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Submit Predictions

Date post: 22-Feb-2016
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Goal. Predict whom survived the Titanic Disaster. Hypotheses. Get Data. Data Management. Statistics & Analysis. Submit Predictions. Goal: Achieve High Prediction Score. Correctly Predict Passenger’s Fate . Score = . Number of Passengers in Test Dataset. +. Goal. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Page 1: Submit Predictions
Page 2: Submit Predictions

Submit Predictions

Statistics &Analysis

Data Management

Hypotheses

Goal

Get Data

Predict whom survived the Titanic Disaster

Page 3: Submit Predictions

+

Goal: Achieve High Prediction Score

Score = Number of Passengers in Test Dataset Correctly Predict Passenger’s Fate

Page 4: Submit Predictions

Submit Predictions

Statistics &Analysis

Data Management

Hypotheses

Goal

Get Data

Predict whom survived the Titanic Disaster

Woman and Children First

Page 5: Submit Predictions

Training and Test Data

Training Data

N=89139% Survived

Test Data

N=418All Titanic

PassengersN= 2,223

All Employees Subset of Current Employees

Subset of Current Employees

All Customers Subset of Customers

Subset of Customers

Develop Model

Page 6: Submit Predictions

Variable Description Type Datapclass Passenger Class Categorical,

Ordinal1 = 1st; 2 = 2nd; 3 = 3rd

Pclass is a proxy for socio-economic status 1st ~ Upper; 2nd ~ Middle; 3rd ~ Lower

name Name TextSex Sex Categoricalage Age Numericsibsp Number of Siblings/Spouses Aboard Integer

parch Number of Parents/Children Aboard Integer

ticket Ticket Number Textfare Passenger Fare Numericcabin Cabin Textembarked Port of Embarkation Categorical C = Cherbourg; Q = Queenstown; S =

Southampton

Predictor Variables

Page 7: Submit Predictions

Submit Predictions

Statistics &Analysis

DataManagement

Hypotheses

Goal

Get Data

Predict whom survived the Titanic Disaster

Woman and Children First

Read dataset into Excel, R, etc

Page 8: Submit Predictions

Datasets: Training and Test

Develop Model Using Training Dataset and Apply to Test Data

Page 9: Submit Predictions

Submit Predictions

Statistics &Analysis

Data Management

Hypotheses

Goal

Get Data

Predict whom survived the Titanic Disaster

Woman and Children First

Read dataset into Excel, R, etc

Some Age Missing Data, Analyze Gender Only

Page 10: Submit Predictions

Gender Model

Training Data

Test Data

Develop Model

Page 11: Submit Predictions

Submit Model

Page 12: Submit Predictions

Leaderboard

320418

Page 13: Submit Predictions

Submit Predictions

Statistics &Analysis

Data Management

Hypotheses

Goal

Get Data

Predict whom survived the Titanic Disaster

Woman and Children First

Read dataset into Excel, R, etc

Some Age Missing Data, Analyze Gender Only

74% Women, 19% Men

320 / 418 = 76.5%


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