Back MatterSource: The Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 26, No. 4 (Dec., 1982)Published by: Sage Publications, Inc.Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/173795 .

Accessed: 08/05/2014 19:29

Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at .http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp

.JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range ofcontent in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new formsof scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org.

.

Sage Publications, Inc. is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to The Journal ofConflict Resolution.

http://www.jstor.org

This content downloaded from 169.229.32.137 on Thu, 8 May 2014 19:29:47 PMAll use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions

"TheArt and Science ofNegotiation is one of the most important books

ever published on the subject. I learned more about

negotiation from reading this book than I have from reading

everything else on the topic." - Lawrence Susskind,

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

An essential tool for serious negotiators looking to improve their performance, Raiffa's book blends shrewd analysis with a touch of art. An expert look at the subject.

Drawn from experiences over 25 years as a professor at Harvard Business School and Kennedy School of Government, and as founder and first director of the International Institute of Applied Systems Analy- sis, this sophisticated new book surpasses other negotiation books, stressing analysis as well as psychology Achieve ethical results.

Emphasizing the need for joint problem solving to achieve results benefiting all parties, Raiffa offers a rational, creative approach to settling disputes.

"Howard Raiffa's clear exposition, keen analysis, and wealth of illus- tration go far toward providing a feeling for the art and an understand- ing of the science of negotiation. His insights into the ethical dilemmas confronted by the responsible negotiator are especially valuable."

-Elliot L. Richardson

The Art and Science of Negotiation

How to resolve conflicts and get the best out of bargaining.

Howard Raiffa 448 pages $18.50

The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press

Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138

This content downloaded from 169.229.32.137 on Thu, 8 May 2014 19:29:47 PMAll use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions

$4.50 each

Quantitative Applications

in the Social

Sciences A Sage University

Papers Series

SPECIAL OFFER (on prepaid orders only)

order 6 or more for $4.00 each

OR Order all 29 for $1 04.40

and save $26.10

brief, clearly

articulated explanations of advanced methodological concepts good for classroom, Professional and library use ...

h SAGE PUBLICATIONS1 Beverly Hills London

ORDER CARD

Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences A SAGE UNIVERSITY PAPER SERIES

NAME ___ ___

ADD R ESS._

CITY ._ STATE ZIP ___

C: I want to take advantage of your Prepaid Special Offer. 0 Please send me all 29 papers at the prepaid price of $104.40 C Please send me the Sage Papers chu-cked below (6 or more)

at the prepaid discount price of $4.00 each.

My check or money order is enclosed.

This Special Offer available in the United States and Canada only.

C Please send me the Sage Papers checked below at the regular price of $4.50 each.

o1 1. Analysis of Variance Iversen/Norpoth I 2. Operations Research Methods Nagel/Neef r m 3 Causal Modeling Asher

7 4. Tests of Significance Henkel 7 5. Cohort Analysis Glenn E1 6. Canonical Analysis & Factor Comparison Levine

r-1 7. Analysis of Nominal Data Reynolds E 8. Analysis of Ordinal Data Hildebrand/Laing/Rosenthal

9. Time Series Analysis: Regression Techniques Ostrorn [I (). Ecological Inference Langbein/Lichtman

01 1I. Multidimensional Scaling Kruskal/Wish E 1 2. Analysis of Convariance Wildt/Ahto/a E l 3. I.iroduction To Factor Analysis Kimn/Mueller E 1 4. Factor Analysis Kim/Mueller E 15. Multiple Indicators: An Introduction Sullivan/Feldman E 1 6. Exploratory Data Analysis Hart wig/Dearing 0 1 7. Reliability & Validity Assessment Carmines/Zeller E 1 8. Analyzing Panel Data Markils

I 9. Discriminant Analysis Klecka 0 20. Log-Linear Models Knoke/Burke 72 1. Interrupted Time Series Analysis McDowall

McCleary/Meidinger/Hay 0 22. Applied Regression: An Introduction Lewis-Beck 0 2 3. Research Designs Spector 0 24. Unidimensional Scaling Mc/ver/Carmines 2 25. Magnitude Scaling: Quantitative Measurement of

Opinions Lodge E 26. Multiattribute Evaluation Edwards/Newman

l 27. Dynamic Modeling Huckfeldt/Kohfeld/Likens C . 8. Network Analysis Knoke/Kuklinski 7 '9. Interpreting and Using Regression Achen

*Orders Under $20 MUST be prepaid. California residents add 6% sales tax. All prices subject to change without notice.

DSAGE Publications, Inc.

($)P.O. Box 5024

q1 Beverly Hills, California 90210-0024

This content downloaded from 169.229.32.137 on Thu, 8 May 2014 19:29:47 PMAll use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions

I D v'**

L L m C

im ii r I m u

m~~~~m ~ CO~ -- Co-)

o 0>

m C m m 1

-x CaD-

? I C/) Co

cn~I c 0~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

>~ ~ i

This content downloaded from 169.229.32.137 on Thu, 8 May 2014 19:29:47 PMAll use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions

RESORT TO ARMS G International and Civil Wars, 1816-1980

by MELVIN SMALL, Department of History, Wayne State University, and J. DAVID SING E R, Department of Political Science, University of Michigan

Until the incidence and contexts of war have been systematically des- cribed, our attempts to understand-and perhaps even eliminate-major conflicts are unlikely to succeed. In 1972, Singer and Small's classic Wages of War introduced thousands of students and researchers to the scientific study of war and peace. The present revised, updated, and expanded vol- ume extends the first edition's unique data set on the frequency, magrni- tude, and severity of international war for 15 years (up to 1980). An en- tirely new section rigorously identifies and describes all those (over 100) civil wars since the Congress of Vienna.

Researchers and students will treasure Resort to Arms for the wealth of ac- cessible information on the dates, protagonists, and costs of international and civil war since 1815. Scholars in international relations, conflict resol- ution, and history will build upon the authors' data and analysis for decades to come.

CONTENTS: I. International War Il 1. Introduction /2. Identifying Inter- national Wars: The Inclusion and Exclusion Problem /3. Quantifying Inter- national War: Three Sets of Indicators / 4. The Qualifying Wars and Their Quantitative Attributes / 5. Ranking the Wars by Severity, Magnitude, and Intensity / 6. Annual Amounts of War Begun and Under Way / 7. Secular Trends in the Incidence of War / 8. Cycles and Periodicity in the Incidence of War / 9. Seasonal Distributions in the Incidence of War / 1 0. The War- Proneness of the Nations / 11. Victory, Defeat, and Battle Deaths II 11. Civil War l/ 12. Identifying Civil Wars: The Inclusion and Exclusion Problem / 13. The Qualifying Wars and Their Quantitative Attributes / 14. Ranking the Wars by Severity, Magnitude, and Intensity / 15. Annual Amounts of War Begun and Under Way / 16. Secular Trends, Cycles, and Seasonality in the Incidence of War / 17. The Civil War-Proneness of the Nations and Regions /I Conclusion /I Appendix A. Wars that Are Includ- ed: Explanatory Notes and References / Appendix B. International and Civil Wars Excluded / Correlates of War Project Bibliography

1982 / 376 pages / $30.00 (h) / $14.95 (p)

SAGE Publications, INC. SAGE Publications, LTD. 275 South Beverly Drive 28 Banner Street

Beverly Hills, California 90212 London EC1 Y 8QE, England

This content downloaded from 169.229.32.137 on Thu, 8 May 2014 19:29:47 PMAll use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions

.

announclng

MANAGING INTERNATIONAL CRISES edited by DAN I E L F R E l, Institu te for Political Research,

University of Zurich

In the absence of "rules" or standardized signals to communicate the inten- tions of opposing nations, the outcomes of contemporary threats-and use -of force can be ominously unclear. Managing International Crises repre- sents twenty years of research by world-renowned scholars from Western nations, the Third World, and the U.S.S.R., who seek to further under- standing of international crisis behavior. They clarify crisis communica- tions, management, and decision-making-and provide guidelines for handling future international crises. Written for both practitioners and scholars, this volume will be an essential sourcebook for researchers and students in conflict resolution, communications, social psychology, foreign policy, and international relations.

CONTENTS: 1. Crisis Decision-Making: The Information Approach KARL W. DEUTSCH / 2, Managing International Conflicts: Evidence from Field and Laboratory Experiments JEAN A. LAPONCE / 3. Patterns of Crisis Thinking: An Analysis of the Governing Circles of Germany, 1866-1914 VADIM B. LUKOV and VICTOR M. SERGEEV /4. Communications and Crisis: A Preliminary Mapping JOHN MEISEL / 5. Improbable Events and Expectable Behavior RICHARD L. MERRITT / 6. The Middle East Crisis: Theoretical Propositions and Examples ALI E. HILLAL DESSOUKI / 7. Escalation: Assessing the Risk of Unintentional Nuclear War DANIEL FREI / 8. Collective Security-Seeking Practices Since 1945 HAYWARD R. ALKER, Jr. and FRANK L. SHERMAN / 9. The UN System: Structural Transformation and Crisis KINHIDE MUSHAKOJI / 10. Non-Aligned Countries in Conflict RADOVAN VUKADINOVIC / 11. Systemic Crisis: Lessons of Regional Detente KARI MOTTOLA / 12. Practical Suggestions for Crisis Management: An Inventory KING-YUH CHANG / 13. Views from Diplomatic Practice ROBERTO de 0. CAMPOS and NIELS HANSEN

Advances in Political Science: An International Series, Volume 2

1982 (Oct.) / 240 pages / $22.50 (hW

SAGE Publications, INC. SAGE Publications, LTD. 275 South Beverly Drive 28 Banner Street

Beverly Hills, California 90212 London EC1Y 8QE, England

This content downloaded from 169.229.32.137 on Thu, 8 May 2014 19:29:47 PMAll use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions