City of Philadelphiaphilly.stat

State of the City

Date: January 26, 2009

State of Philadelphia: FY10 Budget

State of Philadelphia: FY10 BudgetTable of Contents

State of the City

Economic Rates and Economic Trends Slide 3

Demographic Trends Slide 7

Educational Attainment Slide 13

Public Safety Trends Slide 19

City’s Strategic Assets Slide 27

Reform Agenda Slide 32

State of the City Employment Rates and Economic Trends

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, “Selected unemployment indicators”, December 2008

State of the City Employment Rates and Economic TrendsMonthly Unemployment Rates, U.S. vs. Philadelphia, July 2007 –

December 2008

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

9.0%

Jul 07 Aug 07

Sep 07

Oct 07

Nov 07

Dec 07

Jan 08

Feb 08

Mar 08

Apr 08

May 08

Jun 08

Jul 08 Aug 08

Sep 08

Oct 08

Nov 08

Dec 08

US

Philadelphia

6.0%

8.0%

7.2%

4.7%

High unemployment

is concentrated in

Philadelphia’s central

neighborhoods

State of the City Employment Rates and Economic Trends

Source: American Community Survey

$-

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

$35,000

$40,000

$45,000

$50,000

U.S. Per Capita Income = $26,178

State of the City Employment Rates and Economic TrendsPer capita income in the past 12 months (in 2007 inflation-adjusted

dollars) for Select Metropolitan Statistical Areas

State of the City Demographic Trends

-14.2%

45.4%

2.8%

-18.9%

7.9%

-4.2%

12.2%

-1.2%

8.3%

-10.4%

-8.7%

-30.0% -20.0% -10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0%

Baltimore, MD

Phoenix, AZ

San Francisco, CA

Detroit, MI

Indianapolis, IN

Washington, DC

New York City, NY

Chicago, IL

Los Angeles, CA

Milwaukee, WI

Philadelphia, PA

Annual Growth Rate

City Population Growth, Selected Cities, 1990 to 2006

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

State of the City Demographic TrendsPhiladelphia has lost a portion of its population from 1990 - 2006

State of the City Demographic TrendsMetropolitan Statistical Area Population % Change 1970 - 2006

8% 9%

34%

17%9%

31%

1%

25%

74%

21%

40%

Phila

delp

hia

-C

am

den

-

Wilm

ingto

n,

PA

-NJ

-DE

-MD

(MS

A)

Milw

aukee

-W

aukesha

-

West A

llis, W

I

(MS

A)

Los A

ngele

s-

Long B

each

-

Santa

Ana,

CA

(MS

A)

Chic

ago

-N

aperv

ille

-

Jolie

t, IL

-IN

-WI

(MS

A)

New

York

-N

ort

hern

New

Jers

ey

-Lo

ng

Isla

nd, N

Y-N

J-

PA

(M

SA

)

India

napolis

-C

arm

el, IN

(MS

A)

Detr

oit

-W

arr

en

-

Liv

onia

, M

I

(MS

A)

San

Fra

ncis

co

-

Oakla

nd

-

Fre

mont,

CA

(MS

A)

Phoenix

-M

esa

-

Scott

sdale

, A

Z

(MS

A)

Baltim

ore

-Tow

son, M

D

(MS

A)

Washin

gto

n-

Arlin

gto

n-

Ale

xandria,

DC

-VA

-MD

-

WV

(M

SA

)

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Greater Philadelphia

has not grown as

rapidly as comparative

metropolitan areas

State of the City Demographic Trends Population Change, 1960 - 2000

Many of

Philadelphia’s

neighborhoods have

lost population

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

(2006 American Community Survey Data)

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

Philadelphia Wash. D.C. San Fran. Houston Boston Dallas Atlanta

Po

pu

lati

on

Metropolitan Statistical Area

Foreign Born

Total Pop.

8.7%

20.1%29.6% 21.5%

15.9%18% 13%

% = Foreign Born population/Total Population

State of the City Demographic TrendsForeign Born Population vs. Total Population – Select Regions (2006)

State of the City Demographic TrendsPercent Population Age 65+ in Cities

(source Census ACS 2005-2007 estimates)

13%

10% 10%10%

12% 12%

11% 11%

15%

8%

12%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

Philadelphia, PA

Milwaukee, WI

Los Angeles, CA

Chicago, IL New York City, NY

Washington, D.C.

Indianapolis, IN

Detroit, MI San Francisco,

CA

Phoenix, AZ Baltimore, MD

Pe

rce

nta

ge

of

To

tal P

op

Source: American Community Survey

State of the CityEducational Attainment

State of the CityEducational AttainmentFinancial and Administrative Structure of Public Education in

Philadelphia

In 2001, the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania transferred control of

the Mayor-appointed School Board to the School Reform

Commission — a five-member entity led by individuals appointed

by the Mayor and the Governor.

The Mayor holds two of five appointees on the School Reform

Commission and played a key role in selecting Dr. Ackerman as

Superintendent in collaboration with Governor Rendell.

The Mayor’s Office and several departments within the City

collaborate closely with the School District on our services to

children and families.

For the 2008-09 year, the City of Philadelphia must contribute $837

million in tax and non-tax revenue to the School District of

Philadelphia.

State of the CityEducational Attainment Percent of Population over 25 with College Degrees for Selected Cities

6.8%

13.9%

8.1%10.6%

17.8%

11.5%

6.2%

16.7%

11.7%

7.2%

21.3%

29.7% 29.9%

33.1%

48.4%

27.4%

11.9%

50.1%

23.7% 24.5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Philadelphia, PA

Los Angeles, CA

Chicago, IL New York City, NY

Washington, DC

Indianapolis, IN

Detroit, MI San Francisco, CA

Phoenix, AZ Baltimore, MD

1970 2007

Note: 2007 data are based on a sample. All data are of principal/central city.

Source: 2007 American Community Survey and State of the Cities Data Systems (SOCDS)

State of the CityEducational AttainmentSchool District of Philadelphia – Graduation Rates

Source: The School District of Philadelphia (2009)

47.9% 44.2% 48.3% 49.3% 52.3% 48.9% 54.5% 58.7%

57.8% 55.9%57.9% 58.9%

57.2%59.7%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Class of 2001 Class of 2002 Class of 2003 Class of 2004 Class of 2005 Class of 2006 Class of 2007 Class of 2008

Students graduating in six or less years One-time graduates

State of the CityEducational Attainment

On average, a Philadelphia dropout earns $457,000 in lifetime income, barely one-half

that of a Philadelphia high school graduate - $871,000.

The annual net fiscal contribution** of an average Philadelphia working-age adult without

a HS diploma is - $6,780, compared to +$5,790 for a HS graduate.

Over a working lifetime, an average Philadelphia dropout makes a net fiscal contribution

of -$319,000, while a HS graduate contributes +$261,000, yielding a total savings to

government of $580,000.

Philadelphia dropouts pay only $.39 in taxes for every dollar received in transfer

payments and institutionalization costs, while HS graduates contribute $2.64 for every

dollar received.

*Gain to local, state and federal governments

**Taxes paid vs. transfer payments received and costs of institutionalizationSource: Center for Labor Market Studies, 2009

Converting a Philadelphia dropout to a high school graduate would

produce a potential gain of $580,000 over a working lifetime*

Lower educational

attainment is

concentrated in targeted

police districts

State of the CityEducational AttainmentPercent of Residents Age 25 and Over with Bachelor’s Degree or Higher,

2000

State of the City Public Safety Trends

Legend

District

9 Districts

Parks

Water

The targeted police districts were

chosen because in 2007, the

following percentages of the listed

crimes (citywide) occurred in the

targeted areas combined:

- Homicides – 65%

- Robbery – 64%

- Aggravated Assault – 55%

- Shooting victims – 59%

State of the CityPublic Safety Trends

¼ Mile Density of Violent Crime

1-1-2008 – 12-31-2008

Including Homicides, Rapes,

Robberies & Aggravated Assaults

State of the CityPublic Safety Trends2008 Violent Crime Concentrations

Shootings are concentrated

in the high crime districts

State of the CityPublic Safety TrendsCity of Philadelphia

2008 Shooting Victims - 1-1-2008 – 12-31-2008

State of the CityPublic Safety TrendsViolent Crime Rate, Selected Cities, 2003 - 2007

1378

890

1272 1300

734

1569

883

2018

742693

1735

1475 1403

718

1179

614

1347

1234

2289

874

724

1631

1324

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

2003 2007 2008

Violent Crime: Murder, Rape, Robbery, Agg. Asslt

Source: FBI Publication – Crime in the U.S.

*Does not include Rape totals

**Philadelphia – Jan – Nov 2008

Vio

len

t C

rim

e R

ate

-Pe

r 1

00

,00

0 P

op

ula

tio

n

Category

Citywide %

change (2008 v.

2007)

Citywide Target

Nine Targeted

Districts %

change (2008 v.

2007)

Nine Targeted

District targets

Homicides -15.10 -25 -26.10 -25

Shooting

Victims-9.9 -20 -14.9 -20

Part I Violent

Crimes-2.5 -20 0.6 -20

Guns Seized 1.90 5% -2.60 5%

Source: Philadelphia Police Department

State of the CityPublic Safety TrendsComparison of 2008 Crime Rates v. Targets (changes versus 2007)

State of the CityPublic Safety TrendsPhiladelphia Prison System – Average Monthly Inmate Population

January 2004 – December 2008

State of the CityPublic Safety Trends

Philadelphia Prison

System’s inmates are

coming from the

targeted crime districts

State of the CityPhiladelphia’s Strategic Assets

State of the CityPhiladelphia’s Strategic AssetsEds & Meds

One third of all Philadelphia jobs are in Educational Services and Health

Care and Social Assistance

Philadelphia’s Strategic Advantage:

Philadelphia has a concentration of over five times more Educational

Services jobs and almost twice as many Health Care & Social Assistance

jobs as the national average

Source: 2008 Philadelphia Non-farm Employment and Labor Force Data, Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Dept. of Labor

State of the CityPhiladelphia’s Strategic Assets Transportation Links

Acela High Speed Trains to Washington, DC

only take 90 minutes and to New York City

only 70 minutes

SEPTA’s average daily ridership in December

2008 was 815,000 passengers

Philadelphia is within a day's drive of 40% of

the U.S. population

Fastest growing airport in the Northeast

Corridor

State of the CityPhiladelphia’s Strategic Assets Arts and Culture/Recreation Amenities

69% of businesses surveyed said that the City’s cultural attractions are

the most important factor for locating their business in Philadelphia

(Source: Chamber of Commerce, Annual Economic Outlook, 2007)

The regional non-profit cultural sector generates:

$1.3 billion in annual expenditures

40,000 jobs

$158.5 million in State and local taxes

(Source: Greater Philadelphia Cultural Alliance, 2007 Prosperity Report)

Fairmount Park is largest urban park in U.S. with over 9,000 acres

Philadelphia’s waterfronts represent a tremendous asset to the City

through new trails, programming and new development in the

surrounding areas

State of the CityPhiladelphia’s Strategic Assets Room to Grow – New Development Projects

Waterfronts

Station Square

Navy Yard

Convention Center/Market East

Hotel Development

Children’s Hospital Expansion

Temple University

Penn Connects: UPenn Expansion

State of the CityReform Agenda

State of the CityReform AgendaReform Plan and Goals

To achieve our vision with

the constraints we have

developed a 5-year Reform

Agenda

Establish reform teams

Engage the public

Incorporate innovative

ideas in FY 2010 budget

and the 5-year plan

Current

ConditionsVision

Reform

Agenda

State of the CityReform Agenda Decision Making and Public Engagement

Review budget targets from City departments (10%, 20%, 30% reductions)

Evaluate best practices from other cities

Receive input from City employees on revenue-generating and cost-

saving ideas

Receive public input regarding budget tradeoffs

State of the CityReform Agenda Civic Engagement Dialog Sessions

Thursday, February 12th:

St. Dominic's School

Frankford Avenue near Benson Street, Holmesburg

Wednesday, February 18th

Mastery Charter School, Pickett Campus,

Wayne and W. Chelten Avenues, Germantown

Thursday, February 19th

St. Monica's Catholic School,

16th and Porter Streets, South Philadelphia

Monday, February 23rd

Pinn Memorial Baptist Church

54th Street near Woodcrest Avenue, Overbrook