Back Matter

Back MatterSource: Operations Research, Vol. 9, No. 5 (Sep. - Oct., 1961), pp. 768-xxPublished by: INFORMSStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/166832 .

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Announcements THE First Joint National Meeting of THE INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT SCI

ENCES and the OPERATIONS RESEARCH SOCIETY OF AMERICA will be held on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday, November 8, 9, and 10, 1961 at the Jack Tar Hotel, San Francisco, California. The program will include sessions in four broad areas of Operations Research/Management Science. Sessions and their chairmen are listed below:

1. The Tools

Program Chairman, PROFESSOR GEORGE W, BROWN, The University of California at Los Angeles

Mathematical Programming-Session I Mathematical Programming-Session II Queuing and Related Mathematical Models Information Processing Decision Theory and Statistics Tools from the Behavioral Sciences

II. The Applications

Program Chairman, DR. HAROLD 0. DAVIDSON, Operations Research, Inc.

Mechanism of Change and Implications to OR/MS Rationality of Management Action Problems of Input Data and Model Validation Selected Papers on Military Applications Selected Papers on Non-Military Applications

111. The Challenge

Program Chairman, PROFESSOR GIFFORD H. SYMONDS, Case Institute of Technology

The Area of World Peace Challenging New Areas for OR/MS Developments in Organization Theory General Systems Analysis and OR/MS

IV. The Societies

Program Chairman, PROFESSOR GIFFORD H. SYMONDS

Professional and Scientific Aspects of the Societies Education in OR/MS

Supplementary Sessions

Contributed Papers (Papers will be assigned to organized sessions if applicable)

TIMS Colleges Business meeting-Western Section of ORSA Lanchester Prize luncheon

768



Announcements 769

THE Twenty-first National (Tenth Annual) Meeting of the OPERATIONS RE- SEARCH SOCIETY OF AMERICA, which will be the Tenth Anniversary Meeting,

will be held at the Shoreham Hotel in Washington, D.C., May 9-li, 1962; EMORY CooK is the Meeting Chairman. The Twenty-second National Meeting will be held at the Sheraton Hotel in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, November 8-10, 1962; ROBERT MIRSKY is the Meeting Chairman. The Twenty-third National Meeting will be held in Cleveland, Ohio, in the spring of 1963; E. LEONARD ARNOFF is the Meeting Chairman. The Twenty-fourth National Meeting will be held at the Olympic Hotel in Seattle, Washington in November, 1963; CORLIN O. BEUM, JR., is the Meeting Chairman.

ArT THE invitation of the Norwegian Operations Research Society, the Third 1R Conference of the International Federation of Operational Research Societies will take place at the University of Oslo in July 1963 from the 1st to the 5th inclu- sive.

The programme committee invites suggestions as to papers and subjects that might be included in this Conference. Any such proposals should be sent to the IFORS Representative, MARTIN L. ERNST, % Arthur D. Little, Inc., 35 Acorn Park, Cambridge 40, Massachusetts, before December 1, 1961.

M EMBERS of the OPERATIONS RESEARCH SOCIETY OF AMERICA are invited to affiliate with the Professional Group on Electronic Computers of The

Institute of Radio Engineers. The group is concerned with the advancement of the electronic computer field and serves to aid in promoting close cooperation and exchange of technical information among its members. Affiliation is provided by the IRE as a service to members of professional societies in fields allied to electronic computers, but whose primary professional interest may not be in electronics. Application forms may be obtained from MR. L. G. CUMMING, Technical Secre- tary, The Institute of Radio Engineers, 1 East 79th Street, New York 21, New York.

HE American Institute of Electrical Engineers, the Association for Computing Machinery, and the Institute of Radio Engineers announce the recent creation

of the American Federation of Information Processing Societies. The AFIPS is a fully constituted, but unincorporated, society of societies whose purpose is unified representation of the information processing sciences in the United States. It is the successor body to the National Joint Computer Committee whose principal function has been sponsorship of the Eastern and Western Joint Computer Confer- ences (EJCC and WJCC). As one of the AFIPS's stated objectives of making an orderly transition of business and authority from the National Joint Computer Committee (AFIPS's predecessor), the 1961 Eastern Joint Computer Conference will be held as planned in WTashington, D. C. Dates for this conference are De- cember 12-14. A new name for computer conferences will be in effect thereafter and the Spring Joint Computer Conference will be scheduled for San Francisco in May of 1952. The 1962 Fall Joint Computer Conference site will be Philadelphia.



770 An o n nounceents

LOUIS B. KAHN has been appointed editor of the Military Logistics Society's new scientific publicationi, The Logistics Review and MIilitary Logistics Journal.

The Review will be devoted to the field of logistics and associated areas of interest, including logistics planning and management, and the development of statistical and nmathematical techniques pertinent to the solution of logistics problems.

R STANLEY LA VALLEE has been appointed Senior Staff Analyst in Opera- 1 tions Research at Technical Operations, Inc., Burlington, Massachusetts.

C DANIEL MAY, JR. has joined the IBM Federal Systems Division as head v of the Tactical Communications Systems Department in the Communica-

tions Systems Center, Rockville, Maryland.

p DGAR R. TERRY has joined the Operations Evaluation Group, Washington, D. C.

E LEONARD ARNOFF has joined Ernst and Ernst, Cleveland, Ohio, as L Director of Operations Research.

JOHN C. CHAMBERS has joined the Operations Research staff of Ernst and Ernst, Cleveland, Ohio.

S IDNEY K. SHEAR has been named Director of Research of the Naval War- fare Analysis Group, Operations Evaluation Group (OEG), of Massachusetts

Institute of Technology.

R OGER L. SISSON has joined Auerbach Electroniics Corporation, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

RUSSELL L. ACKOFF has been appointed Lucas Visiting Professor in the Department of Engineering Production, University of Birmingharn, Bir-

mingham, England.

V H. RUTENBERG has joined the staff of Headquarters Manufacturing, Xi.ElWestinghouse Electric Corporation, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

FRANK A. PARKER, JR. has been elected President of the Research Analysis Corporation, recently established non-profit research organization under con-

tract to the United States Army. Initially, RAC will complete the unfinished studies conducted by The Johns

Hopkins University Operations Research Office, which was dissolved as a research organization August 31.

Board members of RAC include its chairman Dr. Hector R. Skifter, President of Airborne Instruments Laboratory; Frank A. Parker, Jr., President of RAC; Gen. Omar N. Bradley, Chairman of the Bulova Watch Company; Dr. Henrik W. Bode, Vice-President of Bell Telephone Laboratories; John Thomas Connor, President of Merck and Company, Inc.; and John F. Floberg, General Counsel for The Firestone Tire and Rubber Company.



THE RESEARCH LABORATORIES

OF

GENERAL

MOTORS

CORPORATION

THE FORMATION OF A NEW

OPERATIONS RESEARCH GROUP CONSIDER the demanding aspects of multimillion dollar industrial and business operations. These complex systems provide a superior opportunity in operations research to make profound and substantial contribu- tions-both to the "state of the art" and to the sponsor. Acting on these opportunities, the General Motors Research Labora- tories has recently formed an Oper- ations Research Group around a nucleus of eight experienced profes- sionals. Our new group is charged with conceiving, analyzing, directing and successfully carrying through a growing number of intracorporate projects. Work ranges across all phases of General Motors' diversified automotive and other industrial and commercial interests. This vigorous attack on corporate problems is making extensive use of the Labora- tories' IBM 7090 computer facilities ... and covers studies in the areas of

* critical path applications * information retrieval * large scale computer simulation * inter-project scheduling * forecasting techniques * economics of the firm

The import of these and future projects has led to the need for immediate staff expansion.

WE ARE SEEKING problem solvers -at several levels of experience- whose graduate training in the sciences, engineering, or economics has a strong mathematical base. A knowledge of computational techniques is desirable.

Along with the traditional latitude of freedom associated with a scientific research environment, staff members will profit from the opportunities- bothl professional and within the corporation-to grow with a group now in its formative stages.

For most prompt consideration of your qualifications, we invite you to send immediately a resume of your education, experience, and salary requirements.

Write in confidence to:

Mr. F. B. Quackenboss Group Head-Operations Research General Motors Research Laboratories Warren, Michigan

xi



The Applied Physics Laboratory of

The Johns Hopkins University

Announces Jppointments for

SENIOR SCIENTIFIC STAFF

The Assessment Division of The Applied Physics Labo- ratory has undertaken new responsibilities and is expanding its Senior Analytical Staff. Senior Scientists in such fields as Mathematics, Physics and Physical Chemistry have in the past proven very effective in solving the types of problems involved which include analyses of tactical situations, the employment of future weapon systems and the application of the most recent advances in science and technology.

Performance of the work requires close association with scientists of other laboratories, operations research personnel of all branches of the Armed Services, and with senior military and civilian personnel.

Studies undertaken by this group will provide guide lines for the hardware research of future years. Staff members are expected to initiate ideas in support of a broad program of National Defense needs and carry them through appropriate analyses with assurance that sound results will be given consideration by the responsible agencies.

The Laboratory's locale, equidistant between Baltimore and Washington, D. C., allows staff members to select urban, suburban or rural living and either of these two outstanding centers of culture as a focal point for fine living.

These appointments offer exceptional opportunities. For information and arrangements for interview, write in confidence to:

Dr. Charles F. Meyer Assessment Division Supervisor The Applied Physics Laboratory

The Johns Hopkins University 8621 Georgia Avenue

Silver Spring, Maryland

All qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, creed, color or national origin.

xii



o*v to

bescrdne

IoA e e Ant

Maybe you haven't told your children the story about the group of blind men who were encountering an elephant for the first time and trying to size it up by the sense of touch. Here's a short ver- sion of the old Hindu fable:

One blind man seized the elephant's tail. "This beast is shaped like a rope," he said. "No," said the man holding the elephant's trunk, "it's more like a snake !" The third man was embracing a leg, and he cried: "You're crazy, its like a tree." And the fourth was patting the elephant's side. "You're all blind," he said. "This beast is like a wall !"

Supply your own moral, while we supply a parallel: some people, even those who work for Techniical Operations, have an equally hard time describing the Com- pany.

We have a good example here. This almost turned out to be the only recruiting ad in history with five or more headlines.

One of our fellows wanted to headline this piece: "tech/ops is doing some fas- cinating work in computers." Another favored: "tech/ops is an operations research outfit." One suggested: "tech/ops

is heavily involved in physics and chemistry." A fourth said: "tech/ops is doing a great deal of work in systems engineering." And so on . . .

Curiously enough, they're all good de- scriptions of Technical Operations, Inc. (most of our friends call us tech/ops for short). So we thought it might be time to try a short summary that would set us all straight.

PHYSICAL SCIENCES: Strong programs in the physical sciences and engineering are important to tech/ops. We mention these here briefly, mainly to round out the picture and to indicate that the specialized knowledge developed in these programs is often applicable to the OR projects we undertake. Quick summary: * Experimental and theoretical physics:

dynamics of hot rarefied gases, hydro- dynamics of hypervelocity impacts, applications of lasers and theory of partially coherent light.

* Chemistry: unconventional, non-gela- tin photographic materials, high reso- lution photographic processes, solar batteries, properties of solid propel- lants, etc.

xiii



* Systems engineering: digital transmis- sion systems, reliability and test design, digital display systems.

* Meteorology: analyses of weather systems, atmospheric absorption of radiation.

* Mapping and photogrammetry: military map-making, photo-interpreta- tion, among other areas.

OPERATIONS RESEARCH: This is the area where our needs are greatest- though if you have background and capabilities in any of the areas we've sketched briefly above, we'd be happy to hear from you about them.

Broad experience in operations and systems analysis-for important military, government, business and industrial or- ganizations-these are among tech/ops' fortes. In somewhat more detail:

* Evaluation of large, complex weapons and communications systems, studies of logistic systems to increase operational efficiency.

* Mathematical analysis, and its application to operational problems; e.g., queueing theory, linear programming, inventory control analysis, equations describing combat operations.

COMPUTER APPLICATIONS and RESEARCH: Some of the most interesting work in the Company is being done in this field. A significant effort is underway in programming systems; as- semblers, compilers, translators, genera- tors, string handling packages, and the like. We have constructed and are using CL-1 and are now ready to build a more powerful one. To touch briefly on other computer work being done at tech/ops:

* Simulation techniques: using high- speed computers to determine the im- pact of new operational procedures, plans or equipment, when direct ex- perimentation is too costly or other- wise impractical.

* Computer programming: tech/ops has a large staff skilled in the use of computer techniques and in computer programming.

We could (and will, if you like, under separate cover) list dozens of successful applications of these capabilities in major projects, past and present. Space being costly, let's talk about Company locations:

BURLINGTON, MASSACHUSETTS: This is the corporate headquarters of the Company and the Central Research Laboratory. No need to tell you about the Boston area.

FORT MONROE, VIRGINIA: This is where CORG (Combat Operations Re- search Group) conducts a variety of military operations, research studies including a considerable effort in the im- provement of war gaming. We've described it fully in this series. If you've forgotten, ask us to send you a reprint of that first, history-making, hair-raising recruiting piece.

WASHINGTON, D. C.: Two facilities here, one called OMEGA (Operations Model Evaluation Group, Air Force), which handles high-speed computer war gaming and operations research, and WRO, Washington Research Office. We described OMEGA pretty thoroughly in the second of this series (again, ask for a reprint if you missed it).

xiv



This leaves the Washington Research Office, an interesting and somewhat typi- cal tech/ops facility we'd like to tell you more about. . . partly because we haven't mentioned it before, partly because it's a good example of the kind of work we do.

WASHINGTON RESEARCH OF- FICE: This is in downtown Washington handy to everything worth mentioning in the Nation's Capital. A brief recital of some of our current WRO projects will describe it fairly completely:

* Navy technical development planning; data processing systems for command and control.

* Study of transit system scheduling and passenger loads, including development of techniques for instanta- neous counting of passengers to adjust scheduling.

* Design and analysis of command and control systems; communications net- work, potential target analysis, nature of weapons, extent of possible damage.

* Analysis of air traffic control systems, now being conducted for the Federal Aviation Agency: evaluations of alter- nate control systems on bases of cost, reliability, service; optimization of communications networks needed; analysis of special techniques for high altitude control.

For such programs, the tech/ops WRO has (and needs more of from time to time) political scientists, economists, systems engineers with knowledge of microwave propagation and technology, computer programmers; programming subsystems managers, and other appropriate people. If, in any of this (about WRO or the Company in general) you see a niche into which you think you might fit, we'd be happy to hear about it and to send you an application form so simple it'll gladden your eyes. Strict confidence, of course, and all qualified applicants receive consideration without regard to race, creed, color, or national origin. Best place to send a resume:

Robert L. Koller Technical Operations, Incorporated Burlington, Massachusetts

Technical Operations, Incorporated Central Research Laboratories Burlington, Massachusetts

WASHINGTON, D. C. * FORT MONROE, VIRGINIA

xv



OPERATIONS RESEARCH Statistical Engineer ANALYST

Geoscientist with academic background in mathematical statistics for We have an immediate opening for an Opera- the position of statistical engineer tions Research Analyst in our established

with exploration company. LocaTion: O.R. Group. Our work to date has been in with exploration company. Locationz: the areas of production scheduling and in- Western United States. At least two ventory control, pricing and marketing, years of mineral exploration experi- distribution, and finance. ence and one additional year experi- The applicant should have a M.S. in O.R. ence in the application of statistical or a related field with a minimum of two analysis and/or operations research years experience in the application of scien-

techniques to exploration problems tific methods and mathematical or statisti- techniques to exploration problems cal techniques to operations problems or a preferred. Salary commensurate with recent Ph.D. experience and ability. Please send re- Our Company has a well-established policy sume of experience and training and of using experienced staff experts in long- salary requirements to range planning and assistance of operational

departments. Excellent living conditions in Box 6101 suburban Wilmington minutes from our

OPERATIONS RESEARCH offices. Send resume and salary requirements Mt. Royal and Guilford Aves., to:

Baltimore 2, Maryland L. H. Snyder

Atlas Chemical Industries, Inc. Wilmington 99, Delaware

Saaty - ELEM ENTS OF QU EU I NG TH EORY WITH APPLI CATIONS Available in November, 1961.

Schwartz - INTRODUCTION TO MATRICES AND VECTORS 163 Pages, $5.50.

Todd - SURVEY OF NUMERICAL ANALYSIS Available in January, 1962.

Weiss - STATISTICAL DECISION THEORY 195 pages, $7.50.

Manne - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS FOR BUSINESS DECISIONS 177 pages, $6.95.

McGraw-Hill Book Company, Inc. 3830 West 42nd St./N.Y. 36, N.Y.

xvi



PROFEOINA IAL APIPOI[NTMENT$

CQhe Operations Evaluation Group of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology is seeking

to appoint scientists with advanced degrees and records of accomplishment to positions

of unique responsibility and challenge. You will provide the Chief of Naval Operations

and Fleet commanders with an analytical basis for decision making on matters of tactics, strategy,

composition of forces, employment of weapons and equipment, and research and development needs.

Tl he appointments are permanent and well remunerated, and the peripheral

benefits are indeed worth exploring. All applicants will receive consideration

for employment without regard to race, creed, color or national origin.

Positions available in Cambridge. Direct your inquiry to:

Dr. Jacinto Steinhardt, Director.

OPERATIONS EVALUATION GROUP

Washington 25, D. C.

292 Main St., Cambridge 42, Mass.

xvii



OPERATIONS RESEARCH OPPORTUNITIES IN

APPLIED MATHEMATICS OPERATIONS RESEARCH

STATISTICS

Opportunities at intermediate A need exists for men interested

and senior levels in the in the application of operations

Washington Office of an research techniques to a wide

expanding scientific firm, with variety of industrial problems.

a challenging research program This need reflects expanding involving experimental design .opportunities for experienced

involvin exermstatisticians and mathematicians. simulation models, and

We are located in a residential war gaming. Experience suburb of Chicago.

in practical applications required.

Apply to Apply to

George Shortley, Director, John H. Roseboom, Director, BOOZ-ALLEN BOOZ-ALLEN APPLIED RESEARCH, INC. APPLIED RESEARCH, INC. 4815 Rugby Avenue 1031 Waukegan Road / Bethesda 14, Maryland Glenview, Illinois

We are an equal opportunity employer. We are an equal opportunity employer.

S E N IOR R E S E A R C H ANALYST

Research i1n Management Methods at The STANDARD OIL CO. (Ohio) The Management Methods Unit-a top-level group of 20 research specialists studying improvements to the decision-making process in Sohio's operations -working predominantly on interdepartmental research projects-integrated from concept to implementation- Is seeking a qualified SENIOR RESEARCH ANALYST to act as a project leader in its expanding activities.

He must have-several years experience in Operations Research -a degree in Operations Research, Mathematical Statistics,

Econometrics, or Applied Mathematics He must be-primarily "problem oriented"

-able to communicate well with both co-workers and management

Salary-will be commensurate with level of ability, experience, and education

Relocation expense-paid by company Send detailed resume of your education, experience, and personal data to:

E. R. GLASS, JR. Manager, Recruitment Division

THE STANDARD OIL COMPANY OF OHIO 1532 MIDLAND BUILDING, CLEVELAND 15, OHIO

xviii



NEW OPPORTUNITIES IN:

SYSTEMS ANALYSIS

AND

OPERATIONS RESEARCH

Opportunities for scientists and engineers in systems analysis and operations research are now available at the Los Angeles Division of North American Aviation. Activities include the formulation and solution of problems in the field of manned aircraft system optimization involving mission effectiveness and cost, logistic feasibility, and system phas- ing and the evaluation of potential applications of new scientific and technical developments to the operation of manned aircraft systems. Systems analysis and operations research personnel maintain continuity from concept synthesis through design, fabrication, flight test, and operational use.

Areas of interest include radar, infrared, electromagnetic countermeasures, weapon delivery techniques, reconnais- sance, weapon effects, navigation, optics communications, geophysics, and radiation environment. Statistics, probability theory, game theory, and simulation techniques are combined to assure design optimization. Facilities include extensive analog and digital computing facilities and tactical game room.

Openings exist for qualified personnel at all levels including recent college graduates, those with MA, MS, or PhD degrees and those with several years experience in the field.

For more information, please write to: Mr. F. V. Bowman, Engineering Personnel, North American Aviation, Inc.

Los Angeles 45, California

All qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, creed, color, or national origin.

LOS ANGELES DIVISION AI NORTH AMERICAN AVIATION7

xix



Key Scientific Openings at ONR Director, Physical Sciences Division Washington, D.C.

The Physical Sciences Division manages the many millions of dollars of basic research being performed by research institutions throughout the country under contract from the Office of Naval Research. Results of such research contribute to the technological advancement of the Navy in almost every area.

The Director of this Division is responsible for formulating, sponsoring and evaluat- ing a wide variety of fundamental research programs, primarily in physics, electronics and nuclear physics.

Applicant should have had recent experience in directing major research programs in one or more of the basic physical sciences, and this experience should demonstrate the ability to organize and direct the work of other scientists. His reputation should be such that he would be accepted and respected by scientists in any way involved with or important to Navy research programs.

Salary open to $17,500

Chief Scientist San Francisco branch

The Chief Scientist is Head of the Scientific Department of this office, and represents the Chief of Naval Research in maintaining good working relations with the scientific community in Northern California, Oregon and Washington.

He supervises a small staff of recognized scientists who maintain liaison with project directors in research laboratories and institutions working on or important to Navy research activities. He and his staff also evaluate the capabilities of governmental, industrial and institutional laboratories to contribute to Navy research programs.

Applicant should have done some post-doctoral basic research in one or more of the scientific disciplines-physical, biological or psychological-and must have the ability to deal with key scientists on research matters.

Salary $13,730

Director, Naval Analysis Group Washington, D.C.

He will be responsible for directing Navy-wide operations research studies leading towards conclusions and recommendations that can be used to evolve fleet tactics and doctrine. This includes conducting analyses of scientific trends, potentialities and achieve- ments to determine their likely effect on naval operations . . . making operational evaluations of naval research programs . . . developing analysis methods . . . analyzing new threats and counterthreats ... and assisting the Chief of Naval Research on the collection and analysis of military research, and in planning new research.

Applicant must have a strong background in operations research and consultation in engineering, physics, mathematics, and electronics. He must have sufficient administra- tive experience and professional stature to direct a group of senior Operations Research Analysts in a variety of projects.

Salary open to $17,000

Other important openings for Physicists also available.

All of these key positions carry the benefits of Career Civil Service. Send personal information to:

Director of Civilian Personnel

OFFICE of NAVAL RESEARCH U.S. Department of the Navy a Washington 25, D.C.

xx



ll~ p PUBLICATIONS in so1jP OPERATIONS RESEARCH

Sponsored by the Operations Research Society of America David B. Hertz, Editor for Publications in Operations Research

PROGRESS IN OPERATIONS RESEARCH

W E ARE pleased to announce the publica- tion on March 10, 1961 of No. 5 in our

ORSA series: Progress in Operations Re- search, Volume I, edited by R. L. ACKOFF, Director of the Operations Research Group, Case Institute of Technology. The price is $11.50.

The first in a series...

This book inaugurates a series of review volumes which will "inventory" the mathematical techniques and research methods available to operations researchers. These review volumes are designed to serve as basic reference works to which Operations Research practitioners or students may turn for reliable, up-to-date information on major Operations Research techniques. The articles to be included in the various volumes will be contributed, upon editorial invitation, by leading experts in the field.

Contributors to this volume:

Russell L. Ackoff, E. Leonard Arnoff, C. West Churchman, Burton V. Dean, Stuart Dreyfus, Martin L. Ernst, Fred Hanssmann, John F. Magee, George W. Morganthaler, Philip M. Morse, S. Sankar Sengupta, Roger L. Sisson, and Clayton J. Thomas.

Surveys technical progress in eight important areas of OR ..

The primary emphasis of Volume I is on technical progress (i.e., the development of modelling techniques and their application to problem-solving) in eight important areas of Operations Research. These areas are: Inventory Theory Linear Programming Dynamic Programming Queuing Theory Sequency Theory Replacement Theory Simulation Gaming

For each of these areas, an article is included which evaluates the current "state of the art," surveys important applications, and discusses deficiencies and unsolved problems.

Other features... In addition to these chapters dealing with

technical progress, there is an article on Decision and Value Theory. Moreover, the first and the last chapters review and dis- cuss recent progress in Operations Research on other than the technical level. A valuable selected bibliography is appended to each chapter in the book.

N. B. This volume, along with the others in the ORSA series, is available to members of the Society at a discount of 25%. To secure this discount, members should send checks, made out to John Wiley & Sons, Inc. to the Business Manager of the Society.

Published by

JOHN WILEY & SONS, Inc. 440 Park Avenue South, New York 16, N.Y.



Contents

OPERATIONS RESEARCH

Volume 9 September-October 1961 Number 5

CHARLES E. CLARK-Importance Sampling of Monte Carlo Analyses.. 603

PETER R. WINTERS-Multiple Triggers and Lot Sizes ............... 621

D. P. GAVER-Operating Characteristics of a Simple Production-Inven- tory Control Model ........................................ 635

PAUL L. OLSON AND RICHARD W. ROTHERY-Driver Response to the Amber Phase of Traffic Signals.65 0............... 650

B. AVI-ITZHAK AND P. NAOR-On a Problem of Preemptive Queuing ... 664

ROBERT G. BROWN AND RICHARD F. MEYER-The Fundamental Theorem of Exponential Smoothing . ...................... 673

D. A. D'Esopo-A Note on Forecasting by the Exponential Smoothing De- sign .686

DONALD F. MORRISON-Cost Functions for Systems with Spare Com- ponents .................................. 688

BRITTON HARRIS-Some Problems in the Theory of Intra-Urban Loca- tion .695

THOMAS C. SCHELLING-The Future of Arms Control .722

N. K. JAISWAL-Preemptive Resume Priority Queue .732

LETTERS TO THE EDITOR .743

ELLIS A. JOHNSON-Toward Establishment of a Role for Operations Re- search in Economic Development Programs .743

MURRAY A. GEISLER AND W. A. STEGER-The Use of Abstract Simula- tion to Aid Weapon Planners ................................... 747

ROBERT MORRIS AND ERIC WOLmAN-A Note on "Statistical Equilib- rium" ..................... 751

HALIM DOGRUsoz-Development Programming ... 753

JAMES M. DOBBIE-A Doubled-Ended Queuing Problem of Kendall ... 755

THE ANALYST'S BOOKSHELF .. 758

BOOKS ... 758 PERIODICALS ... 765

ANNOUNCEMENTS .. 768

Composed and Printed by Waverly Press, Inc. Baltimore 2, Maryland



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