Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 3,258 Albertans by Smart IVR™ on October 1st, 2015. A mixture of landlines and cell phones were surveyed. Margin of Error: +/- 1.71%, 19 times out of 20.

Regional margins of error: Edmonton: +/- 3.2%; Calgary +/-2.75%; Rest of Alberta : +/-3.02% 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by age and gender based on the 2011

Canadian Census.

A2

"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyright. The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republished with full and proper credit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmedia”.

BATTLEGROUND EDMONTON

October 5, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds the Conservative party leading in Alberta - but it’s a tight three way race in Edmonton where the Liberals are in second. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.71%, 19 times out of 20.

“The Liberal Party of Canada has not held a seat in Alberta since the 2006 election when the Conservatives came to o�ce,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “That shutout in Alberta appears to be ending with Liberals poised to elect a number of MPs on October 19th in both Edmonton and Calgary. In Edmonton, the Liberal party is now in second with the NDP in third - this despite strong support the provincial NDP in Alberta’s capital.”

”With Liberal fortunes up across Canada, and Conservatives losing their dominant stranglehold on Alberta, this could signal a larger National shift in the polls as seen in recent days.”

“That comes at the same time as a rise in support for the Wildrose Party provincially where they lead the governing NDP by 6%, 39% to 33%. This change in sentiment may be more a reflection of the current federal election and the state of the economy and the energy sector where Alberta heavily relies for jobs and growth.”

“Provincial loyalties appear to be heavily divided among the federal parties. Progressive Conservative voters are overwhelmingly loyal to their federal cousins, with 94% saying they will vote Conservative federally. Wildrose voters are less likely to vote Conservative federally, but still an overwhelming 82% of them will vote for Stephen Harper, with the rest evenly spread across the other federal parties.”

“Alberta Liberals and Alberta Party voters both will vote for the federal Liberals by a slim majority, 56% and 50% respectively, with Alberta party voters being highly undecided at this point with 36% indicating so.“

“Provincial NDP supporters are anything but loyal to their federal cousins, just a little over a quarter are voting for Mulcair, a third will vote for Trudeau and almost 2 in 10 will vote Conservative. It's no surprise how well the Liberals are doing especially in Edmonton and in Calgary based on this distribution of support,” he finished.

About Mainstreet ResearchMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public a�airs.

Di�erentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of November’s Toronto mayoral election.

-30-

Available for Interview from Toronto: Quito Maggi, quito@mainstreetresearch.caFor more information: David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca

A3

LEANING AND DECIDED

CONSERVATIVENDPLIBERALGREENUNDECIDEDSAMPLE

18-3458%11%16%7%9%474

35-4952%10%17%3%17%508

50-6456%11%15%4%14%1062

65+60%10%15%2%13%1214

Female53%10%16%4%17%1952

Male59%11%16%5%9%

1306

If the Federal Election were today, which party would you support?

CONSERVATIVENDPLIBERALGREENUNDECIDEDSAMPLE

Edmonton34%21%26%8%11%938

Rest of Alberta65%8%10%4%13%1050

Calgary51%9%22%3%15%1270

Conservative NDP Liberal Green Undecided

All Voters Decided & Leaning

56%

11%

16%

4% 13%

63%

13%

19%

5%

A4

Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election?

STRONG SUPPORTERMIGHT CHANGE MINDDON’T KNOW

CPC86%10%5%

NDP64%29%7%

GPC39%52%9%

LPC54%32%14%

And, which party are you leaning toward voting for?

Conservative NDP Liberal Green Undecided

19%

11%

14%

3%

52%

A5

LEANING AND DECIDED

ALBERTA NDPWILDROSEPROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVEALBERTA LIBERALALBERTA PARTYUNDECIDEDSAMPLE

18-3429%43%15%3%6%4%474

35-4933%29%20%2%3%12%508

50-6426%34%21%3%2%13%1062

65+30%33%22%2%2%10%1214

Female31%30%19%4%3%13%1952

Male29%41%18%2%4%6%

1306

And, if a provincial election were held today, which party would you support?

ALBERTA NDPWILDROSEPROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVEALBERTA LIBERALALBERTA PARTYUNDECIDEDSAMPLE

Edmonton52%18%12%5%6%8%938

Rest of Alberta22%42%22%1%2%10%1050

Calgary31%34%16%4%5%9%

1270

NDP Wildrose PCs Liberal UndecidedAlberta

All Voters Decided & Leaning

30%

35%

19%

3% 4% 9% 33%

39%

21%

3% 4%

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LEANING AND DECIDEDAnd, if a provincial election were held today, which party would you support?

ALBERTA NDPWILDROSEPROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVEALBERTA LIBERALALBERTA PARTYUNDECIDED

CPC9%52%32%1%0%6%

NDP79%17%1%0%0%3%

LPC62%7%3%10%11%7%

UD34%15%5%3%7%

33%

GPC49%29%2%1%6%13%

CONSERVATIVENDPLIBERALGREENUNDECIDED

NDP17%28%33%7%15%

WR82%5%3%4%6%

PC93%1%2%0%3%

AB6%0%

50%8%

36%

ALIB24%1%

59%2%14%

UD34%4%11%6%

46%

Columns (not rows) add up to 100%

17%

28%

33%

7%

15%

ABOVE: Who Alberta NDP Supporters are Voting for Federally

A7

LEANING AND DECIDED

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

18-3434%46%20%474

35-4943%27%30%508

50-6447%28%25%1062

65+36%30%34%1214

Female37%26%37%1952

Male43%42%15%1306

Should the provincial government spend more on capital projects to stimulate the economy?

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

Edmonton45%31%24%938

Rest of Alberta37%35%28%1050

Calgary43%33%24%1270

40%

34%

26%

Yes No Not Sure

A8

LEANING AND DECIDED

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

18-3442%44%14%474

35-4948%41%11%508

50-6452%34%14%1062

65+49%27%24%1214

Female37%45%19%1952

Male58%31%11%

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Should the government cut programs and reduce the size of its workforce to reduce the size of the deficit?

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

Edmonton41%44%15%938

Rest of Alberta49%35%16%1050

Calgary47%41%13%1270

47%

38%

15%

Yes No Not Sure

A9

LEANING AND DECIDED

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

18-3427%71%2%474

35-4922%67%11%508

50-6419%72%9%

1062

65+14%71%15%1214

Female20%69%11%

1952

Male23%72%5%

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Should the provincial government increase taxes to reduce the size of the deficit?

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

Edmonton26%65%9%938

Rest of Alberta19%72%9%

1050

Calgary25%68%7%

1270

22%

70%

8%

Yes No Not Sure

A10

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

18-3440%51%9%474

35-4929%53%18%508

50-6439%42%18%1062

65+30%47%23%1214

Female37%42%21%1952

Male33%55%11%

1306

Should the government introduce a carbon levy to help Alberta address climate change?

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

Edmonton42%44%14%938

Rest of Alberta31%51%18%1050

Calgary40%46%14%1270

35%

49%

16%

Yes No Not Sure

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SCRIPT

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Federal Election?

Absolutely certain to vote Likely to vote

Might vote Unlikely to vote

Not eligible to vote

And if the Federal Election were today, which party would you support?

The Conservative Party led by Stephen HarperThe NDP led by Tom Mulcair

The Liberal Party led by Justin TrudeauThe Green Party led by Elizabeth May

Undecided

And which party are you leaning towards voting for?

The Conservative Party led by Stephen HarperThe NDP led by Tom Mulcair

The Liberal Party led by Justin TrudeauThe Green Party led by Elizabeth May

Undecided

Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election?

Strong supporterMight change your mind

Don’t know

And, if a provincial election were held today, who would you vote for among the following options?

The NDP led by Rachel NotleyThe Wildrose Party led by Brian Jean

The Progressive Conservatives led by Ric McIverThe Alberta Liberal Party led by David Swann

The Alberta Party led by Greg ClarkUndecided

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SCRIPT

Should the provincial government spend more on capital projects to stimulate the economy?

YesNo

Not Sure

Should the provincial government increase taxes to reduce the size of the deficit?

YesNo

Not Sure

Should the government cut programs and reduce the size of its workforce to reduce the size of the deficit?

YesNo

Not Sure

Should the government introduce a carbon levy to help Alberta address climate change?

YesNo

Not Sure

Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public a�airs.

Di�erentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of November’s Toronto mayoral election.