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P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 20031 US LHC The Role of the LHC in US HEP Dan Green US CMS Program Manager...

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P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 1 US LHC The Role of the LHC in US The Role of the LHC in US HEP HEP Dan Green US CMS Program Manager January 28, 2003
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P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 1

US

LHC The Role of the LHC in US HEPThe Role of the LHC in US HEPThe Role of the LHC in US HEPThe Role of the LHC in US HEP

Dan Green

US CMS Program Manager

January 28, 2003

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 2

US

LHC OutlineOutlineOutlineOutline

• US LHC - Physics and Technology

• US Construction Projects - Leadership

• US LHC Planning for the Physics – The Research Program (RP)

• SoftWare and Computing (SWC)• Maintenance and Operations (M&O)

• LHC Long Term Program – LHC Upgrades and Physics Reach.

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 3

US

LHC LHC Physics - PriorityLHC Physics - PriorityLHC Physics - PriorityLHC Physics - Priority

HEPAP Subpanel on Long Range Planning Report puts a high priority on the Physics of the LHC (all quotes in this talk are from the Subpanel Report).

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 4

US

LHC LHC - SM Higgs LHC - SM Higgs LHC - SM Higgs LHC - SM Higgs

The LHC detectors are designed to find the SM Higgs. Low mass is covered by , ttH(bb), qqH(WW*,). A low mass Higgs has many accessible decay modes couplings measured.

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 5

US

LHC LHC - SUSY LHC - SUSY LHC - SUSY LHC - SUSY

HEPAP Subpanel Report recognizes the importance of the SUSY search at LHC. Mass coverage up to ~ 3 TeV -> either prove or disprove SUSY hypothesis.

Energy matters! One month at 1/10 design luminosity extends mass reach by a lot.

LHC experiments must be ready on “week one” for new Physics.

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 6

US

LHC LHC – Computing GridsLHC – Computing GridsLHC – Computing GridsLHC – Computing Grids

The IT tools developed for LHC physics analysis are and will be vital to the advancement of global science. Grid computing will make a major impact in many areas of business and commerce. The leading role of LHC was recognized in the HEPAP Subpanel Report.

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 7

US

LHC US and the LHC AcceleratorUS and the LHC AcceleratorUS and the LHC AcceleratorUS and the LHC Accelerator

HEPAP Subpanel Report recognizes that LHC accelerator work in the US (BNL, FNAL, and LBNL) sustains the enabling technology of future accelerators.

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 8

US

LHCUS LHC – Education and US LHC – Education and

OutreachOutreachUS LHC – Education and US LHC – Education and

OutreachOutreach

US LHC is very active in Education and Outreach work. Examples are Research Experience for Undergraduates (REU), Research Experience for Teachers (RET) , and Quarknet (third year, 36 centers in the US)

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 9

US

LHC US Role in the LHC ProgramUS Role in the LHC ProgramUS Role in the LHC ProgramUS Role in the LHC Program

• The US is investing 531 M$, plus the efforts of many talented HEP physicists, in the LHC. The NP community may soon join.

• US physicists have achieved leadership roles in detector construction (e.g. R. Loveless – CMS ME), software and computing (e.g. D. Stickland – CMS SWC), and high- field superconducting quadrupole construction.

• It is essential to capitalize on that investment by ensuring that US physicists also play a leadership role in the analysis and publication of LHC data.

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 10

US

LHC US Leadership in ATLAS, CMSUS Leadership in ATLAS, CMSUS Leadership in ATLAS, CMSUS Leadership in ATLAS, CMS

HEPAP Subpanel Report recognizes US leadership and the need to sustain it during the Research program.

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 11

US

LHC US LHC Construction ProjectsUS LHC Construction ProjectsUS LHC Construction ProjectsUS LHC Construction Projects

The 531 M$ investment has been wisely used. The Projects are on schedule (for 2005 ~ completion) and on budget. The US LHC Projects are progressing steadily toward completion.

US CMS - Total Cost and Scheduled Cost

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Sep

-96

Sep

-97

Sep

-98

Sep

-99

Sep

-00

Sep

-01

Sep

-02

Sep

-03

Sep

-04

Sep

-05

AY

(M$)

Scheduled

Total

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 12

US

LHC U.S. ATLAS InstitutionsU.S. ATLAS InstitutionsU.S. ATLAS InstitutionsU.S. ATLAS InstitutionsArgonne National Laboratory University of Arizona Boston University Brandeis University Brookhaven National Laboratory University of California, Berkeley/Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory University of California, Irvine University of California, Santa Cruz University of Chicago Columbia University (Nevis Laboratory) Duke University Hampton University Harvard University University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Indiana University Iowa State University Massachusetts Institute of Technology University of Michigan Michigan State University University of New Mexico State University of New York at Albany State University of New York at Stony Brook Northern Illinois University Ohio State University University of Oklahoma/Langston University University of Pennsylvania University of Pittsburgh University of Rochester Southern Methodist University University of Texas at Arlington Tufts University University of Washington University of Wisconsin, Madison

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 13

US

LHC Scientific Effort on ATLASScientific Effort on ATLASScientific Effort on ATLASScientific Effort on ATLAS

US ATLAS effort will ramp up by a factor ~ 2 by FY07 in anticipation of first LHC beam

U.S. ATLAS Scientific Personnel Projections

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

FY-01 FY-02 FY-03 FY-04 FY-05 FY-06 FY-07 FY-08 FY-09 FY-10

Fiscal Year

FTE

s

Grad Student

Post Docs

Term Scientist

Senior Scientist

Faculty

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 14

US

LHCUS CMSUS CMS

387 Members from 38 Institutions387 Members from 38 InstitutionsUS CMSUS CMS

387 Members from 38 Institutions387 Members from 38 Institutions

The US community is about 20 % of the entire LHC collaborations and is the largest single country within the collaborations. The US LHC collaborations are large and will continue to grow as the time for first beam approaches.

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 15

US

LHC US LHC and the RPUS LHC and the RPUS LHC and the RPUS LHC and the RP

US CMS has made a survey of intent. It appears US CMS will grow by a factor ~ 2 by FY07.

In addition, new groups will join before first beam.

Scientific Effort on US CMS

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 >FY07

FT

E

Grad Students

Post Docs

Scientists

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 16

US

LHC LHC and US DemographicsLHC and US DemographicsLHC and US DemographicsLHC and US Demographics

There are ~ 2000 HEP physicists (DOE+NSF), ~ 1500 experimenters. US LHC is presently ~ 300 and would need to redirect to ~ 600 grad students + postdocs + faculty. The US LHC community will be a substantial fraction of US HEP accelerator based experimenters by first beam.

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 17

US

LHC Planning for the PhysicsPlanning for the PhysicsPlanning for the PhysicsPlanning for the Physics

• The LHC schedule has slipped ~ 2 years. The US has maintained its schedule to complete in ~ 2005.

• SWC has already begun because U.S. physicists contribute to insure participation in the physics. The involvement is driven by the desire to do physics on day 1. In addition, considerable time is required to create and deploy the new, absolutely necessary Grid architecture.

• M&O has begun as needed in order to commission detector and accelerator systems built and delivered by the US. Again, we want to commission the detector to be ready for physics (for example a SUSY search) immediately after beam arrives.

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 18

US

LHC LHC Physics in the USLHC Physics in the USLHC Physics in the USLHC Physics in the US

In US CMS, planning is in place for a “collaboratory” or virtual laboratory. Elements are Virtual Control Room (commissioning, shifts) and Physics Analysis Center ( teleconf, analysis groups). This support goes directly and solely to US HEP physicists.

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 19

US

LHC

US CMS M&O Estimated US CMS M&O Estimated Personnel NeedsPersonnel Needs

US CMS M&O Estimated US CMS M&O Estimated Personnel NeedsPersonnel Needs

US CMS Project/Pre-Ops/Ops Resources

0

50

100

150

200

250

FTE'

s

Tech-M&O

Engr-M&O

Phys-M&O

Tech-Constr

Engr-Constr

Phys-Constr

Note the roll off of construction and the ramp up of M&O starting in FY05.

BaBar Reality check – eng + techs

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 20

US

LHCUS ATLAS - Tier 1 Facility US ATLAS - Tier 1 Facility

StaffingStaffingUS ATLAS - Tier 1 Facility US ATLAS - Tier 1 Facility

StaffingStaffing

0

5

10

15

20

25

FTE's

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Evolution of Tier 1 Staff

Mngmnt & Planning

WAN/Grid/AFS etc.

Local Infrastructure

User Support

Disk Systems

Mass Storage

Linux Farms

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 21

US

LHCUS LHC AcceleratorUS LHC AcceleratorBNL – FNAL - LBNLBNL – FNAL - LBNLUS LHC AcceleratorUS LHC AcceleratorBNL – FNAL - LBNLBNL – FNAL - LBNL

The Construction Project is completing. The collaboration proposes to apply their expertise to LHC machine commissioning. Also they propose to develop Upgrades to extend the performance and physics reach of the LHC. These efforts give forefront research opportunities to US accelerator physicists and possibilities to extend US leadership in state-of-the art- accelerator technology, e.g. SC magnets.

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 22

US

LHCUS LHC Accelerator US LHC Accelerator

Research Program (RP)Research Program (RP)US LHC Accelerator US LHC Accelerator

Research Program (RP)Research Program (RP)• The US national labs have made a

significant investment in and are making a significant contribution to the construction of the LHC.

• Leadership in IR design and construction

• Boost to accelerator technology at US labs.

• We should exploit and extend this investment by continuing the collaboration with CERN into commissioning, operating, and doing R&D for upgrades for the LHC program.

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 23

US

LHC US LHC Accelerator RPUS LHC Accelerator RPUS LHC Accelerator RPUS LHC Accelerator RP

• The RP includes design of new IR for a high luminosity upgrade of LHC.

• The US labs are uniquely positioned to take an early lead in R&D for high performance Nb3Sn quads.

• The quads to be delivered in 2005 were designed in 1995. For a 2015 installation, design and R&D should begin no later than 2005 and be complete by 2011.

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 24

US

LHC U.S. ATLAS Research ProgramU.S. ATLAS Research ProgramU.S. ATLAS Research ProgramU.S. ATLAS Research Program

U.S. ATLAS Research Program Needs

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

FY 03 FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08

Fiscal Year

AY M

$

Management Reserve

Project Office

Education

Upgrade R&D

M&O

Computing

U.S. ATLAS Budget Authority

-

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

40.00

AY

(M

$)

Research Program

Construction

US ATLAS has made resource loaded schedules for M&O, SWC, and Upgrade R&D. That planning leads to the US ATLAS RP Needs shown.

The current cost estimates exceed the funding guidance – or budget authority - from DOE and NSF (BA) shown for comparison.

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 25

US

LHC Cost Estimates for the RPCost Estimates for the RPCost Estimates for the RPCost Estimates for the RP

The US LHC community has carefully estimated and scrubbed the costs for the Research Program. The US ATLAS + US CMS + Accelerator community estimate that more than 80 M$ support is needed in FY07 and beyond. Present planning within the guidance provided in the Budget Authority delays R&D for upgrades, slows the SWC ramp up, and reduces the contingency fund to a level which limits management agility.

U.S. LHC Accelerator Budget Authority

$M

$5M

$10M

$15M

$20M

$25M

$30M

$35M

$40M

FY

96

FY

97

FY

98

FY

99

FY

00

FY

01

FY

02

FY

03

FY

04

FY

05

FY

06

FY

07

AY

$ Research ProgramConstruction

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 26

US

LHC HEP FundingHEP FundingHEP FundingHEP Funding

DOE HEP funding is ~ constant at ~ 700 AY M$. The US LHC community, a large fraction of all US HEP accelerator based physicists, requests of DOE ~ 25 + 25 + 10 AYM$ for US ATLAS, US CMS and the LHC Accelerator RP. From NSF the estimate is 10 + 10 + 0 AYM$. Clearly the LHC is a great bargain.

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 27

US

LHC Research Program - UpgradesResearch Program - UpgradesResearch Program - UpgradesResearch Program - Upgrades

HEPAP Subpanel Report gives strong support to LHC Upgrades. The present Budget Authority makes strong Upgrade R&D impossible in a timely fashion. Note that an upgrade is a very cost effective way to maximize the Physics output of the pre-existing LHC complex

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 28

US

LHC LHC UpgradesLHC UpgradesLHC UpgradesLHC Upgrades

The guidance – or Budget Authority - on RP funding means we must delay Upgrade R&D. Additional U.S. funds will also be needed after the R&D to upgrade the LHC and its detectors if the U.S. is to provide its appropriate share.

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 29

US

LHC P5 and the LHC RPP5 and the LHC RPP5 and the LHC RPP5 and the LHC RP

Construction

Projects

Research Program

R&D in support of Upgrades

P5

Prepare TDR for major Upgrade of LHC and/or detectors

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 30

US

LHC LHC Physics and UpgradeLHC Physics and UpgradeLHC Physics and UpgradeLHC Physics and Upgrade

In general mass reach is increased by ~ 1.5 TeV (25 %) for Z’, heavy SUSY squarks or gluinos or extra dimension mass scales. A ~ 20% measurement of the HHH coupling is possible for Higgs masses from ~150 to 200 GeV. However, to realize these improvements we need to launch the necessary accelerator R&D and maintain the capabilities of the LHC detectors by upgrading them in a modest fashion.

P5 Meeting - Jan. 28-29, 2003 31

US

LHC SummarySummarySummarySummary

• The Physics program available at the LHC is absolutely first class – with discovery potential and precision measurements possible.

• The technical edge given by advanced detectors, high field magnets and grid computing enables the LHC program and its US participants to stay on the frontier of our science.

• US physicists are in leadership positions in the LHC. This is made possible by the DOE/NSF investment.

• The gains realized from US investment are, and will continue to be, a great bargain.

• In order to realize that benefit, there must be sustained attention to the Research Program. Strong participation in the Physics analysis and Upgrades are crucial if the US is to maintain its leadership.


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