Colorado Business Economic Outlook Forum
Paul Kluck, SIORFirst Vice PresidentCBRE
CBRE | Page 2
Regional Distribution: Percentage of U.S. Population Reached Within 500 Miles
CBRE | Page 3
3.2MSF
5.3%
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 YTD
MSF
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
Vaca
ncy
Completions Net Absorption Vacancy
Industrial Supply & Demand TrendsMetro Denver
CBRE | Page 4
Denver Industrial Rental Rates
$5.88
$5.20
$5.40
$5.60
$5.80
$6.00
$6.20
$6.40
$6.60
$6.80
$7.00
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 YTD
Rental Rate
CBRE | Page 5
2012 Major Industrial Transactions
TENANT / BUYER ADDRESS SF TYPE
CoorsTek 4455 Table Mountain Dr 336,606 Sale
Rocky Mountain Bottle Co. 16200 Table Mountain Pky 227,132 Renewal
Goodwill Industries of Denver 4355 Kearney St 221,677 New Lease
FedEx SmartPost 20321-20431 E 35th Dr 200,000 New Lease
Ford Motor Company 4401 Florence St 186,078 Renewal
OnTrac 5000 Lima St 151,929 New Lease
Tolmar 1201 Cornerstone Dr, Windsor 144,293 Sale
Condit Exhibition 5151 Bannock St 107,524 New Lease
Natural Grocers 4403 Table Mountain Dr 107,134 New Lease
Precision Building Systems 445-475 W 53rd Pl 100,750 Renewal
CBRE | Page 6
Current Built-To-Suit Projects
Niagara Water 319,158 SFWin Wholesale 250,000 SF Interline Brands 319,158 SFUS Foods 400,000 SF
United Natural Foods 553,757 SF
Leprino Foods 350,000 SF ExpansionRecently
Completed
Fiberspar 165,000 SFRecently
Completed
CBRE | Page 7
Where are we in the Industrial Cycle?
Phase II - Expansion Phase III - Hypersupply
•Declining Vacancy•New Construction•Rent Growth
•Increasing Vacancy•New Construction•Rent Growth Positive but Declining
Phase I - Recovery Phase IV - Recession
•Declining Vacancy•Limited Construction•Rent Growth Negative or <Inflation Rate
•Increasing Vacancy•More Completions•Rent Growth Negative or <Inflation Rate
CBRE | Page 8
• All the signs are pointing toward a rent spike in 2013•Vacancy dropping
•Increased Absorption
•Very little, if any, spec development
•Continued BTS activity
•Tenants have been signing longer term leases to lock in low rates
•Owners have been pushing rents on renewals
FORECAST
CBRE | Page 9
Two-Buck Kluck’s 2012 Forecast
The Buck Stops Here!VTWO