·
2 0 0 9 ·
·
.
.
,
.
.
.
.
.
:
:
:
, ,
: (156-720) 45
: (02) 6712-0235 : (02) 849-0668
E-mail : ni_
[email protected]
:
/ 86
"· "
/ 19
/ 30
/ 43
/ 53
/ 60
1 2009 . 9.
C . o . l . u . m . n
| |
, ,
.
,
, ,
.
1978 , ,
, , , ,
.
2008
,
C . o . l . u . m . n
2 Meteorological Technology & Policy
·
|
|
[email protected]
1.
EU
< >
* , * : **
20092010
1 . 2010 2toe
(NA) .
< 11 >
, ,
. , 7
. (17km/L ) (140g/km)
( )
() 2009 , 2011
. 2009
2012 (
) . 1m2
(2020) (2050)
* 1) Lieberman-Warner Bill (’07.12 Environment and Public Works
Committee ) 2) Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative
.
[email protected]
: World Bank, The Growth Report : IPCC, Climate Change 2007
- 2 -
1.8mm 1978 10 2.7%
. 2)
. , ,
.
20
(Global Warming)
.
. IPCC
‘Climate Change 2007’
20 .
19702004 70% 2005
455ppm .
(CO2) 18 280ppm 2005 379ppm
10(19952005 1.9ppm/)
45(19602005 1.4ppm/)
CO2 .
1
1
: World Bank, The Growth Report : IPCC, Climate Change 2007
1990 BRICs(
, , , ) .
2) (6 ) 100(1906~2005) 2 1.5
() 40 3 5.5mm .
2)
1)
2030 2050 2030 2050 2030 2050
: 1) GDP 2) 2020 3) 2008 4) 450ppm
: OECD Environmental Outlook to 2030 (2008)
(ppm)
: 1) Environmental Outlook to 2030 (2008) 2) World Economic Outlook
(2008) 3) IPCC 4th Assessment Report (2007) 4) 2040
: IEA, World Energy Outlook (2008)
3)
()
: 1) 1 2) 1995~2007
: IEA, Energy Balance of OECD Countries 2009
(GDP) ( /GDP)
(GDP) ( /GDP)
.
.
.
.14)
.
.
. 15)
.
14) Nick Johnstone, Ivan Hascic & David Popp(2008)
() ()
R&D .
15) .
(10, %)
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
() 35 ( - ) 60 (71.4) 93 (55.0) 148 (59.1) 155 (4.7)
: REN21, Global Trends in Sustainable Energy Investment 2009
[email protected]
1.
< >
1.
- 9 -
a
.
b
c , e .
A c B c
d . (Ricardian approach)
. ,
.
.
.
.
.
, ,
, , , , 27 .
1988~
2007 , 79
e
[email protected]
: (1) , . “2050 GDP ” 2005 2050 GDP % . “2005-2050 GDP ” 550ppm
2005-2050 GDP ( ) GDP (%) .
(2) , --, , .
: OECD ENV-Linkages , OECD, “Climate Change Mitigation: what do we
do?,“, Climate Policy, pp. 26-31, 2008
: Munich Re(2006) NatCatSERVICE, Geo Risks Research
; Swiss Re, “Natural Catastrophe and Man-Made Disasters in 2008, “
Sigma, NO2/2009
$ 1987- 1989
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
2003
: IMF Working Paper(2003), OECD(2005)
: Swiss Re, “Natural Catastrophe and Man-Made Disasters in 2008, “
Sigma, NO2/2009
()
: (2007), 2007
; (), Climate Change and Insurance,“Climate Policy(2006), vol(6) :
596-684.
[email protected]
: , , 1972~2002
1
2
3
4
* 2006 1 : World Bank, World Development Indicator, 2007
I.
[email protected]
1. ?
1.
1)
1)
[email protected]
: Schwartz and Randall
: , , 2005
- 6 -
: , , 2005
,
.
,
.
, .
,
. ,
, , ,
,
.
. 1970
40% .
90% , 30
.
(MtCO2/)
: 2009. 8. 1 : UNEP Risoe Centre, CDM pipeline
.
[email protected]
.....
.....
.....
.....
.....
.....
[email protected]
.....
.....
.....
1 2 3
1.
(Restoration Cost)
.....
.....
(RP, Revealed
(underestimation)
(exact estimation)
(efficiency)
.....
(, )
( )
.
CVM
.
.....
- 10 -
, , ,
, , ,
[ 3] 3
, ,
.
, .
,
.
, , , , ,
, .
.
.
,
.
,
,
.
.
.....
[email protected]
I.
99 2009 . 9.
100 Meteorological Technology & Policy
101 2009 . 9.
2002-2007
, 1 1( ), 2008 3
, 1 2( 2), 2008 6
, 1 3( 3), 2008 9
^ 3-11
12-18
19-38
39-45
46-57
58-61
^ A New Generation of Heat Health Warning Systems for Seoul
and
Other Major Korean Cities
L.S. Kalkstein, S.C. Sheridan,
^
^
^
5-13
14-22
23-33
34-45
46-54
55-64
65-70
^ A brief introduction to the European Cooperation in the field
of
Scientific and Technical Research (COST)
^
93-103
104-107
^ · 1-5
^
^
^
^
^
,
,
^
^
,
, 2 2( 6), 2009 6
^(GEOSS) 1-5
^GEO
^ GEOSS
- - - - - - - - -
,
42-44 45-47 48-50 51-53 54-56 57-58 59-62 63-67 68-71
^ Taking GEOSS to the nest level José Achache 72-75
^GEOSS (GCI)
^ GEO
76-83
84-95
^ 1-3
^
^
^ :
^
^
^
^
· , 2 3( 7), 2009 9
^ 1-3
^
^
4-18
19-29
30-42
43-52
53-59
60-69
^
79-85
86-96
^ 97-103
