Time Activity 10:00 – 10:30 Tea and coffee 10:30 – 10:45* Review of July WGM, HLSG interim meeting and current A.O.B. •16 month work plan 10:45 – 11:10 Work stream 1 and 2 presentation •Status report 11:10 – 11:35 Work stream 3 presentation •Status report 11:35 – 12:00 Work stream 4 presentation •Status report 12:00 – 12.45 Discussion: Review and Analysis of Futures Research 2013 12:45 – 13:00 Lunch 13:30 – 14:45 Workshop: Discussion of the outputs from the “Using Social Media and Gaming to value Cultural Ecosystems Services” bespoke scan. 14.45 – 15.00 Wrap up and close *Telephone participants to call in at this time (TBD) AGENDA 1
Transcript
Time Activity10:00 – 10:30 Tea and coffee 10:30 – 10:45* Review of July WGM, HLSG interim meeting and current A.O.B.
• 16 month work plan10:45 – 11:10 Work stream 1 and 2 presentation
•Status report11:10 – 11:35 Work stream 3 presentation
•Status report11:35 – 12:00 Work stream 4 presentation
•Status report
12:00 – 12.45 Discussion: Review and Analysis of Futures Research 2013 12:45 – 13:00 Lunch13:30 – 14:45 Workshop: Discussion of the outputs from the “Using Social Media and Gaming to
value Cultural Ecosystems Services” bespoke scan.14.45 – 15.00 Wrap up and close
*Telephone participants to call in at this time (TBD)
WS 3: Medium/ large scale projects•Delivery of official controls for the food and feed system (2015 and 2035) – FSA lead•Scenarios for the Future of River Basin Management (2030, 2050, 2100) – EA lead•Future of Scotland's Environment (2050) – CAMERAS lead
WS 4: Knowledge exchange and capacity building: •Website transfer•All project-related workshop/design input for WS 1-3 (CAMERAS/ Noise/ FSA/ EA projects and scanning)•Interviews – barriers and enablers to using futures research
Defra noise Transport and Flow of new materials in the biosphere (NERC)
Futures Toolkit
Management of marine development scenarios (MMO)
Rural communities evidence 2013 (Defra)
Monthly newsletters 2011 (x 6)
Strategic evidence assessment (Defra)
Future of Scotland's environment (CAMERAS)
Regulatory scan 2011 (EA)
The risk Exchange blog and website
Food and feed systems (FSA)
Pest and disease risk prioritisation (FC)
Quarterly newsletters 2012 (x 4)
Futures exchange 2012(NE)
Regulatory scan 2012 (EA)
Futures training (Defra noise)
River basin management (EA)
Social science research(FSA)
Quarterly newsletters 2013 (x 3)
Futures exchange 2013 (NE)
Strategic objective scan (NE)
Futures training (CAMERAS)
Review and analysis of futures research 2013 (Partnership)
CAP reform (NE) Quarterly newsletter October 2013
Detection of emerging food safety risks (FSA)
Targeted follow-up scan (NE)
Futures training (Partnership)
Stakeholder engagement (MMO)
FSA emerging issues Cultural ecosystem services scan (NE)
Food chain pinch points (FSA)
4 7 13 5 1 5 4
PROJECT LOG 3
Upcoming projects in Red
We currently have a number of projects planned for the upcoming year:
Project Lead Estimated start Estimated end
Web transfer Small Defra June October
Strategic prioritisation Small FC 2012 October
FSA Emerging risks Small FSA August December
ECN network Small FC TBC TBC
Review and analysis of futures research 2013
Medium Cranfield October February
Future of Scotland’s environment
Medium CAMERAS October March
AKF 2013 Large Partnership August April
WORK PLAN AND CAPACITY 4
Oct
13
Nov
13
Dec
13
Jan
14
Feb
14
Mar
13
Apr 1
4
River Basin Management
Food and Feed System
Review and analysis of futures research 2013
Web transfer
EIS
FC
Future of Scotland's environment
FSA bespoke workshops
AKF 2013
Quarterly scan Quarterly scan
We estimate we have capacity for a further 4 ad hoc projects.
WORK PLAN AND CAPACITY 5
09 ǀ 10 ǀ 2013
WORKING GROUP MEETING: WORK-STREAM ONE
DR ANNA RATHE CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS AND FUTURES
Horizon scanning newsletters, partnershipPublished April 2013, July 2013 and ongoing
Impact and knowledge exchange• Disseminated to over 400 people per quarter• External parties interested in our horizon scanning approach include:
-UK College of Policing -English Heritage -Clinical Triage North Yorkshire -Science and Technology Facilities Council
Ad Hoc workshop: The noise environment in the UK to 2060, DefraReport discussing how the noise environment might change over the next 50 using the outputs of a custom designed workshop
Impact and knowledge exchange• Used by Defra to assess effectiveness of policy interventions and identify areas for future
focus• Summary presentation with key findings to aid knowledge exchange
OUTPUTS, IMPACT AND KNOWLEDGE EXCHANGE 7
AKF 2012, partnershipCompleted in April 2013 and now signed off. 2013 edition now underway
Impact and knowledge exchange• Central to Working Group discussions to identify areas for future research• Formed the basis of the NE Futures Exchange• Used to inform evidence priorities at the Defra evidence investment strategy workshop • Workshops to use the AKF being organised with EA, Wales, CAMERAs
Using Social Media & Gaming to Value Cultural Ecosystem Services, NEA bespoke scan on how technologies may help us understand how people use and value cultural services provided by the natural environment
Impact and knowledge exchange• Will inform Natural England’s ecosystem approach and
climate change programme • Summary presentation with key findings to aid knowledge
exchange
OUTPUTS, IMPACT AND KNOWLEDGE EXCHANGE 8
Online survey for preliminary data collection (October)Participants will rank trends (as identified by CERF) and identify links between them
Development of cross-cutting issues (October-November)Cross-cutting issues will be identified by CERF using the links identified in the survey
Cross-cutting issues workshop (November 14th)Groups will discuss the risks and opportunities cross-cutting issues present to organisations in the Defra network
Outputs (March 2014)• A report detailing trends and cross-cutting issues• A network diagram showing links between
trends to aid strategic organisational discussion
ANNUAL KEY FACTORS REPORT 2013 9
09 ǀ 10 ǀ 2013
WORKING GROUP MEETING: WORK-STREAM TWO
DR GEORGE PRPICHCENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS AND FUTURES
Strategic risk and decision-making, Forestry CommissionA framework for prioritising strategic issues was developed through multiple workshops
Impact and knowledge exchange• Framework used to rapidly assess issues spanning the organisation’s policy remit • Outputs intended to inform future research and resource allocation activities
Rural evidence priorities workshop, DefraOutputs from the AKF report initiated and guided a workshop for Defra’s Rural Evidence team
Impact and knowledge exchange• Outputs from the workshop are being used to identify future evidence needs
Evidence investment strategy workshop, DefraOutputs from the AKF report were used to initiate discussion about the EIS at April’s meeting of the Science Advisory Council
Impact and knowledge exchange• Top insights and cross-cutting issues were explored by
participants with outputs used to develop the EIS
OUTPUTS, IMPACT AND KNOWLEDGE EXCHANGE
09 ǀ 10 ǀ 2013
WORKING GROUP MEETING: WORK-STREAM THREE
DR KENISHA GARNETT AND DR JOÃO DELGADOCENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS AND FUTURES
Water and the water environment scenarios - 2030 & 2050, Environment AgencyFinal report - January 2014Improve resilience and delivery in the future by testing the robustness of current and planned management approaches for River Basin Districts under a range of futures.
Impact and knowledge exchange• Engaged over 50 experts and stakeholders through 4 workshops• Organisations that contributed to data gathering include:
-Environmental Agency -DEFRA -Cranfield Water Science Institute
-River Restoration Centre -Forestry Commission
UK food and feed system - 2015 and 2035, Food Standard AgencyFinal report - November 2013Inform options appraisal process within the Official Controls Review (a high priority / high impact project). Key factors report has informed an FFS trend analysis as part of an internal strategy.
Impact and knowledge exchange• Engaged over 60 experts and stakeholders through 3 workshops.• Organisations that contributed to data gathering include:
-British Poultry Council -Food and Drink Federation -ESRC Centre for Population Change
-Natural England -British Hospital Association -Oxford University
Future of Scotland’s Environment – 2050, CAMERAS groupFinal report - March 2014Assess resilience of strategic environmental policies and highlight priority areas for collaboration across CAMERAS partnership.
Expected impact and knowledge exchange• Organisations expected to contribute to data gathering include:
-Scottish Environment Protection Agency -Forestry Commission Scotland-Scottish Water-Scottish Government - Marine Scotland -Science Advice for Scottish Agriculture -
RESAS -Food Standards Agency Scotland
Review of futures research methodsFinal report - February 2014 (pending approval from Working Group)Inform and guide the development of future partnership projects, by categorising existing foresight research projects.
OUTPUTS, IMPACT AND KNOWLEDGE EXCHANGE
Expected impact and knowledge exchange• First-cut database of existing foresight research• Provide a basis for discussing cross-disciplinary collaboration
and enable more detailed, organisationally specific analysis of outputs
• Identify future project opportunities
14
09 ǀ 10 ǀ 2013
WORKING GROUP MEETING: WORK-STREAM FOUR
MISS HAYLEY SHAWCENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS AND FUTURES
Web transfer project• Significant upgrade• Managed transfer from August – October • Additional functionality• Easier to use interface• Interactive risk/ opportunity diagram
Barriers and enablers to using futures• Sharing good practice• Case study information• Inform and facilitate uptake of futures
research
OUTPUTS, IMPACT AND KNOWLEDGE EXCHANGE 16
AKF ‘snapshot’ document
AKF outreach and engagement activities
FURTHER WORK 17
09 ǀ 10 ǀ 2013
WORKSHOP ACTIVITY: USING SOCIAL MEDIA AND GAMING TO VALUE CULTURAL ECOSYSTEM SERVICES
INSIGHT EXAMPLES 19
Clarification of decision-making behaviour through gamingE.g. Farming game ‘Hay Day’
Twitter as a link between the public and time scarce expertsE.g. Defra ‘tweetathon’ called #thebigroar
Species identification apps as a two way exchange of informationE.g. Species identification app iSpot
Social analytics reveals hot topicsE.g. Badger cull
Linking natural experiences with the weatherE.g. Phones sensors to gather environmental information
Heat maps of landscape useE.g. ‘life-logging’ app called Saga
INSIGHT EXAMPLES 20
Geolocation can reveal both the positive and negative aspects of a siteE.g. ‘Commons’ neighbourhood game
Capturing a soundscape E.g. The British Library online sound clips
An app to remind you to think about your surroundings E.g. Mappiness happiness app
Tracking decision processes around a specific siteE.g. ‘BlightStatus’ to flag dilapidated buildings
Real time notification of landscape eventsE.g. Crowdsourcing app ‘now’
DISCUSSION POINTS 21
• Is there a research question within your organsiation that you think could be answered using any of the described social media and gaming techniques?
• If the partnership were to host a ‘game jam’, what type of game would you like developed/what is the question you would like answered?
BARRIERS 22
Inclusivity:Some sections of the population and individuals are more pre-disposed to use technology than others
The traditional role of gaming: People don't often turn to games in order to reflect on the issues of the real world, rather they turn to games as an escape from them
Terminology: Suggested that the word ‘game’ automatically discredits the output in some people’s minds
Infrastructure: High speed broadband is not available in all rural areas which may limit engagement with online tools
Resource: Social media can be seen as time consuming, especially for organisations facing financial and skills shortages
Organisational regulations and reputation: Many organisations are wary of social media and gaming platforms and prevent their widespread use
Information overload: Information overload may limit the extent to which some engage with technology
Culture: Culturally, there is a lack of appreciation about what social media and gaming can achieve
BARRIER DISCUSSION POINTS 23
• Can you see any way to overcome any of the barriers to use of technology?
• Do you see a future for increased use of gaming and social media in your organisation?
