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Ukraine Sector Competitiveness Strategy - Key Findings

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  • 7/28/2019 Ukraine Sector Competitiveness Strategy - Key Findings

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    key findings

    Cpss

    d P Sc Dp

    UkraineSeCtor ComPetitiveneSS Strategy

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    The OECD Eurasia Competitiveness Programme was launched in 2008 to support Eurasian economies

    in developing more vibrant and competitive markets. It includes seven countries rom Central Asia

    (Aghanistan, Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Mongolia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan) and six

    countries rom Eastern Europe and the South Caucasus (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, the Republic

    o Moldova and Ukraine).

    The Programmes approach leverages OECD instruments and tools in order to assess where and how

    to enhance the competiveness o countries, sectors and regions to generate sustainable growth. Since

    its inception, the Programme has developed and implemented several regional and country specifc

    competitiveness strategies, complemented by capacity building seminars and coaching or policy makers.

    This document has been fnanced by the Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency, Sida. Sida does

    not necessarily share the views expressed in this material. Responsibility or its contents rests entirely with the author.

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    nuus cp ds

    abUnDant

    natUralreSoUrCeSUkraine has 311 000

    square kilometres o arable

    land, the largest such area

    in Europe. It has the largest

    manganese-ore felds

    and the second-largestmercury deposits in the

    world. It also has access

    to other abundant mineral

    resources, such as coal,

    iron, nickel, uranium.

    StrategiC

    loCationThe country has access

    to the Black Sea and is a

    key energy transit country

    or Russian gas exports to

    Western Europe.

    a well

    qUaliieDlaboUr

    orCe

    Ukraine has universal

    literacy and high general

    school enrolment: the

    combined gross enrolment

    ratio in education o bothsexes was 90% in 2009,

    higher than in some OECD

    countries.

    riSing

    inComeSSince 2000 per capita

    income has increased

    by more than 60% (in

    purchase power parity),

    accelerating domestic

    consumption.

    4

    ukraine: sector competitiveness strategy

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    6

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    7

    a-usssUkraine has ore arabe and (over 31 iion hectares) than

    any other European country, an abundance o rich, back soi and

    avourabe ciatic conditions. Other sources o copetitiveness

    incude a ong tradition in agricuture and ow abour costs.

    The country has a signifcant opportunity to urther strengthen its

    aready iportant roe in agribusiness, by addressing the oowing

    -w :

    Difculty in accessing short and long-term fnancing, resulting in

    the continued use o obsolete technologies and low investment inchemical inputs such as ertilisers and pesticides

    Lack of knowledge, skills, and abilities in the elds of agronomy and

    agro-management

    Difculties in accessing land

    Low productivity

    Product quality below the standards of neighbouring markets,

    hindering the development of high-quality exports

    The expected rise in deand or basic and processed agricutura

    products coud ake this sector ore attractive to private investors,

    -

    . tw - w

    identifed: grain and dairy.

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    sector strengthsUkraine is well-positioned to consolidate its leading role as

    a grain producer and exporter and to increase the share o

    processed goods in overall output. Its production costs are

    estimated to be about 50% lower than those o European

    producers. Its geographic position guarantees low reightcosts or exports to neighbouring Western Europe and to

    growing importers such as Middle-Eastern and Arican

    countries. Finally, considerable potential to increase

    productivity and the availability o unused arable land

    could contribute to the signifcant growth o Ukrainian grain

    commodities output and processed goods production.

    a-usss sc:

    sector challengesDfcu ccss fc is a main concern or

    small and medium-sized armers, limiting their ability to

    invest in operational activities and fxed assets.

    l pducis the result o a limited use o high

    quality inputs (e.g. ertilisers, seeds), especially by small

    and medium-sized arms, and a lack o investment in fxed

    assets, such as machinery and storage acilities.

    a s-psd u d ss has

    prevented ree competition and hindered investment and

    productivity gains. It has also had an adverse impact on

    access to fnance since land is rarely owned and as

    a result cannot be used as collateral and on oreigninvestments, as land cannot be purchased by oreign

    individuals or oreign companies.

    Updc d pcs sometimes run counter

    to market conditions, penalising armers. For example,

    restrictions on exports were temporarily implemented

    during the global grain price rise in 2010.

    l u also adversely aects the ability to

    process it and, ultimately, overall sector competitiveness.

    Facts:

    a Grain production akes upore than 40% o Ukraines

    agricuture production.

    a Wheat accounts or around50% o tota grain production(in vaue).

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    9

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    France UK

    Germ

    any EUChina USA

    Ukr

    aine Canada

    Arge

    ntina Brazil

    Russia

    Austr

    alia

    Wheat yield Barley yield

    Ukraine has the potential to improve relatively low grain yields

    Average wheat (let) and barley (right) yields, tonnes per ha, 2005-2010

    Source: Investment Capital Ukraine, Sector Primer Agriculture, December 2010.

    g a hu cp ss with the needs o the

    sector. Entrepreneurship know-how, technical skills, and

    fnancial literacy must be tailored to the requirements o

    Ukrainian armers.

    g c ccss fc through policies to

    support supply-chain fnancing, leasing, and insurance to

    cover against risk.

    g r d pcs attract investors and enable

    the ull usage o land assets as collateral.

    recommendations for sector reform

    g uh dp su scs, such as credit

    inormation services, collateral registration, and market

    inormation services.

    g es scs d such as quotas to

    improve predictability and the attractiveness o the sector

    to domestic and oreign investors.

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    10

    a-usss sc: d

    Facts:

    a Doestic deand inUkraine or processed dairyproducts is expected toincrease by 25% over thecoing decade, according toOECD/FAO projections.

    a cis m-ecountries are aready keyiporters o Ukrainian dairyproducts.

    a Ukraines raw ik is sortedinto three quaity grades.

    Its highest quaity categoryis ower than the singe EUstandard grade.

    sector strengthsUkraine is traditionally a dairy producer, although its

    herd sizes and output have been decreasing since

    independence. Production costs in the sector are

    comparable to those o New Zealand and signifcantly

    lower than most o Eurasian countries. The domestic

    market is expected to grow strongly in the coming years.

    Moreover, Ukraine enjoys proximity to a number o large

    or developing markets, such as the European Union (EU),

    Russia and the Commonwealth o Independent States

    (CIS) countries.

    sector challengesqu sdds o milk or ood production do not

    match those o the EU, and even the highest-quality

    Ukrainian milk is not exportable to Western Europe.

    m ds, although improving, are still 50% less than in

    other key producing countries.

    Pduc sucu: the production o raw milk isstill scattered, with 80% o production coming rom

    households that own ewer than fve cows.

    th s h sc s , preventing

    necessary technological upgrades.

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    11

    the Ukrainiandairy indUstry

    already exportssignificantvolUmes of itsprodUction

    Dairy consumption/export

    ratio o Ukraine,

    thousands o tonnes, 2009

    recommendations for sector reform

    g b hu cp h cp

    ds to improve both productivity and quality o raw milk

    output.

    grs u sdds to meet EU standards.

    gc ccss fc, which would allow an

    increase in the number o cows per household, in order

    to reduce the number o contact points or processors.

    Possible approaches include, or example, micro-fnance

    institutions, supply-chain fnancing, efcient credit

    guarantee schemes, and cooperative banks.

    gac j ss to the dairy

    processing sector by creating a long-term strategy

    around two priorities: i) improving both the quality and

    productivity o raw milk production and ii) targeting frst

    Ukraines domestic market beore moving on to the CIS

    countries, and fnally to the EU.

    Source: OECD/FAO, 2010.

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    Chee

    seBu

    tter

    Whole

    milk

    powd

    er

    Skim

    milk

    powd

    er

    Consumption

    1 0.43

    0.630.431

    Exports Imports

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    12

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    1313

    e-fcc d

    sucs s:

    bss

    The use o bioass to produce energy was pioneered by the United

    s n , d, f

    sw, - . s

    the 1980s, bioass has aso been increasingy used or oca heating

    purposes. In 2006, about 10% o goba priary energy deand was

    et through energy produced based on bioass.

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    Wind 1%

    Hydro 17.7%

    Solar, tide 0.6%

    Geothermal 3.3%

    Solid biomass/charcoal 72.9%

    Liquid biomass 2.4%

    Renewable 0,9%

    Gas from biomass 1.1%

    18.63

    14.01

    Biomassrepresents asignificant share

    of the worldsrenewaBle energyprodUction

    Structure o world renewable

    energy sources supply, 2007

    Source: IEA, 2009.

    sector strengthsUkraines abundant agricultural and orestry waste could

    provide the basis or the uture development o energy

    production based on biomass. The expected convergence

    o natural gas import prices in Ukraine to Western

    European levels should urther increase the attractiveness

    o renewable energy sources.

    sector challengesads s substantially limit investment

    opportunities in the sector, and a credible national plandefning the role and objectives o biomass in the energy

    landscape is still needed.

    ld cuc u d ss

    h pss uss ss among armers, industrial

    companies and utilities brake the sectors development.

    a c ccss cp, ddss c

    us d s ps csusalsohinder sector growth.

    Facts:

    a The econoic potentiao crop waste per year isestiated at the equivaento 14 iion tonnes o coa.

    a b

    econoica when consuedon site or transported overdistances under 80 k,depending on transportationcosts.

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    15

    gis pc d p is a priority area

    or reorm, or example, by streamlining administrative

    processes (e.g. permits) or implementing a single-window

    approach or investors.

    ga sc-spcfc p should be defned by the

    government, spelling out a long-term strategy or

    development o biomass-based energy production, and a

    mid-term action plan.

    recommendations for sector reform

    goh s d h

    sc, including alignment o prices, market

    regulation, solving the problem o payment arrears by

    consumers and privatisation o the utilities sector.

    the Breadth of the Biomass waste sUpply chain represents

    mUltiple opportUnities for BUsiness development

    Collection oresidues and wastes

    TransportProcessing orpreparation

    Transport Storage TransormationSale o power, heat

    or hot water

    biomass supply

    PRODUCTS

    typicaloptio

    ns

    production SAlE

    Agriculturalby-products

    Truck Pressing Truck Tank BurningElectrical

    power

    Forestryby-products

    Tractor Drying Tractor StorehouseGasifcation and

    burning

    District orindustrialheating

    Municipalby-products

    Conveyor belt

    Residues and wastes

    Mixing Conveyor belt Silo

    Pile

    Fuel

    Power, heat or hot water

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    18

    0

    5000

    10000

    15000

    20000

    25000

    30000

    35000

    40000

    total =19,410

    2010

    current fleet

    2030

    expected fleet

    total = 39,530

    the civilian

    aircraft sector

    is set to grow

    significantly

    Total expected

    demand or civilian

    aircrat by segment

    over 2011-30

    sector strengthsThe Ukrainian civilian aircrat industry is renowned,

    thanks to the countrys long-standing presence in the

    sector, its engineering skills and capabilities, and its cost

    competitiveness. Ukraine inherited a signifcant part o

    the ormer USSRs capabilities in the aerospace sector,

    starting with Antonov, its national aircrat manuacturer.

    sector challengeso-d c s-d cps

    d sc s pcs prevent the

    implementation o business strategies based on global best

    practice and limit integration into the global supply-chain.

    U ucus c fc ch,

    due to the size o their market, the restricted government

    budget and a lack o advanced fnancing schemes or

    manuacturers and customers.

    Dd s s . As a result o all

    these challenges, the majority o demand or Ukrainianproducts is currently concentrated in Ukraine and other CIS

    countries, while most o the demand or civilian aircrat in

    uture years is expected to come rom non-CIS countries.

    Source: Boeing Current

    Market Outlook, 2011.

    Africa

    Middle East

    CIS

    Latin America

    Europe

    Asia Pacific

    North America

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    Facts:

    a Ukraine enjoys a strongreputation in aerodynaics, orexape in wing design.

    a The goba aircrat arketis divided into three distinct

    duopoies or regionaturboprops, regiona jets and orarge aircrat. The European ATR c bdoinate the regiona turboprop, w b bz e j . b Airbus doinate the arket oraircrat over 100 passengers.

    recommendationsFOR SECTOR REFORmg

    s d c h h sus dh c c-d cps. The

    civilian aircrat manuacturing industry should be ully

    separated rom the military industry, thus enabling it to

    interact with global suppliers and partners. This would

    oster closer industry partnerships and would help solve

    fnancing issues.

    g is s pc d p s

    to showcase reorms which make the sector moreattractive to oreign investors and other industrial partners.

    g ip c ss to remain competitive in

    this high value-added sector. To preserve and enhance

    workorce skills, action could be taken to improve initial,

    vocational and continuing education.

    however, antonov has difficUlties competing in the gloBal marketof regional jets that are dominated By other leading firmsNumber o aircrat deliveries in 2009 by market player

    Source: Company annual reports, press reports

    498 477 123 122 54

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    www.oecd.org/da/psd/eurasia

    key contact information

    m. a S

    Acting Head, OECD Eurasia Competitiveness Programme

    [email protected]

    For general enquiries

    [email protected]

    Media Contact

    Ms. Vanessa Valle

    Communications Manager

    [email protected]


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