EEA-PROMOTE users meeting, Copenhagen, 12 June 2008

Laurence Rouïl, Vincent-Henri Peuch, Anthony Ung

Hendrik Elbern, Achim Strunk

Thilo Erbertseder, Thomas Holzer-Popp,

Renske Timmermans,

Mikhail Sofiev,

Philippe Garnesson

PROMOTEProtocol Monitoring for the GMES Service

Element on Atmosphere

The Integrated Air quality Platform (IAQ)

EEA-PROMOTE users meeting, Copenhagen, 12 June 2008

A cooperative work for delivering in an operational way analyzed and forecasted maps of air pollutant concentrations

Based on 5-6 chemistry-transport models which are recognized for their performances, and run operationally at the European scale

CHIMERE and MOCAGE (PREV’AIR Consortium) EURAD (RIU) LOTOS-EUROS (TNO) SILAM (FMI) POLAIR (CEREA)

Air quality forecasts and near real time analysed maps, throughout Europe, for regulatory atmospheric pollutants: Ozone, nitrogen dioxide, PM.

Ensemble approach : the median of 5-6 “good” model results is generally “better” than a single model result

PROMOTE: The Integrated Air quality platform

Phase 1

Phases 2-3

EEA-PROMOTE users meeting, Copenhagen, 12 June 2008

Other issues

Commitment related to the model resolution : 50km*50km to 25km*25km throughout Europe

Use of observation data (in situ and satellite) to be integrated in the models in near real time ( for analyses and validation)

Calculation of statistical scores against observation data (bias, RMSE, correlation coefficient) for the individual models and the ensemble

Uncertainty analysis driven by the availability of several model results

Availability of maps and numerical data through the webportal Archives

EEA-PROMOTE users meeting, Copenhagen, 12 June 2008

IAQ products : ensemble forecasts

EEA-PROMOTE users meeting, Copenhagen, 12 June 2008

IAQ products : analysed maps (to be updated with current maps)

Correction (analysis-simulation)

Analysed maps

Simulation

9 June 2008

Simulation

EEA-PROMOTE users meeting, Copenhagen, 12 June 2008

Targeted User Communities

Environmental national Organisations

Local air quality monitoring networks

Convention and Policy Entities

Atmospheric Science Community

Health Organisations

Individual Citizens

EEA-PROMOTE users meeting, Copenhagen, 12 June 2008

Users who signed a SLA and evaluate the service

AIRPARIF Ensemble forecasts at the European scale for providing boundary conditions

to their local air quality forecasting system Interested in 3D concentration fields of ozone, PM and precursors Scores and Uncertainty analysis Basic products will be complete by mid-2008, score analysis by end-2008

EEA Daily analysed maps of ozone corrected with NRT data available on the

OzoneWeb (European scale) Graphical product -> Communication issue (policy makers, general public) Scores and uncertainty analysis Products based on a single model available by mid-2008, ensemble tests by

the end 2008

EEA-PROMOTE users meeting, Copenhagen, 12 June 2008

If you are interested in getting IAQ products….

Just contact Laurence Rouil (service leader) and Thilo Erbertseder (IAQ website master) for getting a user account

Specify the product your are interested in : numerical data or graphical maps, forecasts and/or analyses geographical area for potential extraction NRT products or archives ….

Formalisation about our reciprocal commitments in a Service Level Agreement

EEA-PROMOTE users meeting, Copenhagen, 12 June 2008

After PROMOTE…. The GAS

PROMOTE provides a prototype of the regional air quality service that will be proposed in the future GMES Atmospheric Service (GAS)

It is based on existing products and established skills and experience Further scientific aspects are investigated in the GEMS project (FP6)

Feasibility of the IAQ European platform has been demonstrated : it will be

improved in the MACC project (Monitoring Atmospheric Change and Climate - FP7)

more models and more sophisticated ensemble approaches new data assimilation procedures for the analyses re-analyses over long periods (6 months - 1 year) using validated data emergency scenarios

In any cases : the users’ needs will drive further developments