27
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
BLUE page number and
reference –
adjust title slide on main master
slide No 1
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
BLUE page number and
reference –
adjust title slide on main master
slide No 1
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
Harnessing Data Analytics in Airline Safety
Panayiotis (Panos) Nicolaou
November 2018
To enhance accuracy and enable better decision making in managing risk
BLUE page number and
reference –
adjust title slide on main master
slide No 1
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
Agenda
3
R2 Data Labs Airline Digital Centre: Safety Analytics
Pro-active vs. Predictive
Vision & Goals
Developments
01
02
03
04
WHITE page number and reference –
adjust title slide on main master slide
No 2
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
4
R2 Data Labs Airline Digital Centre - Safety Analytics
01
WHITE page number and reference –
adjust title slide on main master slide
No 2
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
6
Today
Digital allows us to do things we could only dream of when we introduced TotalCare.
Services Product
Digital
WHITE page number and reference –
adjust title slide on main master slide
No 2
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
7
The future
We will design, test and maintain engines digitally.
Services Product
Digital
WHITE page number and reference –
adjust title slide on main master slide
No 2
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
R2 Data Labs is
central to the
Rolls-Royce
digital strategy Responsible for
amplifying and
accelerating data
innovation
Perfect the
digital twin Digital first
Establish organisational
competences and values
which support data innovation
Generate value through
new insights, new
solutions and new
opportunities
Improve and connect product,
production and service twins
Amplify &
accelerate
data
innovation
WHITE page number and reference –
adjust title slide on main master slide
No 2
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
WHITE page number and reference –
adjust title slide on main master slide
No 2
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
Data &
Perspective
• Can we give more to individual Airlines
Improve accuracy in managing operational risk
Really finding useful insight … emerging trends
Can we share data and insights to save lives…
Collaborate across the skies
BLUE page number and
reference –
adjust title slide on main master
slide No 1
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
WHITE page number and reference –
adjust title slide on main master slide
No 2
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
A collaborative
platform
will help us
accelerate the
delivery of
value
Established partner for Cloud Solution (Azure)
3rd party
application
providers
Industry-
specific
specialist
services Domain and
consulting
Solution developers
and systems
integrators
OEMs
Suppliers
University
technology
centres
Analytics and
decision
science
IT services,
consulting and
business
solutions
Established
partner for Cloud
solution (Azure)
30 years of
industry domain
knowledge in
data services
Advanced data
analytics, Artificial
Intelligence Machine
learning
WHITE page number and reference –
adjust title slide on main master slide
No 2
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
14
Pro-active vs. Predictive 02
BLUE page number and
reference –
adjust title slide on main master
slide No 1
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
“Practical drift”
Predictive
Proactive
Reactive
Reactive
Why we do what we do
Is becoming harder
and harder to derive
the reason for the next
accident so we must
use all data available in
conjunction with
analytical capability.
Proactive vs. Predictive
Courtesy of ICAO
BLUE page number and
reference –
adjust title slide on main master
slide No 1
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
16
Commitment & Responsibility
• Accountability
• Appoint key safety personnel
• Coordinate emergency response planning
• SMS documentation
Safety Risk Management
• Hazard identification
• Risk Assessment & mitigation
Safety Assurance
• Safety Performance monitoring & measurement
• The management of change
• Continuous improvement of SMS
Safety Promotion
• Training and education
• Safety communication
Commitment & Responsibility
• Accountability
• Appoint key safety personnel
• Coordinate emergency response planning
• SMS documentation
Safety Risk Management
• Hazard identification
• Risk Assessment & mitigation
Safety Assurance
• Safety Performance monitoring & measurement
• The management of change
• Continuous improvement of SMS
Safety Promotion
• Training and education
• Safety communication
Our team looks to harnessing data analytics enable SMS to become more predictive and improve safety through resilience
Safety Management System
Courtesy of ICAO
WHITE page number and reference –
adjust title slide on main master slide
No 2
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
17
Vision & Goals 03
BLUE page number and
reference –
adjust title slide on main master
slide No 1
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
QAR
• Modelling pilot
competencies (EBT)
• Identify and learn from
resilient safety behaviors
• Safety Awareness
RR SMS
• Discover new causal
factors
• Safety Hazard
Awareness
• Identify emerging risks
WHITE page number and reference –
adjust title slide on main master slide
No 2
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
22
Developments i) Flight Path Management Assessment
ii) Situational Awareness
ii) SMS Analytics
04
WHITE page number and reference –
adjust title slide on main master slide
No 2
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
1. Identify resilience behaviours that led to good outcomes i.e. reducing the risk of bad outcome
2. Aggregate, trend and mitigate risky behaviours that may lead to bad outcome(s).
Overview
WHITE page number and reference –
adjust title slide on main master slide
No 2
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
i) Data-driven Approach for Flight Path Management
Data
Consistently high
slope to landing
Initial interpretation
High vertical speed
during last few
seconds.
Late change in pitch.
Further work needed to
understand relationships
among signals to
translate this into
competencies
WHITE page number and reference –
adjust title slide on main master slide
No 2
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
Approach Landing Taxi-in
High vertical
energy
High lateral
energy Unstabilized
High energy
Normal
5000 ft. 2000 ft. 1000 ft. 50 ft. 0 ft.
Normal
Hard
landing
Pilot Factors
/Environment Pilot Factors
/ Environment Pilot Factors
/ Environment
Altitude
Concept workflow for Flt Path Management
WHITE page number and reference –
adjust title slide on main master slide
No 2
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
0 ft. 50 ft.
Landing
High vertical
energy
Normal
Landing
Hard
landing
Altitude
Example: In a High Vertical Energy profile
• How can we use data to derive a set of pilot factors that can then be used
to determine different competency levels of e.g. Flight Path Management
Pilot Factors
/ Environment
WHITE page number and reference –
adjust title slide on main master slide
No 2
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
Identify Optimal Behaviours in Different Situations
NORMAL
Vertical Energy
HIGH
Vertical Energy
Flare
Height
40ft
50ft
Flare
Height
Landing pitch
Landing pitch
3.5 deg
3.0 deg
WHITE page number and reference –
adjust title slide on main master slide
No 2
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
Identify Optimal Behaviours in Difference Situations
Fla
re H
eig
ht
Fla
re H
eig
ht
Fla
re H
eig
ht
Landing Pitch Attitude
WHITE page number and reference –
adjust title slide on main master slide
No 2
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
ii) Situational Awareness for Overspeed
Positive Correlations
with changes in:
- Wind
- Temperature
- Turbulence
BLUE page number and
reference –
adjust title slide on main master
slide No 1
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
iii) SMS Analytics Analytics in development Investigating areas of concern: - Orient focus - Emerging trends
Areas of Concern
Bird Strikes in ABC DETAILS
Loading events on XYZ DETAILS
Pallett Make-up DETAILS
TCAS events DETAILS
BLUE page number and
reference –
adjust title slide on main master
slide No 1
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
SMS Analytics Analytics in development Investigating areas of concern: - Orient focus - Emerging trends
Automating discovery to help improve risk assessment
BLUE page number and
reference –
adjust title slide on main master
slide No 1
Business sensitivity classification | © 2018 Rolls-Royce Business proprietary classification Export Control classification
This template SHOULD NOT BE
USED for CONFIDENTIAL or
SENSITIVE INFORMATION
THANK YOU!
For questions or suggestions:
Panayiotis (Panos) Nicolaou – [email protected]
