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8/8/2019 Session 1 Fundamentals of Nepal
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Michael R. Baye,
Session 1
The Fundamentals of Managerial Economics
8/8/2019 Session 1 Fundamentals of Nepal
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Economic Mysteries
Why is airline food so bad?
Why have paper towels
replaced hot-air hand
dryers in public restrooms?
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More Economic Mysteries
Why do prices of some goods, like
apples, go down during months of heaviest consumption, while others
like beachfront cottages, go up?
Why do National Football Leaguegames cost so much more than major
league baseball games?
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Even More Economic
Mysteries
Why is gravel made by hand in
Nepal, but by machine in the U.S.? Why do color photographs cost less
than black and white photographs?
Why do manual transmissions havefive forward speeds and automatics
have only four?
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Economics Reasoning Quiz
(Worksheet 1)
The best things in life are free.
(True or False)The largest cost of going to
college is tuition, room and
board.
(True or False)
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The purpose of economic activity is to
improve the well-being of some people at
the expense of others.(True or False)
Anything worth doing is worth doing well.
(True or False)Life is priceless.
(True or False)
Economics Reasoning Quiz
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Guide to Economics Reasoning
Worksheet 2
PEOPLE ECONOMIZE. People
choose the alternative which seemsbest to them because it involves the
least cost and the greatest benefit.
ALL CHOICES INVOLVE COST.Cost is the second best choice given
up when people make their best
choice.
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Guide to Economics Reasoning
PEOPLE RESPOND TO
INCENTIVES. Incentives are
actions or rewards that
encourage people to act. When
incentives change, people¶sbehavior changes in predictable
ways.
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Guide to Economics Reasoning
ECONOMIC SYSTEMS
INFLUENCE INDIVIDUALCHOICES AND INCENTIVES.
How people cooperate is governed
by written and unwritten rules. Asrules change, incentives change and
behavior changes.
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Guide to Economics Reasoning
VOLUNTARY TRADE CREATES
WEALTH. People can producemore in less time by concentrating
on what they do best. The surplus
goods or services they produce canbe traded to obtain other valuable
goods or services.
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Guide to Economics Reasoning
THE CONSEQUENCES OF
CHOICES LIE IN THE FUTURE.
The important costs and benefits ineconomic decision making are those
which will appear in the future.
Economics stresses making decisions
about the future because it is only thefuture that we can influence. We cannot
influence things that have happened in
the past.
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Cost-Benefit Approach to
Decision Making
C(X) = Cost of doing
activity X
B(X) = Benefit of doing
activity X
If B(X) > C(X) then do X
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Pitfalls to good decision making
Ignoring opportunity costs in
making decisions. Opportunity costs should be included.
Including sunk costs in making
decisions. Sunk costs should NOT be included.
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Should I go skiing today?
B(X) = $50 to you.
C(X) = $30 for lift ticket
& equipment.
Do you go skiing?
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Should graduate student sell a
car to his father-in-law?
$10,000 Chevrolet
Does not have to pay the normal 50%
tariff.
Car sells for $15,000 in home country.
Estimates he can sell it for $14,000.
Father-in-law wants to pay $10,000.
What is the graduate student¶s
opportunity cost if he sells it to his father-
in-law?
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What is the opportunity cost of going to college?
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Why does it make more sense
to attend college at age 20 than
at age 50?
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Is it fair to charge interest
when lending a friend somemoney?
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Why do banks pay interest inthe first place?
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Sunk Costs
Sometimes an expenditure seems
like a relevant cost when inreality it is not.
Sunk costs are beyond recoveryat the moment a decision is
made.
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Should I drive to Boston or
take the bus?
250 mile trip
Bus fare is $100
Costs of typical 10,000 mile drivingyear for your car are: Insurance $1000
Interest $2000
Fuel, oil $2000
Total = $5000
Cost per mile is 5000/10,000 = 50
cents?
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Pizza Experiment
All you can eat lunch for $3.
One-half of the tables are given a $3refund.
They other half gets no refund.
What differences do you predict in
the amounts eaten by these two
groups?
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Tickets To A Concert
Jim wins a ticket from a radio
station.
Mike paid $18 for a ticket. On the evening of the concert there
is a tremendous thunderstorm.
If they have the same tastes, shouldthere be a difference in their
behavior as to whether or not to
attend the concert?
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Should you keep your business
open for one additional hour ? ±Scenario: You are managing a fast
food hamburger restaurant.
± You currently close at 10 pm everynight, but are considering
extending your hours to 11 pm on
weekends.
±What are the relevant
considerations?
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Your monthly rent?
Other sunk costs?
The hourly wages you pay your
employees?Other variable costs associated
with the extra hour?
Your weekly revenues?
Your likely revenues for the extra
hour?
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The Invisible Hand
Decentralized
Freedom Self-interest
Motivated by incentives
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Overview of Managerial
EconomicsThe Economics of Effective
Management
±Identify Goals and Constraints
±Recognize the Role of Profits
±Understand Incentives
±
Understand Markets ±Recognize the Time Value of
Money
±Use Marginal Analysis
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Managerial Economics
Manager
± A person who directs resources to
achieve a stated goal. Economics
± The science of making decisions in thepresence of scare resources.
Managerial Economics
± The study of how to direct scarceresources in the way that mostefficiently achieves a managerial goal.
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Economic vs. Accounting Profits
Accounting Profits
± Total revenue (sales) minus dollar cost
of producing goods or services ± Reported on the firm¶s income
statement
Economic Profits
± Total revenue minus total opportunity
cost
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Opportunity Cost
Accounting Costs
± The explicit costs of the resources needed to
produce produce goods or services
±
Reported on the firm¶s income statement Opportunity Cost
± The cost of the explicit and implicit resources
that are foregone when a decision is made
Economic Profits ± Total revenue minus total opportunity cost
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Market Interactions Consumer-Producer Rivalry
± Consumers attempt to locate low prices, whileproducers attempt to charge high prices
Consumer-Consumer Rivalry
±Scarcity of goods reduces the negotiatingpower of consumers as they compete for theright to those goods
Producer-Producer Rivalry ±
Scarcity of consumers causes producers tocompete with one another for the right toservice customers
The Role of Government ± Disciplines the market process
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The Time Value of Money
Present value (PV) of an amount (FV) to be
received at the end of ³n´ periods when
the per-period interest rate is ³i´:
PV
FV
i n!
1Examples?
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Present Value of a Series
Present value of a stream of future
amounts (FVt) received at the end of
each period for ³n´ periods:
PV
FV
i
FV
i
FV
i
n
n!
1
1
2
21 1 1...
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Net Present Value
Suppose a manager can purchase a streamof future receipts (FVt ) by spending ³C0´
dollars today. The NPV of such a decision is
NPV C FV
iFV
iFV
in
n!
0
11
22
1 1 1...
NPV < 0: RejectNPV > 0: Accept
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Firm Valuation
The value of a firm equals the presentvalue of all its future profits ± PV = 7 Tt / (1 + i)t
If profits grow at a constant rate, g < i,then: ± PV = T
Si) / ( i - g), T
S!current profit level.
Maximizing Short-Term Profits
±If the growth rate in profits < interest rate andboth remain constant, maximizing the presentvalue of all future profits is the same asmaximizing current profits.
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Control Variables
± Output
±
Price ± Product Quality
± Advertising
± R&D
Basic Managerial Question: Howmuch of the control variable shouldbe used to maximize net benefits?
Marginal (Incremental) Analysis
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Net Benefits
Net Benefits = Total Benefits -
Total Costs
Profits = Revenue - Costs
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Marginal Benefit (MB)
Change in total benefits arising
from a change in the control
variable, Q:
MB = (B / (Q
Slope (calculus derivative) of thetotal benefit curve
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Marginal Cost (MC)
Change in total costs arising
from a change in the control
variable, Q:
MC = (C / (Q
Slope (calculus derivative) of thetotal cost curve
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Marginal Principle
To maximize net benefits, themanagerial control variable shouldbe increased up to the point whereMB = MC
MB > MC means the last unit of thecontrol variable increased benefits
more than it increased costs MB < MC means the last unit of the
control variable increased costsmore than it increased benefits
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Marginal Analysis
The marginal cost of any good or
activity is its opportunity cost
The opportunity cost is the next bestalternative given up when a decision
is made?
What is your opportunity cost for being here today?
Is it the same for everyone in this
room?
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The Geometry of Optimization
Q
Benefits & Costs
Benefits
Costs
Q*
B
CSlope = MC
Slope =MB
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Cancer Screening Program
(Worksheet)
Population
Screened
Total Annual
Cost
Total Lives
Saved
60-70 yr. olds $ 80,000 3550-70 yr. olds $160,000 65
40-70 yr. olds $240,000 85
30-70 yr. olds $320,000 95
20-70 yr. olds $400,000 100
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Mobile Cardiac
Arrest Units Number of
Units
Total Annual
Cost
Total Lives
Saved
1 $ 80,000 100
2 $160,000 150
3 $240,000 175
4 $320,000 190
5 $400,000 200
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Relevant Articles & Worksheets
Worksheets, pp. 1-5, 1-6, and 1-8.
³Eager to Boost Traffic, More Internet
Firms Give Away Services,´, pp. 1-9& 1-10.
³Beyond the InformationRevolution´, pp. 1-11 to 1-18f
Problem Set #1, worksheets pages 1-19 and 1-20