+ All Categories
Home > Documents > Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Date post: 27-Mar-2015
Category:
Upload: daniel-maclean
View: 213 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
Popular Tags:
36
Heartland Regional Roundtable • Michael Langemeier – June 9-11, 2009 – Nebraska City, Nebraska 1
Transcript
Page 1: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Heartland Regional Roundtable

• Michael Langemeier– June 9-11, 2009– Nebraska City, Nebraska

1

Page 2: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Outline of Presentation

• Survey of Tillage Practices

• Relative Efficiency of No-Till Production

• Crop Profitability and Water Quality

2

Page 3: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Survey of Tillage Practices

• Kansas Farm Management Association (KFMA) members were surveyed in early 2009 to determine their tillage practices.

• Questions:– Tillage practices by crop– Experience with conservation tillage practices– Other conservation practices

• Preliminary results for 134 farms in NE Kansas and 72 farms in SE Kansas can be found below.

3

Page 4: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Survey of Tillage Practices

• Definitions– Conservation Tillage

• Leaving all or a significant portion (30% or more) of the previous crop’s residue on the soil surface after harvesting to reduce soil erosion and conserve soil moisture.

• Practices include no-till, para-till, strip-till, and ridge-till.

– Reduced Tillage• Leaves 15 to 30% of the previous crop’s residue on the soil surface.

• Note– The category labeled “other” below includes operations that

disk, chisel, or plow.

4

Page 5: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Kansas Farm Management Associations

5

Page 6: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Tillage Practices by CropPreliminary Results, NE Kansas

Crop No-Till Strip TillReduced Tillage Other

Dryland Wheat

51.7% 0.0% 22.0% 26.2%

Dryland Corn

45.3% 4.3% 21.1% 29.2%

Dryland Soybeans

54.8% 1.2% 28.6% 15.5%

Dryland Sorghum

42.1% 2.6% 18.4% 36.8%

6

Page 7: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Tillage Practices by CropPreliminary Results, SE Kansas

Crop No-Till Strip TillReduced Tillage Other

Dryland Wheat

47.7% 1.2% 34.9% 16.3%

Dryland Corn

21.1% 10.5% 32.9% 35.5%

Dryland Soybeans

47.3% 4.3% 34.4% 14.0%

Dryland Sorghum

30.8% 5.1% 35.9% 28.2%

7

Page 8: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Other Conservation PracticesPreliminary Results, NE Kansas

Conservation Practice Percent of Farms

Winter Cover Crops 6.3%

Summer Cover Crops 1.6%

Legumes in Rotation 21.1%

Filter/Buffer Strips 30.5%

Terraces 97.7%

Precision Agriculture 26.6%

8

Page 9: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Other Conservation PracticesPreliminary Results, SE Kansas

Conservation Practice Percent of Farms

Winter Cover Crops 11.1%

Summer Cover Crops 3.2%

Legumes in Rotation 34.9%

Filter/Buffer Strips 39.7%

Terraces 100.0%

Precision Agriculture 25.4%

9

Page 10: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Relative Efficiencyof No-Till Production

• Central KFMA Farms– Detailed Cost Analysis

• Crop cost comparisons on per harvested acre basis

– Whole-Farm Data• Farm size and type• Financial ratios and efficiency measures• Income shares (feed grains, hay and forage, oilseeds,

small grains, beef, dairy)• Cost shares (labor, livestock, seed, fertilizer, chemicals,

and capital)10

Page 11: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Detailed Cost Comparisons

• KFMA Data, Central Kansas, 2008– Crop Cost Comparisons on a per Harvested Acre Basis

• Labor– Hired labor and opportunity charges on operator and family labor

• Machinery– Repairs on machinery and equipment, machine hire, gas, fuel, oil, and

depreciation on machinery and equipment• Crop

– Seed, crop insurance, fertilizer, herbicide, and miscellaneous costs such as irrigation energy, crop storage and marketing, and crop supplies

• Improvements• Asset Charges• Other Expenses

11

Page 12: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Detailed Cost AnalysisCost Categories: NC KFMA, 2008

41

62

96

56

30

54

114

51

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

Labor Mach Crop Asset

Item

Avera

ge

TillNo-Till

12

Page 13: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Detailed Cost AnalysisCrop Expense: NC KFMA, 2008

1611

51

172012

56

24

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

Seed Crop Ins Fert Herb

Item

Avera

ge

TillNo-Till

13

Page 14: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Detailed Cost AnalysisCost Categories: SC KFMA, 2008

40

71

102

49

31

64

115

47

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

Labor Mach Crop Asset

Item

Avera

ge

TillNo-Till

14

Page 15: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Detailed Cost AnalysisCrop Expense: SC KFMA, 2008

1910

53

1825

9

48

30

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

Seed Crop Ins Fert Herb

Item

Avera

ge

TillNo-Till

15

Page 16: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Value of Farm Production

• KFMA Data, Central Kansas, 2008– Value of Farm Production (VFP)

• Sum of livestock, crop, and other income computed on an accrual basis minus accrual feed purchased.

• Average VFP: NC KFMA– Tillage Farms: $339,726– No-Till Farms: $586,848

• Average VFP: SC KFMA– Tillage Farms: $430,845– No-Till Farms: $835,258

16

Page 17: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

VFP Sources: NC KFMA

7%

11%13%

33%35%

9%

17%

21%

29%

25%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Corn Sorg Soy Wheat Other

Item

Avera

ge

TillNo-Till

17

Page 18: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

VFP Sources: SC KFMA

17%

8%

12%

40%

23%

16%

9%

16%

28%30%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Corn Sorg Soy Wheat Other

Item

Avera

ge

TillNo-Till

18

Page 19: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Whole-Farm Data5-Year Averages

• KFMA farms in central Kansas with continuous data from 2004 to 2008.

• To be classified as a “no-till” farm, a farm had to utilize a no-till production system for all of their crops.

• Number of Farms– 77 no-till farms– 234 mixed tillage farms

19

Page 20: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Whole-Farm DataDefinitions

• Value of Farm Production– Sum of livestock, crop, and other income computed on an accrual

basis minus accrual feed purchased.

• Net Farm Income– Return to operator’s labor, management, and equity (net worth)

computed on an accrual basis.

• Less Tillage Index– Computed by dividing herbicide and insecticide cost by total crop

machinery cost which includes repairs, fuel, auto expense, machinery and equipment depreciation, crop machine hire, and an opportunity interest charge on crop machinery and equipment investment.

20

Page 21: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Whole-Farm DataDefinitions

• Profit Margin– Computed by dividing net farm income plus cash interest paid minus

opportunity charges on operator and family labor by value of farm production.

• Asset Turnover Ratio– Computed by dividing value of farm production by total farm assets.

• Technical Efficiency Index (ranges from 0 to 1)– Farms with an index of 1 are using the best available technologies and

producing on the production frontier.

• Cost Efficiency Index (ranges from 0 to 1)– Farms with an index of 1 are producing at the lowest cost per unit of

aggregate output.

21

Page 22: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Comparison of Tillage andNo-Till Farms, Central Kansas

Farm Characteristics No-Till Mixed Tillage

Value of Farm Production

$468,629 $324,832

Net Farm Income $108,467 $71,510

Total Acres 2,173 1,780

Less Tillage Index 0.173 0.115

22

Page 23: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Comparison of Tillage andNo-Till Farms, Central Kansas

Financial Ratios and Efficiency No-Till Mixed Tillage

Profit Margin 0.1676 0.1233

Asset Turnover Ratio

0.4070 0.3199

Cost Efficiency 0.662 0.605

Note: Technical Efficiency was not significantly different between the two groups of farms.

23

Page 24: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Comparison of Tillage andNo-Till Farms, Central Kansas

Income Shares No-Till Mixed Tillage

Feed Grains 0.2303 0.1805

Oilseeds 0.1687 0.1059

Small Grains 0.2271 0.3071

There was not a significant difference between hay and forage, beef, or dairy income shares.

24

Page 25: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Comparison of Tillage andNo-Till Farms, Central Kansas

Cost Shares No-Till Mixed Tillage

Labor 0.1702 0.2299

Seed 0.0663 0.0534

Chemicals 0.0797 0.0552

Capital 0.5626 0.6695

There was not a significant difference between livestock and fertilizer cost shares.

25

Page 26: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Crop Profitabilityand Water Quality

• CSREES-CEAP Project– Assessing the Impact of a Strategic Approach to

Implementation of Conservation Practices• Key Questions

– How does the timing, location, and suite of conservation practices affect water quality at the watershed scale?

– How do social and economic factors affect conservation practice implementation?

– What is the optimal placement and suite of conservation practices for the given watershed?

26

Page 27: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Cheney Lake Watershed

27

Page 28: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Crop Rotations

• Continuous Wheat– Conventional– Conservation

• Wheat/Grain Sorghum/Soybean– Conventional– Conservation– No-Till

• Wheat/Wheat/Grain Sorghum/Soybean– Conventional– No-Till

• Alfalfa/Wheat– Conservation

• CRP• Switchgrass

28

Page 29: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Crop Yields andWater Quality Variables

• Simulated Yield Data (SWAT/APEX)– Crop rotation yields– Red Rock Creek and Goose Creek– 12 weather states

• Simulated Water Quality Data (SWAT/APEX)– Water yield, sediment yield, and total phosphorus

• Will create an index for each water quality variable• The base rotation in Red Rock Creek and Goose Creek will have an

index of 1.00

– 12 weather states

29

Page 30: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Crop Budgets

• Crop Budgets– Output prices– Simulated yields– Input costs

• Seed• Fertilizer• Herbicide and insecticide• Field operations• Labor• Miscellaneous

30

Page 31: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Risk Adjusted Net Return

• RANR = Avg NR – (λ/2) Var NR– RANR = risk adjusted net return per acre– Avg NR = average net return per acre– λ = risk aversion parameter – Var NR = variance of net return per acre

• Net return per acre is computed for each crop rotation using crop budgets, which include simulated yield data.

31

Page 32: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Tradeoff Between Risk AdjustedNet Return and Water Quality

• Will compare the risk adjusted net return and water quality indices among crop rotations.

• Using alternative risk aversion levels, will solve for the optimal crop mix assuming the water quality variables have an average index value less than or equal to 1.00.

• Will examine the sensitivity of optimal crop mix to reductions in each water quality index.

32

Page 33: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Example of Earlier StudyNE Kansas: Data from 1990s

• This study examined the tradeoff between risk adjusted net return and water quality variables using the following rotations: C, CS, CSW, CSWA, G, GS, GSW, and GSWA.– C = corn– S = soybeans– W = wheat– A = alfalfa– G = grain sorghum

• The graph below shows results for the CS and CSW rotations, and soil erosion, assuming farmers are slightly risk averse.

33

Page 34: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Tradeoff Between Risk AdjustedNet Return and Soil Loss

95

100

105

110

115

0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00

Soil Loss Index

$/A

cre

CS1

CS2

CS3

CSW1

CSW2

CSW3

CSW3

CSW2

CSW1

CS3

CS2

CS1

34

Page 35: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Summary

• Current research efforts focus on the examination of the impact of tillage practices on cost efficiency, profitability (enterprise or crop rotation; whole-farm), and water quality.

• Other research efforts include technical and economic benchmarking, economies of scale, and divergence in farm performance.

35

Page 36: Heartland Regional Roundtable Michael Langemeier –June 9-11, 2009 –Nebraska City, Nebraska 1.

Contact Information

• Contributor Site – Langemeier– www.agmanager.info

• E-mail– [email protected]

36


Recommended