44
Map of Estoril Congress Centre
Av. Amaral, 2765-192 Estoril, Portugal Tel: +351 214647575 / Fax: +351 214647576
E-mail: [email protected]
Welcome
It is with great pleasure that I welcome the ESREL Conferences to Portugal again and that I welcome you to ESREL 2006.
While this series of yearly Conferences dates back to 1989, only in 1992 it adopted the designation of ESREL, European Safety and Reliability Conference. The ESREL Conferences have become well established in the international community, attracting a good blend of academics and industry participants that present and discuss subjects of interest and application across various industries.
This year the theme of the Conference “Safety and Reliability for Managing Risk” highlights the fact that the theories, techniques and methods of safety and reliability assessment and their most recent applications are powerful tools for decision making in the rational management of risks to which modern society is exposed.
The Conference Programme resulted from the enthusiasm and participation of the many authors who have contributed with their papers. The Technical Programme Committee had a very important role of peer-reviewing the full length papers and suggesting improvements in the quality of the original submissions.
A subset of this Committee, the Technical Area Coordinators have also organised the papers in sessions.
All these efforts are gratefully acknowledged.
The technical programme consists of approximately 370 papers, selected from over 600 abstracts, which will be presented in seven parallel sessions.
I believe that we have brought together all the main ingredients for a successful and worthwhile Conference and I hope you all enjoy it!!
Carlos Guedes Soares ESREL 2006 Conference Chairman
Conference Chairman Carlos Guedes Soares, IST, PT
Technical Programme Chairman Enrico Zio, Politecnico di Milano, Italy
Technical Area Coordinators
Thematic Areas • Accident and Incident Investigation - C. Johnson, UK • Decision Support Systems for Safety and Reliability - T. Bedford, UK • Fault Identification and Diagnostics - E. Zio, IT • Human Factors in Safety and Reliability - S. Colombo, IT • Maintenance Modelling and Optimisation - J. Vaurio, FIN • Monte Carlo Methods in System Safety and Reliability - S. Eisinger, NO • Occupational Safety - D. Podgorski, PL • Organizational Factors in Safety and Reliability - A. Bye, NO • Reliability and Safety Data Collection and Analysis - F. Coolen, UK • Risk and Hazard Analysis – V. Trbojevic, UK • Risk and Reliability Management - T. Aven, NO • Risk Perception and Communication - J. Harvey, UK • Risks of Natural Hazards & Emergency Planning - P. van Gelder, NL • Software Reliability and Security - P. Palanque, FR • Structural Reliability and Codes - R. Rackwitz, DE • System Safety and Reliability - G. Levitin, IL
Industrial & Service Sectors • Aeronautics and Aerospace - C. Preyssl, NL • Chemical Process Industry - O. Aneziris, GR • Civil Engineering - T. Vrouwenvelder, NL • Energy Production and Distribution - C. Kirchsteiger, NL • Information Technology and Telecommunications - M. Felici, UK • Manufacturing - T. Rosqvist, FIN • Nuclear Engineering - E. Hollo, HU• Offshore Oil and Gas - B.J. Leira, NO • Security and Protection - K. Kosmowski, PL • Surface Transportation (road and train) - G. Spadoni, IT • Waterborne Transportation - J. Wang, UK
Technical Programme Committee
A. Hessami, Atkins Global, UK; A. Carpignano, Politecnico di Torino, IT; A.B. Almeida, IST, PT; C. Bérenguer, Univ Techn Troyes, FR; C. Vivalda, SAIPEM SA, FR; E. Ruffin, INERIS, FR; G. Erdos, Univ Newcastle, UK; J. van Noortwijk, HKV & TU Delft, NL; J. Szpytko, AGH Univ, PL; J. Hall, University of Newcastle, UK; J.D. Sorensen, Aalborg Univ, DK; K. Kolowrocki, GMU, PL; L. Harms-Ringdahl, IRS, SE; L. Speijker, NLR, NL; L. Pardi, Autostrade, IT; L. Podofillini, PSI, CH; M. F. Ramalhoto, IST, PT; M. Holicky, KI-CTU, CZ; M. Cepin, IJS, SI; M. Newby, City Univ, UK;M. Finkelstein, Free State Univ, SA; M. Demichela, Poli Torino, IT; M. Eid, CEA, FR; M. Kocak, GKSS, DE; N. Devictor, CEA, FR; P-E. Labeau, Univ Libre Bruxelles, BE; P. Tint, TTU, EE; P. Murthy, Univ Queensland, AU; R. Briš, TUO, CZ; R. Bloomfield, CSR/Adelard, UK; S. Martorell, UPVLC, ES; J-P. Signoret, TOTAL, FR; G. Uguccioni, DAPP, IT; U. Pulkkinen, VTT, FIN; Z. Sadovsky, USTARCH, SK.
Local Organising Committee A. P. Teixeira, IST, PT; A.M.G.G. Conde, REFER, PT; A. Quental Martins, SOPORCEL, PT; C. Jacinto, Univ Nova Lisboa, PT; J. Barrancos, SIEMENS, PT; J. Ventura, IST, PT; J. Caldeira Duarte, IST, PT; J. Faria, FEUP, PT; M.L. Lima, ISCTE, PT; M. Oliveira, EDP Produção, PT; M. Guerra, EFACEC, PT; M. Barroso, Univ Minho, PT; P. Ribeiro da Silva, Galp Energia, PT; T. Gomes, Univ Coimbra, PT
Conference Secretariat & Technical Support Alina Moise Ana Rosa Fragoso Alexandre Janeiro Carlos Silva Carla Lopes Cláudia Nogueira Fernando Santos Irene Carvalho Helena Ferreira Maria de Fátima Pina José Nobre Luis M. Canôa Sandra Ponce Susana António Manuel Peixe Tiago Almeida
Tiago Fialho
Technical Visits Various industries have supported this event in a number of different forms. We are happy to provide a set of Technical Visits which have been made available by the various different industrial sectors for Conference participants.
In this Conference, papers with industrial case studies have been particularly sought, given that cooperation between the research and industrial communities is considered very important.
The availability of the Technical Visits to industrial sites has been organised in order to allow the contact with this reality, which is the aim of many of the studies presented at this Conference.
Ten technical visits are planned for Friday, 22nd September 2006, as follows:
Visit 1: Chemical Industry (CUF – Industrial Chemicals and DOW Portugal - Chemical Products) - Estarreja, Aveiro
(Approximately 250km North of Lisbon)
Visit 2: Castelo de Bode Hydro Power Plant of EDP - Tomar (Approximately 120km North East of Lisbon)
Visit 3: Fuel Distribution Company S.A.- Aveiras de Cima (Approximately 50km from Lisbon)
Visit 4: Ribatejo Combined Cycle Gas Turbine Power Plant - Carregado (Approximately 50km North of Lisbon)
Visit 5: National Control Centre (Dispatching) of REN (Portuguese Transmission System Operator) - Sacavém, Lisbon
Visit 6: Municipal Solid Waste Processing Plant of VALORSUL S.A. - Lisbon
Visit 7: Distribution Centre of Natural Gas of LisboaGás - Lisbon
Visit 8: Coal Terminal of Portsines and Thermoelectric Sines Power Plant of EDP - S. Torpes, Sines
(100km South of Lisbon)
Visit 9: Petrogal Refinary Plant - Sines (100km South of Lisbon)
Visit 10: Natural Gas Gasification Company and Plant - Bucelas and Évora (100km South East of Lisbon)
Please note that there are a limited number of places and a policy of “first come, first served” will be applied. Visits will only be undertaken if there are a minimum number of interested persons. More information on the technical visits, such as times and departure points, can be found in your delegate package.
RegistrationEstoril Congress Centre
Monday, 18th September 2006 – From 08h00 onwards
Opening Session Monday, 18th September 2006 – From 09h30 to 10h30
Presided by Prof. J. Mariano GagoMinister of Science, Technology and Higher Education
and Chairman of the International Risk Governance Council
Dr. António Capucho, Mayor of Cascais
Dr. Ioannis Papazoglou, ESRA Chairman
Prof. Carlos Guedes Soares, Conference Chairman
European Technology Platform on Industrial Safety, an opportunity for a sustainable European industry growth, by R. GOWLAND
Plenary LecturesMonday, 18th September 2006 – From 11h00 to 12h30
Lecture 1 ENRIQUE CASTILLO, Universidad de Cantabria,
Sensitivity Analysis in Optimisation and Reliability Problems(11h00 – 11h30)
Lecture 2 WOLFGANG KRÖGER, ETHZ and International Risk Governance Council, Critical Infrastructures at Risk: A Need for a New Conceptual Approach and Extended
Analytical Tools(11h30 – 12h00)
Lecture 3 NICK McDONALD, Trinity College Dublin, Modelling the Human Role in Operational Systems
(12h00 – 12h30)
Mon
day,
18th
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(14h
00 –
15h
30)
Roo
m A
R
oom
B
Roo
m C
R
oom
D
Sess
ion
A1
– R
isk
Perc
eptio
n an
d C
omm
unic
atio
n I
Sess
ion
B1
– R
isk
and
Rel
iabi
lity
Man
agem
ent I
Se
ssio
n C
1 –
Faul
t Ide
ntifi
catio
n &
D
iagn
ostic
s I
(ESR
A T
C)
Sess
ion
D1
– C
hem
ical
Pro
cess
In
dust
ry II
I
Sess
ion
Cha
ir(s)
: Se
ssio
n C
hair(
s):
Sess
ion
Cha
ir(s)
: Se
ssio
n C
hair(
s):
R. B
ye, M
. Fel
ici
R. R
ackw
itz, T
. Ave
n C
. Bér
engu
er, J
.P. T
eixe
iraR
. Gow
land
, L. A
raúj
o
Ris
k pe
rcep
tion
and
safe
ty b
ehav
iour
: A
stud
y in
an
occu
patio
nal e
nviro
nmen
t P
.M. A
reze
s &
A.S
. M
igue
l
On
the
cons
iste
ncy
of ri
sk a
ccep
tanc
e cr
iteria
with
nor
mat
ive
theo
ries
for d
ecis
ion-
mak
ing
E
.B. A
brah
amse
n &
T. A
ven
Com
paris
on o
f dig
raph
and
faul
t tre
e ba
sed
appr
oach
es fo
r sys
tem
faul
t dia
gnos
tics
L.
M. B
artle
tt, E
.E. H
urdl
e &
E.M
. Kel
ly
Exp
losi
on p
aram
eter
s fo
r air
and
pine
bar
k du
st m
ixtu
res
O
. Sem
enov
a, R
. Pilã
o &
C. P
inho
The
role
s of
atti
tude
s, b
elie
fs a
nd ri
sk
perc
eptio
n as
det
erm
inan
ts o
f sus
tain
able
be
havi
or: A
fram
ewor
k fo
r gov
ernm
ent
actio
n an
d fu
rther
rese
arch
J.
Har
vey
Acc
epta
ble
engi
neer
ing
deci
sion
s:
Ext
endi
ng th
e sc
ope
of u
tility
-bas
ed c
riter
ia
from
mor
talit
y to
mor
bidi
ty
A. L
entz
& R
. Rac
kwitz
Asp
ects
of s
afet
y ha
rdw
are
syst
ems
J.
Bör
csök
Haz
ard
dens
ities
for e
xplo
sion
s
I. H
ärin
g &
G. G
ürke
Cha
ngin
g pe
rcep
tions
: Man
agin
g ci
vil
infra
stru
ctur
e in
a p
ost-i
nten
tiona
l act
ion
Env
ironm
ent
J.D
. Bird
sall
& E.
Brü
hwile
r
Dev
elop
men
t of a
uni
vers
al F
/N C
urve
for
addr
essi
ng s
ocie
tal r
isk
aver
sion
A
. Fra
ncis
& M
.A. M
cCal
lum
A m
ixed
stru
ctur
al/fu
nctio
nal g
raph
bas
ed
mod
el fo
r fau
lt di
agno
sis
and
syst
emic
risk
an
alys
is
J.M
. Fla
us, O
. Adr
ot &
M. D
ésin
de
Effe
ctiv
e R
isk
Asse
ssm
ent o
f Hyd
roge
n fo
r sm
all s
ize
Hyd
roge
n eq
uipm
ents
in th
e hi
gh
relia
ble
faci
litie
s
M. K
ang,
Y. L
ee, M
.C. L
ee, S
. Oh,
H.
Cha
ng, S
. Wu
& Y
. Kim
Per
ceiv
ed ri
sk, b
ehav
iour
al c
ontro
l and
m
otiv
atio
n to
pro
tect
hea
lth in
rela
tion
to
the
avia
n 'fl
u ep
idem
ic
J. H
arve
y, G
. Erd
os, H
. McK
ie &
D. P
rest
on
Exa
mpl
es o
f dis
utilit
y fu
nctio
ns fo
r soc
ieta
l ris
kT.
Bed
ford
Ris
k an
alys
is a
nd d
iagn
osis
mod
ellin
g fo
r on
line
cont
rol o
f pro
cess
M. D
ésin
de, J
.M.
Flau
s &
S. P
loix
Ext
erna
l pre
ssur
e ch
arac
teris
tics
gene
rate
d by
ven
ted
gas
expl
osio
ns a
par
tially
co
nfin
ed c
ham
ber
Y. L
ee, S
. Ahn
& J
. Ahn
Cof
fee-
brea
k (1
5h30
– 1
6h00
)
Mon
day,
18th
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(14h
00 –
15h
30)
Roo
m E
R
oom
F
Roo
m G
Sess
ion
E1 –
Ris
k of
Nat
ural
H
azar
ds a
nd E
mer
genc
y Pl
anni
ng I
Sess
ion
F1 –
Saf
ety
and
Rel
iabi
lity
I Se
ssio
n G
1 –
Acc
iden
t and
Inci
dent
In
vest
igat
ion
I
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: P
. van
Gel
der,
G. W
oo
C. G
uede
s S
oare
s, E
. Zio
J.
E. V
inne
m, H
. Che
n
Ana
lysi
s ab
out e
xtre
me
wat
er le
vels
alo
ng
the
Dut
ch N
orth
-Sea
usi
ng G
rey
Mod
els:
P
relim
inar
y an
alys
is
D. P
rosk
e &
P.H
.A.J
.M. v
an G
elde
r
Ris
k M
anag
emen
t A
. Hes
sam
iIn
-ser
vice
-exp
erie
nces
of a
ncho
ring
syst
ems
in N
orw
ay 1
996-
2005
A
. Kvi
trud,
L.R
. Nils
en, T
.I. N
æss
, L.J
. D
alsg
aard
& J
.E. V
inne
m
Ana
lysi
s of
anc
illary
haz
ards
ass
ocia
ted
with
nat
ural
per
ils
G. W
oo
Inte
grat
ed R
isk
Asse
ssm
ent
C
. Gue
des
Soa
res
Acc
iden
t seq
uenc
e an
alys
is fo
r site
s pr
oduc
ing
and
stor
ing
expl
osiv
es
I.A. P
apaz
oglo
u, I.
Gia
koum
atos
& M
. K
onst
andi
nido
u
To p
reve
nt o
r to
cure
? E
mer
genc
y re
spon
se a
s an
exc
hang
eabl
e ris
k re
duct
ion
stra
tegy
R
.B. J
onge
jan
& J.
K. V
rijlin
g
Mai
nten
ance
Pla
nnin
g
E. Z
ioE
xper
t jud
gmen
t stu
dy fo
r Pla
cem
ent
Ladd
er b
owtie
D
. Kur
owic
ka, R
.M. C
ooke
, L.
Goo
ssen
s &
B
.J.M
. Ale
Pro
babi
listic
saf
ety
asse
ssm
ent o
f ext
erna
l flo
odin
g of
nuc
lear
pow
er p
lant
s
H.P
. Ber
g &
R. G
örtz
Ass
essm
ent a
nd L
ife E
xten
sion
M
. Bre
hmTh
e de
velo
pmen
t of a
ircra
ft ac
cide
nt
frequ
ency
mod
els
D
.K.Y
. Won
g, D
.E. P
itfie
ld, R
.E. C
aves
&
A.J
. App
leya
rd
Cof
fee-
brea
k (1
5h30
– 1
6h00
)
Mon
day,
18th
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(16h
00 –
17h
30)
Roo
m A
R
oom
B
Roo
m C
R
oom
D
Sess
ion
A2
– R
isk
Perc
eptio
n an
d C
omm
unic
atio
n II
Se
ssio
n B
2 –
Ris
k an
d R
elia
bilit
y M
anag
emen
t II
Sess
ion
C2
– Fa
ult I
dent
ifica
tion
&
Dia
gnos
tics
II (E
SRA
TC
) Se
ssio
n D
2 –
Che
mic
al P
roce
ss
Indu
stry
IV
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: Se
ssio
n C
hair(
s):
J. H
arve
y, P
. Lin
døe
R. D
enni
ng, A
. Hes
sam
i E
. Zio
, J. C
alde
ira D
uarte
O. S
alvi
, G. P
apad
akis
Blin
k - W
hat d
oes
intu
ition
hav
e to
do
with
sa
fety
R
.A. B
osm
an
Ris
k m
anag
emen
t for
org
anis
atio
ns –
ac
tiviti
es o
f the
Aus
trian
Sta
ndar
ds In
stitu
te
A. G
azsó
& J
. Win
kler
A n
euro
-fuzz
y te
chni
que
for d
iagn
osin
g fa
ults
in ro
tatin
g m
achi
nery
E
. Zio
& G
. Gol
a
Pro
gres
sive
Ris
k As
sess
men
t pro
cess
for
a ty
pica
l Che
mic
al C
ompa
ny: R
isk
clas
sific
atio
n, u
sing
sim
ple
calc
ulat
ion
tool
s fo
r scr
eeni
ng to
ens
ure
that
mor
e se
vere
risk
s re
ceiv
e th
e de
eper
stu
dies
an
d m
ore
strin
gent
con
trol
R. G
owla
nd
Und
erst
andi
ng a
nd le
arni
ng tr
ust:
A re
view
, ch
arac
teris
atio
n an
d to
ol
S .
Bot
titta
& M
. Fel
ici
An
aggr
egat
ed ri
sk m
easu
re b
ased
on
the
cum
ulat
ive
dist
ribut
ion
of th
e po
tent
ial l
oss
M.T
. To
dino
v
Det
ectio
n of
mix
ed e
ccen
trici
ty in
railw
ay
tract
ion
indu
ctio
n m
otor
s us
ing
spec
tral
anal
ysis
of l
ine
curre
nt
O. D
uque
, D. M
oríñ
igo
& M
. Pér
ez
The
chem
ical
reac
tion
haza
rds
asse
ssm
ent t
ool a
t the
S2S
web
por
tal
A. A
dolp
h, M
. Bun
dsch
uh &
J. S
tein
bach
Haz
ards
as
a cu
ltura
l phe
nom
enon
R
. Bye
& J
. Fen
stad
Insp
ectio
ns o
n sa
fety
man
agem
ent
syst
ems
and
inte
grity
con
trols
at “
Sev
eso”
fa
cilit
ies
P
. Bra
gatto
, P. P
ittig
lio, D
. Ger
aci &
E.
Pic
hini
Faul
t tol
eran
ce to
faci
litat
e th
e us
e of
ar
tific
ial i
ntel
ligen
ce in
crit
ical
sys
tem
s
R .
Win
ther
Pra
ctic
al e
xper
ienc
e of
app
lyin
g la
yer o
f pr
otec
tion
anal
ysis
for s
afet
y in
stru
men
ted
syst
ems
to c
ompl
y w
ith IE
C 6
1511
R
. Gow
land
Psy
chos
ocia
l mon
itorin
g: U
nder
stan
ding
irr
atio
nal p
eopl
e
A. M
ata,
D. A
ntun
es, R
. Gas
par d
e C
arva
lho,
J.M
. Pal
ma-
Oliv
eira
, J. L
ino,
S.
Luís
, N. M
arqu
es, C
. Silv
eira
& I.
Alv
es
Inte
grat
ed re
liabi
lity
man
agem
ent i
n in
dust
rial p
rodu
ctio
n sy
stem
s
J.A.
Far
ia, M
.A. M
atos
& E
.M. N
unes
Mod
ellin
g on
-line
test
s in
saf
ety-
criti
cal
syst
ems
M
. Ser
afin
i, P
. Lol
lini &
A. B
onda
valli
Impr
ovin
g th
e kn
owle
dge
in p
roce
ss s
afet
y th
roug
h S
2S
R. N
omen
, J. S
empe
re &
M. G
rillo
End
of t
he D
ay
Mon
day,
18th
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(16h
00 –
17h
30)
Roo
m E
R
oom
F
Roo
m G
Sess
ion
E2 –
Ris
k of
Nat
ural
H
azar
ds a
nd E
mer
genc
y
Plan
ning
II
Sess
ion
F2 -
Saf
ety
and
Rel
iabi
lity
II
Sess
ion
G2
– A
ccid
ent a
nd In
cide
nt
Inve
stig
atio
n II
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: C
. Sou
sa O
livei
ra, D
. Pro
ske
B.J
. Lei
ra, M
. Bre
hm
I. P
apaz
oglo
u, P
. Ant
ão
A s
ever
ity in
dex
to a
sses
s te
chno
logi
cal
and
natu
ral r
isks
in a
stu
dy a
rea
B
. Maz
zaro
tta &
B. S
ilvet
ti
Tran
sing
and
Edu
catio
n in
Ris
k an
d R
elia
bilit
y
B.J
. Lei
ra
Saf
ety
barr
ier p
erfo
rman
ce d
iagr
ams
- a
cont
ribut
ion
to a
ccid
ent i
nves
tigat
ions
W
. Røe
d &
J.E
. Vin
nem
Val
idat
ion
of a
pro
babi
listic
mod
el fo
r hu
rric
ane
insu
ranc
e lo
ss p
roje
ctio
ns in
Fl
orid
aJ.
-P. P
inel
li, C
.S. S
ubra
man
ian,
A. A
rtile
s,
K. G
urle
y &
S. H
amid
Ove
rvie
w o
f Stru
ctur
al R
elia
bilit
y M
etho
ds
T. V
rouw
enve
lder
Edg
e H
ill ra
ilway
acc
iden
t: A
syst
emic
an
alys
is
J.R
. San
tos-
Rey
es &
A.N
. Bea
rd
Saf
ety
of c
oast
al d
efen
ces
and
flood
risk
an
alys
is
C.V
. Mai
, P.H
.A.J
.M. v
an G
elde
r & J
. K.
Vrij
ling
Ris
k of
Nat
ural
Haz
ards
P
.H.J
.A.M
. van
Gel
der
Eva
luat
ion
of a
ccid
ents
and
inci
dent
s in
the
offs
hore
oil
and
gas
indu
stry
by
use
of
Saf
ety
barr
ier p
erfo
rman
ce d
iagr
ams
W
. Røe
d &
J.E
. Vin
nem
Ana
lysi
s of
coa
stal
floo
ding
and
ero
sion
at
the
Ger
man
Nor
th S
ea C
oast
- tw
o ex
ampl
es
T. A
lber
s &
N. v
on L
iebe
rman
Com
bini
ng T
ask
Ana
lysi
s an
d Fa
ult T
ree
Ana
lysi
s fo
r acc
iden
t and
inci
dent
ana
lysi
s:
A C
ase
Stud
y fro
m B
ulga
ria
D. D
oytc
hev
& G
. Szw
illus
End
of t
he D
ay
Tues
day,
19th
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(09h
00 –
10h
30)
Roo
m A
R
oom
B
Roo
m C
R
oom
D
Sess
ion
A3
– R
isk
Perc
eptio
n an
d C
omm
unic
atio
n III
Se
ssio
n B
3 –
Ris
k an
d R
elia
bilit
y M
anag
emen
t III
Se
ssio
n C
3 –
Mai
nten
ance
M
odel
ling
and
Opt
imiz
atio
n I
(ESR
A T
C)
Sess
ion
D3
– R
elia
bilit
y an
d Sa
fety
Dat
a C
olle
ctio
n an
d A
naly
sis
I
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
M.L
. Lim
a, R
. Bye
M
.T. T
odin
ov, N
. Dec
hy
S.M
arto
rell,
E. Z
io
F. C
oole
n, D
. Kur
owic
ka
From
risk
ass
essm
ent i
n an
unc
erta
in
envi
ronm
ent t
o its
com
mun
icat
ion:
Exp
ertis
e in
que
stio
n
A. B
ouzo
n &
J. D
evill
ard
Via
bilit
y of
a s
yste
mic
saf
ety
man
agem
ent
syst
em
J.R
. S
anto
s-R
eyes
& A
.N. B
eard
Opt
imal
insp
ectio
n an
d m
aint
enan
ce to
mee
t pr
escr
ibed
per
form
ance
sta
ndar
ds
C.T
. Bar
ker &
M. N
ewby
Bay
esia
n A
naly
sis
usin
g B
inar
y D
ecis
ion
Dia
gram
sJ.
D. A
ndre
ws,
J. A
nsel
l, P.
Ma
& M
. P
hilli
ps
The
unce
rtain
ties
of ri
sk c
omm
unic
atio
n in
kn
owle
dge
soci
etie
s
G. B
echm
ann
Am
endm
ent t
o sa
fety
ana
lysi
s of
nuc
lear
re
acto
rs
M. M
akai
& L
. Pál
Val
ue-D
riven
mai
nten
ance
pla
nnin
g:
App
licat
ion
to a
gas
ifica
tion
plan
t T.
J. R
osqv
ist,
M.O
. Reu
nane
n, K
.J. L
aaks
o &
J. J
untta
nen
Mea
sure
s of
Bay
esia
n di
scre
panc
y be
twee
n pr
ior b
elie
fs a
nd d
ata
know
ledg
e N
. Bou
sque
t & G
. Cel
eux
The
use
of m
etap
hors
in c
omm
unic
atin
g ris
k an
d co
nflic
ting
goal
s
P.H
. Lin
døe
& O
.E. O
lsen
A ri
sk c
ompa
rison
for g
loba
l dec
isio
n m
aker
: An
epid
emio
logi
cal s
tudy
N
. Dec
hy &
C. B
ouis
sou
An
insp
ectio
n po
licy
with
opp
ortu
nist
ic
repl
acem
ents
R
.I. Z
eque
ira &
C. B
éren
guer
Dat
a co
llect
ion
and
relia
bilit
y an
alys
is o
f ag
ed c
ompo
nent
s
E. S
oto-
Cam
pos,
J. M
arco
s-Ac
eved
o &
S.
Fern
ánde
z-G
ómez
Ris
k co
mm
unic
atio
n: H
ow to
com
mun
icat
e an
d be
und
erst
ood
succ
essf
ully
A
. Mat
a, D
. Ant
unes
, C. R
odrig
ues
& J
.M.
Pal
ma-
Oliv
eira
Ris
ks m
anag
emen
t bet
wee
n sa
fety
re
ques
ts a
nd p
rodu
ctio
n pr
essu
res
S
. Pie
rlot,
Y. D
ien
& M
. Llo
ry
Opt
imiz
atio
n of
mai
nten
ance
pol
icy
usin
g pr
opor
tiona
l haz
ard
mod
el
M. S
amro
ut, É
. Châ
tele
t, R
. Kou
ta &
N.
Che
bbo
Rel
iabi
lity
pred
ictio
n fro
m c
enso
red
field
re
turn
dat
a
S.P
. Wils
on, T
. Joy
ce &
E.J
. Lis
ay
Cof
fee-
brea
k (1
0h30
– 1
1h00
)
Tues
day,
19th
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(09h
00 –
10h
30)
Roo
m E
R
oom
F
Roo
m G
Sess
ion
E3 –
Civ
il En
gine
erin
g I
Sess
ion
F3 –
Offs
hore
Oil
and
Gas
I Se
ssio
n G
3 –
Acc
iden
t and
Inci
dent
In
vest
igat
ion
III
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: E
. Mar
anha
das
Nev
es, A
. V
rouw
enve
lder
J.
-P. S
igno
ret,
A.P
. Tei
xeira
C
. Jac
into
, E. R
uffin
Pro
babi
listic
risk
ass
essm
ent a
nd
optim
isat
ion
of ro
ad tu
nnel
s
M. H
olic
ký &
L. Š
ajta
r
Ass
essm
ent o
f saf
ety
indi
ces
of
pers
pect
ive
high
-pre
ssur
e ga
s pi
pelin
es
V. S
afon
ov, S
. Kov
alev
, S. O
vcha
rov
& A
. M
elni
kov
A s
tudy
on
eval
uatio
n sc
hem
e of
ef
fect
iven
ess
of in
cide
nt-r
epor
ting
syst
em
with
a q
uant
itativ
e in
dex
of e
nthu
sias
m fo
r re
porti
ng
Y. O
tsuk
a &
H. N
oguc
hi
App
licat
ion
of p
roba
bilis
tic c
ost a
nd
sche
dule
Ris
k A
sses
smen
t and
Ris
k M
anag
emen
t to
larg
e in
frast
ruct
ure
proj
ects
T.
C. M
cGra
th, W
.J. R
ober
ds, A
.E. K
eizu
r, A
. Gut
ierr
ez d
el O
lmo
& I.
Bar
bato
Rel
iabi
lity
and
risk
anal
ysis
of p
ipin
g oi
l tra
nspo
rtatio
n sy
stem
rela
ted
to it
s op
erat
ion
proc
ess
J.
Sos
zyns
ka
Avi
atio
n sa
fety
and
mai
nten
ance
und
er
maj
or o
rgan
izat
iona
l cha
nges
, inv
estig
atin
g a
non
exis
ting
acci
dent
I.A
. Her
rera
, A. N
ords
kag,
G. M
yhre
& K
. H
alvo
rsen
Impr
ovem
ent o
f QR
A fo
r tun
nel s
afet
y by
co
mpa
ring
QR
A us
ed in
oth
er e
ngin
eerin
g fie
lds
C
.J. S
oons
, J.W
. Bos
ch, P
.H.A
.J.M
. van
G
elde
r & J
.K. V
rijlin
g
Con
side
ratio
ns o
n en
viro
nmen
tal r
isk
asse
ssm
ent i
n of
fsho
re o
il an
d ga
s ap
plic
atio
ns
L.B
. And
erse
n, T
. Ave
n, K
. San
dve
& P
.C.
Øya
n
Cre
atin
g va
lue
from
acc
iden
t and
inci
dent
in
vest
igat
ion
J.
Fer
nand
es, P
. Pen
alva
& H
. Koe
nder
s
Eva
luat
ion
of ri
sk le
vel f
or c
onst
ruct
ion
proj
ects
K.S
. Son
& H
.S. Y
ang
Met
hodo
logy
in to
tal d
eliv
erab
ility
of t
he
Nor
weg
ian
Con
tinen
tal S
helf
gas
valu
e ch
ain
B
. Hau
kelid
sæte
r & S
. Gaa
rd
Slo
veni
an d
ata
on ro
ad tr
affic
acc
iden
ts a
nd
the
prot
ectio
n of
per
sona
l dat
a
M. S
imon�i�
Cof
fee-
brea
k (1
0h30
– 1
1h00
)
Tues
day,
19th
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(11h
00 –
12h
30)
Roo
m A
R
oom
B
Roo
m C
R
oom
D
Sess
ion
A4
– H
uman
O
rgan
izat
iona
l Fac
tors
in S
afet
y an
d R
elia
bilit
y I
Sess
ion
B4
– R
isk
and
Haz
ard
Ana
lysi
s I
Sess
ion
C4
– M
aint
enan
ce M
odel
ling
and
Opt
imiz
atio
n II
(ESR
A T
C)
Sess
ion
D4
– R
elia
bilit
y an
d Sa
fety
D
ata
Col
lect
ion
and
Ana
lysi
s II
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
A.B
. Skj
erve
, A. H
essa
mi
N. S
iu, R
. Rac
kwitz
M
. New
by, J
. Vau
rio
S.W
ilson
, P.L
imbo
urg
Man
agin
g an
d pr
edic
ting
tech
nolo
gica
l ris
k an
d hu
man
relia
bilit
y
R.B
. Duf
fey
& J
.W. S
aull
Har
mon
isin
g m
etho
dolo
gies
for
tech
nolo
gica
l ris
k as
sess
men
t B
. Néd
élec
& J
.-C. L
ecoz
e
Gen
etic
alg
orith
m b
ased
opt
imiz
atio
n un
der
unce
rtain
dep
enda
bilit
y an
d co
st e
stim
atio
n:
Evo
lutio
n or
acc
urac
y?
S. M
arto
rell,
S. C
arlo
s, J
.F. V
illanu
eva
& A
.I.
Sán
chez
VG
B d
atab
ase
for t
he fo
rced
una
vaila
bilit
y of
pow
er p
lant
s
H.C
. Wel
s, J
. Ayd
t, R
. Kirs
ch &
H.-J
. Mei
er
Lega
l asp
ects
of p
rodu
ct li
abili
ty a
nd F
ME
A
R. R
iccò
, K. P
icka
rd &
B. B
erts
che
A g
ener
aliz
ed a
ppro
ach
for r
isk
quan
tific
atio
n an
d th
e re
latio
nshi
p be
twee
n in
divi
dual
and
soc
ieta
l ris
k
S.N
. Jon
kman
, J.K
. Vrij
ling
& P.
H.A
.J.M
. va
n G
elde
r
On
the
use
of o
n-lin
e de
tect
ion
for
mai
nten
ance
of g
radu
ally
det
erio
ratin
g sy
stem
s
M. F
oula
dira
d, A
. Gra
ll &
L. D
ieul
le
Qua
ntifi
catio
n w
ith im
perfe
ct d
ata
from
di
ffere
nt s
ourc
es
D. K
urow
icka
, R.M
. Coo
ke, L
. Goo
ssen
s &
B
.J.M
. Ale
App
roac
hes
to m
onito
r and
enh
ance
or
gani
zatio
nal s
afet
y pr
oces
ses
perfo
rman
ce
A. M
engo
lini &
L. D
ebar
beris
Exp
erim
enta
l det
erm
inat
ions
on
coal
dus
t ex
plos
ion
risk
in th
e th
erm
oele
ctric
in
dust
ry
D. C
aval
lero
, L. M
arm
o, E
. Mal
garid
a &
F.
Par
ozzi
A c
ompa
rison
of t
he u
se o
f sin
gle
and
mul
tiple
obj
ectiv
es in
pre
senc
e of
unc
erta
inty
fo
r tes
ting
and
mai
nten
ance
opt
imiz
atio
n
S. M
arto
rell,
S. C
arlo
s, J
.F. V
illanu
eva
& A
.I.
Sán
chez
Indu
stria
l asp
ects
of d
ata
qual
ity
M.F
. Ram
alho
to &
R. G
öb
On
the
eval
uatio
n of
Saf
ety
Man
agem
ent
Sys
tem
thro
ugh
orga
niza
tiona
l fac
tors
: The
ca
se o
f fue
l rel
ease
in a
irpor
ts
G.A
. Pap
adak
is, P
. Mac
haira
& K
. Kok
kino
s
A fa
st m
etho
d fo
r soc
ieta
l ris
k ap
prai
sal i
n cl
uste
red
Seve
so in
stal
latio
ns: A
cas
e st
udy
M
.G. G
noni
, M. M
aran
gio,
P. B
raga
tto, S
. B
ella
gam
ba, F
.A. S
cian
cale
pore
& A
. S
ibila
no
Par
amet
ers
estim
atio
n un
der p
reve
ntiv
e im
perfe
ct m
aint
enan
ce
A.I.
Sán
chez
, N. M
artín
ez-A
lzam
ora
& R
. M
ullo
r
The
desi
gn a
nd d
efin
ition
of a
naly
sis
syst
em fo
r fie
ld d
ata:
A c
ase
stud
y
C. M
agni
ez, A
.C. B
rom
bach
er &
M.J
.W.
Sch
oute
n
Lunc
h(1
2h30
– 1
4h00
)
Tues
day,
19th
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(11h
00 –
12h
30)
Roo
m E
R
oom
F
Roo
m G
Sess
ion
E4 –
Civ
il En
gine
erin
g II
Sess
ion
F4 –
Offs
hore
Oil
and
G
as II
Sess
ion
G4
– A
eron
autic
s an
d A
eros
pace
I
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: A
. Bet
âmio
de
Alm
eida
, A.P
. Tei
xeira
B
.J.L
eira
, C. V
ival
da
L. S
peijk
er, N
. McD
onal
d
Stra
tegy
for p
roba
bilis
tic d
esig
n of
en
viro
nmen
tally
sus
tain
able
stru
ctur
es
T.V
. Mic
ic
Ana
lysi
s of
bar
rier i
ndic
ator
s
J.E.
Vin
nem
& B
. Rav
dal
Trus
t stra
tegi
es: M
otiv
atio
ns fr
om th
e A
ir Tr
affic
Man
agem
ent d
omai
n
M. F
elic
i
A M
onte
Car
lo-E
VT
base
d si
mul
atio
n fo
r the
op
timal
des
ign
of ru
bble
mou
nd b
reak
wat
er
O.S
. Muh
aise
n
Bar
riers
to p
reve
nt lo
ss o
f pos
ition
on
DP
dr
illing
uni
ts o
n th
e N
orw
egia
n C
ontin
enta
l Sh
elf
H. C
hen,
T. M
oan
& H
. Ver
hoev
en
Air
traffi
c sa
fety
inve
stig
atio
n pr
oble
m
J. S
koru
pski
, M. M
alar
ski &
A.W
. Ste
lmac
h
Ris
k-ba
sed
mai
nten
ance
of r
ubbl
e-m
ound
br
eakw
ater
s
I.A. d
e S
ousa
& J
.A. S
anto
s
Ana
lysi
s of
bar
riers
in o
pera
tiona
l ris
k as
sess
men
t – a
cas
e st
udy
J.
E. V
inne
m, J
. Sel
jelid
, S. H
auge
n, T
. A
ven
& S
. Skl
et
Ris
k an
alys
is -
a to
ol fo
r dec
isio
n su
ppor
t?
Look
ing
at d
ecis
ions
and
cha
nges
in
Nor
weg
ian
avia
tion
O
. Sol
berg
Pro
babi
listic
ana
lysi
s of
saf
ety
of d
ikes
du
ring
flood
wav
es
W.L
.A. t
er H
orst
, S.N
. Jon
kman
& J
.K.
Vrij
ling
Iden
tific
atio
n of
saf
ety
criti
cal v
alve
s - a
ris
k-ba
sed
appr
oach
T.
E. N
økla
nd, H
.S. W
ienc
ke &
T. A
ven
R.A
.M.S
. for
aer
ospa
ce: B
ette
r ear
ly o
r lat
e th
an n
ever
A
. Voz
ella
, G. G
igan
te, L
. Tra
vasc
io &
M.
Com
pare
Lunc
h(1
2h30
– 1
4h00
)
Tues
day,
19th
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(14h
00 –
15h
30)
Roo
m A
R
oom
B
Roo
m C
R
oom
D
Sess
ion
A5
– H
uman
O
rgan
izat
iona
l Fac
tors
in S
afet
y an
d R
elia
bilit
y II
Sess
ion
B5
– R
isk
and
Haz
ard
Ana
lysi
s II
Se
ssio
n C
5 –
Mai
nten
ance
Mod
ellin
g an
d O
ptim
izat
ion
III (E
SRA
TC
) Se
ssio
n D
5 –
Rel
iabi
lity
and
Safe
ty
Dat
a C
olle
ctio
n an
d A
naly
sis
III
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
N.J
. Dui
jm, M
.L. L
ima
T. A
ven,
S. J
onkm
an
C. B
éren
guer
, L. P
odof
illin
i J.
Ans
ell,
J. Q
uigl
ey
Nat
iona
l cul
ture
and
saf
ety
perfo
rman
ce –
of
fsho
re d
rillin
g
G.M
. Lam
vik
& J
.E. R
avn
Phy
sica
l prin
cipl
es o
f saf
ety
J.
Gül
ker &
H. S
chäb
eE
xplo
iting
impo
rtanc
e m
easu
res
info
rmat
ion
for o
ptim
izat
ion
syst
em d
esig
n by
gen
etic
al
gorit
hm
E. Z
io &
L. P
odof
illin
i
App
roxi
mat
ing
failu
re d
istri
butio
ns fr
om
sim
ilar c
ompo
nent
s us
ing
artif
icia
l neu
ral
netw
orks
P
. Lim
bour
g, R
. Sav
i�, J
. Pet
erse
n &
H.-D
. K
ochs
Con
flict
, alie
natio
n an
d hu
man
relia
bilit
y
C.K
. Tve
iten,
U. F
orse
th &
R. R
osne
ssSm
all f
acts
, lar
ge is
sues
- to
war
ds a
H
erm
eneu
tic S
afet
y A
sses
smen
t R
. Bye
& G
.M. L
amvi
k
Pre
vent
ive
mai
nten
ance
opt
imiz
atio
n un
der
cost
and
pro
fit c
riter
ia fo
r man
ufac
turin
g eq
uipm
ent
A.I.
Sán
chez
& A
. Got
i
Pre
dict
ing
the
scat
ter o
f S-N
cur
ves
by
hybr
id m
ultil
ayer
per
cept
ron
for s
truct
ural
re
liabi
lity
eval
uatio
n
T. B
u�ar
, M. N
agod
e &
M. F
ajdi
ga
Cha
ract
eris
tics
of s
afet
y cl
imat
e in
the
cons
truct
ion
indu
stry
J.
L. M
elià
, S.A
. Silv
a, M
.L. L
ima
& K
. M
earn
s
Def
ence
in d
epth
: Ide
ntify
def
ence
el
emen
ts w
ithin
a tr
ansp
ort s
yste
m
A. C
oint
et
Res
earc
h of
the
failu
res
pred
ictio
n m
odel
by
vibr
ator
ana
lysi
s
O. D
jebi
li &
A. L
aggo
un
Test
ing
relia
bilit
y w
ith im
prec
ise
requ
irem
ents
and
life
dat
a
O. H
ryni
ewic
z
The
rela
tive
impo
rtanc
e of
cog
nitio
n-ba
sed
and
affe
ct-b
ased
trus
t in
safe
ty
S.M
. Con
chie
& I.
J. D
onal
d
Pla
nnin
g fo
r fut
ure
prob
abilis
tic ri
sk
asse
ssm
ent r
esea
rch
and
deve
lopm
ent
N. S
iu &
T. H
ilsm
eier
Mai
nten
ance
and
repl
acem
ent p
olic
ies
unde
r te
chno
logi
cal o
bsol
esce
nce
J.
Cla
vare
au &
P.-E
. Lab
eau
Dev
elop
men
t of i
nfor
mat
ion
infe
renc
e sy
stem
thro
ugh
inte
ract
ive
data
min
ing
for
enha
ncin
g pl
ant s
afet
y
Y. S
hu &
H. H
orii
Cof
fee-
brea
k (1
5h30
– 1
6h00
)
Tues
day,
19th
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(14h
00 –
15h
30)
Roo
m E
R
oom
F
Roo
m G
Sess
ion
E5 –
Civ
il En
gine
erin
g III
Se
ssio
n F5
– O
ffsho
re O
il an
d
Gas
III
Sess
ion
G5
– A
eron
autic
s an
d A
eros
pace
II
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: Z.
Sad
ovsk
ý, M
. Hol
ický
C
. Viv
alda
, J.-P
. Sig
nore
t L.
Spe
ijker
, K. P
ette
rsen
Saf
ety
pred
ictio
n of
pile
foun
datio
ns
A. K
udzy
sU
se o
f ALA
RP
eva
luat
ions
and
risk
ac
cept
ance
crit
eria
for r
isk
info
rmed
de
cisi
on-m
akin
g in
the
Nor
weg
ian
offs
hore
pe
trole
um in
dust
ry
J.E.
Vin
nem
, E.S
. Wits
ø &
V. K
riste
nsen
Mod
el o
f airp
ort t
erm
inal
are
a ca
paci
ty
inve
stig
atio
n
A.W
. Ste
lmac
h, M
. Mal
arsk
i & J
. Sko
rups
ki
Ris
k an
d re
liabi
lity
man
agem
ent o
f re
info
rced
con
cret
e bu
ildin
gs d
urin
g co
nstru
ctio
n
T. Y
amam
oto
App
licat
ion
of p
rinci
ples
of i
nher
ently
saf
e de
sign
met
hodo
logy
into
the
deve
lopm
ent
of o
ffsho
re p
latfo
rms
A
. Um
ar, M
. An
& J.
B. O
doki
Cau
sal m
odel
ling
in th
e A
viat
ion
Indu
stry
: A
n ap
plic
atio
n fo
r con
trolle
d fli
ght i
nto
terr
ain
O
. Mor
ales
-Nap
oles
, A. H
anea
, D.
Kur
owic
ka, R
.M. C
ooke
& A
. Roe
len
Det
erm
inis
tic a
nd p
roba
bilit
y an
alys
is o
f fire
re
sist
ance
of a
ste
el p
orta
l fra
mes
with
ta
pere
d m
embe
rs
J. K
rálik
& T
. Var
ga
A fr
amew
ork
for s
elec
tion
of m
etho
dolo
gy
for r
isk
and
vuln
erab
ility
ass
essm
ents
of
infra
stru
ctur
es d
epen
ding
on
Info
rmat
ion
and
Com
mun
icat
ion
Tech
nolo
gy
H.S
. Wie
ncke
, T. A
ven
& J
. Hag
en
The
role
s of
air
traffi
c co
ntro
llers
and
pilo
ts
in s
afet
y ris
k an
alys
es
H.H
. de
Jong
, S.H
. Stro
eve
& H
.A.P
. Blo
m
Rel
iabi
lity
of a
n un
stab
le p
ipel
ine
used
for
natu
ral g
as tr
ansp
orta
tion
M
. Gac
eb, R
. Bou
zid
& E
. Bou
ali
DG
PS
failu
res
on m
obile
offs
hore
dril
ling
units
on
the
Nor
weg
ian
Con
tinen
tal S
helf
H
. Che
n, T
. Moa
n &
H. V
erho
even
A fr
amew
ork
of in
dica
tors
for t
he p
oten
tial
influ
ence
of A
ir N
avig
atio
n S
ervi
ces
on a
ir tra
ffic
safe
ty in
Eur
ope
H
.H. d
e Jo
ng, F
. Pre
ti &
G.W
.H. v
an E
s
Cof
fee-
brea
k (1
5h30
– 1
6h00
)
Tues
day,
19th
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(16h
00 –
17h
30)
Roo
m A
R
oom
B
Roo
m C
R
oom
D
Sess
ion
A6
– H
uman
O
rgan
izat
iona
l Fac
tors
in S
afet
y an
d R
elia
bilit
y III
Sess
ion
B6
– R
isk
and
Haz
ard
Ana
lysi
s III
Se
ssio
n C
6 –
Mai
nten
ance
Mod
ellin
g an
d O
ptim
izat
ion
IV (E
SRA
TC
) Se
ssio
n D
6 –
Rel
iabi
lity
and
Safe
ty
Dat
a C
olle
ctio
n an
d A
naly
sis
IV
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
A. M
engo
lini,
S. S
ilva
S. E
isin
ger,
A.P.
Tei
xeira
P.-E
. Lab
eau,
P. U
lmea
nu
T. B
edfo
rd, M
. Ste
hlik
Form
al a
nd in
form
al s
afet
y ba
rrie
rs. T
he
Sno
rre
A in
cide
nt
P.M
. Sch
ieflo
e &
K.M
. Vik
land
Com
paris
on fr
om a
relia
bilit
y po
int o
f vie
w
of d
iffer
ent o
ptio
ns fo
r the
ele
ctric
al s
uppl
y of
a h
ospi
tal
O. D
uque
, M. R
iesc
o &
D. M
oríñ
igo
Con
figur
atio
n m
anag
emen
t and
mai
nten
ance
ra
nkin
g by
relia
bilit
y im
porta
nce
mea
sure
s
J.K.
Vau
rio
Nor
mal
, log
norm
al a
nd W
eibu
ll m
ixtu
re
estim
atio
n
M. N
agod
e, T
. Bu�
ar &
M. F
ajdi
ga
Brin
ging
Trip
od D
elta
to F
ranc
e fo
r the
an
alys
is o
f org
aniz
atio
nal f
acto
rs
J. C
ambo
n, F
. Gua
rnie
ri, J
. Gro
enew
eg, E
. S
chol
ten,
J. H
inric
hs &
G.E
. Lan
cion
i
Ris
k/R
AM
S a
naly
sis
for t
he a
sses
smen
t of
new
sou
r gas
trea
tmen
t pro
cess
es
F. F
abio
, R. C
arra
ra, F
. Pes
elli
& M
. M
olin
ari
Ris
k-ba
sed
insp
ectio
n m
etho
dolo
gy fo
r non
-m
etal
lic p
lant
equ
ipm
ent
J.K.
Vis
ser &
J.J
. Viv
iers
The
occu
rrenc
e of
not
yet
obs
erve
d fa
ilure
m
odes
F.P
.A. C
oole
n
Sof
twar
e ha
zard
s an
d ba
rrie
rs fo
r in
form
ing
the
desi
gn o
f saf
ety-
criti
cal
inte
ract
ive
syst
ems
S
. Bas
nyat
& P
. Pal
anqu
e
A fi
rst m
etho
dolo
gica
l pro
posa
l for
the
eval
uatio
n of
regi
onal
risk
s as
soci
ated
to
the
expl
oita
tion
and
min
ing
bene
fit
F. M
uñoz
, L. P
errin
, J.P
. Jos
ien,
O. C
hery
&
M. S
ardi
n
Inte
grat
ed M
aint
enan
ce O
ptim
izat
ion
of L
WR
s ba
sed
on P
FM a
naly
sis
S
. Yos
him
ura,
K. F
urut
a, M
. Sag
isak
a, Y
. Is
obe,
M. N
oda,
T. W
ada
& H
. Aki
ba
Eva
luat
ion
of th
e R
elia
bilit
y of
a N
ewly
D
esig
ned
Duc
t-Scr
oll b
y A
ccel
erat
ed L
ife
Test
S
.J. P
ark,
S.D
. Par
k &
K.S.
Kim
Org
anis
atio
nal l
earn
ing
prac
tices
with
in s
ix
Eur
opea
n nu
clea
r rea
ctor
site
s
B. J
ones
, S. C
ox, B
. Wah
lstro
m, J
. K
ettu
nen,
T. R
eim
an &
C. R
olle
nhag
en
Exp
ress
met
hod
of ri
sk a
ppre
ciat
ion
of o
il re
finer
ies
and
petro
chem
ical
pla
nts
in
Rus
sia
for i
nsur
ance
pur
pose
sS
. Kol
yche
v, A
.V. L
ebed
ev &
A.N
. Y
elok
hin
Dev
elop
men
t of a
sys
tem
atic
app
roac
h fo
r co
st o
ptim
um p
redi
ctiv
e m
aint
enan
ce b
ased
on
MR
O c
ompo
nent
failu
re m
ode
iden
tific
atio
n
D. T
saka
tikas
& K
. Kar
aman
os
Failu
re ra
te m
odel
for s
prin
g lo
aded
relie
f va
lves
B
. Lan
tern
ier,
D. C
harp
entie
r & P
. Lyo
nnet
End
of t
he D
ay
Tues
day,
19th
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(16h
00 –
17h
30)
Roo
m E
R
oom
F
Roo
m G
Sess
ion
E6 –
Str
uctu
ral R
elia
bilit
y I
Sess
ion
F6 –
Offs
hore
Oil
and
G
as IV
Sess
ion
G6
– A
eron
autic
s an
d A
eros
pace
III
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: R
. Rac
kwitz
, A.P
. Tei
xeira
J.
E. V
inne
m, B
.J. L
eira
M
. Fel
ici,
A. G
rall
Pro
babi
listic
ver
ifica
tion
of lo
ad
com
bina
tions
usi
ng re
ctan
gula
r wav
e re
new
al p
roce
sses
with
inte
rmitt
enci
es
M. S
ykor
a &
M. H
olic
ký
CE
NP
ES
II p
roje
ct re
liabi
lity
anal
ysis
E. C
alix
to
Inve
stig
atio
n of
stru
ctur
al p
rope
rties
of
haza
rd m
itiga
tion
argu
men
ts
M.A
. Suj
an &
M.D
. Har
rison
Effe
ct o
f ext
rem
e ex
ecut
ion
actio
ns o
n st
ruct
ural
saf
ety
V
. Juo
cevi
cius
& A
. Kud
zys
Rel
iabi
lity
mod
ellin
g of
mul
tilat
eral
wel
ls
cons
truct
ion
proc
ess
E
.L. D
rogu
et, R
.C. M
enez
es, A
. Pon
tual
, C
.M.C
. Jac
into
, G. S
otom
ayor
& P
.A.A
. G
arci
a
An
appr
oach
to a
sses
s th
e op
erat
iona
l re
liabi
lity
of e
mbe
dded
equ
ipm
ents
J.
Ber
thon
, S. C
harru
au, J
. Ant
och,
J.M
. D
esho
uille
rs &
Y. D
utui
t
Cal
ibra
tion
of s
afet
y el
emen
ts in
acc
iden
tal
desi
gn s
ituat
ion
J.
Mar
kova
The
deve
lopm
ent a
nd a
pplic
atio
n of
a
mai
nten
ance
and
per
form
ance
mon
itorin
g da
taba
se
J. B
aum
ann,
J. C
rites
& V
. Sch
war
z
Dep
enda
bilit
y an
d sa
fety
issu
es fo
r ae
rosp
ace
softw
are
G
. Gig
ante
& A
. Voz
ella
Clim
atic
load
s an
d re
liabi
lity
of li
ght r
oof
indu
stria
l bui
ldin
gs
Z. S
adov
ský
Sys
tem
s av
aila
bilit
y en
hanc
emen
t m
etho
dolo
gy: A
refin
ery
unit
case
stu
dy
E. C
alix
to
Saf
ety
asse
ssm
ent o
f ATC
-Wak
e si
ngle
ru
nway
dep
artu
res
L.
J.P.
Spe
ijker
, A. V
idal
& R
.M. C
ooke
End
of t
he D
ay
Wed
nesd
ay, 2
0th S
epte
mbe
r 200
6
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(09h
00 –
10h
30)
Roo
m A
R
oom
B
Roo
m C
R
oom
D
Sess
ion
A7
– H
uman
O
rgan
izat
iona
l Fac
tors
in S
afet
y an
d R
elia
bilit
y IV
Sess
ion
B7
– R
isk
and
Haz
ard
Ana
lysi
s IV
Se
ssio
n C
7 –
Mai
nten
ance
Mod
ellin
g an
d O
ptim
izat
ion
V (E
SRA
TC
) Se
ssio
n D
7 –
Rel
iabi
lity
and
Safe
ty D
ata
Col
lect
ion
and
Ana
lysi
s V
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
J. H
arve
y, P
. Sch
ieflo
e J.
Ven
tura
, R. B
ris
M. F
inke
lste
in, A
.J. G
onça
lves
M
.F. R
amal
hoto
, M. N
agod
e
The
use
of m
indf
ul s
afet
y pr
actic
es a
t N
orw
egia
n pe
trole
um in
stal
latio
ns
A.B
. Skj
erve
Red
ucin
g ris
k of
ele
ctric
al s
tress
for
mis
sion
crit
ical
item
s by
stre
ss d
erat
ing
anal
ysis
Y
. Bot
Com
parin
g a
PH
M a
nd a
filte
r for
CB
M
appl
icat
ions
usi
ng o
il-ba
sed
CM
M
. Car
r & W
. Wan
g
Mod
ellin
g tra
ck q
ualit
y de
gene
ratio
n:
Det
erm
inis
tic a
nd p
roba
bilis
tic m
etho
ds
Q.W
. Wan
g, Z
.Z. L
i, S.
Xu,
G. X
iao,
S.F
. S
un &
X.K
. Zha
ng
A d
oubl
e pa
ttern
of r
epre
sent
atio
n in
the
Por
tugu
ese
pres
s –
not a
ll w
ork
acci
dent
s ar
e eq
ual
P. C
astro
, R. C
orre
ia &
M.L
. Lim
a
Ris
k an
alys
is o
f log
istic
cus
tom
er s
ervi
ce-
case
stu
dy o
f Nas
huat
ec p
rodu
cts
dist
ribut
ion
netw
ork
S
. Wer
bins
ka
Opt
imal
insp
ectio
n of
a s
yste
m u
nder
un
reve
aled
min
or fa
ilure
s an
d re
veal
ed
cata
stro
phic
failu
res
F.
G. B
adía
& M
.D. B
erra
de
Faul
t Tre
e In
fere
nce
for o
ne-s
hot d
evic
es
usin
g B
ayes
and
Em
piric
al B
ayes
M
etho
ds
T. B
edfo
rd, J
. Qui
gley
& L
. Wal
ls
Ope
ratio
nal p
robl
em s
olvi
ng in
avi
atio
n –
the
role
of s
ocia
l and
org
anis
atio
nal f
acto
rs
in s
afet
y
K.A
. Pet
ters
en
Dev
elop
men
t of a
risk
ass
essm
ent m
odel
on
the
cont
ext o
f a ra
ilway
infra
stru
ctur
e m
anag
erS
.R. N
eves
, J.M
.A. S
ilva,
J.M
.R. S
ilva
&
A.M
. Con
de
Opt
imal
mai
nten
ance
tim
e fo
r rep
aira
ble
syst
ems
unde
r tw
o ty
pes
of fa
ilure
s
E.A
. Col
osim
o, W
.B. S
anto
s, G
.L. G
ilard
oni &
S
.B. M
otta
Life
time
estim
atio
n of
cat
enar
y co
mpo
nent
s
C. M
eier
-Hirm
er, F
. Sou
rget
& M
. R
ouss
igno
l
The
expe
rienc
e of
wor
k ac
cide
nts:
Its
cons
eque
nces
for c
ogni
tion
and
beha
viou
r S
. Gon
çalv
es, S
.A. S
ilva,
M.L
. Lim
a &
J.L
. M
elià
Ris
k an
alys
is b
y ac
tivity
in a
pow
er p
lant
fa
cilit
y
I.L. N
unes
, R. A
raúj
o &
A. T
udel
la
Mod
el fo
r mai
nten
ance
opt
imiz
atio
n of
se
lect
ed h
igh
volta
ge s
ubst
atio
n in
Mor
avia
n po
wer
tran
smis
sion
sys
tem
R
. Briš
& J
. Gal
a
App
lied
hom
ogen
eity
and
sca
le te
stin
g of
ge
nera
lized
Gam
ma
dist
ribut
ion
M
. Ste
hlík
Cof
fee-
brea
k (1
0h30
– 1
1h00
)
Wed
nesd
ay, 2
0th S
epte
mbe
r 200
6
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(09h
00 –
10h
30)
Roo
m E
R
oom
F
Roo
m G
Sess
ion
E7 –
Str
uctu
ral
Rel
iabi
lity
II
Sess
ion
F7 –
Env
ironm
enta
l En
gine
erin
g I
Sess
ion
G7
– B
iote
chno
logy
and
Fo
od In
dust
ry I
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: Z.
Sad
ovsk
y, A
. Vro
uwen
veld
erJ.
R. F
igue
ira, P
. Ant
ão
C. F
erna
ndes
, S. E
isin
ger
Rel
iabi
lity-
base
d op
timiz
atio
n in
en
gine
erin
g us
ing
deco
mpo
sitio
n te
chni
ques
R
. Mín
guez
& E
. Cas
tillo
Air
pollu
tion
mod
ellin
g in
an
Italia
n lim
esto
ne q
uarr
y: A
n IS
C3
sim
ple
proc
edur
e in
fore
cast
ing
PM
10
disp
ersi
on
G. A
lfaro
Deg
an, D
. Lip
piel
lo &
M. P
inza
ri
Saf
ety
chec
klis
ts fo
r the
food
indu
stry
w
areh
ouse
s
B. D
ias,
P. G
omes
& C
. Jac
into
Ano
ther
look
at r
isk
and
stru
ctur
al re
liabi
lity
crite
ria
V.M
. Trb
ojev
ic
CLA
RA
: An
inte
grat
ed p
roje
ct to
ana
lyse
an
d de
term
ine
the
cons
eque
nces
of a
ch
emic
al s
pill
on w
est F
renc
h co
ast
L. A
prin
, A. D
andr
ieux
, G. D
usse
rre,
F.
Cab
ioc’
h, V
. Gou
riou,
S. L
egra
nd, S
. Le
Floc
h, P
. Laz
ure,
S. P
ous,
M. M
arch
and,
A.
Jam
es &
P. D
anie
l
An
inte
grat
ed fr
amew
ork
for r
isk
info
rmed
de
cisi
on m
akin
g on
food
saf
ety
and
qual
ity
E. D
omén
ech,
I. E
scric
he &
S. M
arto
rell
Ris
k ac
cept
ance
and
opt
imiz
atio
n of
agi
ng
but m
aint
aine
d ci
vil e
ngin
eerin
g in
frast
ruct
ures
R
. Rac
kwitz
Ana
lysi
s of
che
mic
al a
ccid
ent i
mpa
ct o
n en
viro
nmen
t P
. Dan
ihel
ka, K
. Sik
orov
a &
B. T
omas
ova
On
the
role
of t
he re
liabi
lity
of c
ritic
al c
ontro
l po
ints
in p
rodu
cing
saf
e fo
od
E. D
omén
ech,
I. E
scric
he &
S. M
arto
rell
Long
itudi
nal s
treng
th re
liabi
lity
of a
tank
er
acci
dent
ally
gro
unde
d
R.M
. Luí
s, A
.P. T
eixe
ira &
C. G
uede
s S
oare
s
The
appl
icat
ion
of th
e E
HH
RA
-GIS
tool
for
the
asse
ssm
ent o
f hum
an h
ealth
risk
in th
e P
ace
valle
y of
Mes
sina
P
. Mor
ra, G
. Spa
doni
, R. L
isi &
G. M
asch
io
A m
ulti
attri
bute
util
ity th
eory
app
roac
h to
FM
EC
A im
plem
enta
tion
in th
e fo
od in
dust
ry
M. B
erto
lini &
M. B
evila
cqua
Cof
fee-
brea
k (1
0h30
– 1
1h00
)
Wed
nesd
ay, 2
0th S
epte
mbe
r 200
6
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(11h
00 –
12h
30)
Roo
m A
R
oom
B
Roo
m C
R
oom
D
Sess
ion
A8
– H
uman
Org
aniz
atio
nal
Fact
ors
in S
afet
y an
d R
elia
bilit
y V
Se
ssio
n B
8 –
Ris
k an
d H
azar
d A
naly
sis
V
Sess
ion
C8
– M
aint
enan
ce
Mod
ellin
g an
d O
ptim
izat
ion
VI
Sess
ion
D8
– Sy
stem
s Sa
fety
and
R
elia
bilit
y I
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
U. P
ulkk
inen
, S. S
ilva
V. T
rboj
evic
, J.R
. Fig
ueira
T.
Ros
qvis
t, J.
Cal
deira
Dua
rte
K. K
o �ow
rock
i, Z.
Li
Dev
elop
men
t of a
met
hod
for c
onsi
dera
tion
of d
epen
denc
e be
twee
n hu
man
failu
re
even
ts
M. �
epin
& X
. He
Rel
ativ
e ris
k an
alys
is u
sing
Bay
esia
n ne
twor
ks a
nd e
vide
ntia
l rea
soni
ng
Z.L.
Yan
g, S
. Bon
sall,
J. W
ang
& Q
.G.
Fang
Age
ing
asse
ssm
ent i
n ne
twor
k sy
stem
s
V. M
atuz
as, J
. Aug
utis
& E
. Ušp
uras
Rel
iabi
lity
anal
ysis
of m
ulti-
stat
e ro
pe
trans
porta
tion
syst
em w
ith d
epen
dent
co
mpo
nent
s
A. B
loku
s-R
oszk
owsk
a
Sim
ulat
ion
of h
uman
per
form
ance
in a
di
scre
te e
vent
env
ironm
ent
I. K
ozin
e
Det
erm
inat
ion
of fa
ilure
pro
babi
lity
dist
ribut
ion
of c
ompl
ex s
yste
ms
base
d on
FM
EA
ass
essm
ent
K. P
icka
rd &
B. B
erts
che
Pro
gnos
tics
of T
echn
ical
Con
ditio
n In
dex
for a
n ag
ing
repa
irabl
e sy
stem
B
.H. N
ysta
d &
M. R
asm
usse
n
A d
iscr
ete
redu
ndan
t sys
tem
invo
lvin
g P
hase
Typ
e di
strib
utio
ns
J.E.
Rui
z-C
astro
, R. P
érez
-Ocó
n &
G.
Fern
ánde
z-V
illod
re
Saf
ety
rule
s no
n-co
mpl
ianc
e in
two
Nor
weg
ian
road
traf
fic c
entre
s S
. Mas
saiu
RA
MS
bas
ed a
naly
sis
of a
n in
dust
rial
equi
pmen
tL.
Mor
ais
& L.
A.A
. Fer
reira
Ris
k ev
alua
tion
of a
spa
re p
art s
tock
by
stoc
hast
ic s
imul
atio
n
P.-E
. Hag
mar
k &
H. P
ernu
Sim
ple
mod
els
for h
igh-
avai
labi
lity
syst
ems
with
dep
ende
nt c
ompo
nent
s
M. W
alte
r & C
. Trin
itis
Eva
luat
ion
of in
fluen
cing
fact
ors’
tran
sitio
ns
on h
uman
relia
bilit
y
M. K
onst
andi
nido
u, C
. Kira
noud
is, N
. M
arka
tos
& Z.
Niv
olia
nito
u
Ext
ende
d po
ssib
ilitie
s to
iden
tify
call
for
actio
ns in
FM
EA
P
. Mül
ler,
K. P
icka
rd &
B. B
erts
che
Mod
ellin
g im
perfe
ct m
aint
enan
ce o
f coa
ting
syst
ems
prot
ectin
g st
eel s
truct
ures
R
.P. N
icol
ai &
H. F
renk
Rel
iabi
lity
of M
ulti-
Sta
te s
yste
ms
agai
nst
chan
ges
of s
ome
syst
em c
ompo
nent
st
ates
E
. Zai
tsev
a, K
. Mat
iašk
o &
S. P
uuro
nen
Lunc
h(1
2h30
– 1
4h00
)
Wed
nesd
ay, 2
0th S
epte
mbe
r 200
6
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(11h
00 –
12h
30)
Roo
m E
R
oom
F
Roo
m G
Sess
ion
E8 –
Str
uctu
ral R
elia
bilit
y III
Se
ssio
n F8
– W
ater
born
e Tr
ansp
orta
tion
I Se
ssio
n G
8 –
Man
ufac
turin
g I
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
:
J. M
arko
va, A
. Vro
uwen
veld
er
J.
Wan
g, C
. Viv
alda
T.
Ros
qvis
t, P.
Ant
ão
The
stru
ctur
al re
liabi
lity
of tu
bula
r co
mpo
site
mem
bers
A
.K. K
veda
ras
& A
. Kud
zys
Dec
isio
n su
ppor
t for
avo
idin
g ro
ll re
sona
nce
and
wav
e im
pact
for s
hip
oper
atio
n in
hea
vy s
eas
K
. Ben
edic
t, M
. Kirc
hhof
f & M
. Bal
dauf
Ass
essm
ent o
f sof
twar
e an
d ha
rdw
are
safe
ty o
f pro
gram
mab
le c
ontro
l sys
tem
s of
m
achi
nery
M
. D�w
iare
k
Pro
babi
lity
nonl
inea
r ana
lysi
s of
NP
P re
info
rced
con
cret
e st
ruct
ure
failu
re
cons
ider
ing
degr
adat
ion
effe
cts
and
high
in
tern
al o
verp
ress
ure
J.
Krá
lik
Det
erm
inat
ion
of s
afet
y fa
ctor
s fo
r shi
p be
rthin
g op
erat
ions
T.
Abr
amow
icz-
Ger
igk
Rel
iabi
lity
rela
ted
conc
ept a
sses
smen
t in
early
des
ign
stag
es
K. P
icka
rd, T
. Leo
pold
& B
. Ber
tsch
e
Rel
iabi
lity
diffe
rent
iatio
n fo
r des
ign
of
rein
forc
ed c
oncr
ete
mem
bers
P
. Mar
ek &
J. M
arko
va
The
met
hod
of s
imul
atio
n ex
perim
ents
re
sults
val
idat
ion
with
use
of s
tatis
tical
dat
a fo
r shi
p ris
k as
sess
men
t on
rest
ricte
d w
ater
ar
eas
L. G
ucm
a
Ana
lysi
s of
pos
sibi
litie
s of
logi
stic
s sy
stem
re
liabi
lity
asse
ssm
ent
T. N
owak
owsk
i
Rel
iabi
lity
asse
ssm
ent o
f the
bur
st s
treng
th
of c
orro
ded
pipe
lines
A
.W. H
usse
in, A
.P. T
eixe
ira &
C. G
uede
s S
oare
s
The
appl
icat
ion
of M
onte
Car
lo m
etho
d fo
r th
e ev
alua
tion
of w
ind
para
met
ers
erro
rs
influ
ence
on
sear
ch a
rea
dete
rmin
atio
n
Z. B
urci
u
Usi
ng fu
zzy
sets
to e
valu
ate
the
perfo
rman
ce o
f com
plex
sys
tem
s w
hen
para
met
ers
are
unce
rtain
E
.M. N
unes
, J.A
. Far
ia &
M.A
. Mat
os
Lunc
h(1
2h30
– 1
4h00
)
Wed
nesd
ay, 2
0th S
epte
mbe
r 200
6
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(14h
00 –
15h
30)
Roo
m A
R
oom
B
Roo
m C
R
oom
D
Sess
ion
A9
– H
uman
Org
aniz
atio
nal
Fact
ors
in S
afet
y an
d R
elia
bilit
y VI
Se
ssio
n B
9 –
Che
mic
al P
roce
ss
Indu
stry
I
Sess
ion
C9
– M
aint
enan
ce
Mod
ellin
g an
d O
ptim
izat
ion
VII
Sess
ion
D9
– Sy
stem
s Sa
fety
and
R
elia
bilit
y II
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
N.J
. Dui
jm, P
. Ant
ão
O. A
nezi
ris, C
. Fer
nand
es
J. A
ndre
ws,
J. C
alde
ira D
uarte
A
. Gra
ll, P
. Car
valh
o
Sen
sitiv
ity a
naly
sis
of th
e w
eigh
ted
fuzz
y C
RE
AM
for t
he a
sses
smen
t of h
uman
pe
rform
ance
E
. Zio
& M
. Lib
rizzi
Exp
erie
nces
in la
rge-
scal
e ap
plic
atio
n of
ris
k-ba
sed
appr
oach
es in
Hun
garia
n pe
troch
emic
al in
dust
ry
G.B
. Len
key
& L
. Tót
h
An
appr
oach
to in
tegr
ate
unce
rtain
ties
in
Pet
ri N
ets
to e
valu
ate
the
wor
thin
ess
of
repa
irM
. Tro
st, B
. Ber
tsch
e &
S. N
ebel
Mul
ti-ob
ject
ive
desi
gn o
f rel
iabl
e sy
stem
s by
gen
etic
alg
orith
m
K. E
chtle
, I. E
usge
ld &
D. H
irsch
The
role
of v
irtua
l rea
lity
in s
usta
inin
g la
nd
and
know
ledg
e m
anag
emen
t pro
cess
: A
liter
atur
e re
view
L.
E. G
olzi
o, F
. Mon
tana
ri, A
. Mon
tefu
sco
&
F. R
ibol
dazz
i
Dev
elop
men
t with
in th
e he
alth
and
saf
ety
exec
utiv
e of
a s
tream
lined
risk
ass
essm
ent
appr
oach
for t
he a
sses
smen
t of t
oxic
ha
zard
s
S. T
urne
r, R
. Mac
beth
& A
. McG
illiv
ray
A m
aint
enan
ce fl
oat s
yste
m w
ith p
erio
dic
over
haul
s
I.S. L
opes
, A.L
.F. L
eitã
o &
G.A
.B. P
erei
ra
Har
d an
d so
ft co
nstra
ints
in re
liabi
lity-
base
d de
sign
opt
imiz
atio
n
L.G
. Cre
spo,
D.P
. Gie
sy &
S.P
. Ken
ny
Inte
grat
ing
VR
and
kno
wle
dge-
base
d te
chno
logi
es to
faci
litat
e th
e de
velo
pmen
t of
oper
ator
trai
ning
sys
tem
s an
d sc
enar
ios
to
impr
ove
proc
ess
safe
ty
X. S
hang
, P.W
.H. C
hung
, L. V
ezza
dini
, K.
Loup
os &
W. H
oeks
tra
Evo
lutio
n of
the
risk
asse
ssm
ent a
nd la
nd
use
plan
ning
rule
s ar
ound
indu
stria
l S
EV
ES
O II
site
s in
Fra
nce:
A p
aral
lel w
ith
the
AR
AM
IS m
etho
dolo
gy
B. D
ebra
y, N
. Rod
rigue
s &
O. S
alvi
Sto
chas
tic d
epen
denc
ies
in in
spec
tion,
re
pair
and
failu
re m
odel
s
A.E
. Joa
nni &
R. R
ackw
itz
Des
ign
of d
epen
dabl
e co
ntro
l sys
tem
th
anks
to a
sem
i-qua
ntita
tive
optim
isat
ion
B. C
onra
rd &
M. B
ayar
t
Virt
ual r
ealit
y to
sup
port
hum
an fa
ctor
s in
tegr
atio
n fo
r saf
ety:
Whe
re w
e ar
e an
d w
here
we
(aim
to) g
o
D. F
abre
, S. C
ouix
, J.M
. Bur
khar
dt, C
. G
oune
lle &
P. C
abon
Influ
ence
of m
easu
res
of ri
sk p
reve
ntio
n an
d m
itiga
tion
on th
e fre
quen
cies
of
rupt
ure
of p
ipew
ork
G
. Mas
chio
, M.F
. Mila
zzo,
C. M
usca
rà &
G.
Ugu
ccio
ni
Com
puta
tiona
l tec
hniq
ues
for d
iscr
ete-
time
rene
wal
pro
cess
es
J.M
. van
Noo
rtwijk
& J
.A.M
. van
der
Wei
de
A d
iscr
etiz
atio
n al
gorit
hm fo
r rel
iabi
lity
optim
izat
ion
A
. Yal
aoui
, É. C
hâte
let &
S. F
iltop
oulo
s
Cof
fee-
brea
k (1
5h30
– 1
6h00
)
Wed
nesd
ay, 2
0th S
epte
mbe
r 200
6
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(14h
00 –
15h
30)
Roo
m E
R
oom
F
Roo
m G
Sess
ion
E9 –
Sec
urity
and
Pr
otec
tion
I Se
ssio
n F9
– W
ater
born
e
Tran
spor
tatio
n II
Se
ssio
n G
9 –
Man
ufac
turin
g II
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: T.
Ave
n, F
. Fon
tain
e L.
Guc
ma,
P. A
ntão
V
. Trb
ojev
ic, J
. Ven
tura
Saf
ety
and
secu
rity
assu
ranc
e - a
n in
tegr
ated
fram
ewor
k
A.G
. Hes
sam
i
App
lyin
g re
liabi
lity
mod
els
to s
hip
safe
ty
asse
ssm
ent
E. M
enni
s, I.
N. L
agou
dis,
N. N
ikita
kos
&
A.N
. Pla
tis
App
licat
ion
of re
liabi
lity-
base
d cr
iteria
to th
e cu
stom
er c
lass
ifica
tions
B
. Fen
g &
L.X
. Xin
g
Pro
tect
ion
of h
azar
dous
inst
alla
tions
: C
ompl
emen
tary
saf
ety
& s
ecur
ity
appr
oach
esF.
Fon
tain
e, B
. Deb
ray
& O
. Sal
vi
Dyn
amic
sea
rch
area
dur
ing
Sea
rch
& R
escu
e op
erat
ion
T.
Bud
ny
Glo
bal c
ritic
ality
eva
luat
ion
of a
pul
p an
d pa
per i
ndus
try’s
woo
dyar
d
V.M
.M.B
. da
Mot
a &
L.A
.A. F
erre
ira
Func
tiona
l saf
ety
and
secu
rity
asse
ssm
ent
of th
e co
ntro
l and
pro
tect
ion
syst
ems
K
.T. K
osm
owsk
i, M
. Sliw
insk
i & T
. Bar
nert
A m
etho
d fo
r ass
essi
ng h
azar
ds, r
isks
and
sa
fety
of d
amag
ed s
hips
at s
ea
M. G
erig
k
Mar
kov
rew
ard
mod
els
for r
elia
bilit
y as
sess
men
t of a
ir co
nditi
onin
g sy
stem
s
I. Fr
enke
l, L.
Khv
atsk
in &
A. L
isni
ansk
i
Is th
is th
e rig
ht ro
om fo
r an
argu
men
t -
Impr
ovin
g ar
gum
ents
for s
afet
y an
d se
curit
y
T.J.
Coc
kram
SA
FED
OR
: A p
ract
ical
app
roac
h to
mod
el
the
actio
n of
an
Offi
cer o
f the
Wat
ch in
co
llisio
n sc
enar
ios
M
.C. L
eva,
P. F
riis-
Han
sen,
E. S
onne
Rav
n &
A. L
epsø
e
Impl
emen
tatio
n is
sues
for s
afe
beha
viou
r in
robo
tic s
yste
ms
C
. Pac
e, D
.W. S
ewar
d &
R. A
gate
Cof
fee-
brea
k (1
5h30
– 1
6h00
)
Wed
nesd
ay, 2
0th S
epte
mbe
r 200
6
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(16h
00 –
17h
30)
Roo
m A
R
oom
B
Roo
m C
R
oom
D
Sess
ion
A10
– H
uman
O
rgan
izat
iona
l Fac
tors
in S
afet
y an
d R
elia
bilit
y VI
I
Sess
ion
B10
– C
hem
ical
Pro
cess
In
dust
ry II
Se
ssio
n C
10 –
Unc
erta
inty
and
Se
nsiti
vity
Ana
lysi
s
Sess
ion
D10
– S
yste
ms
Safe
ty a
nd
Rel
iabi
lity
III
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
I. K
ozin
e, M
. �ep
inJ.
Mou
ra B
orda
do, O
. Ane
ziris
Z.
Li,
F. C
alhe
iros
J. V
aurio
, M. G
uerra
Qua
ntita
tive
Ris
k An
alys
is o
f sta
bilit
y fo
r flo
atin
g of
fsho
re in
stal
latio
ns
J.E.
Vin
nem
, A. K
vitru
d &
L.R
. Nils
en
An
inte
grat
ed m
etho
dolo
gy re
sear
ch to
de
term
ine
cons
eque
nces
of a
ves
sel
dest
ruct
ion
A
. Dan
drie
ux, F
. Hey
mes
, J. T
ixie
r, N
. Le
cysy
n, F
. Ten
a-C
holle
t, R
. Spi
nelli,
P.
Sla
ngen
, G. D
usse
rre, A
. Hod
in, L
. Mun
ier,
E. L
apeb
ie &
C. L
e-G
allic
Fixi
ng n
on im
porta
nt fa
ctor
s in
sen
sitiv
ity
anal
ysis
: An
estim
ate
of th
e ap
prox
imat
ion
erro
rI.M
. Sob
ol’,
S. T
aran
tola
& D
. Gat
elli
Con
ditio
nale
xpec
tatio
n m
etho
d fo
r es
timat
ing
para
met
er s
ensi
tivity
of
unre
liabi
lity
G
. Xia
o &
Z.Z
. Li
A B
ayes
ian
App
roac
h fo
r int
egra
ting
orga
nisa
tiona
l fac
tors
in ri
sk a
naly
sis:
A
case
stu
dy in
mar
itim
e
P. T
rucc
o, E
. Cag
no, O
. Gra
nde
& F.
R
ugge
ri
Sta
kes
and
vuln
erab
ilitie
s as
sess
men
t in
indu
stria
l ris
k: F
renc
h co
ntex
t and
pe
rspe
ctiv
es o
ffere
d by
terr
itoria
l app
roac
h
A. T
rém
oliè
res,
M. M
erad
, N. R
odrig
ues,
E.
Pro
peck
-Zim
mer
man
n &
T. S
aint
-Gér
and
Wor
ksho
p on
the
use
of e
xper
t jud
gmen
t an
d de
cisi
on-m
akin
g. S
umm
ary
and
mai
n co
nclu
sion
s
R. B
olad
o La
vín
& N
. Dev
icto
r
Dep
ende
nt fa
ilure
s - t
he e
xplic
it co
mm
on
caus
e fa
ilure
mod
el
H. K
ortn
er &
J.E
. Eld
or
Virt
ual R
ealit
y ap
plic
atio
ns fo
r im
prov
ing
safe
ty in
the
proc
ess
indu
stry
Z.
Niv
olia
nito
u, O
.N. A
nezi
ris, K
. Nas
ios
& I.
Gia
koum
atos
The
deve
lopm
ent o
f an
inhe
rent
saf
ety
appr
oach
to th
e pr
even
tion
of d
omin
o ac
cide
nts
V. C
ozza
ni, A
. Tug
noli
& E.
Sal
zano
Unc
erta
inty
ana
lyse
s of
cos
t-effe
ctiv
enes
s m
easu
res
in h
ealth
car
e
T. A
ven
& K
. Eid
esen
Sho
ck a
nd w
ear m
odel
s: T
he c
ase
of
phas
e-ty
pe d
istri
butio
ns
D. M
onto
ro-C
azor
la, R
. Pér
ez-O
cón
& M
.C. S
egov
ia
The
syst
emat
ic in
tegr
atio
n of
Hum
an &
O
rgan
isat
iona
l Fac
tors
into
saf
ety
anal
yses
: A
n in
tegr
ated
eng
inee
ring
appr
oach
S
. Col
ombo
, M. D
e M
iche
la &
G. B
iard
i
A s
impl
ified
app
roac
h to
the
asse
ssm
ent o
f th
e da
mag
e pr
obab
ility
of s
tora
ge ta
nks
in
dom
ino
even
ts tr
igge
red
by fi
re
G. L
andu
cci,
G. G
ubin
elli,
G. A
nton
ioni
& V
. C
ozza
ni
Sen
sitiv
ity a
nd im
porta
nce
anal
ysis
of
Mar
kov
mod
els
usin
g pe
rturb
atio
n an
alys
is:
App
licat
ions
in re
liabi
lity
stud
ies
P
. Do
Van
, S. K
halo
uli,
A. B
arro
s &
C.
Bér
engu
er
Cas
e st
udy:
Impa
ct o
f var
ious
tech
niqu
es
for t
reat
men
t of C
CF
para
met
er
unce
rtain
ty o
n sy
stem
’s fa
ult t
ree
top
resu
lts
I. V
rban
i�, I
. Vuk
ovi�
& V
. Mik
uli�
i�
End
of t
he D
ay
Wed
nesd
ay, 2
0th S
epte
mbe
r 200
6
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(16h
00 –
17h
30)
Roo
m E
R
oom
F
Roo
m G
Sess
ion
E10
– Se
curit
y an
d Pr
otec
tion
II
Sess
ion
F10
– W
ater
born
e Tr
ansp
orta
tion
III
Sess
ion
G10
– M
anuf
actu
ring
III
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: T.
O. G
røta
n, K
. Kos
mow
ski
H. C
hen,
M. G
erig
k P
. Mur
thy,
A.P
. Tei
xeira
Exp
ress
ing
risk
in a
sec
urity
con
text
T.
Ave
nS
hock
mod
el fo
r dro
gue-
life
raft
syst
em
L. S
mol
arek
Rel
iabi
lity
asse
ssm
ent b
ased
on
two-
dim
ensi
onal
war
rant
y da
ta a
naly
sis
J.
Bai
k &
D.N
.P. M
urth
y
Unc
erta
inty
ass
essm
ent i
n th
e sa
fety
and
se
curit
y or
ient
ed ri
sk a
naly
ses
K
.T. K
osm
owsk
i
Com
paris
on o
f ava
ilabi
litie
s of
new
and
co
nven
tiona
l pro
puls
ion
syst
ems
for
lique
fied
natu
ral g
as c
arrie
rs
D. C
hang
, T.J
. Lee
, K.I.
Nam
, D.H
. Lee
, S
.H. J
eong
& K
.P. C
hang
Cos
t of t
wo-
dim
ensi
onal
war
rant
y
Z. V
intr
& M
. Vin
tr
On
the
use
of n
on-c
oher
ent f
ault
trees
in
safe
ty a
nd s
ecur
ity s
tudi
es
S. C
ontin
i, G
.G.M
. Coj
azzi
& G
. Ren
da
Com
para
tive
risk
eval
uatio
n fo
r new
pr
opul
sion
sys
tem
s of
LN
G c
arrie
rs
K.P
. Cha
ng, D
. Cha
ng, D
.H. L
ee &
S.H
. Je
ong
Mod
ellin
g w
arra
nty
cost
bas
ed o
n as
sess
men
t of
pro
duct
com
pone
nts
relia
bilit
y
Z. V
intr
& M
. Vin
tr
Sec
ure
safe
ty in
rem
ote
oper
atio
ns
T.O
. Grø
tan
A c
ompe
ting
risk
mod
el fo
r the
relia
bilit
y of
cyl
inde
r lin
ers
in s
hip
Die
sel e
ngin
es
D. B
occh
etti,
M. G
iorg
io, M
. Gui
da &
G.
Pul
cini
Opt
imal
bur
n-in
for m
inim
izin
g to
tal w
arra
nty
perio
dJ.
H. C
ha
End
of t
he D
ay
Thur
sday
, 21st
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(09h
00 –
10h
30)
Roo
m A
R
oom
B
Roo
m C
R
oom
D
Sess
ion
A11
– O
ccup
atio
nal
Safe
ty I
Se
ssio
n B
11 –
Dec
isio
n Su
ppor
t Sy
stem
s fo
r Saf
ety
and
Rel
iabi
lity
I Se
ssio
n C
11 –
Mon
te C
arlo
M
etho
ds in
Sys
tem
Saf
ety
and
Rel
iabi
lity
I
Sess
ion
D11
– S
yste
ms
Safe
ty a
nd
Rel
iabi
lity
IV
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
A.S
. Mig
uel,
A.P
. Tei
xeira
G
. Spa
doni
, L. P
odof
illin
i S
. Eis
inge
r, J.
Hau
schi
ldU
.K. R
akow
sky,
M. F
inke
lste
in
Impr
ovem
ent o
f env
ironm
enta
l and
hea
lth
issu
es in
edu
catio
nal i
nstit
utio
ns
P. T
int,
Ü. K
ask,
T.-A
. Kõi
v, T
. Vin
nal &
K.
Rei
nhol
d
Fuzz
y V
IKO
R c
ritic
ality
ana
lysi
s ap
proa
ch
for F
ME
CA
tech
niqu
e
M. B
erto
lini
Det
erm
inin
g th
e m
inim
al c
ut s
ets
and
Fuss
ell-V
esel
y im
porta
nce
mea
sure
s in
bi
nary
net
wor
k sy
stem
s by
sim
ulat
ion
E
. Zio
, M. L
ibriz
zi &
G. S
ansa
vini
Est
imat
ion
of d
epen
dabi
lity
mea
sure
s of
La
rge-
scal
e M
arko
v-de
pend
ent
cons
ecut
ive-
k-ou
t-of-n
: F re
paira
ble
syst
em
T. L
i, Z.
Z. L
i & G
. Xia
o
Cau
ses
of o
ccup
atio
nal a
ccid
ents
in th
e Fi
shin
g S
ecto
r in
Portu
gal
P. A
ntão
, T. A
lmei
da, C
. Jac
into
& C
. G
uede
s S
oare
s
Dev
elop
men
t of a
risk
kno
wle
dge
plat
form
de
dica
ted
to a
ccid
ent o
f dan
gero
us g
oods
tra
nspo
rtatio
n
J. T
ixie
r, A.
Dan
drie
ux, F
. Fon
tain
e, R
. B
ouet
, E. P
asto
r & E
. Pla
nas
Opt
imis
atio
n an
d re
curs
ive
sim
ulat
ion
mod
ellin
gA
. Cab
arba
ye, J
. Fau
re &
R. L
aulh
eret
On
relia
bilit
y im
prov
emen
t of s
erie
s sy
stem
w
ith c
ompo
nent
s qu
antit
ativ
e an
d qu
alita
tive
redu
ndan
cy
K. K
o �ow
rock
i & B
. Kw
iatu
szew
ska-
Sar
neck
a
Wor
k ac
cide
nts
in e
mpi
rical
lite
ratu
re:
Impl
icat
ions
for t
he fu
ture
C
.F. N
iza,
S.A
. Silv
a &
M.L
. Lim
a
Em
otio
ns m
odel
ling
for s
afe
beha
viou
r ge
nera
tion
in ro
botic
sys
tem
s
R. A
gate
, D.W
. Sew
ard
& C
. Pac
e
Com
pone
nt-b
ased
mod
ellin
g an
d si
mul
atio
n of
an
elec
trica
l sub
stat
ion
for
depe
ndab
ility
stud
y an
d re
plac
emen
t op
timiz
atio
n
O. F
ouat
hia,
J.C
. Mau
n, P
.-E. L
abea
u &
D.
Wio
t
On
som
e ap
proa
ches
to b
iolo
gica
l agi
ng
M.S
. Fin
kels
tein
Eva
luat
ion
of
occu
patio
nal
safe
ty
and
heal
th in
sur
face
min
es
S. U
ral &
S. D
emirk
ol
Pre
dict
ive
mai
nten
ance
pro
gram
me
audi
t w
ith M
AC
BE
TH
Mª.C
. Car
nero
Opt
imiz
ed M
onte
Car
lo s
imul
atio
n us
ing
adap
tive
impo
rtanc
e sa
mpl
ing
for d
ynam
ic
PS
AY
. Liu
, A. P
apuk
chie
v, M
. Bai
er &
A.
Sch
aefe
r
An
appr
oach
to re
liabi
lity-
adap
tive
mod
ule
reco
nfig
urat
ion
U
.K. R
akow
sky
Cof
fee-
brea
k (1
0h30
– 1
1h00
)
Thur
sday
, 21st
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(09h
00 –
10h
30)
Roo
m E
R
oom
F
Roo
m G
Sess
ion
E11
– In
form
atio
n Te
chno
logy
and
Te
leco
mm
unic
atio
ns I
Sess
ion
F11
– A
utom
otiv
e En
gine
erin
g I
Sess
ion
G11
– E
nerg
y Pr
oduc
tion
and
Dis
trib
utio
n I
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: M
. Fel
ici,
M. H
arris
on
F. P
ina
da S
ilva,
Z. V
intr
M. d
e O
livei
ra, I
. Koz
ine
Obt
aini
ng o
ptim
al d
isjo
int p
aths
with
dua
l co
sts
in u
ndire
cted
net
wor
ks
T. G
omes
, J. C
rave
irinh
a &
L. J
orge
A p
roba
bilis
tic a
nd p
hysi
cal-b
ased
fra
mew
ork
for m
echa
nica
l sys
tem
des
ign
for r
elia
bilit
y
A. H
ähne
l, M
. Lem
aire
, F. R
ieun
eau
& F.
P
etit
Com
para
tive
risk
asse
ssm
ent f
or d
iffer
ent
ener
gy in
frast
ruct
ures
– E
RM
ON
Pro
ject
C
. Kirc
hste
iger
, A.L
. Vet
ere
Are
llano
& A
. C
olli
Opt
imal
reju
vena
tion
polic
y fo
r inc
reas
ing
VoI
P se
rvic
e re
liabi
lity
V
.P. K
outra
s &
A.N
. Pla
tis
Fore
cast
ing
the
cost
of u
nrel
iabi
lity
for
prod
ucts
with
two-
dim
ensi
onal
war
rant
ies
A
. Kle
yner
& P
. San
dbor
n
On
the
cons
ider
atio
n of
relia
bilit
y in
the
Life
Cyc
le A
naly
sis
(LC
CA
). A
revi
ew o
f ba
sic
mod
els
C
. Par
ra, A
. Cre
spo,
P. C
orté
s &
S.
Fygu
eroa
Mul
ti-sc
hem
e re
cove
ry in
MP
LS n
etw
orks
L.
Jor
ge &
T. G
omes
Agg
rega
ting
unce
rtain
sen
sor i
nfor
mat
ion
for s
afet
y re
late
d sy
stem
s
R. S
avi �
& P
. Lim
bour
g
Ris
k As
sess
men
t of e
xplo
sion
in C
oal-
Fire
d po
wer
pla
nt
K. L
ebec
ki &
P. R
osm
us
Tele
com
mun
icat
ion
netw
orks
as
a ch
alle
nge
for r
elia
bilit
y an
alys
is
U. P
ulkk
inen
, I. N
orro
s &
E. M
yöty
ri R
aatik
aine
n
Opt
imiz
ed te
st p
lann
ing
to v
erify
pro
cess
re
liabi
lity
thro
ugh
Six
Sig
ma
P
. Ant
ico,
G. A
rcid
iaco
no &
M. V
iane
llo
Indu
stria
l ris
k m
anag
emen
t on
hydr
oele
ctric
pow
er p
lant
s
P. d
a C
osta
e S
ilva
& A
. Vaz
Gon
çalv
es
Cof
fee-
brea
k (1
0h30
– 1
1h00
)
Thur
sday
, 21st
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(11h
00 –
12h
30)
Roo
m A
R
oom
B
Roo
m C
R
oom
D
Sess
ion
A12
– O
ccup
atio
nal
Safe
ty II
Se
ssio
n B
12 –
Sec
urity
and
Pr
otec
tion
III
Sess
ion
C12
– M
onte
Car
lo
Met
hods
in S
yste
m S
afet
y an
d R
elia
bilit
y II
Sess
ion
D12
– S
yste
ms
Safe
ty a
nd
Rel
iabi
lity
V
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
C. J
acin
to, M
.L. L
ima
K.T
. Kos
mow
ski
M. E
id, J
. Fau
re
J. F
aria
, P. U
lmea
nu
Che
mic
al ri
sk a
sses
smen
t in
man
ufac
turin
g
K. R
einh
old
Pane
l Ses
sion
N
ew c
halle
nges
in s
afet
y an
d se
curit
y-re
late
d ed
ucat
ion
and
train
ing
K.T
. Kos
mow
ski
B.J
. Lei
ra
C. G
uede
s S
oare
s
Mon
te C
arlo
Tec
hniq
ues
for m
odel
ling
&
anal
ysin
g th
e re
liabi
lity
and
safe
ty o
f m
oder
n au
tom
otiv
e ap
plic
atio
ns
J. H
ausc
hild
& A
. Mey
na
Rel
iabi
lity
and
risk
anal
ysis
of l
arge
sys
tem
s w
ith a
gein
g co
mpo
nent
s
K. K
o�ow
rock
i & B
. Kw
iatu
szew
ska-
Sar
neck
a
Tow
ards
risk
ass
essm
ent f
or c
rane
act
iviti
es
O.N
. Ane
ziris
, I.A
. Pap
azog
lou,
M.L
. Mud
, H
. Bak
stee
n, J
. Pos
t, B
.J.M
. Ale
, A.R
. Hal
e,
L.J.
Bel
lam
y, A
. Blo
emho
ff &
J.I.
H. O
h
EV
T-C
opul
a ba
sed
sim
ulat
ion
for d
ecis
ion
mak
ing
in C
SS
man
agem
ent
O.S
. Muh
aise
n, F
.R. O
sorio
& P
.A. G
arcí
a-Ló
pez
A s
tudy
on
som
e sy
stem
saf
ety
mod
els
L.
Cui
, X. Z
hao
& J
. Li
Cla
ssifi
catio
n of
fata
l fire
fight
er a
ccid
ents
in
the
Net
herla
nds
N
. Ros
mul
ler &
B.J
.M. A
le
Bey
ond
Mon
te C
arlo
sim
ulat
ions
: Fas
t-pa
ced
relia
bilit
y su
ppor
t for
com
plex
sy
stem
s
Ø. R
eita
n, D
. Grim
stad
, D. R
uzaf
a R
omàn
&
T. C
haud
ot
Dep
enda
bilit
y of
mec
hatro
nics
sys
tem
s in
m
ilita
ry v
ehic
le d
esig
n
D. V
alis
& Z
. Vin
tr
Mod
ellin
g of
risk
for o
ccup
atio
nal a
ccid
ents
J.
T. L
udvi
gsen
Com
pone
nt im
porta
nce
mea
sure
s in
co
mpl
ex s
yste
ms
S
. Eis
inge
r, E.
Sut
ter &
A.B
. Hus
eby
Ava
ilabi
lity
asse
ssm
ent o
f ons
hore
oil
field
s E
.L. D
rogu
ett,
C.M
.C. J
acin
to, P
.A.A
. Gar
cia
& M
. Mou
ra
Lunc
h(1
2h30
– 1
4h00
)
Thur
sday
, 21st
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(11h
00 –
12h
30)
Roo
m E
R
oom
F
Roo
m G
Sess
ion
E12
– In
form
atio
n Te
chno
logy
and
Te
leco
mm
unic
atio
ns II
Sess
ion
F12
– Su
rfac
e Tr
ansp
orta
tion
(roa
d an
d tr
ain)
I
Sess
ion
G12
– E
nerg
y Pr
oduc
tion
and
Dis
trib
utio
n II
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: T.
Gom
es, M
. Fel
ici
G. S
pado
ni, J
.A. F
ranc
o R
. Bol
ado
Laví
n, R
. Bris
Ris
k as
sess
men
t in
IT p
roje
cts
with
exp
erts
’ el
icita
tion
proc
ess
I.J
. Jó�
wia
k &
M. M
acut
kiew
icz
Pre
limin
ary
stud
y on
the
trans
port
of
haza
rdou
s m
ater
ials
thro
ugh
tunn
els
R
. Bub
bico
, S. D
i Cav
e, B
. M
azza
rotta
& B
. S
ilvet
ti
Sub
cont
ract
ing
serv
ices
in a
con
text
of r
isk
man
agem
ent
L.F.
M. N
eves
Info
rmat
ion
syst
ems’
Ris
k A
naly
sis
by
agen
t-bas
ed m
odel
ling
of b
usin
ess
proc
esse
s
M. K
aegi
, R. M
ock,
R. Z
iegl
er &
R. N
ibal
i
A g
loba
l app
roac
h of
spa
tial r
isk
asse
ssm
ent (
GIS
) of h
ydro
carb
on
trans
porta
tion
in th
e Île
de
Fran
ce re
gion
J.
Tix
ier,
F. T
ena-
Cho
llet,
G. D
usse
rre
& J
.-F.
Man
gin
Ope
ratio
nal r
isk
man
agem
ent s
yste
ms
in
ED
P P
rodu
ção:
Fro
m in
divi
dual
isat
ion
to
inte
grat
ion
A
.J.C
. Gon
çalv
es &
J. M
. Coe
lho
Dep
enda
bilit
y an
alys
is o
f mix
ed
CA
N/s
witc
hed
Ethe
rnet
net
wor
k
C. B
etou
s-A
lmei
da, J
.-L. S
char
barg
& C
. Fr
abou
l
Impl
icat
ions
of t
he re
gula
tions
rela
ted
to
land
bas
ed tr
ansp
ort o
f dan
gero
us g
oods
O
. Nja
a &
S. B
øen
The
indu
stria
l ris
k m
anag
emen
t in
pow
er
gene
ratio
n in
a li
bera
lised
mar
ket c
onte
xt
M. O
livei
ra &
P. M
aia
Red
uctio
n of
the
risks
of t
rans
port
of
amm
onia
and
LP
G in
the
Net
herla
nds
M
. Mol
ag &
S.J
. Elb
ers
Com
petit
ive
oper
atin
g st
rate
gies
of
diag
nosi
s sy
stem
s in
pow
er e
ngin
eerin
g en
terp
rises
G
. D�b
row
ska-
Kau
f
Lunc
h(1
2h30
– 1
4h00
)
Thur
sday
, 21st
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(14h
00 –
15h
30)
Roo
m A
R
oom
B
Roo
m C
R
oom
D
Sess
ion
A13
– O
ccup
atio
nal
Safe
ty II
I Se
ssio
n B
13 -
Safe
ty a
nd
Rel
iabi
lity
III
Sess
ion
C13
– D
ynam
ic R
elia
bilit
y I
Sess
ion
D13
– S
yste
ms
Safe
ty a
nd
Rel
iabi
lity
VI
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
M. B
arro
so, A
. Que
ntal
Mar
tins
B.J
. Lei
ra, A
.P. T
eixe
ira
R. B
ris, E
. Kor
czak
J.
And
rew
s, Y
. Dut
uit
Tow
ards
an
expo
sure
- da
mag
e ap
proa
ch
in th
e qu
antif
icat
ion
of o
ccup
atio
nal r
isk
in
wor
kpla
ces
with
dan
gero
us s
ubst
ance
s
G.A
. Pap
adak
is, A
.A. C
halk
idou
& M
.D.
Sta
mpo
uli
Ove
rvie
w o
f QR
A M
etho
ds
S. M
edon
os
On
relia
bilit
y op
timiz
atio
n of
dyn
amic
sy
stem
s
I. P
abst
Mea
sure
s of
com
pone
nt c
ontri
butio
n to
the
failu
re o
f pha
sed
mis
sion
s
J.D
. And
rew
s
Pos
ttrau
mat
ic s
tress
dis
orde
r, de
pres
sion
an
d an
xiet
y in
wor
k ac
cide
nt v
ictim
s an
d w
itnes
ses:
Pre
limin
arie
s re
sults
S
. Gon
çalv
es, M
.L. L
ima
& A
. Mar
ques
P
into
Ana
lysi
ng th
e im
pact
of h
uman
fact
ors
of
trans
port
syst
ems
Z.
Sm
alko
, J. J
a �w
i�sk
i & J
. Dro
bisz
ewsk
i
Dyn
amic
obj
ect o
rient
ed B
ayes
ian
netw
orks
in
mai
nten
ance
man
agem
ent:
A ca
se s
tudy
O
. Bor
gia,
F. D
e C
arlo
, M. P
ecca
nti &
M.
Tucc
i
On
the
conv
enie
nce
of k
eepi
ng th
e co
mpo
nent
relia
bilit
y at
a le
vel g
reat
er th
an
one
half
F.
Car
rera
s, J
. Fre
ixas
& M
.A. P
uent
e
The
expl
anat
ion
of w
ork
acci
dent
s by
em
ploy
ees:
The
role
of a
ccid
ent e
xper
ienc
e
C.F
. Niz
a, S
.A. S
ilva
& M
.L. L
ima
App
licat
ion
of P
etri
Net
s m
odel
ling
for t
he
eval
uatio
n of
the
prod
uctio
n av
aila
bilit
y of
an
offs
hore
inst
alla
tion
P
. Ulm
eanu
Ris
k ev
alua
tion
of b
atch
pro
cess
es in
ch
emic
al p
lant
s us
ing
phas
ed-m
issi
on
anal
ysis
T.
Koh
da &
M. N
akag
awa
A c
ompo
nent
bas
ed a
ppro
ach
to e
valu
ate
the
syst
em a
vaila
bilit
y
M. D
ulac
, A.L
. Geh
in &
M. B
ayar
t
Atti
tude
faci
ng c
arci
noge
nic
haza
rds
in
smal
l and
med
ium
siz
e en
terp
rise
C
. Mar
tin &
F. G
uarn
ieri
Mod
elin
g pr
oduc
tion
avai
labi
lity
of
petro
leum
inst
alla
tions
J.
-P. S
igno
ret
Sys
tem
mod
ellin
g w
ith d
ynam
ic re
liabi
lity
bloc
k di
agra
ms
S
. Dis
tefa
no &
A. P
ulia
fito
Rel
iabi
lity
and
mea
n lif
e of
a w
arm
sta
ndby
sy
stem
with
thre
e un
its
W.Y
. Yun
& J
.H. C
ha
Cof
fee-
brea
k (1
5h30
– 1
6h00
)
Thur
sday
, 21st
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(14h
00 –
15h
30)
Roo
m E
R
oom
F
Roo
m G
Sess
ion
E13
– So
ftwar
e R
elia
bilit
y an
d Se
curit
y I
Sess
ion
F13
– Su
rfac
e Tr
ansp
orta
tion
(roa
d an
d tr
ain)
II
Sess
ion
G13
– N
ucle
ar
Engi
neer
ing
I
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
. Bas
nyat
, D. C
osta
E
. Ruf
fin, M
. Sea
bra
Per
eira
I.
Pap
azog
lou,
M. �
epin
Gen
erat
ion
of re
liabi
lity
test
dat
a fo
r rea
l-tim
e em
bedd
ed s
oftw
are
base
d on
the
usag
e pr
ofile
J.
Ai,
L. M
inya
n &
R. L
ian
Com
para
tive
stud
y of
dat
abas
es o
n ac
cide
nts
invo
lvin
g da
nger
ous
good
s in
the
stor
age
and
trans
port
to im
prov
e a
cros
sove
r lea
rnin
g fro
m e
xper
ienc
e
S. L
im &
B. N
édél
ec
Inco
rpor
atio
n of
age
ing
effe
cts
into
co
mpo
nent
relia
bilit
y an
d av
aila
bilit
y m
odel
sL.
Bur
gazz
i
Sof
twar
e re
liabi
lity
qual
itativ
e ev
alua
tion
met
hod
base
d on
una
scer
tain
ed
mat
hem
atic
s
Y. W
u, M
. Lu
& L
. Rua
n
An
appr
oach
met
hod
on ro
utes
sel
ectio
n of
tra
nspo
rtatio
n of
toxi
c su
bsta
nces
usi
ng
haza
rd p
oten
tial a
naly
sis
J.
L. S
u, S
.C. H
uang
, K.S
. Fan
, J.R
. Che
n &
S.K
. Lee
Fuzz
y de
cisi
on-m
akin
g ap
proa
ches
in N
PP
ca
use-
effe
ct a
naly
sis
B
. Fau
st, M
. Wag
enkn
echt
, U. G
ocht
& A
. Ly
ubar
skiy
A fu
zzy
logi
c ap
proa
ch to
sof
twar
e te
stin
g an
d de
bugg
ing
H
. Mad
sen,
P. T
hyre
god,
B. B
urts
chy,
G.
Alb
eanu
& F
. Pop
entiu
Usi
ng tr
ansp
orta
tion
data
to a
sses
s ris
k in
ha
zard
ous
mat
eria
ls ro
ad lo
gist
ics
oper
atio
n
M. T
répa
nier
, M.-H
. Ler
oux
& N
. De
Mar
celli
s-W
arin
Som
e co
nsid
erat
ions
for i
mpl
emen
ting
hum
an re
liabi
lity
anal
ysis
for a
dvan
ced
reac
tors
X
. He
& J.
Ton
g
Sof
twar
e in
saf
ety
criti
cal e
nviro
nmen
ts
J. B
örcs
ök &
M.H
. Sch
war
zC
alcu
latin
g im
porta
nce
mea
sure
s in
PS
A a
t di
ffere
nt le
vels
N
. Duf
lot,
C. B
éren
guer
, L. D
ieul
le &
D.
Vas
seur
Cof
fee-
brea
k (1
5h30
– 1
6h00
)
Thur
sday
, 21st
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(16h
00 –
17h
30)
Roo
m A
R
oom
C
Roo
m D
Sess
ion
A14
– O
ccup
atio
nal
Safe
ty IV
Se
ssio
n C
14 –
Dyn
amic
R
elia
bilit
y II
Sess
ion
D14
– S
yste
ms
Safe
ty a
nd
Rel
iabi
lity
VII
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: J.
. Bar
ranc
os, K
. Rei
nhol
d P
.-E. L
abea
u, T
. Gom
es
Y. D
utui
t, M
. �ep
in
Aud
iting
of s
afet
y m
anag
emen
t sys
tem
in
Est
onia
n m
ediu
m-s
cale
ent
erpr
ises
M
. Kem
pine
n &
P. T
int
Rul
es fo
r fai
lure
/repa
ir fre
quen
cy
eval
uatio
n of
mul
ti-st
ate
syst
ems
E
. Kor
czak
Com
plex
sys
tem
mod
ellin
g an
d op
timis
atio
n
J. F
aure
, A. C
abar
baye
& R
. Lau
lher
et
A n
ew c
once
ptua
l fra
mew
ork
to im
prov
e th
e ap
plic
atio
n of
occ
upat
iona
l hea
lth a
nd s
afet
y m
anag
emen
t sys
tem
s
A.-M
. Mak
in &
C. W
inde
r
Mod
ellin
g an
d es
timat
ing
the
relia
bilit
y of
st
ocha
stic
dyn
amic
al s
yste
ms
with
M
arko
vian
sw
itchi
ng
J. C
hiqu
et, M
. Eid
& N
. Lim
nios
Sto
chas
tic P
etri
net a
ppro
ach
to p
rodu
ctio
n av
aila
bilit
y ev
alua
tion
of s
peci
al te
st c
ase
R
. Briš
& M
. Koc
haní�k
ová
The
role
of s
afet
y cu
lture
on
expl
aini
ng w
ork
acci
dent
sS
.M. B
arão
, S.A
. Silv
a &
M.L
. Lim
a
Usi
ng C
olou
red
Pet
ri N
ets
to s
olve
a
dyna
mic
relia
bilit
y pr
oble
m w
ith tw
o pr
oces
s va
riabl
es
P. Š
k�ou�il
ová
& R
. Briš
Pro
babi
listic
ass
essm
ent i
n re
latio
nshi
p w
ith S
afet
y In
tegr
ity L
evel
s by
usi
ng F
ault
Tree
sY
. Dut
uit,
A. R
auzy
& J
.-P. S
igno
ret
Impr
ovin
g th
e ef
ficie
ncy
of m
anag
emen
t of
heal
th, s
afet
y an
d en
viro
nmen
t N
.J. D
uijm
, C. F
iéve
z, M
. Ger
bec,
U.
Hau
ptm
anns
& M
. Kon
stan
dini
dou
A fu
zzy
clus
terin
g ap
proa
ch fo
r acc
iden
t sc
enar
ios
iden
tific
atio
n
E. Z
io, D
. Mer
curio
, L. P
odof
illin
i & V
.N.
Dan
g
Var
iabl
e or
derin
g sc
hem
es to
app
ly to
the
bina
ry d
ecis
ion
diag
ram
met
hodo
logy
for
even
t tre
e se
quen
ces
asse
ssm
ent
C. I
bañe
z Ll
ano,
E. M
elén
dez
Ase
nsio
& F
. N
ieto
Fue
ntes
End
of t
he C
onfe
renc
e
Thur
sday
, 21st
Sep
tem
ber 2
006
Para
llel S
essi
ons
(16h
00 –
17h
30)
Roo
m E
R
oom
F
Roo
m G
Sess
ion
E14
– So
ftwar
e R
elia
bilit
y an
d Se
curit
y II
Sess
ion
F14
– Su
rfac
e Tr
ansp
orta
tion
(roa
d an
d tr
ain)
III
Sess
ion
G14
– N
ucle
ar
Engi
neer
ing
II
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: S
essi
on C
hair(
s):
Ses
sion
Cha
ir(s)
: D
. Cos
ta, S
. Bas
nyat
B
. Maz
zaro
tta, G
. Spa
doni
L.
Pod
ofill
ini,
N. S
iu
The
theo
ry s
yste
m o
f STA
and
the
axio
m
syst
em o
f SR
TAC
Q
. Li,
B. L
iu &
M. L
u
App
licat
ion
of a
five
-pha
se re
liabi
lity
mod
el
of c
ombi
ned
trans
porta
tion
syst
em
M. Z
ajac
Faul
t-tre
e m
odel
ling
for t
he s
igna
l ge
nera
tion
failu
res
of th
e en
gine
ered
saf
ety
feat
ures
in d
igita
lized
nuc
lear
pow
er p
lant
H
.G. K
ang
& S
.C. J
ang
Eva
luat
ing
and
impr
ovin
g pa
ttern
-bas
ed
softw
are
desi
gns
for r
esou
rce-
cons
train
ed
embe
dded
sys
tem
s
S. K
uria
n &
M.J
. Pon
t
Det
ectio
n an
d m
onito
ring
of h
azar
dous
m
ater
ial t
rans
porta
tion
on ro
ad b
etw
een
Fran
ce a
nd It
aly:
Obj
ectiv
es, m
etho
dolo
gy
and
first
resu
lts
R. C
asaz
za, E
. Gar
bolin
o, S
. Ola
mpi
, C.
Ber
sani
, E. T
rasf
orin
i, D
. Gig
lio &
R. S
acile
Rec
ent r
esul
ts fr
om th
e O
EC
D F
IRE
P
roje
ct -
use
of th
e O
EC
D-F
IRE
Dat
abas
e
H.P
. Ber
g, A
. Ang
ner,
E. M
athe
t, M
. R
öwek
amp
& W
. Wer
ner
On
the
mod
ellin
g of
failu
re d
epen
denc
ies
betw
een
softw
are
com
pone
nts
R
. Win
ther
& M
. Kris
tians
en
Mod
ellin
g sy
stem
relia
bilit
y as
pect
s of
E
RTM
S/E
TCS
by
faul
t tre
es a
nd B
ayes
ian
netw
orks
F.
Fla
mm
ini,
S. M
arro
ne, N
. Maz
zocc
a &
V.
Vitt
orin
i
Cab
le tr
ay fi
res
- exp
erim
ents
and
resu
lts
of fi
re s
imul
atio
n co
des
M
. Röw
ekam
p, W
. Kle
in-H
eßlin
g, O
. Rie
se
& H
.P. B
erg
Exp
loiti
ng th
e IE
EE
1149
.1 S
tand
ard
for
softw
are
relia
bilit
y ev
alua
tion
in s
pace
ap
plic
atio
ns
M. Z
enha
-Rel
a, J
.C. C
unha
, L.E
. San
tos,
M
. Gam
eiro
, P. G
onça
lves
, G. A
lves
, A.
Fida
lgo,
P. F
ortu
na, R
. Mai
a, L
. Hen
rique
s &
D. C
osta
Mon
itorin
g th
e tra
nspo
rt by
road
of
haza
rdou
s su
bsta
nces
and
risk
redu
ctio
n:
Res
ults
from
an
Italia
n ca
se-s
tudy
M
. Atk
inso
n, C
. Di M
auro
& J
.P. N
ordv
ik
A p
roce
ss to
upg
rade
the
prob
abilis
tic
safe
ty a
sses
smen
t qua
lity
acco
rdin
g to
the
AS
ME
PR
A st
anda
rd in
Kor
ea
M. H
wan
g &
J.E
. Yan
g
End
of t
he C
onfe
renc
e
General Information
Conference Location The ESREL 2006 Conference will take place at the Estoril Congress Centre in the centre of Estoril, a new facility and the only one of its kind in the area (http://www.estorilcongresscenter.com). Estoril is one of the main coastal towns on the outskirts of Lisbon, located approximately 25 kms from Lisbon city centre. It has mild winters and an ideal summer temperature. A scheduled train journey of approximately 30 minutes links Estoril and Lisbon. The airport shuttle bus operates daily on a schedule service between Lisbon airport and Cascais, via Estoril.
Registration Procedure Registration for the Conference will take place at the Congress Centre from 08H00 on Monday, 18th September 2006.
Conference Badges – Invitation Cards Delegates and accompanying persons are kindly requested to wear their Conference name badge at all meetings and official functions. Please have your invitation cards with you at all receptions and booked tourist programmes.
ProceedingsThe papers presented at ESREL 2006 Conference will be included in the Proceedings of the Conference to be published by the Taylor & Francis Group, in book and CD-ROM, and distributed upon registration at the Conference in each Delegate’s pack according to the category of registration.
LanguageThe official language of the Conference is English. No simultaneous translations will be available.
Computer Area A designated area (marked on the Map of the Congress Centre as “I”) is available with access to computers, where delegates will be able to check presentations and have access to the Internet.
Internet Access Delegates will have access to a WIFI Network available in the Centre. For those who do not use this option, some computers will be available in the computer area with access to the Internet.
Cancellation of Participation Registered delegates wishing to cancel their participation at the ESREL 2006 Conference will have their full registration fee refunded, minus an administrative fee of EUR 100 (One hundred EUROs), provided written notification has been received by the Conference Secretariat before 15th August 2006. Cancellations received after this date will not be eligible for a refund. All refunds will be processed after the Conference.
Liability and Insurance The organisers of ESREL 2006 will not assume any responsibility whatsoever for damage or injury to persons or property during the Conference. Participants are recommended to arrange for their personal travel and health insurance.
Changes to the Technical and Social Programme The organisers reserve the right to adjust or change the Technical Programme and/or the Social Programme as, if and when necessary.
Official Travel Agency Ultratur Portugal has been appointed as the official travel agency of the Conference. Ultratur will be happy to provide information concerning Hotel and Tourist Programme Reservations, Post Conference Tours. The contact details are: Ultratur Portugal-Viagens E Turismo, Lda., Av. 5 de Outubro, 115-3º-G, 1050-052 Lisboa, Portugal. Tel: +351 217826720, web: http://www.ultratur.com
WeatherThe weather in Lisbon in September is normally mild and sunny. The average temperature during daytime can range between 18º and 25º, dropping slightly in the evening.
Opening Hours Local banking hours are from 08H30 to 15H00, Monday to Friday. Some banks stay open until 17H00. Shops are open daily from 09H00 through to 19H00, mostly not closing for lunch and varying slightly from area to area. On Saturday, closing time is around 13H00. Shopping Centres have longer opening hours, and usually open between 10H00 and 23H00, seven days a week.
Transport Facilities All public transport services (buses, metro and taxis) are efficient and reasonably priced. It is advisable to avoid private transportation as traffic can be heavy during rush hours.
Guidelines to Authors and Session Chairs
Presentation and Discussion of Papers Each presentation has been allocated 20 minutes with 2 additional minutes for discussion.
Authors, who have not provided their presentations by e-mail in advance, should hand them to the Secretariat on the day before the presentation at the latest.
Time Keeping Chairmen have the responsibility to introduce speakers from the Bibliographic Notes available, to lead the discussions and to ensure that the time schedule is observed.
It is suggested that Chairmen should show some tolerance for minor delays with the presentations and/or discussions but on the other hand they should be strict in not allowing major changes from the basis time schedule. As a rough guideline, a 5-minute drift in one presentation can be accommodated but more than that should be absolutely avoided in order not to penalise other authors and/or presentations.
Official Language The official language of the Conference is English. No translations will be available.
Audio-Visual EquipmentEach room will be equipped with a laptop computer and media projector for presentations. Overhead projectors will not be available.
To avoid last minute problems of compatibility, authors cannot use their own laptop computers and need to deliver their presentation to the Secretariat beforehand.
A staff member will be on hand to assist with any difficulty that may arise.
ESREL 2006 Conference Social Programme
Sunday, 17th September Welcome Reception at Tamariz Bar (18h00 to 20h30)
(Over viewing the beach and behind the Estoril train station)
Wednesday, 20th September Conference Dinner at Casino Estoril (20h00)
(Formal attire required)
ESREL 2006 – Accompanying Persons Programme
Sunday, 17th September Welcome Reception at Tamariz Bar (18h00 to 20h30)
Monday, 18th September Tour of Estoril Coast, taking in Cascais and Sintra (Full day, with departure at 09h30 approximately)
Tuesday, 19th September Tour of Lisbon
(Full day, with departure at 09h30 approximately)
Wednesday, 20th September Conference Dinner at Casino Estoril (20h00)
(Formal attire required)
Organisation and Secretariat
The organization ESREL 2006 Conference is provided by the Unit of Marine Technology and Engineering of Instituto Superior Técnico, the engineering faculty of the Technical University of Lisbon, in conjunction with the European Safety and Reliability Association (ESRA).
The Secretariat is the responsibility of Instituto Superior Técnico.
NOTES
NOTES
Mon
day,
18t
h Se
ptem
ber
09h0
0 -1
0h30
11h0
0 - 1
2h30
O
peni
ng a
nd P
lena
ry S
essi
ons
14h0
0 - 1
5h30
A1
: Ris
k Pe
rcep
tion
and
Com
mun
icat
ion
I B1
: Ris
k an
d R
elia
bilit
y M
anag
emen
t I
C1:
Fau
lt Id
entif
icat
ion
and
Dia
gnos
tics
I (E
SRA
TC)
D1:
Che
mic
al P
roce
ss
Indu
stry
III
E1: R
isk
of N
atur
al H
azar
ds
and
Emer
genc
y Pl
anni
ng I
F1: S
afet
y an
d R
elia
bilit
y I
G1:
Acc
iden
t and
In
cide
nt In
vest
igat
ion
I
16h0
0 - 1
7h30
A2
: Ris
k Pe
rcep
tion
and
Com
mun
icat
ion
II
B2: R
isk
and
Rel
iabi
lity
Man
agem
ent I
I C
2: F
ault
Iden
tific
atio
n an
d D
iagn
ostic
s II
(ESR
A TC
) D
2: C
hem
ical
Pro
cess
In
dust
ry IV
E2
: Ris
k of
Nat
ural
Haz
ards
an
d Em
erge
ncy
Plan
ning
II
F2: S
afet
y an
d R
elia
bilit
y II
G2:
Acc
iden
t and
In
cide
nt In
vest
igat
ion
II
Tues
day,
19t
h Se
ptem
ber
09h0
0 -1
0h30
A3
: Ris
k Pe
rcep
tion
and
Com
mun
icat
ion
III
B3: R
isk
and
Rel
iabi
lity
Man
agem
ent I
II C
3: M
aint
enan
ce M
odel
ling
and
Opt
imiz
atio
n I (
ESR
A TC
)
D3:
Rel
iabi
lity
and
Safe
ty D
ata
Col
lect
ion
and
Anal
ysis
I E3
: Civ
il En
gine
erin
g I
F3: O
ffsho
re O
il &
Gas
I G
3: A
ccid
ent a
nd
Inci
dent
Inve
stig
atio
n III
11h0
0 - 1
2h30
A4
: Hum
an O
rgan
izat
iona
l Fac
tors
in
Saf
ety
and
Rel
iabi
lity
I B4
: Ris
k an
d H
azar
d An
alys
is I
C4:
Mai
nten
ance
Mod
ellin
g an
d O
ptim
izat
ion
II (E
SRA
TC)
D4:
Rel
iabi
lity
and
Safe
ty D
ata
Col
lect
ion
and
Anal
ysis
II
E4: C
ivil
Engi
neer
ing
II F4
: Offs
hore
Oil
& G
as II
G
4: A
eron
autic
s an
d Ae
rosp
ace
I
14h0
0 - 1
5h30
A5
: Hum
an O
rgan
izat
iona
l Fac
tors
in
Saf
ety
and
Rel
iabi
lity
II B5
: Ris
k an
d H
azar
d An
alys
is II
C
5: M
aint
enan
ce M
odel
ling
and
Opt
imiz
atio
n III
(ESR
A TC
)
D5:
Rel
iabi
lity
and
Safe
ty D
ata
Col
lect
ion
and
Anal
ysis
III
E5: C
ivil
Engi
neer
ing
III
F5: O
ffsho
re O
il &
Gas
III
G5:
Aer
onau
tics
and
Aero
spac
e II
16h0
0 - 1
7h30
A6
: Hum
an O
rgan
izat
iona
l Fac
tors
in
Saf
ety
and
Rel
iabi
lity
IIIB6
: Ris
k an
d H
azar
d An
alys
is II
I C
6: M
aint
enan
ce M
odel
ling
and
Opt
imiz
atio
n IV
(ESR
A TC
)
D6:
Rel
iabi
lity
and
Safe
ty D
ata
Col
lect
ion
and
Anal
ysis
IV
E6: S
truct
ural
Rel
iabi
lity
I F6
: Offs
hore
Oil
& G
as IV
G
6: A
eron
autic
s an
d Ae
rosp
ace
III
Wed
nesd
ay, 2
0th
Sept
embe
r
09h0
0 -1
0h30
A7
: Hum
an O
rgan
izat
iona
l Fac
tors
in
Saf
ety
and
Rel
iabi
lity
IV
B7: R
isk
and
Haz
ard
Anal
ysis
IV
C7:
Mai
nten
ance
Mod
ellin
g an
d O
ptim
izat
ion
V
D7:
Rel
iabi
lity
and
Safe
ty D
ata
Col
lect
ion
and
Anal
ysis
V
E7: S
truct
ural
Rel
iabi
lity
II
F7: E
nviro
nmen
tal E
ngin
eerin
g I
G7:
Bio
tech
nolo
gy &
Fo
od In
dust
ry I
11h0
0 - 1
2h30
A8
: Hum
an O
rgan
izat
iona
l Fac
tors
in
Saf
ety
and
Rel
iabi
lity
V B8
: Ris
k an
d H
azar
d An
alys
is V
C
8: M
aint
enan
ce M
odel
ling
and
Opt
imiz
atio
n VI
D
8: S
yste
m S
afet
y an
d R
elia
bilit
y I
E8: S
truct
ural
Rel
iabi
lity
III
F8: W
ater
born
e Tr
ansp
orta
tion
I G
8: M
anuf
actu
ring
I
14h0
0 - 1
5h30
A9
: Hum
an O
rgan
izat
iona
l Fac
tors
in
Saf
ety
and
Rel
iabi
lity
VI
B9: C
hem
ical
Pro
cess
In
dust
ry I
C9:
Mai
nten
ance
Mod
ellin
g an
d O
ptim
izat
ion
VII
D9:
Sys
tem
Saf
ety
and
Rel
iabi
lity
II E9
: Sec
urity
and
Pro
tect
ion
I F9
: Wat
erbo
rne
Tran
spor
tatio
n II
G9:
Man
ufac
turin
g II
16h0
0 - 1
7h30
A1
0: H
uman
Org
aniz
atio
nal
Fact
ors
in S
afet
y an
d R
elia
bilit
y VI
I B1
0: e
mic
al P
roce
ss
Indu
stry
II
C10
: Unc
erta
inty
and
Sen
sitiv
ity
Anal
ysis
I D
10: S
yste
m S
afet
y an
d R
elia
bilit
y III
E1
0: S
ecur
ity a
nd P
rote
ctio
n II
F10:
Wat
erbo
rne
Tran
spor
tatio
n III
G10
: Man
ufac
turin
g III
Thur
sday
, 21s
t Sep
tem
ber
09h0
0 -1
0h30
A1
1: O
cupa
tiona
l Saf
ety
I B1
1: D
ecis
ion
Supp
ort
Syst
ems
for S
afet
y an
d R
elia
bilit
y I
C11
: Mon
te C
arlo
Met
hods
in
Syst
em S
afet
y an
d R
elia
bilit
y I
D11
: Sys
tem
Saf
ety
and
Rel
iabi
lity
IV
E11:
Info
rmat
ion
Tech
nolo
gy
and
Tele
com
mun
icat
ions
I F1
1: A
utom
otiv
e En
gine
erin
g I
G11
: Ene
rgy
Prod
uctio
n an
d D
istri
butio
n I
11h0
0 - 1
2h30
A1
2: O
cupa
tiona
l Saf
ety
II B1
2: S
ecur
ity a
nd
Prot
ectio
n III
C
12: M
onte
Car
lo M
etho
ds in
Sy
stem
Saf
ety
and
Rel
iabi
lity
II D
12: S
yste
m S
afet
y an
d R
elia
bilit
y V
E12:
Info
rmat
ion
Tech
nolo
gy
and
Tele
com
mun
icat
ions
II
F12:
Sur
face
Tra
nspo
rtatio
n (r
oad
and
train
) I
G12
: Ene
rgy
Prod
uctio
n an
d D
istri
butio
n II
14h0
0 - 1
5h30
A1
3: O
cupa
tiona
l Saf
ety
III
B13:
Saf
ety
and
Rel
iabi
lity
III
C13
: Dyn
amic
Rel
iabi
lity
I D
13: S
yste
m S
afet
y an
d R
elia
bilit
y VI
E1
3: S
oftw
are
Rel
iabi
lity
& Se
curit
y I
F13:
Sur
face
Tra
nspo
rtatio
n (r
oad
and
train
) II
G13
: Nuc
lear
En
gine
erin
g I
16h0
0 - 1
7h30
A1
4: O
cupa
tiona
l Saf
ety
IV
C14
: Dyn
amic
Rel
iabi
lity
II D
14: S
yste
m S
afet
y an
d R
elia
bilit
y VI
I E1
4: S
oftw
are
Rel
iabi
lity
& Se
curit
y II
F14:
Sur
face
Tra
nspo
rtatio
n (r
oad
and
train
) III
G14
: Nuc
lear
En
gine
erin
g II
Map of the Centre of Estoril
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