CCSR Lightning Seminars

transcript

7th February 2006

What we’re doing, want to do, or have done www.ccsr.ac.uk

Ludi Simpson

ludi@man.ac.uk

Guardian Front Page and late night on Key 103:

Getting a message to the press

www.ccsr.ac.uk

Would you believe this man?

More racial mixing message, November 2005

Radio national and international:BBC Asian Radio NetworkFive LiveBBC Radio WalesBBC Black 1-ExtraRT1 Dublin Pat Kelly phone inRadio Shropshire Jim Hawkins

phone-in

Radio regionalStar FM SloughImagine FM StockportBBC LeedsBBC West MidlandsBBC GMR Greater ManchesterSignal Radio StokeKey103 James H Reeve phone-

inPulse Radio West YorkshireGWR FM BristolRadio OldhamRadio CoventryRadio Leicester African-

Caribbean magazine and News

BBC London Geoff Schumann phone-in

Newspapers regionalLeicester MercuryBradford Telegraph and ArgusYorkshire PostSouth London Press, Robert DexHalifax Evening CourierLondon Evening StandardAldershot News and MailShields GazetteManchester Metro NewsIlford Recorder

Other mediaRadio 4 program on LozellsRegeneration and Renewal

MagazineBURISA urban and regional

information systems magazineGeoTV Aamir Ghauri Panel and

Phone-inCommunity NewswireSocialist ReviewYahoo NewsKuwait News agency Karamundi Online (web)Outlook India (web)Press Trust of IndiaSouth Asian Meida Network

Newspapers national and international:

Guardian, Vikram DoddsDaily Mail, Steve DoughertySocialist Worker, Kevin

OvendenDaily TelegraphPress AssociationFinancial Times, James

WilsonNew NationDie Welt, GermanyNew York TimesInternational Herald TribuneDaily Times, Lahore PakistanIl Sole, ItalyExpress India Dawn, Pakistan

Was it worth it?

Was it worth it?London Evening Standard

Leicester Mercury

Preparing for the press is like a job interview

• Don’t do it unless you have a clear message that you want to publicise

• Short press release– ½ page with one message– Further information on request– University media relations office (Jon

Keighren)– Language that cannot be mistaken

Vanessa Higgins

Vanessa.higgins@man.ac.uk

ESDS Government: Update on Resources

www.esds.ac.uk/government/

Duncan Smith

Duncan.Smith@manchester.ac.uk

Managing the safe release of tabular data to multiple, non-collaborating

www.ccsr.ac.uk

Release of marginal cross-tabulations from some base cross-tabulation over many variables

Recovery of small (particularly zero) counts in the base table represents a disclosure risk

Restricting total release to a user so that low counts cannot be recovered

Assumption:

Users (which might be individuals / organisations) will not collaborate (share data)

Without this assumption all released data would have to be considered ‘released to the world’; the data released to one user could limit the data available to other users

Risk assessment is easy for total releases that form decomposable graphical models

Any subset of a safe release is also safe (in terms of ‘bounds’-based risk criteria)

Identify partial releases that will restrict further releases to a user

Allow the user to query the system and maximise their utility function (rather than some utility function assumed for the world)

Paul Norman

Paul.Norman@manchester.ac.uk

UK demographic change

www.ccsr.ac.uk

Townsend deprivation 1991 & 2001

Micro-geography of UK demographic change 1991-01ESRC: Understanding Population Trends & Processes

Revisit & extend: harmonisation, EwC census adjustments

Similarly deprived?

Ageing in situ? Natural change cf net migration?

Gaining or losing population?

Longitudinal inter-relationships: ONS LS 1971-2001

Social mobility

Deprivation mobility

Geographical mobility

1. Health outcomes for individuals2. Aggregate effects of individual (im-)mobility

Abdelouahid Tajar

Abdelouahid.Tajar@manchester.ac.uk

The innovation behaviour of firms

www.ccsr.ac.uk

Selected examples of Innovation

Product innovationGoodso Fibre optic based display lighting rangeo Multi-function printer/ScannerServiceso IT based Credit Risk assessment services

o Geographical Information System software.

Examples which are not technological innovation: New models of complex products, such as cars or television sets, are not product innovation.

Data and Methods

Survey dataset, which contains information about levels and characteristics of the innovation activity of UK enterprises during the three year period 1998-2000

We have a sample of 4145 firms, they are manufacturing and services firms.

First approach: Cumulative logit models( Ordinal logistic regression)

Dependent variables: “Link with Consultants”, “Co-operations with Private Research Organizations” …

Data and Methods (continued)

Some Independent variables:

Absorptive capacity: which will enable the firm to learn from these sources (graduates employees (Scientists and engineers))

Size of firms Group membership Markets: Firms competing in international markets

arguably face greater competition and therefore have a greater need for specialist knowledge.

o other independent variables …..

Jo Wathan

Jo.Wathan@manchester.ac.uk

Where we’re at with the SARs

www.ccsr.ac.uk/sars

Three types of SARs• Microdata available under a standard

end user license– CRS one-stop sign up, disseminated by CCSR– Individual licensed file– Small area microdata file SAM (this week?)

• Microdata distributed under a special license– Paper sign up, disseminated by UKDA, supported by

CCSR– Household special license file

• Microdata held in a secure setting at ONS– Application to ONS, results released after being

checked for disclosure risk– Individual Controlled Access Microdata (CAM) – Household CAM

Different purposes• For teaching

– End user license files only• For research

– Any, but start with the licensed files – you’ll only be able to use the CAMs if you’ve exhausted other possibilities

• For LA Geography– The Small Area Microdata– The CAMS offer more detail, in particular LA

geography on files other than the SAM• Sharing with overseas users

– The only file we can currently send abroad is the Individual Licensed file

What we’re up to now• Finishing touches to

– The SAM– The CAMS

• Sorting out outstanding missing / problematic variables– Fndepch– Missing genind

• Outreach focussing on:– SAM– Household data

• Derived variables and documentation • CCSR has won funding to continue

supporting the SARs for the next 5 years

Wendy Olsen

Wendy.Olsen@man.ac.uk

The World Values Survey in India

www.ccsr.ac.uk

The World Values Survey

Globally: 80 societies, 4 waves or rounds.

India: 1995 only (so far), 2002 respondents

1 = strongly agree

2 = agree

3 = disagree

4 = strongly disagree

…being a housewife is fulfilling…0

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4

Married Living Together

Div, Sep, Widowed Single

being a housewife fulfillingGraphs by married

Jerry Johnson

Jerry.Johnson@manchester.ac.uk

Citizenship

www.ccsr.ac.uk

Aims and Methods• To measure:

– Political knowledge, interest and socialisation

• To assess:

– Young adults’ experience of ‘citizenship’ education

• Questionnaire

– 21 questions

– Includes two ‘open’ questions on citizenship

– Administered to around 60 sixth-formers, and 70 undergraduates (N=130)

– Small sample so results merely indicative

– Informs future research

• Focus Groups

– 5 groups of sixth-formers

– Not chosen for political interest, but intend to go on to HE

• Initial results from the questionnaire

B S.E. Sig.

AGE -0.105 0.130 0.420

CITIZUSE 0.935 0.431 0.030

CLASS 0.867

CLASS(Working) 0.809 1.695 0.633

CLASS(Middle) 0.319 1.124 0.777

EDUYEARS 0.850 0.280 0.002

ETHNIC 0.056 0.145 0.696

POLENGIN -1.302 0.575 0.024

POLENGLO 0.310 0.698 0.657

POLENGNA 0.568 0.820 0.489

POLINTER 0.392 0.412 0.341

POLKNOW 0.326 0.508 0.521

POLSOCFA 2.506 1.025 0.014

POLSOCFR -1.067 0.972 0.272

RELIGIOU -0.118 0.219 0.590

SEX -2.521 1.355 0.063

Constant -11.017 5.160 0.033

N=130; -2LL 37.634; R2CS 0.425; R2

N 0.681

Open question responses• Improving political engagement

– Better understanding

– Being heard

– Reduce the voting age

– Make politics more interesting

– Make politics relevant to me

– Younger politicians

– Ethnic minority representation

– Simpler language

– Advertising

• Improving citizenship education

– Information

– Active participation

– Discuss issues relevant to me (not fox-hunting and euthanasia)

– Make it interesting and understandable

– Make it available

David Voas

David.Voas@man.ac.uk

The holy and the unholy:Neighbourhood variability in religion

www.ccsr.ac.uk

English wards (2001) No religion (%), men 25-49

(base excludes minority religious groups)

Mark Brown

Mark.Brown@manchester.ac.uk

Sex and Susceptibility inSub-Saharan Africa

www.ccsr.ac.uk

Unmet Need for Family Planning

Want a child now ?

Using family planning?

Are you fecund and in a sexual union?

Want a child now ?

UNMET NEED

Want a child now ?

UNMET NEED

Sub-Saharan Africa:

Ghana = 34%

Rwanda = 39%

Measuring natural susceptibility: a question of degree?

SUSCEPTIBLE NOT SUSCEPTIBLE

Unmet need algorithm assumes absolute states

Measuring natural susceptibility: a question of degree?

VERY SUSCEPTIBLE

NOT SUSCEPTIBLE

But susceptibility is variable…. – frequency of sex - assumed constant – but isn’t

But surely susceptibility is variable…. – frequency of sex– assumed constant – but it isn’t

When last had sex By country

burkina ghana kenya rwanda zimbabwe zambia

within 2 weeks within last month within 6 months within 1 year over a year

% who had sex in last month By unmet need status

burkina ghana kenya rwanda zimbabwe zambia

contraception unmet need w ant birth soon

That’s all folks!

Slides are online atwww.ccsr.ac.uk/seminars

CCSR Lightning Seminars

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