+ All Categories
Home > Documents > On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG...

On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG...

Date post: 15-Mar-2020
Category:
Upload: others
View: 0 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
41
On Path to Long-Term Value IVL Capital Markets Day 2018 February 22, 2018
Transcript
Page 1: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

On Path to Long-Term Value

IVL Capital Markets Day 2018

February 22, 2018

Page 2: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

2017 Financial Results

Sanjay Ahuja, CFO

Page 3: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

2017 Financial Results Delivering On Expectations

3

+30% YoY

Core

Net Profit

$459M

+68% YoY

Core EPS after PERP

THB 2.91

+63% YoY

EPS after

PERP

THB 3.98X

+26% YoY

Core

EBITDA

$1,004M

Production 9.1MMt

+4% YoY

Page 4: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

4

Solid Financial Performance Strong Earnings Momentum Continues

EBITDA/ton ($/MT) EBITDA Margin (%)

ROCE (%) ROE (%)

82 91 91 89 110

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

6% 8% 9% 11% 12%

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

6% 8% 10% 11% 12%

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

3% 6% 8%

13% 17%

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Note: Core Financials

Page 5: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

Robust Financial Headroom $7 Billion Investment Headroom for Future Growth

5

Dec 31, 2017 NetD/E

Ongoing ProjectCAPEX Dec 17

Dec 31, 2017 NetOp. D/E

Free Cash Flow in2018 & 19 based

on approvedprojects

Estimated Dec 31,2019 Net D/E

Capex Headroomfrom 2018 to

2021

Estimated Dec 31,2021 Net D/E

Note: 100% IVL W2 exercise considered, budgeted business plan

0.75x

0.54

$764M

~1x $7B

~0.2x

2017 to 2021 Net Debt to Equity Bridge

Page 6: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

Delivering On Our Business Strategy

D.K. Agarwal, CEO PET & Feedstock

Page 7: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

Favorable Industry Trends Industry Fundamentals Reflect Positive Changes

7

Strong polyester consumption growth

China import waste ban creates more demand for virgin materials

Global capacity balancing

Asia PTA margin recovery with positive impact on global PTA and PET

Rising freight and duties further increasing import parity 2H17-2021

Page 8: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

Asia PET Business Strong Demand Growth, Capacity Balancing

8

CAGR 2017-21

India 12%

Indonesia 11%

China 7%

Thailand 6%

0

1,250

2,500

2016 2017 2018 2019

China

RoA

299

757

0

500

1,000

2017China Taiwan ThailandKorea Indonesia India

KM

T

KM

T

Asia PET Demand Growth

Asia New PET Capacity 2016-2019

Japan PET Imports - 2017

Strong demand growth, fueled by emerging economies

Limited new PET capacity outside of China

Japan AD creates opportunity for IVL to increase sales in key market with high demand

AD

PET Asia

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

IVL Industry

Asia PET Spreads

$/M

T

Note: Asia PET spreads over PTA/MEG Source: Industry Data, IVL Analysis

Page 9: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

Asia PTA Business Lower Inventory Levels, Higher Demand Growth, Capacity Balancing

9

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17

4 days

20 days

29 days

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

China PTA Inventory

PT

A S

pre

ad

s ($

/MT

)

Effective PTA Capacity – 2022 Basis(KMT)

2018 Demand 69 KMT

2022 Demand 86 KMT

Global PTA Cost Curve

Da

ys

300

250

200

150

100

50

0

China's PTA inventory end-2017 at its lowest level in last 4 years

China import waste ban creates more demand for PTA

PTA industry spreads will need to continue to improve to justify new investment and plant restarts

PTA

Asia

50

75

100

125

150

175

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

IVL Industry

Asia PTA Spreads

$/M

T

Note: Asia PTA spreads over PX Source: Industry Data, IVL Analysis

Page 10: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

Asia Fibers Business China Supply-Side Reforms, China Import Waste Ban

10

China PSF Production

China import waste ban increases demand for virgin fibers

Reducing China cotton supply supports fiber business

Rising recycle feedstock costs pushes virgin PSF margins up

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Virgin Recycle

MM

t

10,000

7,000

5,000

2000

0

RM

B/M

T

2016 2017 2M 18

Virgin PSF Price

Recycle PSF Price

Virgin Raws

Fibers Asia

Asia PSF Spreads

100

150

200

250

300

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

IVL Industry

$/M

T

China Cotton Supply

0

10

20

30

13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21

Demand Imports Production Beginning stocks

China PSF Values

Note: Asia PSF (Polyester Staple Fiber) spreads over PTA/MEG Source: Industry Data, IVL Analysis

MM

t

Page 11: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

West PET Business Increasing Import Parity with Higher Asia PTA, Rising Freight Rates

11

Asia to EU PET Import Parity Drivers-2017/16

US Non-NAFTA PET Imports - 2017

600

0

350

700

2017

Brazil Indonesia Korea

Taiwan Pakistan Others

KM

T

AD Case 490 KMT

0

10

20

30

Asia PTAMarginsIncrease

Ocean FreightsIncrease

$/M

T

Increase in Asia PTA margins, rising freight rates and other factors as import parity goes up

US PET AD case against 5 countries moving forward

PET West

West PET Spreads

100

150

200

250

300

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

IVL Industry

$/M

T

Note: West PET spreads over PTA/MEG Based on IVL NAM and EMEA production mix Source: Industry Data, IVL Analysis

Page 12: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

West PTA Business Import Substitution, Increasing Asian Margins and Freights

12 Note: West PTA spreads over PX Based on IVL NAM and EMEA production mix Source: Industry Data, IVL Analysis

Well-established and balanced Western PTA marketplace

EU PTA with substantial import substitution potential (~1,000MMt ~1/3 of demand)

Artlant to partly replace imports

Increase in Asia PTA margins and rising freight rates with positive impact on EU PTA as import parity goes up

West PTA Producers - 2018

EU PTA Demand 2014-2017

Asia to EU PTA Import Parity Drivers-2017/16

0

10

20

30

Asia PTA MarginsIncrease

Ocean FreightsIncrease

$/M

T

0.0

3.0

6.0

NAM EU

IVL BP Alpek PKN EMNCa

pa

city

(M

Mt)

3 producers

4 producers

0%

25%

50%

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

2014 2015 2016 2017

Domestic Imports Imports Share

KM

T

PTA

West

West PTA Spreads

100

150

200

250

300

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

IVL Industry

$/M

T

Page 13: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

<5 yrs

West MEG Business Capturing Integrated Margins in Upcycle Scenario

13 Note: US MEG spreads over ethylene Source: Industry Data, IVL Analysis

80% 82% 79% 80%

77% 80%

81% 80%

60%

70%

80%

90%

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Global MEG Operating Rates

Uti

liza

tio

n (

%)

1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000

800 600 400 200

0

Mid

dle

Ea

st

No

rth

Am

eric

a

Wes

t E

uro

pe

Asi

a

(ex

cl.

Ch

ina

)

Ch

ina

Oth

er

La

tin

Am

eric

a

Ru

ssia

& C

asp

ian

C

hin

a M

TO

/CT

O

50,000 0 100,000 150,000

1,400 2,500

IVOL New Greenfield

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

Regional Ethylene Production Cost 2020

Brent: $75/bbl Henry Hub NG: $2.85/MMBTU

>7 yrs Payback

Cracker Investment Cost $

/MT

$

/MT

Eth

yle

ne

Global MEG market tight for at least 2018-2019 due to project delays

China import waste ban creates more demand for MEG

IVL is investing in one of the most competitive regions

Rising crude makes investment even more accretive

Highly attractive investment vs new build and right-sized

West MEG

US MEG spreads

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

IVL Industry

$/M

T

Page 14: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

220 218 205

194

217 234 230

0

50

100

150

200

250

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Asia PET West PET Asia Fibers

Asia PTA West PTA US MEG

Weighted Average Spread

14

IVL Necessity Business On Recovery Path Industry Margins Have Bottomed-Out, IVL at Premium to Industry

Industry Necessities Spreads ($/MT) IVL Necessities Spreads ($/MT)

195 193 176 169

197 217

201

0

50

100

150

200

250

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Note: Both Industry and IVL weighted average spreads based on IVL Necessities production mix, US MEG in 2018&19 include cracker Source: Industry Data, IVL Analysis

Nece-ssities

Page 15: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

15

IVL Steady HVA Business Strong Growth Momentum Continues

Innovation-driven

Limited numbers of players

High barriers to entry

High growth potential

Investing in Hygiene, Safety and Well-being mega trends

Scaling Feedstock, PET and Fibers HVA platforms

Sustaining profitability in IPA with production expansion

HVA Fundamentals

IVL HVA Business Drivers

IVL HVA Spreads ($/MT)

547

687 721 715

815 783 773

0

250

500

750

1,000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

IVL PET HVA IVL Fibers HVA

IVL Feedstock HVA IVL HVA Spread

HVA

Note: Weghted average spread based on IVL HVA production mix

Page 16: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

16

IVL Necessities & HVA Business Enhancing Overall Margins

281

317 312 293

335 343 336

0

100

200

300

400

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Asia PET West PET Asia Fibers

Asia PTA West PTA US MEG

PET HVA Fibers HVA Feedstock HVA

Weighted Average IVL Spread (RHS)

Note: Weghted average spread based on IVL overall production mix, US MEG in 2018 and 2019 includes cracker

Nece-ssities

IVL Necessities & HVA Spreads ($/MT)

HVA

Page 17: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

Creating Value with HVA

Uday Gill, CEO Fibers

Page 18: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

IVL Ecosystem Fueled by Improving Customer Experience Enhanced Customer Experience Leads to Trust and Intimacy

Extra light composites for

automotive

Cuddly soft fibers for diapers

Recycled fibers for sustainability

IVL Select Solutions for Customer Experiences

in Fibers

18

IVL with Polyester at Our

Core

GDP++ Growth

Hygiene

A&I

H&A

F&B

Propylene

IPA

Rayon

PA66

PP/PE

Packaging

Fabrics

Films

Ethylene

IPA

PX/MX

MEG

PTA

EU

Asia

NA ME&A

NDC

Page 19: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

19

Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential HVA Expected to Capture 50% of Incremental Demand by 2021

2 4 10

17 9

14

23

32

1980-1990 1990 – 2000 2000 – 2010 2010 – 2021

Industry Necessities Fibers

Industry HVA Fibers

Global Incremental Fiber Consumption (MMt)

Source: Industry Data, IVL Analysis

Page 20: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

20

Expanding Our HVA Fibers Portfolio Thrust on Auto, Industrial, Hygiene to Scale Up Capacities through M&A and Organic Growth

NAM EMEA Asia

IVL HVA Fiber Capacity by Region (KMT) IVL HVA Fiber Production by Segment (KMT)

0

100

200

300

400

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

19

20

21

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

19

20

21

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

19

20

210

100

200

300

400

500

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

19

20

21

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

19

20

21

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

19

20

21

Automotive Industrial Hygiene

Page 21: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

21

Long Qualification Cycles Create Barriers to Entry HVA Boosts Brand Premium in Necessities Fibers

0 30 60 90 120 150

Tire cord fabric

Hygiene cover stock

Wipes and medical

Automotive interiors

Flame retardant fibers

Fillwell hygiene

Airbag yarn

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Qualification period

3 years

2.5 year

2 years

3 years

2.5 years

2 years

3 years

YoY volume growth (KMT)

Sp

rea

d (

$/M

T)

HVA Fibers – Robust Value Driver for IVL Wide Economic Moats Created for Sustainable Growth

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

2014 2015 2016 2017

Published 1.4D Staple Fibers

IVL 1.4D Staple Fibers IVL Essentials

IVL HVA

IVL Brand Premium IVL Value Add

Premium

Page 22: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

22

HVA Boosts Overall Fiber Profitability Margin Expansion by Cost/Product Innovation

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

IVL Fiber HVA

IVL Fiber Average

IVL Fiber Necessities

1x

2x

>4x $/M

T

0

150

300

450

600

750

900

1,050

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

IVL Fiber HVA conversion cost

IVL Fiber HVA volume (KMT)

3x

2x

KM

T

$/M

T

IVL Fiber HVA spread

HVA Fibers – Robust Value Driver for IVL (Cont’d) Wide Economic Moats Created for Sustainable Growth

Page 23: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

Growing Our Automotive and Tire Business

Arnaud Closson, MD Glanzstoff

Page 24: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

IVL - A Global Leader in Tire Reinforcement Auto & Tire ~$0.9 Billion Business for IVL by 2019, Expanding at ~40% CAGR

24

0

250

500

750

1,000

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

~40% CAGR

IVL Auto & Tire Revenue ($m)

Note: Includes announced projects

Page 25: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

Demographics and Wealth

Greater affluence amongst the middle class

Original Equipment Fitments

Integral part of vehicle Design

Increasingly Stringent Regulation

Regulations demanding higher fuel economy

New Product Developments

New technologies, specialized polymers, unique threads

Global Tire Market With Strong Growth Potential Creates Opportunity for Investment through M&A and Organic Growth

25

Car Parc 2017-2021

(Million vehicles) 1,306

1,475

2017 2021

Tire Production 2017-2021

(Million tires)

1,697

1,913

2017 2021

Source: Industry Data, IVL Analysis

+170 mn cars

Tire Yarn Demand - 2021 (KMT)

16%

84%

IVL Share 2017

930 KMT

+220 mn

tires

Growth Drivers

Page 26: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

Focus on Premium Segments

IVL - Well Positioned Within Tire Industry Leading Supplier to World-Class Customers

26 Source: Industry Data, IVL Analysis

Global Customer-Centric Presence

Global Market Leader

Total Solution Provider

PEN Single-

end-cord/ Hybrid

Rayon

PA 66/ PET Advanced

PET Standard

IVL Focus

China PET Tire Cord

Global Rayon Tire Cord

Global Single-end-cord/Hybrid

#2

#2

#1 Lovosice, CZ

Steinfort, LU

Pizzighettone, IT

Obernburg, DE

Queretaro, MX

Longlaville, FR

Qingdao, CN

Guangdong, CN

Sidewall

Thread

Cap Ply

Belts

Carcass

Inner Liner Bead

Apex

Aramid

PET Advanced PET

Rayon PEN

N66 Aramid hybrid

PEN

Winnsboro,US

Page 27: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

27

Strong R&D Capability and Synergy Cutting-Edge Technology and Production Know-How

Leading technology example – Single-end-cord for Run-flat and High

Performance tires Electrification

Lightweight materials

Connected vehicles

Shifts in mobility preferences

Autonomous vehicles

New tire design requirements offer an opportunity to partner

with world-class customers and deliver

best-in-class innovative solutions

Page 28: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

28

Electric Vehicle Opportunities for Tires, Body and Interior Solutions

comfortable environment

safety features embedded

futuristic features

noise reduction

lightweight

new design opportunities

less complex engine

Taller Tires Fuel Economy

Noise Control

Autonomous Driving

Electric Vehicle

Implications

Implications on reinforcement

materials

IVL Solution Platform

Passive safety features will prevail

Additional active safety features

New textile developments Composites Insulation

Page 29: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

29

Solid Platform for Future Growth and Expansion Integrating the Best

A global market leader in tire reinforcement with focus on premium segments

Partnering with world-class customers and delivering best-in-class solutions for their needs

Well positioned, innovation-driven, high growth business for IVL

Robust and long-term value driver for IVL

Page 30: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

Clear Direction Towards 2021

Aloke Lohia, Vice-Chairman and Group CEO

Page 31: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

Our Debut on DJSI Reflects Our Strong Delivery IVL Ranks as #5 of all 2017 DJSI Listed Chemical Companies

2014

2015

2016

20%

69%

84%

95% IVL DJSI Score

2017

31 Source: RobecoSAM, IVL

Page 32: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

Delivering On Our Financial Plan Doubled Our EBITDA in Last 4 Years

32

478

568 640

775

1,004

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

x2 EBITDA Increase

Core EBITDA ($M)

Page 33: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

0.35

0.76

1.06

1.79

2.91

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Creating Superior Shareholder Returns Strong EPS Growth in Trough Business Environment

33

Core EPS After PERP (THB/Share)

70% EPS

CAGR

Page 34: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

34

Countries 12 15 25

R&D Centers

2 6 11

Patents Not material 250 564

DJSI Score - - 95% (#51)

Employees ~6,000 9,173 15,039

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2010 2013 2017 2019F

NA PET

NA Olefins

NA Fibers

NA Aromatics

EMEA PET

EMEA Fibers

EMEA Aromatics

Asia PET

Asia Fibers

Asia Aromatics

34 sites

24 sites

17 sites

20 sites

15 sites

10 sites

15 sites

4sites

4 sites

IVL

Ca

pa

city

(M

Mt)

3.7

6.8

11.3

1. Of all 2017 DJSI listed chemical companies Note: Capacity data including JVs in ratio of JVs %

Constantly Upgrading Our Value Proposition Strategy and Execution Delivered True Value Over Time

13.2

34 sites

25 sites

17 sites

Page 35: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

35

Our Roadmap for Organic Growth Expected EBITDA Growth with Approved Projects

247 296

195 208

197

501

2015 2017 Volume Margins, Costs andMix

Approved Projects 2019F

Feedstock

Fibers

PET

2015 to 2019 EBITDA ($M)

EBITDA ($/MT) 91 110 Increased

Net Op Debt/Equity 0.81x 0.54x <0.2x

ROCE (%) 10% 12% >15%

1,004

Note: 2019F over 2017 as per management best estimates and may change materially if there are changes in underlying assumptions due to external or internal reasons

640 ~45% EBITDA Increase

Existing Business

Page 36: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

36

IVL Consolidated

By Segment By Region

Increase in Production (%) ~25% ~25% ~20% ~30% ~10% ~40% ~35%

Increase in EBITDA (%) ~35% ~30% ~50% ~35% ~35% ~20% ~70

Growth Capex (2018 and 2019) $1.5b ~30% ~20% ~50% ~50% ~30% ~20%

Maintenance Capex (2018 and 2019) $0.3b ~20% ~20% ~60% ~40% ~30% ~30%

Total Capex (2018 and 2019) $1.8b

Simple Payback of Approved Projects ~4.5 yrs

Impact with Existing Business and Approved Projects Expected Increase in EBITDA of ~35% in 2019 over 2H17 Annualized

PET Fibers Feedstock NAM EMEA Asia

2H17 Annualized to 2019 EBITDA

Note: 2019F over 2H17 annualized as per management best estimates and may change materially if there are changes in underlying assumptions due to external or internal reasons, Out of $1.8B capex $764M is spent by 2017, Production excludes JV production

Page 37: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

Key Takeaways

37

On Path to Becoming a World-Class Chemical Company Making Great Products for Society

Delivering ~70% Annual EPS Growth in Trough 2013-2017 Business Environment

2H17 Marks a Positive Structural Shift for the industry and Business

~45% Expected EBITDA Growth in 2019 over 2017 with Existing Business and Approved Projects

$7b Investment Headroom by 2021 after $1.8b Committed Capex by 2019

Page 38: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

Disclaimer

38

This presentation contains “forward-looking” statements of Indorama Ventures Public Company Limited (the “Company”)1 that relate to future events, which are, by their nature, subject to significant risks and uncertainties. All statements, other than statements of historical fact contained herein, including, without limitation, those regarding the future financial position and results of operations, strategy, plans, objectives, goals and targets, future developments in the markets where the Company participates or is seeking to participate and any statements preceded by, followed by or that include the words “target”, “believe”, “expect”, “aim”, “intend”, “will”, “may”, “anticipate”, “would”, “plan”, “could”, “should, “predict”, “project”, “estimate”, “foresee”, “forecast”, “seek” or similar words or expressions are forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors beyond the Company’s control that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from the future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company’s present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future and are not a guarantee of future performance. Such forward-looking statements speak only as at the date of this presentation, and the Company does not undertake any duty or obligation to supplement, amend, update or revise any such statements. The Company does not make any representation, warranty or prediction that the results anticipated by such forward-looking statements will be achieved. 1Where the context requires, it means the Company, its subsidiaries, joint ventures and associated companies as a group or as members of such group.

Page 39: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

2.91

3.98

Core EPS Inventory gain aftertax adjusted

Gain on bargainpurchase &

Impairments

Acquisition cost &Pre-oprative exp

DTL reversal &Others

Reported EPS

EPS 2017 (THB/share)

39

Reconciliation of Core earnings

Extraordinary income 0.84 THB

Page 40: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

40

Net Debt Bridge 2017

2,722 2,722

Net debt as of2016

Core EBITDA Net workingcapital and

others

Growth &Investment

Capex

Net workingcapital on

acquired/soldAsset

MaintenanceCapex

Financial cost Income tax Dividend andPerp interest

Proceed fromissue of

ordinary sharesdue to warrants

exercised

Effect of foreignexchange

changes andothers

Net debt as of2017

Net Debt Bridge 2017 ($M)

Operating CF before tax $918M

Page 41: On Path to Long-Term Valueivl.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20180222-presentation.pdfPX/MX MEG PTA Asia NA ME&A NDC. 19 Global HVA Fibers Market with Strong Growth Potential

Continue Shaping Our Industry Leadership Leading The Market With Quality, Innovation, Reliability

41 Note: Financials Excluding JVs

11 R&D Centers

564 Patents

$8.4 billion Revenue

15,039 Employees

A global presence in

25 countries

75 operating sites

in Asia in EMEA in North America

34 24 17

34%

HVA sales

IVL At A Glance - 2017


Recommended