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February 2014 — Paper & Packaging Monitor Paper & Packaging Monitor (Inventory & Equipment)
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Page 2: Paper & Packaging Monitor - Great ... - Great American Group and... · February 2014 — Paper & Packaging Monitor 1 Pricing TrendsTrend Tracker1 Market Prices Quarter Year Paper

1 February 2014 — Paper & Packaging Monitor

1 Pricing Trends Trend Tracker

Market Prices

Quarter Year

Paper

Packaging

Pulp

Paper Packaging

NOLVs

Sales Trends

Gross Margin

Inventory

Paper / Printing / Bindery

Used Pricing

Used Trade Movement

OEM Pricing

Technology

Advancement

Auction Activity

NOLVs: Paper NOLVs have been consistent to decreasing, with

decreases largely due to a poor inventory mix. Packaging NOLVs have

been decreasing due to a poor inventory mix, as well as input cost

increases.

Sales Trends: Sales were mixed among paper operators, with demand

limited for small-volume paper grades but strong for specialty papers.

Sales were consistent to decreasing for packaging operators, with

demand limited for small-volume boxes.

Gross Margin: Gross margins have remained consistent for paper

products but have decreased for packaging due to lingering effects

related to rising input costs.

Inventory: Mill inventories were mixed, with levels increasing for

uncoated printing and writing papers. Overall box inventory levels

decreased due to mill market downtime.

Pricing: Pricing for printing-writing paper was mixed, with top

producers recently announcing price increases for certain uncoated

paper grades. Pricing remained consistent for newsprint and

paperboard due to limited demand. Prices for pulp largely increased at

the end of 2013 due partly to the transportation logjam caused by cold

weather in much of the U.S., while prices for packaging remained

consistent.

Used Pricing: Equipment prices are generally consistent due to the

stability of the pulp and paper mill industry as the result of weaker

players leaving the industry and regular demand for paper

consumables.

Used Trade Movement: Equipment in this sector has seen consistent

movement. Consistent with the prior quarter, movement is stronger for

late-model and smaller converting equipment.

OEM Pricing: Pricing on new machines has remained consistent.

Moving forward, there is potential for OEMs to lower prices in order to

attract end users away from the used market and into the market for

new equipment.

Technology Advancement: Technological advancement has remained

consistent, with little to no technological advancement announced

publicly.

Auction Activity: Auction activity remains consistent due to the

strength of the remaining industry players, as the majority of struggling

players exited the industry during the Great Recession.

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2 February 2014 — Paper & Packaging Monitor

2 Pricing Trends Overview

The gross domestic product (“GDP”) grew at

a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.2% in

the fourth quarter of 2013, according to the

U.S. Commerce Department. When combined

with the prior quarter’s 4.1% growth, the

second half of 2013 represented the strongest

second-half U.S. GDP growth since 2003.

As a result, demand for corrugated boxes,

which are used to ship virtually any kind of

consumer good, was strong in the latter

portion of 2013. However, box shipments in

2013 were flat on an actual basis, representing

the third straight year of flat box demand.

Paper continues to lose ground to digital

technology, as illustrated by satirical paper

The Onion’s cessation of its print edition in

December 2013.

The move was no laughing matter for the

newspaper industry, which continues to

experience eroding advertising revenue,

declining readership, and newspaper

closures. As a result, domestic demand for

newsprint has been limited, along with

demand for certain printing-writing paper

grades.

Pricing for pulp, meanwhile, increased late in

2013.

The spot pulp market, in particular,

experienced a boost due to buyers scrambling

for alternative pulp supply sources as a result

of shipment problems arising from the

extreme cold that impacted much of the U.S.,

including the Northeast, Southeast, and

Midwest, in late 2013. However, analysts

predict that pulp market prices have peaked

and prices will stabilize through March.

In addition, the changing business landscape

has been on the minds of many analysts, who

are anxiously awaiting to see what impact the

pending merger of xpedx and Unisource

Worldwide, Inc. (“Unisource”) will have on

the paper and packaging industry. The new

company will have projected annual revenue

of $9 billion to $10 billion and will have

approximately 9,500 employees across more

than 170 distribution centers in North

America. The transaction is expected to be

completed in mid-2014.

Some industry insiders wonder how customer

accounts will be allocated and how

customers’ credit will be maintained due to

the presence of so many formerly competing

contingents within the new company.

International Paper (“IP”) owns xpedx, while

Unisource is jointly owned by Bain Capital

and Georgia-Pacific.

Indicators are declining for the paper and packaging industry, as weak

demand for non-durable goods during the fourth quarter kept box

shipments relatively flat. In addition, paper, particularly newsprint,

continues to be challenged by digital technology. Nonetheless, the recent

gradual improvement in the economy has spurred demand for office paper.

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3 February 2014 — Paper & Packaging Monitor

3 Pricing Trends Overview

The paper industry’s latest chapter tells the same story: the industry continues to lose ground to digital

technology, which has enabled consumers to

instantly access written information online and avoid

consulting books, magazines, and newspapers in the process. Increasingly, the devices of choice for

consumers are tablet computers and smartphones,

with Apple, Inc.’s iPad and iPhone leading the way. However, the industry has experienced slightly

increased shipments recently due largely to economic

improvements, which has spurred demand for

certain types of office paper.

According to recent figures from the American Forest

& Paper Association, total printing-writing paper

shipments increased 2% in December 2013 versus December 2012. The increase follows year-over-year

decreases of 1% and 6% in October and November,

respectively. As printing and writing paper grades are utilized to produce a number of paper products,

including magazines, newspapers, and office paper,

they serve as an indicator of overall paper demand.

The performance of the papers varied by grade, with uncoated papers, including uncoated freesheet and

uncoated mechanical, performing better than coated

grades.

Uncoated freesheet paper represents the largest

category of printing and writing papers and includes

copy and printer papers used in offices. The recent

resurgence in uncoated freesheet paper is likely a

direct result of improvements in the economy, as

demand for office paper increases in line with a

growing economy and reduced unemployment.

Coated freesheet papers are generally the highest

quality printing papers available. They are very

smooth and can produce very high resolution prints.

Coated freesheet papers are commonly utilized for

illustrated books. Coated mechanical papers,

meanwhile, are used for magazines and catalogs.

The poor recent performance of these categories

illustrate the ongoing decline of the printed word in

developed countries, as consumers continue to

eschew magazines and books in favor of tablet

computers and e-book readers.

For all of 2013, uncoated freesheet, as well as coated

freesheet, shipments were each down 2% below 2012

levels, and coated mechanical shipments decreased a

significant 9%.

1,250

1,300

1,350

1,400

1,450

1,500

1,550

1,600

1,650

1,700

1,750

1,800

Printing-Writing Paper Shipments(Tonnes in 000s)

January Through December 2013

1,350

1,400

1,450

1,500

1,550

1,600

1,650

1,700

1,750

1,800

Printing-Writing Paper Shipments(Tonnes in 000s)

January 2013 Through December 2013

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4 February 2014 — Paper & Packaging Monitor

4 Pricing Trends Overview

Ongoing improvements in the economy helped

sustain box shipments late in 2013. Corrugated and

solid fiber boxes are the shipping containers of choice

in a number of markets due to their cost-

effectiveness, excellent protective performance, and

limited competition from other packaging

alternatives. As a result, overall economic growth is

generally beneficial to box producers.

Demand has been particularly strong for durable

goods. However, analysts note that demand for

corrugated packaging was limited in the last quarter

of 2013 due to weak, albeit slightly increased,

demand for non-durable goods, which consist of

items that are readily consumable, such as food and

gasoline.

Various statistical indicators point to improvements

in the overall economy, including a growing GDP,

falling unemployment, and rising consumer

confidence.

All of these indicators are good signs for box

suppliers. In addition, consumer confidence rose in

January as consumers grew more optimistic about

both business conditions and the job market,

according to a report recently released by The

Conference Board, an industry group. The

Conference Board reported that its index of

consumer attitudes exceeded expectations in January

by rising to 80.7 from 77.5 in December, which

represented the third-straight monthly increase.

Rising consumer confidence boosted consumer

purchasing later in the year, particularly for non-

durable goods.

According to RISI, Inc. (“RISI”), box shipments in

December were up 5.7% versus December 2012;

however, shipments were relatively flat when one

extra shipping day in December 2013 is taken into

account. That figure follows a 2.5% shipment

decrease in November versus the same month in

2012. In October, box shipments decreased 2.4% over

October 2012’s figures. For the full year, box

shipments were flat compared to a year ago, but 0.4%

higher on an average-week basis versus 2012.

27.0

28.0

29.0

30.0

31.0

32.0

33.0

Box Shipments(Square Feet in Billions)

January 2013 Through December 2013

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5 February 2014 — Paper & Packaging Monitor

5 Pricing Trends

Containerboard consists of linerboard and

corrugating medium, the two main paper grades

used to make corrugated boxes. Linerboard is the

flat outer facing, while medium is the wavy inner

layer of combined corrugated board cut up to make

boxes. Containerboard inventory levels largely

decreased over the past quarter.

In October, containerboard inventories declined by

89,000 tons, or 3.7%, to 2.3 million tons largely due to

a low operating rate of 94.7% for the month due to

seasonal factors and sluggish box demand.

According to a report from RISI, in November, U.S.

containerboard inventories at box plants and mills

declined by 40,000 tons versus the prior month to 2.3

million tons. The decline was uncharacteristic, as

inventories typically increase in November.

The decline in inventories resulted from the fact that

the U.S. containerboard operating rate for November

was dramatically lower than normal due to mills

taking downtime for maintenance or market

purposes.

November’s figure represented the lowest operating

rate recorded by the industry since December 2009,

when the economy was recovering from the Great

Recession, according to the industry publication

Scoring Boxes.

However, inventories rose in December. U.S.

containerboard mills continued to run at relatively

low levels in December. As a result, analysts were

expecting a decrease in inventory levels.

Nevertheless, December’s inventory levels grew 1.4%

over November’s figures. Mills operated at 91.4% of

capacity in December, an increase from November's

unusually low level of 90.7%.

Containerboard producers appear to be doing

whatever is necessary to keep inventories at

manageable levels, which, according to some

producers interviewed by RISI, is good for the long-

term health of the containerboard industry. An

improvement in box demand would be highly

beneficial to producers, as it would limit their need to

take market downtime and would tighten the

industry's supply-demand balance, RISI noted.

Overview

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6 February 2014 — Paper & Packaging Monitor

6 Pricing Trends Recent Appraisal Trends

Overall paper recovery values were consistent to

decreasing over the past quarter versus the previous

quarter due to declining demand for certain paper

grades, particularly coated paper, which is often used in

magazines and catalogs.

Mills continue to look overseas for additional demand

due to declining demand for certain paper grades as a

result of competition from digital media. Meanwhile,

restructuring and consolidation continue to be the

domestic trend. For instance, the pending merger of IP

and xpedx is expected to occur in 2014, while a merger

of Cenevo, Inc. and NE Opco, Inc. was approved in

September 2013.

GA’s experience indicates that more generic paper

categories experience higher recovery values on a cost

basis, while paper categories that consist of uncommon

colors or grades, or are customized in some way,

recover less unless they are tied to a purchase order or

customer contract. Demand for such customized goods

is generally extremely limited beyond their intended

customers.

Pulp is a commodity product that is used to produce

wood-based goods, primarily paper and paperboard,

which maintain a variety of uses. As a result, appraisals

for pulp largely depend on market prices.

Approximately 50% of all produced paper is utilized for

packaging, followed by printing, and writing. The

consumption of wood pulp generally correlates with

overall economic trends, as consumers purchase more

packaged consumer goods when the economy is robust.

In appraisals involving pulp, the inventory at cost is

compared to spot or contract market prices as well as

competitors’ inventory at cost. Recovery values for pulp

take into consideration discounts applied based on

demand, availability, and the types and size of

customers.

For appraisals conducted in 2013, recovery values for

pulp remained relatively flat versus the previous year.

GA recognizes that recovery values could be impacted

by more recent increases in pulp market prices.

For instance, over the last quarter of 2013, pricing

increased for softwood and hardwood pulp due to

lower stocks, delayed shipments due to unseasonably

cold weather in the U.S., as well as increased demand.

Chips and wood are also commodity in nature and

subject to market price fluctuations. Woodchips are

often used as a biomass solid fuel and are raw material

for producing wood pulp.

These goods are available via numerous local, regional,

and national vendors in North America. As a result,

chips and wood generally achieve lower recovery

values, with discounts necessary to encourage large

purchases. Recovery values for chips and wood

remained constant through the end of 2013 as market

conditions continue to slowly improve.

Recovery values for packaging products decreased in

the fourth quarter of 2013 versus the prior quarter.

Lower recovery values were primarily driven by

unfavorable changes in inventory mix and the lingering

effects related to rising input costs, particularly for roll

stock, which reduced gross margin.

In GA’s experience, custom packaging products

generally experience lower recovery values unless they

are tied to contracts that obligate customers to purchase

their related custom goods, as such items maintain

limited distribution channels outside of their intended

customers.

GA considers various other factors when developing

recovery values for custom items, including contract

terms, stocking agreements, lead times for customers to

secure an alternative supplier, and whether the

company is the sole supplier of inventory to its

customers.

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7 February 2014 — Paper & Packaging Monitor

7 Pricing Trends Pricing Trends

List prices for pulp largely increased at the end of 2013,

and spot prices were up as well, as the transportation

logjam caused by frigid weather in much of the U.S. had

buyers scrambling to secure additional pulp inventory

from alternative sources.

After effective list prices in North America largely

increased during the last quarter of 2013, northern

bleached softwood kraft (“NBSK”) pulp prices started

the new year at the highest U.S. NBSK list price since

July 2011, according to data from RISI. The cumulative

NBSK rise since September is $65 per ton. Low

producer stocks of bleached softwood kraft (“BSK”),

delayed shipments, and fresh demand in some parts of

North America helped producers of NBSK drive up

effective list prices. Still, the price increase push by

producers also ran up against pockets of buyer

resistance amid less-than-robust paper demand, RISI

reported.

Some industry insiders predict that domestic NBSK

prices will not continue to rise in the near term because

the Canadian dollar fell nearly 5.0% in late 2013 versus

the U.S. dollar, which spurred exports and boosted the

profits of Canadian pulp producers.

The effective list price of bleached eucalyptus kraft

increased to approximately $860 to $880 per ton, and list

prices for northern bleached hardwood kraft (“NBHK”)

and southern bleached hardwood kraft (“SBHK”) both

increased as well, according to RISI reports. For

bleached hardwood kraft (“BHK”), three key grades

edged up $10 per ton in the U.S. after an oversupply in

BHK waned at the end of November.

Though some producers believe another round of

softwood pulp price hikes in the U.S. could occur early

in 2014, such a move may depend on what happens in

China, according to a RISI report, as China's traders

have been holding off on placing purchase orders

because local net prices for NBSK were below

international net levels on a U.S. dollar-equivalent basis.

$500

$550

$600

$650

$700

Pulp Average Spot Market Price Per Ton

January 2013 Through January 2014

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8 February 2014 — Paper & Packaging Monitor

8 Pricing Trends Pricing Trends

U.S. coated paper markets are off to a difficult start in

2014, as the Postal Regulatory Commission

implemented a 4.3% rate increase in January. The

increase is being implemented to offset losses the U.S.

Postal Service has suffered in recent years as the result

of the Great Recession and reduced use of traditional

mail service by consumers due to digital competition.

Along with an inflation-based rate increase of 1.7%, the

overall postal rate adjustment is 6.0%, which represents

an increase of $0.03 from 2013 rates to total $0.49.

Some in the paper industry predict that there will be

some reaction from catalog and magazine publishers as

the result of the increasing costs associated with mailing

printed products, according to Paper Trader magazine.

Potentially, direct mail, catalogs, and even magazines

could pull back print distribution and shift to electronic

and mobile applications to avoid paying the higher

postal rates.

Coated papers fall on the high end of the publication

grade spectrum and are usually selected for brightness

and gloss. They are generally preferred for magazines

and high-gloss catalogs.

Partially as a result of the aforementioned development

and declining demand, most coated paper prices were

approximately $60-per-ton weaker at the start of 2014

than they were at the start of the fourth quarter of 2013.

In the second quarter of 2013, a $40-per-ton increase was

announced by almost all North American producers for

coated mechanical papers, RISI noted. However, by

November, the summer's increase was being resisted

across the board by buyers.

Some industry insiders expect the combination of a

weaker demand outlook and lower pricing will cause

coated paper mills to ramp up their production of

uncoated products – particularly of uncoated freesheet –

now that a fourth-quarter price hike for uncoated

freesheet is gaining market traction.

Uncoated freesheet prices in the U.S. increased broadly

for the first time in three years from October through

January, rising by $20 on cutsize to up to $50 for offset

rolls and printing and converting grades. In addition,

in the fourth quarter, IP announced a $70-per-ton price

increase across its North American uncoated freesheet

business effective in early March. The announced

increase comes on the heels of a previous $60-per-ton

price increase announcement for uncoated freesheet in

October.

$820

$920

$1,020

$1,120

Uncoated PaperAverage Spot Market Price Per Ton

January 2013 Through January 2014

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9 February 2014 — Paper & Packaging Monitor

9 Pricing Trends Pricing Trends

IP’s increase was announced just before the company

was expected to retire the final two paper machines at

its Courtland, Alabama mill, which produces

approximately 1 million tons of paper per year,

according to PPI Pulp & Paper Week. The mill's uncoated

freesheet capacity is 765,000 tons per year, which

represents approximately 8% of North America’s

uncoated freesheet capacity.

Newsprint statistics from the Pulp and Paper Products

Council show North America's domestic demand

declining in the fourth quarter of 2013. However,

newsprint exports increased, including a massive

increase in December, which offset the domestic decline.

Newsprint continues to be attractive in developing

nations, as the use of smartphone and tablet computers

is not as prevalent in such regions compared to

developed nations. The long-term trend for the

industry, however, continues to decline.

A $40-per-ton price increase for newsprint failed in July

2013 due to hesitation by producers, but a $15 increase

in the Western U.S. took hold in September, ending

close to five years of disparity between the two coasts

on pricing, according to RISI.

Naturally, the fate of the domestic newsprint market

continues to be tied to the struggling newspaper

industry. Judging by recent figures from the nation’s

most prominent newspapers, the newspaper industry’s

outlook remains grim.

For instance, the New York Times Co. reported a 6.5%

decline in print and online advertising for the fourth

quarter of 2013 versus 2012, and News Corp. reported a

10% ad revenue drop. Dow Jones, which owns the Wall

Street Journal, reported that subscription revenue

declined 7%. The New York Times Co. said its fourth-

quarter earnings dropped by 63%.

$525

$550

$575

$600

$625

Newsprint Average Market Price Per Ton

January 2013 Through January 2014

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10 February 2014 — Paper & Packaging Monitor

10 Pricing Trends

Pressure remained on containerboard prices during the last quarter of 2013 due to weaker-than-expected corrugated box demand, new startup tonnage entering the market, and high mill production levels this summer that increased supplies, according to RISI. Even though linerboard and corrugating medium prices overall remained relatively flat, some larger operators reported receiving bulk discounts on the spot market. In addition, some industry experts noted in a RISI report that linerboard export prices continue to drop, with prices starting to fall $10 to $20 per metric ton at the Laredo, Texas border to Mexico in December. The latest containerboard-related price increase was $50 per ton in the spring of 2013. Market conditions later in 2013 did not support potential increases in market prices. Prices came under mild pressure in late 2013 due to a summer jump in inventories, sluggish box demand, and startup of more than 1 million tons per year of new or converted containerboard capacity.

Inventories reached 2.5 million tons, or 4.3 weeks of supply, at the end of August as mill operating rates reached 99.7%. Producers implemented market-driven downtime during the last quarter of 2013 as a result. RISI had expected a much larger decline in box inventories due to the low mill operating rates in the last quarter. If the pace of box shipments do not increase, price deterioration could become a possibility for producers, RISI noted. Despite the current business climate not being conducive to price increases, the North American containerboard industry could benefit if global old corrugated container, or recycled box, prices take off again in response to demand from China and already high recovery rates for used boxes in the U.S. This could improve the competitive export position of U.S. producers in global markets, according to RISI. About three quarters of U.S. containerboard is shipped to integrated producers to be consumed in their own box plants or traded with other containerboard producers. The remainder is sold in the domestic open market to independent converters or exported overseas, according to RISI.

$600

$700

$800

$900

$1,000

$1,100

$1,200

Paperboard and ContainerboardAverage Market Price Per Ton

January 2013 Through January 2014

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11 February 2014 — Paper & Packaging Monitor

11 Pricing Trends Paper and Packaging Equipment

Pulp and paper mills are finding themselves in a period

of exceptional stability, with prices and levels of trade in

the fourth quarter of 2013 consistent with the prior

quarter. Industry analysts say the consistency is due to

the strength of the players remaining in the industry.

During the recent economic downturn, various pulp

and paper mills closed their doors and their equipment

was liquidated, as the downturn limited demand for

wood-derived products. Industry insiders explained

that the companies and mills that went under during

that period were generally already struggling. In

contrast, the paper and pulp mills that remain are the

ones with the staying power and resources to weather

the economic storm. As a result, the industry is

currently populated by players who have the strength

to stay in business and no need to sell their machinery

at a liquidation.

Paper mill machinery and equipment generally arrives

in the secondary marketplace as a result of a bankruptcy

or liquidation. In these scenarios, a portion of the assets

in a process line is generally sold on a component basis

while the remaining equipment is sold to be scrapped.

Consistent with the prior issue of GA’s Paper &

Packaging Monitor, smaller, relatively portable

equipment, such as paper-consumable machinery, tends

to generate more favorable recovery values versus

larger equipment. As consumer staples, household and

sanitary paper products generally maintain steady retail

demand even in bad economic times. Smaller

equipment continues to be sold primarily

internationally.

However, if offered for sale in a liquidation setting,

asset pools consisting of late-model paper converting

equipment could draw the interest of major North

American industry participants, according to analysts.

Older machines, meanwhile, are generally of interest

only to foreign buyers. International buyers are

primarily located in Pakistan, China, and Mexico.

China is currently the largest paper and packaging

producer in the world, a status the country is likely to

maintain due to continued technological progress and a

low-cost labor force.

Larger pieces of machinery that are commonly seen in

mills throughout the U.S. are generally sold at scrap

value domestically due to their cumbersome nature.

The manufacture of pulp and paper requires multi-step

processes, and in order to facilitate the flow of these

processes, major production equipment is often

mounted throughout multiple building elevations. In

the case that such equipment must be uninstalled and

transferred, as in the case during an auction or

liquidation sale, the costs of removal and any necessary

repairs generally outweigh the value of the item itself.

However, certain components of process systems hold

individual value, such as chip sorting equipment,

refiners, screens, pumps, and pulpers.

A decline in the industry due to raw material price

increases or other factors could result in a higher level

of paper and packaging equipment liquidations and

negatively impact the recovery values of such items.

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12 February 2014 — Paper & Packaging Monitor

12 Pricing Trends Paper and Packaging Reference Sheet

November

2013

December

2013

January

2014

NBHK Mixed Species - Canada/U.S. Sources, Delivered to U.S. East ($560

to $575/ton) (2%) 1% 2%

SBHK Mixed Species - U.S. Sources, Delivered to U.S. East ($560 to $575/

ton) (2%) 1% 2%

NBSK - Canadian Sources, Delivered to U.S. East ($610 to $685/ton) 5% 1% 2%

SBSK - U.S. Sources, Delivered to U.S. East ($610 to $625/ton) 2% 0% 1%

November

2013

December

2013

January

2014

Newsprint 30lb (48.8g) - U.S. East ($550/ton) 0% 0% 0%

Newsprint 27.7lb (45g) - U.S. East ($585/ton) 0% 0% 0%

Newsprint 27.7lb (45g) - U.S. West ($550/ton) 0% 0% 0%

Newsprint 30lb (48.8g) - U.S. West ($585/ton) 0% 0% 0%

November

2013

December

2013

January

2014

50lb (70g) Offset Rolls - U.S. East ($870/ton) 2% 0% 2%

20lb (80g) Repro Bond 92 Bright Cutsize Sheets - U.S. East ($1,010 /ton) 0% 0% 2%

24lb White Wove Envelope - 92 Bright - Rolls - U.S. East ($980/ton) 1% 0% 4%

PPI Average Pulp Spot Prices ($ per Ton) - % change from previous month

PPI Newsprint Paper Market Prices ($ per Ton) - % change from previous month

PPI Average Uncoated Paper Market Prices ($ per Ton) - % change from previous month

PPI Average Paperboard and Containerboard Market Prices ($ per Ton) - % change from previous month

November

2013

December

2013

January

2014

Unbleached Kraft Linerboard - 42lb - U.S. East (Transaction Price) ($740/

ton) 0% 0% 0%

SBS - 16pt Folding Carton - C1S - U.S. East (Transaction Price) ($1,155/ton) 0% 0% 0%

Recycled Folding Boxboard - 20pt - CRB - Clay coated news - U.S. East

(Transaction Price) ($955/ton) 0% 0% 0%

Recycled Folding Boxboard - 20pt - URB - Uncoated Bending Chip - U.S

East. (Transaction Price) ($690/ton) 0% 0% 0%

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13 February 2014 — Paper & Packaging Monitor

13 Pricing Trends Experience

GA was involved in the liquidations of assets for paper and packaging companies, including the following trans-

actions:

Printcrafters, Inc.: Formerly a commercial printing company with a large paper inventory in various sizes

and styles.

Colfax Envelope Corporation: Formerly a manufacturer and distributor of high-quality custom litho-

graphed/offset envelopes for financial services and direct mail companies.

Solar Graphics, Inc.: A printer and supplier of graphic signs including banners, window display films, and

screen-printed products.

WWF Paper: Formerly a manufacturer and distributor of printing and writing papers, with more than 100

U.S. and international paper mills.

Tye-Sil: Formerly a leading Canadian provider of gift wrap and accessories.

Royal Plastics: A manufacturer of a variety of custom plastic products.

Kemco Plastics, Inc.: A manufacturer of custom-molded plastic products, serving the packaging industry in

addition to the military, aerospace, consumer goods, medical, furniture, automotive, and industrial sectors.

Others including Usdan Paper Company, Pandick Press, Target Graphics, Unicover Corp., Wicklander

Printing Corp., Office Max, and MMP Printing Group.

In addition, GA has worked with and appraised numerous manufacturers and distributors within the paper and

packaging industries. While our clients remain confidential, they range in scale from smaller, more specialized

regional businesses to major global and national industry leaders, and include the following sampling of compa-

nies:

Leading manufacturers and regional distributors of premium, writing, text, cover, and specialty papers in a

variety of colors, weights and finishes; durable, saturated, and coated base papers for a variety of applica-

tions; pulp; and other wood-based products, including a global forest products company with annual sales

over $3 billion.

Manufacturers, distributors, and brokers of book publication papers, coated and uncoated freesheet, super-

calendared and coated groundwood papers, newsprint, and other fine paper purchased by U.S. book, maga-

zine, and advertising publishers, including companies with more than $400 million in sales.

Distributors and printers of sheet-fed paper products such as pressure-sensitive paper and film used in a va-

riety of applications, including inserts, magazines, direct mail, and other print mediums, such as a major

North American commercial printer with annual revenues in excess of $3 billion.

A leading U.S. manufacturer of printed and unprinted envelopes in various sizes and styles for the merchant/

wholesale market, large envelope consumers, and specialty wholesalers, with annual sales over $500 million.

Manufacturers and distributors of corrugated containers, containerboard, retail packaging, and packaging

products such as point-of-purchase displays, protective packaging materials, and pressure-sensitive labels for

a variety of industries, including a global company with annual sales exceeding $5 billion.

Manufacturers of flexible packaging products such as specialty bags, sheets, wraps, wrappers, sleeves, and

other packaging products for snack food and candy manufacturers, quick-service restaurants, food-service

companies, and grocery stores, including manufacturers with annual sales greater than $300 million.

In addition to our vast liquidation and appraisal experience, GA maintains contacts within the paper and packaging

industry that we utilize for insight and perspective on recovery values.

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14 February 2014 — Paper & Packaging Monitor

14 Pricing Trends Monitor Information

The Paper & Packaging Monitor relates information covering paper and packaging products,

including industry trends, market pricing, and their relation to the valuation process. GA

provides our customer base with a concise document highlighting the paper and packaging

industry. Due to the commodity nature of certain paper and packaging products, timely

reporting is necessary to understand an ever-changing marketplace. GA strives to

contextualize important indicators in order to provide a more in-depth perspective of the

market as a whole.

GA internally tracks recovery ranges for pulp, paper, and packaging, but we are mindful to

adhere to your request for a simple reference document. GA welcomes the opportunity to

make our expertise available to you in every possible way. Should you need any further

information or wish to discuss recovery ranges for a particular segment, please feel free to

contact your GA Business Development Officer using the contact information shown in this

and all Paper & Packaging Monitor issues.

GA’s Paper & Packaging Monitor provides market value and industry trend information for

a variety of paper and packaging products. The information contained herein is based on a

composite of GA’s industry expertise, contact with industry personnel, liquidation and

appraisal experience, and data compiled from a variety of well-respected sources believed

to be reliable. We do not guarantee the completeness of such information or make any

representation as to its accuracy.

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15 February 2014 — Paper & Packaging Monitor

15 Pricing Trends Appraisal & Valuation Team

Ken Bloore

Chief Operating Officer

[email protected]

818-884-3737

About Great American Group

Great American Group is a leading provider of asset disposition solutions and valuation and appraisal services to

a wide range of retail, wholesale, and industrial clients, as well as lenders, capital providers, private equity

investors, and professional services firms. In addition to the Paper & Packaging Monitor, GA also provides clients

with industry expertise in the form of monitors for the chemicals and plastics, metals, food, and building products

sectors, among many others. GA offers the European Manufacturing Monitor via its subsidiary, GA Europe

Valuations Limited.

Headquarters

21860 Burbank Blvd. Suite 300 South

Woodland Hills, CA 91367 800-45-GREAT www.greatamerican.com

Mike Marchlik

National Sales & Marketing Director

[email protected]

(818) 746-9306

David Seiden

Executive Vice President, Southeast Region

[email protected]

(770) 551-8114

Ryan Mulcunry

Executive Vice President - Northeast Region,

Canada & Europe

[email protected]

Bill Soncini

Senior Vice President, Midwest Region

[email protected]

(312) 777-7945

Drew Jakubek

Managing Director, Southwest Region

[email protected]

(972) 265-7981

Jennie Kim

Vice President, Western Region

[email protected]

(818) 746-9370

Gordon Titley

Director of Valuations, GA Europe Valuations

[email protected]

+44 2073180574

Marc Musitano

Chief Operating Officer

[email protected]

818-884-3737

Michael Petruski

Executive Vice President, General Manager

[email protected]

818-884-3737

Michael Adair

Senior Associate

[email protected]

972-996-5633


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