidyouhavetodowiththedatatogetacorrelationcoefficientthatiscloserto0?
5. Onemoretime:startwiththedatainSetA.Keepthesamex-values,modifythey-valuestoobtainacorrelationcoefficientascloseto-0.5asyoucan.Recordyourdatahere:
2 2.3 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.6 4.5 5 5.5 5.7 6.1 6.4
Whatdidyouhavetodowiththedatatogetacorrelationcoefficientthatisnegative?
6. Whataspectsofthedatadoesthecorrelationcoefficientappeartodescribe?
7. Onthenightbeforethelastmathtest,Shaniquaheldastudygroupatherhouse.Itwasa
greatnight;theyatealotofpizza,didmath,andlaughedalot.Shaniquascoredbetteron
hertestthanusualandthoughtitmightberelatedtopizza.Shecollectedthefollowingdata
fromherfriendsinthestudygroup:
23
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – 9.5
Mathematics Vision Project Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 4.0 mathematicsvisionproject.org
Shaniqua David Susana Ruby Deion Oscar
Numberof
Pizza
Slices
Eaten
2 6 1 4 3 5
Increase
inTest
Score
5 9 4 7 6 8
Createascatterplotofthisdataandcalculatethecorrelationcoefficient.Basedonthesedata,wouldyourecommendeatingpizzaonthenightbeforeatestto
increasescores?Whyorwhynot?
8. Describeasituationwithtwovariablesthatmayhaveahighcorrelation,butnotbe
causallyrelated.
9. Whataresomereasonsthattwovariablesmaybehighlycorrelatedbutnothaveacausal
relationship?
24
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – 9.5
Mathematics Vision Project Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 4.0 mathematicsvisionproject.org
9.5 Connect the Dots – Teacher Notes
A Develop Understanding Task
SpecialNotetoTeachers:Thistaskrequirestheuseoftechnologythatcancalculatethe
correlationcoefficient,r.Mostgraphingcalculatorswillworkwell.Freecomputerappswouldbe
veryhelpfulandeasytouseonthistaskaswell(GeoGebraandDesmos,etc.).
Purpose:Thepurposeofthistaskistodevelopanunderstandingofthecorrelationcoefficient.
Thetaskasksstudentstoplotvariousdatasetsandusetechnologytocalculatethecorrelation
coefficient.Theywillorderthegraphsandcreatenewdatasetstodeveloptheideathatthe
correlationcoefficientindicatesthestrengthanddirectionofalinearrelationshipinthedata.
Studentsalsoconsidersituationsinwhichtwovariablesarehighlycorrelated,buttherelationship
isnotnecessarilycausal.
CoreStandardsFocus:
S-ID.8Compute(usingtechnology)andinterpretthecorrelationcoefficientofalinearfit.
S-ID.9Distinguishbetweencorrelationandcausation.
S.IDNotes:Buildonstudents’workwithlinearrelationshipsineighthgradeandintroducethe
correlationcoefficient.Thefocushereisonthecomputationandinterpretationofthecorrelation
coefficientasameasureofhowwellthedatafittherelationship.Theimportantdistinctionbetween
astatisticalrelationshipandacause-and-effectrelationshiparisesinS.ID.9.
RelatedStandards:S-ID.6
StandardsForMathematicalPracticeofFocusintheTask:
SMP-1Makesenseofproblemsandpersevereinsolvingthem.
SMP-5Useappropriatetoolsstrategically.
TheTeachingCycle
Launch(WholeClass):Sincethisisthefirsttaskinthemodulethatusesscatterplotsfor
bivariatedata,beginbyremindingstudentsofthetermandhowtheyareconstructed.Tellthem
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – 9.5
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thatthepurposeofthistaskistocomeupwiththeirownhypothesisaboutwhatfeaturesofthe
datathecorrelationcoefficientdescribes.Showstudentshowtoenterdataandcalculatea
correlationcoefficientusingwhatevertechnologyyouhaveselectedforyourclass.Alsotell
studentsthatcorrelationcoefficientscanonlybecalculatedfortwoquantitativevariables.Forthe
purposeoftheclassroomdiscussion,eachstudentshouldplotthedataandrecordthecorrelation
coefficientonpaper(eitherbyhandorusingaprinter)foreachproblem.Thiswillfacilitate
comparingandorderingofthegraphs,aswellasusethedatafromproblems4-7toconfirmtheir
hypothesisaboutthecorrelationcoefficient.
Explore(SmallGroup):Monitorstudentsastheyworktoseethattheyareabletousethe
technologyproperlyandarerecordingthegraphsonpaper.Oncetheyhavegraphedandordered
eachofthefirst6datasets,encouragethemtospeculateandsharetheirideasinthegroups.Listen
forstudentsthatarenoticingthatthevaluesofrarebetween-1and1,thatnegativevalues
describedecreasingtrends,positivevaluesdescribeincreasingtrends,thatvaluesofrnear0
correspondtodatawithoutnoticeablepatterns,andrvaluesnear1or-1describedatathatappear
tofitalinearmodel.
Discuss(WholeClass):PrepareforthediscussionbyreproducingthescatterplotsforsetsA-G
(givenbelow)sothattheycanbedisplayedfortheentireclass.Posttheplotsinorderfrom-1to1
(G,C,D,E,A,B,F).Askstudentsfortheirideasabouttheaspectsofthedatadescribedbythe
correlationcoefficient.Recordalistthatshouldincludesomeorallofthefollowing:
• rvaluesrangebetween-1and1,
• negativevaluesofrdescribenegativeassociation,
• positivevaluesofrdescribepositiveassociation,
• valuesofrnear0correspondtodatawithaveryweaklinearrelationship
• rvaluesnear1or-1describedatathatfitalinearmodel
Theymayalsohavesomeideasthatmaybeabandonedlater,baseduponthediscussion.
Turnthediscussionto#4.Askthreestudentstodisplaythescatterplotstheymadethathavea
correlationcoefficientof.75.Asktheclasstoseewhatthethreegraphshaveincommon,
emphasizingobservationsaboutthedirectionoftheassociationandtheappearanceoflinearity.
AskstudentshowtheyadjustedthedatainsetA,forwhichr=0.49,toincreaser.Asktheclasshow
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MODELING DATA – 9.5
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theexperiencein#4eitherconfirmsordeniestheirhypothesesaboutthecorrelationcoefficient.
Movethroughquestions5and6insimilarfashion.
Tellstudentsthatacorrelationof1or-1isaperfectcorrelation,andaskwhatthatmeansforthe
relationshipbetweenthetwovariables.Discusstheconclusionsthattheydrewinquestion7.
Endthediscussionbyeliminatinganyremainingincorrectstatementsinthelistofstudentideas
aboutthecorrelationcoefficientandbywritinganddiscussingthemeaningofthefollowing
statement:Thecorrelationcoefficientmeasuresthestrengthanddirectionofalinear
relationshipbetweentwoquantitativevariables.
AlignedReady,Set,Go:ModelingData9.5
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – RSG 9.5
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9.5
READY
Topic:EstimatingthelineofbestfitExaminethescatterplotbelow.Imaginethatyoudrewastraightlinethroughthegeneralpatternofthepoints,keepingascloseaspossibletoallpointswithasmanypointsabovethelineasbelow.
1.Predictapossibley-interceptandslopeforthelineyouimagined.
a.y-intercept:____________________b.slope:___________________________
2.Sketchthelinethatyouimaginedforquestion#1andwriteanequationforthatline.
SET Topic:Estimatingthecorrelationcoefficient Matchthefollowingscatterplotswiththecorrectcorrelationcoefficient.Possiblecorrelationcoefficients:a.0.05 b.0.97 c.-0.94 d.-0.49 e.0.68 f.-0.25
READY, SET, GO! Name PeriodDate
© 2012 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Scatter_diagram_for_quality_characteristic_XXX.svg
25
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – RSG 9.5
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9.5
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
26
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – RSG 9.5
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9.5
GO Topic:Visuallycomparingslopesoflines.
Followtheprompttosketchthegraphofalineonthesamegridwiththegivencharacteristics.
8.Agreaterslope
9.Alesserslope
10.Alargery–interceptandalesserslope
11.Slopeistheoppositereciprocal.
27
SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.6
Mathematics Vision Project Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 4.0 mathematicsvisionproject.org
9.6 Making More $
A Solidify Understanding Task
EachyeartheU.S.CensusBureauprovidesincomestatisticsfortheUnited
States.Intheyearsfrom1990to2005,theyprovidedthedatainthe
tablesbelow.(Alldollaramountshavebeenadjustedfortherateof
inflationsothattheyarecomparablefromyear-to-year.)
1. Createascatterplotofthedataformen,setting1991asyear1.
Whatisyourestimateofthecorrelationcoefficientforthesedata?
Year
Median Income for All Women
2005 23970 2004 23989 2003 24065 2002 23710 2001 23564 2000 23551 1999 22977 1998 22403 1997 21759 1996 20957 1995 20253 1994 19158 1993 18751 1992 18725 1991 18649
Year
Median Income for All Men
2005 41196 2004 41464 2003 40987 2002 40595 2001 41280 2000 41996 1999 42580 1998 42240 1997 40406 1996 38894 1995 38607 1994 38215 1993 37712 1992 37528 1991 38145
CCBY40
1KCa
lculator.org
https://flic.kr/p/aFD
grH
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SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.6
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2. Onaseparategraph,createascatterplotofthedataforwomen,setting1991asyear1.Whatisyourestimateofthecorrelationcoefficientforthesedata?
3. Estimateanddrawlinesthatmodeleachsetofdata.
4. Describehowyouestimatedthelineformen.Ifyouchosetorunthelinedirectlythroughanyparticularpoints,describewhyyouselectedthem.
5. Describehowyouestimatedthelineforwomen.Ifyouchosetorunthelinedirectly
throughanyparticularpoints,describewhyyouselectedthem.
6. Writetheequationforeachofthetwolinesinslopeinterceptform.
a. Equationformen:
b. Equationforwomen:
7.Usetechnologytofindtheactualcorrelationcoefficientformen.
Whatdoesittellyouabouttherelationshipbetweenincomeandyearsformen?
8. Whatistheactualcorrelationcoefficientforwomen?
a. Whatdoesittellyouabouttherelationshipbetweenincomeandyearsforwomen?
b. Whatdothecorrelationcoefficientsformenandwomentellusabouthowthedatacompares?
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SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.6
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9.Usetechnologytocalculatealinearregressionforeachsetofdata.Addtheregressionlinestoyourscatterplots.
c. Linearregressionequationformen:
d. Linearregressionequationforwomen:
10. Compareyourmodeltotheregressionlineformen.Whatdoestheslopemeanineachcase?(Includeunitsinyouranswer.)
11.Compareyourmodeltotheregressionlineforwomen.Whatdoesthey-interceptmeanineachcase?(Includeunitsinyouranswer.)
12.Comparetheregressionlinesformenandwomen.Whatdothelinestellusabouttheincomeofmenvswomenintheyearsfrom1991-2005?
13.Whatdoyouestimatewillbethemedianincomeformenandwomenin2015?
30
SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.6
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14.TheCensusBureauprovidedthefollowingstatisticsfortheyearsfrom2006-2011.
Withtheadditionofthesedata,whatwouldyounowestimatethemedianincomeofmenin2015tobe?Why?
15.Howappropriateisalinearmodelformen’sandwomen’sincomefrom1991-2011?Justifyyouranswer.
Year
Median Income for All Men
2011 37653 2010 38014 2009 38588 2008 39134 2007 41033 2006 41103
Year
Median Income for All Women
2011 23395 2010 23657 2009 24284 2008 23967 2007 25005 2006 24429
31
SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.6
Mathematics Vision Project Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 4.0 mathematicsvisionproject.org
9.6 Making More $ – Teacher Notes
A Solidify Understanding Task
SpecialNotetoTeachers:Thistaskrequirestheuseoftechnologythatcancalculatethe
correlationcoefficient,r.Mostgraphingcalculatorswillworkwell.Freecomputerappswouldbe
veryhelpfulandeasytouseonthistaskaswell(GeoGebraandDesmos,etc.).
Purpose:Thepurposeofthistaskistosolidifyunderstandingofcorrelationcoefficientandto
developlinearmodelsfordata.Studentsareaskedtoestimateandcalculatecorrelation
coefficients.Inthetasktheyestimatelinesofbestfitandthencomparethemtothecalculated
linearregression.Thetaskdemonstratesthedangersofusingalinearmodeltoextrapolatewell
beyondtheactualdata.Thetaskendswithanopportunitytousethecorrelationcoefficientand
scatterplottodeterminetheappropriatenessofalinearmodel.
CoreStandardsFocus:
S-ID.7Interprettheslope(rateofchange)andtheintercept(constantterm)ofalinearmodelinthe
contextofthedata.
S-ID.8Compute(usingtechnology)andinterpretthecorrelationcoefficientofalinearfit.
RelatedStandards:S.ID.6
StandardsForMathematicalPracticeofFocusintheTask:
SMP2–Reasonabstractlyandquantitatively.
SMP4–Modelwithmathematics.
TheTeachingCycle
Launch(WholeClass):Introducethetasktellingstudentsthatthistaskextendswhattheyhave
doneinpreviousmodulestomodelsituationswithlines.Inthiscase,theywillbemodelingreal
SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.6
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data,whichisnotusuallyperfectlylinear(correlationcoefficientof1or-1).Beforeactually
beginningthetaskofmakingscatterplots,askstudentstomakesomeobservationsaboutthedata
inthetwotablesthatshowthemedianincomeformenandwomen.Theymaynoticethatwomen’s
salariesarelowerthanmen’sorthattheybothappeartobeincreasingovertime.Whatquestions
areraisedbytheseobservations?Askstudentstoworkonquestions1-4.
Explore(SmallGroup):Monitorstudentsastheyareworking,observingtheirthinkingaboutthe
plots.Encouragethemtodiscussthecorrelationcoefficientwiththeirgroup,noticingboththe
directionandthestrengthofthelinearrelationship.Manystudentsmaynotfeelthatalinearmodel
isappropriateforthemen’sdatabecauseoftheshapeofthedistribution.(Bothscatterplotsare
shownbelow).Listenasstudentstalkabouttheirstrategiesforplacingthelineofbestfitonthe
twoscatterplotsandbepreparedtocallonstudentswithdifferentstrategiesforthediscussion.
Somestrategiesthatcanbeanticipatedare:
• Tryingtogetthegreatestnumberofpointsontheline
• Selectingapointatthebeginningandendofthedistributionandconnectingthem.
• Tryingtogetasmanypointsabovethelineasbelowtheline.
DiscussPartOne(WholeClass):
Beginthediscussionbydisplayingthetwoscatterplotsandbrieflydiscussionthecorrelation
coefficientandwhatitisdescribingaboutthedata.Thegraphsareshownbelow.
MedianAnnualIncomeforMenfrom
1991-2005: r=0.814
SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.6
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MedianAnnualIncomeforWomen
from1991-2005r=0.964
Focusingonthescatterplotformen’sincome,askstudentsthathaveuseddifferentstrategiesfor
placingthelineofbestfittosharetheirstrategiesanddrawtheirlinesonthegraphs.Asstudents
sharedifferentstrategiesasktheclasstocomparestrengthsandweaknessesoftheapproachin
modelingthetrendsinthedata.Askstudentstocompareandinterprettheslopeofthelineofbest
fitthattheyselected.
Re-launch:Demonstratehowtousetechnologytocalculatealinearregressionandgraphtheline
alongwiththedataonascatterplot.Thengivestudentstimetoworkontherestofthetask,
monitoringtheirdiscussionsastheywork.
Discuss(Part2):
Beginthesecondpartofthediscussionbydisplayingthegraphsandregressionlines,shownbelow.
Askstudentswhatobservationstheymakeabouttheregressionlines.Theymaybesurprisedthat
thelineforthemen’sdatadoesn’tactuallyintersectanyofthedatapoints.Askstudentshowthey
thinkthattheregressionlinewascalculated.Listenforstudentsthatarenoticingthatthelinesof
regressionseemtocutthedata“inhalf”,leavingasmuch“spacebetweenthepointsandtheline”
SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.6
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aboveandbelow.Thiswillleadnaturallytotheideaofresidualsandthewaythattheleastsquares
regressionlineiscalculated.
Regressionlineformen’sincome:! = !"#.!"# + !",!!"
Regressionlineforwomen’sincome:! = !"!.!"# + !",!"#
Askstudentstoconsidertheslopesofeachoftheregressionlines.Whatdoeseachslopemean?
Sincethewomen’sslopeisgreaterthanthemen’s,doesthismeanthatwomenmakemoremoney?
Alsodiscussthey-interceptonthemen’sincomegraph.Theyinterceptinthiscaseisthevalue
givenbythelinearmodelfortheyear0(1990).
SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.6
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Studentswereaskedtousethemodeltopredictthemen’sincomeforyear2015.Askstudentsfor
thepredictedvaluebasedontheirregressionline.
Afterdisplayingthegraphsthatshowtheadditionaldata,askhowtheywouldmodifythat
predictionnowthattheyhavemoredata.Theywillnoticethatthetrendformen’sincomefrom
2005to2011isdownward.Thishighlightsthedangerofextrapolating,whichmeanstoextendthe
modelwellbeyondtheactualdata.
Finally,discussthelastquestion.Students’justificationoftheiranswershouldincludetheuseof
thecorrelationcoefficient,andcomparetrendsinthedatathatcanbeobservedinthescatterplot
versustheslopeoftheregressionline.
Graphsandlinearregressionsareshownbelow.
MedianIncomeforMen1991-2011
r=0.17
y=47.16x+39,398
MedianAnnualIncomeforMen($)
SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.6
Mathematics Vision Project Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 4.0 mathematicsvisionproject.org
MedianAnnualIncomeforWomen1991-2011
r=0.88
y=300.76x+19131
AlignedReady,Set,Go:ModelingwithData9.6
MedianAnnualIncomeforWomen($)
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – RSG 9.6
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9.6
READY
Topic:FindingdistanceandaveragesUsethenumberlinebelowtoanswerthequestions.
1.FindthedistancebetweenpointAandeachofthepointsonthenumberline.
AF=______ AC=______ AG=______ AB=_______ AD=______ AE=______
2.WhatisthetotalofallthedistancesfrompointAthatyoufoundinexercisenumberone?3.Findtheaverageofthedistancesthatyoufoundinexercise1.4.WhichpointorpointsonthenumberlineislocatedtheaveragedistanceawayfrompointA?5.CirclethelocationorlocationsonthenumberlinethatistheaveragedistanceawayfromA.6.FindthedistancebetweenpointDandeachofthepointsonthenumberline.
DF=______ DC=______ DG=______ DA=_______ DB=______ DE=______
7.WhatisthetotalofallthedistancesfrompointDthatyoufoundinexercisenumbersix?8.Findtheaverageofthedistancesthatyoufoundinexercise6.9.IsthereapointonthenumberlinelocatedtheaveragedistanceawayfrompointD?10.LabelalocationonthenumberlinethatistheaveragedistanceawayfrompointD,labelitY.
READY, SET, GO! Name PeriodDate
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9.6
SET Topic:Scatterplotsandlinesofbestfitortrendlines 11.Createascatterplotforthedatainthetable.
12.DotheEnglishandhistoryscoreshave
apositiveornegativecorrelation?13.DotheEnglishandhistoryscoreshaveastrongorweakcorrelation?14.Whichgraphbelowshowsthebestmodelforthedataandwillcreatethebestprediction?
Explainwhyyourchoiceisthebestmodelforthedata.
a.
b.
c.
English Score History Score
60 65
53 59
44 57
61 61
70 67
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SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
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9.6
15.Whichgraphbelowshowsthebestmodelforthedataandwillcreatethebestprediction?Explainwhyyourchoiceisthebestmodelforthedata.
a.
b. c.
16.Whichgraphbelowshowsthebestmodelforthedataandwillcreatethebestprediction?
Explainwhyyourchoiceisthebestmodelforthedata.
a.
b. c.
GO Topic:Creatingexplicitfunctionrulesforarithmeticandgeometricsequences.Usethegiveninformationbelowtocreateanexplicitfunctionruleforeachsequence.17.! 2 = 7;commondifference=3 18.! 1 = 8;commonratio=2
19.ℎ 6 = 3;commonratio=-3 20.! 5 = −3;commondifference=7
21.! 7 = 1;commondifference=-9 22.! 1 = 5;commonratio=!!
34
SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.7
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9.7 Getting Schooled
A Solidify Understanding Task
InGettingMore$,LeoandAracelinoticeda
differenceinmen’sandwomen’ssalaries.Araceli
thoughtthatitwasunfairthatwomenwerepaidless
thanmen.Leothoughtthattheremustbesome
goodreasonforthediscrepancy,sotheydecidedtodigdeeperintotheCensusBureau’sincome
datatoseeiftheycouldunderstandmoreaboutthesedifferences.
First,theydecidedtocomparetheincomeofmenandwomenthatgraduatedfromhighschool(or
equivalent),butdidnotpursuefurtherschooling.Theycreatedthescatterplotbelow,withthex
valueofapointrepresentingtheaveragewoman’ssalaryforsomeyearandtheyvalue
representingtheaverageman’ssalaryforthesameyear.Forinstance,theyear2011isrepresented
onthegraphbythepoint(17887,30616).Youcanfindthispointonthegraphinthebottomleft
corner.
1. Baseduponthegraph,estimatethecorrelationcoefficient.
Women’sincome($)
Men’sincome($)
CCBYSteven
Isaacson
https://flic.kr/p/2M3fF
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SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.7
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2. Estimatetheaverageincomeformeninthistimeperiod.Describehowyouusedthegraph
tofindit.
3. Whatistheaverageincomeforwomeninthistimeperiod?Describehowyouusedthe
graphtofindit.
4. LeoandAracelicalculatedthelinearregressionforthesedatatobe! = 2.189! − 6731.8.Whatdoestheslopeofthisregressionlinemeanabouttheincomeofmencomparedto
women?Usepreciseunitsandlanguage.
“Hmmmm,”saidAraceli,“It’sjustasIsuspected.Thewholesystemisunfairtowomen.”“No,wait,”
saidLeo,“Let’slookatincomesformenandwomenwithbachelor’sdegreesormore.Maybeithas
somethingtodowithlevelsofeducation.”
5. LeoandAracelistartedwiththedataformenwithbachelor’sdegreesormore.Theyfound
thecorrelationcoefficientfortheaveragesalaryvsyearfrom2000-2011wasr=-.894.
Predictwhatthegraphmightlooklikeanddrawithere.Besuretoscaleandlabeltheaxes
andput12pointsonyourgraph.
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SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.7
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Theactualscatterplotforsalariesformenwithbachelor’sdegreesfrom2000-2011isbelow.Howdidyoudo?
6. BothLeoandAraceliweresurprisedatthisgraph.Theycalculatedtheregressionlineand
got ! = −588.46! + 69978.Whatdoesthisequationsayabouttheincomeofmenwithbachelor’sdegreesfrom2000-2011?Useboththeslopeandthey-interceptofthelineof
regressioninyouranswer.
Next,theyturnedtheirattentiontothedataforwomenwithbachelor’sdegreesormorefrom
2000-2011.Here’sthedata:
Year 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000IncomeforWomen($)
41338 42409 42746 42620 44161 44007 42690 42539 42954 42871 42992 43293
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SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.7
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7. Analyzethedataforwomenwithbachelor’sdegreesbycreatingascatterplot,interpreting
thecorrelationcoefficientandtheregressionline.Forconsistencywiththemen’sgraphabove,use
0fortheyear2000,1fortheyear2001,etc.Drawthegraphandreporttheresultsofyouranalysis
below:
8. Nowthatyouhaveanalyzedtheresultsforwomen,comparetheresultsformenand
womenwithbachelor’sdegreesandmoreovertheperiodfrom2000-2011.
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SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.7
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9. Leobelievesthatthedifferenceinincomebetweenmenandwomenmaybeexplainedby
differencesineducation,butAracelibelievestheremustbeotherfactorssuchasdiscrimination.
BasedonthedatainthistaskandGettingMore$,makeaconvincingcasetosupporteitherLeoor
Araceli.
10. Whatotherdatawouldbeusefulinmakingyourcase?Explainwhattolookforandwhy.
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SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.7
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9.7 Getting Schooled – Teacher Notes
A Solidify Understanding Task
SpecialNotetoTeachers:Thistaskrequirestheuseoftechnologythatcancalculatethe
correlationcoefficient,r,andalinearregression.Mostgraphingcalculatorswillworkwell.
GeoGebraorDesmos,bothpowerful,freecomputerappswouldbeveryhelpfulandeasytouseon
thistask.
Purpose:Thepurposeofthistaskistosolidifystudentsunderstandingoflinearmodelsfordata
byinterpretingtheslopesandinterceptsofregressionlineswithvariousunits.Studentsareasked
touselinearmodelstocompareandanalyzedata.Inthetasktheydrawconclusionsandjustify
argumentsaboutdata.Inadditiontheyareaskedtoconsideradditionaldatathatcouldbe
collectedtoinformtheirconclusions.
CoreStandardsFocus:
S.ID.6Representdataontwoquantitativevariablesonascatterplot,anddescribehowthe
variablesarerelated.
a.Fitafunctiontothedata;usefunctionsfittedtodatatosolveproblemsinthecontextof
thedata.Usegivenfunctionsorchooseafunctionsuggestedbythecontext.Emphasize
linear,quadratic,andexponentialmodels.
c.Fitalinearfunctionforascatterplotthatsuggestsalinearassociation.
S.ID.7Interprettheslope(rateofchange)andtheintercept(constantterm)ofalinearmodelinthe
contextofthedata.
S.ID.8Compute(usingtechnology)andinterpretthecorrelationcoefficientofalinearfit.
StandardsforMathematicalPracticeofFocusintheTask
SMP3-Constructviableargumentsandcritiquethereasoningofothers.
SMP4–Modelwithmathematics.
SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.7
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Launch(WholeClass):
Remindstudentsoftheirworkwithmen’sandwomen’smedianannualincomesfromtheprevious
task.Askthemtorecallsomeoftheconclusionsthatcouldbemadefromthedata.Introducethis
taskbytellingthemthattheywillbedrawingupontheirexperiencewithcorrelationcoefficients
andlinearregressionstoanalyzeandcomparedata.Bythetimetheyhavefinishedthetaskthey
shouldbepreparedtousethedatatomakeanargumentaboutthedifferencesinmen’sand
women’ssalary,baseduponeducationandotherpossiblefactors.
Explore(SmallGroup):
Monitorstudentsastheywork,ensuringthattheyareestimatingasrequestedinthetaskbefore
makingthecalculations.Thiswillhelptodrawthemintothedatasothattheycanmakesenseofit
anddeepentheirunderstanding.Keepstudentsfocusedonusingtheunitsofslopebasedonthe
graphs.Theymaybemorefamiliarwithgraphsthathavetimeacrossthex-axis,butstruggleto
interpretthefirstgraphthatcomparessalariesofmenandwomenwheretheyearthedatawas
obtainedisnotevident.
Discuss(WholeClass):
Actualcorrelationcoefficientfor#1isr=0.6421.
Beginthediscussionwiththemeaningoftheslopeofthelinearregressioninthefirstgraph.
Studentsshouldbeabletoarticulatetheideathattheslopeinthiscasemeansthatthemedian
salaryformenwas2.189timesthemediansalaryforwomenofthesameeducationlevel.Inthis
casetheslopeisaratioofmen’ssalariestowomen’ssalariesortheratethatmen’ssalarieschange
inrelationtowomen’ssalaries.
Thenextslopetointerpretisin#6.Studentsshouldbeabletoarticulatethatthemediansalaryfor
menwentdownbyabout$588.49eachyearduringthetimeperiod.Inthiscasetheslopeisthe
rateofchangeofmen’ssalarieseachyear.
Thebulkofthediscussionshouldbeanopportunityforstudentstodigdeeplyintheanalysisofthe
datatomakethecasethateducationexplainsthedifferencesinmedianincomesbetweenmenand
SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.7
Mathematics Vision Project Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 4.0 mathematicsvisionproject.org
womenorthatthereareotherfactorsthatexplainthedifferences.Organizetheclasssothat
studentsareassignedtoonesideoftheargumentortheotherandthentaketurnspresentingone
pieceofevidencefromtheiranalysis.Recordtheclaimsandallowtheothersidetorefuteanyclaim
thattheyfeelisinerror.
AlignedReady,Set,Go:ModelingwithData9.7
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – RSG 9.7
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9.7
READY Topic:FindingdistancesandaveragesThegraphbelowshowsseveralpointsandtheline! = !.Usethegraphtoanswereachquestion.
1.TheverticaldistancebetweenpointNandtheline! = !onthegraphis3.Findalloftheverticaldistancesbetweenthepointsandtheline! = !.
B:
D:
E:
G:
I:
L:
N:
X:
2.Calculatethesumofallthedistancesyoufoundinexerciseone.
3.Whatistheaverageverticaldistanceofthepointsfromtheline! = !?
4.Isthelineshownonthegraphthelineofbestfit?Explainwhyorwhynot.Ifitisnotthebestline,drawonethatisbetterfittothedata.
5.Estimatethecorrelationcoefficientforthissetofdatapoints.Ifyouhaveawaytocalculateitexactly,checkyourestimate.(Youcoulduseagraphingcalculatorordatasoftware.)
READY, SET, GO! Name PeriodDate
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SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – RSG 9.7
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9.7
SET Topic:CreatingandanalyzingscatterplotsDeterminewhetheralinearoranexponentialmodelwouldbebestforthegivenscatterplot.Thensketchamodelonthegraphthatcouldbeusedtomakepredictions.6.
7.
8.a)Usethedatainthetablebelowtomakeascatterplot.
b)Isthecorrelationofthegraphpositiveornegative?Why?
c)Whatwouldyouestimatethecorrelationcoefficienttobe?Why?
d)Createaregressionlineandwritetheregressionequation.
e)Whatdoestheslopeoftheregressionequationmeanintermsofthevariables?
f)Mostschoolyearsare36weeks.Iftherateofspendingiskeptthesame,howmuchmoremoneyneedstobesavedduringthesummerinorderfortheretobemoneytolastall36weeks?
20
200
Money
Weeks
41
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – RSG 9.7
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9.7
GO Topic:Determiningwhentouseatwo-waytableandwhenuseascatterplot9.Inwhichsituationsdoesitmakethemostsensetouseatwo-waytableandlookattherelativefrequencies.
10.Inwhichsituationsdoesitmakethemostsensetouseascatterplotandalinearorexponentialmodeltoanalyzeandmakedecisionsordrawconclusions?
Labeleachrepresentationbelowasafunctionornotafunction.Ifitisafunction,labelitaslinear,exponential,orneither.Ifisdoesnotrepresentafunction,explainwhy.11.
! !0 121 122 12
3 12
4 12
12.! !
1 152 303 152 201 25
13.! !
-6 -2-5 -3-4 -4-3 -5-2 -6
14.! + 12! = 4
15.! = 3 ∙ 4 !!!
16.Theamountofmedicineinthebloodstreamofacatastimepasses.Theinitialdoseofmedicineis80mmandthemedicinebreaksdownat35%eachhour.
17.
Time 0 1 2 3 4
Moneyinbank $250 $337.50 $455.63 $615.09 $830.38
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SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.8
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9.8 Rockin’ the Residuals
A Solidify Understanding Task
Thecorrelationcoefficientisnottheonlytoolthat
statisticiansusetoanalyzewhetherornotalineisagood
modelforthedata.Theyalsoconsidertheresiduals,
whichistolookatthedifferencebetweentheobserved
value(thedata)andthepredictedvalue(they-valueon
theregressionline).Thissoundsalittlecomplicated,but
it’snotreally.Theresidualsarejustawayofthinking
abouthowfarawaytheactualdataisfromtheregressionline.
Startwithsomedata:
x 1 2 3 4 5 6y 10 13 7 22 28 19Createascatterplotandgraphtheregressionline.In,thiscasethelineis! = 3! + 6.
CCBYJamieAdkins
https://flic.kr/p/aRzLKP
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SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.8
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Drawalinefromeachpointtotheregressionline,likethesegmentsdrawnfromeachpointbelow.
1. Theresidualsarethelengthsofthesegments.Howcanyoucalculatethelengthofeach
segmenttogettheresiduals?
2. Generally,ifthedatapointisabovetheregressionlinetheresidualispositive,ifthedata
pointisbelowtheline,theresidualisnegative.Knowingthis,useyourplanfrom#1to
createatableofresidualvaluesusingeachdatapoint.
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SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
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3. Statisticiansliketolookatgraphsoftheresidualstojudgetheirregressionlines.So,you
getyourchancetodoit.Graphtheresidualshere.
Now,thatyouhaveconstructedaresidualplot,thinkaboutwhattheresidualsmeanandanswer
thefollowingquestions.
4. Ifaresidualislargeandnegative,whatdoesitmean?
5. Whatdoesitmeanifaresidualisequalto0?
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SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.8
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6. Ifsomeonetoldyouthattheyestimatedalineofbestfitforasetofdatapointsandallofthe
residualswerepositive,whatwouldyousay?
7. Ifthecorrelationcoefficientforadatasetisequalto1,whatwilltheresidualplotlooklike?
Statisticiansuseresidualplotstoseeiftherearepatternsinthedatathatarenotpredictedbytheir
model.Whatpatternscanyouidentifyinthefollowingresidualplotsthatmightindicatethatthe
regressionlineisnotagoodmodelforthedata?Basedontheresidualplotarethereanypoints
thatmaybeconsideredoutliers?
8.
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SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.8
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9.
10.
11.
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SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.8
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9.8 Rockin’ the Residuals – Teacher Notes
A Develop Understanding Task
Purpose:Thepurposeofthistaskistodevelopanunderstandingofresidualsandhowtouse
residualplotstoanalyzethestrengthofalinearmodelfordata.
CoreStandardsFocus:
S.ID.6:Representdataontwoquantitativevariablesonascatterplot,anddescribehowthe
variablesarerelated.
S.ID.6b:Informallyassessthefitofafunctionbyplottingandanalyzingresiduals.
RelatedStandards:S.ID.6a,S.ID.6c
StandardsforMathematicalPracticeofFocusintheTask
SMP7-Lookforandmakeuseofstructure.
TheTeachingCycle:
Launch(WholeClass):
Beginthetaskbywalkingthroughthefirstpartofthetaskwithstudents,explainingwhataresidual
isusingthegraphicalrepresentation.Givestudentstimetocompletequestions1-3andthen
discusstheresidualplotthattheyhavecreated.Howdoestheresidualplotcomparewiththe
scatterplotofthedatawiththeregressionlinedrawn?Whatinformationcouldbedrawnfromjust
lookingattheresidualplotiftheyhadnotseenthescatterplotandlinearregression?
Explore(SmallGroup):
Allowstudentstimetodiscusstheremainingquestionsandfinishthetask.Listenforthewaysthat
theyaremakingsenseoftheideathattheresidualisthedifferencebetweentheactualpointand
correspondingpointonthelinearmodelofthedata.
SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.8
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Discuss(WholeClass):
Discusseachoftheremainingquestions.Finally,asktheclass:Whatinformationisobtainedfrom
lookingataresidualplotthatisnotgivenbythecorrelationcoefficient?Howdotheywork
togethertoinformtheanalysisofbivariatequantitativedata?
AlignedReady,Set,Go:ModelingwithData9.8
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – RSG 9.8
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9.8
READYTopic:DescribingspreadDescribethespreadofthedatasetshownineachboxplotshownbelow.Includethemedian,therange,andtheinterquartilerange.1.
2.
3.Iftheboxplotsaboverepresenttheresultsoftwodifferentclassesonthesameassessment,whichclassdidbetter?Justifyyouranswer.
4.ThetwoboxplotsbelowshowthelowtemperaturesfortwocitiesintheUnitedStates.CityDistheboxplotontopandCityEonthebottom.
a.Whichcitywouldbeconsideredthecoldest,CityDorCityE? Why?
b.Dothesecitieseverexperiencethesametemperature?Howdoyouknow?
c.Isthereawaytoknowtheexacttemperatureforanygivendayfromtheboxplots?
d.Whatadvantage,ifany,couldahistogramoftemperaturedatahaveoveraboxplot?
READY, SET, GO! Name PeriodDate
C
i
C
i
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SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – RSG 9.8
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9.8
SETTopic:Residuals,residualplotsandcorrelationcoefficientsThedatasheetsinexercise5andexercise6arescatterplotsthathavetheregressionlineandtheresidualsindicated.Foreachexercise,a)Markonthegraphwhere !,! wouldbelocated.b)Usethegivendatasheettocreatearesidualplot.c)Predictthecorrelationcoefficient.5.Datasheet1a)mark !,!
b)residualplot1
C)Correlationcoefficient?
6.Datasheet2a)mark !,!
B)residualplot2
C)Correlationcoefficient?
30
25
20
15
10
5
5 10 15 20
15
10
5
–5
–10
–15
5 10 15 200
54
52
50
48
46
44
42
40
38
36
34
32
302 4 6 8 10
12
10
8
6
4
2
–2
–4
–6
–8
–10
–12
5 10
49
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – RSG 9.8
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9.8
Thefollowinggraphsareresidualplots.Analyzetheresidualplotstodeterminehowwellthepredictionline(lineofbestfit)describesthedata.7.Plot1 analysis
8.Plot2 analysis
50
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – RSG 9.8
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9.8
GOTopic:Geometricconstructions9.Constructanisoscelestrianglewithacompassandastraightedge.10.Constructasquareusingacompassandastraightedge.11.Useacompassandastraightedgetoconstructahexagoninscribedinacircle.
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SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.9
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9.9 Lies and Statistics
A Practice Understanding Task
Decidewhethereachstatementis:
• Sometimestrue• Alwaystrue• Nevertrue
Giveareasonforyouranswer.
1. Theslopeofthelinearregressionlinecanbecalculatedusinganytwopointsinthedata.
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
2. Ifthecorrelationcoefficientforasetofdatais0,thenthelineofbestfitishorizontal.
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
3. Thesumoftheresidualsforthelineofbestfitis0.
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
4. Ifthecorrelationcoefficientisverylarge,thentheremustbeanoutlierinthedata.
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
5. Anegativecorrelationcoefficientmeansthatthedatapointsareveryrandomanddon’treallyfitalinearmodel._________________________________________________________________________________________________________
6. Anegativeresidualmeansthattheregressionlineisveryfarfromtheactualdatapoint.
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
7. Ifthecorrelationcoefficientispositive,thentheslopeofthelineofbestfitwillprobablybepositive._________________________________________________________________________________________________________
CCBYU.S.D
ept.ofAgriculture
https://flic.kr/p/jPo
bb4
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MODELING WITH DATA – 9.9
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8. Ifthereisaperfectcorrelationbetweenvariablesinthedata,thenthecorrelationcoefficientis1.
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
9. Tofindthevalueofaresidualforapoint(a,b)givenalineofbestfit,f(x):a. Find!(!)b. Find! − !(!)c. Iftheanswerispositive,thenthepointisabovetheline.d. Iftheanswerisnegative,thenthepointisbelowtheline.
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
10. Thelargertheresidualforagivenpoint,thefurtherawaythepointisfromthelineofbestfit.
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
11. Ifthereisaperfectcorrelationbetweentwovariablesaandb,theneitheracausedborbcauseda._________________________________________________________________________________________________________
53
SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.9
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9.9 Lies and Statistics – Teacher Notes
A Practice Understanding Task
Purpose:Thepurposeofthistaskistorefinestudents’understandingofcorrelationcoefficients,residuals,andlinearregression.Asstudentsreasonthroughthestatementsthathavebeengiven,theywillhavetoconsidervariouscases,alongwithconsideringthedefinitionofthestatisticaltermsused.Theywillmakeargumentstojustifytheiranswers,citingexamplesanddefinitions.CoreStandardsFocus:
S-ID.6Representdataontwoquantitativevariablesonascatterplot,anddescribehowthevariablesarerelated.
a.Fitafunctiontothedata;usefunctionsfittedtodatatosolveproblemsinthecontextofthedata.Usegivenfunctionsorchooseafunctionsuggestedbythecontext.Emphasizelinear,quadratic,andexponentialmodels.b.Informallyassessthefitofafunctionbyplottingandanalyzingresiduals.c.Fitalinearfunctionforascatterplotthatsuggestsalinearassociation.
StandardsforMathematicalPracticeofFocusintheTask
SMP6-Attendtoprecision.
SMP3-Constructviableargumentsandcritiquethereasoningofothers.
TeachingCycle
Launch(WholeClass):Beginbytellingstudentsthatthistaskisanopportunitytothinklikestatisticiansandrefinethewaytheyusethetermsofstatistics.Theirjobistotesteachofthestatementsgiventodetermineiftheyarealways,sometime,ornevertrue.Ineverycase,theyneedtojustifytheirchoicewithexamplesandreasoning.Givestudentssometimetoworkontheirownbeforesharingsothattheyhaveachancetodeveloptheirownargumentsforeachproblem.
Explore(SmallGroup):Asstudentsaresharing,listenformisconceptionsthatmayarisesothattheycanbesharedintheclassdiscussion.Alsowatchforstatementsthataregeneratingdisagreement,becausetheseareopportunitiesforproductivereasoningandengagingdiscussion.
SECONDARY MATH 1 // MODULE 9
MODELING WITH DATA – 9.9
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Discuss(WholeClass):Begintheclassdiscussionwithanyofthestatementsthatwerecontroversial.Ineverycase,havestudentspresenttheirargumentsbeforeguidingtheclasstothecorrectanswer.Problems2,4,and5oftenbringoutmisunderstandingsandshouldbediscussed.Intheremainingtime,workthroughasmanyotherproblemsaspossible.
AlignedReady,Set,Go:ModelingData9.9
SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – RSG 9.9
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9.9
READY
Topic:IdentifyingtypesoffunctionsandwritingtheexplicitequationsForeachrepresentationofafunction,decideifthefunctionislinear,exponential,orneither.
Justifyyouranswer.
1.! ! !
1 1176492 168073 24014 3435 49
2.Thefeeforataxirideis$7forgettingintothetaxiplus$2permile.
3.
4.
6.
! ! !
1 1
4 2
9 3
16 4
25 5
7.! 1 = 7; ! ! = 5 ∙ ! ! − 1
8.
ℎ ! = 3 ! − 1 + 2
9.! ! = 3!! − ! − 3!! + 1
READY, SET, GO! Name PeriodDate
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SECONDARY MATH I // MODULE 9
MODELING DATA – RSG 9.9
Mathematics Vision Project
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9.9
SET Topic:ReviewingkeytopicsinstatisticsDecidewhethereachstatementissometimestrue,alwaystrue,ornevertrue.Ifthestatementissometimestruegiveoneexampleofwhenitistrueandanexampleofwhenitisnot.10.Thelinearregressionlinepassesthroughtheaverageofthexvaluesandtheaverageofthey
values. 11.Apositivecorrelationcoefficientmeansthatthepointsinthescatterplotareveryclosetogether.12.Anegativeresidualmeansyourpredictedvalueistoolow.13.Acorrelationcoefficientcloseto1meansthatalinearmodelismostappropriateforthedata. GO Topic:SolvingliteralequationsSolveeachequationforx.
14. !" = ! 15.! + !" = ! 16.!" + !" = !
Solveeachequationfory.
17.4! + ! = 3 18.2! = 6! + 9 19.5! − 2! = 10
Solveeachequationfortheindicatedvariable.
20.! = !!!; Solve for !. 21.! = !"!! ; Solve for ℎ. 22.! = !"! !
!" ;SolveforV.
55