Mainstreet - Manitoba June 2016

7/26/2019 Mainstreet - Manitoba June 2016

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Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 1,227 Manitoba Residents by Smart IVR on June 9, 2016. A mixture of landlines and cellhones were surveyed. Margin of error: +/- 2.81%, 19 times out of 20. Resul ts were weighed by age and gende r based on the011 Canadian Census.

EMBARGOED UNTIL: 5 AM - JUNE 16, 2016PRINT EXCLUSIVE: POSTMEDIA NETWORK

MANITOBA IN JUNE


2/21

HONEYMOON FOR PALLISTER

une 16, (Ottawa, ON) A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll conducted for the Winnipeg Sun ndsoneymoon polling numbers for Brian Pallister and the PCs. The Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin ofrror of +/- 2.81%, 19 times out of 20.

f an election were held today Pallisers Tories would receive 58% of the vote compared to 28% for the NDPmong decided and leaning voters. Asked about Pallisters job performance as Premier 54% approve of hiserformance so far. 33% disapprove and a further 13% are not sure.

These numbers are what you would expect with a new government, but even so, these are impressiveumbers for the PCs, said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. While there isnt an electionaking place tomorrow well be continuing to track public support for the government and its initiatives,

e added.

Manitobans were asked if the province should delay reducing the PST until the budget is balanced. The pollnds 32% support a delay while 45% say no delay is necessary. Meanwhile another 51% of Manitobans sayny major future tax hikes should be put to a vote.

The nancial pressures the government is facing means future budgets will have to be very creative inalancing scal and political pressures, continued Maggi. While many Manitobans would like to see the

PST decreased immediately the government may not be able to afford it particularly because the decit thePCs have inherited is much larger than previously estimated. That being said, Premier Pallister has four

ears in front of him and will be judged based on what he delivers before the next election. Its noturprising there hasnt been much talk from this government about the PST because they may have realizedts a promise they cant afford to keep, he nished.

About Mainstreet ResearchMainstreet is a national public research rm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of

overnment, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of publicpinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British

Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling rmn several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the onlyolling rm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.

-30-

Available for Interview from Ottawa: Quito Maggi, [email protected] more information: David Valentin, (514) 913-5524 - [email protected]

"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protectedby copyright. The information and/or data may onlybe rebroadcast or republished with full and propercredit and attribution to Mainstreet/Postmedia.


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UndecidedNDP PC Liberal Green

If a provincial election were held today whichparty would you support?

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

7-Jan 27-Jan 11-Feb 20-Feb 12-Mar 19-Mar 29-Mar 5-Apr 14-Apr 9-Jun


4/21


7-Jan

27-Jan

11-Feb

20-Feb

12-Mar

19-Mar

29-Mar

5-Apr

14-Apr

9-Jun

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

33% 17% 21% 5% 24%

39% 15% 14% 7% 26%

41% 17% 16% 6% 21%

40% 17% 17% 5% 22%

35% 19% 16% 5% 26%

36% 18% 17% 5% 24%

36% 18% 18% 6% 22%

39% 19% 13% 7% 22%

46% 21% 7% 7% 19%

50% 23% 5% 5% 17%


5/21

PC

NDP

Liberal

Green

Undecided

Sample

18-34

47%

21%

4%

10%

18%

183

35-49

47%

25%

5%

4%

19%

235

50-64

55%

22%

6%

1%

16%

407

65+

52%

26%

5%

2%

15%

587

Male

49%

27%

5%

1%

17%

696

Female

51%

19%

5%

8%

17%

809

PC

NDP

Liberal

Green

Undecided

Sample

Manitoba

50%

23%

5%

5%

17%

1,412

Winnipeg

46%

27%

5%

7%

15%

801

Rest of MB

57%

16%

5%

2%

20%

611



6/21

NDP PC Liberal Green

DECIDED AND LEANING

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

7-Jan 27-Jan 11-Feb 20-Feb 12-Mar 19-Mar 29-Mar 5-Apr 14-Apr 9-Jun


7/21

DECIDED AND LEANING

7-Jan

27-Jan

11-Feb

20-Feb

12-Mar

19-Mar

29-Mar

5-Apr

14-Apr

9-Jun

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

44% 23% 27% 6%

52% 20% 20% 9%

51% 21% 20% 7%

50% 21% 23% 6%

43% 27% 24% 7%

44% 24% 24% 7%

45% 23% 24% 8%

50% 24% 17% 9%

55% 26% 11% 9%

58% 28% 8% 6%


8/21

PC

NDP

Liberal

Green

Sample

18-34

52%

26%

11%

12%

156

35-49

58%

31%

6%

5%

197

50-64

63%

27%

8%

3%

357

65+

61%

31%

6%

3%

517

Male

59%

33%

7%

2%

531

Female

57%

24%

9%

10%

696

PC

NDP

Liberal

Green

Sample

Manitoba

58%

28%

8%

6%

1,227

Winnipeg

52%

32%

9%

8%

719

Rest of MB

70%

21%

6%

2%

508

If the provincial election were held today whichparty would you support?[DECIDED AND LEANING]


9/21

Do you approve or disapprove of the way BrianPallister is handling his job as Premier?

27%

27%

19%

14%

13%

Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove

Strongly Disapprove Not Sure


10/21

Do you approve or disapprove of the way BrianPallister is handling his job as Premier?

MB

Winnipeg

Non-Wpg

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

27% 27% 19% 14% 13%

19% 35% 21% 13% 12%

41% 14% 15% 15% 15%

32% 23% 20% 14% 11%

22% 31% 17% 14% 15%

25% 25% 17% 16% 18%

29% 30% 18% 13% 10%

24% 27% 26% 13% 10%

33% 26% 14% 14% 14%


11/21

Should the government publicly release theresults of departmental audits?

41%

25%

34%

Yes No Not Sure


12/21

Should the government publicly release theresults of departmental audits?

MB

Winnipeg

Non-Wpg

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

41% 25% 34%

36% 28% 36%

49% 20% 31%

39% 27% 34%

43% 23% 34%

37% 27% 36%

43% 22% 35%

40% 26% 34%

46% 24% 30%


13/21

Should the governmentamalgamate school boards?

41%

23%

36%

Yes No Not Sure


14/21

Should the governmentamalgamate school boards?

MB

Winnipeg

Non-Wpg

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

41% 23% 36%

46% 17% 37%

32% 32% 35%

39% 23% 38%

43% 23% 34%

35% 31% 35%

47% 16% 36%

46% 24% 30%

36% 18% 46%


15/21

In your opinion, should the provincialgovernment delay reducing the PST

until the budget is balanced?

32%

45%

23%

Yes No Not Sure


16/21

In your opinion, should the provincialgovernment delay reducing the PST

until the budget is balanced?

MB

Winnipeg

Non-Wpg

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

32% 45% 23%

35% 42% 22%

27% 49% 24%

29% 48% 23%

35% 42% 23%

27% 53% 20%

33% 40% 27%

34% 43% 23%

36% 41% 23%


17/21

Should major tax hikes be subject to areferendum?

51%

29%

20%

Yes No Not Sure


18/21

Should major tax hikes be subject to areferendum?

MB

Winnipeg

Non-Wpg

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

51% 29% 20%

44% 34% 22%

63% 20% 16%

52% 31% 17%

50% 27% 23%

52% 27% 21%

52% 28% 20%

52% 27% 21%

47% 35% 18%


19/21

If a provincial election were held today which party would you support?

Progressive Conservatives led by Brian PallisterNDP led by Flor Marcelino

Liberal Party led by Rana BokhariGreen Party led James Beddome

Undecided

And which party are you leaning towards voting for?

Progressive Conservatives led by Brian PallisterNDP led by Flor Marcelino

Liberal Party led by Rana Bokhari

Green Party led James BeddomeUndecided

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Brian Pallister is handling his job as Premier?

Strongly ApproveSomewhat Approve

Somewhat DisapproveStrongly Disapprove

Not Sure

In your opinion, should the government publicly release the results of departmental audits?

YesNo

Not Sure

And, in your opinion, should the government amalgamate school boards?

YesNo

Not Sure

And, in your opinion, should the provincial government delay reducing the PST until the budget isbalanced?

YesNo

Not Sure

And, should major tax hikes be subject to a referendum?

YesNo

Not Sure

SCRIPT


20/21

WHITBY

Most Accurate Pollster of theWhitby by election.

SASKATCHEWAN

Most Active Pollster of Saskatchewans

general election, top results within MoE.

MANITOBA

Most Active Pollster of Manitobas general

election, top results within MoE.

CALGARY GREENWAY

Most Accurate Pollster of the CalgaryGreenway by election.


21/21

Mainstreet is a national public research rm. With 20 years of political experience at all threelevels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadianpublic affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots ofpublic opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberalgovernment in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has

been the most accurate polling rm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoralelection. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal majoritygovernment in the 2015 federal election.

CONNECT WITH US: WEBSITEmainstreetresearch.ca

TWITTER@MainStResearch

FACEBOOKfb.com/mainstresearch

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Mainstreet - Manitoba June 2016

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