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2015 Full-year Results 15 February 2016
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Page 1: Transfer to Print set up finalised 2015 Full-year Resultsb2de0febdea80fa78eb4-5cad31df697fe43d78c0459eba68b1d4.r36.c… · 2015 Full-year Results 15 February 2016 Transfer Draft 26/07/2016

2015 Full-year Results 15 February 2016

Draft 26/07/2016 Transfer to Print set up once finalised

Page 2: Transfer to Print set up finalised 2015 Full-year Resultsb2de0febdea80fa78eb4-5cad31df697fe43d78c0459eba68b1d4.r36.c… · 2015 Full-year Results 15 February 2016 Transfer Draft 26/07/2016

Agenda

01 2015 highlights and strategy David Atkins – CEO

02 Financial results Timon Drakesmith – CFO

03 Portfolio update David Atkins – CEO

04 Conclusion and Q+A David Atkins – CEO

2

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2015 highlights

3 (1) LfL NRI including premium outlets

Consistently strong performance

EPS +12.6% NAVPS +11.3% TPR 12.4%

New European market

Dublin, Ireland

Portfolio recycling

£360m disposals

Completed four developments

64,900m2 Total 25% profit on cost

Capturing rental growth

LfL NRI +3.1%(1)

2015 highlights and strategy

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Investment management driving performance

4

Investment management

strategy

Leading position in the European market segment 1 European countries or cities with

strong macro indicators and infrastructure investment

2

Identified asset management opportunities 4 Venues matched to consumer

trends, in particular experience, convenience and luxury shopping tourism

3

2015 highlights and strategy

Page 5: Transfer to Print set up finalised 2015 Full-year Resultsb2de0febdea80fa78eb4-5cad31df697fe43d78c0459eba68b1d4.r36.c… · 2015 Full-year Results 15 February 2016 Transfer Draft 26/07/2016

Building our portfolio to secure future growth

5

Irish loan portfolio, Dublin Grand Central, Birmingham Festival Park, Majorca

Kildare Village, Dublin

Acquisitions

Market-leading platform in Ireland

Quality retail in Birmingham, UK’s second city

Fast-growth premium outlets

£690m

Positive engagement with borrowers

£175m

50:50 joint venture signed with CPPIB

£46m

New VIA Outlet and increased stake in Kildare Village, Dublin

2015 highlights and strategy

Page 6: Transfer to Print set up finalised 2015 Full-year Resultsb2de0febdea80fa78eb4-5cad31df697fe43d78c0459eba68b1d4.r36.c… · 2015 Full-year Results 15 February 2016 Transfer Draft 26/07/2016

On-going review of lower-return assets

6 Note: Premium for disposals versus 31 December 2014 book value

Monument Mall, Newcastle

[For script]: - Irish platform (hits all filters): immediate scale, Europe’s

fastest growing economy, significant asset management strategies; supported by new infrastructure

- GC: upscaling in B’Ham the UK’s fastest growing regional economy, consumer trends for convenience, infrastructure investment

- Martineau: also B’Ham, infrastructure HS2 - FP: consumer trend for shopping tourism, asset management

Villebon 2, Paris Bercy 2, Paris

Disposals

Completed successful asset management

Standalone retail park in France

Lower-return smaller shopping centres

£360m of disposals in last twelve months

Completed first tranche of £200m to finance Irish loan acquisition

Planned £300m of further disposals in course of 2016

Recycling capital in UK retail parks

Drakehouse, Sheffield

£75m

46% PoC

£62m

4% premium to BV

£47m

11% premium to BV

£116m

16% premium to BV

2015 highlights and strategy

Page 7: Transfer to Print set up finalised 2015 Full-year Resultsb2de0febdea80fa78eb4-5cad31df697fe43d78c0459eba68b1d4.r36.c… · 2015 Full-year Results 15 February 2016 Transfer Draft 26/07/2016

Focus on strategic priorities continues to deliver strong results

7

NAVPS (pence)

710

400

450

500

550

600

650

700

750

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

+11%

CAGR +7.6%

EPS (pence) DPS (pence)

26.9

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

CAGR +8.7%

22.3

5

7

9

11

13

15

17

19

21

23

25

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

CAGR +7.7%

+13% +9%

2015 highlights and strategy

Page 8: Transfer to Print set up finalised 2015 Full-year Resultsb2de0febdea80fa78eb4-5cad31df697fe43d78c0459eba68b1d4.r36.c… · 2015 Full-year Results 15 February 2016 Transfer Draft 26/07/2016

Financial results

Timon Drakesmith – CFO

• Review of 2015 financial performance

• Analysis of valuation trends

• Details on recent changes in debt levels

• Funding capacity for our development pipeline

8

02

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Headline results

9 (1) Adjusted profit and adjusted EPS restated from £85.0m and 11.6p respectively to exclude restructuring costs of £3.0m, which were excluded when calculating adjusted earnings figures for 31 December 2014

(2) Valuation for total portfolio including premium outlets at constant currency. Uplift is underlying capital return

Income statement 31 Dec 2015 31 Dec 2014 Change

Net rental income (£m) 318.6 305.6 +4.3%

Adjusted profit (£m)(1) 210.9 174.3 +21.0%

Adjusted EPS (p)(1) 26.9 23.9 +12.6%

Total dividend (p) 22.3 20.4 +9.3%

Balance sheet

Portfolio value (£m)(2) 8,374 7,734 +7.1%

EPRA NAVPS (p) 710 638 +11.3%

LTV (%) 38 34 +4 p.p.

Financial results

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Positive LfL net rental income growth

10 (1) Includes LfL movement of UK other properties – principally assets held for development and non-core (2) Includes Value Retail only as VIA Outlets was acquired in July 2014

2.1 2.6 2.5 2.3

7.3

3.1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

UK shopping centres UK retail parks France Total exc. Premiumoutlets

Premium outlets Total

2015 LfL NRI growth by sector (%)

(1) (1) (2)

Financial results

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Strong profit growth

11

174.3

210.9

6.0 5.5

9.7 5.9 0.2

12.3

(3.0)

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

2014 2015

Adjusted profit movement (£m)

LfL NRI Acquisitions and disposals

Developments Premium outlets

Admin FX & other Financing

+21.0%

Financial results

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Valuation analysis

12 (1) At constant exchange rates (2) Figures on a proportionally consolidated basis (3) Principally assets held for redevelopment and non-core (4) Premium outlet figures relate to Hammerson interests

2015 capital return(1)

Components of underlying valuation change

Value at 31 Dec 2015(2)

(%) Yield shift (%)

Income (%)

Other (%)

(£m)

UK shopping centres +6.8 +4.4 +2.3 - 3,065

UK retail parks +1.3 −0.2 +1.5 −0.1 1,656

France +7.1 +9.3 −0.9 −1.7 1,861

UK other interests(3) +1.7 +1.8 +0.7 −1.4 160

Developments +12.3 - - +12.3 388

Premium outlets(4) +16.4 +7.2 +9.4 +0.2 1,244

Total ex Ireland +7.1 +4.9 +2.4 −0.1 8,374

Irish loan portfolio 690

Total inc Ireland 9,064

Financial results

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NAVPS uplift

13

638

710

47

22

27 (21)

(3)

580

600

620

640

660

680

700

720

740

760

Dec 2014 Dec 2015

Adjusted NAV movement (pence per share)

Portfolio revaluation

Premium outlets

revaluation

Adjusted profit

Dividends FX & other

+11.3%

Financial results

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Healthy financing ratios

14

Financing policy 31 Dec 2015 31 Dec 2014

Net debt - £2,968m £2,265m

Gearing <85% 54% 46%

Loan to value <40% 38% 34%

Cash/undrawn facilities - £931m £648m

Weighted average cost of finance - 3.8% 4.7%

Interest cover >2.0x 3.6x 2.8x

Net debt/EBITDA <10x 9.6x 8.0x

Fixed rate debt >50% 61% 79%

GBP/EUR fixed balance sheet hedging 80% - 90% 90% 88%

Financial results

Page 15: Transfer to Print set up finalised 2015 Full-year Resultsb2de0febdea80fa78eb4-5cad31df697fe43d78c0459eba68b1d4.r36.c… · 2015 Full-year Results 15 February 2016 Transfer Draft 26/07/2016

Management of leverage

15

Today Proformas

Actual 31 Dec 2015 (1)

Post 50% Grand Central and announced disposals (1)

Conversion of Irish loans to property by summer 2016 (2)

£300m disposals by end 2016

Net debt £2,968m £2,951m £3,164m £2,864m

LTV 38% 38% 39% 37%

(1) Value denominator includes £690m acquisition cost of Irish loan portfolio (2) Payment for conversion to property including balancing payment to Allianz (total £220m)

Financial results

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Controlled deployment of capex

16 (1) On-site developments include Victoria Gate, Leeds and WestQuay Watermark, Southampton (2) The Goodsyard - Phase 1 only . Note: Additional pipeline development opportunities shown in Appendix

Forecast development expenditure (£m)

Committed capex at on-site developments (1)

Brent Cross extension

Croydon town centre

The Goodsyard (2)

Discretionary capex

Average annual capex

2013-2015

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Financial results

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Debt maturities and refinancing plan

17 (1) As at 31 December 2015 shown on a proportionally consolidated basis

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Revolving credit facilities

US private placement

Sterling bonds

Euro bonds

Secured debt

Debt maturity profile (£m) (1)

Recent financings (£1.7bn) • £1.1bn credit facility (£691m drawn down at 31 December 2015) • £350m 2025 bond issue (2.5% effective coupon) • £272m bond redemption originally due December 2016

Future funding plans • Refinancing of 2017 RCF with new debt issuance and disposals • Credit agencies reaffirmed ratings

Financial results

Page 18: Transfer to Print set up finalised 2015 Full-year Resultsb2de0febdea80fa78eb4-5cad31df697fe43d78c0459eba68b1d4.r36.c… · 2015 Full-year Results 15 February 2016 Transfer Draft 26/07/2016

Portfolio update

David Atkins - CEO

Shopping centres

• UK

• Ireland

• France

Retail parks

Premium outlets

Developments 18

03

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Positioned in prime assets delivering growth across the group

19 (1) Includes UK other interests – principally assets held for redevelopment and non-core

UK shopping centres

34%

French shopping centres

20%

Retail parks 18%

Premium outlets 14%

Other/developments(1)

6%

Our portfolio today

Irish shopping centres (loans) 8%

Occupancy

97.7%

Leases signed

400 leases (£28m)

Leasing vs previous passing

+9.5%

Portfolio update

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Portfolio update: Shopping centres, UK

Brent Cross, London

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Grand Central: highly-prized new addition

21 (1) GVA per head (ONS)

50:50 JV with CPPIB; Hammerson £175m net investment

Adjacent to Bullring

Largest John Lewis store outside London

Birmingham economic growth second only to London in UK (1)

£750m New Street Station regeneration

12% rental reversion on retail

7-8% IRR

Forecast run-rate annual centre footfall

22m

% catering

18%

40,400m2

Size

Portfolio update: Shopping centres, UK

Page 22: Transfer to Print set up finalised 2015 Full-year Resultsb2de0febdea80fa78eb4-5cad31df697fe43d78c0459eba68b1d4.r36.c… · 2015 Full-year Results 15 February 2016 Transfer Draft 26/07/2016

Sales patterns reflect shopper confidence

22

Hammerson UK shopping centres

Retail sales(1) +1.3% (+80bps vs index(2))

Footfall +1.1%

Car park usage(3) +4.1%

(1) Hammerson UK same-centre retail sales growth (2) VISA face-to-face spending index (2015: 0.5%) (3) Car count at Hammerson UK shopping centres

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

Fashionaccessories

Departmentstores

Gifts & cards Fashion Footwear Catering Leisure &travel

Jewellery Technology Health &beauty

Sport &Outdoors

[Script: - Disposable income growth driven by real

wages - Record levels of consumer confidence - Affordable luxury / experiences, jewellery,

[cinema takings], spa & beauty products all doing well

- These categories account for [just under 50]% of Hammerson’s base rent, recognising the importance these retailers put on their physical presence

- Fashion tougher year – deflation in clothing [ ]%, discounting, warm weather in winter]

YoY sales growth by category in Hammerson UK shopping centre portfolio(%)

Portfolio update: Shopping centres, UK

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Multichannel drives greater efficiency of prime retail space

23 (1) Adjusted for online returns to store and attributing click & collect purchases (2) Source: CBRE/IPF research (3) Pure-play online sales (predominantly ASOS, very.com, boohoo and Amazon) fulfilled in shopping

centre via Collect+ kiosk

1. Online returns and Click & Collect (1)

3. Collect+ (3)

2. Retail ‘halo’ effect (2)

Incremental sales driven by multichannel

+10%

+5-6%

+1-2%

In store sales

1 2 3

Portfolio update: Shopping centres, UK

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Competition for the best retail space

24

-50%

-30%

-10%

10%

30%

50%

70%

90%

Hammerson UK shopping centre principal leasing deals vs ERV

Tenant-mix deals

International brands/ upsizing

Unit stores and new concepts

Catering

Hammerson UK shopping centres

Number of leases at or above ERV 73%

Leasing vs previous passing +8.8%

Leasing vs ERV +3.5%

ERV growth +2.8%

Portfolio update: Shopping centres, UK

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Growth in non-rental income

25

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2012 2013 2014 2015

Other

Storage

Vending

Car valeting

Kiosks

Advertising &promotions

Strong demand for in-mall kiosk space

Small enterprises with unique and attractive concepts

Established brands looking for space alternative when no units available or trialling market

Investment in design shown to deliver +35% sales uplift

Successful pop-ups moving up to permanent leases (Tesla, Cath Kidston)

UK shopping centre commercialisation revenue (£m)

Car park income

2015 net income £23.1m

LfL YoY growth +4.1%

Bad Brownie, Oracle

The White Company, Oracle Cath Kidston, Brent Cross

TESLA, Brent Cross +9%

Income from kiosks +29% in 2015

Portfolio update: Shopping centres, UK

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Portfolio update: Shopping centres, Ireland

26 Dundrum, Dublin

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Strengthening our European retail platform with new Irish portfolio

27 Note: Structure of property ownership on conversion of loans: (1) Hammerson/Allianz 50:50 JV (2) 50% co-ownership with IPUT (25%) and Irish Life (25%). Development site 100% Hammerson (3) 50% co-ownership with Irish Life (50%)

Dundrum Town Centre(1)

Dundrum Phase 2 Development site(1)

Dublin Central Development Site Pavilions, Swords(2) Ilac Centre(3)

Fastest growing European economy

Best quality retail in Dublin

Leading market position

Dundrum Town Centre 50% ownership (JV with Allianz)

Development sites at Dundrum and central Dublin

Strong reversion potential

IRR 7-8%

Total footfall

48m

Total development opportunity

27 acres

200,000m2

Total retail area

Portfolio update: Shopping centres, Ireland

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On track with asset conversion

28

Hammerson acquisition costs

£m

Face value of Irish loan portfolio (50%) 960

Hammerson loan acquisition cost (50%) 690

Expected expenditure on fees, tax and Allianz re-balance 220

Forecast total investment 910

Continuing positive engagement with borrowers

On track for property ownership by summer 2016

Hammerson operational team established in Dublin

Update on transfer to property ownership

Portfolio update: Shopping centres, Ireland

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Exceptional economic backdrop in Ireland

29

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

F

Grafton St Henry St

Sources: OECD; Ireland CSO; KBC/ESRI; National Tourism Development Authority; CBRE

Dublin rental growth (€/m2)

2015 GDP growth +6.7%

2015 Retail sales value growth +3.6%

2015 new car sales growth +18%

Unemployment 6-year low at 7.8%

Consumer confidence at 8-year high

8.6 million tourists in 2015, +14%

2015 GDP growth 5.6% (OECD) 2015 retail sales volume growth 6.7% (Ireland CSO) 2015 new car sales growth 18% (Ireland CSO) Unemployment 6-year low at 7.8% (Ireland CSO) Consumer confidence at 8-year high, notably more optimistic on jobs market (KBC/ESRI) 8.6 million tourists in 2015, up 14% (National Tourism Development Authority)

Portfolio update: Shopping centres, Ireland

Europe’s fastest growing economy

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Dundrum leasing deals above expectations

30

Rent reviews settled on average +10% vs previous passing

Portfolio update: Shopping centres, Ireland

Strong trading reflecting consumer confidence

Tenant sales (2015 YoY) (1) +6.0%

Footfall (2015 YoY) +1.3%

Rental uplift +29%

Consolidates luxury mall

Upsize and full refit

Top 15 store globally

Bought out previous lease

Over 2.5x previous rent

(1) Retail sails for Dundrum Town Centre, based on available data

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Portfolio update: Shopping centres, France

Le Jeu de Paume, Beauvais

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2012 - 2015: Repositioning of our French portfolio

32 (1) Premium for disposal vs 31 December 2014 book value

Significant work to transform French platform

Refurbishments Selective disposals Developments Acquisitions

£30m

Attracting new brands

Total £210m

15% premium to BV(1)

Total £420m

35% PoC

Total £125m

8% valuation uplift

Portfolio update: Shopping centres, France

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Lifting quality and performance with re-tenanting

Number of units re-tenanted across portfolio

Portfolio update: Shopping centres, France

Hammerson France portfolio

Leasing vs previous passing +9.7%

Leasing vs ERV +1.5%

New brands

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2014 2015 2016 +

51 units

78 units 2015 target

33

Target 20% retail offer renewed

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Turnaround in performance

34 (1) Hammerson France same-centre retail sales growth. Includes all shopping centres, excludes extensions and developments

Hammerson France portfolio performance (% growth)

-3.0% -2.7%

-1.0%

0.6%

-4.0%

-3.0%

-2.0%

-1.0%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

2012 2013 2014 2015

Sales NRI excl. Indexation NRI

Portfolio update: Shopping centres, France

(1)

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Portfolio update: Retail parks

35 B&Q Eco learning store, Cyfarthfa retail park, Merthyr Tydfil

Rugby image

Elliott’s Field, Rugby Elliott’s Field, Rugby

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Focused strategy in retail park market

36 (1) Source: PMA

Shopping parks Hybrid parks Key homeware goods parks

Standard homeware parks

Solus units

2.7% 2.5% 2.0% 1.8% 1.5%

Hammerson investment focus

Market forecast rental growth(1)

UK Retail Park market(1)

5%

23%

12%

16%

43%

13%

30%

39%

8%

13%

Shopping parks

Hybrid parks

Key homeware goods

Standard homeware

Solus

79% by number of properties

40% by number of properties

Hammerson portfolio

Portfolio update: Retail parks

Insert footfall versus market HMSO +4.2% Market +2.3%

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Taking advantage of strong occupational demand

37

Shopping parks Hybrid parks Key homeware goods parks

Share of lettings: 64%

Leasing vs ERV: +2% Share of lettings: 10%

Leasing vs ERV: +11%

Share of lettings: 20%

Leasing vs ERV: +10%

Portfolio update: Retail parks

Hammerson retail parks portfolio

Leasing vs previous passing +7.7%

Leasing vs ERV +4.2%

ERV growth +1.3%

ERV growth

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Portfolio update: Premium outlets

La Vallée Village, Paris Kildare Village, Dublin

Insert new picture? Kildare Village, Dublin

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New investments in premium outlets

Ownership increased from 14% to 38%

£14m investment, Hammerson share

Extension completed: 33 new boutiques and two

restaurants and hospitality services

Footfall exceeded 3 million in 2015

39

Value Retail: Kildare Village, Dublin

Acquired Majorca’s only major outlet centre

£32m investment, Hammerson share

87 stores, including restaurants and a cinema

Open 7 days a week

3.8 million visitors per year

VIA Outlets: Festival Park, Majorca

Portfolio update: Premium outlets

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Premium outlets continue to grow strongly

40

Value Retail VIA Outlets

Sales growth +11.0% +9.6%

Sales density €15,000/m2 €3,300/m2

Sales density growth

+8.4% +11.2%

Key 2015 leasing deals at VIA Outlets:

Portfolio update: Premium outlets

Landquart, Zurich

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Trends in European luxury shopping

41 Source: Global Blue (1) Other Asia: Hong Kong (4%), Malaysia (3%), Korea (3%), Thailand (2)%, Singapore (2%), Taiwan (2%),

Indonesia (1%), Philippines (1%), Vietnam (1%) (2) Gulf States: Kuwait (4%), Saudi Arabia (3%), UAE (2%) and Qatar (2%)

Total European tax refunded sales by nationality, 2015

Proportion of total YoY change

China

Other Asia(1)

Gulf States(2)

Other

Russia

43%

19%

12% 5%

21%

+32%

+20%

+18%

- 41%

+17%

Portfolio update: Premium outlets

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Portfolio update: Developments

42 Leeds aerial VG pic?

Victoria Gate, Leeds Victoria Gate, Leeds Victoria Gate, Leeds

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On site developments: Victoria Gate, Leeds

43

Creating the premium and aspirational shopping offer for the north of England

Portfolio update: Developments

Under offer and advanced negotiations

83%

Size

35,400m2

Total project cost

£165m; 6.4% YoC

Completion

Q3 2016

Pre-lets exchanged

68%

Can we announce brands? No.

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On site developments: WestQuay Watermark, Southampton

44

Consolidating WestQuay and Watermark as the city’s leading leisure and retail destination

Under offer and advanced negotiations

89%

Size

17,000m2

Total project cost

£85m; 6.0% YoC

Completion

Q1 2017

Portfolio update: Developments

Pre-lets exchanged

80%

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Major developments: Croydon

45

2015 CPO Inquiry confirmed

Acquisition 50% interest in Whitgift centre (total 75%)

Revised design of enhanced three level scheme – capex refined

Advance retailer discussions

Bought further land interests

2016 Sign anchor commitments

Submit detailed planning for enhanced scheme

Transforming South London’s retail and leisure offer

(1) Hammerson share

Croydon Partnership retail

200,000m2

Cost to complete(1)

£650 - 700m

Earliest start

2017

Portfolio update: Developments

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Major developments: Brent Cross

2015 Infrastructure planning consents approved

Advanced tenant mix proposals

May 2016 confirmed date for CPO inquiry

Secured infrastructure funding to bring forward a new rail station

2016 CPO inquiry to be held

Sign anchor commitments

Work up detailed scheme design

Regenerating North London’s iconic retail destination

(1) Hammerson share

New CGI image to come

Incremental retail space

90,000m2

Cost to complete (1)

£475-550m

Earliest start

2017

Portfolio update: Developments 46

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Major developments: The Goodsyard

47

2015 GLA support for the scheme

Revised planning application submitted June 2015

• 25,000m2 additional commercial space

• Revised office and residential buildings design

2016 Planning determination scheduled March 2016

New employment, retail and commercial opportunities

Opportunity to create a new London village

(1) Hammerson share

Size (gross external area)

270,000m2

Total Phase 1 cost to complete(1)

£140-160m

Earliest start

2017

Replace!!

Portfolio update: Developments

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Conclusion

48

04

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Proven strategy delivering consistent performance

49

Resilient business model

Disciplined investment management

Embedded growth

Prime property

NAVPS (pence)

710

400

450

500

550

600

650

700

750

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

+11%

CAGR +7.6%

EPS (pence) DPS (pence)

26.9

10

15

20

25

30

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

CAGR +8.7%

22.3

5

10

15

20

25

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

CAGR +7.7%

+13% +9%

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Questions

50

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Disclaimer

51

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Appendices

52

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53 (1) As at 31 December 2015, including Irish loan portfolio

Property portfolio

£9.1 billion

Annual visitors

280 million

Retail space

2.2 million m2

Portfolio overview (1)

Hammerson invests in prime retail assets throughout Europe

UK shopping centres 34%

France 20%

UK Retail Parks 18%

Premium outlets 14%

Irish loan portfolio

8% Gross Asset Value

£9.1bn

UK shopping centres

£3.1bn

France £1.9bn

UK Retail Parks

£1.7bn

Premium Outlets

£1.2bn

Ireland retail (loans)

£0.7bn

Other/ developments

£0.5bn

Our assets

Other/ developments 6%

Appendices

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Household consumption

54 Source: Marketline analysis (using data from Eurostat, OECD and ONS)

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

United Kingdom France Ireland

Growth in household final consumption expenditure (%)

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UK shopping centres 34%

France 20%

UK retail parks 18%

Premium outlets 14%

Irish loan portfolio

8%

Tenant sales growth across the portfolio

55 (1) 2015 retail park footfall increase (2) 2015 Value Retail sales (3) Retail sales for Dundrum Town Centre, based on available data

Other/developments 6%

UK shopping centres +1.3%

France shopping centres +0.6%

Retail parks(1) +4.2%

Premium outlets(2) +11.0%

Ireland shopping centres(3) +6.0%

Appendices

Sales growth

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2015 French sales overview

56

-8.0%

-6.0%

-4.0%

-2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Appendices

Tenant sales growth in Hammerson France portfolio 2015 (%)

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Operational statistics

57 (1) Retail sales on same-centre basis, includes all shopping centres (2) France data includes VAT

Appendices

Occupancy (%) UK shopping centres

UK retail parks

France Devs & other Group

31 December 2015 98.3 98.4 96.9 91.0 97.7

30 June 2015 97.8 98.2 96.7 89.0 97.2

31 December 2014 98.1 98.5 96.6 91.3 97.5

UK shopping centres

France

Sales(1) +1.3% +0.6%

Footfall +1.1% −0.6%

Rent:sales(2) 12.1% 11.1%

OCR(2) 19.2% 14.0%

Sales densities(2) UK £/ft2

France £/ft2

2015 310-620 220-621

2014 290-590 200-610

2013 270-560 200-620

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Positive uplift in rents for the group in 2015

58 (1) Including UK Other properties – principally assets held for development and non-core

Leasing vs previous passing

Leasing vs ERV ERV growth Rent secured from new leases

UK shopping centres +8.8% +3.5% +2.8% £11.7m

UK retail parks +7.7% +4.2% +1.3% £8.3m

France +9.7% +1.5% 0.0% £7.2m

Group (1) +9.5% +2.0% +1.6% £27.9m

Appendices

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14.6% 13.3% 12.8% 11.8%

11.9% 10.9%

10.0% 11.3%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

2012 2013 2014 2015

Corporate expenses Operational costs

Cost:income ratio

59

Cost:income ratio (%)

26.5% 24.2%

22.8% 23.1%(1)

(1) Excluding car park costs (£9.3m in 2015) cost:income ratio would be 21.1% Appendices

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Recycling capital in 2015

60

Disposals Date of disposal Value £m

Above book value (1)

Drakehouse retail park, Sheffield April 2015 62 4%

Bercy 2, Paris June 2015 47 11%

Grand Maine, Angers July 2015 45 16%

Monument Mall, Newcastle December 2015 75 1%

Kingston-upon-Thames land interest December 2015 12 1%

Villebon 2, Paris January 2016 116 16%

Total 357 9%

(1) Book value as at 31 December 2014

Appendices

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On site and major developments

On site developments(1) Lettable area m2

Potential completion

Current value £m

Estimated cost to complete(2)

£m

Estimated annual income(3)

£m

Let(4) %

Victoria Gate (Phase 1), Leeds 35,400 Q3 2016 116 68 11 62

WestQuay Watermark, Southampton 17,000 Q1 2017 38 56 5 80

Total 52,400 124 16

61

Major developments Ownership %

Lettable area m2

Earliest start Potential completion

Estimated cost to complete £m

Croydon town centre, South London 50 200,000 2017 2020/21 650-700

The Goodsyard, London E1(5) 50 270,000 2017 Phased 140-160

Brent Cross extension, London NW4 41 90,000 2017 2021 475-550

Total 560,000 1,265-1,410

(1) Group ownership 100% for all on site schemes (2) Incremental capital cost including capitalised interest (3) Incremental income net of head rents and after expiry of rent-free periods (4) Let or in solicitors' hands by income at 12 February 2016 (5) Cost reflects phase 1 only. Due to residential component of scheme, area is gross external and income is not applicable (6) € converted at £1 = €1.357

Appendices

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Development pipeline opportunities

Scheme Lettable area m2

Key Facts

Silverburn (Phase 4), Glasgow 50,000 • Consent granted in October 2015 for a masterplan for a future extension of existing centre • Masterplan includes retail, hotel and leisure uses

Union Square, Aberdeen 27,800 • Extension of existing shopping centre for retail, leisure and catering. Including additional car

parking and a hotel and reconfiguration of part of existing centre • Planning application submitted in February 2016

Victoria Gate, Leeds (Phase 2)

73,000 • Planning consent for retail-led scheme, including up to 2,700 car park spaces • Freehold control of site obtained

WestQuay Watermark, Southampton (Phase 2)

58,000 • Outline planning consent for mixed-use scheme • Council-owned land, with joint review of scheme under way

Oldbury, Dudley 10,900 • Planning submitted in January 2016 for new development

Orchard Centre, Didcot 10,000 • £50 million expansion of existing centre with M&S Food Hall anchor • Planning approval in July 2015

Parc Tawe, Swansea 21,000 • Refurbishment and modernisation of existing retail park • Planning dispute successfully appealed in September 2015

Italie Deux, Paris 13ème 5,100 • Retail extension of existing shopping centre • Progressing necessary consents to enable start-on site

Les 3 Fontaines, Cergy Pontoise

24,500

• Retail and leisure extension as part of wider city centre project • Submission of a number of consent applications and agreement with a number of co-owners

achieved in first half of 2015 • Awaiting confirmation of consents and final co-ownership agreements

SQY Ouest, Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines

30,200 • Opportunity to reposition existing shopping centre, creating a leisure-led destination

Total 310,500

62 Appendices

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Premium outlets overview

63

Value Retail Villages VIA Outlet centres

Bicester Village, UK Kungsbacka, Gothenburg

Kildare Village, Dublin Batavia Stad, Amsterdam

Maasmechelen Village, Brussels

Fashion Arena, Prague

Wertheim Village, Frankfurt Festival Park, Majorca

La Vallée Village, Paris Landquart, Zurich

Ingolstadt Village, Munich Alcochete, Lisbon

Fidenza Village, Milan

La Roca Village, Barcelona

Las Rozas Village, Madrid

Appendices

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International fashion and

luxury brands

Mainstream fashion brand outlets

Low-end discount outlets

Premium outlets

64

Value Retail brand sales (€m)

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

Value Retail

VIA Outlets

<€2,000

€2,000–€10,000

€30,000+

Incr

easi

ng s

ale

s den

sitie

s €

/sq m

Segmentation of Outlet market

Fashion Arena, Prague

CAGR 17%

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Hammerson’s investment in Value Retail

Holding companies 22% equity

Bicester Village

33

45

La Roca Village

23

35

Las Rozas Village

19

31

La Vallée Village

11

22

Maasmechelen Village

13

24

Fidenza Village

20

32

Wertheim Village

31

43

Ingolstadt Village

0

11

Kildare Village (2)

27

38

65 (1) Excludes €46m of additional loans secured against various Value Retail assets (2) Including acquisition of additional stake completed in January 2016

Village ownership via LPs (%)

Total Village ownership (%)

Hammerson €58m(1) shareholder loan

Appendices

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Premium outlets share of results

66 Appendices

Income statement 2015 2014

Value Retail £m

VIA Outlets £m

Total £m

Value Retail £m

VIA Outlets £m

Total £m

Profit for the year 159.3 13.1 172.4 109.9 (1.1) 108.8

EPRA adjustments (142.2) (7.0) (149.2) (93.9) 2.0 (91.9)

Adjusted earnings of premium outlets

17.1 6.1 23.2 16.0 0.9 16.9

Interest receivable from Value Retail loans

5.3 - 5.3 5.8 - 5.8

Total contribution to adjusted profit

22.4 6.1 28.5 21.8 0.9 22.7

Balance sheet

Share of net assets 743.8 110.8 854.6 628.8 104.2 733.0

EPRA adjustments 59.9 6.8 66.7 31.9 4.0 35.9

EPRA adjusted investment 803.7 117.6 921.3 660.7 108.2 768.9

Investment in VR China (within Other investments)

4.8 - 4.8 - - -

Loan to Value Retail 76.4 - 76.4 63.5 - 63.5

Total impact of balance sheet – EPRA basis

884.9 117.6 1,002.5 724.2 108.2 832.4

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Our sustainability vision

67

2015 Highlights

To create retail destinations that deliver positive impacts economically, socially and environmentally

2016 Plans

• 4% reduction in Group CO2e

emissions intensity

• Four industry sustainability

awards

• Delivered net zero energy

EcoPod for Costa

• £2m saved through waste

management

• 3% reduction in electricity

demand in UK

• £174k savings in electricity costs

• Retained GRESB Green Star and

improved scores in all industry

benchmarks

• £2m+ Community investment

• 6% Reduction in electricity

consumption

• 5% reduction in landlord water

intensity

• 3% reduction in CO2e

emissions

• 98% diversion of waste from

landfill

• Install renewable technology

on one existing asset

• Update True Value of

Shopping Centres research

• Further senior management

sustainability training

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Our sustainability vision

68

To create retail destinations that deliver positive impacts economically, socially and environmentally

Our 2010-2015 targets Our performance

Our 2015 – 2020 ambitions

Reduce like-for-like carbon emissions by 20% v. 2010 baseline by 2015

-20% 20% reduction in carbon emissions v 2015 baseline

45% of suppliers by value to be engaged with on sustainability, annually

88% Introduce refreshed sustainable supplier survey in 2016 in the UK and France and continue to improve supplier engagement on sustainability

Increase waste recycling to 85% by 2015

UK 76% France 50%

100% diversion from landfill in the UK, 98% in France

Biodiversity action plans at all retail assets by 2015

32/41 in place Work with partners to trial pioneering, restorative approaches to biodiversity at six managed assets

All employees to complete CR training biennially

59% employees trained 2015 100% of Hammerson employees employed for 12 months or more to receive sustainability training

Reduce water consumption from 2010 by 12% by 2015

UK +28% France -29%

Reduce landlord water intensity by 10%

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Lease expiries and breaks as at 31 Dec 2015

69 (1) The amount by which rental income, based on rents passing at 31 December 2015, could fall in the event that occupational leases due to expire are not renewed or replaced by new leases. For the UK, it includes tenants’ break options. For France, it is based on the date of lease expiry.

(2) The ERV at 31 December 2015 for leases that expire or break in each year and ignoring the impact of rental growth and any rent-free periods.

Rents passing that expire/break in

ERV of leases that expire/break in

Weighted average unexpired lease term

Proportionally consolidated excluding premium outlets

2016 £m

2017 £m

2018 £m

2016 £m

2017 £m

2018 £m

To break years

To expiry years

Notes 1 1 1 2 2 2

United Kingdom

Shopping Centres 21.5 9.3 24.3 26.2 9.5 22.9 6.2 8.1

Retail Parks 7.8 2.1 3.3 9.0 2.3 3.3 8.7 9.7

Other 2.4 1.0 1.9 3.0 1.1 1.4 9.3 10.4

Total 31.7 12.4 29.5 38.2 12.9 27.6 7.3 8.8

France 13.5 4.6 3.6 15.2 4.8 4.1 2.7 5.8

Total investment portfolio 45.2 17.0 33.1 53.4 17.7 31.7 6.0 8.0

Appendices

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Rent reviews as at 31 Dec 2015

70 (1) Rents passing at 31 December 2015, after deducting head and equity rents, which are subject to review in each year

(2) Projected rents for space that are subject to review in each year, based on the higher of the current rental income and the ERV as at 31 December 2015 and ignoring the impact of changes in rental values before the review date

Rents passing subject to review in ERV of leases to review in

Proportionally consolidated excluding premium outlets

Outstanding £m

2016 £m

2017 £m

2018 £m

Outstanding £m

2016 £m

2017 £m

2018 £m

Notes 1 1 1 2 2 2

United Kingdom

Shopping Centres 26.8 9.5 12.5 19.2 30.8 10.2 13.4 20.8

Retail Parks 37.2 14.5 9.2 8.8 38.4 14.8 9.4 9.2

Other 4.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 5.2 0.9 0.9 0.5

Total 68.9 24.9 22.5 28.5 74.4 25.9 23.7 30.5

Appendices

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Valuation data

71 (1) Excludes premium outlets

UK shopping centres

UK retail parks France retail UK Other interests

Total continuing portfolio

True equivalent yield (%)(1)

31 Dec 2015 5.2 5.6 4.7 7.6 5.2

31 Dec 2014 5.4 5.6 5.3 7.2 5.5

Change (bps) (20) 0 (60) 40 (30)

ERV (£m)

31 Dec 2015 166.2 90.9 101.0 13.6 371.7

31 Dec 2014 160.8 87.4 107.0 13.4 368.6

Change (%) 3.3% 4.0% (5.6%) 1.5% 0.8%

Appendices

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Components of valuation change

72 Note: The total portfolio movement includes the movement in the UK Other interests portfolio where valuations changed by a total of £1m during 2015

Components of valuation change in 2015 – total portfolio (£m)

127

(3)

161

0

287

67 24

(15)

0

77

1

(2)

(29)

36 4

195

19

117

36

368

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400Yield Income Development & other Total

UK shopping centres UK retail parks France Total Portfolio Developments

Appendices

Page 73: Transfer to Print set up finalised 2015 Full-year Resultsb2de0febdea80fa78eb4-5cad31df697fe43d78c0459eba68b1d4.r36.c… · 2015 Full-year Results 15 February 2016 Transfer Draft 26/07/2016

Tenants in administration

73

31 December 2015 % of passing rents

51 units in administration 1.1

4 units unoccupied 0.1

30 June 2015

52 units in administration 1.0

10 units unoccupied 0.3

31 December 2014

55 units in administration 1.0

13 units unoccupied 0.4

Appendices


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