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Equity Research Monday, May 30, 2016 Danareksa Sekuritas – Equity Research FROM EQUITY RESEARCH Ultrajaya: Milking opportunities (ULTJ IJ. Rp 3,860. NOT RATED) Ultra Jaya is a key player in Indonesia’s booming milk industry. Not only is the company the largest manufacturer of UHT liquid milk in Indonesia (with market share of 46.1%) but it is also the largest producer of Ready-to-drink (RTD) tea in cartons (with market share of 64.6%). Going forward, the company will retain its focus on the milk and tea drink market segments, whose respective size reached Rp5.8tn and Rp7.7tn (based on Nielsen data). To further guarantee its supply of milk, Ultra Jaya plans to open a new farm in Berastagi, North Sumatera, which will have the capacity to hold 23,000 cows (11,500 milking cows). The company also plans to build a new factory and Distribution Center in MM2100 (Cibitung) this year, to improve its distribution network. MARKET NEWS *Analysts’ comment inside AMRT targeting growth above 16% (BI) BRI is ready to distribute additional KUR (BI) Emitent to reinforce cement export (BI) SUPR explore bank loan option (BI) Previous Reports: Cikarang Listrindo: Powering a brighter future-Snapshot20160526 UNTR: Infra projects helped to endure weak Komatsu sales- Snapshot20160525 TPIA: Beneficiary of low oil prices-Snapshot20160520 AUTO: Weak monthly domestic car sales in April 2016- Snapshot20160517 Cement sales April: Not encouraging-Snapshot20160513 ITMG: 1Q16: Still depressed by coal price, but above expectation- Snapshot20160512 IDX ANNOUNCEMENT Corp Action Code Action Date Time (WIB) MPMX AGM 31-May-16 14 TFCO AGM 2-Jun-16 10 BEST AGM 2-Jun-16 10 Source: KSEI MORNING HIGHLIGHT Key Index Close Chg Ytd Vol (%) (%) (US$ m) Asean - 5 Indonesia 4,815 0.6 4.8 258 Thailand 1,413 0.8 9.7 1,090 Philippines 7,412 0.5 6.6 188 Malaysia 1,637 0.4 (3.3) 362 Singapore 2,803 1.1 (2.8) 672 Regional China 2,821 (0.0) (20.3) 40,386 Hong Kong 20,577 0.9 (6.1) 7,216 Japan 16,939 0.6 (11.0) 966 Korea 1,961 (0.4) (0.0) 4,129 Taiwan 8,464 0.8 1.5 2,057 India 26,654 1.1 2.1 503 NASDAQ 4,934 0.6 (1.5) 56,779 Dow Jones 17,873 0.3 2.6 6,050 Currency and Interest Rate Rate w-w m-m ytd (%) (%) (%) Rupiah Rp/1US$ 13,590 0.0 (3.5) 1.9 SBI rate % 6.60 - - (0.6) 10y Gov Indo bond 7.85 (0.1) 0.2 (0.9) Hard Commodities Unit Price d-d m-m ytd (%) (%) (%) Coal US$/ton 53 0.6 4.4 5.1 Gold US$/toz 1,207 (0.5) (6.7) 13.7 Nickel US$/mt.ton 8,379 0.3 (8.6) (4.6) Tin US$/mt.ton 16,225 2.2 (5.2) 11.2 Soft Commodities Unit Price d-d m-m ytd (%) (%) (%) Cocoa US$/mt.ton 3,034 (0.1) (6.8) (7.2) Corn US$/mt.ton 153 1.3 7.2 14.6 Oil (WTI) US$/barrel 50 0.3 7.8 33.6 Oil (Brent) US$/barrel 49 0.1 2.6 32.4 Palm oil MYR/mt.ton 2,597 1.6 (1.8) 18.0 Rubber US$/mt ton 127 (0.6) (18.5 ) 7.7 Pulp US$/tonne 796 N/A 0.8 (0.9) Coffee US$/60kgbag 105 0.3 1.5 2.6 Sugar US$/MT 485 0.2 5.3 14.9 Wheat US$/ton 131 0.1 (0.4) (0.4) Source: Bloomberg
Transcript

Equity Research

Monday, May 30, 2016

Danareksa Sekuritas – Equity Research

FROM EQUITY RESEARCH

Ultrajaya: Milking opportunities (ULTJ IJ. Rp 3,860. NOT RATED)

Ultra Jaya is a key player in Indonesia’s booming milk industry. Not only is the company the largest manufacturer of UHT liquid milk in Indonesia (with market share of 46.1%) but it is also the largest producer of Ready-to-drink (RTD) tea in cartons (with market share of 64.6%). Going forward, the company will retain its focus on the milk and tea drink market segments, whose respective size reached Rp5.8tn and Rp7.7tn (based on Nielsen data). To further guarantee its supply of milk, Ultra Jaya plans to open a new farm in Berastagi, North Sumatera, which will have the capacity to hold 23,000 cows (11,500 milking cows). The company also plans to build a new factory and Distribution Center in MM2100 (Cibitung) this year, to improve its distribution network.

MARKET NEWS

*Analysts’ comment inside

AMRT targeting growth above 16% (BI) BRI is ready to distribute additional KUR (BI) Emitent to reinforce cement export (BI) SUPR explore bank loan option (BI)

Previous Reports:

Cikarang Listrindo: Powering a brighter future-Snapshot20160526 UNTR: Infra projects helped to endure weak Komatsu sales-

Snapshot20160525 TPIA: Beneficiary of low oil prices-Snapshot20160520 AUTO: Weak monthly domestic car sales in April 2016-

Snapshot20160517 Cement sales April: Not encouraging-Snapshot20160513 ITMG: 1Q16: Still depressed by coal price, but above expectation-

Snapshot20160512

IDX ANNOUNCEMENT

Corp Action

Code Action Date Time (WIB)

MPMX AGM 31-May-16 14

TFCO AGM 2-Jun-16 10

BEST AGM 2-Jun-16 10

Source: KSEI

MORNING HIGHLIGHT

Key Index

Close

Chg Ytd Vol

(%) (%) (US$ m)

Asean - 5

Indonesia 4,815 0.6 4.8 258

Thailand 1,413 0.8 9.7 1,090

Philippines 7,412 0.5 6.6 188

Malaysia 1,637 0.4 (3.3) 362

Singapore 2,803 1.1 (2.8) 672

Regional

China 2,821 (0.0) (20.3) 40,386

Hong Kong 20,577 0.9 (6.1) 7,216

Japan 16,939 0.6 (11.0) 966

Korea 1,961 (0.4) (0.0) 4,129

Taiwan 8,464 0.8 1.5 2,057

India 26,654 1.1 2.1 503

NASDAQ 4,934 0.6 (1.5) 56,779

Dow Jones 17,873 0.3 2.6 6,050

Currency and Interest Rate

Rate

w-w m-m ytd

(%) (%) (%)

Rupiah Rp/1US$ 13,590 0.0 (3.5) 1.9

SBI rate % 6.60 - - (0.6)

10y Gov Indo bond 7.85 (0.1) 0.2 (0.9)

Hard Commodities

Unit Price

d-d m-m ytd

(%) (%) (%)

Coal US$/ton 53 0.6 4.4 5.1

Gold US$/toz 1,207 (0.5) (6.7) 13.7

Nickel US$/mt.ton 8,379 0.3 (8.6) (4.6)

Tin US$/mt.ton 16,225 2.2 (5.2) 11.2

Soft Commodities

Unit Price

d-d m-m ytd

(%) (%) (%)

Cocoa US$/mt.ton 3,034 (0.1) (6.8) (7.2)

Corn US$/mt.ton 153 1.3 7.2 14.6

Oil (WTI) US$/barrel 50 0.3 7.8 33.6

Oil (Brent) US$/barrel 49 0.1 2.6 32.4

Palm oil MYR/mt.ton 2,597 1.6 (1.8) 18.0

Rubber US$/mt ton 127 (0.6) (18.5

) 7.7

Pulp US$/tonne 796 N/A 0.8 (0.9)

Coffee US$/60kgbag 105 0.3 1.5 2.6

Sugar US$/MT 485 0.2 5.3 14.9

Wheat US$/ton 131 0.1 (0.4) (0.4)

Source: Bloomberg

Equity Research

Monday, May 30, 2016

Danareksa Sekuritas – Equity Research

PT Danareksa Sekuritas

Jl. Medan Merdeka Selatan No. 14 Jakarta 10110 Indonesia Tel (62 21) 29 555 888 Fax (62 21) 350 1709

Equity Research Team

Sales team

[email protected] (62-21) 29555 888 ext.3512 Technical Analyst

Lucky Bayu Purnomo

[email protected] (62-21) 2955 5831 Auto, Coal, Heavy Equip., Metal, Cement

Stefanus Darmagiri

[email protected] (62-21) 2955 5824 Consumer

Puti Adani

[email protected] (62 21) 29555 888 ext. 3151

Ermawati A. Erman [email protected] (62 21) 29555 888 ext. 3128

Novrita E. Putrianti [email protected] (62 21) 29555 888 ext. 3132

Ehrliech Suhartono

[email protected] (62 21) 29555 888 ext. 3145

Yunita L. Nababan

[email protected] (62 21) 29555 888 ext. 3125

Laksmita Armandani

[email protected] (62 21) 29555 888 ext. 3109

Muhammad Hardiansyah

[email protected] (62 21) 29555 888 ext. 3121

Tuty Sutopo

[email protected] (62 21) 29555 888 ext. 3137

Upik Yuzarni

[email protected] (62 21) 29555 888 ext. 3139

Kevin Giarto

[email protected] (62-21) 29555 888 ext.3504 Cement

Antonia Febe Hartono

[email protected] (62-21) 29555 888 ext.3508 Consumer, Tobacco

Natalia Sutanto

Monday, 30 May 2016

CONSUMER/COMPANY VISIT

Ultrajaya Milking opportunities Ultra Jaya is a key player in Indonesia’s booming milk industry. Not only is the company

the largest manufacturer of UHT liquid milk in Indonesia (with market share of 46.1%)

but it is also the largest producer of Ready-to-drink (RTD) tea in cartons (with market

share of 64.6%). Going forward, the company will retain its focus on the milk and tea

drink market segments, whose respective size reached Rp5.8tn and Rp7.7tn (based on

Nielsen data). To further guarantee its supply of milk, Ultra Jaya plans to open a new

farm in Berastagi, North Sumatera, which will have the capacity to hold 23,000 cows

(11,500 milking cows). The company also plans to build a new factory and Distribution

Center in MM2100 (Cibitung) this year, to improve its distribution network.

The market leader in UHT liquid milk

Ultra Jaya is the pioneer in the manufacturing of liquid milk in Indonesia through Ultra

High Temperature (UHT) processing, partnering Tetra Pack since 1975. With a 40-year

track record, the company holds the largest market shares in the UHT liquid milk and the

RTD tea (in cartons) segments of 46.1% and 64.6%, respectively. In addition to this, the

company also has toll manufacturing agreements with Unilever (to produce Buavita –

juice products), Mondelez International (whose brands include Kraft and Cadbury) and

Sanghyang Perkasa (a subsidiary of Kalbe Farma - to produce powdered milk under the

Morinaga brand). Its dairy milk products (which carry the brand name Ultra) made the

largest contribution to its 9M15 revenues (65%), followed by tea and health drinks (25% -

with brands such as Teh Kotak and Sari Kacang Ijo) and others (10%).

New dairy farm in Sumatera – long term plans to reduce milk imports

To fulfill its raw milk supply, the company maintains long-term relationships with local

dairy farmers and the South Bandung Farmers’ cooperative (KPBS). At the same time,

Ultra also has a joint venture with KPBS to operate a model dairy farm which has around

3,400 cows (1,700 milking cows). The local supply of milk combined with milk imports

ensures a consistent supply of high quality raw milk. With the goal of further

guaranteeing its supply of milk, the company plans to open a new dairy farm in Sumatera

(Brastagi, Lake Toba) through a JV with a local partner (PT Karya Putrajaya). The new farm

will have the capacity to hold 23,000 cows (11,500 milking cows) and utilize international

technology and equipment. However, this strategic plan will be undertaken in phases,

meaning that the company will need more time to reduce its dependency on imported

milk.

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1Q16

Revenue (Rp mn) 2,102 2,810 3,460 3,917 4,394 1,097

Operating Income (Rp mn) 182 453 463 356 689 210

Net income (Rp mn) 128 353 325 291 519 166

EPS (Rp) 44 122 113 101 180 58

EPS growth (%) 18.9 177.3 (7.7) (10.3) 78.2 Na

Gross margin (%) 29.8 32.1 29.3 23.9 31.5 31.6

EBITDA margin (%) 14.6 21.0 17.2 13.0 19.6 19.9

Net margin (%) 6.1 12.6 9.4 7.4 11.8 15.1

P/E (x) 87.7 31.6 34.3 38.2 21.4 16.6*

ROE (%) 9.7 23.4 17.7 13.7 20.6 20.1

Source: Bloomberg *Annualized

NOT RATED

ULTJ IJ/ ULTJ.JK

Last Price, Rp 3,860

No. of shares (bn) 2.9

Market Cap, Rp bn 11,149 (US$ mn) 822

3M T/O, US$mn 0.04

Relative to JCI

Natalia Sutanto [email protected] (62-21) 29555 888 ext.3508 Puti Adani [email protected] (62-21) 29555 888 ext.3511

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

3200

3400

3600

3800

4000

4200

4400

Dec

-14

Jan

-15

Feb

-15

Mar

-15

Ap

r-1

5

May

-15

Jun

-15

Jul-

15

Au

g-1

5

Sep

-15

Oct

-15

No

v-1

5

Dec

-15

Jan

-16

Feb

-16

Mar

-16

Ap

r-1

6

May

-16

ULTJ (LHS) Relative to JCI (RHS)

(Rp) (%)

Danareksa research reports are also available at Reuters Multex and First Call Direct and Bloomberg.

30 May 2016 Ultra Jaya

2

Better performance expected in subsequent quarters

The company booked solid FY15 revenues growth of 12.2% yoy, mostly contributed by

higher volumes (up around 10% yoy) since the company found it difficult to raise selling

prices last year given the weak purchasing power. Nonetheless, soft milk prices were a

major factor supporting the company’s robust earnings growth which reached 78% yoy.

For 2016, the company foresees a slight improvement in sales volumes with better

performance expected in subsequent quarters. Some price hikes have already been made

this year: in May 2016, the average selling prices of its dairy products were raised by an

amount less than 5%. Nonetheless, the selling prices of its tea products were kept

unchanged due to the tough market conditions. For 2016, the company provides

guidance of 15% yoy revenues growth with the gross margin maintained at 30%. At the

current share price, ULTJ trades at FY16 annualized P/E of 16.8x (FY15: 21.6x).

Exhibit 1. Volume market share of UHT milk Exhibit 2. Volume market share of RTD tea in cartons

Source: Company, Nielsen Source: Company, Nielsen

Exhibit 3. Market size of liquid milk Exhibit 4. Market size of RTD tea

Source: Company, Nielsen Source: Company, Nielsen

4,514 5,195

5,775

-

3,000

6,000

9,000

9M2013 9M2014 9M2015

(IDR bn)

-

3,000

6,000

9,000

9M2013 9M2014 9M2015

(IDR bn)

30 May 2016 Ultra Jaya

3

Exhibit 5. Consumption per capita, 2014

Source: Company, Nielsen

Exhibit 6. Product development history

Source: Company

54.1

34.0

14.6 13.9

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Malaysia Thailand Philippines Indonesia

(L)

Equity Research

Monday, May 30, 2016

Danareksa Sekuritas – Equity Research

AMRT targeting growth above 16% (BI)

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT) is targeting revenue growth of over 16% by building 1,200 new stores with Rp2.9tn capex

allocated. The allocation of capex included the opening of new stores and store lease extension worth Rp 2.2tn, construction of

warehouses Rp 500 bn and Rp 200bn for IT development. 70% of funding will be derived from internal cash while the rest is

bank loans.

BRI is ready to distribute additional KUR (BI)

Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI) is ready to receive an additional allocation of retail KUR, which has been discharged since last

March, or had channeled the whole allocated Rp 6 tn. Retail KUR loans disbursed faster due to large size with a ceiling of Rp

25mn to Rp 500mn per debtor. For micro KUR distribution has reached Rp 31tn.

Emitent to reinforce cement export (BI)

Holcim Indonesia (SMCB) plans to export to Bangladesh and Sri Lanka, after previously selling to Australia, but still reluctant to

forecast sales growth in 2016. Indocement (INTP) also plans to increase export sales of to 700,000 tons in 2016, with export

destinations mostly are Asian countries. Semen Indonesia (SMGR) plans to set up a special subsidiary to take care of cement

sales to and from abroad, namely the Semen Indonesia International, with countries that are considered potential is

Bangladesh.

SUPR explore bank loan option (BI)

Solusi Tunas Pratama (SUPR) is exploring options of bank loans and bond issuance to refinancing US$ 311 mn. Refinance is done

for the old loan denominated in rupiah, and is currently exploring options to receive rupiah loan from local banks. The loans to

be refinance is a term loan term facility worth US$ 315mn and a revolving facility worth US$ 10mn.

MARKET NEWS

Price Mkt Cap

Target Rp Bn 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2016

Danareksa Universe 2,719,570 159,372 178,607 360.3 403.8 7% 12% 17.1 15.2 19.2 17.1 2.6 2.3 16.1

Auto 271,240 18,063 20,702 397.8 455.9 13% 15% 15.0 13.1 11.3 10.2 1.9 1.7 13.3

Astra International HOLD 6,700 6,700 271,240 18,063 20,702 446 511 412 461 13% 15% 15.0 13.1 11.3 10.2 1.9 1.7 28.0 13.3

Banks 892,587 77,627 86,048 761.8 844.5 8% 11% 11.5 10.4 1.9 1.7 17.9

BCA BUY 13,000 15,425 320,515 19,792 22,201 794 890 794 890 10% 12% 16.4 14.6 N/A N/A 3.0 2.5 N/A 20.1

BNI BUY 4,630 5,850 86,343 8,596 9,810 461 526 461 526 15% 14% 10.0 8.8 N/A N/A 1.2 1.1 N/A 12.6

BRI BUY 10,400 13,400 256,559 25,863 28,463 1,048 1,154 1,048 1,154 6% 10% 9.9 9.0 N/A N/A 1.9 1.6 N/A 20.7

Bank Tabungan Negara BUY 1,700 1,450 18,003 1,964 2,395 187 228 187 228 24% 22% 9.1 7.5 N/A N/A 1.2 1.1 N/A 13.8

Bank Mandiri BUY 9,050 11,450 211,167 21,413 23,179 918 993 918 993 6% 8% 9.9 9.1 N/A N/A 1.6 1.4 N/A 16.8

Cement 120,115 9,047 8,489 465 436 -2% -6% 13.3 14.1 7.8 7.8 2.1 2.0 16.3

Indocement HOLD 16,550 18,700 60,924 4,148 4,075 1,127 1,107 1,114 1,094 -5% -2% 14.7 15.0 8.5 8.4 2.4 2.3 net cash 16.9

Semen Indonesia BUY 9,100 12,100 53,977 4,582 4,228 772 713 766 707 1% -8% 11.8 12.8 7.2 7.4 1.8 1.7 3.3 16.5

Semen Baturaja SELL 530 330 5,214 317 186 32 19 32 19 -11% -41% 16.5 28.0 9.3 7.0 1.6 1.6 net cash 10.3

Cigarettes 581,105 17,509 19,507 2,662 2,966 4% 11% 33.2 29.8 22.0 19.9 7.7 7.1 24.1

Gudang Garam HOLD 71,325 74,000 137,236 6,189 7,053 3,216 3,666 3,216 3,666 -4% 14% 22.2 19.5 13.5 12.1 3.2 2.9 40.5 15.4

HM Sampoerna HOLD 95,400 105,000 443,870 11,320 12,455 2,433 2,677 2,447 2,691 4% 10% 39.2 35.6 28.0 25.5 13.5 13.0 5.5 34.8

Construction 76,454 3,243 4,005 115 142 32% 23% 23.6 19.1 10.8 8.7 2.9 2.5 13.1

Wijaya Karya HOLD 2,440 2,900 15,004 741 841 120 137 126 142 27% 14% 20.3 17.8 8.6 7.3 2.4 2.1 35.4 12.6

Pembangunan Perumahan BUY 3,520 4,700 17,045 857 1,045 177 216 185 227 35% 22% 19.9 16.3 8.4 7.2 3.2 2.4 27.1 19.1

Adhi Karya BUY 2,560 2,750 9,116 556 632 156 177 169 195 40% 14% 16.4 14.4 8.1 6.9 1.7 1.6 17.7 11.0

Waskita Karya BUY 2,600 2,150 35,288 1,089 1,487 80 110 80 110 31% 37% 32.4 23.7 16.6 11.6 3.6 3.2 24.9 11.7

Consumer 511,559 14,666 18,520 507 640 4% 26% 34.9 27.6 21.2 17.0 8.7 7.7 26.1

Indofood CBP BUY 16,300 13,800 95,045 3,130 4,761 537 816 524 804 -11% 52% 30.4 20.0 21.9 14.0 5.4 4.6 net cash 18.4

Indofood BUY 7,075 7,100 62,122 4,059 5,149 462 586 610 773 10% 27% 15.3 12.1 7.3 5.9 2.0 1.8 14.7 13.9

Unilever BUY 44,000 46,650 335,720 6,563 7,555 860 990 860 990 12% 15% 51.2 44.4 36.3 31.5 64.3 58.2 28.9 130.6

Kino Indonesia BUY 5,875 5,700 8,393 329 379 230 266 230 266 -2% 15% 25.5 22.1 15.8 14.0 4.1 3.5 2.2 17.2

Nippon Indosari Corpindo BUY 1,455 1,680 7,365 309 359 61 71 61 71 16% 16% 23.8 20.5 12.6 10.9 5.1 4.2 49.6 23.4

Mandom BUY 14,500 21,170 2,915 276 317 1,375 1,577 1,373 1,576 -47% 15% 10.5 9.2 5.3 4.9 1.7 1.5 net cash 15.9

Healthcare 120,496 3,341 3,768 260 335 39% 29% 36.1 32.0 21.3 18.4 6.2 5.6 18.0

Kalbe Farma HOLD 1,400 1,355 65,625 2,274 2,533 49 54 49 54 15% 11% 28.9 25.9 18.3 16.3 5.6 5.0 net cash 20.1

Kimia Farma HOLD 1,195 1,130 6,637 287 303 52 55 47 49 15% 6% 23.1 21.9 15.2 13.8 3.1 2.8 19.9 14.3

Siloam Hospital HOLD 9,375 10,500 10,838 134 204 116 177 127 191 91% 53% 81.1 53.1 16.3 12.0 5.8 5.2 28.4 7.4

Mitra Keluarga BUY 2,570 2,580 37,395 646 728 44 50 43 49 13% 13% 57.9 51.4 41.2 35.7 10.2 9.2 net cash 18.5

Heavy Equipment 51,849 5,409 5,580 1,450 1,496 40% 3% 9.6 9.3 3.1 2.6 1.3 1.2 14.3

United Tractors HOLD 13,900 17,000 51,849 5,409 5,580 1,450 1,496 1,450 1,496 40% 3% 9.6 9.3 3.1 2.6 1.3 1.2 net cash 14.3

Mining 87,650 3,988 5,161 50 65 -32% 29% 22.0 17.0 5.6 5.0 0.8 0.8 3.6

Adaro Energy BUY 695 750 22,230 1,577 1,652 49 52 49 52 -30% 5% 14.1 13.5 3.9 3.4 0.6 0.6 25.0 4.1

Timah HOLD 675 590 5,027 180 196 24 26 24 26 78% 9% 27.9 25.6 7.5 6.6 0.9 0.9 26.0 3.3

Vale Indonesia BUY 1,690 2,000 16,792 222 480 22 48 22 48 -67% 116% 75.6 35.0 6.5 5.6 0.7 0.7 net cash 0.9

Aneka Tambang BUY 670 472 16,101 (293) 50 (31) 5 (31) 5 -59% -117% (21.8) 128.9 20.5 16.3 1.0 1.0 22.7 -1.8

Bukit Asam BUY 6,675 8,800 15,380 1,610 1,834 741 844 741 844 -21% 14% 9.0 7.9 6.3 5.4 1.5 1.4 net cash 16.7

Indo Tambangraya Megah HOLD 8,800 7,300 9,943 814 1,044 720 924 720 924 -46% 28% 12.2 9.5 2.9 2.3 0.8 0.8 net cash 6.8

Harum Energy HOLD 805 790 2,176 (123) (95) (45) (35) (45) (35) -540% -22% (17.8) (22.9) 4.1 1.9 0.6 0.6 net cash -3.2

Property 99,443 8,608 9,107 84 89 14% 6% 11.6 10.9 8.6 8.0 1.7 1.5 15.5

Alam Sutera BUY 400 700 7,860 1,516 2,043 77 104 85 117 21% 35% 5.2 3.8 5.7 4.2 0.9 0.8 57.4 19.5

Bumi Serpong Damai BUY 1,815 2,100 34,933 2,617 2,842 150 162 156 169 10% 9% 12.1 11.2 10.3 9.4 2.0 1.8 net cash 16.2

Metropolitan Land BUY 320 620 2,450 322 341 43 45 43 45 11% 6% 7.5 7.1 5.6 5.3 1.0 0.9 27.2 13.9

Surya Semesta Internusa HOLD 660 1,040 3,105 415 477 88 101 93 106 -11% 15% 7.5 6.5 2.7 2.3 1.0 0.8 net cash 13.4

Lippo Karawaci BUY 985 1,200 22,732 1,763 1,236 82 57 64 40 13% -30% 12.1 17.2 9.1 10.5 1.3 1.2 27.4 10.6

PP Properti BUY 376 242 5,281 366 427 26 30 28 32 27% 17% 14.4 12.4 10.5 8.9 2.1 1.8 30.1 15.5

Summarecon BUY 1,600 2,045 23,083 1,609 1,741 111 121 111 120 21% 8% 14.3 13.3 10.5 10.0 3.0 2.6 27.9 23.0

Retail 27,567 1,211 1,487 47 57 17% 23% 22.8 18.5 10.6 9.3 2.8 2.6 12.6

Mitra Adi Perkasa BUY 3,880 4,650 6,441 275 438 166 264 175 272 71% 59% 23.4 14.7 6.5 5.7 1.9 1.8 67.4 8.4

Ramayana HOLD 790 775 5,606 331 369 47 52 47 52 3% 11% 16.9 15.2 9.7 8.6 1.6 1.5 net cash 9.4

Ace Hardware HOLD 905 745 15,521 604 681 35 40 34 38 9% 13% 25.7 22.8 17.7 15.7 5.3 4.7 net cash 21.7

Equity

Valuation Rating Price (Rp) Net profit, Rp bn EPS (Rp) EPS Growth PER (x)Core EPS (Rp) EV / EBITDA (x) PBV (x) ROENet Gearing

Equity Research

Monday, May 30, 2016

Danareksa Sekuritas – Equity Research

LEADERS Price as on

Code 27-May-2016 26-May-2016 Chg, % w-w, % m-m, % YTD, % Rating

PP Properti PPRO 376 356 5.6 3.3 24.1 111.2 BUY

Lippo Karawaci LPKR 985 945 4.2 5.3 (3.0) (4.8) BUY

Waskita Karya WSKT 2,600 2,500 4.0 5.3 10.9 55.7 BUY

Semen Baturaja SMBR 530 510 3.9 3.9 8.4 82.1 SELL

Gajah Tunggal GJTL 765 740 3.4 12.5 (3.8) 44.3 BUY

United Tractors UNTR 13,900 13,450 3.3 5.3 (7.3) (18.0) HOLD

Semen Indonesia SMGR 9,100 8,825 3.1 1.1 (8.1) (20.2) BUY

Ace Hardware ACES 905 880 2.8 4.0 (2.2) 9.7 HOLD

Indofood CBP ICBP 16,300 15,900 2.5 2.0 6.7 21.0 BUY

Siloam Hospital SILO 9,375 9,150 2.5 (0.3) 10.9 (4.3) HOLD

Sources: Bloomberg

LAGGARDS Price as on

Code 27-May-2016 26-May-2016 Chg, % w-w, % m-m, % YTD, % Rating

Aneka Tambang ANTM 670 680 (1.5) 1.5 (11.8) 113.4 BUY

Harum Energy HRUM 805 815 (1.2) (0.6) (11.0) 19.3 HOLD

HM Sampoerna HMSP 95,400 96,500 (1.1) (1.6) (4.5) 1.5 HOLD

Vale Indonesia INCO 1,690 1,705 (0.9) 12.3 (9.1) 3.4 BUY

Kino Indonesia KINO 5,875 5,925 (0.8) (1.7) 20.4 53.0 BUY

Mitra Keluarga MIKA 2,570 2,590 (0.8) 0.4 (3.2) 7.1 BUY

Timah TINS 675 680 (0.7) 5.5 (12.9) 33.7 HOLD

Adaro Energy ADRO 695 700 (0.7) 3.7 (4.8) 35.0 BUY

Ramayana RALS 790 795 (0.6) 17.9 12.9 22.5 HOLD

PP London Sumatra LSIP 1,500 1,505 (0.3) 2.0 (2.3) 13.6 HOLD

Sources: Bloomberg

COVERAGE PERFORMANCE

Equity Research

Monday, May 30, 2016

Danareksa Sekuritas – Equity Research

WEEKLY LEADERS

Price as on

Code 20-May-2016 13-Apr-2016 w-w, % m-m, % YTD, % Rating

Ramayana RALS 790 670 17.9 12.9 22.5 HOLD

Gajah Tunggal GJTL 765 680 12.5 (3.8) 44.3 BUY

Vale Indonesia INCO 1,690 1,505 12.3 (9.1) 3.4 BUY

Perusahaan Gas Negara PGAS 2,480 2,230 11.2 (5.3) (9.7) BUY

Indo Tambangraya Megah ITMG 8,800 8,075 9.0 12.8 53.7 HOLD

Wijaya Karya WIKA 2,440 2,240 8.9 (7.9) (7.6) HOLD

XL Axiata EXCL 3,480 3,200 8.7 0.2 (3.3) BUY

Surya Semesta Internusa SSIA 660 620 6.5 (4.3) (7.7) HOLD

Bank Rakyat Indonesia BBRI 10,400 9,800 6.1 0.5 (9.0) BUY

Bukit Asam PTBA 6,675 6,300 6.0 (5.3) 47.5 BUY

Sources: Bloomberg

WEEKLY LAGGARDS

Price as on

Code 20-May-2016 13-Apr-2016 w-w, % m-m, % YTD, % Rating

MNC Sky Vision MSKY 1,165 1,200 (2.9) (10.0) (12.7) HOLD

Kino Indonesia KINO 5,875 5,975 (1.7) 20.4 53.0 BUY

Gudang Garam GGRM 71,325 72,525 (1.7) 3.0 29.7 HOLD

HM Sampoerna HMSP 95,400 96,950 (1.6) (4.5) 1.5 HOLD

Mitra Adi Perkasa MAPI 3,880 3,940 (1.5) (7.6) 2.2 BUY

Harum Energy HRUM 805 810 (0.6) (11.0) 19.3 HOLD

Blue Bird BIRD 4,050 4,070 (0.5) (5.4) (43.0) BUY

Selamat Sempurna SMSM 4,820 4,840 (0.4) 2.1 1.3 BUY

Indosat ISAT 6,600 6,625 (0.4) (1.5) 20.0 BUY

Siloam Hospital SILO 9,375 9,400 (0.3) 10.9 (4.3) HOLD

Sources: Bloomberg

WEEKLY COVERAGE PERFORMANCE

Equity Research

Monday, May 30, 2016

Danareksa Sekuritas – Equity Research

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