Legislative Analyst’s Office

Presented to:

Amber Didier and Callie Freitag

SCAN 2016 LTSS Summit

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Summary of Findings

Larger share of nonwhite seniors in California than in the U.S. (41% vs. 22% in 2015)

California’s seniors turning 65 in 2015-19 projected to spend nearly 1 year longer on average with 2+ ADL limitations than seniors nationally

Differences in the share of nonwhite seniors partially explain this difference

California’s Seniors Projected to Spend More

Years With a Disability Than U.S. Seniors

2 National results are from the Urban Institute.

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Background

Activity of Daily Living (ADL) Limitations

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Seniors Aged 65

and Older (In

Millions)

Twofold Increase in Senior Population in

California and Nationwide From 2015 to 2060

Seniors Aged 65 and Older (In Millions)

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Number of U.S. seniors with 2 or more ADL

limitations projected to increase from

6 million in 2015 to nearly 16 million in 2065

These results may not be applicable to

California

Number of U.S. Seniors

With Disabilities Will Also Increase

6 National results are from the Urban Institute.

Senior Population in California Projected to

Become Majority Nonwhite Sooner Than in U.S.

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Projections of California’s

Seniors With Disabilities

From 2015-2060

Majority of Seniors

Not Projected to Have an ADL Limitation

Californians Aged 65 and Older (In Millions)

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Seniors With ADL Limitations Projected to

Increase From 1 Million to 2.7 Million

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Californians Aged 65 and Older (In Millions)

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Projections of Disability

Among California’s Seniors

Turning 65 in 2015-2019

Nonwhite Seniors Projected to Live More

Years With a Disability Than White Seniors

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Nonwhite Seniors Projected to Live Larger

Share of Years After 65 With a Disability

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California Compared

to the U.S.

California’s Seniors Projected to Spend More

Years With a Disability Than U.S. Seniors

15 National results are from the Urban Institute.

lao.ca.gov

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