Mainstreet - SK March 9

8/19/2019 Mainstreet - SK March 9

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[MARCH 10, 2016]

SASKATCHEWAN

Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 1,423 Saskatchewan residents by Smart IVR™ on Ma8th, 2016. A mixture of landlines and cell phones were surveyed. Margin of error: +/- 2.6%, 19 timout of 20. Regional margins of error: Regina: +/-4.37%; Saskatoon: +/-4.56%; rest Saskatchewan: +/-4.56%; 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by geography, age agender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.

EMBARGOED UNTIL: 6 AM CST, MARCH 10, 2016

PRINT EXCLUSIVE: POSTMEDIA NETWORK INC.


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"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyrigh

The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republish

with full and proper credit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmed

NDP GAINS BUT SK PARTY STILL HAS WIDE LEAD

March 10th, 2016 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll find the Saskatchewan Party contin

o lead the NDP though the margin has tightened. The Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of erro+/- 2.6%, 19 times out of 20.

Among all voters the Saskatchewan Party is down to 47% from 49% (-2%) while the NDP is now at 3

+5%).

This type of volatility is to be expected as Saskatchewanians begin tuning into the election campaign” s

Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “The test for the NDP will be to see if they can hold onto upport. Most of the gains are coming from Regina, where the NDP and Saskatchewan Party are now

at 39%. In late February we saw the race tighten considerably in Saskatoon only to see the NDP’s supp

lip in the weeks that follow, so we will keep an eye on Regina in the weeks to come to see.”

Overall the province looks more or less as it has for the past few weeks. The Saskatchewan Party hold2% lead in Saskatoon and a daunting 19% lead in the rural areas of the province. Right now all signs p

o a majority Saskatchewan Party government.”

Most Saskatchewanians think the Saskatchewan Party would do a better job than the NDP when it coo managing Saskatchewan’s aging population, 42% to 33%. Most voters are not sure about plac

hemselves or a loved one in a publicly funded senior’s home with a whopping 69% undecided. nteresting to note however that support slides as respondents grow older. 28% of Saskatchewanians 18ay they would place a parent in a publicly funded seniors home compared to 18% among those over

who would consider placing themselves there.”

Finally, Saskatchewanians are split on the privatization of 40 liquor stores. Most are unsure about matter (38%) with 33% in favour and 29% opposed,” finished Maggi.

About Mainstreet ResearchMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levelgovernment, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of puopinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in Br

Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling n several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the o

polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.

-30-

Available for Interview from Toronto: Quito Maggi, [email protected] more information: David Valentin, (514) 913-5524 - [email protected]


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If a provincial election were held today which party would you support?

SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALL

NDP LED BY CAM BROTENLIBERAL PARTY LED BY DARRIN LAMOUREUXGREEN PARTY LED BY VICTOR LAUUNDECIDED

SAMPLE

18-3445%

33%5%2%14%

241

35-4947%

30%7%2%14%

316

50-6447%

37%6%2%9%

395

65+49%

32%5%2%12%

584

Fema46%

36%3%2%12%

825

Male48%

30%8%2%12%

711

SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALLNDP LED BY CAM BROTENLIBERAL PARTY LED BY DARRIN LAMOUREUXGREEN PARTY LED BY VICTOR LAUUNDECIDED

SAMPLE

Regina39%39%4%6%13%

545

Rest of 49%30%8%1%11%

496

Saskatoon48%36%1%1%

14%

495

SK47%33%6%2%

12%

1536

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

Oct 6 Jan 4 Feb 11 Feb 23 Mar 1 Mar 8


4/11

If a provincial election were held today which party would you support? (DECIDED OR LEANING)

SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALLNDP LED BY CAM BROTENLIBERAL PARTY LED BY DARRIN LAMOUREUXGREEN PARTY LED BY VICTOR LAU

18-3451%38%8%3%

35-4952%34%9%4%

50-6450%39%8%3%

65+54%37%7%2%

Fema51%40%6%3%

Male52%34%11%4%

SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALLNDP LED BY CAM BROTENLIBERAL PARTY LED BY DARRIN LAMOUREUX

GREEN PARTY LED BY VICTOR LAU

Regina44%44%6%

6%

Rest of 53%33%11%

3%

Saskatoon53%41%3%

3%

SK51%37%8%

3%

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

Oct 6 Jan 4 Feb 11 Feb 23 Mar 1 Mar 8


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And which party are you leaning towards voting for? (UNDECIDED ONLY)

8%

13%

17%

7%

55%


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And, which party do you think will be best prepared to manage Saskatchewan's rapidly aging population


18-34

43%32%3%2%19%

35-49

41%30%4%3%22%

50-64

41%37%3%2%17%

65+

43%31%2%1%

22%

Fema

41%34%2%3%

20%

Male

43%31%4%2%

20%


Regina

36%36%2%5%21%

Rest of

43%31%4%2%21%

Saskatoon

45%35%2%1%

17%

SK

42%33%3%2%

20%

42%

33%

3%

2%

20%


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Are you willing to put yourself or a parent in a publicly funded seniors home?

YESNO

NOT SURE

18-3428%8%

64%

35-4921%9%

70%

50-6420%8%

72%

65+18%8%

74%

Fema21%7%

72%

Male24%10%

66%

YESNO

NOT SURE

Regina18%9%

73%

Rest of 22%10%

69%

Saskatoon28%6%

67%

SK22%8%

69%

Yes No Not Sure

22%

8%

69%


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STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURE

18-3412%15%14%20%39%

35-4913%22%15%14%36%

50-6412%24%12%15%37%

65+12%25%9%14%40%

Fema14%21%12%14%39%

Male10%21%14%18%37%

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVE

NOT SURE

Regina12%22%11%14%

42%

Rest of 13%22%14%15%

37%

Saskatoon12%17%13%20%

38%

SK12%21%13%16%

38%

The Saskatchewan Party plans to privatize 40 government owned liquor stores. Do you approve or disapproof this plan?

Approve Disapprove Not Sure

33%

29%

38%


9/11

If a provincial election were held today which party would you support?

Saskatchewan Party led by Brad WallNDP led by Cam Broten

Liberal Party led by Darrin LamoureuxGreen Party led by Victor Lau

Undecided

And which Party are you leaning towards voting for?

Saskatchewan Party led by Brad WallNDP led by Cam Broten

Liberal Party led by Darrin Lamoureux

Green Party led by Victor LauUndecided

And, which party do you think will be best prepared to

manage Saskatchewan’s rapidly aging population?

Saskatchewan Party led by Brad Wall

NDP led by Cam Broten

Liberal Party led by Darrin LamoureuxGreen Party led by Victor LauUndecided

Are you willing to put yourself or a parent in a publicly funded seniors home?

Yes

NoNot Sure

The Saskatchewan Party plans to privatize 40 government owned liquor stores.Do you approve or disapprove of this plan?

Strongly Approve

Somewhat ApproveSomewhat DisapproveStrongly Disapprove

Not Sure


10/11

ONLY WE

CALLED

THELIBERAL

MAJORITY

Mainstreet Research | 132−2255B Queen Street East

| Toronto | Ontario | M4E 1G3 | Canada

“I recommend "Raiders of the Lost Campaign Arc," released Oct. 18, because it’s an interviewwith a pollster that everyone who follows politics should hear. Quito Maggi, of Mainstreet Pub

Research, was the only pollster I saw call the Liberal majority with such confidence, a weekbefore we voted.

Maggi also has the distinction of being the guy who predicted the BC Liberals would win in 20in defiance of the majority of the polls.

His technique involves picking a true bellwether riding and polling it thoroughly. His explanatiofor how he does it is well worth a listen and should be required research for anyone running

political campaign.” - Shannon Rupp, The Tyee, November 4th, 2015


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CONNECT WITH US: WEBSITE

mainstreetresearch.ca

© 2015 M i t t R h All i ht

Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all thrlevels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadi

public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liber

government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet h

been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoelection. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal major

government in the 2015 federal election.

CONNECT WITH US: WEBSITE

mainstreetresearch.ca

TWITTER

@MainStResearch

FACEBOOK

fb.com/mainstresearch

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Mainstreet - SK March 9

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