New York Dairy Production Trends by County Dairy production trends in New York are highly regional. The Finger Lakes and some western counties have grown in milk production and cow numbers. The North Country and Capital Region have grown in milk production through increased production per cow despite declining cow numbers. Other regions of the state have experienced overall decline in milk production and decline in cow numbers. The conflicting trends in New York dairy growth show the New York dairy industry at a crossroads. Concerted strategic effort will be needed if sustainable growth in statewide production is to be obtained.
Transcript
New York Dairy Production Trends by County Dairy production trends in New York are highly regional. The Finger Lakes and some western counties have grown in milk production and cow numbers. The North Country and Capital Region have grown in milk production through increased production per cow despite declining cow numbers. Other regions of the state have experienced overall decline in milk production and decline in cow numbers. The conflicting trends in New York dairy growth show the New York dairy industry at a crossroads. Concerted strategic effort will be needed if sustainable growth in statewide production is to be obtained.
New York Milk Production by County Overall milk production in New York has grown in slowly in the past 10-12 years with regional increases in the Western New York, Northern New York and the Capital Region. Regional declines in the southwestern New York, the Catskills and the Southern Tier.
New York Dairy Cow Numbers Trends by County Most milk producing in counties in New York experienced declines in dairy cow numbers over the past 10-12 years . Reversing this trend is key to creating a sustainable dairy industry in New York.
U.S. Dairy Product Consumption Pounds Consumed Per Person
530
540
550
560
570
580
590
600
610
620
Po
un
ds
of
Dai
ry P
er
Pe
rso
n
Dairy Products Consumed
Source: Cornell Cooperative Extension of Chenango County using data from Wisconsin Milk Marketing Board
U.S. dairy product consumption is up significantly in recent decades
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New York Dairy Products
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1991 1996 2001 2006 2011
Mill
ion
s o
f P
ou
nd
s M
anu
fact
ure
d
Cheese
Yogurt
Demand for New York milk is growing dramatically. In order to keep pace with this demand, farmers, cooperatives, industry, government and researchers must work together to grow our dairy industry in a sustainable way.
Source: Cornell Cooperative Extension of Chenango County using data from National Ag Statistics Service, NYS Ag Report 7-2013 11/9/2012 5
U.S Per Capita Sales of Selected Milk Products
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
Po
un
ds
So
ld P
er
Cap
ita
Whole Milk
Reduced Fat Milk
Nonfat Milk
Flavored Milk
Yogurt
Cheese
Source: Cornell Cooperative Extension of Chenango County using data from Wisconsin Milk Marketing Board
Fluid milk consumption has had a steady decline for many years lead by reduced consumption of whole milk. Yogurt consumption has doubled in recent years and flavored milk consumption has had growth of 25%. Cheese has had steady growth.
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Milk Production Trends Northeast
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1991 1996 2001 2006 2011
Bill
ion
s o
f Lb
s o
f M
ilk
Chart Title
New York
Pennsylvania
Vermont
Ohio
Milk Production gains the Northeast have been slow with New York and Ohio growing slowly and Vermont and Pennsylvania declining. In New York cow and farm numbers have been declining but production per cow has increased, this is where NY dairy growth has come from in recent years.
Source: Cornell Cooperative Extension of Chenango County using data from National Agricultural Statistics Service
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Milk Production Trends Midwest and West
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1991 1996 2001 2006 2011
Bill
ion
Lb
s o
f M
ilk P
rod
uce
d
California
Wisconsin
Michigan
Idaho
New York
Texas
Western states have shown steady growth in milk production in recent years. Without a change in growth ,New York will likely fall behind several other milk producing states making us less competitive for dairy manufacturing jobs. Wisconsin is notable on this graph because their strategic planning began in 2000 and appears to have increased milk supply.
Source: Cornell Cooperative Extension of Chenango County using data from National Agricultural Statistics Service 11/9/2012 8
Number of New York Milk Cows
560000
580000
600000
620000
640000
660000
680000
700000
Nu
mb
er
of
co
ws
in N
Y
NY Milk Cow Numbers
Milk Cows
Over the past decade the number of milk cows in the State has been declining by about 9,000 (1.5 %) cows per year.
Source: Cornell Cooperative Extension of Chenango County using data from National Agricultural Statistics Service
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New York State Yearly Milk Production Per Cow
15000
16000
17000
18000
19000
20000
21000
22000
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
Lbs
of
Milk
Pe
r Ye
ar p
er
Co
w
N. Y. State
N. Y. State
Over the past decade New York milk production per cow has gone up about 2% per year.
Source: Cornell Cooperative Extension of Chenango County using data from National Agricultural Statistics Service
Number of New York Dairy Farms by Size of Herd
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Under 49
Cows
50 to 99
Cows
100 to 199
Cows
200 to 499
Cows
500 to 999
Cows
Over 1000 Cows
Nu
mb
ers
of
NY
far
ms
by
size
Most of New York ‘s dairy farms are small. To be accepted and effective, sustainable strategic planning for NY will need to benefit all sizes of farms.
Source: Cornell Cooperative Extension of Chenango County using data from 2007 Ag Census 11/9/2012 11
Percent of New York Dairy Farms by Size vs. Percent of Milk They Produce
0 5
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Pe
rce
nti
le
Percent of New York Farms by Herd Size
Percent of NY Milk Production by Farm Size
Both New York’s largest and smallest farms contribute an important amount to New York’s milk production. A successful dairy strategic plan for New York will need to help both small and larger farmers prosper.
Source: Cornell Cooperative Extension of Chenango County using data from 2007 Ag Census 11/9/2012 12
Annual Value of Milk Produced Per Individual Cow on Farms of Different Herd Sizes
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000 D
olla
rs P
er
Co
w p
er
Year
Gross income per cow tends to increase with herd size. In 2007, farms with over 1000 cows received 45% more income per cow than farms with 20-49 cows. In general, large farms are able to have feeding, cow comfort and breeding situations that are more favorable to higher milk production per cow than smaller farms.
Source: Cornell Cooperative Extension of Chenango County using data from 2007 Ag Census
Milk Production Per Cow by State 2011
23,438 20646
22934 21026
23260 23727 24854
Average lbs of milk per year per cow
Increasing New York’s average milk production to Michigan’s average ( 10.6%) would be the same as adding 65,000 cows to our herds.
Source: Cornell Cooperative Extension of Chenango County using data from USDA Milk Production ISSN: 1949 - 1557
