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Monthly Snapshot 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Total Market Overview Monthly Indicators December 2019 - 0.7% - 18.4% One-Year Change in Closed Sales All Properties New Listings Single Family Market Overview Townhouse-Condo Market Overview Adult Community Market Overview Data as of January 20, 2020. All data from Bright MLS and Garden State MLS. Margin of error for reported statewide numbers is +/- 4% at a 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 1 One-Year Change in Homes for Sale All Properties One-Year Change in Median Sales Price All Properties + 16.6% Pending Sales Closed Sales In 2019 home prices were up again in most markets. Buyer demand continues to be strong but with tepid seller activity still in many locations, total sales are lower than they would normally be in a more balanced market. While up from their recent lows a few months ago, mortgage rates end the year close to three-quarters of a percent lower than a year ago, helping to improve affordability and offset rising home prices. • Single Family Closed Sales were up 0.2 percent to 578. • Townhouse-Condo Closed Sales were down 1.9 percent to 206. • Adult Communities Closed Sales were down 10.0 percent to 27. • Single Family Median Sales Price increased 16.3 percent to $378,000. • Townhouse-Condo Median Sales Price increased 2.0 percent to $250,000. • Adult Communities Median Sales Price increased 27.8 percent to $465,000. With low mortgage rates, low unemployment, and continued wage growth, home buyer activity is expected to remain healthy into the new year. New construction has been on the rise in 2019 and is expected to continue into 2020, but many experts note that the country is still not building enough new units to quench demand. It remains to be seen whether existing homeowners will be enticed to sell by higher home prices, which could finally bring the overall housing market into greater balance. For residential real estate activity in Hunterdon, Mercer and Somerset Counties. Percent changes are calculated using rounded figures. Median Sales Price Average Sales Price Percent of List Price Received Days on Market Until Sale Housing Affordability Index Inventory of Homes for Sale Months Supply of Inventory
Transcript
Page 1: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_CORE...Pending Sales Historical Pending Sales by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Monthly Snapshot

23456789

101112131415Total Market Overview

Monthly Indicators

December 2019

- 0.7% - 18.4%One-Year Change in

Closed SalesAll Properties

New Listings

Single Family Market OverviewTownhouse-Condo Market OverviewAdult Community Market Overview

Data as of January 20, 2020. All data from Bright MLS and Garden State MLS. Margin of error for reported statewide numbers is +/- 4% at a 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 1

One-Year Change in Homes for SaleAll Properties

One-Year Change in Median Sales Price

All Properties

+ 16.6%

Pending SalesClosed Sales

In 2019 home prices were up again in most markets. Buyer demand continues to be strong but with tepid seller activity still in many locations, total sales are lower than they would normally be in a more balanced market. While up from their recent lows a few months ago, mortgage rates end the year close to three-quarters of a percent lower than a year ago, helping to improve affordability and offset rising home prices.

• Single Family Closed Sales were up 0.2 percent to 578. • Townhouse-Condo Closed Sales were down 1.9 percent to 206. • Adult Communities Closed Sales were down 10.0 percent to 27.

• Single Family Median Sales Price increased 16.3 percent to $378,000. • Townhouse-Condo Median Sales Price increased 2.0 percent to $250,000. • Adult Communities Median Sales Price increased 27.8 percent to $465,000.

With low mortgage rates, low unemployment, and continued wage growth, home buyer activity is expected to remain healthy into the new year. New construction has been on the rise in 2019 and is expected to continue into 2020, but many experts note that the country is still not building enough new units to quench demand. It remains to be seen whether existing homeowners will be enticed to sell by higher home prices, which could finally bring the overall housing market into greater balance.

For residential real estate activity in Hunterdon, Mercer and Somerset Counties. Percent changes are calculated using rounded figures.

Median Sales PriceAverage Sales PricePercent of List Price ReceivedDays on Market Until SaleHousing Affordability IndexInventory of Homes for SaleMonths Supply of Inventory

Page 2: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_CORE...Pending Sales Historical Pending Sales by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Single Family Market Overview

Key Metrics Historical Sparklines 12-2018 12-2019 Percent Change YTD 2018 YTD 2019 Percent Change

Data as of January 20, 2020. All data from Bright MLS and Garden State MLS. Margin of error for reported statewide numbers is +/- 4% at a 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 2

--

Months Supply 4.4 3.3 - 25.0% -- -- --

Homes for Sale 2,690 2,100 - 21.9% -- --

+ 3.2%

Affordability Index 141 121 - 14.2% 127 122 - 3.9%

Days on Market 73 71 - 2.7% 63 65

+ 3.9%

Pct. of List Price Received 96.6% 97.2% + 0.6% 97.5% 97.5% 0.0%

Avg. Sales Price $393,939 $446,376 + 13.3% $433,192 $450,231

- 0.3%

Median Sales Price $325,000 $378,000 + 16.3% $362,000 $375,000 + 3.6%

Closed Sales 577 578 + 0.2% 7,496 7,475

11,406 - 4.3%

Pending Sales 388 387 - 0.3% 7,375 7,602 + 3.1%

11,918

Key metrics for Single Family Properties Only, excluding Manufactured Housing, for the report month and for year-to-date (YTD) starting from the first of the year.

New Listings 439 383 - 12.8%

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

Page 3: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_CORE...Pending Sales Historical Pending Sales by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Townhouse-Condo Market Overview

Key Metrics Historical Sparklines 12-2018 12-2019 Percent Change YTD 2018 YTD 2019 Percent Change

Key metrics for Townhouses and Condominiums Only for the report month and for year-to-date (YTD) starting from the first of the year.

3,532 - 0.2%

Pending Sales 138 135 - 2.2% 2,642 2,689 + 1.8%

3,540New Listings 123 129 + 4.9%

Closed Sales 210 206 - 1.9% 2,695 2,641 - 2.0%

+ 3.1%

$269,080 + 3.0%

Median Sales Price $245,070 $250,000 + 2.0% $242,500 $250,000

Avg. Sales Price $248,550 $278,216 + 11.9% $261,202

+ 0.4%

Days on Market 58 51 - 12.1% 49 50 + 2.0%

Pct. of List Price Received 97.3% 97.4% + 0.1% 97.4% 97.8%

- 3.2%

Homes for Sale 593 518 - 12.6% -- -- --

Affordability Index 187 183 - 2.1% 189 183

--Months Supply 2.7 2.3 - 14.8% -- --

Data as of January 20, 2020. All data from Bright MLS and Garden State MLS. Margin of error for reported statewide numbers is +/- 4% at a 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 3

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

Page 4: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_CORE...Pending Sales Historical Pending Sales by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Adult Community Market Overview

Key Metrics Historical Sparklines 12-2018 12-2019 Percent Change YTD 2018 YTD 2019 Percent Change

Key metrics for properties in Adult Communities Only for the report month and for year-to-date (YTD) starting from the first of the year.

New Listings 13 22 + 69.2% 541 + 20.0%

Pending Sales 16 10 - 37.5% 357 366 + 2.5%

451

Closed Sales 30 27 - 10.0% 372 374 + 0.5%

+ 5.9%

$380,629 - 4.2%

Median Sales Price $363,750 $465,000 + 27.8% $355,500 $376,500

Avg. Sales Price $380,733 $423,492 + 11.2% $397,419

0.0%

Days on Market 66 69 + 4.5% 59 60 + 1.7%

Pct. of List Price Received 98.3% 98.6% + 0.3% 98.3% 98.3%

- 5.4%

Homes for Sale 88 126 + 43.2% -- -- --

Affordability Index 126 99 - 21.4% 129 122

--Months Supply 3.0 4.1 + 36.7% -- --

Data as of January 20, 2020. All data from Bright MLS and Garden State MLS. Margin of error for reported statewide numbers is +/- 4% at a 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 4

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

Page 5: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_CORE...Pending Sales Historical Pending Sales by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

New Listings

Historical New Listings by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

January 2019 776 305 44

February 2019 932 307 46

March 2019 1,255 344 49

April 2019 1,443 398 58

May 2019 1,393 339 55

June 2019 1,059 331 60

July 2019 978 318 41

August 2019 795 284 43

September 2019 948 302 51

October 2019 877 297 46

November 2019 567 178 26

December 2019 383 129 22

12-Month Avg. 951 294 45 Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

A count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month.

Data as of January 20, 2020. All data from Bright MLS and Garden State MLS. Margin of error for reported statewide numbers is +/- 4% at a 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 5

401

154

26

439

123

13

383

129

22

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

December

0

250

500

750

1,000

1,250

1,500

1,750

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

11,843

3,459

446

11,918

3,540

451

11,406

3,532

541

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Year to Date

2017 2018 2019

+ 4.9%- 20.1%- 12.8%+ 9.5% + 2.3%- 4.3%+ 0.6% - 0.2%

2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019

- 11.3% - 0.5% - 2.5%- 4.3% + 69.2%- 50.0%2017 2018 2019

+ 30.0% + 20.0%+ 1.1%2017 2018 2019

- 8.2%

Page 6: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_CORE...Pending Sales Historical Pending Sales by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Pending Sales

Historical Pending Sales by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

January 2019 478 182 23

February 2019 523 211 28

March 2019 760 258 26

April 2019 803 269 38

May 2019 844 301 50

June 2019 746 235 32

July 2019 683 235 32

August 2019 739 252 33

September 2019 547 196 38

October 2019 566 218 27

November 2019 526 197 29

December 2019 387 135 10

12-Month Avg. 634 224 31 Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

Data as of January 20, 2020. All data from Bright MLS and Garden State MLS. Margin of error for reported statewide numbers is +/- 4% at a 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 6

A count of the properties on which offers have been accepted in a given month.

419

171

24

388

138

16

387

135

10

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

December

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

7,658

2,692

366

7,375

2,642

357

7,602

2,689

366

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Year to Date

2017 2018 2019

- 2.2%- 19.3%- 0.3%- 7.4% - 1.9%+ 3.1%- 3.7% + 1.8%

2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019

- 5.0% + 6.0% + 3.6%+ 19.6% - 37.5%- 33.3%2017 2018 2019

- 4.0% + 2.5%- 2.5%2017 2018 2019

+ 3.4%

Page 7: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_CORE...Pending Sales Historical Pending Sales by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Closed Sales

Historical Closed Sales by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

January 2019 437 161 21

February 2019 385 144 22

March 2019 514 196 18

April 2019 550 214 30

May 2019 720 266 39

June 2019 808 281 47

July 2019 841 276 33

August 2019 843 262 37

September 2019 623 209 31

October 2019 631 226 34

November 2019 545 200 35

December 2019 578 206 27

12-Month Avg. 623 220 31 Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

Data as of January 20, 2020. All data from Bright MLS and Garden State MLS. Margin of error for reported statewide numbers is +/- 4% at a 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 7

A count of the actual sales that closed in a given month.

609

215

29

577

210

30

578

206

27

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

December

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

7,701

2,677

358

7,496

2,695

372

7,475

2,641

374

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Year to Date

2017 2018 2019

- 1.9%- 2.3%+ 0.2%- 5.3% + 0.7%- 0.3%- 2.7% - 2.0%

2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019

+ 3.6% + 7.4% + 3.2%- 2.7% - 10.0%+ 3.4%2017 2018 2019

+ 20.8% + 0.5%+ 3.9%2017 2018 2019

+ 5.0%

Page 8: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_CORE...Pending Sales Historical Pending Sales by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Median Sales Price

Historical Median Sales Price by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

January 2019 $335,000 $249,900 $369,250

February 2019 $330,000 $225,000 $412,500

March 2019 $325,000 $229,500 $436,000

April 2019 $340,000 $236,250 $368,750

May 2019 $370,000 $257,250 $340,000

June 2019 $415,450 $249,000 $390,001

July 2019 $418,500 $270,000 $369,900

August 2019 $425,000 $249,950 $355,000

September 2019 $365,000 $250,000 $345,000

October 2019 $375,000 $261,250 $419,491

November 2019 $380,000 $240,500 $395,000

December 2019 $378,000 $250,000 $465,000

12-Month Med.* $375,000 $250,000 $376,500 Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

Point at which half of the sales sold for more and half sold for less, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

Data as of January 20, 2020. All data from Bright MLS and Garden State MLS. Margin of error for reported statewide numbers is +/- 4% at a 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 8

* Median Sales Price for all properties from January 2019 through December 2019. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

$345,000

$234,500

$340,000$325,000

$245,070

$363,750$378,000

$250,000

$465,000

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

December

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

$400,000

$450,000

$500,000

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

$365,000

$240,000

$349,700$362,000

$242,500

$355,500$375,000

$250,000

$376,500

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Year to Date

2017 2018 2019

+ 2.0%+ 4.5%+ 16.3%- 5.8% + 1.0%+ 3.6%- 0.8% + 3.1%

2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019

0.0% - 0.7% + 2.1%- 0.2% + 27.8%+ 7.0%2017 2018 2019

+ 1.5% + 5.9%+ 1.7%2017 2018 2019

+ 1.4%

Page 9: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_CORE...Pending Sales Historical Pending Sales by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Average Sales Price

Historical Average Sales Price by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

January 2019 $386,506 $264,590 $399,802

February 2019 $406,850 $239,146 $404,985

March 2019 $385,244 $248,625 $394,676

April 2019 $418,712 $262,850 $370,545

May 2019 $446,421 $277,138 $332,246

June 2019 $478,917 $284,783 $363,340

July 2019 $490,602 $292,492 $366,424

August 2019 $503,095 $263,180 $363,053

September 2019 $436,006 $252,661 $345,810

October 2019 $448,269 $277,075 $426,632

November 2019 $465,903 $261,956 $417,425

December 2019 $446,376 $278,216 $423,492

12-Month Avg.* $450,231 $269,080 $380,629 Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

Average sales price for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

Data as of January 20, 2020. All data from Bright MLS and Garden State MLS. Margin of error for reported statewide numbers is +/- 4% at a 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 9

* Avg. Sales Price for all properties from January 2019 through December 2019. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

$438,644

$258,758

$355,989

$393,939

$248,550

$380,733

$446,376

$278,216

$423,492

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

December

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

$435,696

$259,707

$357,919

$433,192

$261,202

$397,419

$450,231

$269,080

$380,629

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Year to Date

2017 2018 2019

+ 11.9%- 3.9%+ 13.3%- 10.2% + 0.6%+ 3.9%- 0.6% + 3.0%

2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019

+ 2.8% - 2.2% + 1.7%+ 1.0% + 11.2%+ 7.0%2017 2018 2019

- 17.1% - 4.2%+ 11.0%2017 2018 2019

- 2.7%

Page 10: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_CORE...Pending Sales Historical Pending Sales by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Percent of List Price Received

Historical Percent of List Price Received by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

January 2019 96.7% 97.8% 98.3%

February 2019 96.3% 97.3% 97.8%

March 2019 97.1% 97.4% 98.2%

April 2019 97.5% 97.8% 98.5%

May 2019 97.9% 98.1% 97.8%

June 2019 98.1% 97.6% 98.6%

July 2019 97.9% 98.8% 98.6%

August 2019 97.8% 97.8% 98.0%

September 2019 97.7% 97.5% 98.0%

October 2019 97.3% 98.0% 99.3%

November 2019 97.2% 97.8% 97.8%

December 2019 97.2% 97.4% 98.6%

12-Month Avg.* 97.5% 97.8% 98.3% Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

Percentage found when dividing a property’s sales price by its most recent list price, then taking the average for all properties sold in a given month, not accounting for seller concessions.

Data as of January 20, 2020. All data from Bright MLS and Garden State MLS. Margin of error for reported statewide numbers is +/- 4% at a 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 10

* Pct. of List Price Received for all properties from January 2019 through December 2019. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

97.0% 96.7%97.9%

96.6%97.3%

98.3%97.2% 97.4%

98.6%

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

December

92.0%

94.0%

96.0%

98.0%

100.0%

102.0%

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

97.3% 97.4% 97.7%97.5% 97.4%98.3%

97.5% 97.8%98.3%

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Year to Date

2017 2018 2019

+ 0.1%+ 0.6%+ 0.6%- 0.4% 0.0%0.0%+ 0.2% + 0.4%

2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019

+ 0.2% + 0.7% + 0.6%+ 0.1% + 0.3%+ 0.4%2017 2018 2019

+ 0.2% 0.0%+ 0.6%2017 2018 2019

- 0.1%

Page 11: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_CORE...Pending Sales Historical Pending Sales by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Days on Market Until Sale

Historical Days on Market Until Sale by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

January 2019 67 61 61

February 2019 83 67 67

March 2019 82 52 83

April 2019 62 62 49

May 2019 61 43 63

June 2019 56 44 48

July 2019 55 45 46

August 2019 58 45 52

September 2019 61 51 59

October 2019 75 52 68

November 2019 71 45 75

December 2019 71 51 69

12-Month Avg.* 65 50 60 Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

Average number of days between when a property is listed and when an offer is accepted in a given month.

Data as of January 20, 2020. All data from Bright MLS and Garden State MLS. Margin of error for reported statewide numbers is +/- 4% at a 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 11

* Days on Market for all properties from January 2019 through December 2019. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

74

54 55

73

58

6671

51

69

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

December

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

69

54

6663

49

5965

50

60

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Year to Date

2017 2018 2019

- 12.1%+ 7.4%- 2.7%- 1.4% - 9.3%+ 3.2%- 8.7% + 2.0%

2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019

- 6.3% - 10.4% - 11.5%- 10.0% + 4.5%+ 20.0%2017 2018 2019

- 16.7% + 1.7%- 10.6%2017 2018 2019

- 2.9%

Page 12: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_CORE...Pending Sales Historical Pending Sales by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Housing Affordability Index

Historical Housing Affordability Index by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

January 2019 137 183 124

February 2019 139 204 111

March 2019 141 200 105

April 2019 135 194 124

May 2019 124 178 135

June 2019 110 184 118

July 2019 110 170 124

August 2019 108 183 129

September 2019 126 183 133

October 2019 122 175 109

November 2019 121 191 116

December 2019 121 183 99

12-Month Avg.* 125 186 119 Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

Data as of January 20, 2020. All data from Bright MLS and Garden State MLS. Margin of error for reported statewide numbers is +/- 4% at a 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 12

This index measures housing affordability for the region. For example, an index of 120 means the median household income is 120% of what is necessary to qualify for the median-priced home under prevailing interest rates. A higher number means greater affordability.

* Affordability Index for all properties from January 2019 through December 2019. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

139

204

141141

187

126121

183

99

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

December

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

131

200

137127

189

129122

183

122

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Year to Date

2017 2018 2019

- 2.1%- 8.3%- 14.2%+ 1.4% - 5.5%- 3.9%- 3.1% - 3.2%

2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019

+ 5.3% + 5.6% + 3.6%+ 5.7% - 21.4%- 10.6%2017 2018 2019

+ 3.7% - 5.4%- 5.8%2017 2018 2019

+ 3.8%

Page 13: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_CORE...Pending Sales Historical Pending Sales by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Inventory of Homes for Sale

Historical Inventory of Homes for Sale by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

January 2019 2,641 634 103

February 2019 2,812 675 120

March 2019 3,049 707 132

April 2019 3,401 763 144

May 2019 3,646 721 138

June 2019 3,647 749 160

July 2019 3,588 776 154

August 2019 3,269 742 144

September 2019 3,243 767 145

October 2019 3,060 709 148

November 2019 2,633 624 134

December 2019 2,100 518 126

12-Month Avg. 3,091 699 137 Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

The number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of a given month.

Data as of January 20, 2020. All data from Bright MLS and Garden State MLS. Margin of error for reported statewide numbers is +/- 4% at a 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 13

2,580

579

90

2,690

593

88

2,100

518126

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

December

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

2017 2018 2019- 12.6%+ 2.4%- 21.9%+ 4.3%

2017 2018 2019- 15.1% - 14.7% + 43.2%- 2.2%

2017 2018 2019- 25.6%

Page 14: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_CORE...Pending Sales Historical Pending Sales by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Months Supply of Inventory

Historical Months Supply of Inventory by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

January 2019 4.3 2.8 3.4

February 2019 4.6 3.0 4.0

March 2019 4.9 3.2 4.4

April 2019 5.5 3.4 4.8

May 2019 5.9 3.2 4.4

June 2019 5.9 3.3 5.1

July 2019 5.8 3.5 5.0

August 2019 5.2 3.3 4.6

September 2019 5.1 3.4 4.6

October 2019 4.9 3.2 4.8

November 2019 4.2 2.8 4.3

December 2019 3.3 2.3 4.1

12-Month Avg.* 4.9 3.1 4.5 Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

The inventory of homes for sale at the end of a given month, divided by the average monthly pending sales from the last 12 months.

Data as of January 20, 2020. All data from Bright MLS and Garden State MLS. Margin of error for reported statewide numbers is +/- 4% at a 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 14

* Months Supply for all properties from January 2019 through December 2019. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

4.0

2.63.0

4.4

2.7 3.03.3

2.3

4.1

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

December

0

5

10

15

20

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

2017 2018 2019- 14.8%+ 3.8%- 25.0%+ 10.0%

2017 2018 2019- 20.0% - 16.1% + 36.7%0.0%

2017 2018 2019- 26.8%

Page 15: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_CORE...Pending Sales Historical Pending Sales by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Total Market Overview

Key Metrics Historical Sparklines 12-2018 12-2019 Percent Change YTD 2018 YTD 2019 Percent Change

--Months Supply 3.9 3.1 - 20.5% -- --

Data as of January 20, 2020. All data from Bright MLS and Garden State MLS. Margin of error for reported statewide numbers is +/- 4% at a 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 15

- 4.1%

Homes for Sale 3,378 2,757 - 18.4% -- -- --

Affordability Index 160 137 - 14.4% 145 139

+ 0.1%

Days on Market 69 66 - 4.3% 59 61 + 3.4%

Pct. of List Price Received 96.8% 97.3% + 0.5% 97.5% 97.6%

$401,675 + 3.5%

Median Sales Price $286,500 $334,000 + 16.6% $316,000 $330,000

Avg. Sales Price $355,579 $402,389 + 13.2% $387,979

10,513 - 0.5%

+ 4.4%

Closed Sales 818 812 - 0.7% 10,565

15,525 - 2.5%

Pending Sales 543 536 - 1.3% 10,376 10,683 + 3.0%

15,919

Key metrics for single-family properties, townhouses, condominiums and properties in adult communities combined, for the report month and for year-to-date (YTD) starting from the first of the year.

New Listings 578 534 - 7.6%

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019

12-2016 12-2017 12-2018 12-2019


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