Rohit Talwar Driving Future Growth - Blackberry Innovation Forum - Dubai - November 16th 2011 -...

transcript

Driving Future Growth Blackberry Innovation Forum

November 16th 2011

Rohit Talwar

CEO - Fast Future Research

www.fastfuture.com

rohit@fastfuture.com

Twitter @fastfuture

Driving Future Growth

Business

Trends

Horizon

Ideas and

Approach

Discussion

What is the single

biggest change in

the outside world,

the marketplace or

technology that has

had the greatest

impact on your

business in the last

five years?

Emerging Trends and

Developments

• Which of the following

business or technology

trends and developments

could create the biggest

opportunities and

challenges for your

business?

• How might they affect

Organisations Need to Work on

3 Horizons in Parallel

1-12 Months

Operational

Excellence

1-3 Years

Drive for

Growth

3-10 Years

Creating

the Future

Growth is not Guaranteed…

…Thinking is Back in Fashion

Transformational Change?

It’s Only Just Begun

The World in 2015

Demographic Destinies 2 billion more people in 40 years –

Demographics is Driving Economics

448 691

Source : United Nations 2010 2050

Life Redefined –

Lifespans are Increasing

Under 50’s have 90%

chance of living to 100.

Aubrey de Grey suggests

we could live to 500 or 1000

What are the health,

housing, consumption and

resource implications?

What kind of opportunities

will be created?

BCG’S 2011 Global Challengers

and Emeriti: Origin Countries 33

3 3 2 2

1 1 1 1 1

Source: Boston Consulting Group, January 2011

Service is the ‘Killer App’

Tackling Complexity

• Process

• Organisation

• Information /

Systems

• Regulatory

• Human

Think Like the Customer

e.g. Open Innovation

New Business Thinking

e.g. Ultra-Quick Construction

Auctions

£3088 £8791.50 £81

Access vs. Ownership

Telephony • Voice

• Messaging

• SIM card

• Phonebook

• Ring Tones

• Security

Connectivity • Cellular

• Up to 14 bands

• WLAN/BT

• GPS

• NFC

• FM

Enterprise • 100Mbps

• Email

• IMS

• Browsing

• VPN

• PIM

• Ecommerce

• Payments

Software • Protocols

• Middleware

• Applications

• User Interface

• Minimize fragmentation

Multimedia • Camera 8-16M

• Camcorder

• 24M Color Display

• Memory (160GB)

• Multiformat A/V • HD Video/TV out

• Games

(50-100M Tps)

• DRM

TMT – Convergence and Immersion

What I Want – When I Want

Rising Broadband Penetration

Grid Computing

Cybersecurity

Holographic Devices

Image source: livetradingnews.com

Next Generation Interfaces

AR at Copenhagen Airport

Haptics / Holograms / Interactive Surfaces

Intelligent Interfaces Offer Seamless Human-

Computer Interaction

Immersive Environments

Optical Computing

Quantum Computing

Intelligent Brain-Computer Interface

New Analytics and a New Knowledge Infrastructure

Emerging Trends and

Developments

• Which business or

technology trends and

developments could

create the biggest

opportunities and

challenges for your

business?

• How might they affect

Where are the Opportunities?

Securing the Future

What critical

actions can you

take to future proof

your business?

Lead or Follow?

Focus on Growth Industries

Rising Infrastructure Spending

• CIBC projects up to $35 trillion in public works by 2030 (1)

• Annual spend:

– North America $180Bn

– Europe $205Bn

– Asia $400Bn

– Africa $10Bn

Green Buildings - $600Bn by 2015

Airport Expansion by 2020

China from ~150 to 244

India from ~100 to 150

Opening Up Education

Green Transport Revolution

Extending the Experience

The Slide@T3

Changi Airport - Singapore

Virtual Grocery Shopping –

Tesco South Korea

Tablet Equipped Shopping Carts

3D Printing

Make Time and Space for Change

Be Sticky and Magnetic

Create Tolerance of Uncertainty

Encourage Experimentation

Broad Scans and Deep Dives

Embrace Networks and

Associations

Conclusions – Playing to Win

• Think Service

• Focus on Growth Markets

• Be Visible

Securing the Future

What critical

actions can you

take to future proof

your business?

About Fast Future

Fast Future • Research, consulting, speaking, leadership

• 5-20 year horizon - focus on ideas, developments,

people, trends and forces shaping the future

• Clients

– Industry Associations – ICCA, ASAE, PCMA, MPI

– Corporates - GE, Nokia, Pepsi, IBM, Intel,

Samsung, GSK, SAP, Orange, O2, E&Y, KPMG,

Amadeus, Sabre, Travelport, Travelex, ING,

Santander, Barclays, Citibank, DeutscheBank

– Governments - Dubai, Finland, Nigeria,

Singapore, UK, US

– Convention Bureaus – Seoul, Sydney, London,

San Francisco, Toronto, Abu Dhabi, Durban,

Athens, Slovenia, Copenhagen

– Convention Centres – Melbourne,

Adelaide, Qatar, QEIICC

– Hotels - Accor Group, Preferred,

– Intercontinental

– Congrex, Kenes

– Aeroports de Paris / Schiphol Group

Hotels 2020: Beyond

Segmentation Objectives

• Identify change drivers and

key success characteristics

for the globally branded hotel

sector over the next decade

• Examine the implications for:

– Hotel strategy

– Brand portfolio

– Business models

– Customer targeting

– Innovation

Rohit Talwar • Global futurist and founder of Fast Future Research.

• Award winning speaker on future insights and strategic

innovation – addressing leadership audiences in 40 countries on

5 continents

• Author of Designing Your Future – Published 08/2008

• Profiled by UK’s Independent Newspaper as one of the Top 10

Global Future Thinkers

• Led futures research, scenario planning and strategic

consultancy projects for clients in telecommunications,

technology, pharmaceuticals, banking, travel and tourism,

environment, food and government sectors

• Clients include 3M, BBC, BT, BAe, Bayer, Chloride, DTC De

Beers, DHL, EADS, Electrolux, E&Y, GE, Hoover, Hyundai, IBM,

ING, Intel, KPMG, M&S, Nakheel, Nokia, Nomura, Novartis,

OECD, Orange, Panasonic, Pfizer, PwC, Samsung, Shell,

Siemens, Symbian, Yell , numerous international associations

and governments agencies in the US, UK, Finland, Dubai,

Nigeria, Saudi Arabia and Singapore.

• To receive Fast Future’s newsletters please email

• 50 key trends

• 100 emerging trends

• 10 major patterns of change

• Key challenges and choices for

leaders

• Strategic decision making

framework

• Scenarios for 2012

• Key futures tools and techniques

• Published August 2008

• Price £49.95 / €54.95/ $69.95

• Email invoice request to

Designing Your Future Key Trends, Challenges and Choices Facing

Association and Nonprofit Leaders

Our Services Bespoke research; Identification &

Analysis of Future Trends, Drivers &

Shocks

Accelerated Scenario

Planning, Timelining &

Future Mapping

Identification of

Opportunities for

Innovation and Strategic

Investment Strategy Creation &

Development of

Implementation

Roadmaps

Design & Facilitation of

Innovation, Incubation

& Venturing

Programmes

Expert Consultations &

Futures Think Tanks

Personal Futuring for

Leaders and Leadership

Public Speaking, In-

Company Briefings,

Seminars and

Workshops

Example Projects • Public and private client research e.g. :

– Convention 2020 – the Future of Business Events

– Future Convention Cities Initiative – Maximising Long-term Economic Impact of Events

– One Step Beyond – Future trends and challenges for the events industry

– Hotels 2020: Beyond Segmentation – Future Hotel Strategies

– The Future of Travel and Tourism in the Middle East – a Vision to 2020

– Future of Travel and Tourism Investment in Saudi Arabia

– Aviation and Airports e.g. Aviation 2030

– Scenario Projects – Migration 2030, Future of Narcotics, Chemical Sector, Family 2030

– Scenarios for the global economy for 2030 and the implications for migration

– Designing Your Future (Published August 2008) – book written for the American Society

of Association Executives & The Center for Association Leadership

– Global Economies – e.g. The Future of China – the Path to 2020

– The Shape of Jobs to Come – Emerging Science and Technology Sectors and Careers

– Winning in India and China

• Strategic advice to industry players

• Confidential advisory and coaching services to CEOs and top teams

• Public speaking at public conferences and in-company events

• Future thinking workshops and retreats

Example Clients

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24. http://jerryfahrni.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/cloud_cartoon.jpg

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