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Peak OilOil discoveries will not allow higher average
extraction
Skewed toward later times
Fossil-Fuels CO2 emissions and CO2 concentration contribution
Temperature including permafrosted tundra release of carbon
Disaster Region18 degrees C
World Population ProjectionsWorld Population Projections
Fit of population to available fossil-fuels energy 1950-2006Fit of population to available fossil-fuels energy 1950-2006
Population without renewable energy
Population with renewable energy
Industrial agriculture Modern farming methods that depend on Industrial agriculture Modern farming methods that depend on synthetic fertilizers and pesticides large amounts of irrigation water synthetic fertilizers and pesticides large amounts of irrigation water major transportation systems factory-style practices for raising major transportation systems factory-style practices for raising livestock and machine technology livestock and machine technology
The farm is considered as a factory with inputs (such as pesticides The farm is considered as a factory with inputs (such as pesticides feed fertilizer and fuel) and outputs (corn chickens and so forth) feed fertilizer and fuel) and outputs (corn chickens and so forth) The goal is to increase yield (such as bushels per acre) and decrease The goal is to increase yield (such as bushels per acre) and decrease costs of production usually by exploiting economies of scalecosts of production usually by exploiting economies of scale
External environmental costs and long term sustainability ignored External environmental costs and long term sustainability ignored (carbon pollution soil degradation water pollution toxic chemicals in (carbon pollution soil degradation water pollution toxic chemicals in the food and the environment rising cost of production susceptibility the food and the environment rising cost of production susceptibility to ecological and infrastructural collapse co-option by corporate profit to ecological and infrastructural collapse co-option by corporate profit motivesmotives
10487081048708
Non-Fossil-Fuels CONon-Fossil-Fuels CO22
Emissions SourcesEmissions Sources
bull Deforestationbull Soil depletionbull Cement productionbull Domestic animals for food
Macronutrients in agriculture N ndash P ndash KMacronutrients in agriculture N ndash P ndash K
In addiction to modern societyrsquos oil addiction industrial In addiction to modern societyrsquos oil addiction industrial agriculture is addicted to synthetic nitrogen and mined agriculture is addicted to synthetic nitrogen and mined
phosphate fertilizersphosphate fertilizers
Nitrogen pollution from agriculture is devastating fisheries Nitrogen pollution from agriculture is devastating fisheries rivers groundwater and human drinking water resourcesrivers groundwater and human drinking water resources
Mined rock phosphate supplies for use as fertilizer is Mined rock phosphate supplies for use as fertilizer is expected to peak around 2030 ndash when we need to be expected to peak around 2030 ndash when we need to be doubling our food-growing capacity to feed the rising global doubling our food-growing capacity to feed the rising global population rock phosphate will become increasingly scarce population rock phosphate will become increasingly scarce and expensiveand expensive
Need to recoverrecycle nitrogen and phosphate from Need to recoverrecycle nitrogen and phosphate from organic wastes from farms household compost livestock organic wastes from farms household compost livestock and human manure and municipal wasteand human manure and municipal waste
Builing compost piles - recycles nutrients Builing compost piles - recycles nutrients Organic farnming is more Labor intensive less external input-intensiveOrganic farnming is more Labor intensive less external input-intensive
California Certified Organic Farmers Largest association of California Certified Organic Farmers Largest association of organic farmers crops and farmland in US (amp worldwide) organic farmers crops and farmland in US (amp worldwide) since early 1980s Since 1986 responsible for developing since early 1980s Since 1986 responsible for developing model certification standards inspection standards labeling model certification standards inspection standards labeling and processor standards design and passage of landmark and processor standards design and passage of landmark 1990 California Organic Foods Act followed by Federal 1990 California Organic Foods Act followed by Federal National Organic Standards (final rules issued 10 years later)National Organic Standards (final rules issued 10 years later)
Fossil-Fuels CO2 emissions and CO2 concentration contribution
Temperature including permafrosted tundra release of carbon
Disaster Region18 degrees C
World Population ProjectionsWorld Population Projections
Fit of population to available fossil-fuels energy 1950-2006Fit of population to available fossil-fuels energy 1950-2006
Population without renewable energy
Population with renewable energy
Industrial agriculture Modern farming methods that depend on Industrial agriculture Modern farming methods that depend on synthetic fertilizers and pesticides large amounts of irrigation water synthetic fertilizers and pesticides large amounts of irrigation water major transportation systems factory-style practices for raising major transportation systems factory-style practices for raising livestock and machine technology livestock and machine technology
The farm is considered as a factory with inputs (such as pesticides The farm is considered as a factory with inputs (such as pesticides feed fertilizer and fuel) and outputs (corn chickens and so forth) feed fertilizer and fuel) and outputs (corn chickens and so forth) The goal is to increase yield (such as bushels per acre) and decrease The goal is to increase yield (such as bushels per acre) and decrease costs of production usually by exploiting economies of scalecosts of production usually by exploiting economies of scale
External environmental costs and long term sustainability ignored External environmental costs and long term sustainability ignored (carbon pollution soil degradation water pollution toxic chemicals in (carbon pollution soil degradation water pollution toxic chemicals in the food and the environment rising cost of production susceptibility the food and the environment rising cost of production susceptibility to ecological and infrastructural collapse co-option by corporate profit to ecological and infrastructural collapse co-option by corporate profit motivesmotives
10487081048708
Non-Fossil-Fuels CONon-Fossil-Fuels CO22
Emissions SourcesEmissions Sources
bull Deforestationbull Soil depletionbull Cement productionbull Domestic animals for food
Macronutrients in agriculture N ndash P ndash KMacronutrients in agriculture N ndash P ndash K
In addiction to modern societyrsquos oil addiction industrial In addiction to modern societyrsquos oil addiction industrial agriculture is addicted to synthetic nitrogen and mined agriculture is addicted to synthetic nitrogen and mined
phosphate fertilizersphosphate fertilizers
Nitrogen pollution from agriculture is devastating fisheries Nitrogen pollution from agriculture is devastating fisheries rivers groundwater and human drinking water resourcesrivers groundwater and human drinking water resources
Mined rock phosphate supplies for use as fertilizer is Mined rock phosphate supplies for use as fertilizer is expected to peak around 2030 ndash when we need to be expected to peak around 2030 ndash when we need to be doubling our food-growing capacity to feed the rising global doubling our food-growing capacity to feed the rising global population rock phosphate will become increasingly scarce population rock phosphate will become increasingly scarce and expensiveand expensive
Need to recoverrecycle nitrogen and phosphate from Need to recoverrecycle nitrogen and phosphate from organic wastes from farms household compost livestock organic wastes from farms household compost livestock and human manure and municipal wasteand human manure and municipal waste
Builing compost piles - recycles nutrients Builing compost piles - recycles nutrients Organic farnming is more Labor intensive less external input-intensiveOrganic farnming is more Labor intensive less external input-intensive
California Certified Organic Farmers Largest association of California Certified Organic Farmers Largest association of organic farmers crops and farmland in US (amp worldwide) organic farmers crops and farmland in US (amp worldwide) since early 1980s Since 1986 responsible for developing since early 1980s Since 1986 responsible for developing model certification standards inspection standards labeling model certification standards inspection standards labeling and processor standards design and passage of landmark and processor standards design and passage of landmark 1990 California Organic Foods Act followed by Federal 1990 California Organic Foods Act followed by Federal National Organic Standards (final rules issued 10 years later)National Organic Standards (final rules issued 10 years later)
Temperature including permafrosted tundra release of carbon
Disaster Region18 degrees C
World Population ProjectionsWorld Population Projections
Fit of population to available fossil-fuels energy 1950-2006Fit of population to available fossil-fuels energy 1950-2006
Population without renewable energy
Population with renewable energy
Industrial agriculture Modern farming methods that depend on Industrial agriculture Modern farming methods that depend on synthetic fertilizers and pesticides large amounts of irrigation water synthetic fertilizers and pesticides large amounts of irrigation water major transportation systems factory-style practices for raising major transportation systems factory-style practices for raising livestock and machine technology livestock and machine technology
The farm is considered as a factory with inputs (such as pesticides The farm is considered as a factory with inputs (such as pesticides feed fertilizer and fuel) and outputs (corn chickens and so forth) feed fertilizer and fuel) and outputs (corn chickens and so forth) The goal is to increase yield (such as bushels per acre) and decrease The goal is to increase yield (such as bushels per acre) and decrease costs of production usually by exploiting economies of scalecosts of production usually by exploiting economies of scale
External environmental costs and long term sustainability ignored External environmental costs and long term sustainability ignored (carbon pollution soil degradation water pollution toxic chemicals in (carbon pollution soil degradation water pollution toxic chemicals in the food and the environment rising cost of production susceptibility the food and the environment rising cost of production susceptibility to ecological and infrastructural collapse co-option by corporate profit to ecological and infrastructural collapse co-option by corporate profit motivesmotives
10487081048708
Non-Fossil-Fuels CONon-Fossil-Fuels CO22
Emissions SourcesEmissions Sources
bull Deforestationbull Soil depletionbull Cement productionbull Domestic animals for food
Macronutrients in agriculture N ndash P ndash KMacronutrients in agriculture N ndash P ndash K
In addiction to modern societyrsquos oil addiction industrial In addiction to modern societyrsquos oil addiction industrial agriculture is addicted to synthetic nitrogen and mined agriculture is addicted to synthetic nitrogen and mined
phosphate fertilizersphosphate fertilizers
Nitrogen pollution from agriculture is devastating fisheries Nitrogen pollution from agriculture is devastating fisheries rivers groundwater and human drinking water resourcesrivers groundwater and human drinking water resources
Mined rock phosphate supplies for use as fertilizer is Mined rock phosphate supplies for use as fertilizer is expected to peak around 2030 ndash when we need to be expected to peak around 2030 ndash when we need to be doubling our food-growing capacity to feed the rising global doubling our food-growing capacity to feed the rising global population rock phosphate will become increasingly scarce population rock phosphate will become increasingly scarce and expensiveand expensive
Need to recoverrecycle nitrogen and phosphate from Need to recoverrecycle nitrogen and phosphate from organic wastes from farms household compost livestock organic wastes from farms household compost livestock and human manure and municipal wasteand human manure and municipal waste
Builing compost piles - recycles nutrients Builing compost piles - recycles nutrients Organic farnming is more Labor intensive less external input-intensiveOrganic farnming is more Labor intensive less external input-intensive
California Certified Organic Farmers Largest association of California Certified Organic Farmers Largest association of organic farmers crops and farmland in US (amp worldwide) organic farmers crops and farmland in US (amp worldwide) since early 1980s Since 1986 responsible for developing since early 1980s Since 1986 responsible for developing model certification standards inspection standards labeling model certification standards inspection standards labeling and processor standards design and passage of landmark and processor standards design and passage of landmark 1990 California Organic Foods Act followed by Federal 1990 California Organic Foods Act followed by Federal National Organic Standards (final rules issued 10 years later)National Organic Standards (final rules issued 10 years later)
World Population ProjectionsWorld Population Projections
Fit of population to available fossil-fuels energy 1950-2006Fit of population to available fossil-fuels energy 1950-2006
Population without renewable energy
Population with renewable energy
Industrial agriculture Modern farming methods that depend on Industrial agriculture Modern farming methods that depend on synthetic fertilizers and pesticides large amounts of irrigation water synthetic fertilizers and pesticides large amounts of irrigation water major transportation systems factory-style practices for raising major transportation systems factory-style practices for raising livestock and machine technology livestock and machine technology
The farm is considered as a factory with inputs (such as pesticides The farm is considered as a factory with inputs (such as pesticides feed fertilizer and fuel) and outputs (corn chickens and so forth) feed fertilizer and fuel) and outputs (corn chickens and so forth) The goal is to increase yield (such as bushels per acre) and decrease The goal is to increase yield (such as bushels per acre) and decrease costs of production usually by exploiting economies of scalecosts of production usually by exploiting economies of scale
External environmental costs and long term sustainability ignored External environmental costs and long term sustainability ignored (carbon pollution soil degradation water pollution toxic chemicals in (carbon pollution soil degradation water pollution toxic chemicals in the food and the environment rising cost of production susceptibility the food and the environment rising cost of production susceptibility to ecological and infrastructural collapse co-option by corporate profit to ecological and infrastructural collapse co-option by corporate profit motivesmotives
10487081048708
Non-Fossil-Fuels CONon-Fossil-Fuels CO22
Emissions SourcesEmissions Sources
bull Deforestationbull Soil depletionbull Cement productionbull Domestic animals for food
Macronutrients in agriculture N ndash P ndash KMacronutrients in agriculture N ndash P ndash K
In addiction to modern societyrsquos oil addiction industrial In addiction to modern societyrsquos oil addiction industrial agriculture is addicted to synthetic nitrogen and mined agriculture is addicted to synthetic nitrogen and mined
phosphate fertilizersphosphate fertilizers
Nitrogen pollution from agriculture is devastating fisheries Nitrogen pollution from agriculture is devastating fisheries rivers groundwater and human drinking water resourcesrivers groundwater and human drinking water resources
Mined rock phosphate supplies for use as fertilizer is Mined rock phosphate supplies for use as fertilizer is expected to peak around 2030 ndash when we need to be expected to peak around 2030 ndash when we need to be doubling our food-growing capacity to feed the rising global doubling our food-growing capacity to feed the rising global population rock phosphate will become increasingly scarce population rock phosphate will become increasingly scarce and expensiveand expensive
Need to recoverrecycle nitrogen and phosphate from Need to recoverrecycle nitrogen and phosphate from organic wastes from farms household compost livestock organic wastes from farms household compost livestock and human manure and municipal wasteand human manure and municipal waste
Builing compost piles - recycles nutrients Builing compost piles - recycles nutrients Organic farnming is more Labor intensive less external input-intensiveOrganic farnming is more Labor intensive less external input-intensive
California Certified Organic Farmers Largest association of California Certified Organic Farmers Largest association of organic farmers crops and farmland in US (amp worldwide) organic farmers crops and farmland in US (amp worldwide) since early 1980s Since 1986 responsible for developing since early 1980s Since 1986 responsible for developing model certification standards inspection standards labeling model certification standards inspection standards labeling and processor standards design and passage of landmark and processor standards design and passage of landmark 1990 California Organic Foods Act followed by Federal 1990 California Organic Foods Act followed by Federal National Organic Standards (final rules issued 10 years later)National Organic Standards (final rules issued 10 years later)
Industrial agriculture Modern farming methods that depend on Industrial agriculture Modern farming methods that depend on synthetic fertilizers and pesticides large amounts of irrigation water synthetic fertilizers and pesticides large amounts of irrigation water major transportation systems factory-style practices for raising major transportation systems factory-style practices for raising livestock and machine technology livestock and machine technology
The farm is considered as a factory with inputs (such as pesticides The farm is considered as a factory with inputs (such as pesticides feed fertilizer and fuel) and outputs (corn chickens and so forth) feed fertilizer and fuel) and outputs (corn chickens and so forth) The goal is to increase yield (such as bushels per acre) and decrease The goal is to increase yield (such as bushels per acre) and decrease costs of production usually by exploiting economies of scalecosts of production usually by exploiting economies of scale
External environmental costs and long term sustainability ignored External environmental costs and long term sustainability ignored (carbon pollution soil degradation water pollution toxic chemicals in (carbon pollution soil degradation water pollution toxic chemicals in the food and the environment rising cost of production susceptibility the food and the environment rising cost of production susceptibility to ecological and infrastructural collapse co-option by corporate profit to ecological and infrastructural collapse co-option by corporate profit motivesmotives
10487081048708
Non-Fossil-Fuels CONon-Fossil-Fuels CO22
Emissions SourcesEmissions Sources
bull Deforestationbull Soil depletionbull Cement productionbull Domestic animals for food
Macronutrients in agriculture N ndash P ndash KMacronutrients in agriculture N ndash P ndash K
In addiction to modern societyrsquos oil addiction industrial In addiction to modern societyrsquos oil addiction industrial agriculture is addicted to synthetic nitrogen and mined agriculture is addicted to synthetic nitrogen and mined
phosphate fertilizersphosphate fertilizers
Nitrogen pollution from agriculture is devastating fisheries Nitrogen pollution from agriculture is devastating fisheries rivers groundwater and human drinking water resourcesrivers groundwater and human drinking water resources
Mined rock phosphate supplies for use as fertilizer is Mined rock phosphate supplies for use as fertilizer is expected to peak around 2030 ndash when we need to be expected to peak around 2030 ndash when we need to be doubling our food-growing capacity to feed the rising global doubling our food-growing capacity to feed the rising global population rock phosphate will become increasingly scarce population rock phosphate will become increasingly scarce and expensiveand expensive
Need to recoverrecycle nitrogen and phosphate from Need to recoverrecycle nitrogen and phosphate from organic wastes from farms household compost livestock organic wastes from farms household compost livestock and human manure and municipal wasteand human manure and municipal waste
Builing compost piles - recycles nutrients Builing compost piles - recycles nutrients Organic farnming is more Labor intensive less external input-intensiveOrganic farnming is more Labor intensive less external input-intensive
California Certified Organic Farmers Largest association of California Certified Organic Farmers Largest association of organic farmers crops and farmland in US (amp worldwide) organic farmers crops and farmland in US (amp worldwide) since early 1980s Since 1986 responsible for developing since early 1980s Since 1986 responsible for developing model certification standards inspection standards labeling model certification standards inspection standards labeling and processor standards design and passage of landmark and processor standards design and passage of landmark 1990 California Organic Foods Act followed by Federal 1990 California Organic Foods Act followed by Federal National Organic Standards (final rules issued 10 years later)National Organic Standards (final rules issued 10 years later)
Non-Fossil-Fuels CONon-Fossil-Fuels CO22
Emissions SourcesEmissions Sources
bull Deforestationbull Soil depletionbull Cement productionbull Domestic animals for food
Macronutrients in agriculture N ndash P ndash KMacronutrients in agriculture N ndash P ndash K
In addiction to modern societyrsquos oil addiction industrial In addiction to modern societyrsquos oil addiction industrial agriculture is addicted to synthetic nitrogen and mined agriculture is addicted to synthetic nitrogen and mined
phosphate fertilizersphosphate fertilizers
Nitrogen pollution from agriculture is devastating fisheries Nitrogen pollution from agriculture is devastating fisheries rivers groundwater and human drinking water resourcesrivers groundwater and human drinking water resources
Mined rock phosphate supplies for use as fertilizer is Mined rock phosphate supplies for use as fertilizer is expected to peak around 2030 ndash when we need to be expected to peak around 2030 ndash when we need to be doubling our food-growing capacity to feed the rising global doubling our food-growing capacity to feed the rising global population rock phosphate will become increasingly scarce population rock phosphate will become increasingly scarce and expensiveand expensive
Need to recoverrecycle nitrogen and phosphate from Need to recoverrecycle nitrogen and phosphate from organic wastes from farms household compost livestock organic wastes from farms household compost livestock and human manure and municipal wasteand human manure and municipal waste
Builing compost piles - recycles nutrients Builing compost piles - recycles nutrients Organic farnming is more Labor intensive less external input-intensiveOrganic farnming is more Labor intensive less external input-intensive
California Certified Organic Farmers Largest association of California Certified Organic Farmers Largest association of organic farmers crops and farmland in US (amp worldwide) organic farmers crops and farmland in US (amp worldwide) since early 1980s Since 1986 responsible for developing since early 1980s Since 1986 responsible for developing model certification standards inspection standards labeling model certification standards inspection standards labeling and processor standards design and passage of landmark and processor standards design and passage of landmark 1990 California Organic Foods Act followed by Federal 1990 California Organic Foods Act followed by Federal National Organic Standards (final rules issued 10 years later)National Organic Standards (final rules issued 10 years later)
Macronutrients in agriculture N ndash P ndash KMacronutrients in agriculture N ndash P ndash K
In addiction to modern societyrsquos oil addiction industrial In addiction to modern societyrsquos oil addiction industrial agriculture is addicted to synthetic nitrogen and mined agriculture is addicted to synthetic nitrogen and mined
phosphate fertilizersphosphate fertilizers
Nitrogen pollution from agriculture is devastating fisheries Nitrogen pollution from agriculture is devastating fisheries rivers groundwater and human drinking water resourcesrivers groundwater and human drinking water resources
Mined rock phosphate supplies for use as fertilizer is Mined rock phosphate supplies for use as fertilizer is expected to peak around 2030 ndash when we need to be expected to peak around 2030 ndash when we need to be doubling our food-growing capacity to feed the rising global doubling our food-growing capacity to feed the rising global population rock phosphate will become increasingly scarce population rock phosphate will become increasingly scarce and expensiveand expensive
Need to recoverrecycle nitrogen and phosphate from Need to recoverrecycle nitrogen and phosphate from organic wastes from farms household compost livestock organic wastes from farms household compost livestock and human manure and municipal wasteand human manure and municipal waste
Builing compost piles - recycles nutrients Builing compost piles - recycles nutrients Organic farnming is more Labor intensive less external input-intensiveOrganic farnming is more Labor intensive less external input-intensive
California Certified Organic Farmers Largest association of California Certified Organic Farmers Largest association of organic farmers crops and farmland in US (amp worldwide) organic farmers crops and farmland in US (amp worldwide) since early 1980s Since 1986 responsible for developing since early 1980s Since 1986 responsible for developing model certification standards inspection standards labeling model certification standards inspection standards labeling and processor standards design and passage of landmark and processor standards design and passage of landmark 1990 California Organic Foods Act followed by Federal 1990 California Organic Foods Act followed by Federal National Organic Standards (final rules issued 10 years later)National Organic Standards (final rules issued 10 years later)
Builing compost piles - recycles nutrients Builing compost piles - recycles nutrients Organic farnming is more Labor intensive less external input-intensiveOrganic farnming is more Labor intensive less external input-intensive
California Certified Organic Farmers Largest association of California Certified Organic Farmers Largest association of organic farmers crops and farmland in US (amp worldwide) organic farmers crops and farmland in US (amp worldwide) since early 1980s Since 1986 responsible for developing since early 1980s Since 1986 responsible for developing model certification standards inspection standards labeling model certification standards inspection standards labeling and processor standards design and passage of landmark and processor standards design and passage of landmark 1990 California Organic Foods Act followed by Federal 1990 California Organic Foods Act followed by Federal National Organic Standards (final rules issued 10 years later)National Organic Standards (final rules issued 10 years later)
California Certified Organic Farmers Largest association of California Certified Organic Farmers Largest association of organic farmers crops and farmland in US (amp worldwide) organic farmers crops and farmland in US (amp worldwide) since early 1980s Since 1986 responsible for developing since early 1980s Since 1986 responsible for developing model certification standards inspection standards labeling model certification standards inspection standards labeling and processor standards design and passage of landmark and processor standards design and passage of landmark 1990 California Organic Foods Act followed by Federal 1990 California Organic Foods Act followed by Federal National Organic Standards (final rules issued 10 years later)National Organic Standards (final rules issued 10 years later)