Q1 2012 TELUS investor conference callMay 9, 2012
Robert McFarlaneEVP & Chief Financial Officer
Joe NataleEVP & Chief Commercial Officer
Darren EntwistlePresident & Chief Executive Officer
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TELUS Forward Looking Statement
Today's presentation and answers to questions contain statements about expected future events and financial and operating performance of TELUS that are forward-looking. By their nature, forward-looking statements require the Company to make assumptions and predictions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties. There is significant risk that the forward-looking statements will not prove to be accurate. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements as a number of factors could cause actual future performance and events to differ materially from that expressed in the forward-looking statements. Accordingly our comments are subject to the disclaimer and qualified by the assumptions (including assumptions for 2012 annual targets), qualifications and risk factors (including TELUS proposed share consolidation and foreign ownership levels, the ability over time to sustain dividend growth of circa 10% per annum with semi-annual dividend increases to 2013, and CEO three year goals for EPS and free cash flow growth excluding spectrum costs to 2013) referred to in the Management’s discussion and analysis in the 2011 annual report, and in the 2012 first quarter report. Except as required by law, TELUS disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise forward-looking statements, and reserves the right to change, at any time at its sole discretion, its current practice of updating annual targets and guidance.
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Agenda
Share conversion proposal update
Wireless and wireline segment review
Consolidated financial review
Updates
Spectrum auction and foreign direct investment policies
Operational highlights
Questions and Answers
Mason Capital
Despite Mason having one twentieth of the economic interest of our employees, they hold four times the voting power
Executive Director of CCGG condemns ‘empty voting’ and fully supports one share – one vote
Leading independent proxy advisors, ISS and Glass Lewis supported the proposal four times
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Share consolidation benefits
Enhances TELUS’ leading good corporate governance practices
Enhances marketability of TELUS shares Enhances liquidity of common shares Listing on New York Stock Exchange
One share – one vote
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Significant share value appreciationsince announcement
Since announcement, TELUS’ market valuehas increased circa $1 billion
Feb. 21 – May 8 Common Shares: 4.0% Non-Voting: 5.9% Toronto Stock Exchange Index: (7.3)% MSCI Global Telecom Index: (0.7)%
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Our commitment to our shareholders
TELUS Board and Management fundamentally agree this is
the right proposal and in the best interest of our company
and long-term shareholders
We will pursue other actions to convert our share structure
to a single class
Conversion on one-to-one basis is the right model
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TELUS continues to build upon our company’soperational and financial momentum
Q1 2012 wireless financial results
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($M) Q1-11 Q1-12 change
Revenue (external) 1,308 1,383 5.7%
EBITDA1 551 622 13%
EBITDA margins2
(total revenue) 41.8% 44.7% 2.9 pts
Capex 76 151 99%
EBITDA less capex 475 471 (0.8)%
1 EBITDA before restructuring costs in Q1-12 and Q1-11 were $626 and $551 million, respectively.2 Margins on network revenue in Q1-12 and Q1-11 were 48.3% and 45.8%, respectively.
Record EBITDA with growth of 13% and margin improvementCash flow strong while continuing LTE investments
Wireless subscriber results
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Wireless subscribers
Postpaidnet adds
7.4M total
1.2Mprepaid
Q1-11
52K63K
Q1-12
Totalnet adds
Q1-11
32K22K
Q1-12
Postpaid net adds growth of 21% y/y Smartphones now 56% of postpaid base, up from 38% in prior year
84%
16%
6.2Mpostpaid
Marketing and retention
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Q1-11 Q1-12 change
Gross adds (000s) 388 363 (6.4)%
Churn1 1.70% 1.55% (0.15) pts
COA per gross add $348 $362 4.0%
COA expense $135M $131M (3.0)%
Retention expense $148M $139M (5.8)%
Lifetime revenue $3,405 $3,798 12%
1 Q1-12 and Q1-11 churn of 1.52% and 1.62% when normalized for loss of Government of Canada contract.
Industry leading churn combined with lower acquisition and retention expenses
Blended ARPU analysis
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Data
Q1-12
$58.87 Voice$57.89
Q1-11
% of ARPU
Q1-12Q1-11
31%
69% 61%
39%22.83
40.18 36.04
ARPU increase of 1.7% led by dataSixth consecutive quarter of ARPU growth
17.71
Wireless data revenue
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Q1-11
$366M
Q1-12
$498M
$254M
Q1-10
Industry leading data revenue growth of 36%Q1 data increased to 39% of network revenue
Q1 2012 wireline financial results
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($M) Q1-11 Q1-12 change
Revenue (external) 1,223 1,248 2.0%
EBITDA1 435 387 (11)%
EBITDA margins(total revenue) 34.4% 30.0% (4.4) pts
Capex 333 290 (13)%
EBITDA less capex 102 97 (4.9)%
1 Q1-12 adjusted EBITDA of $388M excludes a $1M equity loss for residential component of TELUS Garden real estate joint venture and Q1-11 adjusted EBITDA of $419M excludes a $16M non-cash gain on Transactel.
Wireline revenue growth reflects strong TV and HSIA subscriber growthCash flow stable as lower EBITDA offset by reduced capex
Adjusted wireline EBITDA
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($M) Q1-11 Q1-12 change
EBITDA 435 387 (11)%
Gain on Transactel acquisition (16)
Equity loss for residential component real estate J.V. 1
Adjusted EBITDA1 419 388 (7.4)%
Adjusted EBITDA margin 33.6% 30.1% (3.5) pts
Adjusted EBITDA less capex 86 98 14%
Adjusted wireline EBITDA lower by 7.4%
1 Adjusted EBITDA before restructuring costs in Q1-12 and Q1-11 were $397 and $423 million, respectively, down 6.5%.
TELUS TV customer growth
15
Q1-11
44K 44K
Q1-12
TELUS TV net additions*
TELUS TV subscribers*
* Includes both IP TV and TELUS Satellite TV subscribers
Q1-12Q1-11
358K
553K
Momentum continues with TV net adds of 44K Total subscribers up 54% surpassing 550,000
Q1-11
1.18M
TELUS high-speed Internet customer growth
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Q1-11
16K
Q1-12
16K
Stable growth in HSIA despite competitive environmentTotal subscriber base up 6.3%
High-speed subscribers
Q1-12
1.26M
High-speed net additions
TELUS network access line losses
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Q1-12 Q1-12
-33K
-47K
2K
-10KQ1-11
Q1-11
BusinessResidential
Residential line losses impacted from price-based competitionBusiness line losses reflects competition, and wholesale adds in Q1/11
Q1 2012 consolidated financial results
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($M, except EPS) Q1-11 Q1-12 change
Revenue (external) 2,531 2,631 4.0%
EBITDA1 986 1,009 2.3%
EPS (basic) 1.01 1.07 5.9%
Capex 409 441 7.8%
EBITDA less capex 577 568 (1.6)%
Free cash flow 162 358 121%
FCF growth driven by lower discretionary defined benefit pension contributions, increased EBITDA and lower financing costs
1 Q1-12 adjusted EBITDA of $1,010M excludes a $1M equity loss for residential component of TELUS Garden real estate joint venture and Q1-11 adjusted EBITDA of $970M excludes a $16M non-cash gain on Transactel.
EPS continuity analysis ($)
1.01
HigherNormalized EBITDA1
Higher Pension
Q1-12 reported
1.070.13
HigherDep & Amort
0.04
-0.06 - 0.02
Q1-11 reported
0.97Excl.
Trans. gain
LowerFinancing
costs2
1 Normalized EBITDA excludes $0.04 combined for restructuring and pension costs.2 Financing costs excludes $0.02 of interest on income tax refunds in Q1/12.
- 0.02 1.04Excl.
Tax Adj.
EPS growth reflects EBITDA growth and lower financing costs partly offset by higher D&A, pension and restructuring costs
Higher Restructure
& other
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Industry Canada sets spectrum auction and telecom foreign ownership policies
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Spectrum cap of 10 MHz for prime 700 MHz auction and 40 MHz for 2.5 GHz auction
700 MHz prime spectrum divided into 4 paired blocks of 10 MHz 2.5 GHz spectrum cap means TELUS should be eligible to
obtain up to 40 MHz of spectrum Auctions delayed to H1 2013 for 700 MHz and H1 2014 for 2.5 GHz Foreign ownership restrictions to be lifted for carriers with less than
10% national market share TELUS encourages government to continue to work towards full
liberalization to ensure level playing field
Policy announcement on spectrum auctions consistent with TELUS’ proposed recommendations to Government
2012 guidance confirmed
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2012 consolidated and segmented guidance confirmed
2012 guidance y/y change
Revenue (external) $10.7 to 11.0B 3 to 6%
EBITDA $3.8 to 4.0B 1 to 6%
EPS (basic) $3.75 to 4.15 0 to 10%
Capex Approx $1.85B
Q1 2012 summary
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Strong consolidated revenue growth driven by data Record consolidated EBITDA Great wireless metrics across the board (e.g. EBITDA, ARPU,
churn, lifetime revenue, postpaid net adds, COA/COR) Continued Optik TV and high-speed Internet subscriber
growth Strong FCF growth aided by lower discretionary defined
benefit pension contributions, higher EBITDA, and lower financing costs
Better than expected beginning to 2012 with strong free cash flow generation supporting an even stronger balance sheet
Strong smartphone adoption, ARPU growth continue
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1Q 2012 Smartphone base up 63% to 3.5 million year over yearData ARPU expansion driven by 36% growth in data revenue
Q1-10 Q1-11 Q1-12
5.4 5.8 6.2
22%38%
56%
Postpaid subscribers (millions)Smartphone % of postpaid
$13.14$17.71
$22.83
Q1-10 Q1-11 Q1-12
Wireless Data ARPU
Future friendly home – continued strength in Optik
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TV and High-Speed Internet loading exceedingresidential NAL losses for seventh consecutive quarter
TELUS TVResidential NALs
High-speed Internet
Q1-11 Q1-12Q1-10
60K
-39K
60K
-30K
38K50K32K
-43K-50K -33K -47K
29K44K 44K
3K
16K 16K
Continued new innovations for Optik TV
Twitter app for Optik TV
Tweet what watching Optik TV, follow what others saying about favourite shows through ‘TV Tweets’
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Optik TV for Xbox 360
TELUS Optik TV first in world to offer customers gesture & voice control ability with Kinect
Optik on the go
View select TV On Demand content on your mobile device, anywhere in Canada
Appendix – free cash flow
2012Q1
2011Q1
C$ millions
Adjusted EBITDA1 970 1,010Capex (409) (441)Net Employee Defined Benefit Plans Expense (Recovery) (9) (1)Employer Contributions to Employee Defined Benefit Plans (235) (116)Interest expense paid, net (61) (55)Income taxes received (paid), net (66) (48)Share-based compensation (5) 7Restructuring payments (net of expense) (23) 2Free Cash Flow 358
(169) (188)Dividends
Working Capital and Other (168) (62)
Funds Available for debt redemption (164) 61Net Issuance (Repayment) of debt 170 (39)Increase in cash 6 22
Common and Non-voting shares issued 17
Acquisitions (60) (32)
162
Dividends reinvested (DRIP) 54 -
1 Q1-12 and Q1-11 adjusted EBITDA excludes a $1 million equity loss for residential component of TELUS Garden real estate joint venture and a $16 million non-cash gain on Transactel, respectively.
-
Real estate joint venture - (15)
Appendix – definitions
EBITDA: Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization Capital intensity: capital expenditures divided by total revenue Cash flow: EBITDA less capex Free cash flow: EBITDA, adding Restructuring costs, net employee defined
benefit plans expense, cash interest received and excess of share-based compensation expense over share-based compensation payments, subtracting the non-cash gain on Transactel, cash interest paid, cash taxes, capital expenditures, restructuring payments and employer contributions to employee defined benefit plans.
Cost of retention (COR): total costs to retain existing subscribers, often presented as a percentage of network revenue