School segregation and self-fulfilling prophecies as determinants of academic achievement in...

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School segregation and self-fulfilling prophecies as determinants of

academic achievement in Flanders

Dr. Orhan AgirdagGhent University, CuDOS

Educational inequalities in Flanders

Across ethnic and socioeconomic lines

At all levels of education

Primary education: math achievement

Secondary education: tracking

Secondary education: tracking

The question is … why

Educational inequalities

Two theoretical frameworks1.School segregation2.Self-fulfilling prophecies

Separate perspectives Possible integration of perspectives?

1. Studies on school segregation

Focus

effects of school composition

school SES, school ethnic composition

net effects (control for individual-level variables)

Limits

1. Most studies only in the USA

2. Student outcomes only (achievement)

3. Black-box model: lack of processes

School composition

Student performance

School composition

Student performance?

2. Self-fulfilling propheciesPygmalion effect:

Teacher expectations Students expectations

Student performance

Previous studies: individual-level expectations e.g. individual student ethnicity teacher expectations

But school-level expectations?

e.g. school ethnic composition teacher expectations

School composition

Student performance

School composition

Student performance

Teacher expectations

School composition

Student performance

Teacher expectations

Student expectations

Quantitative data (2009-2010)

68 Flemish primary schools

2845 students (aged 10-12)

706 teachers

Multilevel analysis

Variables (1)

Independent

Ethnic composition (% non-native ethnic minority pupils)

SES composition (% working-class pupils)

Dependent

Math achievement (60 items)

ControlSchool-level: school denomination, school size, previous

achievements

Student-level: grade, gender, SES, previous achievement, ethnicity

Variables (2)

Mediator at student level

1. Sense of futility (student expectations)

4 items: “Students like me will fail, even if we try hard”

Mediators at school level

2. Futility culture (student expectations)

aggregate of sense of futility

3. Teachability culture (teacher expectations)

31 items, “Students in this school are smart, hardworking, polite,

…”

Results

Model 1 Model 2 Model 3

Ethnic composition: (% non-native) -0.120 (n.s.) ---

SES composition: (% working class) --- -0.235** -0.103

Teachability culture --- --- -0.031 (n.s.)

Futility culture --- --- -0.258***

Sense of futility --- --- -0.213***

Control variables not shown

n.s.= p > 0.05; *= p < 0.05; **= p < 0.01; ***=p < 0.001

Results

Model 1 Model 2 Model 3

Ethnic composition: (% non-native) -0.120 (n.s.) ---

SES composition: (% working class) --- -0.235** -0.103

Teachability culture --- --- -0.031 (n.s.)

Futility culture --- --- -0.258***

Sense of futility --- --- -0.213***

Control variables not shown

n.s.= p > 0.05; *= p < 0.05; **= p < 0.01; ***=p < 0.001

Results

Model 1 Model 2 Model 3

Ethnic composition: (% non-native) -0.120 (n.s.) ---

SES composition: (% working class) --- -0.235** -0.103

Teachability culture --- --- -0.031 (n.s.)

Futility culture --- --- -0.258***

Sense of futility --- --- -0.213***

Control variables not shown

n.s.= p > 0.05; *= p < 0.05; **= p < 0.01; ***=p < 0.001

Results

Model 1 Model 2 Model 3

Ethnic composition: (% non-native) -0.120 (n.s.) ---

SES composition: (% working class) --- -0.235** -0.103

Teachability culture --- --- -0.031 (n.s.)

Futility culture --- --- -0.258***

Sense of futility --- --- -0.213***

Control variables not shown

n.s.= p > 0.05; *= p < 0.05; **= p < 0.01; ***=p < 0.001

SES composition(% working class)

Teachability culture

Futility culture

Sense of futility

Academic achievement-0.396***

n.s.

n.s.

n.s.

-0.241*

-0.106*

0.365**

-0.258***

-0.213***

Results

Policy recommendations

Prevent drop-out = reducing achievement gaps

1. Educational policy

Monolingual education policies low expectations

Valorization of linguistic diversity needed

2. Teacher education (TE) programs

a)More focus on social justice in existing TE programs

b)Specialized TE programs diversity