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8/18/2019 Mainstreet - Federal Budget in Alberta
1/16
Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 2,501 Albertans by Smart IVR™ on March 24th, 2016. A mixture of landlines an
phones were surveyed. Margin of error: +/- 1.96%, 19 times out of 20. Regional margins of error; Edmonton: +/- 3.59%; Calgar3.51%, Rest of Alberta +/- 3.13%, 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by geography, age and gender based on the
Canadian Census.
EMBARGOED UNTIL: 5 AM MST, MARCH 31st, 2016T EXCLUSIVE: POSTMEDIA NETWORK
THE FEDERAL BUDGET IN ALBERTA
8/18/2019 Mainstreet - Federal Budget in Alberta
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ALBERTANS MORE POSITIVE ON FEDERAL INVOLVEMENT, LESS POSITIVE ON ECONOMY
March 31, 2016 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds more Albertans are positive ahe Federal government’s plans to tackle the economic situation - but less Albertans are positive abou
outlook for the provincial economy and their own personal finances. The Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll hmargin of error of +/- 1.96%, 19 times out of 20.
58% of Albertans are pessimistic about Alberta’s economy," said Quito Maggi, President of MainstResearch. “While that is a drop from our previous poll (-6%) conducted in October, Optimism has droas well (-1%). It’s not that Albertans are more positive it’s that an increasing number are undecided a
what they think (Not sure, +6%).”
Albertans are also more pessimistic about their own family situation. 49% are optimistic (-4%), 35%
pessimistic (+4%) while 16% are not sure (no change)."
Reaction to the federal budget seems to be a net positive with scores among Albertans less negativebefore. There appears to a good reaction to the EI changes though less so in Edmonton where it d
appear it has registered that they have been left out of new EI funding.”
Many Albertans are saying the low Canadian dollar won’t impact their travel plans. 35% of those whbelieve they will be impacted are saying their new plans involve either travelling only within Alber
Canada. Another 18% now won’t travel at all. Of course, there are other factors than just the Canadian dhat may impact travel plans moving forward,” finished Maggi.
About Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levegovernment, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of p
opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in BColumbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate pollingn several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was thepolling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.
-30-
Available for Interview from Ottawa: Quito Maggi, [email protected] more information: David Valentin, (514) 913-5524 - [email protected]
"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protecteby copyright. The information and/or data may onbe rebroadcast or republished with full and propecredit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmedia”
8/18/2019 Mainstreet - Federal Budget in Alberta
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Thinking about the next 12 months, woulyou say you feel optimistic or pessimistic
about the state of Alberta economy?
Optimistic Pessimistic Not Sure
8/18/2019 Mainstreet - Federal Budget in Alberta
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Thinking about the next 12 months, woulyou say you feel optimistic or pessimisti
about the state of Alberta economy?
15%
65%
20%
17%
59%
24%
21%
58%
21%
35%
40%
24%
20%
59%
22%
21%
58%
22%
20%
58%
22%
24%
53%
24%
20%
57%
23%
19%
60%
21%
Rest of ABEdmontonAlberta Calgary
Optimistic
Pessimistic
Not Sure
Optimistic
Pessimistic
Not Sure
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female
Male
Female
18-34
35-49
50-64
65+
20% 59% 22%
21% 58% 22%
15% 65% 20%
17% 59% 24%
21% 58% 21%
35% 40% 24%
8/18/2019 Mainstreet - Federal Budget in Alberta
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Thinking about the next 12 months, wouldyou say you feel optimistic or pessimistic
about your own family's financial situation
Optimistic Pessimistic Not Sure
8/18/2019 Mainstreet - Federal Budget in Alberta
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Thinking about the next 12 months, woulyou say you feel optimistic or pessimistic
about your own family's financial situation
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female
55%
32%
13%
40%
42%
18%
48%
35%
16%
51%
27%
22%
52%
35%
13%
45%
35%
19%
49%
35%
16%
52%
33%
15%
51%
36%
13%
47%
35%
18%
Rest of ABEdmontonAlberta Calgary
Optimistic
Pessimistic
Not Sure
Optimistic
Pessimistic
Not Sure
Male
Female
18-34
35-49
50-64
65+
52% 35% 13%
45% 35% 19%
55% 32% 13%
40% 42% 18%
48% 35% 16%
51% 27% 22%
8/18/2019 Mainstreet - Federal Budget in Alberta
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The Canadian dollar recently hit a 13-year-ollow in terms of value against the American
dollar. Will the low value of the Canadian dolimpact your summer holiday plans?
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female
15%
60%
25%
29%
54%
17%
19%
59%
22%
22%
56%
22%
20%
59%
22%
23%
56%
21%
21%
57%
22%
18%
54%
28%
27%
40%
33%
20%
66%
15%
Rest of ABEdmontonAlberta Calgary
Yes
No
Not Sure
Yes
No
Not Sure
Male
Female
18-34
35-49
50-64
65+
20% 59% 22%
23% 56% 21%
15% 60% 25%
29% 54% 17%
19% 59% 22%
22% 56% 22%
8/18/2019 Mainstreet - Federal Budget in Alberta
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18%
21%
14%
14%
18%
15%
Will Not Travel Alberta Only Canada Only Avoid US Only
Something Else Not Sure
If yes, how will this impact your vacation plan[RESPONDED YES PREVIOUS Q ONLY]
8/18/2019 Mainstreet - Federal Budget in Alberta
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18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female
Will Not Travel
Alberta Only
Canada Only
Avoid US Only
Something Else
Not Sure
Rest of ABEdmontonAlberta Calgary
Will Not Travel
Alberta Only
Canada Only
Avoid US Only
Something Else
Not Sure
18%
21%
14%
14%
18%
15%
10%
20%
20%
20%
15%
15%
20%
13%
20%
20%
13%
15%
20%
26%
9%
9%
23%
14%
27%
13%
17%
17%
17%
10%
20%
16%
12%
10%
24%
18%
13%
30%
17%
13%
13%
13%
10%
30%
10%
20%
15%
15%
20%
20%
15%
15%
17%
13%
17%
21%
13%
13%
20%
16%
If yes, how will this impact your vacation plan[RESPONDED YES PREVIOUS Q ONLY]
8/18/2019 Mainstreet - Federal Budget in Alberta
10/16
8/18/2019 Mainstreet - Federal Budget in Alberta
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How would you rate the federal governmentplan to deal with the economic downturn?
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female
Excellent
Good
Fair
Poor
Very Poor
Not Sure
Rest of ABEdmontonAlberta Calgary
Excellent
Good
Fair
Poor
Very Poor
Not Sure
12%
11%
25%
20%
22%
9%
15%
16%
25%
15%
18%
11%
20%
8%
27%
15%
22%
8%
8%
11%
25%
23%
24%
9%
13%
9%
32%
11%
25%
10%
13%
13%
14%
24%
29%
8%
12%
16%
31%
20%
13%
8%
9%
6%
24%
29%
20%
12%
13%
10%
25%
20%
25%
7%
11%
13%
26%
20%
19%
12%
8/18/2019 Mainstreet - Federal Budget in Alberta
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How would you rate the federal governmentchanges to employment insurance?
20%
19%
10%17%
16%
18%
Excellent Good Fair Very Poor Not SurePoor
8/18/2019 Mainstreet - Federal Budget in Alberta
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How would you rate the federal governmentchanges to employment insurance?
Rest of ABEdmontonAlberta Calgary
Excellent
Good
Fair
Poor
Very Poor
Not Sure
20%
19%
10%
17%
16%
18%
11%
21%
12%
15%
14%
27%
27%
15%
13%
11%
17%
17%
21%
19%
8%
20%
17%
16%
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female
Excellent
Good
Fair
Poor
Very Poor
Not Sure
20%
19%
8%
11%
16%
26%
20%
19%
9%
19%
18%
14%
22%
21%
10%
19%
12%
16%
20%
11%
13%
22%
22%
12%
20%
18%
11%
17%
16%
18%
21%
19%
8%
17%
16%
18%
8/18/2019 Mainstreet - Federal Budget in Alberta
14/16
Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about the stateAlberta economy?
OptimisticPessimisticNot Sure
Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about your ow
family's financial situation?
Optimistic
PessimisticNot Sure
The Canadian dollar recently hit a 13-year-old low in terms of value against the American dollar. W
the low value of the Canadian dollar impact your summer holiday plans?
YesNo
Not Sure
If yes, how will this impact your vacation plans?
Will Not Travel At AllWill Travel Within Alberta OnlyWill Travel Within Canada Only
Will Only Avoid the United StatesSomething ElseNot Sure
How would you rate the federal government’s plan to deal with the economic downturn?
Excellent
GoodFairPoor
Very Poor
Not Sure
How would you rate the federal government’s changes to employment insurance?
ExcellentGoodFair
PoorVery PoorNot Sure
SCRIPT
8/18/2019 Mainstreet - Federal Budget in Alberta
15/16
ONLY WE
CALLED
THELIBERAL
MAJORITY
Mainstreet Research | 132−2255B Queen Street East
| Toronto | Ontario | M4E 1G3 | Canada
“I recommend "Raiders of the Lost Campaign Arc," released Oct. 18, because it’s an interviewith a pollster that everyone who follows politics should hear. Quito Maggi, of Mainstreet Pub
Research, was the only pollster I saw call the Liberal majority with such confidence, a weekbefore we voted.
Maggi also has the distinction of being the guy who predicted the BC Liberals would win in 2in defiance of the majority of the polls.
His technique involves picking a true bellwether riding and polling it thoroughly. His explanatfor how he does it is well worth a listen and should be required research for anyone running
political campaign.” - Shannon Rupp, The Tyee, November 4th, 2015
8/18/2019 Mainstreet - Federal Budget in Alberta
16/16
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all th
levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadpublic affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshotspublic opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Libe
government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayo
election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majogovernment in the 2015 federal election.
CONNECT WITH US: WEBSITE
mainstreetresearch.ca
@MainStResearch
fb.com/mainstresearch