The ClearSky Field-Burning Decision Support System

Joe Vaughan,

Charleston Ramos, Brian Lamb

Laboratory for Atmospheric Research

WSU-Pullman

NW-AIRQUEST NASA-ROSES Project Confab

April 13, 2007

Outline ClearWhat? Original and current system Ensemble Experiment Current Directions ClearSky and NASA-ROSES project

Current ClearSky Domain

Initial ClearSky Evaluation Rahul Jain’s Findings:

ClearSky is highly sensitive to Wind Speed & Wind Direction

Small differences in Wind Direction determine whether or not smoke plumes are predicted to affect an air quality monitoring station

Recognized a need to represent the uncertainty of the meteorological conditions…

ATHOL

Thus arose the idea of using Ensemble Meteorology !

Ensemble ClearSky Implementation

CALMETCALPUFF

u, v formattedfor each layer of CALMET

u, v formattedfor each layer of CALMET

3D met field-----------------

u, v, w, T, BL variables

3D met field-----------------

u, v, w, T, BL variables

Web-served PM2.5 plume animations

Web-served PM2.5 plume animations

PM2.5emissions from web-

baseduser interface

MCIP

IC/BClanduseterrain University of

Washington Mesoscale Ensemble

System

WSU ClearSky Ensemble System

MM5MM5

MM5MM5

Time Series of Wind Directions at Coeur d'Alene, ID for 09/08/04

0

30

60

90

120

150

180

210

240

270

300

330

360

8:00 9:0010:0011:0012:0013:0014:0015:0016:0017:0018:0019:0020:0021:00

Time (PST)

Wind Direction (degrees)

OBS

OCS

CMCG

CMCG+

ETA

ETA+

GASP

GASP+

GFS

GFS+

JMA

JMA+

NGPS

NGPS+

TCWB

UKMO

UKMO+

Time Series of Wind Speeds at Coeur d'Alene, ID for 09/08/04

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8:00 9:0010:0011:0012:0013:0014:0015:0016:0017:0018:0019:0020:0021:00

Time (PST)

Wind Speed (m/s)

OBS

OCS

CMCG

CMCG+

ETA

ETA+

GASP

GASP+

GFS

GFS+

JMA

JMA+

NGPS

NGPS+

TCWB

UKMO

UKMO+

Time Series of PM 2.5 Concentrations at Coeur d'Alene, ID for 09/08/04

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

8:00 9:00 10:0011:0012:0013:0014:0015:0016:0017:0018:0019:0020:0021:00Time (PST)

PM

2.5 Concentration (

μ/g m

3 )

OBS

OCS

AVE

CMCG

CMCG+

ETA

ETA+

GASP

GASP+

GFS

GFS+

J MA

J MA+

NGPS

NGPS+

TCWB

UKMO

UKMO+

OCS AVE ETA GFS+ UKMO

Observations (OBS), original ClearSky (OCS), and ensemble average (AVE) are shown with the 15 ensemble ClearSky members

Current Research and Operational Product Efforts

Experiments with 1-km domain MM5 to drive ClearSky to get better terrain resolution, for better winds.

Use of a 3-D CALPUFF version to investigate vertical dimension of puff/plumes.

Addition of wind roses for post hoc review of how predicted and observed winds differ by site.

Forecasting orchard tear-out pile burns. Getting CALMET and CALPUFF running in new

rainier system. Investigation of tech-transfer from IDEQ

Emergency Response CALPUFFF system to ClearSky.

Applied Sciences Program Approach to Integrated System Solutions forA Comprehensive Regional Air-Quality Decision Support System for the Pacific Northwest

NASA ROSES

2nd Fire Behavior and Fuels Conference

(IAWF & WSU Extension)

Several talks on satellite fire detection for prescribed and wild-land fires… and some maps show that agricultural burning is also being picked up.

FIRMS U MD Geography Dept Fire Information for Resource

Management System