Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
Japan, September 16th 2015
Kementerian Energi dan Sumber Daya Mineral | Energi Untuk Kesejahteraan Rakyat
INDONESIA’S LNG SUPPLY AND FUTURE DEVELOPMENT
LNG Producer-Consumer Conference 2015
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
I. INDONESIA GAS RESERVE & PRODUCTION
AGENDA
IV. CLOSING REMARKS
II. FUTURE GAS & LNG PROJECT
2
III. Domestic Demand (Virtual Pipeline, Investment)
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
I. Indonesia Gas Reserve & Production
3
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
INDONESIA’S UPSTREAM OIL & GAS
Aging Production
Fasility
Lack of Gas
Infrastructure
Declining Reserved
Declining Production
Reserves Replacement Ratio ~50%
Main Sources of Domestic
Energy
Decreasing Exploration
Success Ratio
LenghtyExploration
Process
Sumber : SKK Migas, DJMG
*) source: WoodMackenzie
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
CBM RESOURCES = 453.30 TCF
PROVEN = 100,26 TSCFPOTENTIAL = 49,04 TSCFTOTAL = 149,30 TSCF
GAS RESERVE
As of January 1st 2014
Total CBM Basin = 11(Advance Resources International, Inc., 2003)
Contracts Signed up to Aug 2015 : 54CBM PSCs
SHALE GAS POTENTIAL= 574 TCF
Total Shale Gas Basin = 14(Geology Agency, 2010)
1st Unconventional PSC was signed on May 2013, Currently 5 PSC
2,56
7,06
3,22
50.84
23.42
NATUNA7,51
NORTH SUMATRA
15.21
17,9
CENTRAL SUMATRA
ACEH (NAD)
SOUTH SUMATRA
WEST JAVA
6,44
EAST JAVA
EAST BORNEO
CELEBES
MOLUCCAS
PAPUA
(Advance Resources Interational, Inc., 2003 processed)
1.15
13,99
Indonesia’s Gas Reserve
5
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
INDONESIA’S OIL AND GAS WORKING ACREAGES
Produksi
Eksplorasi
54 CBM PSC 5 SHLE GAS PSC
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
II. Future GAS & LNG Project
7
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
MADURA BD
Production (2016):110 MMscfd,
SOUTH SULAWESI
NORTH SUMATERA
WEST JAVA
EAST JAVA
MASELA
PAPUA
CENTRAL SULAWESI
JANGKRIK
IDD
EAST KALIMANTAN
CENTRAL SUMATERA
SOUTH SUMATERA
LAMPUNG
CENTRAL JAVA
RIAU ISLANDS
DONGGI SENORO
ABADI
TANGGUH TRAIN-3Production (2017):450 MMscfd, 4100 bopd
Production:Bangka: 120 MMscfd (2016)Gehem Hub: 420 MMscfd (2020)Gendalo Hub: 700 MMscfd (2020)
Production (2025):990 MMscfd
Production :Senoro: 310 MMscfd (2015), 6000 bopdDonggi: 60 MMscfd (2016), Matindok : 65 MMscfd(2017), 500 bopd
SOUTH MAHAKAM 3
Production (2015):120 MMscfd,
Production (2019):3,8 MTPA LNG ,3200 bopd
JTB-C
Production (2019)330 MMscfd
BUKIT TUA Production (2016):20000 bopd50 MMscfd
KEPODANG
Production (2015):116 MMscfd
ONGOING FUTURE Gas Projects
Natuna D-Alpha
Production (YTD):Reserved 4,6TCF
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
Proven Reserves (in TCF)
Demands until 2030 (in TCF)
Legends :
World’s Reserves
Indonesia (19%)
Indonesia contributes 19% of total Asia Pacific gas reserves
(source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2014)
Sebaran Cadangan Gas di Indonesia, (source: Indonesian Annual Reserve Report as of 1-1-2014)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Asia Pacific’s Reserves
8.2%
Nat
una
D-Al
pha
IDD
Tang
guh
Trai
n 3
MAS
ELA
Dong
giSe
noro
DONE
Sebaran Permintaan Gas (Contracted) di Indonesia, (source: Indonesian Gas Balance Report as of Q1 2015)
Pengembangan Lapangan Gas Secara Lebih Optimal Akan Membutuhkan Dukungan Infrastruktur Yang
Memadai
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
III. Domestic Demand
10
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
GAS INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES2015 – 2025
11
INVESTMENTPipeline
USD 8.5 billionLiquefaction & Regasification
USD 8 billionLPG
USD 0.42 billion
Gas StationUSD 13 billion
City GasUSD 2.5 billion
TOTALUSD 32.42 billion
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
35.000 MW ELECTRICITY PROJECTà Opportunity as an Anchor Buyer
TOTAL POWER: 13.432 MW (38%)
2.867 MW
1.091 MW
6.754 MW
1.830 MW
450 MW
440 MW
TOTAL GAS NEEDED:1.009 MMSCFD
267 MMSCFD
86 MMSCFD
423 MMSCFD
147 MMSCFD 48 MMSCFD
38 MMSCFD
12
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of IndonesiaMinistry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
VIRTUAL PIPELINE FOR GAS POWER PLANT IN PAPUA & MALUKU
PLTMG Saumlaki 10 MW PLTMG Merauke 20 MW
PLTMG Dobo 10 MWPLTMG Langgur 20 MW
MPP Papua (Jayapura) 50 MWPLTMG Jayapura Peaker 40 MW
PLTMG Timika Peaker 10 MW
PLTMG Fak-Fak 10 MW
MPP Papua Barat (Manokwari) 20 MWPLTMG Biak 15 MW
PLTMG Serui 10 MWPLTMG Bintuni 10 MW
PLTMG Nabire 20 MW
PLTMG Seram Peaker 20 MW
PLTMG Ambon Peaker 30 MWMPP Maluku (Ambon) 70 MW
PLTMG Namlea 10 MW
Gas Salawati
Gas Bintuni
1.524 NM144.4 MMSCFD
862 NM78.6 MMSCFD
1.494 NM15 MMSCFD
HUB
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
V. Closing Remarks
14
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
INDONESIA GAS BALANCE YEAR 2015 - 2030STARTING
GAS IMPORT
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
Closing Remarks
16
Gas Demand for the
(1.2x from current demand)
Gas Demand for the next 5 years:
8,679 MMSCFD (1.2x from current demand)
INVESTMENT NEEDED
Virtual Pipeline for Eastern Part of Indonesia
To initiate this, the anchor buyer will be for electricity sector and develop
the area surrounds it.
ASEAN LNG Hub (Hub for LNG price reference in ASEAN
territory)
2
3
4
1Prospective of Indonesia Gas Supply
Development from ConventionalmandUnconvetional encourage with some Attracrive Incentive Challenging
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
www.esdm.go.id
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