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12/06 e AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 TOTAL North America Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America South and South-East Asia Sub-Saharan Africa Oceania Western & Central Europe Caribbean East Asia Middle East & North Africa 18 000 [11 000 – 26 000] 48 000 [34 000 – 66 000] 53 000 [41 000 – 69 000] 510 000 [330 000 – 740 000] 1.9 million [1.7 – 2.3 million] 160 000 [110 000 – 470 000] 2.7 million [2.3 – 3.2 million] 0.7% [0.4% – 1.0%] 0.7% [0.5% – 1.1%] 0.5% [0.4% – 0.7%] 0.6% [0.4% – 1.0%] 6.0% [5.3% – 6.8%] 1.0% [0.8% - 1.2%] 3.9 million [3.3 – 5.8 million] 43 000 [34 000 – 65 000] 130 000 [100 000 – 320 000] 770 000 [480 000 – 2.1 million] 2.6 million [2.2 – 2.9 million] 2900 [1600 – 4600] 12 000 [ <15 000] 21 000 [15 000 – 28 000] 33 000 [20 000 – 49 000] 33 000 [18 000 – 55 000] 0.3% [0.2% – 0.8%] 0.3% [0.2% – 0.4%] 1.1% [0.9% – 1.5%] 0.1% [<0.2%] 0.2% [0.1% – 0.3%] 8000 [ 3900 – 61 000] 22 000 [18 000 – 33 000] 25 000 [19 000 – 35 000] 90 000 [50 000 – 270 000] 59 000 [34 000 – 170 000] Adult & child deaths due to AIDS Adult (15‒49) prevalence [%] Adults & children newly infected with HIV Adults & children living with HIV 23.6 million [20.9 – 26.4 million] 36.9 million [31.9 – 43.8 million] 1.2 million [710 000 – 1.9 million] 1.4 million [950 000 – 2.1 million] 1.5 million [1.2 – 2.2 million] 7.2 million [4.8 – 11.2 million] 72 000 [44 000 – 150 000] 700 000 [550 000 – 920 000] 240 000 [180 000 – 300 000] 620 000 [380 000 – 1.0 million] 400 000 [230 000 – 650 000] Regional HIV and AIDS statistics and features, 2004 Table 1a
Transcript
Page 1: AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e. AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e TOTAL North America Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America.

12/06 e AIDS Epidemic Update

December 2006

TOTAL

North America

Eastern Europe & Central Asia

Latin America

South and South-East Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

Oceania

Western & Central Europe

Caribbean

East Asia

Middle East & North Africa

18 000[11 000 – 26 000]

48 000[34 000 – 66 000]

53 000[41 000 – 69 000]

510 000[330 000 – 740 000]

1.9 million[1.7 – 2.3 million]

160 000[110 000 – 470 000]

2.7 million [2.3 – 3.2 million]

0.7% [0.4% – 1.0%]

0.7% [0.5% – 1.1%]

0.5% [0.4% – 0.7%]

0.6% [0.4% – 1.0%]

6.0% [5.3% – 6.8%]

1.0% [0.8% - 1.2%]

3.9 million [3.3 – 5.8 million]

43 000[34 000 – 65 000]

130 000[100 000 – 320 000]

770 000[480 000 – 2.1 million]

2.6 million[2.2 – 2.9 million]

2900[1600 – 4600]

12 000 [ <15 000]

21 000[15 000 – 28 000]

33 000[20 000 – 49 000]

33 000[18 000 – 55 000]

0.3% [0.2% – 0.8%]

0.3% [0.2% – 0.4%]

1.1% [0.9% – 1.5%]

0.1% [<0.2%]

0.2% [0.1% – 0.3%]

8000[ 3900 – 61 000]

22 000[18 000 – 33 000]

25 000[19 000 – 35 000]

90 000[50 000 – 270 000]

59 000[34 000 – 170 000]

Adult & child deaths due to AIDS

Adult (15‒49) prevalence [%]

Adults & children newly infected with HIV

Adults & children living with HIV

23.6 million[20.9 – 26.4 million]

36.9 million [31.9 – 43.8 million]

1.2 million[710 000 – 1.9 million]

1.4 million [950 000 – 2.1 million]

1.5 million [1.2 – 2.2 million]

7.2 million[4.8 – 11.2 million]

72 000[44 000 – 150 000]

700 000[550 000 – 920 000]

240 000[180 000 – 300 000]

620 000[380 000 – 1.0 million]

400 000[230 000 – 650 000]

Regional HIV and AIDS statistics and features, 2004

Table 1a

Page 2: AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e. AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e TOTAL North America Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America.

12/06 e AIDS Epidemic Update

December 2006

TOTAL

North America

Eastern Europe & Central Asia

Latin America

South and South-East Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

Oceania

Western & Central Europe

Caribbean

East Asia

Middle East & North Africa

18 000[11 000 – 26 000]

84 000[58 000 – 120 000]

65 000[51 000 – 84 000]

590 000[390 000 – 850 000]

2.1 million[1.8 – 2.4 million]

270 000[170 000 – 820 000]

2.9 million [2.5 – 3.5 million]

0.8% [0.6% – 1.1%]

0.9% [0.6% – 1.4%]

0.5% [0.4% – 1.2%]

0.6% [0.4% – 1.0%]

5.9% [5.2% – 6.7%]

1.0% [0.9% - 1.2%]

4.3 million [3.6 – 6.6 million]

43 000[34 000 – 65 000]

140 000[100 000 – 410 000]

860 000[550 000 – 2.3 million]

2.8 million[2.4 – 3.2 million]

4000[2300 – 6600]

12 000 [ <15 000]

19 000[14 000 – 25 000]

43 000[26 000 – 64 000]

36 000[20 000 – 60 000]

0.4% [0.2% – 0.9%]

0.3% [0.2% – 0.4%]

1.2% [0.9% – 1.7%]

0.1% [<0.2%]

0.2% [0.1% – 0.3%]

7100[ 3400 – 54 000]

22 000[18 000 – 33 000]

27 000[20 000 – 41 000]

100 000[56 000 – 300 000]

68 000[41 000 – 220 000]

Adult & child deaths due to AIDS

Adult (15‒49) prevalence [%]

Adults & children newly infected with HIV

Adults & children living with HIV

24.7 million[21.8 – 27.7 million]

39.5 million [34.1 – 47.1 million]

1.4 million[880 000 – 2.2 million]

1.7 million [1.2 – 2.6 million]

1.7 million [1.3 – 2.5 million]

7.8 million[5.2 – 12.0 million]

81 000[50 000 – 170 000]

740 000[580 000 – 970 000]

250 000[190 000 – 320 000]

750 000[460 000 – 1.2 million]

460 000[270 000 – 760 000]

Regional HIV and AIDS statistics and features, 2006

Table 1b

Page 3: AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e. AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e TOTAL North America Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America.

12/06 e AIDS Epidemic Update

December 2006

17.7 million [15.1 – 20.9 million]

510 000[330 000 – 810 000]

350 000[190 000 – 570 000]

510 000[350 000 – 800 000]

2.2 million[1.3 – 3.6 million]

13.3 million[11.5 – 15.2 million]

36 000[ 17 000 – 90 000]

210 000[160 000 – 300 000]

120 000[85 000 – 160 000]

210 000[110 000 – 370 000]

200 000[100 000 – 370 000]

410 000[260 000 – 650 000]

16.5 million [14.2 – 19.5 million]

300 000[160 000 – 510 000]

450 000[310 000 – 670 000]

2.0 million[1.2 – 3.3 million]

12.7 million[11.0 – 14.5 million]

32 000[ 16 000 – 81 000]

190 000[140 000 – 260 000]

110 000[80 000 – 150 000]

160 000[90 000 – 280 000]

180 000[89 000 – 330 000]

Number of women (15‒49) living with HIV

Regional HIV and AIDS statistics and features for women, 2004 and 2006

% of adults (15‒49) living with HIV who are women

20062004 20062004

TOTAL

Eastern Europe & Central Asia

Latin America

South and South-East Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

Oceania

Western & Central Europe

Caribbean

East Asia

Middle East & North Africa

North America 26

30

31

29

59

48

47

28

50

29

48

26

30

30

29

59

48

47

28

50

27

49

Table 2

Page 4: AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e. AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e TOTAL North America Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America.

12/06 e AIDS Epidemic Update

December 2006

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006

Sub-Saharan Africa

Caribbean

GLOBAL

Latin America

Asia

E Europe and C Asia

PercentFemale (%)

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

Percent of adults (15+) living with HIV who are female, 1990‒2006

Figure 1Sources: UNAIDS/WHO, 2006.

Page 5: AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e. AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e TOTAL North America Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America.

12/06 e AIDS Epidemic Update

December 2006

Proportions of HIV infections in different population groups by region, 2005

IDU: Injecting Drug UsersMSM: Men having sex with menCSW: Commercial Sex Workers

Latin America

MSM 26%

IDU 19%

CSW 4%

All others 38%

South and South-East Asia*

CSW clients 13%

Eastern Europe and Central Asia

MSM 4%

IDU 67%

CSW 5%

All others 17%

CSW clients 7%

* India was omitted from this analysis because the scale of its HIV epidemic (which is largely heterosexual) masks the extent to which other at-risk populations feature in the region’s epidemics.

MSM 5%

IDU 22%

CSW 8%

All others 24%

CSW clients 41%

Figure 2

Page 6: AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e. AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e TOTAL North America Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America.

12/06 e AIDS Epidemic Update

December 2006

Trends among 15-24 year old people in high prevalence countries: HIV prevalence among pregnant women (2000‒2005)

in sentinel surveillance systems

* Consistent sites≥ 25% Statistically significant decrease of more than 25% NS Decrease over time but not statistically significant ↔ No evidence of decrease ID Insufficient data

ND Data not received # Semi-urban and urban areas were combined in analysis of urban data § Analyses based on data in South Africa surveillance report ¶ Analyses based on data reported in Zambia 2005 surveillance report

(urban and rural data combined) ‡ Analysis in Mozambique performed for South, North and Central

CountryPrevalence trend*

Angola

Urban

ID

Rural

IDBahamasBotswanaBurundi #

Central African Republic

Congo

Cameroon

Chad

Côte d’IvoireDemocratic Republic of the CongoDjiboutiGabonHaïti

NS

ID

ID

≥ 25%

ND

NS

ND

ND

ND

ND

ID

ND

≥ 25%

ID

ID

ID

ND

ND

ND

ND

ND

ID

ND

Kenya ≥ 25% ≥ 25%

CountryPrevalence trend*

Urban Rural

Lesotho ID IDMalawi #

Mozambique ‡

Namibia

Rwanda

Swaziland

Nigeria

South Africa §

TogoUgandaUnited Republic of TanzaniaZambia ¶

Zimbabwe

ID

ID

≥ 25%

ID

NS

ND

≥ 25%

ND

ID

ID

ID

ND

ND

NS

NS

ND

Legend

Note

Highlighted cells indicate positive trends in prevalence

Table 3a

Page 7: AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e. AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e TOTAL North America Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America.

12/06 e AIDS Epidemic Update

December 2006

Statistically significant decrease; ↔ No evidence of decrease# Semi-urban and urban areas were combined in analysis of urban data§ Analyses based on data in South Africa surveillance report ¶ Analyses based on data reported in Zambia 2005 surveillance report

(urban and rural data combined)‡ Analysis in Mozambique performed for South, North and Central

CountryAge at sexual

debut**

Women Men

CountryAge at sexual

debut**

Women Men

Sex with non-regular partner***

Women Men

Condom use during sex with non-regular

partner****

Women Men

BahamasBotswanaBurundi #

C African Rep

Congo

Cameroon

Chad

Côte d’Ivoire

Angola

DR CongoDjiboutiGabonHaïti

Sex with non-regular partner***

Women Men

Condom use during sex with non-regular

partner****

Women

Men

KenyaLesothoMalawi #

Mozambique ‡

Namibia

Rwanda

Swaziland

Nigeria

South Africa §

TogoUgandaUR TanzaniaZambia ¶

Zimbabwe

↔ ↔

↔↔

↔↔

↔↔

** Had sex by age 15 (15‒19 year olds)*** Had sex with a non-regular partner in the last year (15‒19 year olds)**** Used condoms the last time they had sex with a non-regular partner

(15‒24 year olds) Statistically significant increase

Note

Highlighted cells indicate positive trends in behaviour

Legend

Trends among 15-24 year old people in high prevalence countries: Selected sexual behaviours among women and men

(1994‒2005) from national surveys

Table 3b

Page 8: AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e. AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e TOTAL North America Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America.

12/06 e AIDS Epidemic Update

December 2006

HIV prevalence by age group among antenatal clinic attendees in South Africa, 2000‒2005

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Age range

Source: Department of Health (2006, National HIV and Syphilis Prevalence Survey South Africa; 2003, National HIV and Syphilis Antenatal Sero-Prevalence Survey in South Africa)

<20

20‒24

25‒30

30‒34

40+

35‒39

45

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

(%) HIVPrevalence

Figure 3

Page 9: AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e. AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e TOTAL North America Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America.

12/06 e AIDS Epidemic Update

December 2006

Estimated number of annual new infections and AIDS-related deaths among adults (15+) in relation to the stabilizing trend of estimated

prevalence rate among adults (15‒49), Lesotho, 1990‒2005

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Number of new HIV infections and AIDS-related deaths (thousand)

% HIV prevalence

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

New infections AIDS deaths HIV prevalence

Sources: Government of Lesotho/UNAIDS, 2006.Figure 4

Page 10: AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e. AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e TOTAL North America Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America.

12/06 e AIDS Epidemic Update

December 2006

Khanh Hoa province (2005) 0.0

HIV prevalence among men who have sex with men in selected parts of Asia, 2003‒2005

* Men sex workers** Hijras

Kathmandu (2005) 4.7

Phnom Penh (2005) 8.9

Provinces (2005) 0.8

Beijing (2004) 0.8

Beijing (2005) 4.6

Shanghai (2005) 1.5

Mumbai (2004) 9.6

Mumbai (2004) 12.5

Chennai (2004) 6.8

Andhra Pradesh (2004) 16.0

18.2Andhra Pradesh (2005)

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

Bangkok (2005) 28.3

Chiang Mai (2005) 15.3

Phuket (2005) 5.5

Bangkok (2003) 17.3

Lahore (2004)** 0.5

Lahore (2004)* 0.0

Karachi (2004)* 4.1

Karachi (2005)* 7.0

Karachi (2005)** 2.0

1.5Karachi (2004)**

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

PAKISTAN

VIET NAM

THAILAND

NEPAL

CAMBODIA

CHINA

INDIA

% HIV Prevalence % HIV Prevalence

Figure 5

Sources: XVI International AIDS Conference abstracts, 2006 – (Cambodia, China, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Thailand and Viet Nam). National Study of Reproductive Tract and Sexually Transmitted Infections. Survey of High Risk Groups in Lahore and Karachi, 2005. National AIDS Control Program, DFID and FHI. (Pakistan); NACO, 2004; Andhra Pradesh State AIDS Control Society (2004). 8th round of national annual sentinel surveillance for HIV, Andhra Pradesh. Hyderabad, APSACS. (India)

Page 11: AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e. AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e TOTAL North America Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America.

12/06 e AIDS Epidemic Update

December 2006Source: NACO. Sentinel Surveillance data, ANC sites (2005).

HIV prevalence in India ‒ by district, 2005

No data available

Number of people tested < 300

< 1.0

1.0 ‒ 1.5

1.5 ‒ 2.0

2.0 ‒ 2.5

2.5 ‒ 3.0

> 3.0

HIV prevalence (%) among pregnant women attending antenatal clinics

Figure 6

Page 12: AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e. AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e TOTAL North America Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America.

12/06 e AIDS Epidemic Update

December 2006

Condom use of direct and indirect female sex workers with commercial partners and with sweethearts, Cambodia, 1997‒2003

Direct female sex workers’ clients

Indirect female sex workers’ sweethearts

Direct female sex workers’ sweethearts

Indirect female sex workers’ clients

100

80

60

40

20

0

%

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 20031997

Source: National Center for HIV/AIDS, Dermatology and STDs, 2004.Figure 7

Page 13: AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e. AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e TOTAL North America Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America.

12/06 e AIDS Epidemic Update

December 2006

Prevalence of human immunodeficiency virus among men who have sex with men,* by recruitment venue

and age group — Bangkok, Thailand, 2003 and 2005

Source: van Griensven F., MMWR, 2006.

*Refers to men who have sex with men but who were not enrolled at venues where male sex workers or transgendered persons congregate.

Entertainment Sauna Park 15-22 23-28 ≥29 Overall

Venue Age group (yrs)

05

1015202530354045 2003 2005

% HIV prevalence

Figure 8

Page 14: AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e. AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e TOTAL North America Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America.

12/06 e AIDS Epidemic Update

December 2006

Number of newly diagnosed cases of HIV infection by transmission group by year of report

for fourteen Eastern European countries*, 1998-2005

Number ofHIV cases(thousand)

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Homosexual/bisexual

Unknown

Heterosexual

Injecting drug use

*Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Republic of Moldova, Russian Federation, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine and Uzbekistan

Source: EuroHIV, 2006.Figure 9

Page 15: AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e. AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e TOTAL North America Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America.

12/06 e AIDS Epidemic Update

December 2006

Annual newly diagnosed HIV infections per million population by country and total number of HIV infections,

Eastern Europe and Central Asia, 1998‒2005

Belarus

Georgia Kazakhstan

Moldova, Republic of Russian FederationUkraine

Uzbekistan Total number of HIV infections

HIV infections per million population

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

90,000

75,000

60,000

45,000

30,000

15,000

0

105,000

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Year of report

Total number of HIV infections

Source: EuroHIV, 2006.Figure 10

Page 16: AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e. AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e TOTAL North America Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America.

12/06 e AIDS Epidemic Update

December 2006

HIV prevalence among injecting drug users, sex workers and men who have sex with men in Central Asia,

selected studies, 2005

Source: [XVI International AIDS Conference abstract] ‒ CDC Central Asia offices (Almaty & Tashkent), National and City HIV/AIDS centers

* Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan

15.0% Kazakhstan

2.0% KyrgyzstanSex workers

10.4% Kazakhstan

52.5% UzbekistanInjecting drug users

Sex workers who were not injecting drug users

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Sex workers who were injecting drug users 44.0%

2.0%

Men who have sex with men 0.3%

4 Central Asian republics* combined

% HIV prevalence

Figure 11

Page 17: AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e. AIDS Epidemic Update December 2006 12/06 e TOTAL North America Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America.

12/06 e AIDS Epidemic Update

December 2006

Percentage of persons surviving through June 2005, by years after acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) diagnosis cohorts

during 1981–2003 and by year of diagnosis — United States

Source: CDC. Twenty-Five Years of HIV/AIDS — United States, 1981–2006. MMWR 2006.

2001‒2003

1996‒2000

1993‒1995

1981‒1992

0

25

50

75

100

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Years after AIDS diagnosis

%

Figure 12


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